Fever as a predictor of adverse outcomes in COVID-19

BACKGROUND/INTRODUCTION

There are little data on outcomes of COVID-19 patients with the presence of fever compared to the presence of symptoms.

AIM

We examined the associations between symptomology, presence of fever and outcomes of a COVID-19 cohort.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Between 23 January and 30 April 2020, 554 COVID-19 patients were admitted to a tertiary hospital in Singapore. They were allocated into four groups based on symptomology and fever-Group 1: asymptomatic and afebrile, Group 2: symptomatic but afebrile, Group 3: febrile but asymptomatic and Group 4: symptomatic and febrile. The primary outcomes were intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and mortality. The composite end-point included ICU admissions, mortality or any COVID-19 related end-organ involvement.

RESULTS

There were differences in ferritin (P=0.003), C-reactive protein (CRP) levels (P<0.001) and lymphopenia (P=0.033) across all groups, with the most favourable biochemical profile in Group 1, and the least in Group 4. Symptomatic groups (Groups 2 and 4) had higher ICU admissions (1.9% and 6.0%, respectively, P=0.003) than asymptomatic groups (Groups 1 and 3). Composite end-point was highest in Group 4 (24.0%), followed by Group 3 (8.6%), Group 2 (4.8%) and Group 1 (2.4%) (P<0.001). The presence of fever (OR 4.096, 95% CI 1.737-9.656, P=0.001) was associated with the composite end-point after adjusting for age, pulse rate, comorbidities, lymphocyte, ferritin and CRP. Presence of symptoms was not associated with the composite end-point.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

In this COVID-19 cohort, presence of fever was a predictor of adverse outcomes. This has implications on the management of febrile but asymptomatic COVID-19 patients.

Prevalence of Anemia and Its Association with Frailty, Physical Function and Cognition in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Findings from the HOPE Study

OBJECTIVES

The prevalence of anemia and its impact on frailty and physical function amongst the multiethnic older populations in the Southeast Asian (SEA) countries are often not well studied. Singapore, a nation comprised of multiethnic communities, is one of the most rapidly aging population globally. We aim to evaluate the prevalence of anemia and its impact on frailty, and physical function in Healthy Older People Everyday (HOPE)- an epidemiologic population-based study on community-dwelling older adults in Singapore.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Community.

PARTICIPANTS

480 adults ≥ 65 years old.

MEASUREMENTS

Data were collected from interviewers-administered questionnaires on socio-demographics, FRAIL scale, Mini-Mental State Examination, EQ-5D, Barthel Index, and Lawton index. Hemoglobin concentration and physical assessments, including anthropometry, grip strength, timed up-and-go (TUG) were measured.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of anemia was 15.2% (73 out of 480). The Indian ethnic group had the highest prevalence of anemia (32%, OR=3.02; 95%CI= 1.23-7.41) with the lowest hemoglobin concentration compared to the overall population (13.0±1.3g/L and 13.5±1.4g/L, p=0.02). Hemoglobin levels and anemia were significantly associated with frailty (OR=2.28; 95% CI=1.02-5.10), low grip strength (OR=1.79; 95% CI=1.01-3.03), ≥ one IADL impairment (OR=2.35; 95% CI=1.39-3.97). Each 1 g/dL increase in hemoglobin was associated with a 6% decrease in frailty odds after adjusting for potential covariates (OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90-0.99). There was a significant difference in the mean TUG between the non-anemic (11.0±3.4 seconds) and anemic (12.3±6.0 seconds, p=0.01) counterparts, but no difference in the number of falls.

CONCLUSION

In our multiethnic Asian population, anemia was adversely associated with frailty, decreased muscle strength, and IADL impairment. Health policies on anemia screening should be employed to avoid or potentially delay or reverse these adverse outcomes associated with anemia. Recognition, evaluation, and treatment of anemia amongst this vulnerable population is warranted.

Elevated levels of factor VIII and subsequent risk of all-cause mortality: results from the MEGA follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Factor VIII (FVIII) levels are increased in individuals with a non-O blood group and play a role in the etiology of thrombosis. High FVIII levels have also been associated with increased all-cause mortality.

OBJECTIVE

We explored whether elevated FVIII levels are associated with an increased risk of death in patients who had venous thrombosis and in individuals from the general population, and to what extent this association is causal.

METHODS

We followed 2178 patients with previous venous thrombosis and 2827 age and sex-matched community controls for on average 5.5 years and measured their FVIII levels and ABO blood group.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality increased in a dose-response fashion with increasing percentiles of FVIII levels. In the thrombosis patients the risk was highest above the 97.5th percentile (FVIII > 199 IU dL(-1) ) with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 3.1 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9-10.8) as compared with patients in the 25th percentile category (FVIII ≤ 85 IU dL(-1) ). The adjusted HR was 4.5 (95% CI, 1.4-14.3) in controls. Using non-O blood group as a measure of genetically elevated FVIII levels to determine a causal relationship between FVIII and death showed observed HRs of 0.99 (95% CI, 0.72-1.36) in patients and 1.25 (95% CI, 0.82-1.90) in controls.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed a dose-response relationship between high FVIII levels and risk of death in venous thrombosis patients and in individuals from the general population. However, environmental factors, such as chronic comorbidities and chronic inflammation, are at least in part responsible for the association between factor VIII and mortality.