Population Attributable Fraction of Helicobacter pylori Infection-Related Gastric Cancer in Korea: A Meta-Analysis

Trends of gastric cancer burdens attributable to risk factors in China from 2000 to 2050

Background

The incidence of gastric cancer (GC) decreased in past decades, which was thought largely attributable to risk factors control, yet China still accounts for 44% of global GC burdens. We aimed to estimate changing trajectories of proportions of GC burdens attributable to modifiable risk factors from 2000 to 2050 in China, to inform future targeted preventive strategies.

Methods

The incidence and new cases of GC were predicted to 2050 using Bayesian age-period-cohort model based on incidence data by anatomical subsites drawn from 682 cancer registries from National Central Cancer Registry. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated based on prevalence of risk factors and relative risks with GC. Temporal trends of PAFs were described by sex and categories of risk factors using joinpoint analysis.

Findings

We observed declining trends of PAFs of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection, smoking, pickled vegetable and alcohol consumption, but increasing trends of PAFs of unhealthy body mass index and diabetes for GC in China. The combined PAFs of these risk factors were estimated to decrease by 10.57% from 2000 to 2050 for GC. We estimated there will be 279,707 GC (122,796 cardia gastric cancer [CGC] and 156,911 non-cardia gastric cancer [NCGC]) cases in 2050. Out of these cases, 70.18% of GC cases could be attributable to modifiable risk factors, while H. pylori infection was predicted to be responsible for 40.7% of CGC and 62.1% of NCGC cases in 2050.

Interpretation

More than half of GC remained attributable to modifiable risk factors in China. Continued effective strategies on risk factors control are needed to reduce the burden of this highly life-threatening cancer in future.

Funding

Beijing Nova Program (No. Z201100006820069), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant No. 2021-I2M-1-023), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant No. 2021-I2M-1-010), Talent Incentive Program of Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (Hope Star).

Estimation of the benefit from pre-emptive genotyping based on the nationwide cohort data in South Korea

Genetic variants affect drug responses, making pre-emptive genotyping crucial for averting serious adverse events (SAEs) and treatment failure. However, assessing the benefits of pre-emptive genotyping based on genetic distribution, drug exposure, and demographics is challenging. This study aimed to estimate the population-level benefits of pre-emptive genotyping in the Korean population using nationwide cohort data. We reviewed actionable gene-drug combinations recommended by both the Clinical Pharmacogenomics Implementation Consortium (CPIC) and the Dutch Pharmacogenetics Working Group (DPWG) as of February 2022, identifying high-risk phenotypes. We collected reported risk reduction from genotyping and standardized it into population attributable risks. Healthcare reimbursement costs for SAEs and treatment failures were obtained from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service Statistics in 2021. The benefits of pre-emptive genotyping for a specific group were determined by multiplying drug exposure from nationwide cohort data by individual genotyping benefits. We identified 31 gene-drug-event pairs, with CYP2D6 and CYP2C19 demonstrating the greatest benefits for both male and female patients. Individuals aged 65-70 years had the highest individual benefit from pre-emptive genotyping, with $84.40 for men and $100.90 for women. Pre-emptive genotyping, particularly for CYP2D6 and CYP2C19, can provide substantial benefits.

Updated Epidemiology of Gastric Cancer in Asia: Decreased Incidence but Still a Big Challenge

Despite the decline in incidence and mortality rates, gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide. The incidence and mortality of GC are exceptionally high in Asia due to high H. pylori infection, dietary habits, smoking behaviors, and heavy alcohol consumption. In Asia, males are more susceptible to developing GC than females. Variations in H. pylori strains and prevalence rates may contribute to the differences in incidence and mortality rates across Asian countries. Large-scale H. pylori eradication was one of the effective ways to reduce GC incidences. Treatment methods and clinical trials have evolved, but the 5-year survival rate of advanced GC is still low. Efforts should be put towards large-scale screening and early diagnosis, precision medicine, and deep mechanism studies on the interplay of GC cells and microenvironments for dealing with peritoneal metastasis and prolonging patients' survival.

Comparison of the Concordance of Allergic Diseases between Monozygotic and Dizygotic Twins: A Cross-Sectional Study Using KoGES HTS Data

Several epidemiological studies have demonstrated that genetic and environmental factors contribute to the development of allergic diseases. However, there is limited information on these factors in the Korean population. This study investigated the importance of genetic and environmental factors in allergic diseases, such as allergic rhinitis, asthma, allergic conjunctivitis, or atopic dermatitis, by comparing the disease incidence in Korean adult monozygotic and dizygotic twins. This cross-sectional study utilized data from 1296 twin pairs, including 1052 monozygotic and 244 dizygotic twins, aged over 20 years, from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (2005-2014). The study utilized binomial and multinomial logistic regression models to compute odds ratios of disease concordance. The concordance rate (92%) of the presence or absence of atopic dermatitis in monozygotic twins was slightly higher than that in dizygotic twins (90.2%), which only had a borderline significance (p = 0.090). The concordance rates of other allergic diseases within monozygotic twins were lower compared to dizygotic twins (asthma, 94.3% vs. 95.1%; allergic rhinitis, 77.5% vs. 78.7%; allergic conjunctivitis, 90.6% vs. 91.8%), of which the differences were not statistically significant. Monozygotic twins had a higher proportion of cases in which both siblings had allergic diseases than dizygotic twins (asthma, 1.1% vs. 0.0%; allergic rhinitis, 6.7% vs. 3.3%; atopic dermatitis, 2.9% vs. 0.0%; allergic conjunctivitis, 1.5% vs. 0.0%), of which the differences were also not statistically significant. In conclusion, our results appear to indicate the relative importance of environmental factors over genetic factor in the development of allergic diseases in Korean adult monozygotic twins.

Cardia and non-cardia gastric cancer risk associated with Helicobacter pylori in East Asia and the West: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and estimation of population attributable fraction

OBJECTIVES

To assess the region-specific relative risk of cardia/non-cardia gastric cancer (CGC/NCGC) associated with Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) and quantify its contribution to gastric cancer burden using population attributable fraction (PAF).

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central databases were searched by two reviewers until April 20, 2022. The association between H. pylori infection and NCGC/CGC was assessed using pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). PAF was calculated using the formula of H. pylori prevalence and the pooled OR.

RESULTS

One hundred and eight studies were included. A significant association was observed between H. pylori infection and NCGC in East Asia (OR, 4.36; 95% CI: 3.54-5.37) and the West (OR, 4.03; 95% CI: 2.59-6.27). Regarding CGC, a significant association was found only in East Asia (OR, 2.86; 95% CI: 2.26-3.63), not in the West (OR, 0.80; 95% CI: 0.61-1.05). For studies with a follow-up time of ≥10 years, pooled ORs for NCGC and CGC in East Asia were 5.58 (95% CI: 4.08-7.64) and 3.86 (95% CI: 2.69-5.55), respectively. Pooled OR for NCGC was 6.80 (95% CI: 3.78-12.25) in the West. PAFs showed that H. pylori infection accounted for 71.2% of NCGC, 60.7% of CGC in East Asia, and 73.2% of NCGC in the West.

CONCLUSIONS

Gastric cancer burden associated with H. pylori infection exhibits important geographical differences. Prolonged follow-up period could overcome the underestimation of the magnitude of the association between H. pylori infection and CGC/NCGC. Customized strategies for H. pylori screening and eradication should be implemented to prevent gastric cancer.

Impact of Disability Status on Mortality in Patients with Gastric Cancer: A Nationwide Study Focusing on Regional Disparities

BACKGROUND

Disparities in mortality according to disability status require investment, as individuals with disabilities form the largest subset of the vulnerable population. This study aimed to investigate the association between mortality and disability status in patients with gastric cancer as well as how regional disparities modify this relationship.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the National Health Insurance claims database in South Korea for the period of 2006-2019. The outcome measures were all-cause 1-year, 5-year, and overall mortality. The main variable of interest was disability status, categorized into "no disability", "mild disability", and "severe disability". A survival analysis based on the Cox proportional hazards model was conducted to analyze the association between mortality and disability status. Subgroup analysis was conducted according to region.

RESULTS

Of the 200,566 study participants, 19,297 (9.6%) had mild disabilities, and 3243 (1.6%) had severe disabilities. Patients with mild disabilities had higher 5- and overall mortality risks, and those with severe disabilities had higher 1-year, 5-year, and overall mortality risks than those without disabilities. These tendencies were generally maintained regardless of the region, but the magnitude of the differences in the mortality rates according to disability status was higher in the group residing in non-capital regions than in the group living in the capital city.

CONCLUSION

Disability status was associated with all-cause mortality in patients with gastric cancer. The degree of the differences in mortality rates among those with "no disability", "mild disability", and "severe disability" was augmented in the group residing in non-capital regions.

Risk factors for gastric cancer: A comprehensive analysis of observational studies

Background

Multifarious factors have a causal relationship with gastric cancer (GC) development. We conducted a comprehensive analysis to evaluate the strength of the evidence examining non-genetic risk factors for gastric cancer.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched from inception to November 10, 2021 to identify meta-analyses of observational studies examining the association between environmental factors and GC risk. For each meta-analysis, the random effect size, 95% confidence interval, heterogeneity among studies, and evidence of publication bias were assessed; moreover, the evidence was graded using predefined criteria, and the methodological quality was evaluated using AMSTAR 2.

Results

A total of 137 associations were examined in 76 articles. Among these meta-analyses, 93 associations yielded significant estimates (p < 0.05). Only 10 associations had strong epidemiologic evidence, including 2 risk factors (waist circumference and bacon), and 8 protective factors (dietary total antioxidant capacity, vegetable fat, cruciferous vegetable, cabbage, total vitamin, vitamin A, vitamin C, and years of fertility); 26 associations had moderate quality of evidence; and the remaining 57 associations were rated as weak. Ninety-four (68.61%) associations showed significant heterogeneity. Twenty-five (18.25%) associations demonstrated publication bias.

Conclusions

In this comprehensive analysis, multiple associations were found between environmental factors and GC with varying levels of evidence. Healthy dietary habits and lifestyle patterns could reduce the risk for GC. However, further high-quality prospective studies are still necessary to draw more definitive conclusions.

Comparison of Concordance of Peptic Ulcer Disease, Non-Adenomatous Intestinal Polyp, and Gallstone Disease in Korean Monozygotic and Dizygotic Twins: A Cross-Sectional Study

Epidemiological studies have suggested the role of multiple genetic and environmental factors in the development of non-neoplastic gastrointestinal (GI) diseases; however, little information is available on these factors in the Korean population. Therefore, this cross-sectional study explored the effect of these factors by analyzing the concordance of several benign GI disorders in 525 monozygotic twins compared to that in 122 dizygotic twins aged >20 years from the Healthy Twin Study data of the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (2005-2014). Chi-square test, Wilcoxon rank-sum, and binomial and multinomial logistic regression models were used for statistical analysis. There was lack of concordance of gastric/duodenal ulcers and cholelithiasis/cholangitis between monozygotic twins compared to that in dizygotic twins, suggesting that environmental factors may mediate those concordant disease expressions in monozygotic twins. The concordance of intestinal polyps in monozygotic twins was 32% lower than that in dizygotic twins (p = 0.028), indicating that the effect of genetic factors on the risk for intestinal polyp development may be low. In conclusion, the lack or low concordance of several benign GI diseases between monozygotic and dizygotic twin groups suggests the relative importance of environmental factors, indicating that these are preventable diseases.

Effect of gastric cancer screening on long-term survival of gastric cancer patients: results of Korean national cancer screening program

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) is the most common cancer type in Korea. Korean National Cancer Screening Program (KNCSP) offer either upper gastrointestinal series (UGIS) or upper endoscopy biennially for adults aged ≥ 40. This study aimed to investigate the effect of cancer screening program on the long-term survival among GC patients.

METHODS

A nationwide population-based cohort was constructed based on three national databases. Overall, 46,701 GC patients diagnosed in 2008 and 2009 were included in our final analysis, and they were followed-up until the end of 2019. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test. Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis was used to report the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

A total of 18,614/46,701 (39.9%) patients died during the median follow-up time of 10.5 years. The survival rate was higher among screened patients (65.8%) than never-screened patients (49.1%). Screened patients had 53% (HR, 0.47; 95% CI 0.45-0.48) lower risk of death from GC. The HRs of GC-specific mortality was lower in upper endoscopy group (HR = 0.36; 95% CI = 0.34-0.37) compared with UGIS (HR = 0.69; 95% CI = 0.67-0.73). Screened patients within 2 years prior to cancer diagnosis had a 35% reduction in risk of GC death. The figure decline to approximately 19% among patients with interval time since last screening of > 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings emphasized the positive effects of GC screening on long-term GC patient survival. Also, patients screened by upper endoscopy or within 2 years before diagnosis had the best survival outcomes.

Risk Factors to Predict Ocular Metastasis in Older Adult Patients With Gastric Cancer:LDL, ApoA1, and CA724

Objective: The purpose of this study was to explore the risk factors for Ocular metastasis (OM) of Gastric cancer (GC). Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study. A total of 1165 patients with GC were enrolled in this study and divided into OM and non-ocular metastasis (NOM) groups. Chi-square and independent samples t tests were used to determine whether differences in demographic characteristics and serological indicators (SI) between the two groups were significant. In addition, binary logistic regression was used to analyze the value of various SI as risk factors for OM in patients with GC. The statistical threshold was set as P < .05. Finally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the diagnostic value of various SI in differentiating the occurrence of OM in patients with GC. Results: The incidence of OM in older adults with GC was 1.1%. Adenocarcinoma was the most common type of GC in both groups, and there was no significant difference in demographic characteristics between the groups. Low-density lipoprotein (LDL), carbohydrate antigen-724 (CA724), and carcinoembryonic antigen levels were significantly higher in the OM group than the NOM group, while those of apolipoprotein A1 (ApoA1) were significantly lower in the OM than the NOM group. Binary logistic analysis showed that LDL, ApoA1, and CA724 were independent risk factors for OM in patients with GC ( P < .001, P = .033, and P = .008, respectively). ROC curve analysis generated area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.881, 0.576, and 0.906 for LDL, ApoA1, and CA724, respectively. In addition, combined analysis of LDL, ApoA1, and CA724 generated the highest AUC value of 0.924 ( P < .001). Conclusion: Among SI, LDL, ApoA1, and CA724 have predictive value for the occurrence of OM in GC, with the three factors combined having the highest value.

Cancer Etiology and Prevention Principle: "1 + X"

Cancer was previously thought to be an inevitable aspect of human health with no effective treatments. However, the results of in-depth cancer research suggest that most types of cancer may be preventable. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of the disparities in cancer burden caused by different risk factors is essential to inform and improve cancer prevention and control. Here, we propose the cancer etiology and prevention principle "1 + X," where 1 denotes the primary risk factor for a cancer and X represents the secondary contributing risk factors for the cancer. We elaborate upon the "1 + X" principle with respect to risk factors for several different cancer types. The "1 + X" principle can be used for precise prevention of cancer by eliminating the main cause of a cancer and minimizing the contributing factors at the same time.