A Combined Nomogram Model to Predict Disease-free Survival in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Patients With Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

Development and validation of survival nomograms in elder triple-negative invasive ductal breast carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the overall survival of elderly patients with Triple-negative invasive ductal breast carcinoma (TNIDC).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

12165 elderly patients with nonmetastatic TNIDC were retrieved from the SEER database from 2010 to 2019 and were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts. Stepwise Cox regression analysis was used to select variables for the nomogram based on the training cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to calculate the correlation between variables and prognosis of the patients. Survival analysis was performed for high- and low-risk subgroups based on risk score.

RESULTS

Eleven predictive factors were identified to construct our nomograms. Compared with the TNM stage, the discrimination of the nomogram revealed good prognostic accuracy and clinical applicability as indicated by C-index values of 0.741 (95% CI 0.728-0.754) against 0.708 (95% CI 0.694-0.721) and 0.765 (95% CI 0.747-0.783) against 0.725 (95% CI 0.705-0.744) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Differences in OS were also observed between the high- and low-risk groups (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The proposed nomogram provides a convenient and reliable tool for individual evaluations for elderly patients with M0_stage TNIDC. However, the model may only for Americans.

A Multiparametric MRI-based Radiomics Model for Stratifying Postoperative Recurrence in Luminal B Breast Cancer

This study aims to develop an MRI-based radiomics model to assess the likelihood of recurrence in luminal B breast cancer. The study analyzed medical images and clinical data from 244 patients with luminal B breast cancer. Of 244 patients, 35 had experienced recurrence and 209 had not. The patients were randomly divided into the training set (51.5 ± 12.5 years old; n = 171) and the test set (51.7 ± 11.3 years old; n = 73) in a ratio of 7:3. The study employed univariate and multivariate Cox regression along with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression methods to select radiomics features and calculate a risk score. A combined model was constructed by integrating the risk score with the clinical and pathological characteristics. The study identified two radiomics features (GLSZM and GLRLM) from DCE-MRI that were used to calculate a risk score. The AUCs were 0.860 and 0.868 in the training set and 0.816 and 0.714 in the testing set for 3- and 5-year recurrence risk, respectively. The combined model incorporating the risk score, pN, and endocrine therapy showed improved predictive power, with AUCs of 0.857 and 0.912 in the training set and 0.943 and 0.945 in the testing set for 3- and 5-year recurrence risk, respectively. The calibration curve of the combined model showed good consistency between predicted and measured values. Our study developed an MRI-based radiomics model that integrates clinical and radiomics features to assess the likelihood of recurrence in luminal B breast cancer. The model shows promise for improving clinical risk stratification and treatment decision-making.

A Review of AI-Based Radiomics and Computational Pathology Approaches in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer: Current Applications and Perspectives

Breast cancer is one of the most common and deadly cancers worldwide. Approximately, 20% of all breast cancers are characterized as triple negative (TNBC). TNBC typically is associated with a poorer prognosis relative to other breast cancer subtypes. Due to its aggressiveness and lack of response to hormonal therapy, conventional cytotoxic chemotherapy is the usual treatment; however, this treatment is not always effective, and an important percentage of patients develop recurrence. More recently, immunotherapy has started to be used on some populations with TNBC showing promising results. Unfortunately, immunotherapy is only applicable to a minority of patients and responses in metastatic TNBC have overall been modest in comparison to other cancer types. This situation evidences the need for developing effective biomarkers that help to stratify and personalize patient management. Thanks to recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), there has been an increasing interest in its use for medical applications aiming at supporting clinical decision making. Several works have used AI in combination with diagnostic medical imaging, more specifically radiology and digitized histopathological tissue samples, aiming to extract disease-specific information that is difficult to quantify by the human eye. These works have demonstrated that analysis of such images in the context of TNBC has great potential for (1) risk-stratifying patients to identify those patients who are more likely to experience disease recurrence or die from the disease and (2) predicting pathologic complete response. In this manuscript, we present an overview on AI and its integration with radiology and histopathological images for developing prognostic and predictive approaches for TNBC. We present state of the art approaches in the literature and discuss the opportunities and challenges with developing AI algorithms regarding further development and clinical deployment, including identifying those patients who may benefit from certain treatments (e.g., adjuvant chemotherapy) from those who may not and thereby should be directed toward other therapies, discovering potential differences between populations, and identifying disease subtypes.

Prediction of Axillary Lymph Node Metastasis in Early-stage Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Using Multiparametric and Radiomic Features of Breast MRI

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether machine learning (ML) approaches using breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived multiparametric and radiomic features could predict axillary lymph node metastasis (ALNM) in stage I-II triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between 2013 and 2019, 86 consecutive patients with TNBC who underwent preoperative MRI and surgery were enrolled and divided into ALNM (N = 27) and non-ALNM (n = 59) groups according to histopathologic results. For multiparametric features, kinetic features using computer-aided diagnosis (CAD), morphologic features, and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values at diffusion-weighted images were evaluated. For extracting radiomic features, three-dimensional segmentation of tumors using T2-weighted images (T2WI) and T1-weighted subtraction images were respectively performed by two radiologists. Each predictive model using three ML algorithms was built using multiparametric features or radiomic features, or both. The diagnostic performances of models were compared using the DeLong method.

RESULTS

Among multiparametric features, non-circumscribed margin, peritumoral edema, larger tumor size, and larger angio-volume at CAD were associated with ALNM in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, larger angio-volume was the sole statistically significant predictor for ALNM (odds ratio = 1.33, P = 0.008). Regarding ADC values, there were no significant differences according to ALNM status. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting ALNM was 0.74 using multiparametric features, 0.77 using radiomic features from T1-weighted subtraction images, 0.80 using radiomic features from T2WI, and 0.82 using all features.

CONCLUSION

A predictive model incorporating breast MRI-derived multiparametric and radiomic features may be valuable in predicting ALNM preoperatively in patients with TNBC.

Predictive value of radiomics-based machine learning for the disease-free survival in breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

This study summarized the previously-published studies regarding the use of radiomics-based predictive models for the identification of breast cancer-associated prognostic factors, which can help clinical decision-making and follow-up strategy.

Materials and methods

This study has been pre-registered on PROSPERO. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched, from inception to April 23, 2022, for studies that used radiomics for prognostic prediction of breast cancer patients. Then the search was updated on July 18, 2023. Quality assessment was conducted using the Radiomics Quality Score, and meta-analysis was performed using R software.

Results

A total of 975 articles were retrieved, and 13 studies were included, involving 5014 participants and 35 prognostic models. Among the models, 20 models were radiomics-based and the other 15 were based on clinical or pathological information. The primary outcome was Disease-free Survival (DFS). The retrieved studies were screened using LASSO, and Cox Regression was applied for modeling. The mean RQS was 18. The c-index of radiomics-based models for DFS prediction was 0.763 (95%CI 0.718-0.810) in the training set and 0.702 (95%CI 0.637-0.774) in the validation set. The c-index of combination models was 0.807 (95%CI0.736-0.885) in the training set and 0.840 (95%CI 0.794-0.888) in the validation set. There was no significant change in the c-index of DFS at 1, 2, 3, and over 5 years of follow-up.

Conclusion

This study has proved that radiomics-based prognostic models are of great predictive performance for the prognosis of breast cancer patients. combination model shows significantly enhanced predictive performance.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42022332392.

Adaptive radiotherapy for breast cancer

Research in the field of local and locoregional breast cancer radiotherapy aims to maintain excellent oncological outcomes while reducing treatment-related toxicity. Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) considers variations in target and organs at risk (OARs) anatomy occurring during the treatment course and integrates these in re-optimized treatment plans. Exploiting ART routinely in clinic may result in smaller target volumes and better OAR sparing, which may lead to reduction of acute as well as late toxicities. In this review MR-guided and CT-guided ART for breast cancer patients according to different clinical scenarios (neoadjuvant and adjuvant partial breast irradiation, whole breast, chest wall and regional nodal irradiation) are reviewed and their advantages as well as challenging aspects discussed.

Quantitative DCE-MRI prediction of breast cancer recurrence following neoadjuvant chemotherapy: a preliminary study

INTRODUCTION

Breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) are at risk of recurrence depending on clinicopathological characteristics. This preliminary study aimed to investigate the predictive performances of quantitative dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI parameters, alone and in combination with clinicopathological variables, for prediction of recurrence in patients treated with NACT.

METHODS

Forty-seven patients underwent pre- and post-NACT MRI exams including high spatiotemporal resolution DCE-MRI. The Shutter-Speed model was employed to perform pharmacokinetic analysis of the DCE-MRI data and estimate the Ktrans, ve, kep, and τi parameters. Univariable logistic regression was used to assess predictive accuracy for recurrence for each MRI metric, while Firth logistic regression was used to evaluate predictive performances for models with multi-clinicopathological variables and in combination with a single MRI metric or the first principal components of all MRI metrics.

RESULTS

Pre- and post-NACT DCE-MRI parameters performed better than tumor size measurement in prediction of recurrence, whether alone or in combination with clinicopathological variables. Combining post-NACT Ktrans with residual cancer burden and age showed the best improvement in predictive performance with ROC AUC = 0.965.

CONCLUSION

Accurate prediction of recurrence pre- and/or post-NACT through integration of imaging markers and clinicopathological variables may help improve clinical decision making in adjusting NACT and/or adjuvant treatment regimens to reduce the risk of recurrence and improve survival outcome.