Evaluating hospital costs in type 2 diabetes care: does the choice of the model matter?

BACKGROUND

Awareness of the economic burden of diabetes has led to a number of studies on economic issues. However, comparison among cost-of-illness studies is problematic because different methods are used to arrive at a final cost estimate.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to show how estimates of hospitalisation costs for diabetic patients can vary significantly in relation to the statistical method adopted in the analysis.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The study analyses diabetic patients' costs as a function of demographic and clinical covariates, by applying the following statistical survival models: the parametric survival model assuming Weibull distribution, the Cox proportional hazard (PH) model and the Aalen additive regression for modelling costs. The Aalen approach is robust both for the non proportionality in hazard and for departures from normality. In addition it is able to easily model the effect of covariates on the extreme costs. This cost analysis is based on data collected for a retrospective observational study analysing repeated hospitalisations (N = 4816) in a cohort of 3892 diabetic patients.

RESULTS

There is agreement in all models with the effects of the considered covariates (age, sex, duration of disease and presence of other pathologies). An effect of over- or under-estimation, according to the chosen model due to arguably inappropriate model fitting, was observed, being more evident for some specific profiles of the patients, and overall accounting for as much as 20% of the estimated effect. The Aalen model was able to cope with all the other models in furnishing unbiased estimates with the advantage of a greater flexibility in representing the covariates' effect on the cost process.

CONCLUSIONS

An appropriate choice of the model is crucial in avoiding misinterpretation of cost determinants of type 2 diabetes care. For our data set the Aalen model proved itself to be a realistic and informative way to characterise the effect of covariates on costs.

Child mortality due to suffocation in Europe (1980-1995): a review of official data

This report outlines the current status of the official statistical data available concerning mortality rates for suffocation in children <15 years of age, stratified according to sex and country in Europe, in the years 1980-1995. The data source is the WHO Mortality Database, which comprises deaths registered in national vital registration systems, with underlying cause of death as coded by the relevant national authority. To assess the impact of the problem of suffocation, the total potential years of life lost have been calculated. In addition, for Italy, and for the years 1999-2000, data related to deaths and hospitalizations for foreign body in the pharynx and larynx are presented. In Italy, in the years 1999-2000, the ratio between the number of hospitalizations and the mortality rates is approximately one death every 10 hospitalizations (x 100,000). The European mortality rate exceeds nearly one death per 100,000 persons. No evidence of any geographical pattern or cyclic trend emerged from the analysis of this official data.

Psychological aspects of risk appraisal in asphyxiation accidents: a review of the factors influencing children's perception and behaviour

Psychological aspects determining children's behaviour in response to asphyxiation risk due to ingestion of foreign matter have been rarely and non-systematically examined in the literature. Aim of this report is to highlight--through a review of the most significant psychological research in the literature--which factors influence the behaviour, perception and assessments of children 0 to 14 years of age, in a risk situation. In particular, attention is focused on the direct experience of a child at risk, assuming that this experience can play a significant role in future dangerous situations. Outcomes of studies taken into consideration have highlighted the influence of age, sex, socio-economic status, parents' role, peer group, personal traits, television and personal experience. The latter refutes the initial hypotheses, showing an unexpected and clearly negative effect on future evaluation and behaviour in response to similar contexts of asphyxiation risk. The implications for research on asphyxiation due to ingestion of foreign matter are examined.