Predicting yellow rust in wheat breeding trials by proximal phenotyping and machine learning

An integrated feature selection approach to high water stress yield prediction

The timely and precise prediction of winter wheat yield plays a critical role in understanding food supply dynamics and ensuring global food security. In recent years, the application of unmanned aerial remote sensing has significantly advanced agricultural yield prediction research. This has led to the emergence of numerous vegetation indices that are sensitive to yield variations. However, not all of these vegetation indices are universally suitable for predicting yields across different environments and crop types. Consequently, the process of feature selection for vegetation index sets becomes essential to enhance the performance of yield prediction models. This study aims to develop an integrated feature selection method known as PCRF-RFE, with a focus on vegetation index feature selection. Initially, building upon prior research, we acquired multispectral images during the flowering and grain filling stages and identified 35 yield-sensitive multispectral indices. We then applied the Pearson correlation coefficient (PC) and random forest importance (RF) methods to select relevant features for the vegetation index set. Feature filtering thresholds were set at 0.53 and 1.9 for the respective methods. The union set of features selected by both methods was used for recursive feature elimination (RFE), ultimately yielding the optimal subset of features for constructing Cubist and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) yield prediction models. The results of this study demonstrate that the Cubist model, constructed using the optimal subset of features obtained through the integrated feature selection method (PCRF-RFE), consistently outperformed the RNN model. It exhibited the highest accuracy during both the flowering and grain filling stages, surpassing models constructed using all features or subsets derived from a single feature selection method. This confirms the efficacy of the PCRF-RFE method and offers valuable insights and references for future research in the realms of feature selection and yield prediction studies.

Identification and estimation of lodging in bread wheat genotypes using machine learning predictive algorithms

BACKGROUND

Lodging or stem bending decreases wheat yield quality and quantity. Thus, the traits reflected in early lodging wheat are helpful for early monitoring to some extent. In order to identify the superior genotypes and compare multiple linear regression (MLR) with support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN), and random forest regression (RF) for predicting lodging in Iranian wheat accessions, a total of 228 wheat accessions were cultivated under field conditions in an alpha-lattice experiment, randomized incomplete block design, with two replications in two cropping seasons (2018-2019 and 2019-2020). To measure traits, a total of 20 plants were isolated from each plot and were measured using image processing.

RESULTS

The lodging score index (LS) had the highest positive correlation with plant height (r = 0.78**), Number of nodes (r = 0.71**), and internode length 1 (r = 0.70**). Genotypes were classified into four groups based on heat map output. The most lodging-resistant genotypes showed a lodging index of zero or close to zero. The findings revealed that the RF algorithm provided a more accurate estimate (R2 = 0.887 and RMSE = 0.091 for training data and R2 = 0.768 and RMSE = 0.124 for testing data) of wheat lodging than the ANN and SVR algorithms, and its robustness was as good as ANN but better than SVR.

CONCLUSION

Overall, it seems that the RF model can provide a helpful predictive and exploratory tool to estimate wheat lodging in the field. This work can contribute to the adoption of managerial approaches for precise and non-destructive monitoring of lodging.

A deep learning model for rapid classification of tea coal disease

BACKGROUND

The common tea tree disease known as "tea coal disease" (Neocapnodium theae Hara) can have a negative impact on tea yield and quality. The majority of conventional approaches for identifying tea coal disease rely on observation with the human naked eye, which is labor- and time-intensive and frequently influenced by subjective factors. The present study developed a deep learning model based on RGB and hyperspectral images for tea coal disease rapid classification.

RESULTS

Both RGB and hyperspectral could be used for classifying tea coal disease. The accuracy of the classification models established by RGB imaging using ResNet18, VGG16, AlexNet, WT-ResNet18, WT-VGG16, and WT-AlexNet was 60%, 58%, 52%, 70%, 64%, and 57%, respectively, and the optimal classification model for RGB was the WT-ResNet18. The accuracy of the classification models established by hyperspectral imaging using UVE-LSTM, CARS-LSTM, NONE-LSTM, UVE-SVM, CARS-SVM, and NONE-SVM was 80%, 95%, 90%, 61%, 77%, and 65%, respectively, and the optimal classification model for hyperspectral was the CARS-LSTM, which was superior to the model based on RGB imaging.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed the classification potential of tea coal disease based on RGB and hyperspectral imaging, which can provide an accurate, non-destructive, and efficient classification method for monitoring tea coal disease.

To What Extent Does Yellow Rust Infestation Affect Remotely Sensed Nitrogen Status?

The utilization of high-throughput in-field phenotyping systems presents new opportunities for evaluating crop stress. However, existing studies have primarily focused on individual stresses, overlooking the fact that crops in field conditions frequently encounter multiple stresses, which can display similar symptoms or interfere with the detection of other stress factors. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the impact of wheat yellow rust on reflectance measurements and nitrogen status assessment. A multi-sensor mobile platform was utilized to capture RGB and multispectral images throughout a 2-year fertilization-fungicide trial. To identify disease-induced damage, the SegVeg approach, which combines a U-NET architecture and a pixel-wise classifier, was applied to RGB images, generating a mask capable of distinguishing between healthy and damaged areas of the leaves. The observed proportion of damage in the images demonstrated similar effectiveness to visual scoring methods in explaining grain yield. Furthermore, the study discovered that the disease not only affected reflectance through leaf damage but also influenced the reflectance of healthy areas by disrupting the overall nitrogen status of the plants. This emphasizes the importance of incorporating disease impact into reflectance-based decision support tools to account for its effects on spectral data. This effect was successfully mitigated by employing the NDRE vegetation index calculated exclusively from the healthy portions of the leaves or by incorporating the proportion of damage into the model. However, these findings also highlight the necessity for further research specifically addressing the challenges presented by multiple stresses in crop phenotyping.

The Keys to Controlling Wheat Rusts: Identification and Deployment of Genetic Resistance

Rust diseases are among the major constraints for wheat production worldwide due to the emergence and spread of highly destructive races of Puccinia. The most common approach to minimize yield losses due to rust is to use cultivars that are genetically resistant. Modern wheat cultivars, landraces, and wild relatives can contain undiscovered resistance genes, which typically encode kinase or nucleotide-binding site leucine rich repeat (NLR) domain containing receptor proteins. Recent research has shown that these genes can provide either resistance in all growth stages (all-stage resistance; ASR) or specially in later growth stages (adult-plant resistance; APR). ASR genes are pathogen and race-specific, meaning can function against selected races of the Puccinia fungus due to the necessity to recognize specific avirulence molecules in the pathogen. APR genes are either pathogen-specific or multipathogen resistant but often race-nonspecific. Prediction of resistance genes through rust infection screening alone remains complex when more than one resistance gene is present. However, breakthroughs during the past half century such as the single-nucleotide polymorphism-based genotyping techniques and resistance gene isolation strategies like mutagenesis, resistance gene enrichment, and sequencing (MutRenSeq), mutagenesis and chromosome sequencing (MutChromSeq), and association genetics combined with RenSeq (AgRenSeq) enables rapid transfer of resistance from source to modern cultivars. There is a strong need for combining multiple genes for better efficacy and longer-lasting resistance. Hence, techniques like gene cassette creation speeds up the gene combination process, but their widespread adoption and commercial use is limited due to their transgenic nature.