Positive impact of [18F]FDG-PET/CT on mortality in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia explained by immortal time bias

BACKGROUND

Several studies have suggested that in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB) [18F]FDG-PET/CT improves outcome. However, these studies often ignored possible immortal time bias.

METHODS

Prospective multicenter cohort study in two university and five non-university hospitals, including all patients with SAB. [18F]FDG-PET/CT was performed on clinical indication as part of usual care. Primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. Effect of [18F]FDG-PET/CT was modelled with a Cox proportional hazards model using [18F]FDG-PET/CT as a time-varying variable and corrected for confounders for mortality (age, Charlson score, positive follow-up cultures, septic shock and endocarditis). Secondary outcome was 90-day infection-related mortality (assessed by adjudication committee) using the same analysis. In a subgroup-analysis, we determined the effect of [18F]FDG-PET/CT in patients with high risk of metastatic infection.

RESULTS

Of 476 patients, 178 (37%) underwent [18F]FDG-PET/CT. Day-90 all-cause mortality was 31% (147 patients) and infection-related mortality was 17% (83 patients). The confounder adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) for all-cause mortality was 0.50 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.34-0.74) in patients that underwent [18F]FDG-PET/CT. Adjustment for immortal time bias changed the aHR to 1.00 (95% CI 0.68-1.48). Likewise, after correction for immortal time bias, [18F]FDG-PET/CT had no effect on infection-related mortality (cause specific aHR 1.30 (95% CI 0.77-2.21)), on all-cause mortality in patients with high-risk SAB (aHR 1.07 (95% CI 0.63-1.83) or on infection-related mortality in high-risk SAB (aHR for 1.24 (95% CI 0.67-2.28)).

CONCLUSIONS

After adjustment for immortal time bias [18F]FDG-PET/CT was not associated with day-90 all-cause or infection-related mortality in patients with SAB.

Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment of Ceftazidime in Adult Patients on General Wards with Different Degrees of Renal Function: A Prospective Observational Bicenter Cohort Study

No prospective evidence exists on the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) target attainment of ceftazidime in adult patients on general wards. We aimed to investigate whether the PK/PD target of ceftazidime (50% T > MIC) is attained in adult patients on general wards with adequate and impaired renal function receiving regular and guideline-recommended reduced doses of ceftazidime. In this observational, prospective, bicenter cohort study, adult patients admitted to a general ward receiving ceftazidime as part of standard care were included. Three blood samples per patient within 72 h after start of treatment were collected. Data were analyzed with nonlinear mixed effects modeling. The primary endpoint was target attainment of 50% T > MIC during the first 24 h of treatment (50% T0–24 > MIC). Forty patients were included from whom 121 blood samples were obtained. All 25/25 patients with adequate renal function, 9/10 patients with moderately impaired renal function (eGFR 30–50 mL/min/1.73 m2) and 5/5 patients with severe impaired renal function (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2) attained 50% T0–24 > MIC when applying the clinical breakpoint MIC for Pseudomonas aeruginosa of 8 mg/L. The one patient not attaining the PK/PD target did not differ in any of the collected patients’ characteristics, except that this patient was the oldest in the study population. However, age was not statistically significantly associated with clearance or volume of distribution in the population pharmacokinetic model and, therefore, not likely the cause for this patient not attaining the PK/PD target. Our results suggest ≥90% probability of the PK/PD target attainment of ceftazidime in patients on general wards with adequate and impaired renal function receiving regular and guideline-recommended reduced doses of ceftazidime for treatment of infections with Pseudomonas aeruginosa and all bacteria with lower MIC-values.

All-Cause and Infection-Related Mortality in Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia, a Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

Background

Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB) is a heterogeneous disease with changing epidemiology due to changing demographics and evolving clinical management. SAB is associated with high mortality, but the current fraction of infection-related mortality is less well quantified.

Methods

In a multicenter prospective cohort study of consecutive patients with SAB, we determined clinical features of SAB and determined 90-day mortality and risk factors of all-cause and infection-related mortality. Infection-related mortality was based on an adjudication committee evaluation.

Results

Four hundred ninety patients with SAB were included, with community-acquired (n = 166), health care-associated (n = 163), and hospital-acquired SAB (n = 161). Endocarditis (n = 90, 18.3%), peripheral intravenous catheter infection (n = 80, 16.3%), and septic arthritis (n = 58, 11.8%) were the most frequent diagnoses, but proportions differed for community, health care, and hospital acquisition. One hundred ninety-two patients (39%) had permanent implanted prosthetic material (eg, prosthetic joint, heart valve, pacemaker). Day 90 all-cause mortality was 33% (n = 161), with 60% adjudicated as infection-related, and 90% of infection-related deaths occurring in the first 30 days post-SAB. Infection-related deaths after 30 days were rare and mainly related to endocarditis. Determinants associated with day 90 infection-related mortality were age (odds ratio [OR], 1.09; 95% CI, 1.06-1.11), Charlson comorbidity index (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.01-1.26), septic shock (OR, 9.78; 95% CI, 4.56-20.95), endocarditis (OR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.75-6.61), and persistent SAB at 48 hours (OR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.27-4.37).

Conclusions

Mortality due to S. aureus infection remains high and mainly occurs in the first 30 days, which could guide end points in future studies.

Prediction rules for ruling out endocarditis in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia

Background

Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB) is in 10% to 20% of cases complicated by infective endocarditis. Clinical prediction scores may select patients with SAB at highest risk for endocarditis, improving the diagnostic process of endocarditis. We compared the accuracy of the Prediction Of Staphylococcus aureus Infective endocarditiseTime to positivity, Iv drug use, Vascular phenomena, preExisting heart condition (POSITIVE), Predicting Risk of Endocarditis Using a Clinical Tool (PREDICT), and VIRSTA scores for classifying the likelihood of endocarditis in patients with SAB.

Methods

Between August 2017 and September 2019, we enrolled consecutive adult patients with SAB in a prospective cohort study in 7 hospitals in the Netherlands. Using the modified Duke Criteria for definite endocarditis as reference standard, sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive (NPV), and positive predictive values were determined for the POSITIVE, PREDICT, and VIRSTA scores. An NPV of at least 98% was considered safe for excluding endocarditis.

Results

Of 477 SAB patients enrolled, 33% had community-acquired SAB, 8% had a prosthetic valve, and 11% a cardiac implantable electronic device. Echocardiography was performed in 87% of patients, and 42% received transesophageal echocardiography (TEE). Eighty-seven (18.2%) had definite endocarditis. Sensitivity was 77.6% (65.8%–86.9%), 85.1% (75.8%–91.8%), and 98.9% (95.7%–100%) for the POSITIVE (n = 362), PREDICT, and VIRSTA scores, respectively. NPVs were 92.5% (87.9%–95.8%), 94.5% (90.7%–97.0%), and 99.3% (94.9%–100%). For the POSITIVE, PREDICT, and VIRSTA scores, 44.5%, 50.7%, and 70.9% of patients with SAB, respectively, were classified as at high risk for endocarditis.

Conclusions

Only the VIRSTA score had an NPV of at least 98%, but at the expense of a high number of patients classified as high risk and thus requiring TEE.

Clinical Trials Registration

Netherlands Trial Register code 6669.