Potential of acetaminophen on the sublingual microcirculation and peripheral tissue perfusion of febrile septic patients: prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Acetaminophen (ACT) has been studied in septic patients with detectable plasmatic levels of cell-free hemoglobin (Hb), where it demonstrated to inhibit the hemoprotein-mediated lipid peroxidation and oxidative injury, with a potential of beneficial effect on the endothelium. On the basis of this background, the aim of this study was to evaluate the sublingual microcirculation and the peripheral tissue perfusion before-and-after administration of ACT on clinical judgment in a cohort of febrile septic and septic shock patients.

METHODS

Prospective observational study. 50 adult septic and septic shocks treated with ACT for pyrexia, where the sublingual microcirculation and the peripheral tissue perfusion with Near Infrared Spectroscopy (NIRS) and vascular occlusion test (VOT) were evaluated before ACT (t0), after 30 min (t1) and after 2 h (t2). Cell-free Hb and the markers of oxidative stress and endothelial damage were measured at t0 and t2.

RESULTS

The study showed a significant increase of the density of the perfused small and total vessels of the sublingual microcirculation 30 min after the infusion of ACT; it also showed an increase of the Microvascular Flow Index (MFI) and a decrease in the heterogeneity of the flow. At a peripheral muscular level, we found an acceleration in the reperfusion curve after VOT at t1, expression of a higher reactivity of the microvasculature.

CONCLUSIONS

ACT infusion did not show a clear correlation with cell-free Hb; however, it exhibited protective effect toward the microcirculation that was evident in particular in septic patients. This correlation merits further exploration.

How to Manage Endometriosis in Adolescence: The Endometriosis Treatment Italian Club Approach

The evaluation of endometriosis in an adolescent girl is a challenging topic. The initial stage of the disease and the limited diagnostic instrument appropriate for the youth age and for its typical features can reduce the ability of the gynecologist. At the same time, missing a prompt diagnosis can delay the beginning of specific and punctual management of endometriosis, which could avoid a postponed diagnosis from 6 to 12 years, typical of adolescent girls complaining of dysmenorrhea. This article aimed to answer all the potential questions around the diagnosis and management of endometriosis in adolescents starting from a clinical case looking at the possible solution that is easily reproducible in the clinical practice.

Motorized spiral enteroscopy: effectiveness when used for new indications

Background and study aims

Motorized spiral enteroscopy is proven to be effective in antegrade and retrograde enteroscopy. Nevertheless, little is known about its use in less common indications. The aim of this study was to identify new indications for the motorized spiral enteroscope.

Methods

Monocentric retrospective analysis of 115 patients who underwent enteroscopy using PSF-1 motorized spiral enteroscope between January 2020 and December 2022.

Results

A total of 115 patients underwent PSF-1 enteroscopy. 44 (38%) were antegrade procedures and 24 (21%) were retrograde procedures in patients with normal gastrointestinal anatomy with conventional enteroscopy indications. The remaining 47 (41%) patients underwent PSF-1 procedures for secondary less conventional indications: n=25 (22%) enteroscopy-assisted ERCP, n=8 (7%) endoscopy of the excluded stomach after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass, n=7 (6%) retrograde enteroscopy after previous incomplete conventional colonoscopy and n=7 (6%) antegrade panenteroscopy of the entire small bowel. In this group of secondary indications, technical success rate was significantly lower (72.5%) as compared to technical success rates in the conventional groups (98-100%, p<0.001 Chi-square). Minor adverse events occurred in 17/115 patients (15%), all treated conservatively (AGREE I and II).

Conclusion

This study demonstrates the capabilities of PSF-1 motorized spiral enteroscope for secondary indications. PSF-1 is useful to complete colonoscopy in case of long redundant colon, to reach the excluded stomach after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass, to perform unidirectional pan-enteroscopy and to perform ERCP in patients with surgically altered anatomy. However, technical success rates are lower as compared to conventional antegrade and retrograde enteroscopy procedures, with only minor adverse events.

Pharmacogenetics in critical care: association between CYP3A5 rs776746 A/G genotype and acetaminophen response in sepsis and septic shock

BACKGROUND

Pharmacogenetics could represent a further resource to understand the interindividual heterogeneity of response of the host to sepsis and to provide a personalized approach to the critical care patient.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of data from the prospective observational study NCT02750163, in 50 adult septic and septic shock patients treated with Acetaminophen (ACT) for pyrexia. We investigated the presence of two polymorphisms, located respectively in the genes UGT1A1 and CYP3A5, that encode for proteins related to the hepatic metabolism of ACT. The main dependent variables explored were plasmatic concentration of ACT, body temperature and hepatic parameters.

RESULTS

8% of the patients carried CYP3A5 rs776746 A/G genotypes and showed significantly higher plasma levels of ACT than GG wild type patients, and than patients with UGT1A1 rs8330 C/G genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Identifying specific genotypes of response to ACT may be helpful to guide a more personalized titration of therapy in sepsis and septic shock. CYP3A5 might be a good biomarker for ACT metabolism; however further studies are needed to confirm this result.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02750163.

Clinical Features and Management of Umbilical Endometriosis: A 30 Years' Monocentric Retrospective Study

INTRODUCTION

Umbilical endometriosis (UE) is defined as the presence of endometrial-like tissue within the umbilicus and represents around 0.5-1% of all cases of endometriosis. UE is classified into primary or secondary UE. In this retrospective study, we aimed to assess symptoms, signs, recurrence rate of treated lesions, psychological wellbeing and health-related quality of life in women with UE.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all cases of women diagnosed with UE in the period 1990-2021 in our center. Post-operative recurrence of UE was considered as the reappearance of the umbilical endometriotic lesion, or as the recurrence of local symptoms in the absence of a well-defined anatomical recurrence of the umbilical lesion. Moreover, participants were invited to fill in standardized questionnaires on their health conditions.

RESULTS

A total of 55 women with histologically proven UE were assessed in our center during the study period. At time of diagnosis, local catamenial pain and swelling were reported by 51% and 53.2% of women, respectively. A total of 46.8% of women reported catamenial umbilical bleeding. Concomitant non-umbilical endometriosis was identified in 66% of cases. As regards the treatment of UE, 83.6% of women underwent an en-bloc excision with histological confirmation of UE. During the follow-up period, 37 women (67.3%) agreed to undergo a re-evaluation. Recurrence of either umbilical symptoms, or umbilical nodule, was observed in 27% of patients, 11% of which did not receive post-operative hormonal therapy. Specifically, a recurrence of the umbilical endometriotic lesion was observed only in two women. Among the 37 women which we were able to contact for follow-up, 83.8% were satisfied with the treatment they had received.

CONCLUSIONS

The high rate of patient satisfaction confirmed that surgical excision should be considered the gold standard treatment for umbilical endometriosis. Future studies should investigate the role of post-operative hormonal therapy, particularly in reducing the risk of symptom recurrence.

Sexual violence in adult women and adolescents: a narrative review

Sexual violence is a widespread phenomenon, as it has been estimated that about 35.6% of women have experienced some forms of sexual abuse, with variable prevalence estimates worldwide. Sexual violence has remarkable negative consequences on women's health and quality of life, with a specific harmful impact on women's psychological well-being and sexuality. In this narrative review, we provide an overview on the phenomenon of sexual violence against adult women and adolescents, discussing its associated multiple negative consequences with a specific focus on clinical and sexological aspects. ''Women centered care'' and a multidisciplinary approach appear of pivotal importance when working with sexual violence survivors. Woman should be engaged in all the clinical activities as equal partners in the decision-making process, and should be supported by multiple and different professional figures (i.e. gynecologists, psychologists, sexologists, forensic medical doctors, lawyers) working within the framework of a cooperative integrated model.

Microvascular dysfunction in pediatric patients with SARS-COV-2 pneumonia: Report of three severe cases

The coronavirus 19 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected hundreds of millions of people worldwide: in most of cases children and young people developed asymptomatic or pauci-symptomatic clinical pictures. However authors have showed that there are some categories of childhood more vulnerable to COVID-19 infection such as newborns or children with comorbidities. We report for the first time to the best of our knowledge about microvascular dysfunction in three pediatric clinical cases who developed COVID-19 infections with need of pediatric critical care. We found that sublingual microcirculation is altered in children with severe COVID-19 infection.

Our findings confirmed most of data already observed by other authors in adult population affected by severe COVID-19 infection, but with distinct characteristics than microcirculation alterations previous observed in a clinical case of MIS-C.

However we cannot establish direct correlation between microcirculation analysis and clinical or laboratory parameters in our series, by our experience we have found that sublingual microcirculation analysis allow clinicians to report directly about microcirculation dysfunction in COVID-19 patients and it could be a valuable bedside technique to monitor thrombosis complication in this population.

Impact of endometriosis on obstetric outcome after natural conception: a multicenter Italian study

Purpose

To evaluate obstetric outcome in women with endometriosis who conceive naturally and receive standard obstetric care in Italy.

Methods

Cases were consecutive women with endometriosis managed in eleven Italian referral centers. Controls were women in whom endometriosis was excluded. All women filled in a questionnaire addressing previous natural pregnancies. Marginal logistic regression models were fitted to evaluate the impact of endometriosis on obstetric outcome. A post hoc analysis was performed within the endometriosis group comparing women with severe adenomyosis versus women with absent or mild adenomyosis.

Results

Three hundred and fifty-five pregnancies in endometriosis group and 741 pregnancies in control group were included. Women with endometriosis had a higher risk of preterm delivery < 34 weeks (6.4% vs 2.8%, OR 2.42, 95% CI 1.22–4.82), preterm delivery < 37 weeks (17.8% vs 9.7%, OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.23–3.19), and neonatal admission to Intensive Care Unit (14.1% vs 7.0%, OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.23–3.36). At post hoc analysis, women with endometriosis and severe adenomyosis had an increased risk of placenta previa (23.1% vs 1.8%, OR 16.68, 95% CI 3.49–79.71), cesarean delivery (84.6% vs 38.9%, OR 8.03, 95% CI 1.69–38.25) and preterm delivery < 34 weeks (23.1% vs 5.7%, OR 5.52, 95% CI 1.38–22.09).

Conclusion

Women with endometriosis who conceive naturally have increased risk of preterm delivery and neonatal admission to intensive care unit. When severe adenomyosis is coexistent with endometriosis, women may be at increased risk of placenta previa and cesarean delivery.

Trial registration

Clinical trial registration number: NCT03354793.

Dienogest vs GnRH agonists as postoperative therapy after laparoscopic eradication of deep infiltrating endometriosis with bowel and parametrial surgery: a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

The recurrence of deep infiltrating endometriosis (DIE) after its surgical excision is a big problem: postoperative treatment is crucial.

OBJECTIVE

To compare two postoperative treatments: Dienogest and GnRH agonists.

DESIGN

Prospective Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT).

PATIENTS

146 women submitted to laparoscopic eradication of DIE with bowel and parametrial surgery.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomized into two groups. Group A (n = 81) received Triptorelin or Leuprorelin 3.75 mg every 4 weeks for 6 months. Group B (n = 65) received Dienogest 2 mg/day for at least 6 months. A first interview made after six months valued compliance to therapy, treatment tolerability, pain improvement, and side effects. A second interview at 30 ± 6 months valued pain relapse, imaging relapse, and pregnancy rate.

MAIN OUTCOMES

The primary outcome was to demonstrate the non-inferiority of Dienogest about the reduction in pain recurrence. Secondary outcomes were differences in terms of treatment tolerability, side effects, imaging relapse rate, and pregnancy rate.

RESULTS

Both Dienogest and GnRH agonists were associated with a highly significant reduction of pain at 6 and 30 months, without any significant difference (p < .001). About treatment tolerability, a more satisfactory profile was reported with Dienogest (p = .026). No difference in terms of clinical relapse, imaging relapse, and live births was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Dienogest has proven to be as effective as GnRH agonists in preventing recurrence of DIE and associated pelvic pain after surgery. Also, it is better tolerated by patients.

Tocilizumab in COVID-19 interstitial pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Published reports on tocilizumab in COVID-19 pneumonitis show conflicting results due to weak designs or heterogeneity in critical methodological issues.

METHODS

This open-label trial, structured according to Simon's optimal design, aims to identify factors predicting which patients could benefit from anti-IL6 strategies and to enhance the design of unequivocal and reliable future randomized trials. A total of 46 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia needing of oxygen therapy to maintain SO2 > 93% and with recent worsening of lung function received a single infusion of tocilizumab. Clinical and biological markers were measured to test their predictive values. Primary end point was early and sustained clinical response.

RESULTS

Twenty-one patients fulfilled pre-defined response criteria. Lower levels of IL-6 at 24 h after tocilizumab infusion (P = 0.049) and higher baseline values of PaO2/FiO2 (P = 0.008) predicted a favourable response.

CONCLUSIONS

Objective clinical response rate overcame the pre-defined threshold of 30%. Efficacy of tocilizumab to improve respiratory function in patients selected according to our inclusion criteria warrants investigations in randomized trials.

The Italian coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak: recommendations from clinical practice

Novel coronavirus 2019 is a single-stranded, ribonucleic acid virus that has led to an international pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019. Clinical data from the Chinese outbreak have been reported, but experiences and recommendations from clinical practice during the Italian outbreak have not. We report the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak on regional and national healthcare infrastructure. We also report on recommendations based on clinical experiences of managing patients throughout Italy. In particular, we describe key elements of clinical management, including: safe oxygen therapy; airway management; personal protective equipment; and non-technical aspects of caring for patients diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019. Only through planning, training and team working will clinicians and healthcare systems be best placed to deal with the many complex implications of this new pandemic.

An autonomous medical monitoring system: Validation on arrhythmia detection

In this paper, we present a generic platform for autonomous medical monitoring and diagnostics. We validated the platform in the context of arrhythmia detection with publicly available databases. The big advantage of this platform is its capacity to deal with various types of physiological signals. Many pre-processing steps are performed to bring the input information into a uniform state that will be explored by a machine learning algorithm. Since this block plays a crucial role in the entire processing pipeline, three different methods were evaluated for detection and classification of anomalies. The results presented in this work are validated on cardiac beats, where the highest accuracy was obtained on the classification of normal beats (94%). On the other hand, atrial fibrillation and premature ventricular contraction beats were classified with an accuracy of 78%.

Resveratrol Requires Red Wine Polyphenols for Optimum Antioxidant Activity

OBJECTIVE

There is substantial evidence that a diet rich in fruit and vegetables may reduce the risk of aging and stress oxidative associated diseases. It has been suggested that benefits associated with fruit and red wine consumption could be due to pooled antioxidant microcomponents in diet. The aim of this study was to investigate the antioxidant activities of pure resveratrol (a well known phytoalexin, RSV) and red wine polyphenols (RWP), using UV-B radiated isolated rat hepatocytes as a model of oxidative stress.

METHODS

Rat hepatocytes were isolated by the collagenase method. The cells were loaded with resveratrol and/or polyphenols at different concentrations. The production of thiobarbituric acid reactive substances (TBARS) released by UV-B radiated cells and the levels of lipid-soluble antioxidants (Dolichol, Vitamin E, Coenzyme Q9 and Q10) were measured.

RESULTS

Resveratrol had pro-oxidant or antioxidant effects depending on (lower or higher) dosage. RWP protection from photolipoperoxidation was dose-dependent and increased with dosage. Combination of the two compounds exhibited synergistic antioxidant effect, and made resveratrol effective both at lower and higher dosages.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that resveratrol requires red wine polyphenols for optimum antioxidant activity.

Epidemiology and clinical outcome of Healthcare-Associated Infections: a 4-year experience of an Italian ICU

BACKGROUND

Due to their impact on the outcome, hospital-acquired infections (HAIs) in ICUs represent a critical issue of patients' assistance. This study describes microbiological and clinical findings of a surveillance program covering 4 years in an Italian ICU.

METHODS

Patients staying for >48 hours were prospectively followed until discharge or death. For each patient, infections after admissions, duration of device exposure and causal pathogens were noted. A multivariable logistic regression analysis concerning ICU mortality was made.

RESULTS

Incidence density rates were 23.14 VAPs, 6.6 CLABSIs and 5.45 CAUTIs (per 1000 device-days) with an increase in yearly rates during the study period (P<0.001). Use of invasive devices was significantly longer among infected patients (P<0.001, for each), whose proportion was higher among medical admissions (P=0.009). The most frequent source of infection was the lung (78%), followed by bloodstream (23%). MSSA was the most frequently isolated pathogen (26%) but Gram-negatives were found in 86.1% of infected patients, with a high degree of resistance to carbapenems (27.5% for Klebsiella pneumoniae). APACHE score, immunosuppression, duration of mechanical ventilation, surgical admission and abdominal infections were independent predictors of ICU mortality (P<0.001; P<0.001; P=0.006; P=0.027; P=0.006, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our infection rates are higher than those reported by other studies. The use of devices and a medical admission share a significant relationship with infection presence. A greater degree of organ failure and the development of an abdominal sepsis are risk factors for mortality.

A multi-contrast MRI study of microstructural brain damage in patients with mild cognitive impairment

Objectives

The aim of this study was to investigate pathological mechanisms underlying brain tissue alterations in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) using multi-contrast 3 T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

Methods

Forty-two MCI patients and 77 healthy controls (HC) underwent T1/T2* relaxometry as well as Magnetization Transfer (MT) MRI. Between-groups comparisons in MRI metrics were performed using permutation-based tests. Using MRI data, a generalized linear model (GLM) was computed to predict clinical performance and a support-vector machine (SVM) classification was used to classify MCI and HC subjects.

Results

Multi-parametric MRI data showed microstructural brain alterations in MCI patients vs HC that might be interpreted as: (i) a broad loss of myelin/cellular proteins and tissue microstructure in the hippocampus (p ≤ 0.01) and global white matter (p < 0.05); and (ii) iron accumulation in the pallidus nucleus (p ≤ 0.05). MRI metrics accurately predicted memory and executive performances in patients (p ≤ 0.005). SVM classification reached an accuracy of 75% to separate MCI and HC, and performed best using both volumes and T1/T2*/MT metrics.

Conclusion

Multi-contrast MRI appears to be a promising approach to infer pathophysiological mechanisms leading to brain tissue alterations in MCI. Likewise, parametric MRI data provide powerful correlates of cognitive deficits and improve automatic disease classification based on morphometric features.

•

Forty-two MCI patients and 77 HC underwent multi-contrast quantitative MRI.

•

MCI patients showed T1/T2* increase and MTR decrease in the hippocampus.

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MCI patients exhibited T1 increase in WM and T2* decrease in the pallidus.

•

MRI metrics accurately predicted memory and executive function in patients.

•

SVM classified MCI patients with 75% accuracy using volumetric/parametric MRI.

Hyaluronan derivatives bearing variable densities of ferulic acid residues

A synthetic procedure has been developed to conjugate ferulic acid (FA) to an important natural polysaccharide derivative such as hyaluronic acid (HA). The activation of FA with 1,1'-carbonyldiimidazole (CDI) has been investigated. Two reactive intermediates, namely monoimidazolide 2 [i.e. (E)-3-(4-hydroxy-3-methoxyphenyl)-1-(1H-imidazol-1-yl)prop-2-en-1-one] and bisimidazolide 3 [i.e. (E)-4-(3-(1H-imidazol-1-yl)-3-oxoprop-1-enyl)-2-methoxyphenyl 1H-imidazole-1-carboxylate] were characterized from the point of view of their structure and reactivity. The ready isolation of bisimidazolide 3 and its reactivity support its potential usefulness in the feruloylation of molecular or macromolecular materials bearing hydroxyl moieties. Bisimidazolide derivative 3 has been found to be an effective reagent in the feruloylation of HA to give HAFA graft copolymers showing different grafting degrees (GD), which could be modulated by varying the reaction conditions. A series of HAFA derivatives showing different GD values has been prepared and submitted to an extensive macromolecular and rheological characterization in order to ascertain that the grafting of HA with FA does not degrade the polysaccharide backbone and to evaluate the role of GD in affecting solubility and rheological properties. The results suggested that relatively low GD values were sufficient to confer physical cross-linking capabilities resulting in the features of a strong gel of HAFA dispersions.

The evolution of personality in patients with mild cognitive impairment

AIMS

To describe personality traits and their changes in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and control subjects.

METHODS

Sixty-three MCI and 90 control subjects were asked to describe their current personality traits by the Structured Interview for the Five-Factor Model (SIFFM). For each subject, a close relative retrospectively assessed these descriptions both as to the previous and current personality traits, using the Revised NEO Personality Inventory, Form R (NEO-PI-R).

RESULTS

Self-assessed MCI subjects reported significantly lower scores in the openness dimension than control subjects [F(1, 150) = 9.84, p = 0.002, ηp(2) = 0.06]. In current observer ratings, MCI subjects had higher scores on neuroticism [F(1, 137) = 7.55, p = 0.007, ηp(2) = 0.05] and lower ones on extraversion [F(1, 137) = 6.40, p = 0.013, ηp(2) = 0.04], openness [F(1, 137) = 9.93, p = 0.002, ηp(2) = 0.07], agreeableness [F(1, 137) = 10.18, p = 0.002, ηp(2) = 0.07] and conscientiousness [F(1, 137) = 25.96, p < 0.001, ηp(2) = 0.16]. Previous personality traits discriminated the groups as previous openness [odds ratio (OR) = 0.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.95-0.99, p = 0.014] and conscientiousness (OR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.98, p = 0.001) were negatively related to MCI group membership. In MCI subjects, conscientiousness [F(1, 137) = 19.20, p < 0.001, ηp(2) = 0.12] and extraversion [F(1, 137) = 22.27, p < 0.001, ηp(2) = 0.14] decreased between previous and current evaluations and neuroticism increased [F(1, 137) = 22.23, p < 0.001, ηp(2) = 0.14], whereas no significant change was found in control subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

MCI subjects undergo significant personality changes. Thus, personality assessment may aid the early detection of dementia.

Personality traits and behavioural and psychological symptoms in patients with mild cognitive impairment

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both personality changes and behavioural and psychological symptoms (BPS) may be associated with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in later life and help identify incipient dementia. We wished to investigate the links between personality and BPS in MCI.

METHOD

We studied premorbid personality traits as estimated 5 years back and their changes in 83 control subjects and 52 MCI patients using the revised NEO Personality Inventory for the Five-Factor Model completed by a proxy. Information on BPS was obtained using the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI). Analyses were controlled for current depression and anxiety.

RESULTS

Premorbid neuroticism and openness to experience were associated with the total NPI score. The changes in neuroticism, extraversion, openness to experiences, and conscientiousness were associated with apathy and affective symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

Personality changes and BPS occur in MCI. The occurrence of affective BPS and apathy is associated with both premorbid personality traits and their changes.

Bridging supply and demand: relationship between cocaine seizures and prevalence estimates of consumption

OBJECTIVES

Drug supply and demand indicators have mainly been analysed without triangulating information on environmental drug availability and consumption. This study proposes an approach to analyse the prevalence of illicit drug consumption together with indirect indicators of drug supply.

STUDY DESIGN

Ecological study correlating cocaine seizure data and consumption prevalence estimates at local level, using Italian provinces as the unit of analysis.

METHODS

The amount of cocaine seized in proportion to the number of potential consumers was computed at Italian provincial level from the 2005 database of the Italian Central Directorate for Anti-Drug Services. Indicators of consumption prevalence, at provincial level, in 15-16-year-old students from the 2005 European School Survey Project on Alcohol and Other Drugs (ESPAD) and 15-54-year-old respondents from the 2005 Italian Population Survey on Alcohol and Drugs (IPSAD) were correlated with the population-adjusted amount of total seizures and seizures of different sizes. ESPAD data were also regressed on seizure data after controlling for the prediction accrued by socio-economic variables that might cause covariation of seizure and consumption prevalence data. Regression-predicted prevalence values were computed and correlated with the ESPAD prevalence data for the following year.

RESULTS

There was a weak general correlation between the population-adjusted total seizure and IPSAD prevalence indicators, but not ESPAD prevalence indicators. In contrast, ESPAD data were more strongly correlated with small seizures. The regression model yielded significant variance in prevalence data (18% and 23% in small and large provinces, respectively) explained by small seizures, and this remained after removing the percentage of variance explained by socio-economic factors and (particularly) education level. A moderate correlation was found between seizure-based predicted values of consumption prevalence and ESPAD values for the following year.

CONCLUSIONS

Associating prevalence estimates in adolescents and cocaine seizure data at local level, after 'purifying' the data from trafficking- and wholesale-related large seizures, may represent a starting point for a geo-referenced, seizure-based analysis of initiation into cocaine consumption. This approach may support the collaboration between enforcement and health systems, helping to establish empirical regularities to be translated into useful information for local planners of drug prevention policies in areas at greater risk of increasing incidence.