Echocardiographic predictors of atrial fibrillation recurrence after catheter ablation: A literature review

Identification of Plasmatic MicroRNA-206 as New Predictor of Early Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation After Catheter Ablation Using Next-generation Sequencing

BACKGROUND

Catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) is indicated in patients with recurrent and symptomatic AF episodes. Despite the strict inclusion/exclusion criteria, AF recurrence after CA remains high. Identification of a novel biomarker that would predict AF recurrence would help to stratify the patients. The aim of the study was to seek novel biomarkers among the plasmatic microRNAs (miRNAs, miRs).

METHODS

A prospective monocentric study was conducted. A total of 49 consecutive AF patients indicated for CA were included. Blood sampling was performed prior to CA. RNA was isolated from plasma using commercial kits. In the exploration phase, small RNA sequencing was performed in ten AF patients (five with and five without AF recurrence) using Illumina instrument. In the validation phase, levels of selected miRNAs were determined using quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) in all participants.

RESULTS

Altogether, 22 miRNAs were identified as altered between the groups by next-generation sequencing (using the DESeq2 algorithm). Using qRT-PCR, levels of the five most altered miRNAs (miR-190b/206/326/505-5p/1296-5p) were verified in the whole cohort. Plasma levels of hsa-miR-206 were significantly higher in patients with early (within 6 months) AF recurrence and showed an increase of risk recurrence,2.65 times by every increase in its level by 1 unit in the binary logistic regression.

CONCLUSION

We have identified a set of 22 plasmatic miRNAs that differ between the patients with and without AF recurrence after CA and confirmed hsa-miR-206 as a novel miRNA associated with early AF recurrence. Results shall be verified in a larger independent cohort.

Association of Preablation Plasma Corin Levels With Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Catheter Ablation: A Prospective Observational Study

BACKGROUND

We assessed the impact of pre- and postprocedural plasma corin levels on the recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) after catheter ablation (CA).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This prospective, single-center, observational study included patients undergoing their first CA of AF. Corin was measured before and 1 day after CA. The primary end point was recurrent AF between 3 and 12 months after ablation. From April 2019 through May 2021, we analyzed 616 patients with AF (59.09% men) with a mean age of 62.86±9.42 years. Overall, 153 patients (24.84%) experienced recurrent AF. In the recurrence group, the pre- and postprocedure corin concentrations were 539.14 (329.24-702.08) and 607.37 (364.50-753.80) pg/mL, respectively, which were significantly higher than the nonrecurrence group's respective concentrations of 369.05 (186.36-489.28) and 489.12 (315.66-629.05) pg/mL (both P<0.0001). A multivariate Cox regression analysis with confounders found that elevated preablation corin levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence after CA. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified that a preablation corin threshold of >494.85 pg/mL predicted AF recurrence at 1 year. An increase of 1 SD in corin concentrations before CA (264.94 pg/mL) increased the risk of recurrent AF by 54.3% after adjusting for confounding variables (hazard ratio, 1.465 [95% CI, 1.282-1.655]; P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma corin levels at baseline is a valuable predictor of AF recurrence after CA, independent of established conventional risk factors. Risk stratification before ablation for AF may be useful in selecting treatment regimens for patients.

Validation of the SCALE-CryoAF risk model to predict very late return of atrial fibrillation after cryoballoon ablation

BACKGROUND

To date, few risk models have been validated to predict recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) >1 year after ablation. The SCALE-CryoAF score was previously derived to predict very late return of AF (VLRAF) >1 year following cryoballoon ablation (CBA), with strong predictive ability. In this study, we aim to validate the SCALE-CryoAF score for VLRAF after CBA in a novel patient cohort.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained single-center database was performed. Inclusion criteria were pulmonary vein isolation using CBA 2017-2020. Exclusion criteria included prior ablation, <1-year follow-up, lack of pre-CBA echocardiogram, additional ablation lesion sets, and documented AF recurrence 90-365 days post-CBA. The area under the curve (AUC) of SCALE-CryoAF was compared to the derivation value and other established risk models.

RESULTS

Among 469 CBA performed, 241 (61% male, 62.8 ±11.7 years old) cases were included in analysis. There were 37 (15.4%) patients who developed VLRAF. Patients with VLRAF had a higher SCALE-CryoAF score (VLRAF 5.4 ± 2.7; no VLRAF 3.1 ± 2.9; p<0.001). SCALE-CryoAF was linearly associated with VLRAF (y=14.35x-11.72, R2=0.99), and a score > 5 had a 32.7% risk of VLRAF. The SCALE-CryoAF risk model predicted VLRAF with an AUC of 0.74, which was similar to the derivation value (AUCderivation: 0.73) and statistically superior to MB-LATER, CHA2DS2-VASc, and CHADS2 scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The current analysis validates the ability of SCALE-CryoAF to predict VLRAF after CBA in a novel patient cohort. Patients with a high SCALE-CryoAF score should be monitored closely for recurrent AF >1 year following CBA.

Incidental parasympathetic cardiac denervation during atrial fibrillation ablation using high power short duration: a marker of long-term success

BACKGROUND

There are multiple factors in both technique and substrate that lead to recurrence of atrial fibrillation after ablation. We sought to examine whether the degree of heart rate increase (HRI) caused by concurrent high-power-short-duration (HPSD) incidental parasympathetic denervation during AF ablation predicts long term success. Between December 2018 and December 2021, prospectively enrolled 214 patients who presented in sinus rhythm at AF ablation. Used 50 W of power and contact force (CF) of 5-15 g and 10-20 g at a flow rate of 40 mL/min on the anterior and posterior left atrial walls, respectively.

RESULTS

Males were 143 (66.8%) and paroxysmal was 124 (57.9%) patients. Mean age 61.1 ± 12.3 years and follow-up time was 32.8 ± 13.2 months. Arrhythmia occurred after 90 days in 39 (18.2%) patients, 19 (48.7%) from the paroxysmal and 20 (51.3%) from the persistent AF patients. Recurrence group showed a lower HRI from a mean of 57 ± 7.7 to 64.4 ± 10.4 bpm (12.3%) while in success group HRI was from 53.8 ± 9.7 to 66.8 ± 11.6 bpm [(24.2%) p = 0.04]. We divided HRI in 3 percentiles of ≤ 8%, > 8 ≤ 37% and > 37%. A predictor of recurrence was identified in those in the first (< 8%, p = 0.006) and a predictor of success in the later (> 37%, p = 0.01) HRI percentile.

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation ablation with HPSD incidental cardiac parasympathetic denervation identified that patients with lower heart rate increase are prone to recurrence while those with higher heart rate increase had higher maintenance of sinus rhythm at a long-term follow-up.

Low atrial natriuretic peptide to brain natriuretic peptide ratio is associated with left atrial remodeling

AIMS

Atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) deficiency is thought to be one of the causes of heart failure induced by atrial fibrillation (AF). Although ANP deficiency is thought to occur as a result of atrial remodeling, data to explain this mechanism are limited. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between ANP and left atrial remodeling or prognosis of heart failure in patients with AF ablation.

METHODS

In total, 373 consecutive patients who underwent initial ablation for persistent AF [age, 67 ± 10 years; female, 97 (26%)] were retrospectively enrolled. ANP and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured before the procedure and the ANP/BNP ratio was calculated. Left atrial volume index, left atrial appendage emptying velocity, and left atrial low-voltage areas (LVAs) were used as left atrial-remodeling parameters. The primary outcome of heart failure was defined as the composite of all-cause death or hospitalization due to worsening heart failure.

RESULTS

The median ANP level was 116 (71-178) pg/ml and the median ANP/BNP ratio was 0.65 (0.46-1.00). The ANP/BNP ratio decreased with increasing left atrial volume index or LVAs and with decreasing left atrial appendage emptying velocity. During the 5-year follow-up, freedom from the primary outcome was significantly lower in patients with ANP/BNP ratio ≤0.65 than in those with ANP/BNP ratio >0.65 (84.6% versus 95.6%, P  < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Secretion of ANP relative to BNP decreased with progression of left atrial remodeling in patients with AF ablation. Furthermore, prognosis of heart failure was poor in patients with a low ANP/BNP ratio.

Atrial cardiomyopathy: Diagnosis, clinical implications and unresolved issues in anticoagulation therapy

Atrial cardiomyopathy (AC) is an evolving pathophysiological entity that has expanded our understanding regarding the atrium and its role in arrhythmogenesis and cardiac thromboembolism. The pathological myocardium in AC promotes arrhythmogenesis through mechanical dysfunction (hypocontractility, fibrosis), adverse alterations of the endothelium and secretion of prothrombotic factors (IL-6, IL-8, TNF-a). 'Red flags', indicative of AC, can be recognized either non-invasively by electrocardiography, echocardiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging or invasively by high-density electroanatomical mapping as low bipolar voltage areas of the affected myocardium. Signs of AC have been strongly associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke, even embolic strokes of undetermined source, regardless of the coexistence of atrial fibrillation (AF). The underlying existence of AC has been negatively correlated with the success rate of catheter ablation of AF. The clinical value of AC is the provision of a novel pathway regarding the potential mechanisms of cerebrovascular events of cardiac thromboembolic origin. In addition, AC may serve as a risk stratification tool to predict the long-term responders of AF catheter ablation.

Left atrial strain for predicting recurrence in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: a single-center two-dimensional speckle tracking retrospective study

Background

Although catheter ablation (CA) is an effective treatment for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), a good many of patients still have a recurrence following post-operation. Prediction of AF recurrence by evaluating left atrial (LA) phase function with speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) may be helpful for risk stratification and clinical management for AF patients. Therefore, the current study aimed to assess the prognostic value of LA strains in non-valvular AF patients after CA.

Methods

A total of 95 non-valvular AF patients (70.5% paroxysmal AF, 56.8% males, mean age 63.2 ± 9.7 years) were included in this retrospective study between October 2019 and August 2020. Transthoracic echocardiography was performed in all the subjects and STE was used to analyze the LA reservoir strain (LASr), LA conduit strain (LAScd) and LA contractile strain (LASct) during different phases before CA. Patients were followed up with until January 2022. The endpoint was AF recurrence.

Results

Over a median follow-up period of 26.0 months (interquartile range, 24.7–26.7 months), 26 patients experienced recurrence and 69 stayed in sinus rhythm. Compared with no-recurrence group, maximum volume of LA (LAVmax), minimum volume of LA (LAVmin) and LA volume index (LAVI) were increased in the recurrence group, while LAEF, LASr and LASct were worsened (P < 0.05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that LASct was an independent predictor of AF recurrence (odds ratio, 0.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.82–0.97; P = 0.007) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed an area under the curve of LASct<8% was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.59–0.79; P = 0.0008).

Conclusions

LASct was of independent predictive value of AF recurrence. LA function assessed by STE may contribute to the risk stratification for AF patients and selection of suitable patients for CA.

Left atrial appendage flow velocity predicts recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

There is increasing evidence that left atrial appendage flow velocity (LAAFV) is linked to the recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) after catheter ablation (CA), suggesting the potential predictable significance of LAAFV in this setting. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess whether LAAFV is association with AF recurrence after CA.

Methods

Up to May 1, 2022, six databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and CINAHL) were searched for literature reporting the association between LAAFV and AF recurrence after CA. All statistical analyses were carried out using STATA version 16 software. Heterogeneity was determined by the Cochrane’s Q test and I² statistics. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to assess the methodological quality of each included study, and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) method was adopted to evaluate the quality of evidence.

Result

Sixteen studies with 5,006 AF patients after CA (1,479 patients with AF recurrence, 3,527 without AF recurrence) were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analysis of 15 studies (16 data sets) showed that patients with recurrence exhibited lower LAAFV values than those without recurrence [standardized mean difference (SMD): −0.65, 95% CI: −0.88 to −0.42, P < 0.01]. Moreover, we evaluated the association of LAAFV and the risk of AF recurrence after CA. Nine studies (11 data sets) defined LAAFV as continuous variables, and the pooled analysis suggested that for every 1 cm/s rise in LAAFV values, the risk of AF recurrence after CA decreased by 3% [Odds Ratio (OR): 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95 to 0.99, P < 0.01]. Seven studies defined LAAFV as categorical variables, and the pooled analysis showed that lower LAAFV were associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence after CA [OR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.46 to 3.57, P < 0.01]. The subgroup analyses showed that the association between LAAFV and AF recurrence after CA was not significantly affected by the AF type and ablation procedure. The NOS indicated that included studies were moderate to high quality, while the GRADE assessment suggested a low certainty of the evidence.

Conclusion

Lower LAAFV may be associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence after CA. Further studies with well designed and randomized studies for LAAFV should be conducted.

Systematic review registration

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/], identifier [CRD42022333627].

Clinical utility of left atrial strain in predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after catheter ablation: An up-to-date review

Rhythm control is the core part of the integrated management of atrial fibrillation (AF), especially in the early stages. Despite advances in catheter ablation (CA), the recurrence rate of AF after CA remains high. As a result, stratification and early management of AF recurrence after CA are critical. Currently, predictors of recurrence of AF after CA are mostly based on dysfunction caused by structural remodeling, apart from traditional risk factors. Atrial strain is a recently developed important parameter for detecting the deformability of atrial myocardium during the cardiac cycle prior to atrial remodeling. Although there is only preliminary evidence, atrial strain is still a promising parameter in predicting the recurrence of AF after CA at an early stage. This review focuses on the evaluation of atrial strain, the current applications of atrial strain in assessing atrial function, and predicting the recurrence of AF after CA. We summarize the contents related as follows: (1) CA for rhythm control in AF; (2) Evaluation methods of atrial strain; (3) Atrial strain in the remodeling and reverse remodeling of AF; and (4) Clinical applications of atrial strain in predicting the recurrence of AF after CA. Although there is accumulating evidence on the role of decreased atrial strain in the early prediction of AF recurrence, atrial strain is limited in clinical practice for lacking exact cut-off values and difficulty in distinguishing specific function phases of the atrium. More research is needed in the future to add strength to the early prediction value of atrial strain in AF recurrences.

Assessment of Left Atrial Structure and Function by Echocardiography in Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia with significant morbidity and mortality. Exacerbated by the aging population, the prevalence of AF is gradually increasing. Accurate evaluation of structure and function of left atrium (LA) has important prognostic significance in patients with AF. Echocardiography is the imaging technique of first choice to assess LA structure and function due to its better availability, accessibility and safety over cardiac computed tomography and cardiac magnetic resonance. Therefore, the aim of this review is to summarize the recent research progress of evaluating LA size by three-dimensional echocardiography and LA function by speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) in predicting the occurrence and recurrence of AF and determining the risk of stroke in AF. In addition, we summarized the role of traditional echocardiography in detecting AF patients that are at high risk of heart failure or cardiovascular death.

Effect of radiofrequency catheter ablation on left atrial structure and function in patients with different types of atrial fibrillation

Radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) is widely used to treat atrial fibrillation (AF), but its effect on left atrial (LA) remodeling in patients with AF is not completely clarified. Few studies have reported the changes in structure and function of the left atrium in patients with different types of AF after RFCA. To analyze the effect of RFCA on the LA structure and function in patients with nonvalvular paroxysmal AF, persistent AF and long-standing persistent AF (LSPAF). RFCA was performed in 180 patients with paroxysmal AF, persistent AF and LSPAF. The changes of LA structure and function in echocardiogram and speckle-tracking echocardiography findings were compared before the procedure, and at 1, 2, 3, 4 weeks, and 2, 3, 6, and 9–12 months after the procedure. There were 60 patients in the paroxysmal AF group, 60 in the persistent AF group and 60 patients in LSPAF group. The pre-procedure LA diameter and volume were smaller in the paroxysmal AF group than persistent AF and LSPAF group. There was no significant change of in the LA structure and function in the paroxysmal AF group within 1 year. In the persistent AF and LSPAF groups, LA structure (anteroposterior diameter, LA volume) significantly decreased, but remained larger than that in paroxysmal AF group. In persistent and LSPAF, function (LA ejection fraction, strain, strain rate) increased significantly within 1 week, then gradually increased. RFCA improved the LA structure and function and resulted in heart reverse remodeling, especially for persistent AF and LSPAF.

Three-Dimensional Echocardiography is a Feasible and Reproducible Method for the Measurement of Left Atrial Volumes, Regardless of Expertise Level

Aim: Left atrium (LA) assessment has gained significant interest in recent years because of its diagnostic and prognostic role in cardiovascular diseases. We aimed to assess the feasibility and reproducibility of three-dimensional echocardiography (3DE) versus two-dimensional echocardiography (2DE) for LA volumes (LAV) when measurements were performed by users with different levels of expertise in 3DE. Method:We prospectively recruited 35 consecutive patients referred to our echocardiography laboratory. Subjects underwent two separate 2DE and 3DE acquisitions of the LA in the same day by different users. Left atrial volumes were measured by the two users, who had similar levels of training in 2DE but different levels of training in 3DE - one advanced user and one beginner user. Results: Our results showed a good intra-observer reproducibility for 2DE (r=0.98) and an equally good reproducibility for 3DE LAVs when measured by the beginner user (r=0.97). Similarly, there was a good inter-observer reproducibility for the 2DE LAVs when measured by observers with similar levels of expertise in 2DE (r=0.98). However, similarly reproducible results were obtained for the 3DE LAVs when measured by users with significantly different levels of training in 3DE (r=0.98). Furthermore, there was a lower, yet acceptable (r>0.8), reproducibility for the 2DE LAVs when measured on separately acquired datasets by users who acquired the respective datasets, both with advanced level of training in 2DE. However, reproducibility was superior for 3DE LAVs when measured by the beginner and advanced users in 3DE (r=0.97). Conclusion: We conclude that 3DE is a technique that promises to improve patients' overall assessment, showing a good feasibility and better reproducibility than 2DE for the measurement of LAVs, regardless of level of training in the method.

Echocardiographic assessment of left atrial function for prediction of efficacy of catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation

Proper selection for catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) is still an issue. Echocardiographic assessment of left atrium (LA) is complex and challenging. Speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) with recent standardized LA deformation analysis allows for the quantitative assessment of various LA function parameters. We aimed to assess the value of detailed evaluations of LA function using STE in patients with non-valvular AF without structural heart disease to predict the outcomes after CA for AF. Secondary aim was to analyze the prediction of CA efficacy in patients with normal LA dimension in baseline echocardiography.We studied with transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiography 82 patients (58% males, mean age 57.3 ± 9.5 years) with non-valvular paroxysmal AF without structural heart disease scheduled for CA. Peak longitudinal LA strain (LAS) and strain rate (LASR) during the reservoir (r), conduit (cd) and contraction (ct) phases were measured by STE before the procedure. Patients were followed for 1 year using serial 4 to 7 day Holter ECG monitoring.Complete freedom from any AF recurrence was achieved in 44 (54%) patients. All patients had normal left ventricular systolic and diastolic function and 53 (65%) of them had not enlarged LA. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, global left atrial reservoir strain (LASr) was identified as an independent predictor of CA efficacy (OR [95% CI]: 1.35 [1.17-1.55], P < .0001). The opportunity of CA success was 135 fold higher for each 1% increase in global LASr.The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified global LASr and left atrial conduit strain (LAScd) as the most powerful parameters for predicting of CA outcome with an area under the curve of 0.896 and 0.860, respectively, in the whole study group, and 0.922 and 0.938, respectively, in patients with not enlarged LA.In patients with paroxysmal AF and normal standard echocardiographic assessment, parameters reflecting LA compliance - reservoir and conduit strain, are independent and strong predictors of CA outcome.

Minimum Left Atrial Volume Evaluated by 3D Echocardiography Predicts Atrial Fibrillation Recurrences After a First Radiofrequency Catheter Ablation for Paroxysmal Episodes

Background: Concomitant atrial fibrillation (AF) in non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients complicates the decision-making process regarding short- and long-term antithrombotic strategies. Patient profiles and usage rates of different antithrombotic combinations in this patient subgroup in Romania are poorly described. Study aim: To evaluate the relationship between LA dimensions and AF recurrences (AFR) using echocardiography. Methods: We enrolled 40 patients (56 ± 10 years; 73% males) who underwent a first RFCA for paroxysmal AF. Bi- (2DE) and three-dimensional (3DE) echocardiography was performed prior to RFCA and at 12-months follow-up. Rhythm control was monitored for up to two years after the intervention by periodic ECG Holter monitoring. Results: Atrial fibrillation recurrences were recorded in 21 patients (52%) in the first year after RCFA. The only predictor of outcome from pre-ablation LA parameters was 3DE minimum LAVi (p = 0.042), that explained 21.4% of AF recurrences in the first year, with a cut-off value of 21.29 mL/m². The mean 3DE min LAVi was 24.29 ± 8.01 mL/ m² and patients without AFR in the first year had a lower LAVi than those with AFR (20.92 ± 6.19 mL/m² vs. 27.25 ± 8.43 mL/m², p=0.028). One year after RFCA, a decrease in medio-lateral, superior-inferior diameters and volumes were recorded in AF free patients. Eleven patients (27%) had AF recurrences after the first year and LAV 12-months after RFCA were found to be predictors of long-term outcome, with minimum LAVi as the strongest predictor of recurrences (p=0.014), explaining 36% of episodes, with a cut-off over 22.49 mL/m². Conclusion:Radiofrequency ablation controls LA remodeling in patients with clinical success in terms of AF freedom. Left atrium 3DE volumetry is accurate in predicting RFCA outcome.

Predictors of recurrent atrial fibrillation following catheter ablation

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a complex and multi-factorial rhythm disorder. Catheter ablation is widely used for the management of AF. However, it is limited by relapse of the arrhythmia necessitating repeat procedures.

AREAS COVERED

This review aims to discuss the predictors of post-ablation recurrent AF including age, gender, genetic predisposition, AF type and duration, comorbidities, lifestyle factors, echocardiographic parameters of heart chambers, left atrial fibrosis and ablation strategies and targets. An extensive literature search was undertaken on PubMed and Google Scholar to obtain full texts of relevant AF-related articles.

EXPERT OPINION

Maintenance of stable sinus rhythm is the main intended outcome of AF ablation. Therefore, it is very crucial to identify the risk factors that may influence the ablation success. Most of these predictors such as comorbidities, ablation strategy and targets and lifestyle factors are either reversible or modifiable. Thus, not only the awareness of these known risk factors by both patients and their physicians but also future research to identify the unknown predictors are critical to optimize care in this multi-faceted morbidity.

Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation in Dependence of Left Atrial Volume Index

BACKGROUND/AIM

Despite advances in the treatment strategies of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), the risk of AF recurrences is still over 50%. An increased left atrial volume index (LAVI) reflects left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (DD) and deterioration of the LA function. This study aims to determine AF recurrence following cardioversion (CV) or catheter ablation for AF (pulmonary vein isolation; PVI) in dependence of DD and LAVI.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred and sixty-two patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF in whom either CV or PVI were performed were included and followed over a mean of 22.9±3.8 months. Recurrence was defined as any recurrence of AF that occurred 3 months following the procedure. DD and LAVI were assessed using transthoracic echocardiography (TTE).

RESULTS

Recurrent AF occurred in 100 (61.7%) patients, predominantly following CV [CV 41 (76.2%) vs. PVI 59 (54.6%), p<0.0001]. Both DD and an increased LAVI were more common in the recurrence-group [DD 46.0% vs. 14.5%, p=0.0001; LAVI (ml/m²) 49.0±18.6 vs. 26.3±7.0, p<0.0001]. ROC analysis revealed LAVI>36 ml/m² as cut-off (p<0.0001, AUC=0.92, 95%CI=0.87-0.97, sensitivity=76%, specificity=94%). In the multivariate analysis, DD (HR=1.6, 95%CI=1.3-2.1, p=0.04) and LA enlargement (defined as LAVI>36 ml/m² with HR=2.1, 95%CI=1.8-2.7, p<0.0001) could be identified as independent predictors of AF recurrence after attempting to control the heart rhythm.

CONCLUSION

LA enlargement and DD are independent risk factors associated with AF recurrence after initial successful rhythm control attempt. These findings have implications for timing of either ablation or CV.

Predicting recurrent atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: a systematic review of prognostic models

AIMS

We assessed the performance of modelsf (risk scores) for predicting recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients who have undergone catheter ablation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Systematic searches of bibliographic databases were conducted (November 2018). Studies were eligible for inclusion if they reported the development, validation, or impact assessment of a model for predicting AF recurrence after ablation. Model performance (discrimination and calibration) measures were extracted. The Prediction Study Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was used to assess risk of bias. Meta-analysis was not feasible due to clinical and methodological differences between studies, but c-statistics were presented in forest plots. Thirty-three studies developing or validating 13 models were included; eight studies compared two or more models. Common model variables were left atrial parameters, type of AF, and age. Model discriminatory ability was highly variable and no model had consistently poor or good performance. Most studies did not assess model calibration. The main risk of bias concern was the lack of internal validation which may have resulted in overly optimistic and/or biased model performance estimates. No model impact studies were identified.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review suggests that clinical risk prediction of AF after ablation has potential, but there remains a need for robust evaluation of risk factors and development of risk scores.

Predictors of Recurrence of AF in Patients After Radiofrequency Ablation

Catheter ablation is a well-known treatment for patients with AF. Despite the growing knowledge in the field, the identification of predictors of recurrence of AF after catheter ablation is one of the primary goals and is of major importance to improve long-term results of the procedure. The aim of this article is to provide an overview of what has been published in recent years and to summarise the major predictors, helping cardiac electrophysiologists in the selection of the right candidates for catheter ablation.

Novel Echocardiographic Biomarkers in the Management of Atrial Fibrillation

Purpose of Review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in adults. The number of patients with AF is anticipated to increase annually, mainly due to the aging population alongside improved arrhythmia detection. AF is associated with a significantly elevated risk of hospitalization, stroke, thromboembolism, heart failure, and all-cause mortality. Echocardiography is one of the key components of routine assessment and management of AF. Therefore, the aim of this review is to briefly summarize current knowledge on “novel” echocardiographic parameters that may be of value in the management of AF patients.

Recent Findings

Novel echocardiographic biomarkers and their clinical application related to the management of AF have been taken into consideration. Both standard parameters such as atrial size and volume but also novels like atrial strain and tissue Doppler techniques have been analyzed.

Summary

A number of novel echocardiographic parameters have been proven to enable early detection of left atrial dysfunction along with increased diagnosis accuracy. This concerns particularly experienced echocardiographers. Hence, these techniques might improve the prediction of stroke and thromboembolic events among AF patients and need to be further developed and disseminated. Nonetheless, even the standard imaging parameters could be of significant value and should not be discontinued in everyday clinical practice.

Value of dual Doppler echocardiography for prediction of atrial fibrillation recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation

Background

Increasing evidence has been presented which suggests that left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction may play an important role in the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the potential for LV diastolic dysfunction to serve as a predictor of AF recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation remains unresolved.

Methods

Dual Doppler and M-PW mode echocardiography were performed in 67 patients with AF before ablation and 47 patients with sinus rhythm. The parameters measured within identical cardiac cycles included, the time interval between the onset of early transmitral flow peak velocity (E) and that of early diastolic mitral annular velocity (e’) (TE-e’), the ratio of E to color M-mode Doppler flow propagation velocity (Vp)(E/Vp), the Tei index, the ratio of E and mitral annular septal (S) peak velocity in early diastolic E/e’(S) and the ratio of E and mitral annular lateral (L) peak velocity E/e’(L). A follow-up examination was performed 1 year after ablation and patients were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of AF recurrence. Risk estimations for AF recurrence were performed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression.

Results

TE-e’, E/Vp, the Tei index, E/e’(S) and E/e’(L) were all increased in AF patients as compared with the control group (p <  0.05). At the one-year follow-up examination, a recurrence of AF was observed in 21/67 (31.34%) patients. TE-e’ and the Tei index within the recurrence group were significantly increased as compared to the group without recurrence (p <  0.001). Results from multivariate analysis revealed that TE-e’ can provide an independent predictor for AF recurrence (p = 0.001).

Conclusions

Dual Doppler echocardiography can provide an effective and accurate technique for evaluating LV diastolic function within AF patients. The TE-e’ obtained within identical cardiac cycles can serve as an independent predictor for the recurrence of AF as determined at 1 year after ablation.