Impact of hepatitis C virus (HCV) antiviral treatment on the need for liver transplantation (LT)

BACKGROUND

Therapies for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection have revolutionized the treatment of patients with chronic HCV infection. The effect of these therapies on the epidemiology of liver transplantation (LT) has yet to be elucidated.

AIM

To establish whether the indications for LT have changed as a result of the introduction of new therapies for HCV.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study based on a prospectively maintained registry of patients who undergo LT at La Fe Hospital in Valencia from 1997 to 2016. An analysis of outcome measures over time stratified by LT indications was performed.

RESULTS

From January 1997 to December 2016, 2379 patients were listed for LT. Of these, 1113 (47%) were listed for HCV cirrhosis±hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This percentage varied significantly over time declining from 48.8% in the 1997-2009 initial period (IFN-based regimens) to 33% in the 2014-2016 final period (DAAs regimens) (P = .03). However, during that period, the proportion of those included in the waiting list (WL) due to HCV-HCC increased significantly (P = .001). In addition, among HCV-positive waitlisted patients with decompensated cirrhosis without HCC, the proportion of those with an HCV-alcohol mixed etiology also increased significantly over time (P = .001). Of all HCV-positive waitlisted patients, 203 were eventually removed from the WL due to either clinical improvement (n = 77) or more frequently worsening/death (n = 126).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of patients wait-listed for LT for decompensated HCV cirrhosis has significantly decreased over time. These changes are possibly related to the large-scale use of direct-acting antivirals.

Framingham score, renal dysfunction, and cardiovascular risk in liver transplant patients

Cardiovascular (CV) events represent major impediments to the long-term survival of liver transplantation (LT) patients. The aim of this study was to assess whether the Framingham risk score (FRS) at transplantation can predict the development of post-LT cardiovascular events (CVEs). Patients transplanted between 2006 and 2008 were included. Baseline features, CV risk factors, and CVEs occurring after LT (ischemic heart disease, stroke, heart failure, de novo arrhythmias, and peripheral arterial disease) were recorded. In total, 250 patients (69.6% men) with a median age of 56 years (range, 18-68 years) were included. At transplantation, 34.4%, 34.4%, and 33.2% of patients, respectively, had a low, moderate, and high FRS with a median FRS of 14.9 (range, 0.09-30); 14.4% of LT recipients developed at least 1 CVE at a median of 2.619 years (range, 0.006-6.945 years). In the univariate analysis, factors associated with the development of CVEs were the continuous FRS at LT (P = 0.003), age (P = 0.007), creatinine clearance [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR); P = 0.020], and mycophenolate mofetil use at discharge (P = 0.011). In the multivariate analysis, only the eGFR [hazard ratio (HR), 0.98; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.97-1.00; P = 0.009] and FRS (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10; P = 0.002) remained in the model. Moreover, an association was also found between the FRS and overall survival (P = 0.004) with 5-year survival rates of 82.5%, 77.8%, and 61.4% for the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups, respectively. Continuous FRS, eGFR, and hepatitis C virus infection were independent risk factors for overall mortality. In our series, the FRS and eGFR at LT were able to predict the development of post-LT CVEs and poor outcomes. Liver Transpl 21:812-822, 2015. © 2015 AASLD.

[Activity and results of liver transplantation in Spain during 1984-2012. Analysis of the Spanish Liver Transplant Registry]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Liver transplantation (LT) is a proven effective treatment of severe liver disease. The aim of this paper is to analyze the results of LT in Spain during the period 1984-2012.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

We analyze the results of the database of Spanish Liver Transplant Registry.

RESULTS

A total of 20,288 transplants were performed in 18,568 patients. The median age of the donor and recipient increased during the analysis period: 25 years (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 18-40) and 47 years (95% CI 34-55), respectively, in the period 1984-1994 compared to 59 years (95% CI 33-65; P<.05) and 55 years (95% CI 48-61; P<.01), respectively, in the period 2010-2012. The most frequent indications were liver cirrhosis (63.18%) and hepatocellular carcinoma (19.62%). The overall patient and graft survival was respectively 85.1 and 77.8% in the first year, 72.6 and 63.5% the fifth year and 62 and 52.6% in the tenth year. First year patients and graft survival increased respectively from 77.8 and 66.3% in the period 1984-1994 to 88.5 and 83% in 2010-2012 (P<.01). Donor and recipient age, etiology of underlying disease, and hepatitis C virus serological status, were factors associated with decreased survival in univariate and multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Results of LT improved significantly over the review period, despite a progressive increase in donor and recipient age.

[Current status and future perspectives of hepatocyte transplantation]

The imbalance between the number of potential beneficiaries and available organs, originates the search for new therapeutic alternatives, such as Hepatocyte transplantation (HT).Even though this is a treatment option for these patients, the lack of unanimity of criteria regarding indications and technique, different cryopreservation protocols, as well as the different methodology to assess the response to this therapy, highlights the need of a Consensus Conference to standardize criteria and consider future strategies to improve the technique and optimize the results.Our aim is to review and update the current state of hepatocyte transplantation, emphasizing the future research attempting to solve the problems and improve the results of this treatment.

[Current status and future perspectives of hepatocyte transplantation]

The imbalance between the number of potential beneficiaries and available organs, originates the search for new therapeutic alternatives, such as Hepatocyte transplantation (HT).Even though this is a treatment option for these patients, the lack of unanimity of criteria regarding indications and technique, different cryopreservation protocols, as well as the different methodology to assess the response to this therapy, highlights the need of a Consensus Conference to standardize criteria and consider future strategies to improve the technique and optimize the results.Our aim is to review and update the current state of hepatocyte transplantation, emphasizing the future research attempting to solve the problems and improve the results of this treatment.

Long-term outcome of 'long-term liver transplant survivors'

There are few studies focusing on long-term complications in liver transplant (LT) recipients. The aim of this study was to define the outcome of LT recipients having survived at least 10 years from LT. Of 323 adult LT done between 1991 and 1997, the 167(52%) alive >10 years post-LT (baseline time) formed the study population. Long-term outcome measures included the following: immunosuppression, metabolic complications [obesity, arterial hypertension (AH), diabetes, dislypidemia], cardiovascular events (CVE), chronic renal dysfunction-CRD, and de novo tumors. Median age at LT was 50 years. Most common indication was postnecrotic cirrhosis (89%), mostly because of HCV (46%). At study-baseline (10 years post-LT), 29% were obese and AH, diabetes, dislypidemia, and CRD were present in 75%, 30%, 42%, and 36%, respectively. In most cases, these complications were already present 1 year post-LT; less than one quarter developed them onward. The 6 year cumulative survival since baseline reached 84% (n = 24 deaths), with most deaths related to recurrent graft diseases (mostly HCV) followed by de novo tumors or CVE. 1, 3, 5 and 10 years cumulative rates of CVE and de novo tumors since baseline were 2%, 5%, 10% and 17%, and 1%, 3%, 6% and 13%, respectively. Chronic renal impairment was independently associated with survival and development of CVE since baseline. The medium-term survival of 'long-term survivors', i.e. patients alive 10 years after LT is good, but metabolic complications and CRD are common and continue to increase afterwards. Cardiovascular events and de novo tumors increase gradually over time and represent a major cause of late mortality.

[Epidemiology of hemolytic uremic syndrome in two regions of Buenos Aires Province]

The objectives of this study were (a) to describe and estimate the frequency of hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) in rural and urban populations in two regions of Buenos Aires Province, and (b) to compare the presentation and distribution of factors hypothetically associated with HUS. A total of 82 HUS cases, recorded during the years 2005-2010 in rural and urban areas of the south-central region of Buenos Aires Province, were clinically and epidemiologically characterized. Statistical data analysis included Chi square or Fisher test and median test. The incidence rate of HUS was significantly higher in the rural population, being 12.7 cases per 100 000 (CI 0-23.5) in rural inhabitants vs. 7.1 cases per 100 000 (CI 0-9.5) in urban inhabitants. The median age of the patients was 27 months (5-139 months), significantly lower in children from the rural area. This could be explained by a more frequent contact with bovine feces, the consumption of raw milk and a higher proportion of relatives who work in risk labors found in the rural population. Although HUS is often associated with the consumption of undercooked minced meat, most of the children cases here included did not present this antecedent. Clinical manifestations were similar in both subpopulations. One-third of urban patients had received antibiotics prior to HUS development.

Comparative prospective study of two liver graft preservation solutions: University of Wisconsin and Celsior

University of Wisconsin solution (UWS) is the gold standard for graft preservation. Celsior solution (CS) is a new solution not as yet widely used in liver grafts. The aim of this study was to compare the liver function of transplanted grafts stored in these 2 preservation solutions. The primary endpoints were the rates of primary nonfunction (PNF) and primary dysfunction (PDF). We performed a prospective and pseudorandomized study that included 196 patients (representing 104 and 92 livers preserved in UWS and CS, respectively) at La Fe University Hospital (Valencia, Spain) between March 2003 and May 2005. PNF and PDF rates, liver function laboratory parameters, postoperative bleeding, vascular and biliary complications, and patient and graft survival at 3 years were compared for the 2 groups. The 2 groups were similar in terms of donor variables, recipient variables, and surgical techniques. The PNF rates were 2.2% and 1.9% in the CS and UWS groups, respectively (P = not significant), and the PDF rates were 15.2% and 15.5% in the CS and UWS groups, respectively (P = not significant). There were no significant differences in the laboratory parameters for the 2 groups, except for alanine aminotransferase levels in month 3, which were lower in the CS group (P = 0.01). No significant differences were observed in terms of complications. Three-year patient and graft survival rates were as follows for years 1, 2, and 3: 83%, 80%, and 76% (patient) and 80%, 77%, and 73% (graft) for the UWS group and 83%, 77%, and 70% (patient) and 81%, 73%, and 67% (graft) for the CS group (P = not significant). In conclusion, this study shows that CS is as effective as UWS in liver preservation.

Clinical benefits of antiviral therapy in patients with recurrent hepatitis C following liver transplantation

Pegylated interferon (pegIFN) and ribavirin eradicates hepatitis C virus (HCV) in one third of liver recipients with recurrent disease. Side effects are frequent and potentially life threatening. Our aim was to define the long-term benefits of antiviral therapy in recurrent HCV. Eighty-nine (89) recipients (genotype 1: 86.5%) were treated with IFN (n = 31) or pegIFN (n = 58) plus ribavirin and 75 untreated contemporaneous disease-matched controls. The major end point was survival from transplantation. Survival, progression to cirrhosis and clinical decompensation since start of therapy were compared between sustained virologic responders (SVRs) and nonresponders (NRs). Results revealed 44 patients died during the follow-up (20% treated vs. 35% controls; p = 0.05). Patient survival was higher in treated compared to controls (7 years: 74% vs. 62%; p = 0.04). Among treated patients, an SVR was achieved in 37% (IFN 16% vs. peg-IFN 48%; p = 0.03). About 2/33 SVRs and 16/56 NRs died (p = 0.01) due to HCV-disease (56%), IFN-induced rejection (11%), both causes (11%) or others (22%). Five-year survival was greater in SVRs than in NRs (93% vs. 69%, p = 0.032). In patients without baseline cirrhosis, progression to cirrhosis occurred more frequently in NRs (27/42 vs. 6/16; p = 0.06). The 5-year risk of graft decompensation was higher in NRs (33% vs. 16%; p = 0.04). Antiviral therapy is associated with improved long-term outcome in recurrent HCV.

Lessons learned from anatomic variants of the hepatic artery in 1,081 transplanted livers

The aim of this study is to contribute our experience to the knowledge of the anatomic variations of the hepatic arterial supply. The surgical anatomy of the extrahepatic arterial vascularization was investigated prospectively in 1,081 donor cadaveric livers, transplanted at La Fe University Hospital from January 1991 to August 2004. The vascular anatomy of the hepatic grafts was classified according to Michels description (Am J Surg 1966;112:337-347) plus 2 variations. Anatomical variants of the classical pattern were detected in 30% of the livers (n=320). The most common variant was a replaced left artery arising from the left gastric artery (9.7%) followed by a replaced right hepatic artery arising from the superior mesenteric artery (7.8%). In conclusion, the information about the different hepatic arterial patterns can help in reducing the risks of iatrogenic complications, which in turn may result in better outcomes not only following surgical interventions but also in the context of radiological treatments.

Effect of calcineurin inhibitors on survival and histologic disease severity in HCV-infected liver transplant recipients

The severity of recurrent hepatitis C virus (HCV) is likely related to several factors. Controversial results have been reported regarding the effect of specific calcineurin-inhibitors. The aim of this research was to determine whether there are differences on posttransplantation outcome in HCV-infected patients based on initial immunosuppression. Prospective randomized trial comparing tacrolimus vs. cyclosporine-based immunosuppression in a cohort of patients undergoing primary orthotopic liver transplantation between 2001 and 2003 was used. Yearly biopsies were performed. Patients with at least 1 protocol biopsy and those with very severe recurrence despite a follow-up of less than 1 yr (cholestatic hepatitis, progression to bridging fibrosis/cirrhosis) were included. Baseline characteristics (demographics, liver function at transplantation, genotype distribution, donor, surgery, immunosuppression except for the type of calcineurin inhibitor) did not differ between the 2 groups. Severe disease (defined as bridging fibrosis, cirrhosis, cholestatic hepatitis, and/or death due to recurrent disease in the first year) was present in 27 in 90 (30%), and was equally distributed in the cyclosporine and tacrolimus groups (15/46 vs. 12/44, respectively). A total of 33 in 90 (37%) patients had no fibrosis in the first year biopsy with no difference between the cyclosporine and tacrolimus groups (36.5 vs. 37%). The percentage of patients developing recurrent acute hepatitis was also similar (32% vs 35%); time to acute hepatitis though was shorter in the tacrolimus group (59 days [35-185] vs. 92 days [39-343] in the cyclosporin group; P = 0.02). Cholestatic hepatitis was observed in 4 of 44 and 5 of 46 patients under cyclosporine and tacrolimus, respectively (P = not significant). In conclusions, the short-term posttransplantation course of hepatitis C is not related to the calcineurin inhibitor used.

Significant improvement in the outcome of HCV-infected transplant recipients by avoiding rapid steroid tapering and potent induction immunosuppression

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS

Recurrent HCV-cirrhosis occurs in a substantial proportion of transplant recipients, with higher rates reported in patients who had recently received a transplant. Over-immunosuppression has been implicated in this more unfavorable outcome. To determine whether the implementation of specific measures aimed at reducing or avoiding negative predictive variables is associated with an improvement in the outcome of recurrent hepatitis C.

METHODS

Comparative study between a cohort of patients who had recently received a transplant (2001-2004) and a historical group of HCV-infected patients transplanted before the implementation of two simple measures (1999-2000): (i) use of dual initial immunosuppression (steroids + cyclosporine neoral or tacrolimus); (ii) slow steroid tapering (>6 months). Yearly biopsies were performed in these recipients, and only those with at least one protocol biopsy and those with cholestatic hepatitis (regardless of follow-up) were included in the study. End-point: rate of HCV-related severe disease (defined as bridging fibrosis, cirrhosis or fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis) within the first year post-transplantation.

RESULTS

Severe disease was significantly lower in this cohort compared to the historical group (26/90, 29% vs 25/52, 48%; p=0.02). While other factors remained unchanged between the two cohorts, the proportion of patients on triple-quadruple regimes and the number of boluses of methyl-prednisolone were lower and the duration of prednisone therapy longer in more patients who had recently received a transplant.

CONCLUSIONS

Improving the outcome of recurrent hepatitis C may be achieved by reducing overall immunosuppression and avoiding abrupt variations in immunosuppression.

Retrasplante hepático: análisis de los resultados en 50 pacientes

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Liver re-transplantation (re-LT) is an accepted indication for some (technical problems, primary non-function [PNF]) but not all indications, particularly recurrence of the original disease, such as hepatitis C. We aimed to determine in our center: a) the rate of survival following re-transplantation for all and each different indication; b) to compare it to that obtained by a control group; c) to assess whether late re-LT, excluding PNF and surgical problems, and re-LT in HCV (+) patients are associated with a higher mortality, and d) to estimate medical costs.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Form 1991 to April 2002, 50 re-LT were done (group 1). Group 2 consisted of 45 primary LT controlled by transplant date. Group 1 was divided in two subgroups: a) re-LT after 6 months of the first LT (recurrence of primary liver disease n = 20, chronic rejection n = 5), b) Re-LT in the first 6 months (PNF n = 13, artery thrombosis n = 12). We analyzed donor, recipient, surgical and immunosuppressive-related variables.

RESULTS

The mean age was 50 years (range: 23-63) (72% men). Actuarial survival for re-LT was lower than for the control group: 64%, 57% and 50% vs 84%, 82% and 82% at 1st, 3rd and 5th year, respectively. By indication, the 3-year survival was: PNF: 61% (p = 0.05), HAT: 58% (p = 0.02), recurrence of primary disease: 52% (p = 0.001), chronic rejection: 60% (p = 0.346). Although not reaching statistical significance, survival was lower in late vs early re-LT (p = 0.16) and in HCV-infected versus non-infected patients (p = 0.08). In the HCV (+) group, there were no differences by re-transplant indication (p = 0.8). Medical costs and complications were substantially higher in group 1 vs group 2.

CONCLUSIONS

Re-LT is associated with substantial medical costs and mortality, particularly in patients infected with HCV.

De novo internal neoplasms after liver transplantation: increased risk and aggressive behavior in recent years?

The goal of the study was to determine the incidence and variables associated with post-liver transplantation (LT) de novo internal neoplasms development, excluding skin tumors and hepatocellular carcinoma. Medical records were reviewed for recipient/donor demographics, viral serology, cause of liver disease, interval from LT to tumor diagnosis, predisposing factors, immunosuppression and survival. Forty-one neoplasms (31 solid and 10 hematologic) developed in 772 recipients (5.3%) transplanted between 1991 and 2001. Time to tumor diagnosis was longer in patients transplanted before 1995 than in those transplanted afterwards (58 vs. 22 months; p<0.05). Hematologic neoplasms (HN) appeared earlier than solid (2 vs. 21 months; p<0.001), were more prevalent in those transplanted after 1995 than before (32% vs. 12.5%), and had lower survival than solid (2 vs. 21 months, p<0.001). While HCV was the most frequent indication in HN (70%), alcohol was that of solid tumors (71%). Overall, risk factors for de novo neoplasms included alcohol and immunosuppression (p<0.01). In patients undergoing LT in recent years, there is a higher incidence of HN with de novo internal neoplasms developing at earlier time-points than in those transplanted years ago. Risk factors for tumor development include alcohol, HCV and possibly strong immunosuppression.

Delayed onset of severe hepatitis C-related liver damage following liver transplantation: a matter of concern?

Although histological hepatitis occurs in the majority of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected liver transplant recipients, the natural history is highly variable. Whereas progression to cirrhosis occurs in up to 30% after 3 to 7 years, the disease remains stable in another third of patients, in whom protocol liver biopsies might be avoided. However, there is recent concern that with prolonged follow-up, some patients with initial benign recurrence may develop a late-onset aggressive course. Aims of the study are to determine the incidence and factors associated with this event. Based on yearly protocol biopsies (median, five biopsies; range, three to seven biopsies), we evaluated the histological outcome of 57 HCV type 1b-infected transplant recipients with initial benign recurrence, defined as stable histological state (fibrosis stage F0 or F1) during the first 3 years posttransplantation. Severe late-onset liver damage is defined as progression to F3 or F4 in patients with previous benign recurrence. Potential predictors of this event include demographics, donor-related factors, liver enzyme levels at 1 and 3 (or baseline) years posttransplantation, activity grade and fibrosis stage at 1 and 3 years posttransplantation, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related variables occurring within the first 3 years posttransplantation (diabetes, hyperlipidemia, obesity), use of some drugs (renin-angiotensin inhibitors, ursodeoxycholic acid), and the advent of any unusual event. The incidence of severe late-onset liver damage was 35% (n = 20). Twelve transplant recipients progressed to F3, whereas 8 transplant recipients progressed to F4. Sudden histological deterioration was observed on postoperative biopsy 5 in 12 patients; biopsy 6 or 7, in 7 patients; and biopsy 4, in 1 patient. Variables associated with this event in univariate analysis were fibrosis stage and activity grade (and its components) at baseline (P <.0001), recipient female gender (P =.04), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level at 1 year posttransplantation (P =.02), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and ALT levels at baseline (P =.008 and P =.005, respectively). By multivariate analysis, only one variable was retained in the model: fibrosis stage at baseline (relative risk, 11; 95% confidence interval, 3 to 41; P =.0007), whereas AST level almost reached statistical significance (P =.07). In conclusion, delayed HCV-related severe liver damage is not infrequent in transplant recipients with initial benign recurrence, occurring in approximately one third of them. The presence of some degree of fibrosis at baseline appears to predict this sudden change in the natural history of recurrent hepatitis C. Based on these findings, we recommend continuing protocol biopsies and evaluating potential antiviral therapy in transplant recipients with evidence of some fibrosis (even if it is only portal).

Severe recurrent hepatitis C after liver retransplantation for hepatitis C virus-related graft cirrhosis

An increase in the number of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected transplant recipients at need for repeated liver transplantation is anticipated. To date, there is a certain reluctance to accept these patients because of an increased organ shortage, early reports suggesting a poor outcome, and uncertainty regarding the natural history of recurrent hepatitis C in the second graft. The aim of this study is to determine the outcome of patients undergoing retransplantation for HCV-related graft cirrhosis. Of 49 transplant recipients with HCV-related allograft cirrhosis, 31 patients developed decompensation with criteria for retransplantation. Thirteen patients were denied this option. Of the 18 patients accepted, 6 patients died while on the waiting list (5 patients died of graft cirrhosis at a median of 3.2 months of listing), and 12 patients have undergone retransplantation (median, 10 months since HCV cirrhosis). After retransplantation, 8 patients (67%) died at a median of 8 months, and 4 patients (33%) remain alive after 1.9 years of follow-up. Causes and times of death from retransplantation were: surgical complications, n = 3 (perioperative period); HCV cirrhosis of the second graft, n = 2 (at 9 and 54 months); fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis, n = 1 (at 2 years); lymphoproliferative disorder, n = 1 (at 7 months); and endocarditis, n = 1 (at 3.5 years, with underlying cirrhosis). Of the 4 patients alive, fibrosis stages in the last biopsy specimens are stage 1 (n = 1), stage 3 (n = 1), and stage 4 or cirrhosis (n = 1; one patient has not undergone biopsy), despite antiviral therapy. The outcome of retransplantation for HCV cirrhosis of the first graft is very poor because of multiple complications. The severity of recurrent HCV disease in the second graft seems to be related to that observed in the first graft.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: Can it be considered a controversial indication for liver transplantation in centers with high rates of hepatitis C?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still considered a controversial indication for liver transplantation (LT), mainly because of long waiting times and underlying viral cirrhosis. The goal was to evaluate the outcome of LT in 104 patients with HCC and cirrhosis, mainly hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related, in a center with a short waiting time (median, 105 days). Four groups were formed according to the HCC and HCV status: HCV positive with HCC (group 1, n = 81), HCV negative with HCC (group 2, n = 23), HCV positive without HCC (group 3, n = 200), and HCV negative without HCC (group 4, n = 207). Predictive factors of tumor recurrence were demographics, tumor related (size or number of nodules, capsule, bilobar involvement, vascular or lymphatic invasion, clinical and pathologic TNM staging, pre-LT percutaneous ultrasound-guided ethanol injection or transarterial chemoembolization, alpha-fetoprotein levels), donor and surgery related, and year of transplantation. The same variables and "tumor recurrence (yes/no)" were applied to evaluate the effect on survival. The median follow up was 29 months (range, 0 to 104 months). Patient survival was 70% at 1 year and 59% at 5 years for group 1, 87% at 1 year and 77% at 5 years for group 2, 81% at 1 year and 64% at 5 years for group 3, and 88% at 1 year and 77% at 5 years for group 4 (P =.013). Survival was significantly lower in patients with HCC than in those without (74% and 63% versus 85% and 70%, at 1 and 5 years, respectively; P =.05). The causes of death in those with and without HCC were tumor recurrence (24%) and recurrent HCV (8%) versus sepsis (34%) and recurrent HCV (14%). HCC recurrence occurred in 12 patients (11.5%) at a median of 14 months (range, 3 to 60 months) with a probability increasing from 8% at 1 year to 16% at 5 years. In patients with HCC, tumor recurrence was associated with vascular invasion (P =.0004) by multivariate analysis; variables predictive of survival were donor old age (P =.01), viral-related etiology (P =.02), and tumor recurrence (P =.001). Although LT still remains an adequate indication for HCC in centers with high prevalence of HCV infection and short waiting times, both tumor and HCV-related recurrent diseases hamper significantly the outcomes of these patients.

Contribution of donor age to the recent decrease in patient survival among HCV-infected liver transplant recipients

Recurrent hepatitis occurs in the majority of patients undergoing liver transplantation for hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis, with progression to cirrhosis in up to 30% after 5 years. Based on these data, a decrease in survival can be anticipated with prolonged follow-up. Furthermore, posttransplantation HCV-fibrosis progression has been shown in recent years to increase. Our aims were (1) to describe the natural history of HCV-infected recipients, particularly to determine whether survival has decreased in recent years; (2) to compare this outcome with that observed in non-HCV-infected cirrhosis controls; and (3) to determine the factors associated with disease severity and survival. Among 522 cirrhotic patients undergoing transplantation between 1991 and 2000, 283 (54%) were infected with HCV. Yearly biopsies were performed in these recipients and at 1 and 5 years in the remainder. With similar follow-up, the percentage of deaths in the HCV(+) group was significantly higher than in the HCV- group (37% vs. 22%, P <.001), and patient survival was lower (77%, 61%, 55% vs. 87%, 76%, 70% at 1, 5, and 7 years, respectively; P =.0001). Although survival has increased in the HCV- group in recent years, it has significantly decreased in HCV recipients (P <.0001). The main cause of death among the latter was decompensated graft cirrhosis (n = 23/105, 22%), whereas that of HCV- patients was infections (n = 10/52, 19%). Reasons for the recent worse outcome in HCV+ recipients include the increased donor age and stronger immunosuppression. In conclusion, patient survival is lower among HCV+ recipients than among HCV- ones and has been decreasing in recent years. The aging of donors is a major contributor to this worse outcome.