Trends in colorectal cancer screening from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS): analysis of the impact of different modalities on overall screening rates

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in adults in the United States. Despite compelling evidence of improved outcomes in CRC, screening rates are not optimal. This study aimed to characterize CRC screening trends over the last two decades and assess the impact of various screening modalities on overall CRC screening rates. Using National Health Interview Survey data from 2005-2021, we examined CRC screening (colonoscopy, mt-sDNA, FOBT/FIT, sigmoidoscopy, CT Colonography) rates among adults aged 50-75 years (n = 85,571). A pseudo-time-series cross-sectional (pseudo-TSCS) analysis was conducted including a random effects GLS regression model to estimate the relative impact of each modality on changes in CRC screening rates. Among 50-75-year-olds, the estimated CRC screening rate increased from 47.7% in 2005 to 69.9% in 2021, with the largest increase between 2005 and 2010 (47.7% to 60.7%). Rates subsequently plateaued until 2015 but increased from 63.5% in 2015 to 69.9% in 2018. This was primarily driven by the increased use of mt-sDNA (2.5% in 2018 to 6.6% in 2021). Pseudo-TSCS analysis results showed that mt-sDNA contributed substantially to the increase in overall screening rates (77.3%; p < 0.0001) between 2018-2021. While CRC screening rates increased from 2005 to 2021, they remain below the 80% goal. The introduction of mt-sDNA, a non-invasive screening test may have improved overall rates. Sustained efforts are required to further increase screening rates to improve patient outcomes and offering a range of screening options is likely to contribute to achieving this goal.

Colorectal cancer screening uptake and adherence by modality at a large tertiary care center in the United States: a retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

Real-world data is crucial to inform existing opportunistic colorectal cancer (CRC) prevention programs. This study aimed to assess CRC screening adherence and utilization of various screening modalities within a Primary Care network over a three-year period (2017-2019).

METHODS

A retrospective review of individuals aged 50-75 years at average CRC risk, with at least one clinic visit in the previous 24 months. The primary outcome, CRC screening adherence (overall and by modality) was examined among the entire eligible population and newly adherent individuals each calendar year. The final sample included 107,366 patients and 218,878 records.

RESULTS

Overall CRC screening adherence increased from 71% in 2017 to 78% in 2019. For "up-to-date" individuals, colonoscopy was the predominant modality (accounting for approximately 74%, versus 4% of adherence for non-invasive options). However, modality utilization trends changed over time in these individuals: mt-sDNA increased 10.2-fold, followed by FIT (1.6-fold) and colonoscopy (1.1-fold). Among newly adherent individuals, the proportion screened by colonoscopy and FOBT decreased over time (89% to 80% and 2.4% to 1.2%, respectively), while uptake of FIT and mt-sDNA increased (7.7% to 11.5% and 0.9% to 6.8%, respectively). Notably, FIT and mt-sDNA increases were most evident in age and race-ethnicity groups with the lowest screening rates.

CONCLUSIONS

In an opportunistic CRC screening program, adherence increased but remained below the national 80% goal. While colonoscopy remained the most utilized modality, new colonoscopy uptake declined, compared with rising mt-sDNA and FIT utilization. Among minority populations, new uptake increased most with mt-sDNA and FIT.

Patterns of colorectal cancer screening and adherence rates among an average-risk population enrolled in a national health insurance provider during 2009-2018 in the United States

While colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in the United States (US), outcomes can be improved through timely screening. Despite the benefits and widespread availability of screening tests, adherence to recommended screening strategies is low. The study aimed to provide recent evidence regarding screening rates and adherence to screening recommendations among adults at average risk for CRC in a commercially insured and Medicare Advantage population. De-identified administrative data from a large US research database were examined to determine screening rates for the years 2009 through 2018. The study population included adults aged 50-75 years and annual study population counts ranged from 1,390,594 in 2009 to 1,654,544 in 2018. Incident screening rates were found to be relatively stable across the study years (approximately 15 %) with adherence lowest in the youngest age group (ages 50-54 years). Colonoscopies accounted for approximately 50 % of all screening tests performed, while there was a substantial increase in the use of home-based screening tests over the study timeframe. The use of the fecal immunochemical test increased from 17.2 % in 2009 to 28.9 % in 2018 and the multi-target stool DNA test increased from 0.4 % in 2015 to 9.0 % in 2018. Overall though, CRC screening and adherence rates remain relatively low among adults at average risk for CRC in the US. Improving adherence rates with CRC screening recommendations among individuals at average risk for CRC is required to improve health outcomes.

Healthcare costs, resource utilization, and productivity loss associated with colorectal cancer screening

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate healthcare costs, resource utilization, associated costs, and lost productivity for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in an average-risk population.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study identified average-risk individuals (50-75 years) with claims in the Optum Research Database for CRC screening test between 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2018. Index date was defined as the first date of a claim for colonoscopy, fecal immunochemical test (FIT), guaiac-based fecal occult blood test (FOBT) or multi-target stool DNA test (mt-sDNA). Screening costs were evaluated with descriptive statistics and multivariable analyses, adjusting for patient characteristics and index screening costs.

RESULTS

In total, 903,831 individuals were identified by test groups: mt-sDNA (n = 29,614), FIT (n = 254,002), guaiac-based FOBT (n = 112,757) and colonoscopy (n = 507,458). Adjusted costs for index screening were, colonoscopy ($3,029), mt-sDNA ($752), FIT ($45), and (FOBT ($153). Adjusted costs across the six months following the index screening were $146 for colonoscopy, $329 for mt-sDNA, $306 for FIT, and $412 for FOBT. Colonoscopy had the highest costs for lost productivity.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening colonoscopy had the highest productivity loss and healthcare costs up-front, suggesting potential cost benefits for noninvasive screening modalities. The more frequent screening interval required for FIT and FOBT resulted in a higher yearly cost than colonoscopy or mt-sDNA.

Patient and provider factors associated with colorectal cancer screening among average risk health plan enrollees in the US, 2015-2018

BACKGROUND

To assess patient and primary care provider (PCP) factors associated with adherence to American Cancer Society (ACS) and United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) guidelines for average risk colorectal cancer (CRC) screening.

METHODS

Retrospective case-control study of medical and pharmacy claims from the Optum Research Database from 01/01/2014 - 12/31/2018. Enrollee sample was adults aged 50 - 75 years with ≥ 24 months continuous health plan enrollment. Provider sample was PCPs listed on the claims of average-risk patients in the enrollee sample. Enrollee-level screening opportunities were based on their exposure to the healthcare system during the baseline year. Screening adherence, calculated at the PCP level, was the percent of average-risk patients up to date with screening recommendations each year. Logistic regression modelling was used to examine the association between receipt of screening and enrollee and PCP characteristics. An ordinary least squares model was used to determine the association between screening adherence among the PCP's panel of patients and patient characteristics.

RESULTS

Among patients with a PCP, adherence to ACS and USPSTF screening guidelines ranged from 69 to 80% depending on PCP specialty and type. The greatest enrollee-level predictors for CRC screening were having a primary/preventive care visit (OR = 4.47, p < 0.001) and a main PCP (OR = 2.69, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased access to preventive/primary care visits could improve CRC screening rates; however, interventions not dependent on healthcare system contact, such as home-based screening, may circumvent the dependence on primary care visits to complete CRC screening.

Rates of Follow-up Colonoscopy After a Positive Stool-Based Screening Test Result for Colorectal Cancer Among Health Care Organizations in the US, 2017-2020

IMPORTANCE

Noninvasive stool-based screening tests (SBTs) are effective alternatives to colonoscopy. However, a positive SBT result requires timely follow-up colonoscopy (FU-CY) to complete the colorectal cancer screening paradigm.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate FU-CY rates after a positive SBT result and to assess the association of the early COVID-19 pandemic with FU-CY rates.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This mixed-methods cohort study included retrospective analysis of deidentified administrative claims and electronic health records data between June 1, 2015, and June 30, 2021, from the Optum Labs Data Warehouse and qualitative, semistructured interviews with clinicians from 5 health care organizations (HCOs). The study population included data from average-risk primary care patients aged 50 to 75 years with a positive SBT result between January 1, 2017, and June 30, 2020, at 39 HCOs.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the FU-CY rate within 1 year of a positive SBT result according to patient age, sex, race, ethnicity, insurance type, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and prior SBT use.

RESULTS

This cohort study included 32 769 individuals (16 929 [51.7%] female; mean [SD] age, 63.1 [7.1] years; 2092 [6.4%] of Black and 28 832 [88.0%] of White race; and 825 [2.5%] of Hispanic ethnicity). The FU-CY rates were 43.3% within 90 days of the positive SBT result, 51.4% within 180 days, and 56.1% within 360 days (n = 32 769). In interviews, clinicians were uniformly surprised by the low FU-CY rates. Rates varied by race, ethnicity, insurance type, presence of comorbidities, and SBT used. In the Cox proportional hazards regression model, the strongest positive association was with multitarget stool DNA use (hazard ratio, 1.63 [95% CI, 1.57-1.68] relative to fecal immunochemical tests; P < .001), and the strongest negative association was with the presence of comorbidities (hazard ratio, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.59-0.71] for a CCI of >4 relative to 0; P < .001). The early COVID-19 pandemic was associated with lower FU-CY rates.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study found that FU-CY rates after a positive SBT result for colorectal cancer screening were low among an average-risk population, with the median HCO achieving a 53.4% FU-CY rate within 1 year. Socioeconomic factors and the COVID-19 pandemic were associated with lower FU-CY rates, presenting opportunities for targeted intervention by clinicians and health care systems.

Patterns of initial colorectal cancer screenings after turning 50 years old and follow-up rates of colonoscopy after positive stool-based testing among the average-risk population

OBJECTIVES

Effective colorectal cancer (CRC) screening requires proper adherence beginning at the recommended screening age. For those with positive results on stool-based tests (SBTs), a follow-up colonoscopy is warranted. The objectives of this study were to 1) examine initial screening rates after turning 50 years old; and 2) assess rates of follow-up colonoscopy after a positive SBT.

METHODS

This retrospective study used de-identified administrative claims data from 01/01/2006 to 06/30/2020 for commercially insured and Medicare Advantage enrollees. For objective 1, the index year was the year enrollees turned 50. Rates of CRC screening during and after the index year were captured. For objective 2, the index date was the claim date of a fecal immunochemical test (FIT) or multitarget stool DNA test (mt-sDNA) where linked lab data indicated a positive test result. Rates and time to follow-up colonoscopy after a positive SBT were assessed.

RESULTS

Approximately 53% of enrollees initiated CRC screening within five years after turning 50 (50+ cohort N = 718,562). Among enrollees with an available lab result indicating a positive SBT (N = 7329; 2110 FIT and 5219 mt-sDNA), overall follow-up colonoscopy within 6 months of the positive result was less than optimal (65%) and varied by modality; 72% vs 46% (p < .001) among enrollees with a positive mt-sDNA test compared to FIT test, respectively.

CONCLUSION

There is potential for improving CRC screening among the eligible average-risk population, both to start screening once they reach the screening-eligible age, and to complete the CRC screening paradigm after a positive stool-based screen.

Adherence to colorectal cancer screening and healthcare resource utilization: a longitudinal analysis in Medicare beneficiaries aged 66-75 years

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we examined colorectal cancer (CRC) screening adherence in Medicare beneficiaries and associated healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and Medicare costs.

METHODS

Using 20% Medicare random sample data, the study population included Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 66-75 years on 1 January 2009, at average risk for CRC and continuously enrolled in Medicare Part A/B from 2008 to 2018. We excluded those who had undergone colonoscopy or flexible sigmoidoscopy during 2007-2008 and assumed everyone was due for screening in 2009; screening patterns were determined for 2009-2018. Based on US Preventive Services Task Force recommendations, individuals were categorized as adherent to screening, inadequately screened or not screened. HCRU and Medicare costs were calculated as mean per patient per year (PPPY).

RESULTS

Of 895,846 eligible individuals, 13.2% were adherent to screening, 53.4% were inadequately screened, and 33.4% were not screened. Compared with those not screened, adherent or inadequately screened individuals were more likely to be female, White and have comorbidities. These individuals also used more healthcare services, generating higher Medicare costs. For example, physician visits were 14.6, 22.9 and 25.9 PPPY and total Medicare costs were $6102, $8469 and $9102 PPPY for those not screened, inadequately screened and adherent, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In Medicare beneficiaries at average risk, adherence to CRC screening was low, although the rate might be underestimated due to lack of early Medicare data. The link between HCRU and screening status suggests that screening initiatives independent of clinical visits may be needed to reach unscreened or inadequately screened individuals.

Incident colorectal cancer screening and associated healthcare resource utilization and Medicare cost among Medicare beneficiaries aged 66-75 years in 2016-2018

Background

While prevalence of up-to-date screening status is the usual reported statistic, annual screening incidence may better reflect current clinical practices and is more actionable. Our main purpose was to examine incident colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates in Medicare beneficiaries and to explore characteristics associated with CRC screening.

Methods

Using 20% Medicare random sample data, the study population included 2016–2018 Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries covered by Parts A and B aged 66–75 years at average CRC risk. For each study year, we excluded individuals who had a Medicare claim for a colonoscopy within 9 years, flexible sigmoidoscopy within 4 years, and multitarget stool DNA test (mt-sDNA) within 2 years prior; therefore, any observed screening during study year was considered an “incident screening”. Incident screening rates were calculated as number of incident screenings per 1000 Medicare beneficiaries. Overall rates were normalized to 2018 Medicare population distributions of age, sex, and race.

Results

Each year, > 1.4 million individuals met the inclusion/exclusion criteria from > 6.5 million Medicare beneficiaries. The overall adjusted incident CRC screening rate per 1000 Medicare beneficiaries increased from 85.2 in 2016 to 94.3 in 2018. Incident screening rates decreased 11.4% (22.9 to 20.3) for colonoscopy and 2.4% (58.3 to 56.9) for fecal immunochemical test/guaiac-based fecal occult blood test; they increased 201.5% (6.5 to 19.6) for mt-sDNA. The 2018 unadjusted rate was 76.0 for men and 110.4 for women. By race/ethnicity, the highest 2018 rate was for Asian individuals and the lowest rate was for Black individuals (113.4 and 72.8, respectively).

Conclusions

The 2016–2018 observed incident CRC screening rate in average-risk Medicare beneficiaries, while increasing, was still low. Our findings suggest more work is needed to improve CRC screening overall and, especially, among male and Black Medicare beneficiaries.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-08617-8.

Modeling analysis of COVID 19-related delays in colorectal cancer screening on simulated clinical outcomes

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Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening disruptions have been observed with the COVID-19 pandemic, putting patients at risk for more advanced-stage disease at the time of diagnosis. We estimated the impact of increased use of stool-based tests for screening during the COVID-19 pandemic on near-term clinical outcomes in a simulated United States (US) population. Methods: A previously developed budget impact model was adapted to assess the impact of increasing use of multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA] or fecal immunochemical [FIT] tests to offset the COVID-19 related disruption in colonoscopy screening. Adults, ages 50 – 75 years, at average risk for CRC were included over a 3-year time horizon (2020 – 2023) to explore the impact of increased screening for CRC using mt-sDNA or FIT, from the perspective of a US payer. Compared to the base case (S0; 85% colonoscopy and 15% non-invasive tests), the estimated number of missed CRCs and advanced adenomas (AAs) were determined for four COVID-19-affected screening scenarios: S1, 9 months of CRC screening at 50% capacity, followed by 21 months at 75% capacity; S2, S1 followed by increasing stool-based testing by an average of 10% over 3-years; S3, 18 months of CRC screening at 50% capacity, followed by 12 months of 75% capacity; and S4, S3 followed by increasing stool-based testing by an average of 13% over 3-years. Results: Increasing the proportional use of mt-sDNA, the detection of AAs improved by 6.0% (Scenario 2 versus 1) to 8.4% (Scenario 4 versus 3) and the number of missed CRCs decreased by 15.1% to 17.3% respectively. Increasing FIT utilization improved the detection of AAs by 3.3% (Scenario 2 versus 1) to 4.6% (Scenario 4 versus 3) and the number of missed CRCs decreased by 12.9% (Scenario 2 versus 1) to 14.9% (Scenario 4 versus 3). Across all scenarios, the number of AAs detected was higher for mt-sDNA than for FIT, and the number of missed CRCs was lower for mt-sDNA than for FIT. Conclusions: Using home-based stool tests for average-risk CRC screening can mitigate the consequences of reduced colonoscopy screening resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic. Use of mt-sDNA led to fewer missed CRCs and more AAs detected, compared to FIT.

Costs of colorectal cancer screening with colonoscopy, including post-endoscopy events, among adults with Medicaid insurance

OBJECTIVE

To examine the healthcare utilization and costs associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) screening by colonoscopy, including costs associated with post-endoscopy events, among average-risk adults covered by Medicaid insurance.

METHODS

This cohort study evaluated a population of adults (ages 50-75 years) with CRC screening between 1/1/2014 and 12/31/2018 (index = earliest test) from the IBM MarketScan Multi-State Medicaid database. Individuals at above-average risk for CRC or with prior CRC screening were excluded. CRC screening was reported by screening type: colonoscopy, fecal immunochemical test [FIT], fecal occult blood test [FOBT], multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA]. Frequency and costs of events potentially related to colonoscopy (defined as occurring within 30 days post-endoscopy) were reported overall, by event type, and by individual event.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 13,134 average-risk adults covered by Medicaid insurance who received screening by colonoscopy; 63.6% (8350) had Medicare dual-eligibility while 36.4% (4785) did not have Medicare dual-eligibility. The mean (SD) cost of a colonoscopy procedure was $684 ($907) and mean (SD) out-of-pocket costs were $6 ($132). Serious gastrointestinal (GI) events (perforation and bleeding) were observed in 4.6% of individuals with colonoscopy, 4.3% had other GI events, and 3.0% had an incident cardiovascular/cerebrovascular event. Mean (SD) event-related costs were $1233 ($5784) among individuals with a serious GI event, $747 ($1961) among individuals with other GI events, and $4398 ($19,369) among individuals with a cardiovascular/cerebrovascular event.

CONCLUSIONS

This large, claims-based cohort study reports average (SD) out-of-pocket costs for Medicaid beneficiaries at $6 ($132), which could be one factor contributing to the accessibility of CRC screening by colonoscopy. The incidence of events potentially associated with colonoscopy (i.e. within 30 days after the screening) was 3-4%, and the event-related costs were considerable.

Colorectal cancer screening preferences among physicians and individuals at average risk: A discrete choice experiment

BACKGROUND

Guidelines include several options for average-risk colorectal cancer (CRC) screening that vary in aspects such as invasiveness, recommended frequency, and precision. Thus, patient and provider preferences can help identify an appropriate screening strategy. This study elicited CRC screening preferences of physicians and individuals at average risk for CRC (IAR).

METHODS

IAR aged 45-75 years and licensed physicians (primary care or gastroenterology) completed an online discrete choice experiment (DCE). Participants were recruited from representative access panels in the US. Within the DCE, participants traded off preferences between screening type, screening frequency, true-positive, true-negative, and adenoma true positive (physicians only). A mixed logit model was used to obtain predicted choice probabilities for colonoscopy, multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA), fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and methylated septin 9 (mSEPT9) blood test.

RESULTS

Preferences of IAR and physicians were affected by screening precision and screening type. IAR also valued more regular screening. Physicians preferred colonoscopy (96.8%) over mt-sDNA (2.8%; p < 0.001), FIT (0.3%; p < 0.001) and mSEPT9 blood test (0.1%; p < 0.01). IAR preferred mt-sDNA (38.8%) over colonoscopy (32.5%; p < 0.001), FIT (19.2%; p < 0.001), and mSEPT9 blood test (9.4%; p < 0.001). IAR naïve to screening preferred non-invasive screening (p < 0.001), while the opposite was found for those who previously underwent colonoscopy or sigmoidoscopy.

CONCLUSIONS

While physicians overwhelmingly preferred colonoscopy, preferences of IAR were heterogenous, with mt-sDNA being most frequently preferred on average. Offering choices in addition to colonoscopy could improve CRC screening uptake among IAR. This study used a discrete choice experiment in the US to elicit preferences of physicians and individuals at average risk for colorectal cancer screening modalities and their characteristics.

Healthcare costs of colorectal cancer screening and events following colonoscopy among commercially insured average-risk adults in the United States

OBJECTIVE

To examine the healthcare costs associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) screening and the frequency and costs of events potentially related to colonoscopy among average-risk adults.

METHODS

In this cohort study, adults (ages 50-75 years) with CRC screening between 1/1/2014 and 6/30/2019 (index = earliest test) were selected from the IBM MarketScan Research databases. Individuals at above-average risk for CRC or with prior CRC screening were excluded. Frequency of utilization was reported by screening type: colonoscopy, fecal immunochemical test (FIT), fecal occult blood test (FOBT), multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA). For colonoscopy, frequency and costs of potential events were reported overall, by event type, and by an individual event in the 30 days after colonoscopy.

RESULTS

Among the 333,306 average-risk adults, colonoscopy was the most common CRC screening modality (70.6%), followed by FIT (17.7%), FOBT (8.1%), and mt-sDNA (3.2%). The mean cost of a colonoscopy procedure was $2,125 and the mean out-of-pocket costs were $79. Serious gastrointestinal (GI) events were observed in 1.3% of individuals with colonoscopy, 1.9% had other GI events, and 1.2% had an incident cardiovascular event. Mean event-related costs were $2,631 among individuals with a serious GI event, $1,774 among individuals with any other GI event, and $4,234 among individuals with a cardiovascular event.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides updated and more detailed information regarding the costs of CRC screening and potential colonoscopy events based on a comprehensive review of a robust claims dataset.

Preferences for colorectal cancer screening of physicians and individuals at average risk in the United States: A discrete choice experiment

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Background: Several colorectal cancer (CRC) screening options are considered in guidelines for individuals at average-risk (IAR). These options differ in aspects such as invasiveness, recommended frequency, and precision that need to be compared and weighed. This study elicited and compared the relative importance that physicians and IAR place on these screening aspects. Methods: Primary care physicians [PCPs] and gastroenterologists [GIs] who recommended/performed ≥1 screening one month prior to study and adult IAR completed a discrete choice experiment (DCE). Participants repeatedly chose between screening tests described by type of test, frequency, true-positive (TP), true-negative (TN), and adenoma TP (physicians only). The instrument was tested in qualitative (physicians: n=6; IAR: n=6) and quantitative pilots (physicians: n=100; IAR: n=202). A mixed logit model was used to estimate relative attribute importance (RAI) and predicted choice probabilities for colonoscopy, multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA), fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and methylated septin 9 (mSEPT9) blood test. Generalizability to the population was confirmed. Results: 1,249 IAR and 400 physicians participated. IAR were 46% male and the mean age was 58.9. Physicians were 79% male and their mean age was 53.4. Preferences were most affected by TP rates (IAR RAI=58%; physicians RAI=42%). Physicians also placed high importance (RAI=41%) on adenoma TP rates. TN rates (IAR RAI=33%; physician RAI=9%), frequency (IAR RAI=6%; physician RAI=2%) and type (IAR RAI=4%; physician RAI=6%) were less important. Despite both IAR and physicians placing most importance on precision, preferences for screening modalities differed. On average, physicians preferred colonoscopy, while IAR preferred mt-sDNA over colonoscopy (p<0.001). Both preferred mt-sDNA and colonoscopy over FIT (p<0.001), with a mSEPT9 blood test being least preferred (p<0.001). Preferences of IAR were heterogeneous with individuals who underwent colonoscopy or sigmoidoscopy screening preferring colonoscopy and the rest preferring mt-sDNA (p<0.001). Conclusions: While both GI and PCPs overwhelmingly preferred colonoscopy, preferences of IAR were heterogenous, with mt-sDNA being preferred on average other modalities. Offering choices in addition to colonoscopy could improve screening uptake. [Table: see text]

Patterns of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates among the average risk U.S. population

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Background: There is consensus that the proportion of the average-risk US population up-to-date with CRC screening (58-65%) is insufficient. However, estimates of average risk CRC screening rates are inconsistent and impacted by inclusion of higher-risk individuals, and differing study designs. Accurate measurement of population screening rates is key to addressing gaps in care and assessing the impact of newer CRC screening tests. Methods: The study included individuals aged 50-75 years in a large de-identified claims database, with continuous enrollment during year of analysis, and a variable length baseline enrollment of 1-10 years. Average-risk designation excluded higher risk diagnoses (CRC familial syndromes, colorectal polyp or history of colorectal polyp, history of/current CRC, family history of gastrointestinal cancer, and inflammatory bowel disease). Up-to-date status was assessed within guideline-based time periods: colonoscopy (10 years); FIT or FOBT (annually); mt-sDNA (3 years); flexible sigmoidoscopy/CT colonography (5 years). Analyses assessed the proportion estimated as up-to-date and examined the sensitivity to: a) patient population (average-risk only vs. including higher-risk); b) study design (yearly cross-sectional vs. cohort of 50-year-old patients; c) methods (percent in patients with 10 years of enrollment vs. Kaplan Meier (KM) of censored variable pre-screening period). Results: The cross-sectional analysis average-risk population included 5.3 million individuals. Estimates of the proportion of those up-to-date with screening guidelines for average-risk patients varied by study design, population, and estimation method. KM estimates among the average-risk population (50-75) showed 49-50% were up-to-date in each calendar year. Including higher-risk patients in the KM analysis resulted in 70% up-to-date among the mixed average+higher-risk population. Using a cohort study design (average-risk patients aged 60 with 10 years of baseline data), 65% were up-to-date by age 60. Conclusions: In the base case analysis only half of average risk individuals were up-to-date with CRC screening, a rate lower than typically cited. Sensitivity analyses resulted in substantially different estimates and demonstrate the importance of clearly communicating the methodology used to define the study population. Higher rates quoted in the lay press and medical publications may be based on mixed populations of average+higher-risk individuals or on study designs that do not represent the full population at risk.

Adherence to fecal immunochemical test screening among adults at average risk for colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

This study examined adherence to screening for fecal immunochemical test (FIT).

METHODS

Adults (≥ 50-75) with a FIT between 1/1/2014 and 6/30/2019 in MarketScan administrative claims were selected (index = earliest FIT). Patients were followed for 10 years pre- and 3 years post-index. Patients at increased risk for CRC or with prior screening were excluded. Year over year adherence was measured post-index.

RESULTS

Of 10,253 patients, the proportion adherent to repeat testing at year 2 was 23.4% and 10.6% at year 3. Of 76.6% not adherent in year 2, 5.4% were adherent in year 3.

CONCLUSION

Results suggest adherence to FIT tests is poor, minimizing potential benefits. Future studies are needed to consider alternative test options and whether more choice will improve long-term adherence.

Out-of-Pocket Costs for Colonoscopy After Noninvasive Colorectal Cancer Screening Among US Adults With Commercial and Medicare Insurance

This economic evaluation examines whether adult patients in the US who have commercial or Medicare insurance pay out-of-pocket costs associated with follow-up colonoscopy within 6 months of a noninvasive stool-based test.

The impact of increasing multitarget stool DNA use among colorectal cancer screeners in a self-insured US employer population

Background: In the United States (US), colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths. With the majority of the US population covered by employer-based health plans, employers can play a critical role in increasing CRC screening adherence, which may help avert CRC-related deaths. Therefore, it is important for self-insured employers to consider the impact of appropriate utilization of CRC screening options. Objective: To evaluate the impact of increasing multitarget stool DNA [mt-sDNA (Cologuard®)] use among CRC screeners from the perspective of a US self-insured employer. Methods:A 5-year Markov model was developed to quantify the budget impact of increasing mt-sDNA from 6% to 15% among average-risk screeners using colonoscopy, fecal immunological test, and mt-sDNA. Data on direct medical costs were obtained from published literature, Medicare CPT codes, and the Healthcare cost and Utilization project. Indirect costs included productivity loss due to workplace absenteeism for CRC screening and treatment. Results: With a hypothetical population of 100,000 employees with screeners aged 50-64 years, compared to status quo, increased mt-sDNA utilization resulted in no differences in the numbers of cancers detected and the overall direct and indirect cost savings were ~$214,000 ($0.04 per-employee-per-month) over 5 years. Most of the savings were due to a reduction in the direct medical expenditure related to CRC screening, adverse events, and productivity loss due to colonoscopy screening. Similar results were observed in the model simulation among screeners aged 45-64 years. Conclusion: Increased utilization of mt-sDNA for CRC screening averts direct and indirect medical costs from a self-insured US employer perspective.

Utilization of a Colorectal Cancer Screening Test Among Individuals With Average Risk

IMPORTANCE

Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening reduces CRC incidence and mortality. It is important to examine screening patterns over time, including after the introduction of new screening modalities.

OBJECTIVE

To compare use of CRC screening tests before and after the availability of the multitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test, given that endorsed options have changed.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This longitudinal cohort study used administrative claims data to examine CRC screening use in 2 discrete periods: before (August 1, 2011, to July 31, 2014) and after (August 1, 2016, to July 31, 2019) the mt-sDNA test became available. The MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases were queried for individuals aged 45 to 75 years between August 1, 2011, and July 31, 2019, with average risk of CRC and with continuous enrollment in the databases from August 1, 2001, to July 31, 2019.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The proportion of individuals up to date or not due for CRC screening during each measurement year and the type of screening test used among individuals due for screening. Data were reported overall and among individuals aged 45 to 49 or 50 years and older on August 1, 2011.

RESULTS

A total of 97 776 individuals with average risk were identified. Individuals had a mean (SD) age of 50.8 (3.5) years, and 54 227 (55.5%) were women. The proportion of individuals with average risk aged 50 to 75 years with commercial or Medicare supplemental insurance who were up to date with CRC screening increased from 50.4% in 2011 (30 605 of 60 770) to 69.7% in 2019 (42 367 of 60 770). Among individuals due for screening and screened, the use of high-sensitivity fecal occult blood test (FOBT) decreased between 2011 (1088 of 6241 eligible individuals [17.7%]) and 2019 (195 of 2943 eligible individuals [6.6%]), and the use of mt-sDNA increased between 2016 (58 of 3014 eligible individuals [1.9%]) and 2019 (418 of 2943 eligible individuals [14.2%]). No consistent trends were observed with fecal immunochemical test (FIT) or screening colonoscopy. Computed tomography colonography, double-contrast barium enema, and flexible sigmoidoscopy were rarely performed.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, the proportion of individuals with average risk who were up to date with CRC screening increased between 2011 and 2019 but remained suboptimal. There were no substantial changes in the use of the colonoscopy or FIT; however, there was an increase in the adoption of mt-sDNA and a decrease in the use of FOBT during the study period.

Evaluating Outreach Methods for Multi-Target Stool DNA Test for Colorectal Cancer Screening Among an Employer Population

Introduction/Objectives:

Despite compelling evidence of clinical and economic benefits, adherence to colorectal cancer (CRC) screening remains low. Increasing public awareness through various outreach methods may improve screening uptake. The objective of this study was to evaluate the uptake of non-invasive multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) by different outreach methods in an average-risk employer population.

Methods:

This retrospective observational study included CRC screening-eligible individuals aged ≥50 years insured by the Metropolitan Nashville Public Schools (MNPS) employee healthcare plan. The study intervention arms included population-based outreach and office visit-based interaction. The mt-sDNA completion rate (proportion of individuals who return the mt-sDNA kit after consenting to have it shipped to their home), proportion of patients who performed follow-up colonoscopy after a positive test, and time to follow-up colonoscopy were assessed.

Results:

A total of 167 mt-sDNA kits were shipped to eligible participants (aged 50-64 years) in the population-based outreach arm. In the office visit-based interaction arm, a total of 132 mt-sDNA kits were shipped to eligible participants (aged ≥50 years). The mt-sDNA completion rate was significantly higher for office visit-based interaction as compared to population-based outreach (76.8% vs 53.5%; P < .001) among those aged 50 to 64 years. While all patients aged 50 to 64 years with a positive mt-sDNA result received a follow-up colonoscopy in both arms, the median time to follow-up colonoscopy was shorter among the population-based outreach (55 vs 136 days; P < .05).

Conclusions:

Office visit-based interaction was associated with a higher mt-sDNA completion rate as compared to the population-based outreach among average-risk, CRC screening-eligible individuals aged 50 to 64 years old.

Cross-sectional adherence with the multitarget stool DNA test for colorectal cancer screening in a large, national study of insured patients

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Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most deadly and fourth most frequently diagnosed cancer in the United States. Early detection can improve CRC outcomes, but overall screening rates (62%) remain below the 80% goal set by the National Colorectal Cancer Roundtable. Multiple options are endorsed for average-risk CRC screening, including the multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test, which includes patient and provider navigation support. Cross-sectional adherence with the mt-sDNA test was previously reported in a large Medicare population (71%). In the current study we investigated cross-sectional adherence with the mt-sDNA test in a broader, national sample of insured patients. Methods: Aggregate data from Exact Sciences Laboratories LLC (ESL; Madison, WI) were retrospectively analyzed in compliance with HIPAA requirements. Study participants included individuals ages 50 years and older who were covered by commercial insurance or Medicare, had a valid mt-sDNA test order placed between January 1–December 31, 2018, and received a test kit shipped from ESL. Cross-sectional adherence, defined as successful completion and return of the test kit within 365 days of the shipment date, was assessed overall and by patient- and provider-level factors. Results: In total, 1,420,460 participants met the study criteria (61.2% women; mean age 65.7 years). Overall cross-sectional adherence was 66.8%. Adherence was 72.1% in participants with Traditional Medicare, 69.1% in participants with Medicare Advantage, and 61.9% in participants with commercial insurance (p<0.001). Adherence increased by participant age (p<0.001): 60.8% for ages 50-64, 71.3% for ages 65-75, and 74.7% for ages 76+ years. For Traditional Medicare patients, ages 65-75, adherence was 73.6%. Participants with mt-sDNA tests ordered placed by gastroenterologists had a higher adherence rate (78.3%) than those with orders placed by primary care clinicians (67.2%) (p<0.001). Adherence rates were highest among patients with ordering providers in the Pacific region (71.4%) and West North Central region (70.1%), and lowest in the Mid-Atlantic region (65.7%), New England (65.2%), West South Central region (64.6%), and Puerto Rico and US territories (60.7%). Conclusions: Novel data from this large, national sample of insured patients demonstrate high cross-sectional adherence with the mt-sDNA test (66.8%), supporting the substantial contribution this guideline-endorsed option plays in average-risk CRC screening. At the patient-level, adherence increased with patient age, and was highest in those covered by Traditional Medicare. Provider-level stratification showed the highest adherence for mt-sDNA tests ordered by gastroenterologists. This study adds to data regarding the impact of accompanying navigation support and at-home convenience of mt-sDNA on screening completion rates.

Cross-sectional adherence with the multi-target stool DNA test for colorectal cancer screening in a large, nationally insured cohort

PURPOSE

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most deadly cancer in the USA. Early detection can improve CRC outcomes, but recent national screening rates (62%) remain below the 80% goal set by the National Colorectal Cancer Roundtable. Multiple options are endorsed for average-risk CRC screening, including the multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test. We evaluated cross-sectional mt-sDNA test completion in a population of commercially and Medicare-insured patients.

METHODS

Participants included individuals ages 50 years and older with commercial insurance or Medicare, with a valid mt-sDNA test shipped by Exact Sciences Laboratories LLC between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018 (n = 1,420,460). In 2020, we analyzed cross-sectional adherence, as the percent of successfully completed tests within 365 days of shipment date.

RESULTS

Overall cross-sectional adherence was 66.8%. Adherence was 72.1% in participants with Traditional Medicare, 69.1% in participants with Medicare Advantage, and 61.9% in participants with commercial insurance. Adherence increased with age: 60.8% for ages 50-64, 71.3% for ages 65-75, and 74.7% for ages 76 + years. Participants with mt-sDNA tests ordered by gastroenterologists had a higher adherence rate (78.3%) than those with orders by primary care clinicians (67.2%). Geographically, adherence rates were highest among highly rural patients (70.8%) and ordering providers in the Pacific region (71.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Data from this large, national sample of insured patients demonstrate high cross-sectional adherence with the mt-sDNA test, supporting its role as an accepted, noninvasive option for average-risk CRC screening. Attributes of mt-sDNA screening, including home-based convenience and accompanying navigation support, likely contributed to high completion rates.

The health economic impact of varying levels of adherence to colorectal screening on providers and payers

AIMS

To examine the impact of increasing multi-target stool DNA test (mt-sDNA [Cologuard]) utilization for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in cohorts aged 50-75 and 45-75 years old with varying levels of adherence from the perspectives of integrated delivery networks (IDNs) and payers.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We developed a budget impact model that simulates CRC screening with colonoscopy over a 10-year time horizon, fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and mt-sDNA according to the United States Preventive Services Task Force and American Cancer Society guidelines for average risk adults. We evaluated varying levels of screening adherence for a status quo scenario and for an increased mt-sDNA utilization scenario, from the IDN and payer perspectives. The IDN perspective included CRC screening program costs, whereas the payer perspective did not. Conversely, stool-based screening test and bowel preparation costs were unique to the payer perspective.

RESULTS

The increased mt-sDNA scenarios yielded cost savings relative to the status quo under all adherence scenarios due to a decrease in screening and surveillance colonoscopies. For ages 50-75, in high and low adherence scenarios, savings were $19.8 M ($0.16 per-person-per-month (PPPM)) and $33.3 M ($0.28 PPPM) from the IDN perspective. From the payer perspective, savings were $4.2 M ($0.03 PPPM) and $6.7 M ($0.06 PPPM). For ages 45-75, in high and low adherence scenarios, cost savings were $19.3 M ($0.16 PPPM) and $33.0 M ($0.28 PPPM) from the IDN perspective and $3.9 M ($0.03 PPPM) and $6.2 M ($0.05 PPPM) from the payer perspective. In all imperfect adherence scenarios, the degree of cost-savings with increased mt-sDNA utilization correlated with the aggregate decrease in screening and surveillance colonoscopies.

LIMITATIONS

Estimates of real-world adherence levels were based on cross-sectional screening data from the literature, and assumptions were applied to individual screening modalities and screening scenarios.

CONCLUSIONS

Among all adherence scenarios, perspectives, and age ranges, increased mt-sDNA utilization yielded cost-savings.

Projecting total costs and health consequences of increasing mt-sDNA utilization for colorectal cancer screening from the payer and integrated delivery network perspectives

Aims: To evaluate total costs and health consequences of a colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program with colonoscopy, fecal immunochemical tests (FIT), and expanded use of multitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) from the perspectives of Integrated Delivery Networks (IDNs) and payers in the United States.Materials and methods: We developed a budget impact and cost-consequence model that simulates CRC screening for eligible 50- to 75-year-old adults. A status quo scenario and an increased mt-sDNA scenario were modeled. The status quo includes the current screening mix of colonoscopy (83%), FIT (11%), and mt-sDNA (6%) modalities. The increased mt-sDNA scenario increases mt-sDNA utilization to 28% over 10 years. Costs for both the IDN and the payer perspectives incorporated diagnostic and surveillance colonoscopies, adverse events (AEs), and CRC treatment. The IDN perspective included screening program costs, composed of direct nonmedical (e.g. patient navigation) and indirect (e.g. administration) costs. It was assumed that IDNs do not incur the costs for stool-based screening tests or bowel preparation for colonoscopies.Results: In a population of one million covered lives, the 10-year incremental cost savings incurred by increasing mt-sDNA utilization was $16.2 M for the IDN and $3.3 M for the payer. The incremental savings per-person-per-month were $0.14 and $0.03 for the IDN and payer, respectively. For both perspectives, increased diagnostic colonoscopy costs were offset by reductions in screening colonoscopies, surveillance colonoscopies, and AEs. Extending screening eligibility to 45- to 75-year-olds slightly decreased the overall cost savings.Limitations: The natural history of CRC was not simulated; however, many of the utilized parameters were extracted from highly vetted natural history models or published literature. Direct nonmedical and indirect costs for CRC screening programs are applied on a per-person-per modality basis, whereas in reality some of these costs may be fixed.Conclusions: Increased mt-sDNA utilization leads to fewer colonoscopies, less AEs, and lower overall costs for both IDNs and payers, reducing overall screening program costs and increasing the number of cancers detected while maintaining screening adherence rates over 10 years.

Application of Machine Learning Models to Evaluate Hypoglycemia Risk in Type 2 Diabetes

INTRODUCTION

To identify predictors of hypoglycemia and five other clinical and economic outcomes among treated patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) using machine learning and structured data from a large, geographically diverse administrative claims database.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study design was applied to Optum Clinformatics claims data indexed on first antidiabetic prescription date. A hypothesis-free, Bayesian machine learning analytics platform (GNS Healthcare REFS™: Reverse Engineering and Forward Simulation) was used to build ensembles of generalized linear models to predict six outcomes defined in patients' 1-year post-index claims history, including hypoglycemia, antidiabetic class persistence, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) target attainment, HbA1c change, T2D-related inpatient admissions, and T2D-related medical costs. A unified set of 388 variables defined in patients' 1-year pre-index claims history constituted the set of predictors for all REFS models.

RESULTS

The derivation cohort comprised 453,487 patients with a T2D diagnosis between 2014 and 2017. Patients with comorbid conditions had the highest risk of hypoglycemia, including those with prior hypoglycemia (odds ratio [OR] = 25.61) and anemia (OR = 1.29). Other identified risk factors included insulin (OR = 2.84) and sulfonylurea use (OR = 1.80). Biguanide use (OR = 0.75), high blood glucose (> 125 mg/dL vs. < 100 mg/dL, OR = 0.47; 100-125 mg/dL vs. < 100 mg/dL, OR = 0.53), and missing blood glucose test (OR = 0.40) were associated with reduced risk of hypoglycemia. Area under the curve (AUC) of the hypoglycemia model in held-out testing data was 0.77. Patients in the top 15% of predicted hypoglycemia risk constituted 50% of observed hypoglycemic events, 26% of T2D-related inpatient admissions, and 24% of all T2D-related medical costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning models built within high-dimensional, real-world data can predict patients at risk of clinical outcomes with a high degree of accuracy, while uncovering important factors associated with outcomes that can guide clinical practice. Targeted interventions towards these patients may help reduce hypoglycemia risk and thereby favorably impact associated economic outcomes relevant to key stakeholders.