Associations Between Metabolic Syndrome and Long-Term Mortality in Patients who underwent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: An Australian Cohort Analysis

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) provides significant risk for coronary disease, however long-term prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has been understudied. We assessed the prevalence and outcomes of patients with MetS from an Australian PCI cohort. We retrospectively examined data from the Melbourne Interventional Group multicenter PCI registry using a modified definition for MetS including ≥3 of the following: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and body mass index ≥30 kg/m2. Thirty-day outcomes and long-term mortality were compared with patients without MetS. Cox regression methods were used to assess the multivariable effect of MetS on long-term mortality. Of 41,146 patients, 12,228 (34%) had MetS. Patients with MetS experienced greater 30-day myocardial infarction (2.2% vs 1.8%, p = 0.013), whereas patients without MetS had a trend for greater 30-day mortality (3.0% vs 3.4%, p = 0.051) and greater in-hospital major bleeding (1.7% vs 2.4%, p <0.001). After a median follow-up of 5.62 years (Q1 2.03, Q3 8.89), patients with MetS experienced greater mortality (24% vs 19%, p <0.001). After adjustment, MetS was not an independent predictor of long-term mortality (hazard ratio 0.95 confidence interval 0.86 to 1.05, p = 0.35). In sensitivity analyses, MetS-Diabetic patients had the highest, and MetS-NonDiabetic obese patients had the lowest long-term mortality. One in 3 patients who underwent all-comer PCI presented with MetS and experienced greater long-term mortality compared with others. However, this association was lost after adjustment for baseline confounders, highlighting that MetS is a marker of risk after PCI. Our findings support the obesity paradox and confirm robust associations between diabetes mellitus and long-term mortality.

Pragmatic randomized controlled trials: strengthening the concept through a robust international collaborative network: PRIME-9-Pragmatic Research and Innovation through Multinational Experimentation

In an era focused on value-based healthcare, the quality of healthcare and resource allocation should be underpinned by empirical evidence. Pragmatic clinical trials (pRCTs) are essential in this endeavor, providing randomized controlled trial (RCT) insights that encapsulate real-world effects of interventions. The rising popularity of pRCTs can be attributed to their ability to mirror real-world practices, accommodate larger sample sizes, and provide cost advantages over traditional RCTs. By harmonizing efficacy with effectiveness, pRCTs assist decision-makers in prioritizing interventions that have a substantial public health impact and align with the tenets of value-based health care. An international network for pRCT provides several advantages, including larger and diverse patient populations, access to a broader range of healthcare settings, sharing knowledge and expertise, and overcoming ethical and regulatory barriers. The hypothesis and study design of pRCT answers the decision-maker's questions. pRCT compares clinically relevant alternative interventions, recruits participants from diverse practice settings, and collects data on various health outcomes. They are scarce because the medical products industry typically does not fund pRCT. Prioritizing these studies by expanding the infrastructure to conduct clinical research within the healthcare delivery system and increasing public and private funding for these studies will be necessary to facilitate pRCTs. These changes require more clinical and health policy decision-makers in clinical research priority setting, infrastructure development, and funding. This paper presents a comprehensive overview of pRCTs, emphasizing their importance in evidence-based medicine and the advantages of an international collaborative network for their execution. It details the development of PRIME-9, an international initiative across nine countries to advance pRCTs, and explores various statistical approaches for these trials. The paper underscores the need to overcome current challenges, such as funding limitations and infrastructural constraints, to leverage the full potential of pRCTs in optimizing healthcare quality and resource utilization.

Association between ambient temperature and stroke risk in high-risk populations: a systematic review

Background

Significant associations exist between ambient temperature and stroke risk, but results in high cardiovascular risk populations are lacking. This systemic review summarised current evidence on ambient temperature and overall stroke risk in a high cardiovascular risk population.

Methods

We performed a systematic literature search across MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Web of Science, and GEOBASE, from inception to 3 July 2023, to identify all population-based studies. Eligible studies screened by independent reviewers recruited individuals aged 18 years and over, where minimum 80% of participants had a high cerebral vascular disease (CVD) risk profile. The primary outcomes are stroke morbidity and mortality, while the secondary outcomes are morbidity and mortality of ischaemic stroke (IS), intracranial cerebral haemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid haemorrhage (SH).

Results

The database searches identified 9,025 articles. After removing duplicates, 7,647 articles were screened in title and abstract to identify 380 articles for full-text screening. After the full-text screening of 380 articles by two independent reviewers, 23 articles were included in the review.

Conclusion

The evidence for an association between ambient temperature and stroke incidence is that lower temperatures were more likely to increase morbidity and mortality risk of both haemorrhagic and ischaemic stroke in older people. Conversely, higher ambient temperature is significantly associated with intracranial haemorrhage risk, but decreased risk with IS. Higher and lower ambient temperatures consistently increase stroke risks in patients with comorbidities of congestive heart failure and dyslipidaemia. This evidence implies the need to establish clinical guidelines for preventive intervention in patients with high stroke risks during extreme ambient temperatures.

Early vs. Late Readmission following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Predictors and Impact on Long-Term Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Readmissions within 1 year after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are common (18.6-50.4% in international series) and a burden to patients and health services, however their long-term implications are not well characterised. We compared predictors of 30-day (early) and 31-day to 1-year (late) unplanned readmission and the impact of unplanned readmission on long-term clinical outcomes post-PCI.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in the GenesisCare Cardiovascular Outcomes Registry (GCOR-PCI) from 2008 to 2020 were included in the study. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of early and late unplanned readmission. A Cox proportion hazards regression model was used to explore the impact of any unplanned readmission during the first year post-PCI on the clinical outcomes at 3 years. Finally, patients with early and late unplanned readmission were compared to determine which group was at the highest risk of adverse long-term outcomes.

RESULTS

The study comprised 16,911 consecutively enrolled patients who underwent PCI between 2009-2020. Of these, 1422 patients (8.5%) experienced unplanned readmission within 1-year post-PCI. Overall, the mean age was 68.9 ± 10.5 years, 76.4% were male and 45.9% presented with acute coronary syndromes. Predictors of unplanned readmission included increasing age, female gender, previous CABG, renal impairment and PCI for acute coronary syndromes. Unplanned readmission within 1 year of PCI was associated with an increased risk of MACE (adjusted HR 1.84 (1.42-2.37), p < 0.001) and death over a 3-year follow-up (adjusted HR 1.864 (1.34-2.59), p < 0.001) compared with those without readmission within 1-year post-PCI. Late compared with early unplanned readmission within the first year of PCI was more frequently associated with subsequent unplanned readmission, MACE and death between 1 and 3 years post-PCI.

CONCLUSIONS

Unplanned readmissions in the first year following PCI, particularly those occurring more than 30 days after discharge, were associated with a significantly higher risk of adverse outcomes, such as MACE and death at 3 years. Strategies to identify patients at high risk of readmission and interventions to reduce their greater risk of adverse events should be implemented post-PCI.

Fundamental Neurochemistry Review: GABAA receptor neurotransmission and epilepsy: Principles, disease mechanisms and pharmacotherapy

Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder associated with alterations of excitation-inhibition balance within brain neuronal networks. GABA_A receptor neurotransmission is the most prevalent form of inhibitory neurotransmission and is strongly implicated in both the pathophysiology and treatment of epilepsy, serving as a primary target for antiseizure medications for over a century. It is now established that GABA exerts a multifaceted influence through an array of GABA_A receptor subtypes that extends far beyond simply negating excitatory activity. As the role of GABA_A neurotransmission within inhibitory circuits is elaborated, this will enable the development of precision therapies that correct the network dysfunction underlying epileptic pathology.

Long-Term Outcomes of Contemporary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with the Xience Drug-Eluting Stent: Results from a Multicentre Australian Registry

Introduction: Several large registries have evaluated outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the USA, however there are no contemporary data regarding long-term outcomes after PCI, particularly comparing new generation drug-eluting stents (DES) with other stents in Australia. Additionally, approval of new-generation drug-eluting stents (DES) is almost exclusively based on non-inferiority trials comparing outcomes with early generation DES, and there are limited data comparing safety and efficacy outcomes of new-generation DES with bare metal stents (BMS). This study reports in-hospital and long-term outcomes after PCI with the Xience DES from a large national registry, the GenesisCare Outcomes Registry (GCOR). Methods: The first 1500 patients consecutively enrolled from January 2015 to January 2019 and treated exclusively with either Xience DES or BMS and eligible for 1-year follow-up were included. Baseline patient and procedural data, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in-hospital, at 30 days and 1-year, and medications were reported and analysed with respect to Xience DES (n = 1000) or BMS (n = 500) use. Results: In this cohort the mean age was 68.4 ± 10.7 years, 76.9% were male, 24.6% had diabetes mellitus and 45.9% presented with acute coronary syndromes. Of the overall cohort of 4765 patients from this period including all DES types, and patients who received multiple DES or a combination of DES and BMS, DES were exclusively used in 3621 (76.0%) patients, and BMS were exclusively used in 596 (12.5%). In comparison to international cohorts, adverse clinical event rates were low at 30 days in terms of mortality (0.20%), target lesion revascularisation (TLR, 0.27%) and MACE (0.47%), and at 12 months for mortality (1.26%) TLR (1.16%) and MACE (1.78%). Conclusions: Clinical practice and long-term outcomes of PCI with the Xience DES in Australia are consistent with international series. Recent trends indicate DES use has increased in parallel with good outcomes despite an increasingly complex patient and lesion cohort.

FRAILTY AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE EVENTS IN COMMUNITY-DWELLING HEALTHY OLDER ADULTS

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with adverse outcomes, but whether it independently increases cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk requires clarification.

METHODS

This study examined the association between frailty in a cohort with no previous CVD events and subsequent CVD outcomes in 19,114 community-dwelling older people from the ASPREE trial. Frailty was assessed using the modified Fried phenotype, comprising weakness, exhaustion, low body mass index (BMI), slowness and low physical activity, and a deficit accumulation frailty index (FI) of 66 items. CVD event was defined as a composite of CVD death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke and hospitalization for heart failure.

Results

Over a median 4.7-years of follow-up (interquartile range: 3.6 to 5.7 years), pre-frail/frail participants were more likely to develop CVD events (Hazard ratio (HR): 1.33; 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.16, 1.53 for pre-frail and HR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.19, 2.38 for frail participants) according to Fried phenotype. Subtypes of CVD (fatal/non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization) similarly increased HRs except fatal or non-fatal stroke. These effect sizes were more prominent when frailty was assessed using the FI than that assessed by Fried phenotype.

CONCLUSION

Pre-frail and frail participants were at significantly increased risk of developing CVD and its sub-types (particularly fatal/non-fatal myocardial infarction and hospitalization for heart failure). Addressing pre-frailty and frailty in older people could contribute to CVD prevention strategies.

AntiPORT: adaptation of a transfusion prediction score to an Australian cardiac surgery population

Introduction: Risk scoring systems exist to predict perioperative blood transfusion risk in cardiac surgery, but none have been validated in the Australian or New Zealand population. The ACTA-PORT score was developed in the United Kingdom for this purpose. In this study, we validate and recalibrate the ACTA-PORT score in a large national database. Methods: We performed a retrospective validation study using data from the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons Database between 1 September 2016 and 31 December 2018. The ACTA-PORT score was calculated using an equivalent of EuroSCORE I. Discrimination and calibration was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves, Brier scores, and calibration plots. ACTA-PORT was then recalibrated in a development set using logistic regression and the outcome of transfusion to develop new predicted transfusion rates, termed "AntiPORT", using AusSCORE "all procedures" as the regional equivalent of EuroSCORE I. The accuracy of these new predictions was assessed as for ACTA-PORT. Results: 30 388 patients were included in the study at 37 Australian centres. The rate of red blood cell transfusion was 33%. Discrimination of ACTA-PORT was good but calibration was poor, with overprediction of transfusion (AUROC curve, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.75-0.76; Brier score, 0.19). The recalibrated AntiPORT showed significantly improved calibration in both development and validation sets without compromising discrimination (AUROC curve, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.75-0.76; Brier score, 0.18). Conclusions: The AntiPORT is the first red cell transfusion risk scoring system for cardiac surgery patients to be validated using Australian data. It is accurate and simple to calculate. The demonstrated accuracy of AntiPORT may help facilitate benchmarking and future research in patient blood management, as well as providing a useful tool to help clinicians target these resource-saving strategies.

Associations between DAPT score and long-term mortality post PCI

Introduction

The dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) score was developed to identify patients more likely to derive benefit (score ≥2) or harm (score &lt;2) from DAPT beyond 1-year post PCI. There is no study which looked at the DAPT score and long term outcomes post PCI in Australia.

Purpose

We sought to examine long-term mortality after PCI by the DAPT score in patients treated with DAPT per local guidelines.

Methods

We examined data from the MIG PCI database from 2005 to 2018 in whom the DAPT score could be derived and grouped them as score ≥2 or &lt;2. Long-term mortality was assessed from National Death Index linkage. The primary endpoint was long-term mortality examined using survival analysis. Secondary endpoints included 30-day ischaemic outcomes and in-hospital major bleeding.

Results

Out of 27,740 patients in the study, 9,401 (33.9%) had DAPT score ≥2. They were younger and included more females and higher prevalence of renal impairment. DAPT score ≥2 patients had higher in-hospital major bleeding, 30-day mortality, MI and target vessel revascularisation. DAPT score ≥2 patients had lower long-term survival to 12 years (p&lt;0.001 for all).

Conclusion

A third of all-comer PCI patients had DAPT score ≥2 with greater short-term risk of ischaemic and bleeding outcomes, as well as long-term mortality. Theoretically, those with DAPT score ≥2 would benefit from longer duration of DAPT as ischaemic risk outweighs bleeding risk. However, given our finding of increased short-term bleeding risk and long-term mortality, dynamic bleeding risk assessment should be undertaken to guide pharmacotherapy strategies.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Oncolytic Adenoviruses: The Cold War against Cancer Finally Turns Hot

Oncolytic viruses, colloquially referred to as "living drugs", amplify themselves and the therapeutic transgenes that they carry to stimulate an immune response both locally and systemically. Remarkable exceptions aside, such as the recent 14-patient trial with the PD-1 inhibitor, dostarlimab, in mismatch repair (MMR) deficient rectal cancer, where the complete response rate was 100%, checkpoint inhibitors are not cure-alls, which suggests the need for a combination partner like oncolytic viruses to prime and augment their activity. This review focuses on adenoviruses, the most clinically investigated of all the oncolytic viruses. It covers specific design features of clinical adenoviral candidates and highlights their potential both alone and in combination with checkpoint inhibitors in clinical trials to turn immunologically "cold" and unresponsive tumors into "hotter" and more responsive ones through a domino effect. Finally, a "mix-and-match" combination of therapies based on the paradigm of the cancer-immunity cycle is proposed to augment the immune responses of oncolytic adenoviruses.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

1005 HEALTH-RELATED QUALITY OF LIFE AND FUTURE RISK OF HEALTH OUTCOMES AMONG OLDER ADULTS LIVING IN AUSTRALIA AND THE UNITED STATES

Introduction

Poor health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is associated with higher morbidity and mortality in patient populations. However, whether HRQoL is associated with health outcomes among community-dwelling older people requires further investigation. This study aimed to examine whether HRQoL predicts cognitive decline, dementia, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality in community-dwelling older people living in Australia and the United States.

Method

A cohort of 19,106 individuals from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study, aged 65–98 years, initially free of dementia or CVD, and who completed the HRQoL 12-item short form (SF-12, version-2) at baseline (2010–2014), were followed until June 2017. The physical (PCS) and mental component scores (MCS) of SF-12 were generated using standardized norm-based method.

Results

Over a median of 4.7 years, there were 2,412 cognitive declines, 574 dementia, 922 incident CVD events, and 1,052 deaths. Using Cox proportional-hazard regression adjusted for a range of covariates, every 10-unit increase in PCS was associated with a 6% lower risk of cognitive decline, a 14% lower risk of incident CVD, and 17% lower risk of all-cause mortality, but was not associated with incident dementia. In contrast, higher MCS was only associated with a 12% and 15% lower risk of cognitive decline and dementia, respectively. Findings did not differ by sex.

Conclusion

Our study provides some of the first evidence that HRQoL can be used in combination with clinical data to identify the future risks of health outcomes among older individuals living in the community. Our findings support the decision of the Australian Commission on Safety and Quality in Health Care to incorporate the SF-12 into the annual Patient-Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs assessment.

Temporal Changes in Pollen Concentration Predict Short-Term Clinical Outcomes in Acute Coronary Syndromes

Background Atmospheric changes in pollen concentration may affect human health by triggering various allergic processes. We sought to assess if changes in pollen concentrations were associated with different acute coronary syndrome (ACS) subtype presentations and short-term clinical outcomes. Methods and Results We analyzed data in consecutive patients presenting with ACS (unstable angina, non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction) treated with percutaneous coronary intervention between January 2014 and December 2017 and enrolled in the VCOR (Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry). Baseline characteristics were compared among patients exposed to different grass and total pollen concentrations. The primary outcome was occurrence of ACS subtypes and 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, target vessel revascularization, or stroke). Of 15 379 patients, 7122 (46.3%) presented with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, 6781 (44.1%) with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and 1476 (9.6%) with unstable angina. The mean age was 62.5 years, with men comprising 76% of patients. No association was observed between daily or seasonal grass and total pollen concentrations with the frequency of ACS subtype presentation. However, grass and total pollen concentrations in the preceding days (2-day average for grass pollen and 7-day average for total pollen) correlated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.17 [95% CI, 1.12-4.21]; P=0.021 and OR, 2.78 [95% CI, 1.00-7.74]; P=0.05), respectively, with a trend of 2-day grass pollen for 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (OR, 1.50 [95% CI, 0.97-2.32]; P=0.066). Conclusions Increased pollen concentrations were not associated with differential ACS subtype presentation but were significantly related to in-hospital mortality following percutaneous coronary intervention, underscoring a potential biologic link between pollen exposure and clinical outcomes.

Long-Term Outcomes of Unprotected Left Main Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Centers Without Onsite Cardiac Surgery

Unprotected left main (LM) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at centers without onsite cardiac surgery remains controversial. We aimed to evaluate the effect of onsite cardiac surgery on short-term and long-term outcomes in patients who had unprotected LM PCI. We analyzed Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry data on consecutive patients who had unprotected LM PCI at cardiac surgical centers (SCs) and non-SCs (NSCs) between January 2014 to December 2018. Compared with the SC group (n = 594, 81%), the NSC group (n = 136) were younger (69 vs 72 years) and presented with more ST-elevation myocardial infarction (35% vs 16%) and cardiogenic shock (25% vs 15%), with higher rates of preprocedural intubation (17% vs 11%) and mechanical circulatory support (20% vs 9.3%), all p <0.01. Unadjusted in-hospital mortality (23% vs 11.4%), and 30-day major adverse cardiac events (composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, or unplanned revascularization) (26% vs 16%) were higher in NSC patients, all p <0.01. However, following multivariable adjustment, SC was neither a predictor of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 0.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32 to 1.43, p = 0.31), 30-day mortality (odds ratio 0.70, 95% CI 0.33 to 1.48, p = 0.35) nor long-term survival at 60 months (hazard ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.27, p = 0.51). Propensity score analysis confirmed the neutral effect of onsite cardiac surgery on long-term survival (hazard ratio 0.99, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.50, p = 0.97). In conclusion, patients who underwent unprotected LM PCI at NSCs presented with greater acuity of illness. Despite this, the availability of onsite cardiac surgical support was not associated with in-hospital, 30-day, or long-term outcomes underscoring the safety of LM PCI in NSCs.

Mean Arterial Pressure and Risk of Falls Resulting in Hospital Presentation in Older Adults

Utilising data from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly trial participants aged 70-years, we estimated MAP and variation in MAP defined as within-individual SD of MAP from baseline and first 2 annual visits. Falls were confined to those involving presentation to a hospital. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for associations with falls. Amongst 16,703 participants (1,540 falls), MAP was not associated with falls irrespective of antihypertensive medication status (all: HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.99-1.01, not on antihypertensive: HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99, 1.02, on antihypertensive: HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.02). Amongst 14,818 participants who remained in the study up to year 2 without falls, 1 unit escalation in MAP variability increased the risk (HR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.03). Compared with those in the lowest tercile of variability, those in the middle or highest tercile of variability experienced an increased risk of falling (middle: HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.06-1.65; highest: HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.01-1.55). When stratified for antihypertensive medication status, those receiving diuretics (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.00-1.39) or beta-blockers (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.08-1.73) were at increased risk compared to those receiving renin-angiotensin-system acting agents. All results persisted after adjustment for multiple covariates. The association of diuretics and beta-blockers with falls remained significant even after excluding those with history of heart failure. Older community-dwelling adults with high variability in MAP are at increases risk of falls, particularly amongst those receiving beta-blockers or diuretics.

Predictors of hospital prenotification for STEMI and association of prenotification with outcomes

BACKGROUND

Delay to reperfusion in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is detrimental, but can be minimised with prehospital notification by ambulance to the treating hospital. We aimed to assess whether prenotification was associated with improved first medical contact to balloon times (FMC-BT) and whether this resulted in better clinical outcomes. We also aimed to identify factors associated with use of prenotification.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of prospective Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry data for patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI from 2013-2018. Postcardiac arrest were excluded. Patients were grouped by whether they arrived by ambulance with prenotification (group 1), arrived by ambulance without prenotification (group 2) or self-presented (group 3). We compared groups by FMC-BT, incidence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), mortality and factors associated with the use of prenotification.

RESULTS

2891 patients were in group 1 (79.3% male), 1620 in group 2 (75.7% male) and 1220 in group 3 (82.9% male). Patients who had prenotification were more likely to present in-hours (p=0.004) and self-presenters had lowest rates of cardiogenic shock (p<0.001). Prenotification had shorter FMC-BT than without prenotification (104 min vs 132 min, p<0.001) Self-presenters had superior clinical outcomes, with no difference between ambulance groups. Groups 1 and 2 had similar 30-day MACCE outcomes (7.4% group 1 vs 9.1% group 2, p=0.05) and similar mortality (4.6% group 1 vs 5.9% group 2, p=0.07). In multivariable analysis, male gender, right coronary artery culprit and in-hours presentation independently predicted use of prenotification (all p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Differences in clinical characteristics, particularly gender, time of presentation and culprit vessel may influence ambulance prenotification. Ambulance cohorts have high-risk features and worse outcomes compared with self-presenters. Improving system inequality in prehospital STEMI diagnosis is recommended for fastest STEMI treatment.

Protective effects of medium chain triglyceride diet in a mouse model of Dravet syndrome

OBJECTIVE

Dravet syndrome (DS) is a severe developmental and epileptic encephalopathy with early childhood onset. Patients with DS do not respond well to antiepileptic drugs and have only a few treatment options available. Here, we evaluated the effect of medium chain triglyceride (MCT) diet therapy in a mouse model of DS.

METHODS

Scn1a^R1407X/+ DS mice were given diets supplemented with MCTs with varying ratios of decanoic (C10) and octanoic (C8) acid or a control diet for 4 weeks. Video monitoring was performed to evaluate spontaneous convulsive seizure frequency. Susceptibility to hyperthermia-induced seizures was also examined. Medium chain fatty acids, and mitochondrial and antioxidant markers were assessed in brain homogenate.

RESULTS

Dietary intervention with MCTs significantly prolonged survival and reduced convulsive seizure frequency during the critical period of highest seizure occurrence in the Scn1a^R1407X/+ DS mice. Moreover, MCT diet therapy showed protective effects against hyperthermia-induced seizures. We demonstrated that coadministration of C10/C8 was effective at reducing both seizures and mortality, whereas C10 alone only reduced mortality, suggesting that the ratio of C10 to C8 in the MCT is an important factor for efficacy. When C10 and C8 are supplemented at an 80:20 ratio in the diet, C10 accumulates in the brain in high enough concentrations to enhance brain energy metabolism by both stimulating mitochondrial enrichment and increasing its antioxidant status.

SIGNIFICANCE

The results from this study indicate that MCT diet therapy may provide therapeutic benefits in DS. Future clinical studies would elucidate whether these positive effects are mirrored in human patients.

Outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with prior coronary artery bypass grafting (cabg)

Background

In patients with prior CABG requiring subsequent PCI there is uncertainty whether bypass grafts or native coronary arteries should be targeted.

Methods

We analysed data from 2,764 patients with prior CABG in the Melbourne Interventional Group registry (2005–2018), divided into two groups: those undergoing PCI to a native vessel (n=1,928) and those with PCI to a graft vessel (n=836).

Results

Patients with a graft vessel PCI were older, had more high-risk clinical characteristics (prior MI, heart failure, ejection fraction &lt;50%, renal impairment, peripheral and cerebrovascular disease), and high-risk procedural features (ACC/AHA types B2/C lesions). However, patients in the native vessel group were more likely to have PCI to a chronic total occlusion. The majority of graft PCI were to saphenous vein grafts (84%), with 10% to radial and 6% to LIMA/RIMA grafts. Distal embolic protection devices were used in 30% of graft PCI. Patients with graft PCI had higher rates of no reflow (6.3% vs. 1.5%; p&lt;0.001), coronary perforation (p=0.016) and inpatient stent thrombosis (p=0.028). However, 30-day mortality and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) were similar. Unadjusted long-term mortality (median follow up 4.8 years) was higher in patients who had undergone a graft PCI (44% vs. 32%, p&lt;0.001), but following Cox proportional hazards modelling, PCI vessel type was not a predictor of long-term mortality (HR 1.13; 95% CI 0.96–1.33, p=0.14).

Conclusions

Early clinical outcomes and risk-adjusted long-term mortality are similar for patients with prior CABG undergoing PCI to a native vessel or a bypass graft.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): The Alfred Hospital

Trends in intra-aortic balloon pump use in cardiogenic shock in the post-SHOCK II trial era

Background

Myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock (MI-CS) has a poor prognosis, even with early revascularisation. Previously, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use was thought to improve outcomes, but the SHOCK-II trial in 2012 found no survival benefit.

Purpose

This study aimed to determine the trends in IABP use in patients with MI-CS undergoing percutaneous intervention (PCI) over time and characteristics associated with use.

Methods

Between 2005–2018, patients presenting with MI-CS that underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at a hospital participating in the Melbourne Interventional Group Registry were included. The primary outcome was the trend in IABP use over time. Secondary outcomes included mortality, 30-day MACCE (major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events) and predictors of outcome, determined via logistic regression.

Results

Of the 1,110 patients identified, IABP was used in 478 (43%). IABP was used more in patients with left main and left anterior descending culprit lesions (62% vs. 46%), lower ejection fraction (&lt;35%; 18% vs. 11%), and pre-procedural inotrope use (81% vs. 73%), all p&lt;0.05. IABP use was associated with higher inpatient bleeding (18% vs. 13%) and 30-day MACCE (58% vs. 51%), both p&lt;0.05. The rate of MI-CS increased over time, but after 2012 there was a decline in IABP use (Figure 1). IABP use was a predictor of 30-day MACCE (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.18–2.29, p=0.003). However, IABP was not associated with in-hospital, 30-day or long-term mortality (45% vs. 47%, p=0.44; 46% vs. 50%, p=0.25; 60% vs. 62%, p=0.39).

Conclusions

Consistent with the SHOCK II trial, IABP use is not associated with reduced short- or long-term mortality, but in this study was associated with increased short-term adverse events. IABP use is declining, but is still used in sicker patients with greater myocardium at risk, given limited alternatives.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Melbourne interventional group

The effect of dihydroceramide desaturase 1 inhibition on endothelial impairment induced by indoxyl sulfate

Protein-bound uremic toxins (PBUTs) have adverse effects on vascular function, which is imperative in the progression of cardiovascular and renal diseases. The role of sphingolipids in PBUT-mediated vasculo-endothelial pathophysiology is unclear. This study assessed the therapeutic potential of dihydroceramide desaturase 1 (Des1) inhibition, the last enzyme involved in de novo ceramide synthesis, to mitigate the vascular effects of the PBUT indoxyl sulfate (IS). Rat aortic rings were isolated and vascular reactivity was assessed in organ bath experiments followed by immunohistochemical analyses. Furthermore, cultured human aortic endothelial cells were assessed for phenotypic and mechanistic changes. Inhibition of Des1 by a selective inhibitor CIN038 (0.1 to 0.3 μM) improved IS-induced impairment of vasorelaxation and modulated immunoreactivity of oxidative stress markers. Des1 inhibition also reversed IS-induced reduction in endothelial cell migration (1.0 μM) by promoting the expression of angiogenic cytokines and reducing inflammatory and oxidative stress markers. These effects were associated with a reduction of TIMP1 and the restoration of Akt phosphorylation. In conclusion, Des1 inhibition improved vascular relaxation and endothelial cell migration impaired by IS overload. Therefore, Des1 may be a suitable intracellular target to mitigate PBUT-induced adverse vascular effects.

Age-stratified and blood-pressure-stratified effects of blood-pressure-lowering pharmacotherapy for the prevention of cardiovascular disease and death: an individual participant-level data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The effects of pharmacological blood-pressure-lowering on cardiovascular outcomes in individuals aged 70 years and older, particularly when blood pressure is not substantially increased, is uncertain. We compared the effects of blood-pressure-lowering treatment on the risk of major cardiovascular events in groups of patients stratified by age and blood pressure at baseline.

METHODS

We did a meta-analysis using individual participant-level data from randomised controlled trials of pharmacological blood-pressure-lowering versus placebo or other classes of blood-pressure-lowering medications, or between more versus less intensive treatment strategies, which had at least 1000 persons-years of follow-up in each treatment group. Participants with previous history of heart failure were excluded. Data were obtained from the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Triallists' Collaboration. We pooled the data and categorised participants into baseline age groups (<55 years, 55-64 years, 65-74 years, 75-84 years, and ≥85 years) and blood pressure categories (in 10 mm Hg increments from <120 mm Hg to ≥170 mm Hg systolic blood pressure and from <70 mm Hg to ≥110 mm Hg diastolic). We used a fixed effects one-stage approach and applied Cox proportional hazard models, stratified by trial, to analyse the data. The primary outcome was defined as either a composite of fatal or non-fatal stroke, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction or ischaemic heart disease, or heart failure causing death or requiring hospital admission.

FINDINGS

We included data from 358 707 participants from 51 randomised clinical trials. The age of participants at randomisation ranged from 21 years to 105 years (median 65 years [IQR 59-75]), with 42 960 (12·0%) participants younger than 55 years, 128 437 (35·8%) aged 55-64 years, 128 506 (35·8%) 65-74 years, 54 016 (15·1%) 75-84 years, and 4788 (1·3%) 85 years and older. The hazard ratios for the risk of major cardiovascular events per 5 mm Hg reduction in systolic blood pressure for each age group were 0·82 (95% CI 0·76-0·88) in individuals younger than 55 years, 0·91 (0·88-0·95) in those aged 55-64 years, 0·91 (0·88-0·95) in those aged 65-74 years, 0·91 (0·87-0·96) in those aged 75-84 years, and 0·99 (0·87-1·12) in those aged 85 years and older (adjusted pinteraction=0·050). Similar patterns of proportional risk reductions were observed for a 3 mm Hg reduction in diastolic blood pressure. Absolute risk reductions for major cardiovascular events varied by age and were larger in older groups (adjusted pinteraction=0·024). We did not find evidence for any clinically meaningful heterogeneity of relative treatment effects across different baseline blood pressure categories in any age group.

INTERPRETATION

Pharmacological blood pressure reduction is effective into old age, with no evidence that relative risk reductions for prevention of major cardiovascular events vary by systolic or diastolic blood pressure levels at randomisation, down to less than 120/70 mm Hg. Pharmacological blood pressure reduction should, therefore, be considered an important treatment option regardless of age, with the removal of age-related blood-pressure thresholds from international guidelines.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, National Institute of Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford Martin School.

Characteristics and Quality of National Cardiac Registries: A Systematic Review

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background:

National cardiac registries are increasingly used for informing health policy, improving the quality and cost-effectiveness of patient care, clinical research, and monitoring the safety of novel treatments. However, the quality of registries is variable. We aimed to assess the characteristics and quality of national cardiac registries across all subspecialties of cardiac care.

Methods:

Publications relating to national cardiac registries across six cardiac subspecialty domains were identified by searching MEDLINE and the Google advanced search function with 26 438 citations and 4812 full-text articles reviewed.

Results:

A total of 155 registries, representing 49 countries, were included in the study. Of these, 45 related to coronary disease or percutaneous coronary intervention, 28 related to devices, arrhythmia, and electrophysiology, 24 related to heart failure, transplant, and mechanical support, 21 related to structural heart disease, 21 related to congenital heart disease, and 16 related to cardiac surgery. Enrollment was procedure-based in 60% and disease-based in 40%. A total of 73.10 million patients were estimated to have been enrolled in cardiac registries. Quality scoring was performed using a validated registry grading system, with registries performing best in the use of explicit variable definitions and worst in assessment of data reliability. Higher quality scores were associated with government funding, mandated enrollment, linkage to other registries, and outcome risk adjustment. Quality scores and number of registries within a country were positively correlated with each other and with measures of national economic output, health expenditure, and urbanization.

Conclusions:

There has been remarkable growth in the uptake of national cardiac registries across the last few decades. However, the quality of processes used to ensure data completeness and accuracy remain variable and few countries have integrated registries covering multiple subspecialty domains. Clinicians, funders, and health policymakers should be encouraged to focus on the range, quality, and integration of these registries.

Registration:

URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero; Unique identifier: CRD42020204224.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitor (SGLT2i) as a Primary Preventative Agent in the Healthy Individual: A Need of a Future Randomised Clinical Trial?

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are a relatively novel class of drug for treating type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) that inhibits glucose reabsorption in the renal proximal tubule to promote glycosuria and reduce blood glucose levels. SGLT2i has been clinically indicated for treating T2DM, with numerous recent publications focussing on both primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular and renal events in Type 2 diabetic patients. The most recent clinical trials showed that SGLT2i have moderately significant beneficial effects on atherosclerotic major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with histories of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. In this review and analysis, SGLT2i have however demonstrated clinically significant benefits in reducing hospitalisation for heart failure and worsening of chronic kidney disease (CKD) irrespective of pre-existing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease or previous heart failure history. A meta-analysis suggests that all SGLT2 inhibitors demonstrated the therapeutic benefit on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, as shown in EMPAREG OUTCOME study with a significant decrease in myocardial infarction, without increased stroke risk. All the above clinical trial recruited type 2 diabetic patients. This article aims to postulate and review the possible primary prevention role of SGLT2i in healthy individuals by reviewing the current literature and provide a prospective overview. The emphasis will include primary prevention of Type 2 Diabetes, Heart Failure, CKD, Hypertension, Obesity and Dyslipidaemia in healthy individuals, whom are defined as healthy, low or intermediate risks patients.

602Prevalence of cancer history and association with risk factors in a healthy older population

Background

The ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study randomised healthy older individuals to 100mg aspirin or placebo, with clinical outcomes and disability-free survival endpoints. Detailed baseline data provides a rare opportunity to explore cancer burden and association with known cancer risk factors in this population.

Methods

At enrolment (2010-2014), self-reported personal cancer history, cancer type and cancer risk factor data were sought from 19,114 participants (Australia, n = 16,703; U.S., n = 2,411). Participants were healthy and expected to survive 5 years.

Results

Of those reporting a prior cancer diagnosis (18% women, 22% men), women were diagnosed younger (16% vs 6% of diagnoses &lt;50 years). Cancer prevalence increased with age. Prostate and breast cancer history were higher in U.S. participants; melanoma and colorectal cancer were higher in Australian participants. Cancer history prevalence was not associated with any common risk factors, but was associated with poor health ratings in men. Blood and breast cancer history was more common with past aspirin use.

Conclusions

Personal cancer history in healthy older ASPREE participants was as expected for the most common cancer types in the respective populations. The lack of alignment with known risk factors is attributable to survivor bias, driven by entry criteria, and to possible molecular differences in cancer between elderly and younger people.

Key messages

As the prevalence of cancer increases with age, the lack of alignment with known risk factors implies other factors play a significant role.

1048Characteristics of ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) patients in Asia Pacific: findings from the ASPECT collaboration

Background

The Asia Pacific Evaluation of Cardiovascular Therapies (ASPECT) Collaboration was established to better understand the characteristics of patients undergoing PCI and cardiac interventions across the Asia Pacific region, including STEMI. The aim of this study was to compare STEMI patient characteristics across Asia Pacific (AP) countries in order to understand regional differences.

Methods

Each site across Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam and Hong Kong provided de-identified individual patient data. Comparison of characteristics by sites were performed using one-way ANOVA, Kruskal-Wallis or Chi-squared tests, using Stata 14.2.

Results

Of the 12,620 cases, there were more males (p &lt; 0.001) and the average of patients’ age ranged from 55 (Malaysia) to 68 (Vietnam) years old. Family history of coronary artery disease was not common amongst Hong Kong (1%) and Singaporean (12%) patients, and most patients did not have history of congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease or coronary artery bypass grafting. History of dyslipidaemia varied significantly among patients in Malaysia (98%) and Vietnam (12%) (p &lt; 0.001). About 37% of the Malaysian patients had previous myocardial infarction, which is greater than twice of other cohorts (p &lt; 0.001). Most cohort had either normal or mild ejection fraction (EF) but 40% of the Singaporean patients had severely reduced EF (p &lt; 0.001).

Conclusions

Patient characteristics varied significantly across AP countries. On-going analyses will focus on the impact of varying patient characteristics on clinical outcomes.

Key messages

As characteristics varied, prevention and procedural strategies need to be adapted carefully. Additional input from other AP countries will better inform these strategies.

Dihydrosphingosine driven enrichment of sphingolipids attenuates TGFβ induced collagen synthesis in cardiac fibroblasts

The sphingolipid de novo synthesis pathway, encompassing the sphingolipids, the enzymes and the cell membrane receptors, are being investigated for their role in diseases and as potential therapeutic targets. The intermediate sphingolipids such as dihydrosphingosine (dhSph) and sphingosine (Sph) have not been investigated due to them being thought of as precursors to other more active lipids such as ceramide (Cer) and sphingosine 1 phosphate (S1P). Here we investigated their effects in terms of collagen synthesis in primary rat neonatal cardiac fibroblasts (NCFs). Our results in NCFs showed that both dhSph and Sph did not induce collagen synthesis, whilst dhSph reduced collagen synthesis induced by transforming growth factor β (TGFβ). The mechanisms of these inhibitory effects were associated with the increased activation of the de novo synthesis pathway that led to increased dihydrosphingosine 1 phosphate (dhS1P). Subsequently, through a negative feedback mechanism that may involve substrate-enzyme receptor interactions, S1P receptor 1 expression (S1PR1) was reduced.

Sphingolipid imbalance and inflammatory effects induced by uremic toxins in heart and kidney cells are reversed by dihydroceramide desaturase 1 inhibition

Non-dialysable protein-bound uremic toxins (PBUTs) contribute to the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and vice versa. PBUTs have been shown to alter sphingolipid imbalance. Dihydroceramide desaturase 1 (Des1) is an important gatekeeper enzyme which controls the non-reversible conversion of sphingolipids, dihydroceramide, into ceramide. The present study assessed the effect of Des1 inhibition on PBUT-induced cardiac and renal effects in vitro, using a selective Des1 inhibitor (CIN038). Des1 inhibition attenuated hypertrophy in neonatal rat cardiac myocytes and collagen synthesis in neonatal rat cardiac fibroblasts and renal mesangial cells induced by the PBUTs, indoxyl sulfate and p-cresol sulfate. This is at least attributable to modulation of NF-κB signalling and reductions in β-MHC, Collagen I and TNF-α gene expression. Lipidomic analyses revealed Des1 inhibition restored C16-dihydroceramide levels reduced by indoxyl sulfate. In conclusion, PBUTs play a critical role in mediating sphingolipid imbalance and inflammatory responses in heart and kidney cells, and these effects were attenuated by Des1 inhibition. Therefore, sphingolipid modifying agents may have therapeutic potential for the treatment of CVD and CKD and warrant further investigation.

Pre-hospital heparin use for ST-elevation myocardial infarction is safe and improves angiographic outcomes

AIMS

This study aims to evaluate if pre-hospital heparin administration by paramedics is safe and improves clinical outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the multicentre Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry, linked with state-wide ambulance records, we identified consecutive patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI between January 2014 and December 2018. Information on thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow at angiography was available in a subset of cases. Patients receiving pre-hospital heparin were compared to those who did not receive heparin. Findings at coronary angiography and 30-day clinical outcomes were compared between groups. Propensity-score matching was performed for risk adjustment. We identified a total of 4720 patients. Of these, 1967 patients had TIMI flow data available. Propensity-score matching in the entire cohort yielded 1373 matched pairs. In the matched cohort, there was no observed difference in 30-day mortality (no-heparin 3.5% vs. heparin 3.0%, P = 0.25), MACCE (no-heparin 7% vs. heparin 6.2%, P = 0.44), and major bleeding (no-heparin 1.9% vs. heparin 1.4%, P = 0.64) between groups. Propensity-score analysis amongst those with TIMI data produced 552 matched pairs. The proportion of cases with TIMI 0 or 1 flow in the infarct-related artery (IRA) was lower among those receiving pre-hospital heparin (66% vs. 76%, P < 0.001) compared to those who did not.

CONCLUSION 

In this multicentre, propensity-score matched study, the use of pre-hospital heparin by paramedics was safe and is associated with fewer occluded IRAs in patients presenting with STEMI.

Serratus anterior plane versus paravertebral nerve blocks for postoperative analgesia after non-mastectomy breast surgery: a randomized controlled non-inferiority trial

Background

Paravertebral and serratus plane blocks are both used to treat pain following breast surgery. However, it remains unknown if the newer serratus block provides comparable analgesia to the decades-old paravertebral technique.

Methods

Subjects undergoing unilateral or bilateral non-mastectomy breast surgery were randomized to a single-injection serratus or paravertebral block in a subject-masked fashion (ropivacaine 0.5%; 20 mL unilateral; 16 mL/side bilateral). We hypothesized that (1) analgesia would be non-inferior in the recovery room with serratus blocks (measurement: Numeric Rating Scale), and (2) opioid consumption would be non-inferior with serratus blocks in the operating and recovery rooms. In order to claim that serratus blocks are non-inferior to paravertebral blocks, both hypotheses must be at least non-inferior.

Results

Within the recovery room, pain scores for participants with serratus blocks (n=49) had a median (IQR) of 4.0 (0–5.5) vs 0 (0–3.0) for those with paravertebral blocks (n=51): 0.95% CI −3.00 to −0.00; p=0.001. However, the difference in morphine equivalents did not reach statistical significance for superiority with the serratus group consuming 14 mg (10–19) vs 10 mg (10–16) for the paravertebral group: 95% CI −4.50 to 0.00, p=0.123. Since the 95% CI lower limit of −4.5 was less than our prespecified margin of −2.0, we failed to conclude non-inferiority of the serratus block with regard to opioid consumption.

Conclusions

Serratus blocks provided inferior analgesia compared with paravertebral blocks. Without a dramatic improvement in safety profile for serratus blocks, it appears that paravertebral blocks are superior to serratus blocks for postoperative analgesia after non-mastectomy breast surgery.

Trial registration number

NCT03860974.