Risk stratifier for sudden cardiac death beyond the left ventricular ejection fraction in Chagas cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk markers are needed in Chagas cardiomyopathy (CC). Action potential duration restitution (APDR) dynamics is capable of extracting information on cardiac regional heterogeneity. This study intends to develop a patient-specific variables-based algorithm to predict SCD in the low-intermediate subgroups of the Rassi risk score.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study of patients who underwent 24-h Holter for research purposes between January 1992 and February 2017. From 4-h ECG segment, RR series were generated and APDR dynamics metrics were calculated. Classification tree and sensitivity analysis were applied. As outcomes, SCD, SCD-free and non-cardiovascular death and 34 variables were included.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-one (129 in the group SCD-free, 80 in the SCD group and 12 non-cardiovascular death group) were analyzed. In the groups with and without SCD (209 patients), the median age was 66 years, 52% were female, the cardiac involvement was mild to moderate in 72% with a Rassi point median of 8 (IQ: 3 to 11). The SCD group had more ventricular remodeling and more ventricular electrical instability. The occurrence of a %beats QTend/TendQ ratio > 1 (AUC, 0.96 (95% CI 0.89-0.98) present in more than 56.7% of the 4-h ECG segments was sufficient to identify patients of the SCD subgroup. Variables representing different stages of CC were also relevant in the model.

CONCLUSION

It is possible to use APDR dynamics as an adjuvant in the SCD risk assessment in a subgroup of patients with a high risk of SCD and a very low risk of non-CV death with high power of discrimination.

Diet Quality of patients with chronic Chagas disease in a tertiary hospital: a case-control study

INTRODUCTION

Nutritional status has been implicated in the modulation of the immune response, possibly augmenting the pathogenesis of Chagas disease (Cd). We evaluated diet quality and nutritional status in adults and elderly patients with chronic Cd in a tertiary hospital.

METHODS

A case-control study of Cd patients was conducted, paired for gender, age, and co-morbidities with non-Cd patients. Anthropometric measurements and food frequency questionnaire was used, and diet quality was assessed by the Brazilian Healthy Eating Index-Revised (BHEI-R). The Estimated Average Requirement cut-off points were used to determine the dietary micronutrient adequacy. The Cd group was further grouped according to Los Andes classification.

RESULTS

The study participants were 67 ± 10 years old, 73.6% elderly and 63% female. The prevalence of overweight/obesity and abdominal fat was high in both groups; however, Cd group showed a lower prevalence of obesity and increased risk of disease according to waist circumference classification. There was no difference in BHEI-R score between groups (p=0.145). The Cd group had sodium and saturated fat intake above recommendations and low intake of unsaturated fat, vitamin D, E, selenium, magnesium, and dairy products; but higher intake of iron. According to Los Andes classification, group III presented lower intake of whole fruit and dietary fiber.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with Cd were overweight and the quality of their diet was unsatisfactory based on the recommended diet components for age and sex.

Dysautonomy in different death risk groups (Rassi score) in patients with Chagas heart disease

BACKGROUND

It has been difficult to prove that "catecholamine-induced cardiomyopathy" contributes to the mechanism of sudden cardiac death in Chagas heart disease. Also, it is almost impossible to rule out the possibility that it is not involved in the process. More importantly, the vagal-cholinergic pathway in the ventricle plays a direct role in the prevention of the initiation of complex ventricular arrhythmias, including nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, ventricular fibrillation responsible for sudden death.

OBJECTIVE

To determine frequency of parasympathetic autonomic indices among the different groups of risk of cardiovascular death when stratified by Rassi score.

METHODS

Patients with Chagas heart disease were selected and divided into three risk groups by Rassi score. A fourth group, non-Chagas group, was of similar age and gender. All were subjected to analysis of heart rate variability during controlled breathing (RSA) and tilt table passive test (tilt test). High frequency and low frequency/high frequency ratio were calculated and presented by box-plot. Also, t-test was used to compare the two groups.

RESULTS

It was observed that the parasympathetic and sympathetic component were affected, when the risk group increased the response was worsened to the stimulus (RSA or Tilt). Also, the low-risk group was jeopardized, when compared to the non-Chagas group.

CONCLUSION

The loss of parasympathetic modulation was present in all Rassi risk groups, including the low risk, indicating that a morphological change of the myocardium represents a detectable neurofunctional change.

Additional value of anaerobic threshold in a general mortality prediction model in a urban patient cohort with Chagas cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Anaerobic threshold (AT) is recognized as objective and direct measurement that reflects variations in metabolism of skeletal muscles during exercise. Its prognostic value in heart diseases of non-chagasic etiology is well established. However, the assessment of risk of death in Chagas heart disease is relatively well established by Rassi score. But, the added value that AT can bring to Rassi score has not been studied yet.

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether AT presents additional effect to Rassi score in patients with chronic Chagas' heart disease.

METHODS

Prospective research of dynamic cohort by review of 150 medical records of patients. Were selected for cohort 45 medical records of patients who underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing between 1996-1997 and followed until September 2015. Data analysis to detect association between studied variables can be seen using a logistic regression model. The suitability of the models was verified using ROC curves and the coefficient of determination R².

RESULTS

8 patients (17.78%) died by September 2015, with 7 of them (87.5%) from cardiovascular causes, of which 4 (57.14%) were considered on high risk by Rassi score. With Rassi score as independent variable, and death being the outcome, we obtained an area under the curve (AUC)=0.711, with R²=0.214. Instituting AT as independent variable, we found AUC=0.706, with R²=0.078. When we define Rassi score and AT as independent variables, it was obtained AUC=0.800 and R²=0.263.

CONCLUSION

when AT is included in logistic regression, it increases by 5% the explanation (R²) to the death estimation.

Frequency of Cardiovascular Involvement in Familial Amyloidotic Polyneuropathy in Brazilian Patients

Background

Familial amyloidotic polyneuropathy (FAP) is a rare disease diagnosed in Brazil and worldwide. The frequency of cardiovascular involvement in Brazilian FAP patients is unknown.

Objective

Detect the frequency of cardiovascular involvement and correlate the cardiovascular findings with the modified polyneuropathy disability (PND) score.

Methods

In a national reference center, 51 patients were evaluated with clinical examination, electrocardiography (ECG), echocardiography (ECHO), and 24-hour Holter. Patients were classified according to the modified PND score and divided into groups: PND 0, PND I, PND II, and PND > II (which included PND IIIa, IIIb, and IV). We chose the classification tree as the statistical method to analyze the association between findings in cardiac tests with the neurological classification (PND).

Results

ECG abnormalities were present in almost 2/3 of the FAP patients, whereas ECHO abnormalities occurred in around 1/3 of them. All patients with abnormal ECHO also had abnormal ECG, but the opposite did not apply. The classification tree identified ECG and ECHO as relevant variables (p < 0.001 and p = 0.08, respectively). The probability of a patient to be allocated to the PND 0 group when having a normal ECG was over 80%. When both ECG and ECHO were abnormal, this probability was null.

Conclusions

Brazilian patients with FAP have frequent ECG abnormalities. ECG is an appropriate test to discriminate asymptomatic carriers of the mutation from those who develop the disease, whereas ECHO contributes to this discrimination.

Assessment of myocardial infarction by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and long-term mortality

BACKGROUND

Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging provides detailed anatomical information on infarction. However, few studies have investigated the association of these data with mortality after acute myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVE

To study the association between data regarding infarct size and anatomy, as obtained from cardiac magnetic resonance imaging after acute myocardial infarction, and long-term mortality.

METHODS

A total of 1959 reports of "infarct size" were identified in 7119 cardiac magnetic resonance imaging studies, of which 420 had clinical and laboratory confirmation of previous myocardial infarction. The variables studied were the classic risk factors - left ventricular ejection fraction, categorized ventricular function, and location of acute myocardial infarction. Infarct size and acute myocardial infarction extent and transmurality were analyzed alone and together, using the variable named "MET-AMI". The statistical analysis was carried out using the elastic net regularization, with the Cox model and survival trees.

RESULTS

The mean age was 62.3 ± 12 years, and 77.3% were males. During the mean follow-up of 6.4 ± 2.9 years, there were 76 deaths (18.1%). Serum creatinine, diabetes mellitus and previous myocardial infarction were independently associated with mortality. Age was the main explanatory factor. The cardiac magnetic resonance imaging variables independently associated with mortality were transmurality of acute myocardial infarction (p = 0.047), ventricular dysfunction (p = 0.0005) and infarcted size (p = 0.0005); the latter was the main explanatory variable for ischemic heart disease death. The MET-AMI variable was the most strongly associated with risk of ischemic heart disease death (HR: 16.04; 95%CI: 2.64-97.5; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

The anatomical data of infarction, obtained from cardiac magnetic resonance imaging after acute myocardial infarction, were independently associated with long-term mortality, especially for ischemic heart disease death.

Relationship between fibrosis and ventricular arrhythmias in Chagas heart disease without ventricular dysfunction

Background

Patients with Chagas disease and segmental wall motion abnormality (SWMA) have worse prognosis independent of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is currently the best method to detect SWMA and to assess fibrosis.

Objective

To quantify fibrosis by using late gadolinium enhancement CMR in patients with Chagas disease and preserved or minimally impaired ventricular function (> 45%), and to detect patterns of dependence between fibrosis, SWMA and LVEF in the presence of ventricular arrhythmia.

Methods

Electrocardiogram, treadmill exercise test, Holter and CMR were carried out in 61 patients, who were divided into three groups as follows: (1) normal electrocardiogram and CMR without SWMA; (2) abnormal electrocardiogram and CMR without SWMA; (3) CMR with SWMA independently of electrocardiogram.

Results

The number of patients with ventricular arrhythmia in relation to the total of patients, the percentage of fibrosis, and the LVEF were, respectively: Group 1, 4/26, 0.74% and 74.34%; Group 2, 4/16, 3.96% and 68.5%; and Group 3, 11/19, 14.07% and 55.59%. Ventricular arrhythmia was found in 31.1% of the patients. Those with and without ventricular arrhythmia had mean LVEF of 59.87% and 70.18%, respectively, and fibrosis percentage of 11.03% and 3.01%, respectively. Of the variables SWMA, groups, age, LVEF and fibrosis, only the latter was significant for the presence of ventricular arrhythmia, with a cutoff point of 11.78% for fibrosis mass (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Even in patients with Chagas disease and preserved or minimally impaired ventricular function, electrical instability can be present. Regarding the presence of ventricular arrhythmia, fibrosis is the most important variable, its amount being proportional to the complexity of the groups.

Autonomic dysfunction and anti-M2 and anti-β1 receptor antibodies in Chagas disease patients

BACKGROUND

Sudden death is the leading cause of death in Chagas' disease, affecting patients even in the early stages of the disease. The impairment of the autonomic nervous system in this disease has been recognized, as well as its potential as a trigger for malignant arrhythmias when associated with structural or metabolic changes.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to identify, in Chagas patients with preserved systolic function, the impairment of the autonomic nervous system and its association with functionally active anti-m2 and anti-β1 receptor antibodies.

METHODS

Using spectral analysis of RR variability during passive tilt test, chronic chagasic patients were compared with healthy controls matched for age. Subsequently, the association of autonomic dysfunction with functionally active antibodies with anti-m2 and anti-β1 action was investigated by the Langendorf method.

RESULTS

We observed that patients with Chagas disease without ventricular dysfunction express parasympathetic activity against a vagal stimulus, however with less intensity compared to controls. Chagasic patients with anti-m2 or anti-β1 antibodies showed a further significant reduction of the vagal response during respiratory sinus arrhythmia, regardless of the presence of structural lesion. However, the association of both factors promoted response to vagal stimulation similar to that seen in Chagas disease without their presence.

CONCLUSION

The lower vagal reserve in Chagas patients with preserved function was associated with functionally active anti-m2 or anti-β1 antibodies, and not with the presence of structural heart lesion.

Estudo dinâmico da mortalidade por tuberculose no Estado de São Paulo, Brasil: uma abordagem bayesiana

Neste trabalho, utilizamos a técnica bayesiana de modelos lineares dinâmicos para estudar a dinâmica da mortalidade por tuberculose (TB) no Estado de São Paulo, Brasil. O estudo confirma os resultados empíricos da literatura, que indicam o decaimento da mortalidade para esse estado na última década. Este trabalho também indica um crescimento no número de óbitos a partir de 2005. A análise das duas causas básicas com maior ocorrência revelou que tal aumento é em razão da coinfecção HIV/TB. Previsões para os próximos dois anos foram realizadas, dando poucas evidências para sustentar a continuidade de tendência decrescente do número de óbitos por TB.

[Regional left ventricular dysfunction and its association with complex ventricular arrhythmia, in chagasic patients with normal or borderline electrocardiogram]

INTRODUCTION

Sudden death is the major cause of death among chagasic patients. A significant number of fatal events in patients without apparent heart disease and borderline electrocardiogram, but with contractile ventricular dysfunction, have been documented. This work aimed to determine the association between regional dysfunction and the presence of ventricular arrhythmia in chagasic patients without apparent heart disease.

METHODS

Forty-nine patients with normal or borderline electrocardiogram were submitted to echocardiogram, exercise stress test and Holter. The presence of cardiac contractile alterations and complex ventricular arrhythmia was analyzed. Statistic analysis used the general Log-Linear model.

RESULTS

Mean age 56 years-old; 55% women. Regional ventricular dysfunction was verified in 24.5% of patients; positive Holter in 12% and exercise stress test in 18%. An association between complex ventricular arrhythmia and contractile abnormalities in the presence of mild left ventricle dysfunction was verified.

CONCLUSIONS

Regional contractile abnormalities with mild left ventricle dysfunction in Chagasic patients indicate a group with higher risk of complex ventricular arrhythmias, who require specific follow-up.

[Chronic Chagas disease patients with sinus node dysfunction: is the presence of IgG antibodies with muscarinic agonist action independent of left ventricular dysfunction?]

Studies have shown that muscarinic agonist IgG antibodies from Chagas disease patients alter the electrical activity of cardiac cells in vitro. Others have considered their presence, along with sinus node dysfunction, to be consequences of progressive cardiac lesions. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between these antibodies and sinus node and left ventricular dysfunction in 65 chronic Chagas disease patients. These patients were divided into group I, composed of 31 patients with sinus node dysfunction, and group II, composed of the patients without this syndrome. Data analysis using the log linear model showed interdependence between sinus node dysfunction and the antibodies (p = 0.0021) and between nodal and ventricular dysfunction (p = 0.0005). However, no relationship was found between the antibodies and ventricular function. Age and sex did not influence any other variables. The chronic Chagas disease patients with sinus node dysfunction had higher prevalence of muscarinic agonist antibodies, independent of the presence of myocardial dysfunction.

Usando redes neurais artificiais e regressão logística na predição da Hepatite A

Este trabalho desenvolve um sistema para predição da soroprevalência da Hepatite A. Para isto, são considerados os modelos de regressão de logística e redes neurais artificiais. O desempenho de tais modelos é medido através da taxa de classificação incorreta em uma amostra do município de Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro, que possui elevada prevalência da doença. Resultados mostram que o modelo neural, aplicado sobre a informação relevante extraída do modelo de regressão logística, apresenta um bom desempenho, alcançando uma eficiência de classificação geral acima de 88%.