Utility of illness severity scores to predict mortality in patients hospitalized with respiratory deterioration of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

In the context of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), respiratory-related admissions to hospital are associated with a high morbidity and short-term mortality with significant burden on secondary care services. It has yet to be determined how to accurately identify patients at risk of acute respiratory deterioration (ARD) or the prognosticating factors.

AIM

We sought to define the characteristics of hospitalized ARD-IPF patients in a real-world cohort and investigate factors associated with worse outcomes. Specifically, we wished to determine the association between baseline CURB-65 and NEWS-2 and mortality in IPF, given illness severity scores have not previously been validated in this cohort.

METHODS

Single-centre retrospective observational cohort study.

RESULTS

Of 172 first hospitalizations for ARD, 27 admissions (15.7%) were due to an acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF), 28 (16.3%) secondary to cardiac failure/fluid overload and 17 due to pneumonia (9.9%). Other admissions related to lower respiratory tract infection, extra-parenchymal causes and those without a specific trigger. Baseline patient characteristics were comparable for all underlying aetiologies of ARD-IPF. Treatment pathways did not differ significantly between AE-IPF and other causes of ARD-IPF. Short-term mortality was high, with ∼22% patients dying within 30 days. Illness severity scores (NEWS-2 and CURB-65) were independent predictors of mortality in multivariable logistic regression modelling.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest significant mortality related to hospitalization with ARD-IPF of any underlying cause. Our data support the use of CURB-65 and NEWS-2 scores as illness severity scores that can provide a simple tool to help future prognostication in IPF. Research should be aimed at refining the management of these episodes, to try to reduce mortality, where possible, or to facilitate palliative care for those with adverse prognostic characteristics.

Clinical features, microbiology and surgical outcomes of infective endocarditis: a 13-year study from a UK tertiary cardiothoracic referral centre

BACKGROUND

Infective endocarditis (IE) causes substantial morbidity and mortality. Patient and pathogen profiles, as well as microbiological and operative strategies, continue to evolve. The impact of these changes requires evaluation to inform optimum management and identify individuals at high risk of early mortality.

AIM

Identification of clinical and microbiological features, and surgical outcomes, among patients presenting to a UK tertiary cardiothoracic centre for surgical management of IE between 1998 and 2010.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational cohort study.

METHODS

Clinical, biochemical, microbiological and echocardiographic data were identified from clinical records. Principal outcomes were all-cause 28-day mortality and duration of post-operative admission.

RESULTS

Patients (n = 336) were predominantly male (75.0%); median age 52 years (IQR = 41-67). Most cases involved the aortic (56.0%) or mitral (53.9%) valves. Microbiological diagnoses, obtained in 288 (85.7%) patients, included streptococci (45.2%); staphylococci (34.5%); Haemophilus, Actinobacillus, Cardiobacterium, Eikenella, Kingella (HACEK) organisms (3.0%); and fungi (1.8%); 11.3% had polymicrobial infection. Valve replacement in 308 (91.7%) patients included mechanical prostheses (69.8%), xenografts (24.0%) and homografts (6.2%). Early mortality was 12.2%, but fell progressively during the study (P = 0.02), as did median duration of post-operative admission (33.5 to 10.5 days; P = 0.0003). Multivariable analysis showed previous cardiothoracic surgery (OR = 3.85, P = 0.03), neutrophil count (OR = 2.27, P = 0.05), albumin (OR = 0.94, P = 0.04) and urea (OR = 2.63, P < 0.001) predicted early mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates reduced post-operative early mortality and duration of hospital admission for IE patients over the past 13 years. Biomarkers (previous cardiothoracic surgery, neutrophil count, albumin and urea), predictive of early post-operative mortality, require prospective evaluation to refine algorithms, further improve outcomes and reduce healthcare costs associated with IE.

A prospective study of early removal of the urethral catheter after colorectal surgery in patients having epidural analgesia as part of the Enhanced Recovery After Surgery programme

AIM

Early removal of the urethral catheters is part of the enhanced postoperative recovery programme (ERAS). The effect of epidural anaesthesia on urinary retention was investigated in patients after colorectal resection.

METHOD

A prospective cohort study of all patients having colorectal surgery within an ERAS programme that included insertion of an epidural catheter over the last 5 years.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and ten patients had an epidural and a urethral catheter postoperatively. The duration of catheterization was not recorded in one patient who was therefore excluded from the study. One-hundred and eighteen patients had a trial without catheter (TWOC) prior to stopping the epidural (early TWOC). Ninety-one patients had TWOC after the epidural was stopped (late TWOC). Sixteen (7.6%) patients went into urinary retention (14 early TWOC and two late TWOC). The rate of urinary retention in the early TWOC group was significantly higher than that in the late TWOC group (11.9% vs 2.2%; χ(2), P = 0.009). Those who underwent a laparoscopic resection were significantly more likely to have undergone an early TWOC (χ(2), P = 0.001); however, there was no difference in retention rates between open and laparoscopic surgery (χ(2), P = 0.402). Pelvic surgery was not significantly associated with an increased risk of postoperative urinary retention (χ(2), P = 0.627). Male sex was not significantly associated with urinary retention (χ(2), P = 0.087). In the early TWOC group 86% had the catheter removed within 24 hours of surgery.

CONCLUSION

Early TWOC with epidural analgesia running significantly increases the risk of urinary retention; however, it was still successful in 88% of patients.

The effects of PspC on complement-mediated immunity to Streptococcus pneumoniae vary with strain background and capsular serotype

Streptococcus pneumoniae may evade complement activity by binding of factor H (FH), a negative regulator of the alternative pathway, to the surface protein PspC. However, existing data on the effects of FH binding to PspC on complement activity are conflicting, and there is also considerable allelic variation in PspC structure between S. pneumoniae strains that may influence PspC-dependent effects on complement. We have investigated interactions with complement for several S. pneumoniae strains in which the gene encoding PspC has been deleted. The degree of FH binding varied between strains and was entirely dependent on PspC for seven strains. Data obtained with TIGR4 strains expressing different capsular serotypes suggest that FH binding is affected by capsular serotype. Results of immunoblot analysis for C3 degradation products and iC3b deposition assays suggested that FH bound to PspC retained functional activity, but loss of PspC had strikingly varied effects on C3b/iC3b deposition on S. pneumoniae, with large increases on serotype 4, 6A, 6B, and 9V strains but only small increases or even decreases on serotype 2, 3, 17, and 23F strains. Repeating C3b/iC3b assays with TIGR4 strains expressing different capsular serotypes suggested that differences in the effect of PspC on C3b/iC3b deposition were largely independent of capsular serotype and depend on strain background. However, data obtained from infection in complement-deficient mice demonstrated that differences between strains in the effects of PspC on complement surprisingly did not influence the development of septicemia.

Serological evidence of arboviral infections among humans of coastal Kenya

A serosurvey was conducted during September 1987 for evidence of human arboviral infections in the Coast Province of Kenya. Sera were collected from 1624 outpatients at three hospitals and tested for antibody to eight arboviruses by the indirect immunofluorescent antibody technique. Antibody prevalence rates were: Rift Valley fever, 2.8%; Sindbis, 2.6%; dugbe, 2.1%; dengue-2, 1.0%; West Nile, 0.9%; chikungunya, 0.7% and Nairobi sheep disease, 0.3%. Evidence of Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever viral antibody was not detected. The data suggested low arbovirus activity since 1982, when an epidemic of dengue occurred in this region, and revealed the first evidence of dugbe viral infection among humans in Kenya.