Predicting the onset of end-stage knee osteoarthritis over two- and five-years using machine learning

OBJECTIVE

Identifying participants who will progress to advanced stage in knee osteoarthritis (KOA) trials remains a significant challenge. Current tools, relying on total knee replacements (TKR), fall short in reliability due to the extraneous factors influencing TKR decisions. Acknowledging these limitations, our study identifies a critical need for a more robust metric to assess severe KOA. The end-stage KOA (esKOA) measure, which combines symptomatic and radiographic criteria, serves as a solid indicator. To enhance future trials that use esKOA as an endpoint, our study focuses on developing and validating a machine-learning tool to identify individuals likely to develop esKOA within 2 to 5 years.

DESIGN

Utilizing the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) data, we trained models on 3,114 participants and validated them with 606 participants for the right knee, and similarly for the left knee, with external validation from the Multicentre Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) involving 1,602 participants. We aimed to predict esKOA onset at 2-to-2.5 years and 4-to-5 years, defining esKOA by severe radiographic KOA with moderate/severe symptoms or mild/moderate radiographic KOA with persistent/intense symptoms. Our analysis considered 51 candidate predictors, including demographics, clinical history, physical examination, and X-ray evaluations. An online tool predicting esKOA progression, based on models with ten and nine predictors for the right and left knees, respectively, was developed.

RESULTS

External validation (MOST) for the right knee at 2.5 years yielded an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0.847 (95 % CI 0.811 to 0.882), and at 5 years, 0.853 (95 % CI 0.823 to 0.881); for the left knee at 2.5 years, AUC was 0.824 (95 % CI 0.782 to 0.857), and at 5 years, 0.807 (95 % CI 0.768 to 0.843). Models with fewer predictors demonstrated comparable performance. The online tool is available at: https://eskoa.shinyapps.io/webapp/.

CONCLUSION

Our study unveils a robust, externally validated machine learning tool proficient in predicting the onset of esKOA over the next 2 to 5 years. Our tool can lead to more efficient KOA trials.

Association of Weight Loss and Weight Gain With Structural Defects and Pain in Hand Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to define the association of weight change (weight loss or weight gain) with the incidence and progression of hand osteoarthritis (OA), assessed either by radiography or by pain, using data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

METHODS

Among the 4,796 participants, we selected 4,598 participants, excluding those with cancer or rheumatoid arthritis or a body mass index under 18.5 kg/m2. We investigated the association of weight change with incidence and progression of radiographic hand OA and the development and resolution of hand pain. Using multivariable logistic regression, we investigated the association of weight change from baseline to the 4-year follow-up with the incidence and progression of radiographic hand OA at the 4-year follow-up. Additionally, multivariable repeated-measure mixed-effects logistic regression analyzed the association of weight change with the development and resolution of hand pain across 2-year, 4-year, 6-year, and 8-year follow-ups.

RESULTS

No statistically significant associations were observed between weight change and the investigated outcomes. Specifically, for each 5% weight loss, the odds ratios for the incidence and progression of radiographic hand OA were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.67-1.23) and 0.92 (95% CI 0.84-1.00), respectively. Similarly, for each 5% weight loss, the odds ratios for the development and resolution of hand pain at the 8-year follow-up were 1.00 (95% CI 0.92-1.09) and 1.07 (95% CI 0.91-1.25), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study found no evidence of an association between weight change and the odds of incidence or progression of radiographic hand OA over 4 years, nor the development or resolution of hand pain over 8 years.

Associations of inflammatory and metabolic biomarkers with incident erosive hand osteoarthritis in the osteoarthritis initiative cohort

OBJECTIVE

Erosive hand osteoarthritis (eHOA) is a subtype of hand osteoarthritis (OA) that develops in finger joints with pre-existing OA and is differentiated by clinical characteristics (hand pain/disability, inflammation, and erosions) that suggest inflammatory or metabolic processes.

METHOD

This was a longitudinal nested case-cohort design among Osteoarthritis Initiative participants who had hand radiographs at baseline and 48-months, and biospecimens collected at baseline. We classified incident radiographic eHOA in individuals with ≥1 joint with Kellgren-Lawrence ≥2 and a central erosion present at 48-months but not at baseline. We used a random representative sample (n = 1282) for comparison. We measured serum biomarkers of inflammation, insulin resistance and dysglycemia, and adipokines using immunoassays and enzymatic colorimetric procedures, blinded to case status.

RESULTS

Eighty-six participants developed incident radiographic eHOA. In the multivariate analyses adjusted for age, gender, race, smoking, and body mass index, and after adjustment for multiple analyses, incident radiographic eHOA was associated with elevated levels of interleukin-7 (risk ratio (RR) per SD = 1.30 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09, 1.55] p trend 0.01).

CONCLUSION

This exploratory study suggests an association of elevated interleukin-7, an inflammatory cytokine, with incident eHOA, while other cytokines or biomarkers of metabolic inflammation were not associated. Interleukin-7 may mediate inflammation and tissue damage in susceptible osteoarthritic finger joints and participate in erosive progression.

Gardening/yardwork in people with knee osteoarthritis is not associated with symptom or structural progression over 48 months: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the relationship of gardening/yardwork with symptomatic and structural progression in those with pre-existing radiographic knee osteoarthritis (OA) in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), an observational study designed to evaluate potential and known biomarkers and risk factors of knee OA.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study nested within the OAI, including participants ≥ 50 years old with radiographic OA in at least one knee at the time of OAI enrollment. A participant reported the level of gardening/yardwork activity in a self-administered survey. Logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the association of gardening/yardwork on new frequent knee pain, Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) worsening, medial joint space narrowing (JSN) worsening, and improved frequent knee pain.

RESULTS

Of 1808 knees (1203 participants), over 60% of knees had KL grade = 2, 65% had medial JSN, and slightly more than a third had frequent knee symptoms. Gardeners/yardworkers and non-gardners/yardworkers had similar "worsening" outcomes for new knee pain (29% vs. 29%), KL worsening (19% vs. 18%), and medial JSN (23% vs. 24%). The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for the "worsening" outcomes of new knee pain, KL worsening, and medial JSN worsening were 1.0 (0.7-1.3), 1.0 (0.8-1.3), and 1.1 (0.9-1.4), respectively. The gardeners/yardworkers had an adjusted OR of 1.2 (0.9-1.7) for improved knee pain compared with non-gardners/yardworkers.

CONCLUSION

Gardening/yardwork is not associated with knee OA progression and should not be discouraged in those with knee OA. Key Points • Gardening/yardwork is not associated with knee OA symptomatic or structural progression. • Gardening/yardwork should not be discouraged in people with knee OA.

Automatic Segmentation of Bone Marrow Lesions on MRI Using a Deep Learning Method

Bone marrow lesion (BML) volume is a potential biomarker of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) as it is associated with cartilage degeneration and pain. However, segmenting and quantifying the BML volume is challenging due to the small size, low contrast, and various positions where the BML may occur. It is also time-consuming to delineate BMLs manually. In this paper, we proposed a fully automatic segmentation method for BMLs without requiring human intervention. The model takes intermediate weighted fat-suppressed (IWFS) magnetic resonance (MR) images as input, and the output BML masks are evaluated using both regular 2D Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) of the slice-level area metric and 3D DSC of the subject-level volume metric. On a dataset with 300 subjects, each subject has a sequence of 36 IWFS MR images approximately. We randomly separated the dataset into training, validation, and testing sets with a 70%/15%/15% split at the subject level. Since not every subject or image has a BML, we excluded the images without a BML in each subset. The ground truth of the BML was labeled by trained medical staff using a semi-automatic tool. Compared with the ground truth, the proposed segmentation method achieved a Pearson's correlation coefficient of 0.98 between the manually measured volumes and automatically segmented volumes, a 2D DSC of 0.68, and a 3D DSC of 0.60 on the testing set. Although the DSC result is not high, the high correlation of 0.98 indicates that the automatically measured BML volume is strongly correlated with the manually measured BML volume, which shows the potential to use the proposed method as an automatic measurement tool for the BML biomarker to facilitate the assessment of knee OA progression.

Bicycling over a Lifetime Is Associated with Less Symptomatic Knee Osteoarthritis: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

INTRODUCTION

To evaluate the relationship between a history of bicycling and symptomatic and structural outcomes of knee osteoarthritis (OA), the most common form of arthritis.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, cross-sectional study within the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), where we investigated OAI participants with complete data on bicycling, knee pain, and radiographic evidence of knee OA. We used a self-administered questionnaire at the 96-month OAI visit to identify participation in bicycling during four time periods throughout a participant's lifetime (ages 12-18, 19-34, 35-49, and > 50 years old). Using logistic regression, we evaluated the influence of prior bicycling status (any history, history for each time period, number of periods cycling) on three outcomes at the 48-month OAI visit: frequent knee pain, radiographic OA (ROA), and symptomatic radiographic OA (SOA), adjusting for age and gender.

RESULTS

2607 participants were included; 44.2% were male; mean age was 64.3 (SD 9.0) years; body mass index was 28.5 (SD 4.9) kg/m 2 . The adjusted risk ratio for the outcome of frequent knee pain, ROA, and SOA among those who reported any history of bicycling compared to non-bicyclers was 0.83 (0.73-0.92), 0.91 (0.85-0.98), and 0.79 (0.68-0.90), respectively. We observed a dose-response among those who participated in bicycling during more time periods.

CONCLUSIONS

People who participated in bicycling had a lower prevalence of frequent knee pain, ROA, and SOA. The benefit appeared cumulative. This study indicates that bicycling may be favorable to knee health and should be encouraged.

Knee cartilage change on magnetic resonance imaging: Should we lump or split topographical regions? A 2-year study of data from the osteoarthritis initiative

OBJECTIVE

We challenge the paradigm that a simplistic approach evaluating anatomic regions (e.g., medial femur or tibia) is ideal for assessing articular cartilage loss on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging. We used a data-driven approach to explore whether specific topographical locations of knee cartilage loss may identify novel patterns of cartilage loss over time that current assessment strategies miss.

DESIGN

We assessed 60 location-specific measures of articular cartilage on a sample of 99 knees with baseline and 24-month MR images from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, selected as a group with a high likelihood to change. We performed factor analyses of the change in these measures in two ways: (1) summing the measures to create one measure for each of the six anatomically regional-based summary (anatomic regions; e.g., medial tibia) and (2) treating each location separately for a total of 60 measures (location-specific measures).

RESULTS

The first analysis produced three factors accounting for 66% of the variation in the articular cartilage changes that occur over 24 months of follow-up: (1) medial tibiofemoral, (2) medial and lateral patellar, and (3) lateral tibiofemoral. The second produced 20 factors accounting for 75% of the variance in cartilage changes. Twelve factors only involved one anatomic region. Five factors included locations from adjoining regions (defined by the first analysis; e.g., medial tibiofemoral). Three factors included articular cartilage loss from disparate locations.

CONCLUSIONS

Novel patterns of cartilage loss occur within each anatomic region and across these regions, including in disparate regions. The traditional anatomic regional approach is simpler to implement and interpret but may obscure meaningful patterns of change.

Strength Training Is Associated With Less Knee Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate the relationship of a history of strength training with symptomatic and structural outcomes of knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

This study was a retrospective, cross-sectional study within the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), a multicenter prospective longitudinal observational study. Data were collected at four OAI clinical sites: Memorial Hospital of Rhode Island, the Ohio State University, the University of Pittsburgh, and the University of Maryland/Johns Hopkins. The study included 2,607 participants with complete data on strength training, knee pain, and radiographic evidence of knee OA (male, 44.2%; mean ± SD age 64.3 ± 9.0 years; mean ± SD body mass index 28.5 ± 4.9 kg/m2 ). We used a self-administered questionnaire at the 96-month OAI visit to evaluate the exposure of strength training participation during four time periods throughout a participant's lifetime (ages 12-18, 19-34, 35-49, and ≥50 years old). The outcomes (dependent variables) were radiographic OA (ROA), symptomatic radiographic OA (SOA), and frequent knee pain.

RESULTS

The fully adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for frequent knee pain, ROA, and SOA among those who participated in strength training any time in their lives were 0.82 (0.68-0.97), 0.83 (0.70-0.99), and 0.77 (0.63-0.94), respectively. Findings were similar when looking at the specific age ranges.

CONCLUSION

Strength training is beneficial for future knee health, counteracting long-held assumptions that strength training has adverse effects.

Evaluation of a measure of end-stage knee osteoarthritis compared to total knee replacement: An observational study using multicohort data

OBJECTIVES

To determine if an end-stage knee osteoarthritis (esKOA) measure, based on symptomatic and radiographic criteria, can indicate progression to severe KOA earlier and with fewer research participants than total knee replacement (TKR). We employed both interventional and observational study designs as examples to estimate the required sample sizes. EsKOA in a knee was declared if either of the following two conditions were met: 1) moderate, intense, or severe symptoms of KOA indicated by pain and disability measurement and severe KOA indicated by radiographically-assessed knee structure; 2) intense or severe symptoms of KOA indicated by pain and disability measurement and frequent knee pain with mild or moderate KOA as indicated by radiographically-assessed knee structure.

METHODS

We examined the association between weight loss from baseline to 2-to-2.5-year and 4-to-5-year follow-ups and the odds of esKOA and TKR in 5,593 participants (10,357 knees) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST). We also estimated the sample sizes needed for interventional and observational study designs to detect a 10, 20, or 50% reduction in the incidence of esKOA and TKR.

RESULTS

The association of weight loss with both esKOA and TKR was detected at the 4-to-5-year follow-up. However, at the 2-to-2.5-year follow-up, the association was detected for esKOA but not TKR. The required sample sizes for detecting associations of weight loss with the incidence of esKOA were 85% to 93% smaller than those for TKR at the 4-to-5-year and 2-to-2.5-year follow-ups, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The esKOA measure enables shorter and smaller studies compared to using TKR as an outcome.

Persistent Early Knee Osteoarthritis Symptoms in the First Two Years After ACL Reconstruction

CONTEXT

Early identification of knee osteoarthritis (OA) symptoms after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) could enable timely interventions to improve long-term outcomes. However, little is known about the change in early OA symptoms from 6 to 12 months following ACLR.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the change over time in meeting classification criteria for early knee OA symptoms from 6 to 12 months following ACLR.

DESIGN

Prospective Cohort Study.

SETTING

Research laboratory.

PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS

82 participants aged 13-35 years who underwent unilateral primary ACLR. On average, participants' 1st and 2nd visits were 6.2 and 12.1 months post-ACLR.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Early OA symptoms were classified using generic (Luyten Original) and patient population-specific (Luyten PASS) thresholds on Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) subscales. Changes in meeting early OA criteria were compared between an initial and follow-up visit at an average of 6 and 12 months post-ACLR, respectively.

RESULTS

Twenty-two percent of participants exhibited persistent early OA symptoms across both visits using both the Luyten Original and PASS criteria. From initial to follow-up visit, 18-27% had resolution of early OA symptoms while 4-9% developed incident symptoms. In total, 48-51% had no early OA symptoms at either visit. There were no differences between change in early OA status between adults and adolescents.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly one quarter of participants exhibited persistent early knee OA symptoms based on KOOS thresholds from 6 to 12 months post-ACLR. Determining if this symptom persistence predicts worse long-term outcomes could inform the need for timely interventions after ACLR. Future research should examine if resolving persistent symptoms in this critical window improves later outcomes. Tracking early OA symptoms over time may identify high-risk patients who could benefit from early treatment.

Meniscal degeneration is prognostic of destabilzing meniscal tear and accelerated knee osteoarthritis: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

The objective of this study was to assess the prognostic potential of magnetic resonance (MR)-detected meniscal degeneration in relation to incident destabilizing meniscal tears (radial, complex, root, or macerated) or accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA). We used existing MR data from a case-control study of three groups from the Osteoarthritis Initiative without radiographic KOA at baseline: AKOA, typical KOA, and no KOA. From these groups, we included people without medial and lateral meniscal tear at baseline (n = 226) and 48-month meniscal data (n = 221). Intermediate-weighted fat-suppressed MR images annually from baseline to the 48-month visit were graded using a semiquantitative meniscal tear classification criterion. Incident destabilizing meniscal tear was defined as progressing from an intact meniscus to a destabilizing tear by the 48-month visit. We used two logistic regression models to assess whether: (1) presence of medial meniscal degeneration was associated with an incident medial destabilizing meniscal tear, and (2) presence of meniscal degeneration in either meniscus was associated with incident AKOA over the next 4 years. People with the presence of a medial meniscal degeneration had three times the odds of developing an incident destabilizing medial meniscal tear within 4 years compared with a person without medial meniscus degeneration (odds ratio [OR]: 3.03; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.40-6.59). People with meniscal degeneration had five times the odds of developing incident AKOA within 4 years compared with a person without meniscal degeneration in either meniscus (OR: 5.04; 95% CI: 2.57-9.89). Meniscal degeneration on MR is clinically meaningful as it relates to future poor outcomes.

The Prognostic Potential of End-Stage Knee Osteoarthritis and Its Components to Predict Knee Replacement: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine how 2 definitions of end-stage knee osteoarthritis (esKOA) and each component (knee symptoms, persistent knee pain, radiographic severity, and presence of limited mobility or instability) related to future knee replacement (KR).

METHODS

We performed knee-based analyses of Osteoarthritis Initiative data from baseline to the first 4 annual follow-up visits, and data on KR from baseline until the fifth yearly contact. We calculated a base model using common risk factors for KR in logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations. We assessed model performance with area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. We then added esKOA or each component from the visit (< 12 months) before a KR and change in the year before a KR. We calculated the net reclassification improvement (NRI) index and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index.

RESULTS

Our sample was mostly female (58%), ≥ 65 years old, White (82%), and without radiographic knee osteoarthritis (50%). At the visit before a KR, Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grades (ordinal scale; AUC 0.88, NRI 1.12, IDI 0.11), the alternate definition of esKOA (AUC 0.84, NRI 1.16, IDI 0.12), and a model with every component of esKOA (AUC 0.91, NRI 1.30, IDI 0.17) had the best performances. During the year before a KR, change in esKOA status (alternate definition) had the best performance (AUC 0.86, NRI 1.24, IDI 0.12).

CONCLUSION

Radiographic severity may be a screening tool to find a knee that will likely receive a KR. However, esKOA may be an ideal outcome in clinical trials because a change in esKOA state predicts future KR.

Radiographic joint space width in individuals with hand osteoarthritis: Are their "healthy" joints really healthy?

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to investigate the systemic nature of hand osteoarthritis (OA). We hypothesized that people who suffer from hand OA would display narrower radiographic joint space width (JSW) - not only in joints with apparent radiographic OA but also in their unaffected "healthy" joints.

METHOD

We examined 3394 participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative with available dominant hand radiographs at baseline. Cases were defined as having interphalangeal OA (IPOA) based on a Kellgren and Lawrence (KL) score of ≥2 in two or more finger joints, whereas controls did not have IPOA. We used custom software to make JSW measurements of the metacarpophalangeal, proximal interphalangeal, and distal interphalangeal joints in fingers 2-5 per hand. In joint-level analyses, we included only KL score=0, allowing us to compare all joints without IPOA in cases and controls. We used generalized estimating equation models to compare JSW between both groups, adjusted for age, gender, metacarpal length, and joint type.

RESULTS

Finger joints without radiographic OA had significantly narrower JSW in the IPOA group compared to finger joints in the control group (p < 0.001). The differences were significant across all joint types and for both total JSW measurements as well as for central and lateral sub-regions within each joint group (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Unaffected finger joints in people with IPOA had narrower joint space than joints of healthy controls. This implies a systemic nature of hand OA, in which people may have a predisposition for general cartilage deterioration.

Hand joints without radiographic osteoarthritis maintain their joint space width over 4 years despite what's happening elsewhere in the hand

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine if hand osteoarthritis is characterized by systemic cartilage loss by assessing if radiographically normal joints had greater joint space width (JSW) loss during four years in hands with incident or prevalent osteoarthritis elsewhere in the hand compared with hands without osteoarthritis.

METHODS

We used semi-automated software to measure JSW in the distal and proximal interphalangeal joints of 3,368 participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative who had baseline and 48-month hand radiographs. A reader scored 16 hand joints (including the thumb-base) for Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) Grade. A joint had osteoarthritis if scored as KL ≥ 2. We identified three groups based on longitudinal hand osteoarthritis status: 1) no hand osteoarthritis (KL < 2 in all 16 joints) at the baseline and 48-month visits, 2) incident hand osteoarthritis (KL < 2in all 16 joints at baseline and then ≥1 joint with KL ≥ 2 at 48-months), and 3) prevalent hand osteoarthritis (≥1 joint with KL ≥ 2 at baseline and 48-months). We then assessed if JSW in radiographically normal joints (KL = 0) differed across these three groups. We calculated unpooled effect sizes to help interpret the differences between groups.

RESULTS

We observed small differences in JSW loss that are unlikely to be clinically important between radiographically normal joints between those without hand osteoarthritis (n = 1054) and those with incident (n = 102) or prevalent hand osteoarthritis (n = 2212) (effect size range: -0.01 to 0.24). These findings were robust when examining JSW loss dichotomized based on meaningful change and in other secondary analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Hand osteoarthritis is not a systemic disease of cartilage.

Pharmaceutical treatment of osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To review the current state of pharmaceutical treatment recommendations for the management of osteoarthritis.

METHOD

A narrative review was drafted to describe treatment guidelines, mechanism of action, pharmacokinetics, and toxicity for nine classes of pharmaceuticals: 1) oral nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), 2) topical NSAIDs, 3) COX-2 inhibitors, 4) duloxetine, 5) intra-articular corticosteroids, 6) intra-articular hyaluronic acid, 7) acetaminophen (paracetamol), 8) tramadol, and 9) capsaicin.

RESULTS

In general, oral and topical NSAIDs, including COX-2 inhibitors, are strongly recommended first-line treatments for osteoarthritis due to their ability to improve pain and function but are associated with increased risks in patients with certain comorbidities (e.g., heightened cardiovascular risks). Intra-articular corticosteroid injections are generally recommended for osteoarthritis management and have relatively minor adverse effects. Other treatments, such as capsaicin, tramadol, and acetaminophen, are more controversial, and many updated guidelines offer differing recommendations.

CONCLUSION

The pharmaceutical management of osteoarthritis is a constantly evolving field. Promising treatments are emerging, and medicines that were once considered conventional (e.g., acetaminophen) are gradually becoming less acceptable based on concerns with efficacy and safety. Clinicians need to consider the latest evidence and recommendations to make an informed decision with their patients about how to optimize treatment plans for patients with knee, hip, polyarticular, or hand osteoarthritis.

Preventing Osteoarthritis After an Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury: An Osteoarthritis Action Alliance Consensus Statement

After an anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury, people need secondary prevention strategies to identify osteoarthritis at its earliest stages so that interventions can be implemented to halt or slow the progression toward its long-term burden. The Osteoarthritis Action Alliance formed an interdisciplinary Secondary Prevention Task Group to develop a consensus on recommendations to provide clinicians with secondary prevention strategies that are intended to reduce the risk of osteoarthritis after a person has an ACL injury. The group achieved consensus on 15 out of 16 recommendations that address patient education, exercise and rehabilitation, psychological skills training, graded-exposure therapy, cognitive-behavioral counseling (lacked consensus), outcomes to monitor, secondary injury prevention, system-level social support, leveraging technology, and coordinated care models. We hope this statement raises awareness among clinicians and researchers on the importance of taking steps to mitigate the risk of osteoarthritis after an ACL injury.

Evidence Review for Preventing Osteoarthritis After an Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury: An Osteoarthritis Action Alliance Consensus Statement

CONTEXT

The Osteoarthritis Action Alliance formed a secondary prevention task group to develop a consensus on secondary prevention recommendations to reduce the risk of osteoarthritis after a knee injury.

OBJECTIVE

Our goal was to provide clinicians with secondary prevention recommendations that are intended to reduce the risk of osteoarthritis after a person has sustained an anterior cruciate ligament injury. Specifically, this manuscript describes our methods, literature reviews, and dissenting opinions to elaborate on the rationale for our recommendations and to identify critical gaps.

DESIGN

Consensus process.

SETTING

Virtual video conference calls and online voting.

PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS

The Secondary Prevention Task Group consisted of 29 members from various clinical backgrounds.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

The group initially convened online in August 2020 to discuss the target population, goals, and key topics. After a second call, the task group divided into 9 subgroups to draft the recommendations and supportive text for crucial content areas. Twenty-one members completed 2 rounds of voting and revising the recommendations and supportive text between February and April 2021. A virtual meeting was held to review the wording of the recommendations and obtain final votes. We defined consensus as >80% of voting members supporting a proposed recommendation.

RESULTS

The group achieved consensus on 15 of 16 recommendations. The recommendations address patient education, exercise and rehabilitation, psychological skills training, graded-exposure therapy, cognitive-behavioral counseling (lacked consensus), outcomes to monitor, secondary injury prevention, system-level social support, leveraging technology, and coordinated care models.

CONCLUSIONS

This consensus statement reflects information synthesized from an interdisciplinary group of experts based on the best available evidence from the literature or personal experience. We hope this document raises awareness among clinicians and researchers to take steps to mitigate the risk of osteoarthritis after an anterior cruciate ligament injury.

The natural history of end-stage knee osteoarthritis: Data from the osteoarthritis initiative

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to describe the natural history leading to end-stage knee osteoarthritis (esKOA), focusing on knee symptoms, radiographic severity, and the presence of limited mobility or instability.

METHODS

We performed knee-based analyses of Osteoarthritis Initiative data from 7691 knees (4165 participants). We used a validated definition of esKOA that relied on meeting one of two criteria: (1) severe radiographic knee osteoarthritis (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] grade=4) with moderate-to-intense pain (Likert WOMAC pain+function>11/88) or (2) KL grade<4 with intense or severe pain (WOMAC pain+function>22) and limited mobility (flexion contracture≥5°) or instability (based on a varus and valgus stress test). We also introduced an alternate definition of esKOA that relied on meeting one of two criteria that omitted physical exam findings:(1) severe radiographic knee osteoarthritis (KL grade=4) with at least moderate symptoms or (2) KL grade=2 or 3 with intense or severe symptoms and persistent knee pain (frequent knee pain during three or more months in the past year). We used descriptive statistics to explore the frequency of components of esKOA at the index visit when they had incident esKOA, at the annual visit before developing esKOA, and the interval change between those visits.

RESULTS

Our analytic sample was mostly female (58%), without radiographic knee osteoarthritis (KL grade=0 or 1; 60%), without stability or mobility concerns (91%), and without persistent knee pain (77%). At the visit before incident esKOA, most knees already had moderate-to-severe radiographic osteoarthritis using the original (62%) or alternate (50%) definition (versus <15% for either definition of no esKOA). Over 80% of knees that reached the criteria for esKOA achieved this based on increased knee symptom severity - typically without worsening radiographic severity (80%).

CONCLUSION

Radiographic severity predisposed a knee to esKOA. However, worsening knee symptoms led to the development of incident esKOA. If investigators want to increase the chance of identifying incident esKOA as an outcome, they should enrich their study samples with people with moderate-to-severe radiographic osteoarthritis. Our findings also highlight the potential reversibility of esKOA (a knee that is classified with esKOA but later is not classified with esKOA). Reversibility is not a flaw of an outcome defining esKOA but rather a desirable clinical outcome to demonstrate a therapeutic intervention can help people with esKOA improve their knee symptoms and delay a knee replacement.

Association Between Walking for Exercise and Symptomatic and Structural Progression in Individuals With Knee Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relationship between walking for exercise and symptomatic and structural disease progression in individuals with knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

We assessed a nested cohort of participants age 50 years or older within the Osteoarthritis Initiative, a community-based observational study in which subjects were enrolled between 2004 and 2006. We focused on 4 dichotomous outcomes from baseline to the 48-month visit, involving determination of the frequency of knee pain and radiographic severity of knee OA on posteroanterior semiflexed knee radiographs. The outcomes assessed included 1) new frequent knee pain, 2) worsening of radiographic severity of knee OA based on the Kellgren/Lawrence grade, 3) progression of medial joint space narrowing, and 4) improved frequent knee pain. We used a modified version of the Historical Physical Activity Survey Instrument to ascertain those subjects who reported walking for exercise after age 50 years. The survey was administered at the 96-month visit (2012-2014).

RESULTS

Of 1,212 participants with knee OA, 45% were male and 73% reported walking for exercise. The mean ± SD age was 63.2 ± 7.9 years, and the mean ± SD body mass index was 29.4 ± 4.6 kg/m2 . The likelihood of new frequent knee pain was reduced in participants with knee OA who walked for exercise as compared to those who were non-walkers (odds ratio [OR] 0.6, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.4-0.8), and progression of medial joint space narrowing was less common in walkers compared to non-walkers (OR 0.8, 95% CI 0.6-1.0).

CONCLUSION

In individuals with knee OA who were age 50 years or older, walking for exercise was associated with less frequent development of knee pain. These findings support the notion that walking for exercise should be encouraged for people with knee OA. Furthermore, we offer a proof of concept that walking for exercise could be disease modifying, which warrants further study.

Increased risk of incident knee osteoarthritis in those with greater work-related physical activity

OBJECTIVE

Occupations involving greater physical activity may increase risk for knee osteoarthritis (OA). Existing studies have not evaluated work-related physical activity before OA onset. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the association between work-related physical activity and knee OA incidence.

METHODS

We performed a person-based longitudinal study using Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) data among people who volunteered or worked for pay without baseline radiographic knee OA or knee pain. Bilateral knee radiographs were obtained at baseline and annual follow-ups. We defined radiographic OA as Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥2. Questions from the Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly at baseline and annual OAI visits provided information about work-related physical activity level and hours. We performed logistic regression with work-related physical activity level ( mainly sitting , standing and some walking , walking while handling some materials ) and hours as predictors. The outcome was incident person-based radiographic OA within the ensuing 12 months, over 48 months.

RESULTS

Among 951 participants (2819 observations), higher work-related physical activity levels had greater adjusted ORs for incident radiographic OA (people with jobs with standing and some walking : 1.11 (0.60-2.08), and walking while handling some materials : 1.90 (1.03-3.52), when compared with those with mainly sitting work-related activity ). There was no association between number of hours worked and incident radiographic OA.

CONCLUSIONS

People performing work that require walking while handling some materials have greater odds of incident knee OA than those with jobs mostly involving sitting. Strategies are needed to mitigate risk factors predisposing them to radiographic OA.

Serum PFAS and Urinary Phthalate Biomarker Concentrations and Bone Mineral Density in 12-19 Year Olds: 2011-2016 NHANES

CONTEXT

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and phthalates are 2 families of environmental endocrine disruptors that may be associated with areal lower bone mineral density (aBMD).

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations between serum PFAS and urinary phthalate biomarker concentrations and their mixtures with aBMD Z-scores in adolescents.

DESIGN, PATIENTS, AND MEASURES

We examined serial cross-sectional data from male (n = 453) and female (n = 395) 12- to 19-year-old participants in the 2011 through 2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey with measures of serum PFAS, urinary phthalate metabolites, and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry aBMD Z-scores (total body less head). In sex-specific models, we used linear regression to examine associations of individual PFAS and phthalate biomarkers with aBMD Z-scores, and Bayesian kernel machine regression to examine the association of the overall PFAS/phthalate biomarker mixture with aBMD Z-scores. We replicated the analysis, stratifying by race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

Participants were (mean ± SD) 15 ± 2.1 years of age. In males, each doubling of serum perfluorooctanoate (PFOA), perfluorooctane sulfonate, urinary mono-isobutyl phthalate (MiBP), mono-n-butyl phthalate, and the overall PFAS/phthalate mixture was associated with a lower aBMD Z-score (eg, for PFOA: -0.24; 95% CI, -0.41 to -0.06). Serum PFOA and urinary MiBP were associated with higher aBMD Z-scores in females (eg, for PFOA: 0.09; 95% CI, -0.07 to 0.25). Findings did not differ by race/ethnicity.

CONCLUSIONS

Certain PFAS and phthalates may be associated with reduced bone mineral density in adolescent males. Bone mineral density tracks across the life course, so if replicated in longitudinal cohorts, this finding may have implications for lifelong skeletal health.

Excessive alcohol consumption and the risk of knee osteoarthritis: a prospective study from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of alcohol consumption with risk of incident knee osteoarthritis (OA) in a large prospective cohort study.

DESIGN

In the Osteoarthritis Initiative, 2,846 participants aged 45-79 years and free from radiographic knee OA in at least one knee at baseline were followed up to 96 months. Information on baseline alcohol consumption was obtained from the Block Brief Food Frequency Questionnaire. Incident cases of radiographic knee OA (ROA) were defined as Kellgren-Lawrence grade changing from zero or one to ≥ two during the follow-up time. Incident symptomatic OA (SxOA) was defined as ROA with knee pain worsening. The Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the independent association between alcohol consumption and risk of knee.

RESULTS

During 96 months' follow-up, we identified 691 knees with incident ROA, and 496 knees with incident SxOA among 2,846 subjects. Compared to non-drinkers, excessive alcohol consumption was significantly associated with increased risk of ROA (HR _{≥ 30  g/d vs none} = 1.93, 95% CI: 1.28-2.89) and SxOA (HR _{≥ 30 g/d vs none} = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.04-2.48). Similar association was observed for liquor consumption (HR _{liquor≥15 g/d vs none} = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.16-2.52 for ROA; HR _{liquor≥15 g/d vs none} = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.04-2.39 for SxOA). Light to moderate alcohol consumption was not associated with knee OA risk.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that excessive alcohol drinking was associated with an increased risk of knee OA. Further studies are needed in other populations.

Novel Framework for Measuring Whole Knee Osteoarthritis Progression Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging

OBJECTIVE

We developed and validated a set of composite scores that combine quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based measurements of hyaline cartilage damage, bone marrow lesions (BMLs), and effusion-synovitis into composite scores.

METHODS

We selected 300 participants (n = 100 for development cohort; n = 200 for validation cohort) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative with complete clinical, radiographic, and MRI data at baseline and 24 months. We used semiautomated programs to quantify tibiofemoral and patellar cartilage damage, BML volume, and whole-knee effusion-synovitis volume. The candidate composite scores were formed by summing changes from baseline to 24 months based on prespecified methods. We evaluated the candidate composite scores for 1) the ability to differentiate groups with and without knee osteoarthritis progression (17 radiographic and patient-reported definitions), 2) sensitivity to change (standardized response means), and 3) relative performance relating to legacy outcome measures of knee osteoarthritis progression.

RESULTS

Three of 13 developed composite scores qualified for testing in the validation cohort (ranked by sensitivity to change): whole-knee cumulative cartilage damage, unweighted total knee score, and BML plus effusion-synovitis volume. Change in cumulative cartilage damage associated with radiographic progression (Kellgren/Lawrence grade: odds ratio [OR] 1.84; joint space width progression: OR 2.11). Changes in the unweighted total knee score (OR 1.97) and BML plus effusion-synovitis score (OR 1.92) associated with Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index knee pain progression.

CONCLUSION

Two composite scores emerged, reflecting discrete domains of knee osteoarthritis progression. First, cumulative damage, which is measured by a whole-knee cartilage damage score, reflects the damage accrued over time. Second, dynamic disease activity, which is measured by a BML plus effusion-synovitis score, relates to changes in a patient's state of disease and symptoms.

Validating a Semi-Automated Technique for Segmenting Femoral Articular Cartilage on Ultrasound Images

OBJECTIVE

To validate a semi-automated technique to segment ultrasound-assessed femoral cartilage without compromising segmentation accuracy to a traditional manual segmentation technique in participants with an anterior cruciate ligament injury (ACL).

DESIGN

We recruited 27 participants with a primary unilateral ACL injury at a pre-operative clinic visit. One investigator performed a transverse suprapatellar ultrasound scan with the participant's ACL injured knee in maximum flexion. Three femoral cartilage ultrasound images were recorded. A single expert reader manually segmented the femoral cartilage cross-sectional area in each image. In addition, we created a semi-automatic program to segment the cartilage using a random walker-based method. We quantified the average cartilage thickness and echo-intensity for the manual and semi-automated segmentations. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC_2,k) and Bland-Altman plots were used to validate the semi-automated technique to the manual segmentation for assessing average cartilage thickness and echo-intensity. A dice correlation coefficient was used to quantify the overlap between the segmentations created with the semi-automated and manual techniques.

RESULTS

For average cartilage thickness, there was excellent reliability (ICC_2,k = 0.99) and a small mean difference (+0.8%) between the manual and semi-automated segmentations. For average echo-intensity, there was excellent reliability (ICC_2,k = 0.97) and a small mean difference (-2.5%) between the manual and semi-automated segmentations. The average dice correlation coefficient between the manual segmentation and semi-automated segmentation was 0.90, indicating high overlap between techniques.

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel semi-automated segmentation technique is a valid method that requires less technical expertise and time than manual segmentation in patients after ACL injury.

Racket or Bat Sports: No Association With Thumb-Base Osteoarthritis

CONTEXT

Repetitive joint use is a risk factor for osteoarthritis, which is a leading cause of disability. Sports requiring a racket or bat to perform repetitive high-velocity impacts may increase the risk of thumb-base osteoarthritis. However, this hypothesis remains untested.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if a history of participation in racket or bat sports was associated with the prevalence of thumb-base osteoarthritis.

DESIGN

Descriptive epidemiologic study.

SETTING

Four US clinical sites associated with the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS

We recruited 2309 men and women from the community. Eligible participants had dominant-hand radiographic readings, hand symptom assessments, and historical physical activity survey data.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

A history of exposure to racket or bat sports (badminton, baseball or softball, racketball or squash, table tennis [or ping pong], tennis [doubles], or tennis [singles]) was based on self-reported recall data covering 3 age ranges (12-18, 19-34, and 35-49 years). Prevalent radiographic thumb-base osteoarthritis was defined as Kellgren-Lawrence grade >2 in the first carpometacarpal joint or scaphotrapezoidal joint at the Osteoarthritis Initiative baseline visit. Symptomatic thumb-base osteoarthritis was defined as radiographic osteoarthritis and hand or finger symptoms.

RESULTS

Radiographic or symptomatic thumb-base osteoarthritis was present in 355 (34%) and 56 (5%), respectively, of men (total = 1049) and 535 (42%) and 170 (13%), respectively, of women (total = 1260). After adjusting for age, race, and education level, we found no significant associations between a history of any racket or bat sport participation and thumb-base osteoarthritis (radiographic or symptomatic; odds ratios ranged from 0.82 to 1.34).

CONCLUSIONS

In a community-based cohort, a self-reported history of participation in racket or bat sports was not associated with increased odds of having radiographic or symptomatic thumb-base osteoarthritis in the dominant hand.

Prevalence of Early Knee Osteoarthritis Illness Among Various Patient-Reported Classification Criteria After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction

OBJECTIVE

To compare the prevalence of participants meeting different patient-reported criteria for early osteoarthritis (OA) illness after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR).

METHODS

Participants completed the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcomes Score (KOOS) at a single time point 5.0-7.9 months post-ACLR. We used established KOOS subscale criteria (i.e., Luyten original and Englund original) to define patient-reported early OA illness. A two-by-two contingency table and McNemar's test were used to compare the prevalence of participants who met the Luyten original versus Englund original KOOS criteria for early OA illness. These analyses were repeated using KOOS subscale thresholds based on established population-specific patient acceptable symptom state (PASS) within the Luyten and Englund KOOS criteria (i.e., Luyten PASS and Englund PASS).

RESULTS

A greater prevalence of participants with ACLR met the Luyten original criteria (n = 165 [54%]) compared to those who met the Englund original criteria (n = 128 [42%]; χ2  = 19.3, P < 0.001). When using the KOOS subscale PASS as thresholds, a significantly greater prevalence of participants with ACLR met the Luyten PASS criteria (n = 133 [43%]) compared to those who met the Englund PASS criteria (n = 85 [28%]; χ2  = 48.0, P < 0.001). When combining the Luyten and Englund KOOS criteria and using the original/PASS subscale thresholds, respectively, 40%/57% of participants met neither, 24%/15% met only 1, and 36%/28% met both KOOS criteria.

CONCLUSION

Regardless of the classification criteria used to define early OA illness, it is concerning that 28-54% of patients report considerable symptoms ~6 months post-ACLR. Our findings will improve the classification criteria to define early OA illness, which may raise awareness for the need of population-specific criteria.

Prevalence, Incidence, and Progression of Radiographic and Symptomatic Hand Osteoarthritis: The Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

To describe prevalence, incidence, and progression of radiographic and symptomatic hand osteoarthritis (OA), and evaluate age, sex, race and risk factors differences.

METHODS

We assessed both radiographic and symptomatic hand OA at baseline and year 4 for incident disease. A modified poisson regression with a robust variance estimator was used to account for clustering of joints within fingers within persons to estimate the prevalence ratios and relative risk estimates associated with participant characteristics.

RESULTS

Of 3588 participants, the prevalence hand OA was 41.4% for radiographic hand OA and 12.4 % for symptomatic hand OA. The incidence of hand OA over 48 months was 5.6 % for radiographic hand OA, and 16.9 % for symptomatic hand OA. Over 48 months, 27.3 % participants exhibited OA progression. We found complex differences by age, sex and race with both men and women having increasing prevalent hand OA with age, but women peaking at age 55-65, for incident disease. Women have more symptomatic hand OA than men but only non-significantly higher rates for incident radiographic hand OA. Women have more distal interphalangeal joint disease while men have more metacarpal joint OA. Black men and women have less hand OA than whites but black men have more hand OA than black women at younger ages.

CONCLUSION

Hand OA is a heterogeneous disease with complex differences by age, sex and race, hand symptoms and patterns of specific joints. Further research investigating the mechanisms behind these differences whether mechanical, metabolic, hormonal, or constitutional is warranted.

Feasibility of a Wearable-Based Physical Activity Goal-Setting Intervention Among Individuals With Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction

CONTEXT

Individuals with a history of anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) demonstrate persistent reductions in physical activity (PA) volume that are not being addressed during rehabilitation. Currently, it is challenging for clinicians to prescribe exercise interventions that extend beyond in-person rehabilitative care in a manner that is responsive and acceptable to patients.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the feasibility of using a novel, technology-driven, personalized goal-setting intervention over a 2-month period among young individuals with a history of primary unilateral ACLR.

DESIGN

Single-blinded feasibility study.

SETTING

University community.

PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS

Ten women and 2 men (age = 22.0 ± 3.0 years, time since surgery = 56.0 ± 36.3 months) with a history of primary unilateral ACLR.

INTERVENTION(S)

All participants completed a 28-day PA observation period immediately followed by a 28-day individualized PA goal-setting intervention period delivered via a commercially available PA monitor.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

Primary feasibility outcomes were days of PA monitor wear compliance and days of goal achievement during the intervention period. Participants also completed the Knee Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) at study enrollment and after the intervention period, and the individual change in the KOOS Quality of Life subscale was compared with the minimal detectable change (7.2 points).

RESULTS

Average PA monitor wear compliance was 95.5% ± 7.3% during the observation period and 97.7% ± 2.9% during the intervention period. Median goal achievement was 31.5% ± 6.8% during the intervention period. Five participants demonstrated meaningful improvements in the KOOS Quality of Life subscale during the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

Individualized goal setting via mobile technology appears to be a feasible approach to PA promotion. However, based on the low rate of daily goal attainment during the intervention period, continued refinement of this intervention aproach would be beneficial before broad clinical implementation.

Effective recruitment strategies in an exercise trial for patients with fibromyalgia

BACKGROUND

Recruitment of fibromyalgia populations into long-term clinical trials involving exercise interventions is a challenge. We evaluated the cost and randomization yields of various recruitment methods used for a fibromyalgia trial in an urban setting. We also investigated differences in participant characteristics and exercise intervention adherence based on recruitment source.

METHODS

We recruited individuals with fibromyalgia in the greater Boston area to a randomized controlled trial (RCT) using six recruitment strategies: newspaper advertisements, web advertisements, flyers, clinic referrals, direct mailing to patients in a clinic database, and word of mouth. We used the American College of Rheumatology 1990 and 2010 diagnostic criteria to screen and enroll participants. During an initial phone call to an interested participant, the study staff asked how they heard about the study. In this study, we compared the cost and yield of the six recruitment strategies as well as baseline characteristics, adherence, and attendance rates of participants across strategies.

RESULTS

Our recruitment resulted in 651 prescreens, 272 screening visits, and 226 randomized participants. Advertisements in a local commuter newspaper were most effective, providing 113 of 226 randomizations, albeit high cost ($212 per randomized participant). Low-cost recruitment strategies included clinical referrals and web advertisements, but they only provided 32 and 16 randomizations. Community-based strategies including advertisement and flyers recruited a more racially diverse participant sample than clinic referrals and mailing or calling patients. There was no evidence of difference in adherence among participants recruited from various strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

Newspaper advertisement was the most effective and most expensive method per randomized participant for recruiting large numbers of individuals with fibromyalgia in an urban setting. Community-based strategies recruited a more racially diverse cohort than clinic-based strategies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01420640 . Registered on 19 August 2011.

Pre-Operative Femoral Cartilage Ultrasound Characteristics Are Altered in People Who Report Symptoms at 1 year After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction

We assessed whether pre-operative femoral cartilage thickness and echo intensity on ultrasound are different between individuals who are symptomatic (n = 6) and asymptomatic (n = 7) at 1 year after a primary unilateral anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (age, 23 ± 4 y; 31% women, 69% men; body mass index, 24.9 ± 3.7 kg/m²). A pre-operative, bilateral ultrasound assessment was used to quantify average thickness and echo intensity in the medial, middle and lateral femoral trochlear regions. An inter-limb ratio (ACL/contralateral limb) was calculated for average thickness and echo intensity. At 1 y after ACL reconstruction, we operationally defined the presence of symptoms as scoring ≤85% on at least two Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score subscales. Independent-sample t-tests and Cohen's d effect sizes were used to compare ultrasound pre-operative inter-limb ratios between participants with and without symptoms at 1 y after ACL reconstruction. For medial femoral cartilage, symptomatic participants had significantly greater average cartilage thickness inter-limb ratios (p = 0.01, d = -1.65) and significantly lower echo intensity inter-limb ratios (p = 0.01, d = 1.72) compared with asymptomatic participants. Middle and lateral femoral cartilage average thickness and echo intensity were not different between symptomatic and asymptomatic participants. These findings provide preliminary evidence that a clinically feasible ultrasound assessment of the femoral trochlear cartilage may be prognostic of self-reported symptoms at 1 y after ACL reconstruction.

Dietary patterns and risk of developing knee osteoarthritis: data from the osteoarthritis initiative

OBJECTIVE

Some studies have examined the association between dietary factors and risk of knee osteoarthritis (OA). We aimed to examine the prospective association of major dietary patterns with the risk of developing knee OA.

METHOD

We followed 2,842 participants in Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) aged 45-79 years and with at least one knee free from radiographic knee OA at baseline for up to 72 months. We defined knee OA incidence as Kellgren and Lawrence grade ≥2 during follow-up visits. Using principal component analysis, Western and prudent dietary patterns were derived. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between dietary patterns and incident knee OA.

RESULTS

Among study participants, 385 (418 knees) developed knee OA within 72 months. Following a Western dietary pattern was associated with an increased risk of knee OA (HR _{quartile 4 vs 1} = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.13 to 2.52, p trend: 0.03), while adherence to the prudent pattern was associated with a reduced risk of knee OA (HR _{quartile 4 vs 1} = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.50 to 0.98, p trend: 0.05). The observed associations attenuated after additionally adjusting for body mass index (BMI). The observed associations were mediated through BMI by approximately 30%.

CONCLUSION

Following a Western diet was associated with increased risk of knee OA, whereas following a prudent pattern was associated with a reduced risk of knee OA. The associations were partially mediated through BMI.

Erosive Hand Osteoarthritis: Incidence and Predictive Characteristics among Participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate age, sex, race, osteoarthritis severity, metabolic factors, and bone health as risk factors for incident erosive hand osteoarthritis (EHOA) at baseline and over 48-month period.

METHODS

This study was a longitudinal cohort design including participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative with complete hand radiographs from baseline and 48-month visits who were eligible at baseline for incident EHOA. Individuals were classified as having EHOA if they had Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade≥2 in at least one interphalangeal joint on two different fingers and central erosion in at least one joint.

RESULTS

Of the 3365 individuals identified without prevalent EHOA at baseline, 86 (2.6%) developed EHOA during the 48-month period. Risk factors included being older [relative risk (RR) per standard deviation=0.76 (95% confidence interval 0.59, 0.98)], female [RR=1.73 (1.05, 2.85)], greater osteoarthritis severity (sum of KL grade 13.9 vs. 5.3, p<0.001) and less cortical width (1.38 vs 1.52 mm, p<0.001). After 48 months, people who developed EHOA were characterized by greater progressions of radiographic osteoarthritis (i.e., joint space narrowing, KL grade progression [RRs = 1.35 to 1.9] and loss of cortical thickness [RR = 1.23], adjusted for age, sex, race, body mass index, and baseline osteoarthritis severity (sum KL scores).

CONCLUSION

These findings present EHOA as a disorder of advanced age and female sex, strongly associated with severity of articular structural damage and its progression. Individuals who develop EHOA have thinner bones prior to EHOA development and as it progresses, suggesting EHOA as a disorder of skeletal frailty.

The relationship between restless sleep and symptoms of the knee: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

To examine the associations between restless sleep and knee symptoms among individuals with radiographically confirmed KOA.

METHODS

Cross-sectional and longitudinal associations were examined using Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) data. Participants with radiographic KOA (n = 2517) were asked how often sleep was restless in the past week over the 4 years, and the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index (WOMAC) was used to measure knee symptoms. Adjusted β coefficients (aβ) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were derived from generalized estimating equations (GEEs) models stratified by sex.

RESULTS

One in 7 participants reported ≥ 3 nights with restless sleep. Cross-sectional analyses indicated that restless sleep 5-7 nights was associated with worse symptoms (Women: pain: aβ 1.93, 95% CI 1.12-2.74, stiffness: aβ 0.57, 95% CI 0.19-0.94, physical function: aβ 5.68, 95% CI 3.09-8.27; Men: pain: aβ = 1.85, 95% CI 0.85-2.86; stiffness: aβ 0.63, 95% CI 0.15-1.12; physical function: aβ 5.89, 95% CI 2.68-9.09) compared with < 1 night. Longitudinal analyses confirmed that more nights with restless sleep were associated with worse pain (P trend = 0.01) and function (P trend = 0.04) in women and physical function in men (P trend = 0.04), although estimates did not meet thresholds for minimal clinically meaningful differences.

CONCLUSION

While the analysis of cross-sectional data supported the association between restless sleep and KOA symptoms, such relationships were not confirmed in more robust longitudinal analysis. Further research examining whether sleep quality, duration, or disorders is associated with worsening symptoms in persons with KOA is warranted. Key Points • The prevalence of frequent restless sleep among persons with knee OA is not uncommon. • There were linear trends between frequency of restless sleep and self-reported symptoms of the knee in cross-sectional analyses. • In the more robust longitudinal analysis, despite the statistically significant linear trends observed between frequency of restless sleep and symptoms (women: pain and physical function; men: function), none appeared to reach the a priori selected ranges for minimally clinically relevant differences.

Femoral Cartilage Ultrasound Echo Intensity Associates with Arthroscopic Cartilage Damage

This study compared quantitative cartilage ultrasound metrics between people with (n = 12) and without (n = 12) arthroscopic cartilage damage after anterior cruciate ligament injury (age, 24.9 ± 3.7 y; sex, 33% female, 67% male; days since injury = 50 ± 52). A transverse suprapatellar ultrasound assessment imaged the femoral cartilage in participants' injured knees before a clinical arthroscopy. A custom program automatically separated a manual cartilage segmentation into standardized medial and lateral femoral regions and calculated mean thickness (i.e., cross-sectional area/length of cartilage-bone interface), mean echo intensity and echo-intensity heterogeneity. An orthopedic surgeon assessed arthroscopic cartilage damage in the medial and lateral femoral condyles using the Outerbridge grading system (cartilage damage = Outerbridge ≥ 1). Separate logistic regressions for medial and lateral femoral cartilage were used to determine the association between each ultrasound metric and arthroscopic cartilage damage. In medial femoral cartilage, for every 1 standard deviation decrease in echo-intensity mean and heterogeneity, there is, respectively, a 91% (adjusted odds ratio, 0.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.69) and 97% (adjusted odds ratio, 0.03; 95% confidence interval, 0.002-0.50) increase in the odds of having arthroscopic cartilage damage. Lateral cartilage ultrasound metrics are not associated with lateral arthroscopic cartilage damage. This study provides preliminary evidence that femoral cartilage ultrasound echo intensity is a non-invasive measure associated with medial femoral cartilage health after anterior cruciate ligament injury.

The Inverse OARSI-OMERACT Criteria Is a Valid Indicator of the Clinical Worsening of Knee Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVE

We assessed if the inverse Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI) and Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) criteria relate to concurrent radiographic knee osteoarthritis (KOA) progression and decline in walking speed, as well as future knee replacement.

METHODS

We conducted knee-based analyses of data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. All knees had symptomatic OA: at least doubtful radiographic KOA (Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥ 1) and knee pain ≥ 10/100 (Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain) at the 12-month visit. The inverse of the OARSI-OMERACT responder criteria depended on knee pain and function, and global assessment of knee impact. We used generalized linear mixed models to assess the relationship of the inverse OARSI-OMERACT criteria over 2 years (i.e., 12-month and 36-month visits) with worsening radiographic severity (any increase in Kellgren-Lawrence grade from 12 months to 36 months) and decline in self-selected 20-m walking speed of ≥ 0.1m/s (from 12 months to 36 months). We used a Cox model to assess time to knee replacement during the 6 years after the 36-month visit as an outcome.

RESULTS

Among the 1746 analyzed, 19% met the inverse OARSI-OMERACT criteria. Meeting the inverse OARSI-OMERACT criteria was associated with almost double the odds of experiencing concurrent worsening in radiographic KOA severity (OR 1.89, 95% CI 1.32-2.70) or decline in walking speed (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.37-2.40). A knee meeting the inverse OARSI-OMERACT criteria was more likely to receive a knee replacement after the 36-month visit (23%) compared with a nonresponder (10%; HR 2.54, 95% CI 1.89-3.41).

CONCLUSION

The inverse OARSI-OMERACT criteria for worsening among people with KOA had good construct validity in relation to clinically relevant outcomes.

A Decline in Walking Speed Is Associated With Incident Knee Replacement in Adults With and at Risk for Knee Osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To determine if a 1-year change in walking speed is associated with receiving an incident knee replacement during the following year in adults with and at risk for knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

Using data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, we determined a 1-year change in the 20-meter walk speed from 3 observation periods (i.e., 0-12, 12-24, and 24-36 months). We operationally defined 1-year change in walking speed as either (1) decline: ≤ -0.1 m/s change, (2) no change: between -0.1 and 0.1 m/s change, and (3) increase: ≥ 0.1 m/s change. Incident knee replacement was defined using each subsequent 1-year period (i.e., 12-24, 24-36, and 36-48 months). Combining data from the 3 observation periods, we performed a Poisson regression with robust error variance to determine the relative risk between a change in walking speed (exposure) and incident knee replacement over the following year (outcome).

RESULTS

Of the 4264 participants included within this analysis (11,311 total person visits), 115 (3%) adults received a knee replacement. Decline in walking speed was associated with a 104% increase in risk [adjusted relative risk (RR) 2.04, 95% CI 1.40-2.98], while an increase in walking speed associated with a 55% decrease in risk (RR 0.45; 95% CI 0.22-0.93) of incident knee replacement in the following year compared to a person with no change in walking speed.

CONCLUSION

A 1-year decline in walking speed is associated with an increased risk, while a 1-year increase in walking speed is associated with a decreased risk of future incident knee replacement.

Patient-specific reference values for objective physical function tests: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVE

We aimed to establish sex-specific reference values of objective physical function tests among individuals with or at risk for knee osteoarthritis (KOA) across subsets of age, radiographic KOA severity, and body mass index (BMI).

METHOD

We included Osteoarthritis Initiative participants with data for objective physical function tests, sex, age, BMI, and radiographic KOA severity (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] grade) at baseline. Objective physical function was quantified with 20-m walk speed, chair-stand speed, 400-m walk time, and knee extension and flexion strength. We created participant characteristic subsets for sex, age, KL grade, and BMI. Reference values were created as percentiles from minimum to maximum in 10% increments for each combination of participant characteristic subsets. Previously established clinically important differences for 20-m walk speed and knee extension strength were used to highlight clinically relevant differences.

RESULTS

Objective physical function reference values tables and an interactive reference value table were created across all combinations of sex, age, KL grade, and BMI among 3860 individuals with or at risk for KOA. Clinically relevant differences exist for 20-m walk speed and knee extension strength between males and females across age groups, KL grades, and BMI categories.

CONCLUSIONS

Establishing an individual's relative level of objective physical function by comparing their performance to individuals with similar sex, age, KL grade, or BMI may help improve interpretation of physical function performance. The interactive reference value table will provide clinicians and researchers a clinically accessible avenue to use these reference values.Key Points• Since greater age, radiographic knee osteoarthritis severity, and body mass index are all associated with worse objective physical function, reference values should consider the complex inter-play among these patient characteristics.• This study provides objective physical function reference values among subsets of individuals across the spectrum of sex, age groups, radiographic knee osteoarthritis severity, and body mass index categories.• These reference values offer a more patient-centered approach for interpreting an individual's relative level of objective physical function by comparing them to a more homogeneous group of individuals with similar participant characteristics.• We have provided a clinically accessible interactive table that will enable clinicians and researchers to input their patient's data to quickly and efficiently determine a patient's relative objective physical function compared to individual's with similar characteristics.

Risk factors and the natural history of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: a narrative review

BACKGROUND

Osteoarthritis is generally a slowly progressive disorder. However, at least 1 in 7 people with incident knee osteoarthritis develop an abrupt progression to advanced-stage radiographic disease, many within 12 months. We summarize what is known - primarily based on findings from the Osteoarthritis Initiative - about the risk factors and natural history of accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) - defined as a transition from no radiographic knee osteoarthritis to advanced-stage disease < 4 years - and put these findings in context with typical osteoarthritis (slowly progressing disease), aging, prior case reports/series, and relevant animal models. Risk factors in the 2 to 4 years before radiographic manifestation of AKOA (onset) include older age, higher body mass index, altered joint alignment, contralateral osteoarthritis, greater pre-radiographic disease burden (structural, symptoms, and function), or low fasting glucose. One to 2 years before AKOA onset people often exhibit rapid articular cartilage loss, larger bone marrow lesions and effusion-synovitis, more meniscal pathology, slower chair-stand or walking pace, and increased global impact of arthritis than adults with typical knee osteoarthritis. Increased joint symptoms predispose a person to new joint trauma, which for someone who develops AKOA is often characterized by a destabilizing meniscal tear (e.g., radial or root tear). One in 7 people with AKOA onset subsequently receive a knee replacement during a 9-year period. The median time from any increase in radiographic severity to knee replacement is only 2.3 years. Despite some similarities, AKOA is different than other rapidly progressive arthropathies and collapsing these phenomena together or extracting results from one type of osteoarthritis to another should be avoided until further research comparing these types of osteoarthritis is conducted. Animal models that induce meniscal damage in the presence of other risk factors or create an incongruent distribution of loading on joints create an accelerated form of osteoarthritis compared to other models and may offer insights into AKOA.

CONCLUSION

Accelerated knee osteoarthritis is unique from typical knee osteoarthritis. The incidence of AKOA in the Osteoarthritis Initiative and Chingford Study is substantial. AKOA needs to be taken into account and studied in epidemiologic studies and clinical trials.

Composite quantitative knee structure metrics predict the development of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: data from the osteoarthritis initiative

Background

We aimed to determine if composite structural measures of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) progression on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging can predict the radiographic onset of accelerated knee osteoarthritis.

Methods

We used data from a nested case-control study among participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative without radiographic KOA at baseline. Participants were separated into three groups based on radiographic disease progression over 4 years: 1) accelerated (Kellgren-Lawrence grades [KL] 0/1 to 3/4), 2) typical (increase in KL, excluding accelerated osteoarthritis), or 3) no KOA (no change in KL). We assessed tibiofemoral cartilage damage (four regions: medial/lateral tibia/femur), bone marrow lesion (BML) volume (four regions: medial/lateral tibia/femur), and whole knee effusion-synovitis volume on 3 T MR images with semi-automated programs. We calculated two MR-based composite scores. Cumulative damage was the sum of standardized cartilage damage. Disease activity was the sum of standardized volumes of effusion-synovitis and BMLs. We focused on annual images from 2 years before to 2 years after radiographic onset (or a matched time for those without knee osteoarthritis). To determine between group differences in the composite metrics at all time points, we used generalized linear mixed models with group (3 levels) and time (up to 5 levels). For our prognostic analysis, we used multinomial logistic regression models to determine if one-year worsening in each composite metric change associated with future accelerated knee osteoarthritis (odds ratios [OR] based on units of 1 standard deviation of change).

Results

Prior to disease onset, the accelerated KOA group had greater average disease activity compared to the typical and no KOA groups and this persisted up to 2 years after disease onset. During a pre-radiographic disease period, the odds of developing accelerated KOA were greater in people with worsening disease activity [versus typical KOA OR (95% confidence interval [CI]): 1.58 (1.08 to 2.33); versus no KOA: 2.39 (1.55 to 3.71)] or cumulative damage [versus typical KOA: 1.69 (1.14 to 2.51); versus no KOA: 2.11 (1.41 to 3.16)].

Conclusions

MR-based disease activity and cumulative damage metrics may be prognostic markers to help identify people at risk for accelerated onset and progression of knee osteoarthritis.

Dietary Patterns and Progression of Knee Osteoarthritis: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

BACKGROUND

While some individual foods and nutrients have been associated with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) progression, the association between dietary patterns and KOA progression has received little research attention.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to determine whether dietary patterns, derived by principal components analysis (PCA), are associated with KOA progression.

METHODS

In the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), a prospective cohort with clinical centers in Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island, 2757 participants with existing KOA (mean age 62 y) and diet assessed at baseline were followed for ≤72 mo. Using PCA, Western and prudent dietary patterns were derived. Radiographic KOA progression was assessed using 2 separate measures, 1 full Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade increase and loss in joint space width (JSW). Symptomatic KOA progression was defined as an increase in or remaining in 1 of the 2 highest classification categories of the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index (WOMAC).

RESULTS

Adherence to Western and prudent dietary patterns was significantly associated with radiographic and symptomatic progression of KOA. With increasing Western pattern score, there was increased KL-worsening risk (compared with quartile 1, HR for quartile 4: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.61; P-trend < 0.01) and increased odds of progression to higher WOMAC score (compared with quartile 1, OR for quartile 4: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.18, 1.63; P-trend < 0.01) but no significant change in JSW loss. With increasing prudent pattern score there was decreased KL-worsening risk (compared with quartile 1, HR for quartile 4: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.64, 0.98; P-trend = 0.02), decreased JSW loss (quartile 1: 0.46 mm; quartile 4: 0.38 mm; P-trend < 0.01), and decreased odds of higher WOMAC progression (compared with quartile 1, OR for quartile 4 0.73; 95% CI: 0.62, 0.86; P-trend < 0.01) in multivariable adjusted models.

CONCLUSIONS

Adherence to a Western dietary pattern was associated with increased radiographic and symptomatic KOA progression, while following a prudent pattern was associated with reduced progression. In general, for people already diagnosed with KOA, eating a diet rich in fruits, vegetables, fish, whole grains, and legumes may be related to decreased radiographic and symptomatic disease progression.

Effusion-synovitis and infrapatellar fat pad signal intensity alteration differentiate accelerated knee osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether greater effusion-synovitis volume and infrapatellar fat pad (IFP) signal intensity alteration differentiate incident accelerated knee OA (KOA) from a gradual onset of KOA or no KOA.

METHODS

We classified three sex-matched groups of participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative who had a knee with no radiographic KOA at baseline (recruited 2004-06; Kellgren-Lawrence <2; n = 125/group): accelerated KOA: ⩾1 knee progressed to Kellgren-Lawrence grade ⩾3 within 48 months; common KOA: ⩾1 knee increased in radiographic scoring within 48 months; and no KOA: both knees had the same Kellgren-Lawrence grade at baseline and 48 months. The observation period included up to 2 years before and after when the group criteria were met. Two musculoskeletal radiologists reported presence of IFP signal intensity alteration and independent readers used a semi-automated method to segment effusion-synovitis volume. We used generalized linear mixed models with group and time as independent variables, as well as testing a group-by-time interaction.

RESULTS

Starting at 2 years before disease onset, adults who developed accelerated KOA had greater effusion-synovitis volume than their peers (accelerated KOA: 11.94 ± 0.90 cm3, KOA: 8.29 ± 1.19 cm3, no KOA: 8.14 ± 0.90 cm3) and have greater odds of having IFP signal intensity alteration than those with no KOA (odds ratio = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.14-3.78). Starting at 1 year prior to disease onset, those with accelerated KOA have greater than twice the odds of having IFP signal intensity alteration than those with common KOA.

CONCLUSION

People with IFP signal intensity alteration and/or greater effusion-synovitis volume in the absence of radiographic KOA may be at high risk for accelerated KOA, which may be characterized by local inflammation.