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Sung BYC, Tang EHM, Bedford L, Wong CKH, Tse ETY, Yu EYT, Cheung BMY, Lam CLK. Change in framingham cardiovascular disease risk between 2003 and 2014 in the hong kong population health survey. Eur Heart J 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.2477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
The Framingham Risk model estimates a person's 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
Purpose
We aimed to calculate the change in sex-age specific Framingham CVD risk in the Hong Kong Population Health Survey (PHS) 2014/15 in comparison with the survey in 2003–05 (PHS2003/2004 & Heart Health Survey (HHS) 2004/2005).
Methods
Subjects aged 30–74 years from PHS2014/15 (n=1,662, n=4,445,869 after population weighing) and PHS2003/2004 & HHS2004/2005 (n=818, n=3,495,074 after population weighing) with complete data for the calculation of Framingham CVD predicted risk were included. The sex-specific CVD risks of participants were calculated based on their age, total cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein, mean systolic blood pressure, smoking habits, diabetic status, and treatment for hypertension. The mean sex-age specific CVD risks were then calculated, and the differences in CVD risk between the two surveys were analysed using ANOVA.
Results
There was no significant difference in 10-year CVD risks between the 2003–2005 and 2014/15 study populations (10.2% vs. 10.6%, p=0.29). After adjusting to a standard population (US Census 2000), the age-standardized CVD risk was lower in 2014–2015 than in 2003–05 (10.0% vs. 10.7%, p=0.017). More participants aged 65–74 were classified as high risk during 2003/04 (PHS2003/2004 & HHS2004/2005: 66.8% vs. PHS2014/15: 53.1%, p=0.026). This might be due to the decrease in the proportion of smokers among men (2003–2005: 30.5% vs. 24.0% in 2014–15, p<0.001).
Conclusions
Between 2003/04 and 2014/15, there was a small decrease in age-standardized 10-year CVD risk, which might be related to the reduction in smoking. However, more effort in targeting multiple CVD risk factors simultaneously is needed to achieve a greater reduction in CVD risk.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Affiliation(s)
- B Y C Sung
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - E H M Tang
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - L Bedford
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - C K H Wong
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - E T Y Tse
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - E Y T Yu
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | | | - C L K Lam
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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