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Kato-Maeda M, Choi JC, Jarlsberg LG, Grinsdale JA, Higashi J, Kawamura LM, Osmond DH, Hopewell PC. Magnitude of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission among household and non-household contacts of TB patients. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2020; 23:433-440. [PMID: 31064622 DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.18.0273] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
<sec id="st1"> <title>SETTING</title> The household and non-household contacts of patients with tuberculosis (TB) face varying degrees of risk of infection by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. </sec> <sec id="st2"> <title>OBJECTIVE</title> To quantify new infection and to determine the risk factors associated with new infection among named contacts in San Francisco, CA, USA. </sec> <sec id="st3"> <title>DESIGN</title> We performed a cohort study in patients with culture-positive pulmonary TB. We analyzed patient, contact, environmental and bacterial characteristics. </sec> <sec id="st4"> <title>RESULTS</title> Of the 2422 contacts named by 256 patients, 149 (6.2%) had new infection due to recent transmission from 79 (30.9%) patients. Of the 149 new infections, 87 (58.4%) occurred among household contacts and 62 (41.6%) among non-household contacts. Numerous acid-fast bacilli in sputum (odds ratio [OR] 2.64, 95%CI 1.32-5.25) and contacts being named by more than one patient (OR 2.90, 95%CI 1.23-6.85) were associated with new infection among household contacts. Being older than 50 years (OR 1.93, 95%CI 1.09-3.41) and an Asian/Pacific Islander (OR 3.09, 95%CI 1.50-6.37) were associated with new infection among non-household contacts. </sec> <sec id="st5"> <title>CONCLUSIONS</title> Fewer than one third of patients caused new infection to his/her contacts. A substantial proportion of transmission resulting in new infection occurred outside of the household. The risk factors for infection among household and non-household contacts are different and should be considered when prioritizing control interventions. </sec>.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Kato-Maeda
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital and Trauma Center, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J C Choi
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital and Trauma Center, San Francisco, California, USA, Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chung-Ang University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - L G Jarlsberg
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital and Trauma Center, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J A Grinsdale
- Office of Equity and Quality Improvement, Population Health Division
| | - J Higashi
- Tuberculosis Control, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California
| | - L M Kawamura
- Qiagen, Medical and Scientific Affairs, Redwood City, California
| | - D H Osmond
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - P C Hopewell
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital and Trauma Center, San Francisco, California, USA
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Nahid P, Jarlsberg LG, Kato-Maeda M, Segal MR, Osmond DH, Gagneux S, Dobos K, Gold M, Hopewell PC, Lewinsohn DM. Interplay of strain and race/ethnicity in the innate immune response to M. tuberculosis. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0195392. [PMID: 29787561 PMCID: PMC5963792 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0195392] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2017] [Accepted: 03/21/2018] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The roles of host and pathogen factors in determining innate immune responses to M. tuberculosis are not fully understood. In this study, we examined host macrophage immune responses of 3 race/ethnic groups to 3 genetically and geographically diverse M. tuberculosis lineages. Methods Monocyte-derived macrophages from healthy Filipinos, Chinese and non-Hispanic White study participants (approximately 45 individuals/group) were challenged with M. tuberculosis whole cell lysates of clinical strains Beijing HN878 (lineage 2), Manila T31 (lineage 1), CDC1551 (lineage 4), the reference strain H37Rv (lineage 4), as well as with Toll-like receptor 2 agonist lipoteichoic acid (TLR2/LTA) and TLR4 agonist lipopolysaccharide (TLR4/LPS). Following overnight incubation, multiplex assays for nine cytokines: IL-1β, IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p70, IFNγ, TNFα, and GM-CSF, were batch applied to supernatants. Results Filipino macrophages produced less IL-1, IL-6, and more IL-8, compared to macrophages from Chinese and Whites. Race/ethnicity had only subtle effects or no impact on the levels of IL-10, IL-12p70, TNFα and GM-CSF. In response to the Toll-like receptor 2 agonist lipoteichoic acid (TLR2/LTA), Filipino macrophages again had lower IL-1 and IL-6 responses and a higher IL-8 response, compared to Chinese and Whites. The TLR2/LTA-stimulated Filipino macrophages also produced lower amounts of IL-10, TNFα and GM-CSF. Race/ethnicity had no impact on IL-12p70 levels released in response to TLR2/LTA. The responses to TLR4 agonist lipopolysaccharide (TLR4/LPS) were similar to the TLR2/LTA responses, for IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10. However, TLR4/LPS triggered the release of less IL-12p70 from Filipino macrophages, and less TNFα from White macrophages. Conclusions Both host race/ethnicity and pathogen strain influence the innate immune response. Such variation may have implications for the development of new tools across TB therapeutics, immunodiagnostics and vaccines.
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Affiliation(s)
- P. Nahid
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, San Francisco General Hospital, University of California, San Francisco, United States of America
- * E-mail: (PN); (DML)
| | - L. G. Jarlsberg
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, San Francisco General Hospital, University of California, San Francisco, United States of America
| | - M. Kato-Maeda
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, San Francisco General Hospital, University of California, San Francisco, United States of America
| | - M. R. Segal
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, United States of America
| | - D. H. Osmond
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, United States of America
| | - S. Gagneux
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Department of Medical Parasitology and Infection Biology, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - K. Dobos
- Colorado State University, Department of Microbiology, Immunology & Pathology, Fort Collins, CO, United States of America
| | - M. Gold
- Department of Research, Veterans Affairs Portland Health Care Center, Portland, Oregon, United States of America
| | - P. C. Hopewell
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, San Francisco General Hospital, University of California, San Francisco, United States of America
| | - D. M. Lewinsohn
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Oregon Health and Sciences University, Portland, Oregon
- Department of Research, Veterans Affairs Portland Health Care Center, Portland, Oregon, United States of America
- * E-mail: (PN); (DML)
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Feng JY, Jarlsberg LG, Rose J, Grinsdale JA, Janes M, Higashi J, Osmond DH, Nahid P, Hopewell PC, Kato-Maeda M. Impact of Euro-American sublineages of Mycobacterium tuberculosis on new infections among named contacts. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2018; 21:509-516. [PMID: 28399965 DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.16.0487] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The impact of demographic, clinical, and bacterial factors on new infection by Euro-American lineage Mycobacterium tuberculosis among contacts of patients with tuberculosis (TB) has not been evaluated. OBJECTIVE To describe the risk factors for new infection by Euro-American M. tuberculosis sublineages in San Francisco, California. DESIGN We included contacts of patients with TB due to Euro-American M. tuberculosis. Sublineages were determined by large-sequence polymorphisms. We used tuberculin skin testing or QuantiFERON®-TB Gold In-Tube to identify contacts with new infection. Regression models with generalized estimating equations were used to determine the risk factors for new infection. RESULTS We included 1488 contacts from 134 patients with TB. There were 79 (5.3%) contacts with new infection. In adjusted analyses, contacts of patients with TB due to region of difference 219 M. tuberculosis sublineage were less likely to have new infection (OR 0.23, 95%CI 0.06-0.84) than those with other sublineages. Other risk factors for new infection were contacts exposed to more than one patient with TB, contacts exposed for 30 days, or contacts with a history of smoking or excessive alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS In addition to well-known exposure and clinical characteristics, bacterial characteristics independently contribute to the transmissibility of TB in San Francisco.
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Affiliation(s)
- J-Y Feng
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA, Department of Chest Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - L G Jarlsberg
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J Rose
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J A Grinsdale
- San Francisco Tuberculosis Control Section, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, Office of Equity and Quality Improvement, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco
| | - M Janes
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J Higashi
- San Francisco Tuberculosis Control Section, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco
| | - D H Osmond
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - P Nahid
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - P C Hopewell
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - M Kato-Maeda
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, University of California, San Francisco, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
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Feng JY, Jarlsberg LG, Salcedo K, Rose J, Janes M, Lin SYG, Osmond DH, Jost KC, Soehnlen MK, Flood J, Graviss EA, Desmond E, Moonan PK, Nahid P, Hopewell PC, Kato-Maeda M. Clinical and bacteriological characteristics associated with clustering of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2017; 21:766-773. [PMID: 28513421 DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.16.0510] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
SETTING The impact of the genetic characteristics of Mycobacterium tuberculosis on the clustering of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has not been analyzed together with clinical and demographic characteristics. OBJECTIVE To determine factors associated with genotypic clustering of MDR-TB in a community-based study. DESIGN We measured the proportion of clustered cases among MDR-TB patients and determined the impact of clinical and demographic characteristics and that of three M. tuberculosis genetic characteristics: lineage, drug resistance-associated mutations, and rpoA and rpoC compensatory mutations. RESULTS Of 174 patients from California and Texas included in the study, the number infected by East-Asian, Euro-American, Indo-Oceanic and East-African-Indian M. tuberculosis lineages were respectively 70 (40.2%), 69 (39.7%), 33 (19.0%) and 2 (1.1%). The most common mutations associated with isoniazid and rifampin resistance were respectively katG S315T and rpoB S531L. Potential compensatory mutations in rpoA and rpoC were found in 35 isolates (20.1%). Hispanic ethnicity (OR 26.50, 95%CI 3.73-386.80), infection with an East-Asian M. tuberculosis lineage (OR 30.00, 95%CI 4.20-462.40) and rpoB mutation S531L (OR 4.03, 95%CI 1.05-23.10) were independent factors associated with genotypic clustering. CONCLUSION Among the bacterial factors studied, East-Asian lineage and rpoB S531L mutation were independently associated with genotypic clustering, suggesting that bacterial factors have an impact on the ability of M. tuberculosis to cause secondary cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- J-Y Feng
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA, Department of Chest Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - L G Jarlsberg
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - K Salcedo
- Division of Communicable Disease Control, Center for Infectious Diseases, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California
| | - J Rose
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - M Janes
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - S-Y G Lin
- Division of Communicable Disease Control, Center for Infectious Diseases, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California
| | - D H Osmond
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California
| | - K C Jost
- Mycobacteriology/Mycology Group, Texas Department of State Health Services, Austin, Texas
| | - M K Soehnlen
- Microbiology Section, Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, Lansing, Michigan
| | - J Flood
- Division of Communicable Disease Control, Center for Infectious Diseases, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California
| | - E A Graviss
- Houston Methodist Research Institute Molecular Tuberculosis Laboratory, Department of Pathology and Genomic Medicine, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, Texas
| | - E Desmond
- Division of Communicable Disease Control, Center for Infectious Diseases, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California
| | - P K Moonan
- Division of Global HIV and Tuberculosis, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - P Nahid
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - P C Hopewell
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - M Kato-Maeda
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
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Choi JC, Jarlsberg LG, Grinsdale JA, Osmond DH, Higashi J, Hopewell PC, Kato-Maeda M. Reduced sensitivity of the QuantiFERON(®) test in diabetic patients with smear-negative tuberculosis. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2016; 19:582-8. [PMID: 25868028 DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.14.0553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
SETTING Immunosuppressive conditions have been associated with low sensitivity of interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs) and the tuberculin skin test (TST) for the diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB). However, no systematic analysis of patient and bacterial characteristics has been performed before. OBJECTIVE To determine the sensitivity and the risk factors for false-negative QuantiFERON(®)-TB (QFT) assay and TST in TB patients. DESIGN We performed a retrospective analysis of data collected in a community-based study of TB in San Francisco, CA, USA. We included 300 TB patients who underwent QFT and TST. RESULTS The risk factors for false-negative QFT were human immunodeficiency virus infection and the use of QuantiFERON(®)-TB Gold. In patients with sputum smear-negative TB, diabetes mellitus (DM) was associated with false-negative QFT (OR 2.85, 95%CI 1.02-7.97, P = 0.045). TST sensitivity was higher than QFT sensitivity in DM patients (OR 9.46, 95%CI 2.53-35.3). CONCLUSIONS In San Francisco, QFT sensitivity was lower than that of TST, especially in patients with DM. Stratified analysis by sputum smear results showed that this association was specific to smear-negative TB. In contrast, TST was not affected by the presence of DM.
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Affiliation(s)
- J C Choi
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chung-Ang University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - L G Jarlsberg
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J A Grinsdale
- Office of Equity and Quality Improvement, Population Health Division, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - D H Osmond
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - J Higashi
- Tuberculosis Control Program, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - P C Hopewell
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - M Kato-Maeda
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, California, USA
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Anderson J, Jarlsberg LG, Grindsdale J, Osmond D, Kawamura M, Hopewell PC, Kato-Maeda M. Sublineages of lineage 4 (Euro-American) Mycobacterium tuberculosis differ in genotypic clustering. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2014; 17:885-91. [PMID: 23743309 DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.12.0960] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
SETTING Mycobacterium tuberculosis is classified into six phylogenetic lineages, each of which can be divided into sublineages. Sublineages of the same lineage have phenotypic differences, including their capacity to cause disease (pathogenicity). OBJECTIVE 1) To test the hypothesis that different sublineages of lineage 4, which causes most of the tuberculosis (TB) in the United States, have varying ability to cause secondary cases as determined by genotypic clustering, a proxy for pathogenicity; and 2) to determine if spoligotype and mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units (MIRU) typing could infer sublineage. DESIGN We included TB cases caused by lineage 4 strains from our community-based study in San Francisco. Sublineage was determined by regions of difference. Genotypic clustering was determined by insertion sequence 6110 and polymorphic guanine-cytosine-rich sequence. Associations between sublineages and patient characteristics were evaluated with adjusted and unadjusted analyses. RESULTS The most frequent sublineage was H37Rv-like. In the adjusted analysis, sublineage 183 was associated with clustering and homelessness. We found that strains from different sublineages had convergent spoligotype and MIRU types. CONCLUSIONS Sublineage 183 is associated with genotypic clustering, evidence of its being more able to cause secondary cases than the other lineage 4 sublineages. This finding suggests that bacterial factors contribute to the pathogenesis of TB. Spoligotype and MIRU type cannot be used to infer sublineage.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Anderson
- Curry International Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94110, USA
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Kato-Maeda M, Kim EY, Flores L, Jarlsberg LG, Osmond D, Hopewell PC. Differences among sublineages of the East-Asian lineage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in genotypic clustering. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2010; 14:538-544. [PMID: 20392345 PMCID: PMC3625672] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/29/2023] Open
Abstract
SETTING The East-Asian lineage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis is composed of five sublineages, and includes the strains from the Beijing spoligotype family. In some studies these strains were highly pathogenic, although other studies did not support this finding. OBJECTIVE To determine if the sublineages of the East-Asian lineage of M. tuberculosis differ in their capacity to cause secondary cases, as assessed by genotypic clustering of isolates. DESIGN In a population-based study of 545 patients with M. tuberculosis from the East-Asian lineage in San Francisco, we used DNA-based fingerprinting to identify genotypic clustering, which was compared among the different sublineages defined by large sequence polymorphism. RESULTS Strains from sublineage 207 had the highest frequency of genotypic clustering. In the multivariate analysis, only patients born in the United States were associated with clustering. CONCLUSIONS We found evidence in a univariate analysis that the different East-Asian sublineages of M. tuberculosis have different frequencies of genotypic clustering. The effect size for this difference was unchanged in multivariate analysis, although loss of observations due to missing data resulted in a non-significant P value. It is tantalizing to hypothesize that the different East-Asian sublineages may differ in their capacity to cause secondary cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Kato-Maeda
- Francis J Curry National Tuberculosis Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, San Francisco General Hospital, Department of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California 94110, USA.
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Fei MW, Kim EJ, Sant CA, Jarlsberg LG, Davis JL, Swartzman A, Huang L. Predicting mortality from HIV-associated Pneumocystis pneumonia at illness presentation: an observational cohort study. Thorax 2009; 64:1070-6. [PMID: 19825785 DOI: 10.1136/thx.2009.117846] [Citation(s) in RCA: 57] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although the use of antiretroviral therapy has led to dramatic declines in AIDS-associated mortality, Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) remains a leading cause of death in HIV-infected patients. OBJECTIVES To measure mortality, identify predictors of mortality at time of illness presentation and derive a PCP mortality prediction rule that stratifies patients by risk for mortality. METHODS An observational cohort study with case note review of all HIV-infected persons with a laboratory diagnosis of PCP at San Francisco General Hospital from 1997 to 2006. RESULTS 451 patients were diagnosed with PCP on 524 occasions. In-hospital mortality was 10.3%. Multivariate analysis identified five significant predictors of mortality: age (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) per 10-year increase, 1.69; 95% CI 1.08 to 2.65; p = 0.02); recent injection drug use (AOR 2.86; 95% CI 1.28 to 6.42; p = 0.01); total bilirubin >0.6 mg/dl (AOR 2.59; 95% CI 1.19 to 5.62; p = 0.02); serum albumin <3 g/dl (AOR 3.63; 95% CI 1.72-7.66; p = 0.001); and alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient >or=50 mm Hg (AOR 3.02; 95% CI 1.41 to 6.47; p = 0.004). Using these five predictors, a six-point PCP mortality prediction rule was derived that stratifies patients according to increasing risk of mortality: score 0-1, 4%; score 2-3, 12%; score 4-5, 48%. CONCLUSIONS The PCP mortality prediction rule stratifies patients by mortality risk at the time of illness presentation and should be validated as a clinical tool.
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Affiliation(s)
- M W Fei
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, San Francisco General Hospital, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California 94110, USA.
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