Clinical outcomes following discontinuation of metformin in patients with type 2 diabetes and advanced chronic kidney disease in Hong Kong: a territory-wide, retrospective cohort and target trial emulation study

Background

Current labelling advises discontinuation of metformin when estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 due to increased risk of lactic acidosis. However, in real-world practice, the risk-benefit ratios remain uncertain. We examined the risk associations of discontinued-metformin use with cardiorenal and clinical outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and advanced chronic kidney disease.

Methods

In this territory-wide, retrospective cohort and target trial emulation study, we included Chinese patients attending the Hong Kong Hospital Authority (HA) and enrolled in the Risk-Assessment-and-Management-Programme-for-Diabetes-Mellitus (RAMP-DM) from 2002 to 2019. Patients were stratified by discontinuation of metformin within six months after reaching eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2018, and followed up until December 31 2019. We excluded patients who had observational time <6 months from eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2, and had their eGFR measured during a hospitalisation episode due to acute kidney injury, or missing diagnosis date of diabetes. We compared the risk associations of metformin discontinuation with clinical outcomes. The primary outcomes were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), cancer, and all-cause mortality. A Cox-model with time-dependent exposure and covariates was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of outcomes in a propensity-score overlap-weighted cohort. The risk of occurrence of lactic acidosis (serum lactate > 5.0 mmol/L with a concomitant blood pH < 7.35 or ICD-9 codes of 276.2) in discontinued-metformin versus continued-metformin users was assessed in a separate register-based cohort.

Findings

A total of 33,586 metformin users with new-onset eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 were included in the study, 7500 (22.3%) of whom discontinued metformin within 6 months whereas 26,086 (77.7%) continued use of metformin. During a median follow-up of 3.8 (IQR: 2.2-6.1) years, 16.4% (5505/33,586), 30.1% (10,113/33,586), and 7.1% (2171/30,682) had incident MACE, ESKD, and cancer respectively, and 44.4% (14,917/33,586) died. Compared to continued-metformin use, discontinuation was associated with higher risk of MACE (weighted and adjusted HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.29-1.52), ESKD (HR = 1.52, 1.42-1.62), and death (HR = 1.22, 1.18-1.27). No association was observed for cancer (HR = 0.93, 0.85-1.01). Discontinued-metformin users had higher change in HbA1c change at 6-month of follow-up versus continued-metformin users (weighted mean HbA1c level change: 0.5% [0.4-0.6%] versus 0.2% [0.1-0.2]). In the separate register-based cohort (n = 3235), null association was observed between metformin use and risk of lactic acidosis (weighted HR = 0.94 [0.53-1.64]).

Interpretation

Our results suggest that discontinuation of metformin in patients with T2D and chronic kidney disease may be associated with increased risk of cardiovascular-renal events. Use of metformin below eGFR of 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 may be associated with cardiovascular, renal, and mortality benefits that need to be weighed against the risk of lactic acidosis, but further research is needed to validate these findings.

Funding

CUHK Impact Research Fellowship Scheme.

Intelligently Quantifying the Entire Irregular Dental Structure

Quantitative analysis of irregular anatomical structures is crucial in oral medicine, but clinicians often typically measure only several representative indicators within the structure as references. Deep learning semantic segmentation offers the potential for entire quantitative analysis. However, challenges persist, including segmentation difficulties due to unclear boundaries and acquiring measurement landmarks for clinical needs in entire quantitative analysis. Taking the palatal alveolar bone as an example, we proposed an artificial intelligence measurement tool for the entire quantitative analysis of irregular dental structures. To expand the applicability, we have included lightweight networks with fewer parameters and lower computational demands. Our approach finally used the lightweight model LU-Net, addressing segmentation challenges caused by unclear boundaries through a compensation module. Additional enamel segmentation was conducted to establish a measurement coordinate system. Ultimately, we presented the entire quantitative information within the structure in a manner that meets clinical needs. The tool achieved excellent segmentation results, manifested by high Dice coefficients (0.934 and 0.949), intersection over union (0.888 and 0.907), and area under the curve (0.943 and 0.949) for palatal alveolar bone and enamel in the test set. In subsequent measurements, the tool visualizes the quantitative information within the target structure by scatter plots. When comparing the measurements against representative indicators, the tool's measurement results show no statistically significant difference from the ground truth, with small mean absolute error, root mean squared error, and errors interval. Bland-Altman plots and intraclass correlation coefficients indicate the satisfactory agreement compared with manual measurements. We proposed a novel intelligent approach to address the entire quantitative analysis of irregular image structures in the clinical setting. This contributes to enabling clinicians to swiftly and comprehensively grasp structural features, facilitating the design of more personalized treatment plans for different patients, enhancing clinical efficiency and treatment success rates in turn.

Trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older adults with and without diabetes: A territory-wide analysis in one million older adults in Hong Kong

AIMS

Direct comparisons of population-level trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortalities among older adults with and without diabetes are lacking.

METHODS

We performed a territory-wide analysis of 1,142,000 unique older adults aged ≥ 65 years (31.7 % with diabetes) with at least one attendance in the Hong Kong Hospital Authority in 2014-2018. We used Joinpoint regression to describe trends of age- and sex-standardised all-cause and cause-specific mortalities (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer, and non-CVD and non-cancer) in older adults with and without diabetes.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality decreased in older adults with (average annual percent change [AAPC] = -1.6, 95 % confidence interval [-2.7, -0.4]) and without (AAPC = -3.1 [-4.2, -2.1]) diabetes. Largest declines were seen for CVD-cause mortalities for people with and without diabetes (AAPC = -5.5 [-6.8, -4.1] vs AAPC = -5.8 [-8.6, -2.9], respectively). Cancer-cause mortalities were similar in both groups with no change. Men with diabetes showed less favourable improvements. An increasing mortality trend was seen only in the 65-69 age-group regardless of diabetes status.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality continued to decline in older adults with and without diabetes, mainly driven by a decline in CVD deaths, with no narrowing of the mortality gap. Our findings call for continued actions to address excess mortalities especially in older men with diabetes and younger older adults.

A novel electronic health record-based, machine-learning model to predict severe hypoglycemia leading to hospitalizations in older adults with diabetes: A territory-wide cohort and modeling study

BACKGROUND

Older adults with diabetes are at high risk of severe hypoglycemia (SH). Many machine-learning (ML) models predict short-term hypoglycemia are not specific for older adults and show poor precision-recall. We aimed to develop a multidimensional, electronic health record (EHR)-based ML model to predict one-year risk of SH requiring hospitalization in older adults with diabetes.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We adopted a case-control design for a retrospective territory-wide cohort of 1,456,618 records from 364,863 unique older adults (age ≥65 years) with diabetes and at least 1 Hong Kong Hospital Authority attendance from 2013 to 2018. We used 258 predictors including demographics, admissions, diagnoses, medications, and routine laboratory tests in a one-year period to predict SH events requiring hospitalization in the following 12 months. The cohort was randomly split into training, testing, and internal validation sets in a 7:2:1 ratio. Six ML algorithms were evaluated including logistic-regression, random forest, gradient boost machine, deep neural network (DNN), XGBoost, and Rulefit. We tested our model in a temporal validation cohort in the Hong Kong Diabetes Register with predictors defined in 2018 and outcome events defined in 2019. Predictive performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) statistics, and positive predictive value (PPV). We identified 11,128 SH events requiring hospitalization during the observation periods. The XGBoost model yielded the best performance (AUROC = 0.978 [95% CI 0.972 to 0.984]; AUPRC = 0.670 [95% CI 0.652 to 0.688]; PPV = 0.721 [95% CI 0.703 to 0.739]). This was superior to an 11-variable conventional logistic-regression model comprised of age, sex, history of SH, hypertension, blood glucose, kidney function measurements, and use of oral glucose-lowering drugs (GLDs) (AUROC = 0.906; AUPRC = 0.085; PPV = 0.468). Top impactful predictors included non-use of lipid-regulating drugs, in-patient admission, urgent emergency triage, insulin use, and history of SH. External validation in the HKDR cohort yielded AUROC of 0.856 [95% CI 0.838 to 0.873]. Main limitations of this study included limited transportability of the model and lack of geographically independent validation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel-ML model demonstrated good discrimination and high precision in predicting one-year risk of SH requiring hospitalization. This may be integrated into EHR decision support systems for preemptive intervention in older adults at highest risk.

Health impacts of new-onset diabetes in women post-gestational diabetes mellitus: Insights from Hong Kong's territory-wide data

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To determine the population health burden attributable to the development of diabetes among women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of women with a history of GDM attending the Hong Kong Hospital Authority between 2000 and 2019. The time-varying population attributable fraction was calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 76,181 women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus were included, 6,606 of them developed diabetes during a median follow-up of 8.6 years. The respective hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) among women with GDM who developed diabetes vs those with GDM only were 2.8 (2.2, 3.7) for cardiovascular disease (CVD), 4.8 (3.0, 7.7) for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), 2.2 (1.9, 2.6) for infection-related hospitalization, and 1.8 (1.3, 2.4) for all-cause mortality. The development of diabetes was associated with 1.3 (0.8, 1.7), 0.6 (0.3, 0.8), 3.2 (2.4, 4.0), and 0.5 (0.2, 0.9) additional incident cases per 1,000 person-years, accounting for 24.0% (13.2%, 35.9%), 42.0% (22.5%, 58.8%), 10.8% (7.1%, 14.9%), and 6.0% (-3.1%, 16.1%) of absolute number of CVD, ESKD, infection-related hospitalization, and all-cause mortality over 20 years after GDM, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes is a significant contributor to the population health burden of some clinical outcomes in women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus, but other risk factors need to be considered.

Lessons and Applications of Omics Research in Diabetes Epidemiology

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Recent advances in genomic technology and molecular techniques have greatly facilitated the identification of disease biomarkers, advanced understanding of pathogenesis of different common diseases, and heralded the dawn of precision medicine. Much of these advances in the area of diabetes have been made possible through deep phenotyping of epidemiological cohorts, and analysis of the different omics data in relation to detailed clinical information. In this review, we aim to provide an overview on how omics research could be incorporated into the design of current and future epidemiological studies.

RECENT FINDINGS

We provide an up-to-date review of the current understanding in the area of genetic, epigenetic, proteomic and metabolomic markers for diabetes and related outcomes, including polygenic risk scores. We have drawn on key examples from the literature, as well as our own experience of conducting omics research using the Hong Kong Diabetes Register and Hong Kong Diabetes Biobank, as well as other cohorts, to illustrate the potential of omics research in diabetes. Recent studies highlight the opportunity, as well as potential benefit, to incorporate molecular profiling in the design and set-up of diabetes epidemiology studies, which can also advance understanding on the heterogeneity of diabetes. Learnings from these examples should facilitate other researchers to consider incorporating research on omics technologies into their work to advance the field and our understanding of diabetes and its related co-morbidities. Insights from these studies would be important for future development of precision medicine in diabetes.

A Cholecystokinin Analogue Ameliorates Cognitive Deficits and Regulates Mitochondrial Dynamics via the AMPK/Drp1 Pathway in APP/PS1 Mice

BACKGROUND

There are no drugs on the market that can reverse or slow Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression. A protease-resistant Cholecystokinin (CCK) analogue used in this study is based on the basic structure of CCK, which further increases the stability of the peptide fragment and prolongs its half-life in vivo. We observed a neuroprotective effect of CCK-8L in APPswe/PS1dE9 (APP/PS1) AD mice. However, its corresponding mechanisms still need to be elucidated.

OBJECTIVE

This study examined CCK-8L's neuroprotective effects in enhancing cognitive impairment by regulating mitochondrial dynamics through AMPK/Drp1 pathway in the APP/PS1 AD mice.

METHODS

Behavioural tests are applied to assess competence in cognitive functions. Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) was performed to observe the ultrastructure of mitochondria of hippocampal neurons, Immunofluorescent staining was employed to assay for Aβ1-42, APP, Adenosine 5'-monophosphate (AMP)-activated protein kinase (AMPK) and dynamin-related protein1 (Drp1). CRISPR/Cas9 was utilized for targeted knockout of the CCKB receptor (CCKBR) in the mouse APP/PS1 hippocampal CA1 region. A model of lentiviral vector-mediated overexpression of APP in N2a cells was constructed.

RESULTS

In vivo, experiments revealed that CCK analogue and liraglutide significantly alleviated cognitive deficits in APP/PS1 mice, reduced Aβ1-42 expression, and ameliorated l damage, which is associated with CCKBR activation in the hippocampal CA1 region of mice. In vitro tests showed that CCK inhibited mitochondrial fission and promoted fusion through AMPK/Drp1 pathway.

CONCLUSIONS

CCK analogue ameliorates cognitive deficits and regulates mitochondrial dynamics by activating the CCKB receptor and the AMPK/Drp1 pathway in AD mice.

Fate of Quasiparticles at High Temperature in the Correlated Metal Sr_{2}RuO_{4}

We study the temperature evolution of quasiparticles in the correlated metal Sr_{2}RuO_{4}. Our angle resolved photoemission data show that quasiparticles persist up to temperatures above 200 K, far beyond the Fermi liquid regime. Extracting the quasiparticle self-energy, we demonstrate that the quasiparticle residue Z increases with increasing temperature. Quasiparticles eventually disappear on approaching the bad metal state of Sr_{2}RuO_{4} not by losing weight but via excessive broadening from super-Planckian scattering. We further show that the Fermi surface of Sr_{2}RuO_{4}-defined as the loci where the spectral function peaks-deflates with increasing temperature. These findings are in semiquantitative agreement with dynamical mean field theory calculations.

Hidden magnetism uncovered in a charge ordered bilayer kagome material ScV6Sn6

Charge ordered kagome lattices have been demonstrated to be intriguing platforms for studying the intertwining of topology, correlation, and magnetism. The recently discovered charge ordered kagome material ScV6Sn6 does not feature a magnetic groundstate or excitations, thus it is often regarded as a conventional paramagnet. Here, using advanced muon-spin rotation spectroscopy, we uncover an unexpected hidden magnetism of the charge order. We observe an enhancement of the internal field width sensed by the muon ensemble, which takes place within the charge ordered state. More importantly, the muon spin relaxation rate below the charge ordering temperature is substantially enhanced by applying an external magnetic field. Taken together with the hidden magnetism found in AV3Sb5 (A = K, Rb, Cs) and FeGe kagome systems, our results suggest ubiqitous time-reversal symmetry-breaking in charge ordered kagome lattices.

[Observation of liver indexes in patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma treated with CAR-T-cells based on BCMA]

Objective: To observe the characteristics of the evolution of liver indexes in patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) treated with CAR-T-cells based on BCMA. Methods: Retrospective analysis was performed of patients with RRMM who received an infusion of anti-BCMA CAR-T-cells and anti-BCMA combined with anti-CD19 CAR-T-cells at our center between June 1, 2019, and February 28, 2023. Clinical data were collected to observe the characteristics of changes in liver indexes such as alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBIL), and direct bilirubin (DBIL) in patients, and its relationship with cytokine-release syndrome (CRS) . Results: Ninety-two patients were included in the analysis, including 41 patients (44.6%) in the group receiving a single infusion of anti-BCMA CAR-T-cells, and 51 patients (55.4%) in the group receiving an infusion of anti-BCMA combined with anti-CD19 CAR-T-cells. After infusing CAR-T-cells, 31 patients (33.7%) experienced changes in liver indexes at or above grade 2, which included 20 patients (21.7%) with changes in one index, five patients (5.4%) with changes in two indexes, and six patients (6.5%) with changes in three or more indexes. The median time of peak values of ALT and AST were d17 and d14, respectively, and the median duration of exceeding grade 2 was 5.0 and 3.5 days, respectively. The median time of peak values of TBIL and DBIL was on d19 and d21, respectively, and the median duration of exceeding grade 2 was 4.0 days, respectively. The median time of onset of CRS was d8, and the peak time of fever was d9. The ALT, AST, and TBIL of patients with CRS were higher than those of patients without CRS (P=0.011, 0.002, and 0.015, respectively). CRS is an independent factor that affects ALT and TBIL levels (OR=19.668, 95% CI 18.959-20.173, P=0.001). The evolution of liver indexes can be reversed through anti-CRS and liver-protection treatments, and no patient died of liver injury. Conclusions: In BCMA-based CAR-T-cell therapy for RRMM, CRS is an important factor causing the evolution of liver indexes. The evolution of liver indexes after CAR-T-cell infusion is transient and reversible after treatment.

Development and Validation of CT-Based Dose-Volume-Radiomics Nomogram for Radiation Induced Hypothyroidism in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Several studies reported hypothyroidism occurred in 40-50% of patients who were treated with neck irradiation. Post-radiation hypothyroidism impairs quality of life, increases the risk of cardiac complications, and requires lifelong thyroxine replacement in affected patients. At present, radiation dose-volume constraints of thyroid gland are used to predict thyroid function outcomes in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, it is limited by (a) inferior predictive power, (b) a lack of analyzing individualized thyroid characteristics as a categoriad to predict radiation induced hypothyroidism (RIHT). In this study, we firstly developed and validated CT-based dose-volume-radiomics nomogram to predict RIHT in patients with NPC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

A total of 451 NPC patients who underwent definitive radiotherapy were randomly assigned into the training (n = 338) and validation set (n = 113) in a 3:1 ratio. Dose-volume parameters, including the thyroid volume, mean dose (Dmean), percentage of the volume that received xGy of radiation (Vx), and the absolute volume that was spared from xGy of radiation (Vsx), were collected from radiotherapy planning databases. We defined primary hypothyroidism as an elevated TSH serum level (> 4.94 mIU/L) in combination with a normal or low serum FT4 level, regardless of symptoms. 1316 CT radiomic features were extracted and selected to construct the radiomics signature (RS). A CT-based nomogram was established by integrating clinical factors, dose-volume parameters and radiomics signature in training set and was tested in validation set.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up period of 68 months, 301 (66.7%) patients developed RIHT. Compared with other dose-volume parameters including thyroid volume, V30, V50, Dmean, Vs45, Vs50, the thyroid volume spared from 60Gy (Vs60) had best power to predict RIHT. The radiomics signature constructed by 8 selected radiomic features showed better prognostic performance than Vs60 for predicting RIHT in training set (RIHT vs. Vs60, C-index: 0.69 vs. 0.58) and internal validation set (C-index: 0.65 vs. 0.55). Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups by median radiomic signature. Patients in high-risk group had higher rate of RIHT than patients in low-risk group (training set:61% vs.39%, P<0.05; validation set: 73% vs.32%, P<0.05). The nomogram established by integrating radiomics signature with Vs60 showed optimal prognostic performance with C-index of 0.71 in training, 0.66 in validation set. Calibration curves showed good agreement.

CONCLUSION

CT-based dose-volume-radiomics nomogram provided an excellent prognostic tool for predict incidence rate of RITH in patients with NPC received definitive radiotherapy.

First-Year Experience of IMRT/SBRT Treatments Using a Novel Biology-Guided Radiation Therapy System

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

This study presents the first-year experience of treating patients using intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) with the X1 system, the first biology-guided radiation therapy (BgRT) machine installed in a clinical setting.

MATERIALS/METHODS

A total of 78 patients underwent IMRT and SBRT treatments on the X1 system from May 2021 to May 2022. Clinical and technical data, such as treatment sites, number of pre-treatments kVCT scans, beam on time, patient setup time, imaging time per kVCT, and couch shifts after kVCT match, were collected and analyzed. Additionally, daily machine output stability, patient-specific quality assurance (QA) results, machine uptime, and user survey were also documented and reported.

RESULTS

The most commonly treated site was the head and neck (63%), followed by the pelvis (23%), thorax (6%), and abdomen (8%). All treatments, except for 5 pelvis patients (6%) who received SBRT treatments for bony metastases, were conventionally fractionated IMRT (CF IMRT). The average number of kVCT scans per fraction is 1.2 ± 0.5 for all treatments. The average beam on time in minutes was 9.2 ± 3.5 for all treatments, 8.4 ± 2.4 for head and neck, 6.7 ± 1.3 for thorax, 10.3 ± 1.6 for abdomen, 11.6 ± 5.1 for CF IMRT pelvis, and 10.8 ± 5.3 for SBRT pelvis. The average patient setup time and imaging time per kVCT was 4.8 ± 2.6 minutes and 4.6 ± 1.5 minutes, respectively. The average couch corrections based on kVCT images were 0.4 ± 4.4 mm, 1.0 ± 4.5 mm, and 1.3 ± 4.3 mm along the x, y, and z direction, respectively; the average couch rotation corrections were 0.1 ± 0.9° for pitch, 0.0 ± 0.9° for roll, and 0.2 ± 1.2° for yaw. The daily machine output was 0.4 ± 1.2% from the baseline. The patient QA had a gamma passing rate of 97.4 ± 2.8%. The machine uptime was 92% of the total treatment time. The kVCT image quality and daily QA process received the highest level of satisfaction, while the treatment workflow for therapists received the lowest level of satisfaction (table 1).

CONCLUSION

At one year after the installation of the X1 system, this study reports successful treatment of 78 patients using IMRT/ SBRT. With the recent FDA clearance of BgRT, our institution is preparing to treat patients using PET-guidance via a new product release, which should address deficiencies in the current IGRT workflow.

A Nomogram to Predict Pathological Axillary Status in Breast Cancer Patients Treated with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

This study aimed to identify factors influencing axillary pathological complete response (pCR) and to develop a predictive nomogram to evaluate axillary pCR rate in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC).

MATERIALS/METHODS

A total of 2368 patients who received NAC and mastectomy between 2000 and 2014 from 12 grade A tertiary hospitals in China were analyzed retrospectively. The patients treated in three cancer hospitals (training set, n = 1629) were used to construct the nomogram based on multivariate logistic regression analyses. The nomograph was validated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve in patients from 9 other general hospitals (validation set, n = 739).

RESULTS

The nomogram incorporated seven predicting factors including NACT cycles, response to NACT, clinical T stage, clinical N stage, grade, LVI, and molecular subtype. The AUC for the training set and validation set were 0.762 and 0.802, respectively. In addition, the calibration curve also showed good agreement between the nomogram-based predictions and the actual observations.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram was established to predict the status of axillary lymph nodes in breast cancer patients after NAC. The predictive model performed well both in the training set and external validation set.

A Retrospective Analysis of Immediate Postoperative Electron Radiotherapy for Keloids

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

The increasing incidence of keloid has seriously affected people's physical and mental health, and the postoperative recurrence rate is as high as 50-80%. Postoperative radiotherapy has been shown to significantly reduce the recurrence of keloid. Given the different treatment patterns in different institutions, we tried to analyze the data of patients in our center.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 455 patients with 498 keloids treated in our institution from 2010 to 2017. All patients received a four-fraction electron radiotherapy with single dose of 4 Gy within 24 hours of surgery. The recurrence and adverse reaction of immediate adjuvant radiotherapy in these patients was evaluated.

RESULTS

At the last follow-up date, 130 (26.5%) keloids had recurred after a middle follow-up of 68.1 months (42.6-129.9 months). The recurrence rates of 1 year, 3 years and 5 years were respectively14.5%, 18.7% and 21%. Recurrence rates vary depending on the keloid location. Among them, the recurrence rate of ear was low with 14% (43/298). Face, head neck and limbs was moderate with 38.8% (17/44) and 33.3% (8/24). Chest and Suprapubic region had a high recurrence rate of 50.8% (32/64) and 47.8% (33/69). Among the patients with recurrence, 16.9% (22/130) felt that their symptoms were better than before treatment, and 37.7% (49/130) were not worsen, which was acceptable. Multivariate analysis showed that age and duration of postoperative pruritus pain were correlated with recurrence (P = 0.036; P = 0.02). Radiotherapy combined with steroid and silicone reduced the recurrence rate compared with radiotherapy alone (P = 0.015). During treatment and follow-up, Infection occurred in 2 patients and cutaneous fibroblastoma in 1 patient.

CONCLUSION

Our radiotherapy regimen can effectively reduce the recurrence rate and improve the symptoms of patients with keloids, especially ear keloids. High recurrence sites need further improvement of radiotherapy dose and fraction. Combination of multiple treatments is better than single treatment.

Long-Term Results of Induction Chemotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Receiving Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

This study aimed to investigate the long-term clinical outcomes and toxicities of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) versus CCRT alone in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

MATERIALS/METHODS

Between 2008 and 2022, 271 ESCC patients who received definitive CCRT (IC followed by CCRT, n = 72; CCRT alone, n = 199) were enrolled. Radiotherapy technique included intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) or volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT). Through a propensity score matched (PSM) method, 71 patients receiving IC and CCRT were matched 1:1 to patients who received CCRT alone, according to age, gender, performance status, tumor length, and pre-treatment TN stage. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model were applied to analyze survival and prognosis.

RESULTS

The IC + CCRT group had no improvement in 5-year overall survival (OS) rate (39.0% vs 29.3%, p = 0.360), recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate (39.0% vs 26.9%, p = 0.142), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) rate (33.6% vs 27.2%, p = 0.515) compared with the CCRT group. The overall clinical response rate was 45.1% after IC in the IC + CCRT group. The IC responders (CR + PR + SD) group showed more favorable 5-year OS (41.7% vs. 14.3% vs. 29.3%, p < 0.001), RFS (41.7% vs. 14.3% vs. 26.9%, p < 0.001) and DMFS (37.3% vs. 0% vs. 27.2%, p < 0.001) compared with the IC non-responders (PD) group and the CCRT group. Besides, the 5-year OS rate (65.6% vs. 17.6% vs. 29.3%, p < 0.001), RFS rate (65.6% vs. 17.6% vs. 26.9%, p < 0.001), and DMFS rate (62.5% vs. 10.3% vs. 27.2%, p < 0.001) of the IC good responders (CR + PR) were significantly higher than that of the IC poor responders (SD + PD) and CCRT group. Multivariate analysis revealed that total radiotherapy time (≥ 49 days) and AJCC stage (Ⅲ/Ⅳ) were independent predictive factors of OS, RFS and DMFS. Besides, age was an independent predictive factor of DMFS. No significant difference was observed in the rates of grades 3-4 toxicities between both groups.

CONCLUSION

Our results showed the addition of IC to CCRT was not superior to CCRT in unselected ESCC patients, while IC responders could benefit from this regime without increase in toxicities.

Development and Validation of CT-Based Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram for Early Stage Extranodal Nasal-Type NK/T Cell Lymphoma: A Multicenter Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Most patients with extranodal nasal-type NK/T cell lymphoma (ENKTCL) had a localized disease with extensive primary tumor invasion at diagnosis (70-90%). Several clinical risk indexes, such as nomogram-revised risk index (NRI), international prognostic index (IPI), Korean Prognostic Index (KPI) and prognostic index of natural killer lymphoma (PINK), were used for ENKTCL patient stratification and providing information in clinical decision-making. However, they had low predictive power for early-stage patients with ENKTCL. This is the first study to construct a model with more predictive power through CT-based radiomics signature combined with traditional clinical risk indexes for overall survival (OS) of patients with early-stage ENKTCL.

MATERIALS/METHODS

A total of 196 early stage ENKTCL patients were randomly assigned into the training (n = 147) and interval validation set (n = 49) in a 3:1 ratio. And 83 and 19 early stage ENKTCL patients from other two centers were used for external validation set (n = 62). All patients received radiotherapy after 2-3 cycles of chemotherapy. 1316 CT radiomic features before radiotherapy were extracted and selected to construct the radiomics signature (RS). A CT-based nomogram was established by integrating clinical indexes and radiomics signature in training set and was tested in two validation sets.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up period of 59.9 months, 48 patients (24.1%) died. Compared with other prognostic index, NRI had better power to predict 5-year OS in the training cohort. The radiomics signature constructed by 11 selected radiomic features showed better prognostic performance than NRI for predicting 5-year OS in training set (C-index: 0.75 vs. 0.66), internal validation set (C-index: 0.71 vs. 0.62) and external validation set (C-index: 0.68 vs. 0.60). Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups by median radiomic signature. Patients in high-risk group had worse 5-year OS than patients in low-risk group (training set: 92% vs. 65%, P<0.001; internal validation set: 88% vs. 59%, P<0.05; external validation set 90% vs. 60%, P<0.05). The nomogram established by integrating radiomics signature with NRI showed optimal prognostic performance with C-index of 0.77 in training, 0.73 in internal and 0.71 in external validation set. Calibration curves showed good agreement.

CONCLUSION

The clinical-radiomics nomogram integrating CT-based radiomics signature combined with traditional clinical risk index provided an excellent prognostic tool for OS, which could be helpful for personalized risk stratification and treatment in early stage ENKTCL patients.

Recurrence Risk Score Model for Evaluating the Impact of Postmastectomy Radiotherapy in Breast Cancer Patients with Pathologic Nodal Negative after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Mastectomy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Recurrence risk score model was established to distinguish the recurrent risk of patients with pathologic nodal negative (ypN0) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) and mastectomy and determine the impact of postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT).

MATERIALS/METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study reviewed 766 patients who underwent mastectomy and NACT with ypN0 from 2000 to 2014. Recurrent risk score model was assigned proportionally to the relative contribution of independent prognostic factors in the multivariate Cox model of disease-free survival (DFS). Decision tree analysis was conducted to determine two optimal cutoff points for stratification.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 74 months. The 5-year locoregional control (LRC), DFS, and overall survival (OS) rates for the entire group were 96.5%, 89.1% and 95.3%, respectively. 353 (46.1%) patients received PMRT and 413 (53.9%) patients did not. Patients with PMRT have more high-risk factors, including age <40 years, clinical stage III, grade III, or ER and PR negative. Chest wall and regional nodal region were irradiated in 307 (87.0%) and chest wall only in 46 (13.0%). The median radiation dose was 50 Gy (range: 36-60 Gy) in 25 fractions (range: 15-30 fractions). There were no significant differences between the PMRT and No-PMRT groups in the LRC, DFS and OS rates. Recurrent risk score model consisted of five factors and used a range of zero to eleven scoring points: age <40 years and clinical N1 stage for one point; clinical N2, NACT ≥4 cycles, lymphovascular invasion and ypT1-2 for two points; ypT3-4 for four points. 456 (59.5%) patients scoring zero to four points, 188 (24.5%) scoring five points and 122 (15.9%) scoring six to eleven points were assigned to the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group. LRC, DFS and OS rates in three risk groups were significantly distinct from each other (5yr-LRC: 98.6% vs. 95.5% vs. 89.8%, p < .001; 5yr-DFS: 94.4% vs. 87.4% vs. 71.5%, p < .001; 5yr-OS: 97.6% vs. 93.2% vs. 90.0%, p < .001). PMRT had no impact on the LRC, DFS and OS rates in either low-, intermediate-, or high-risk group.

CONCLUSION

The recurrence risk score model can effectively distinguish patients with different recurrent risk stratification. PMRT in patients with ypN0 after NAC and mastectomy cannot improve LRC, DFS or OS. Table 1. Survival outcomes and comparison between PMRT and No-PMRT arms in different groups.

Efficacy and Safety of Multifraction Stereotactic Radiation Therapy with Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy Technique for Multiple Brain Metastases

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Multifraction stereotactic radiotherapy (MF-SRT) with volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) is the standard treatment option for patients with multiple brain metastases. VMAT has superior physical accessibility and economic accessibility compared with advanced radiotherapy technologies such as Tomo or Proton radiotherapy. However, existing studies has mainly focused on comparing the dosimetric parameters between distinct radiotherapy techniques. Moreover, single fraction stereotactic radiosurgery is preferentially recommended for treatment of brain metastases with maximum diameter <2cm compared with MF-SRT. There is a lack of clinical results of its efficacy and subgroup analyses according to diameter. Thus, we first report the detailed analysis of clinical results of SRT using VMAT for brain metastases.

MATERIALS/METHODS

This study is a retrospective analysis of SRT for multiple brain metastasis using VMAT. The clinical efficacy of VMAT was evaluated by local control (LC) in 6-months, 1-year, and 2-year.

RESULTS

A total of 63 patients with 214 brain metastases were enrolled. The most common fractionation schemes were 40 Gy/8F and 48 Gy/12F. In all, LC rates at 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year were 95.5%, 90.6%, and 76.8%, respectively. Using univariate and multivariate analyses according to stratification factors including maximum diameter, GTV volume, dose per fraction, fractions, inner structure, and BED (α/β = 10), we found that no factors were associated with 6-month LC, 1-year LC, and 2-year LC. 1-year LC rates for maximum diameter ≥1 and <2, ≥2 and <3, and ≥3 cm were 89.2%, 90.7%, and 95.7%, respectively. The 1-year LC rates for tumors with GTV <3, ≥3 and <5, ≥5 and <10, and ≥10 cc were 87.0%, 91.7%, 94.7%, and 96.6%, respectively. Interestingly, 1year-LC in GTV ≥3 cc tends to higher than those in GTV <3 cc, but there was no significant difference (94.4% vs 87%, P = 0.162). Brain radionecrosis (RN) was the most significant toxicity occurring in 10 (4.7%) out of the 214 treated brain metastases. Among 6 patients with RN, 4 (66.7%) had been treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors.

CONCLUSION

The use of MF-SRT with VMAT for multiple brain metastases showed a comparable clinical efficacy to other techniques described in the literature. And the LC rate for maximum diameter <2cm treated with MF-SRT VMAT was comparable to single fraction stereotactic radiosurgery as previously reported. The treatment-related toxicity was acceptable.

Skin aging from the perspective of dermal fibroblasts: the interplay between the adaptation to the extracellular matrix microenvironment and cell autonomous processes

This article summarizes important molecular mechanisms that drive aging in human skin from the perspective of dermal fibroblasts. The dermis comprises the bulk of the skin and is largely composed of a collagen-rich extracellular matrix (ECM). The dermal ECM provides mechanical strength, resiliency, and an environment that supports the functions of ibroblasts and other types of dermal cells. Fibroblasts produce the dermal ECM and maintain its homeostasis. Fibroblasts attach to the ECM and this attachment controls their morphology and function. During aging, the ECM undergoes gradual degradation that is nitiated by matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs). This degradation alters mechanical forces within the dermal ECM and disrupts he interactions between fibroblasts and the ECM thereby generating an aged fibroblast phenotype. This aged fibroblast phenotype is characterized by collapsed morphology, altered mechanosignaling, induction of CCN1, and activation of transcription factor AP-1, with consequent upregulation of target genes including MMPs and pro-inflammatory mediators. The TGF-beta pathway coordinately regulates ECM production and turnover. Altered mechanical forces, due to ECM fragmentation, down-regulate the type II TGF-beta receptor, thereby reducing ECM production and further increasing ECM breakdown. Thus, dermal aging involves a feed-forward process that reinforces the aged dermal fibroblast phenotype and promotes age-related dermal ECM deterioration. As discussed in the article, the expression of the aged dermal fibroblast phenotype involves both adaptive and cell-autonomous mechanisms.

Azimuthal Correlations within Exclusive Dijets with Large Momentum Transfer in Photon-Lead Collisions

The structure of nucleons is multidimensional and depends on the transverse momenta, spatial geometry, and polarization of the constituent partons. Such a structure can be studied using high-energy photons produced in ultraperipheral heavy-ion collisions. The first measurement of the azimuthal angular correlations of exclusively produced events with two jets in photon-lead interactions at large momentum transfer is presented, a process that is considered to be sensitive to the underlying nuclear gluon polarization. This study uses a data sample of ultraperipheral lead-lead collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=5.02  TeV, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 0.38  nb^{-1}, collected with the CMS experiment at the LHC. The measured second harmonic of the correlation between the sum and difference of the two jet transverse momentum vectors is found to be positive, and rising, as the dijet transverse momentum increases. A well-tuned model that has been successful at describing a wide range of proton scattering data from the HERA experiments fails to describe the observed correlations, suggesting the presence of gluon polarization effects.

Age- and sex-specific hospital bed-day rates in people with and without type 2 diabetes: A territory-wide population-based cohort study of 1.5 million people in Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes affects multiple systems. We aimed to compare age- and sex-specific rates of all-cause and cause-specific hospital bed-days between people with and without type 2 diabetes.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Data were provided by the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. We included 1,516,508 one-to-one matched people with incident type 2 diabetes (n = 758,254) and those without diabetes during the entire follow-up period (n = 758,254) between 2002 and 2018, followed until 2019. People with type 2 diabetes and controls were matched for age at index date (±2 years), sex, and index year (±2 years). We defined hospital bed-day rate as total inpatient bed-days divided by follow-up time. We constructed negative binominal regression models to estimate hospital bed-day rate ratios (RRs) by age at diabetes diagnosis and sex. All RRs were stratified by sex and adjusted for age and index year. During a median of 7.8 years of follow-up, 60.5% (n = 459,440) of people with type 2 diabetes and 56.5% (n = 428,296) of controls had a hospital admission for any cause, with a hospital bed-day rate of 3,359 bed-days and 2,350 bed-days per 1,000 person-years, respectively. All-cause hospital bed-day rate increased with increasing age in controls, but showed a J-shaped relationship with age in people with type 2 diabetes, with 38.4% of bed-days in those diagnosed <40 years caused by mental health disorders. Type 2 diabetes was associated with increased risks for a wide range of medical conditions, with an RR of 1.75 (95% CI [confidence interval] [1.73, 1.76]; p < 0.001) for all-cause hospital bed-days in men and 1.87 (95% CI [1.85, 1.89]; p < 0.001) in women. The RRs were greater in people with diabetes diagnosed at a younger than older age and varied by sex according to medical conditions. Sex differences were most notable for a higher RR for urinary tract infection and peptic ulcer, and a lower RR for chronic kidney disease and pancreatic disease in women than men. The main limitation of the study was that young people without diabetes in the database were unlikely to be representative of those in the Hong Kong general population with potential selection bias due to inclusion of individuals in need of medical care.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we observed that type 2 diabetes was associated with increased risks of hospital bed-days for a wide range of medical conditions, with an excess burden of mental health disorders in people diagnosed at a young age. Age and sex differences should be considered in planning preventive and therapeutic strategies for type 2 diabetes. Effective control of risk factors with a focus on mental health disorders are urgently needed in young people with type 2 diabetes. Healthcare systems and policymakers should consider allocating adequate resources and developing strategies to meet the mental health needs of young people with type 2 diabetes, including integrating mental health services into diabetes care.

DNA methylation markers for kidney function and progression of diabetic kidney disease

Epigenetic markers are potential biomarkers for diabetes and related complications. Using a prospective cohort from the Hong Kong Diabetes Register, we perform two independent epigenome-wide association studies to identify methylation markers associated with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and subsequent decline in kidney function (eGFR slope), respectively, in 1,271 type 2 diabetes subjects. Here we show 40 (30 previously unidentified) and eight (all previously unidentified) CpG sites individually reach epigenome-wide significance for baseline eGFR and eGFR slope, respectively. We also develop a multisite analysis method, which selects 64 and 37 CpG sites for baseline eGFR and eGFR slope, respectively. These models are validated in an independent cohort of Native Americans with type 2 diabetes. Our identified CpG sites are near genes enriched for functional roles in kidney diseases, and some show association with renal damage. This study highlights the potential of methylation markers in risk stratification of kidney disease among type 2 diabetes individuals.

Identification of a Common Variant for Coronary Heart Disease at PDE1A Contributes to Individualized Treatment Goals and Risk Stratification of Cardiovascular Complications in Chinese Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

In this study we aim to unravel genetic determinants of coronary heart disease (CHD) in type 2 diabetes (T2D) and explore their applications.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We performed a two-stage genome-wide association study for CHD in Chinese patients with T2D (3,596 case and 8,898 control subjects), followed by replications in European patients with T2D (764 case and 4,276 control subjects) and general populations (n = 51,442-547,261). Each identified variant was examined for its association with a wide range of phenotypes and its interactions with glycemic, blood pressure (BP), and lipid controls in incident cardiovascular diseases.

RESULTS

We identified a novel variant (rs10171703) for CHD (odds ratio 1.21 [95% CI 1.13-1.30]; P = 2.4 × 10-8) and BP (β ± SE 0.130 ± 0.017; P = 4.1 × 10-14) at PDE1A in Chinese T2D patients but found only a modest association with CHD in general populations. This variant modulated the effects of BP goal attainment (130/80 mmHg) on CHD (Pinteraction = 0.0155) and myocardial infarction (MI) (Pinteraction = 5.1 × 10-4). Patients with CC genotype of rs10171703 had >40% reduction in either cardiovascular events in response to BP control (2.9 × 10-8 < P < 3.6 × 10-5), those with CT genotype had no difference (0.0726 < P < 0.2614), and those with TT genotype had a threefold increase in MI risk (P = 6.7 × 10-3).

CONCLUSIONS

We discovered a novel CHD- and BP-related variant at PDE1A that interacted with BP goal attainment with divergent effects on CHD risk in Chinese patients with T2D. Incorporating this information may facilitate individualized treatment strategies for precision care in diabetes, only when our findings are validated.

Differential Associations of GAD Antibodies (GADA) and C-Peptide With Insulin Initiation, Glycemic Responses, and Severe Hypoglycemia in Patients Diagnosed With Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

We examined the associations of GAD antibodies (GADA) and C-peptide (CP) with insulin initiation, glycemic responses, and severe hypoglycemia in type 2 diabetes (T2D).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In 5,230 Chinese patients (47.6% men) with T2D (mean ± SD age: 56.5 ± 13.9 years; median diabetes duration: 6 [interquartile range 1, 12] years), enrolled consecutively in 1996-2012 and prospectively observed until 2019, we retrospectively measured fasting CP and GADA in stored serum and examined their associations with aforementioned outcomes.

RESULTS

At baseline, 28.6% (n = 1,494) had low CP (<200 pmol/L) and 4.9% (n = 257) had positive GADA (GADA+). In the low-CP group, 8.0% had GADA+, and, in the GADA+ group, 46.3% had low CP. The GADA+ group had an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.46 (95% CI 1.15-1.84, P = 0.002) for insulin initiation versus the GADA- group, while the low-CP group had an aHR of 0.88 (0.77-1.00, P = 0.051) versus the high-CP group. Following insulin initiation, the GADA+ plus low-CP group had the largest decrements in HbA1c (-1.9% at month 6; -1.5% at month 12 vs. -1% in the other three groups). The aHR of severe hypoglycemia was 1.29 (95% CI 1.10-1.52, P = 0.002) in the low-CP group and 1.38 (95% CI 1.04-1.83, P = 0.024) in the GADA+ group.

CONCLUSIONS

There is considerable heterogeneity in autoimmunity and β-cell dysfunction in T2D with GADA+ and high CP associated with early insulin initiation, while GADA+ and low CP, increased the risk of severe hypoglycemia. Extended phenotyping is warranted to increase the precision of classification and treatment in T2D.

The role of age on the risk relationship between prediabetes and major morbidities and mortality: Analysis of the Hong Kong diabetes surveillance database of 2 million Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Intensive lifestyle modification showed variable success in the prevention of major clinical events and mortality among people with prediabetes. We propose that age may partly explain the heterogeneity and that health hazards related to prediabetes are age-specific.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of a territory-wide diabetes surveillance dataset from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority between 2000 and 2019. Prediabetes was defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. Proportional Cox regression was performed, stratified by baseline age categories (20-39, 40-59, 60-79 and ≥80 years).

FINDINGS

1,630,942 individuals were included in the analysis. Compared with normoglycaemia, prediabetes was associated with greater hazards for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in most age groups but the effect size attenuated with ascending age (p value for trend <0·05). In the youngest and in the oldest age categories, the respective hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of prediabetes vs normoglycaemia were 1·79 (1·59, 2·01) and 1·00 (0·95, 1·05) for CVD, and 1·36 (1·20, 1·55) and 0·99 (0·97, 1·02) for all-cause mortality. Similar associations were found for chronic kidney disease, end-stage kidney disease, all-site cancer, all-site infection, subtypes of CVD, and cause-specific mortality. The associations became attenuated but remained after excluding people who later developed diabetes and adjusting for metabolic factors. Similar associations were observed in prediabetes defined by impaired fasting glucose, but not HbA1c.

INTERPRETATION

Prediabetes is associated with higher risk of major clinical events, even excluding subsequent development of diabetes and adjusting for metabolic factors. The risk relationships are stronger in young than older people.

FUNDING

This study did not receive any specific funding.

Initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors at lower HbA1c threshold attenuates eGFR decline in type 2 diabetes patients with and without cardiorenal disease: A propensity-matched cohort study

AIM

To examine the association of initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) at lower glycemic threshold with decline in estimated-glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

METHODS

We analyzed a prospective cohort of Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes from Hong Kong. Patients initiating SGLT2i at HbA1c < 7.5 % (lower-HbA1c) versus ≥ 7.5 % (higher-HbA1c) were matched using 1:1 propensity score. We compared annual eGFR changes in the lower-HbA1c and higher-HbA1c groups using linear mixed-effect models. Binary logistic regression was used to explore associations of SGLT2i initiation at lower HbA1c with odds of rapid eGFR decline (>4% per year).

RESULTS

Among 3384 patients with a median follow-up of 1.9 years, the mean age was 60.2 ± 11.5 years and 62.1 % were male. The lower-HbA1c and higher-HbA1c groups had baseline HbA1c (%) of 6.9 ± 0.5 and 9.0 ± 1.3 respectively, with similar pre-index annual eGFR decline. The lower-HbA1c group had a slower post-index annual eGFR decline than the higher-HbA1c group (-0.99 versus -1.63 mL/min/1.73 m², p < 0.001). Overall, the lower-HbA1c group had lower odds of rapid eGFR decline (OR = 0.15, 95 % CI: 0.07-0.29). Greater renoprotection from SGLT2i initiation at lower-HbA1c was observed in those with baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m², albuminuria and/or treatment with renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors or insulin.

CONCLUSIONS

In this real-world study, SGLT2i initiation at HbA1c < 7.5 % was associated with slower eGFR decline especially in high risk patients, supporting the potential renal benefits of SGLT2i initiation at lower glycemic thresholds.

Investigating causal relationships between the gut microbiota and allergic diseases: A mendelian randomization study

Observational studies revealed altered gut microbial composition in patients with allergic diseases, which illustrated a strong association between the gut microbiome and the risk of allergies. However, whether such associations reflect causality remains to be well-documented. Two-sample mendelian randomization (2SMR) was performed to estimate the potential causal effect between the gut microbiota and the risk of allergic diseases. 3, 12, and 16 SNPs at the species, genus, and family levels respectively of 15 microbiome features were obtained as the genetic instruments of the exposure dataset from a previous study. GWAS summary data of a total of 17 independent studies related to allergic diseases were collected from the IEU GWAS database for the outcome dataset. Significant causal relationships were obtained between gut microbiome features including Ruminococcaceae, Eggerthella, Bifidobacterium, Faecalibacterium, and Bacteroides and the risk of allergic diseases. Furthermore, our results also pointed out a number of putative associations between the gut microbiome and allergic diseases. Taken together, this study was the first study using the approach of 2SMR to elucidate the association between gut microbiome and allergic diseases.

Clinical outcomes following discontinuation of renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes and advanced chronic kidney disease: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors (RASi), that include angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) reduce proteinuria, delay chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, protect against cardiovascular events and heart failure hospitalizations. We examined the associations of discontinuation of ACEi/ARBs with risk of clinical outcomes in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and advanced-CKD (estimated-glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <30 ml/min/1.73 m²).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective, population-based cohort study including 10,400 patients with T2D in Hong Kong stratified by continuation of ACEi/ARBs within 6 months after reaching eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m² from January 01, 2002 to December 31, 2018 and observed until December 31, 2019. The primary outcomes were death, major-adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), heart failure, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and all-cause mortality. Cox-model with time-dependent exposure and covariates was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of outcomes in a propensity-score overlap-weighted cohort. The risk of occurrence of hyperkalemia (plasma potassium >5.5 mmol/L) in discontinued-ACEi/ARBs versus continued-ACEi/ARBs users was assessed in a register-based cohort.

FINDINGS

In the population-based cohort of 10,400 ACEi/ARBs users with new-onset eGFR<30 ml/min/1.73 m², 1766 (17.0%) discontinued ACEi/ARBs and 8634 (83.0%) persisted with treatment. During a median follow-up of 3.6 (interquartile range, IQR: 2.11-5.8) years (41,623 person-years), 13.5%, 12.9%, and 27.6% had incident MACE, heart failure and ESKD respectively, and 35.8% died. Discontinued-ACEi/ARBs use was associated with higher risk of MACE (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.49), heart failure (HR = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.53-2.25) and ESKD (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.17-1.43), and neutral risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.86-1.01) compared to counterparts with continued use. In the register-based cohort (583 discontinued-ACEi/ARBs users and 3817 continued-ACEi/ARBs users), discontinued-ACEi/ARBs had neutral risk of hyperkalemia (HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.84-1.08).

INTERPRETATION

Discontinuation of ACEi/ARBs was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular-renal events supporting their continued use in patients with T2D and advanced-CKD.

FUNDING

CUHK Impact Research Fellowship Scheme.

Measurements of the associated production of a W boson and a charm quark in proton-proton collisions at s = 8 TeV

Measurements of the associated production of a W boson and a charm ( c ) quark in proton-proton collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of 8 TeV are reported. The analysis uses a data sample corresponding to a total integrated luminosity of 19.7 fb - 1 collected by the CMS detector at the LHC. The W bosons are identified through their leptonic decays to an electron or a muon, and a neutrino. Charm quark jets are selected using distinctive signatures of charm hadron decays. The product of the cross section and branching fraction σ ( pp → W + c + X ) B ( W → ℓ ν ) , where ℓ = e or μ , and the cross section ratio σ ( pp → W + + c ¯ + X ) / σ ( pp → W - + c + X ) are measured in a fiducial volume and differentially as functions of the pseudorapidity and of the transverse momentum of the lepton from the W boson decay. The results are compared with theoretical predictions. The impact of these measurements on the determination of the strange quark distribution is assessed.

GCKR and GCK polymorphisms are associated with increased risk of end-stage kidney disease in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes: The Hong Kong Diabetes Register (1995-2019)

AIMS

Glucokinase (GCK) and glucokinase regulatory protein (GKRP) regulate glucose and lipid metabolism. We investigated the associations of GCKR and GCK polymorphisms with kidney outcomes.

METHODS

Analyses were performed in a prospective cohort who were enrolled in the Hong Kong Diabetes Register between 1995 and 2017. The associations of GCKR rs1260326 and GCK rs1799884 polymorphisms with incident end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), albuminuria and rapid eGFR decline were analysed by Cox regression or logistic regression with adjustment.

RESULTS

6072 patients (baseline mean age 57.4 years; median diabetes duration 6.0 years; 54.5 % female) were included, with a median follow-up of 15.5 years. The GCKR rs1260326 [HR (95 %CI) 1.23 (1.05-1.44) for CT; HR 1.23 (1.02-1.48) for TT] and GCK rs1799884 T alleles [HR 1.73 (1.24-2.40) for TT] were independently associated with increased risk of ESKD versus their respective CC genotypes. GCKR rs1260326 T allele was also associated with albuminuria [OR 1.18 (1.05-1.33) for CT; OR 1.34 (1.16-1.55) for TT] and rapid eGFR decline.

CONCLUSIONS

In Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes, T allele carriers of GCKR rs1260326 and GCK rs1799884 were at high risk for ESKD. These genetic markers may be used to identify high risk patients for early intensive management for renoprotection.

Genome-Wide Screening for Pathogenic Proteins and microRNAs Associated with Parasite-Host Interactions in Trypanosoma brucei

Tsetse flies are a type of blood-sucking insect living in diverse locations in sub-Saharan Africa. These insects can transmit the unicellular parasite Trypanosoma brucei (T. brucei) which causes African trypanosomiasis in mammals. There remain huge unmet needs for prevention, early detection, and effective treatments for this disease. Currently, few studies have investigated the molecular mechanisms of parasite-host interactions underlying African trypanosomiasis, mainly due to a lack of understanding of the T. brucei genome. In this study, we dissected the genomic and transcriptomic profiles of T. brucei by annotating the genome and analyzing the gene expression. We found about 5% of T. brucei proteins in the human proteome, while more than 80% of T. brucei protein in other trypanosomes. Sequence alignment analysis showed that 142 protein homologs were shared among T. brucei and mammalian genomes. We identified several novel proteins with pathogenic potential supported by their molecular functions in T. brucei, including 24 RNA-binding proteins and six variant surface glycoproteins. In addition, 26 novel microRNAs were characterized, among which five miRNAs were not found in the mammalian genomes. Topology analysis of the miRNA-gene network revealed three genes (RPS27A, UBA52 and GAPDH) involved in the regulation of critical pathways related to the development of African trypanosomiasis. In conclusion, our work opens a new door to understanding the parasite-host interaction mechanisms by resolving the genome and transcriptome of T. brucei.

Genome assembly and annotation of Periplaneta americana reveal a comprehensive cockroach allergen profile

BACKGROUND

One of the most common cockroach types in urban areas, the American cockroach (Periplaneta americana) has been reported to impose an increased risk of allergies and asthma. Limited groups of allergens (Per a 1-13) have been identified in this species due to the lack of genome-related information.

METHODS

To expand the allergen profile of P. americana, genomic, transcriptomic, and proteomic approaches were applied. With the support of a high-quality genome assembled using nanopore, Illumina, and Hi-C sequencing techniques, potential allergens were identified based on protein homology. Then, using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, selected allergens were tested in Thai patients allergic to P. americana.

RESULTS

A chromosomal-level genome of P. americana (3.06 Gb) has been assembled with 94.6% BUSCO completeness, and its contiguity has been significantly improved (N50 = 151 Mb). A comprehensive allergen profile has been characterized, with seven novel groups of allergens, including enolase (Per a 14), cytochrome C (Per a 15), cofilin (Per a 16), alpha-tubulin (Per a 17), cyclophilin (Per a 18), porin3 (Per a 19), and peroxiredoxin-6 (Per a 20), showing IgE-sensitivity in enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. A new isoallergen of tropomyosin (Per a 7.02) and multiple potential isoallergens of Per a 5 were revealed using bioinformatics and proteomic approaches. Additionally, comparative analysis of P. americana with the closely related Blattodea species revealed the possibility of cross-reaction.

CONCLUSION

The high-quality genome and proteome of P. americana are beneficial in studying cockroach allergens at the molecular level. Seven novel allergen groups and one isoallergen in Per a 7 were identified.

Evaluating the impact of glucokinase activation on risk of cardiovascular disease: a Mendelian randomisation analysis

BACKGROUND

Glucokinase activators (GKAs) are an emerging class of glucose lowering drugs that activate the glucose-sensing enzyme glucokinase (GK). Pending formal cardiovascular outcome trials, we applied two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) to investigate the impact of GK activation on risk of cardiovascular diseases.

METHODS

We used independent genetic variants in or around the glucokinase gene meanwhile associated with HbA_1c at genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10^-8) in the Meta-Analyses of Glucose and Insulin-related traits Consortium study (N = 146,806; European ancestry) as instrumental variables (IVs) to mimic the effects of GK activation. We assessed the association between genetically proxied GK activation and the risk of coronary artery disease (CAD; 122,733 cases and 424,528 controls), peripheral arterial disease (PAD; 7098 cases and 206,541 controls), stroke (40,585 cases and 406,111 controls) and heart failure (HF; 47,309 cases and 930,014 controls), using genome-wide association study summary statistics of these outcomes in Europeans. We compared the effect estimates of genetically proxied GK activation with estimates of genetically proxied lower HbA_1c on the same outcomes. We repeated our MR analyses in East Asians as validation.

RESULTS

Genetically proxied GK activation was associated with reduced risk of CAD (OR 0.38 per 1% lower HbA_1c, 95% CI 0.29-0.51, P = 8.77 × 10^-11) and HF (OR 0.54 per 1% lower HbA_1c, 95% CI 0.41-0.73, P = 3.55 × 10^-5). The genetically proxied protective effects of GKA on CAD and HF exceeded those due to non-targeted HbA_1c lowering. There was no causal relationship between genetically proxied GK activation and risk of PAD or stroke. The estimates in sensitivity analyses and in East Asians were generally consistent.

CONCLUSIONS

GKAs may protect against CAD and HF which needs confirmation by long-term clinical trials.

Opportunity of rooftop solar photovoltaic as a cost-effective and environment-friendly power source in megacities

Rooftop solar photovoltaics (RSPV) are critical for megacities to achieve low-carbon emissions. However, a knowledge gap exists in a supply-demand-coupled analysis that considered simultaneously RSPV spatiotemporal patterns and city-accommodation capacities, a pivotal way to address solar PV intermittency issues. Here, we developed an aggregated model for an RSPV + system by linking building-level potential assessment to dynamic optimization of building-related flexible loads. Taking Beijing, the capital city of China, as case in point, we show that annual RSPV potential in Beijing’s Greater-Metropolitan area amounts to 15.4 TWh, all of which could be accommodated environmentally friendly and cost-effectively through the smart operation of electric vehicles and air conditioners equipped with thermal energy storage (TES). Additionally, the RSPV + system would reduce the 8.6 GW transmission capacity otherwise required for increasing electricity demand for 2035 in Beijing. The analysis offers an important reference for sustainable RSPV development in mega-cities in China and other countries globally.

•

Develop a building-level RSPV potential assessment model for mega-cities

•

Show the chance to fully use RSPV potential cost-effectively and environment-friendly

•

The RSPV potential in the Beijing GM area amounts to 20.8% of the power demand

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Deployment of RSPV + system would reduce the required new transmission capacity

[Risk factors for recurrence and survival analysis in locally advanced T4a papillary thyroid carcinoma after R0 resection]

Objective: To investigate the treatment outcomes and risk factors of postoperative recurrence in T4a papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Methods: A total of 185 patients with locally advanced T4a PTC treated in Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University from January 2006 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed, including 127 females and 58 males, aged between 18 and 80 years, with 74 patients aged over 55 years. According to AJCC thyroid tumor staging, 111 cases were stage I (T4aN0M0 26 cases, T4aN1aM0 35 cases, and T4aN1bM0 50 cases) and 74 cases were stage Ⅲ (T4aN0M0 29 cases, T4aN1aM0 19 cases, and T4aN1bM0 26 cases). Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival and the recurrence-free rate, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses on the clinical data were performed. Results: Recurrent laryngeal nerve invasion was observed in 150 cases, trachea invasion in 61 cases, esophagus invasion in 30 cases, and laryngeal structure invasion in 10 cases. Postoperative follow-up periods were 24-144 months, with an average of 68.29 months. Of the 185 patients, 18 (9.73%) had recurrences or metastases, including 9 cases (4.86%) died of recurrences or metastases. The 5-year and 10-year overall survival rates were respectively 95.21% and 93.10%. The 5-year and 10-year disease-free survival rates were respectively 89.65% and 86.85%. Univariate analysis showed that age of onset, tumor diameter, preoperative recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy, esophageal invasion and cervical lymph node metastasis were the risk factors for postoperative recurrence of T4a PTC(all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that preoperative recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy (OR=3.27, 95%CI: 1.11-9.61, P=0.032) and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (OR=4.71, 95%CI: 1.19-18.71, P=0.027) were independent risk factors for T4a PTC recurrence. Survival rate of patients with T4a PTC involving only the recurrent laryngeal nerve or the outer tracheal membrane was significantly better than that of patients with tracheal invasion (P<0.05). Conclusions: T4a PTC patients with R0 resection can still achieve good efficacy. Preoperative recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis are independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence in the patients.

Glucose-lowering drug use, glycemic outcomes, and severe hypoglycemia: 18-Year trends in 0·9 million adults with Diabetes in Hong Kong (2002-2019)

BACKGROUND

Improvements in glycemic outcomes have stalled since 2010 in several international surveys. We previously reported improvements in glycemic control in 2007-2014 in Hong Kong coinciding with primary care reforms, use of dipeptidyl-peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4is) and metformin. The aim of this study was to estimate more recent trends in drug use and glycemic outcomes following introduction of newer classes of glucose-lowering drugs (GLDs).

METHODS

Using population-based data from the Hong Kong Diabetes Surveillance Database, we explored age-specific trends in proportion of patients reaching glycemic targets and incidence rates of severe hypoglycemia (SH) in 963,612 adults with diabetes in 2002-2019. We further assessed patterns of GLDs utilisation by presence of atherosclerotic-cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure, and estimated-glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

FINDINGS

Following rapid decline in HbA1c from 7·7% to 7·2% in 2005-2014 (annual percentage change [APC]= -0·8, 95% CI:-1·0,-0·6), standardized mean HbA1c plateaued since 2014 (HbA1c 7·2% in 2019, APC=0·0, 95% CI:-0·2, 0·2). The incidence rates of SH declined from 3·4 to 0·7 events per 100-person years, but improvements levelled off since 2014. Use of metformin steadily increased (41·1 to 58·7%), sulfonylureas decreased (52·2 to 31·1%) while insulin remained static in 2002-2019. Adoption of DPP-4is slowed following initial rapid uptake in 2007-2011. DPP-4is remained the most widely prescribed newer GLD in all ages (14·3% in 2019). Use of glucagon-like-peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RAs) and sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) increased rapidly in 2015-2019 with 0·5% and 6% of users respectively in 2019.

INTERPRETATION

Following rapid improvement in 2007-2014, glycemic control and SH rates had plateaued despite changing patterns of newer GLDs use in Hong Kong.

FUNDING

Dr. Aimin Yang was supported by a CUHK Impact Research Fellowship Scheme.

Effects of RAS inhibitors on all-site cancers and mortality in the Hong Kong diabetes surveillance database (2002-2019)

Background

Cancer is replacing cardiovascular-disease as a leading cause of death in type 2 diabetes (T2D). The association of RAS-inhibitors (RASi) and cancer, including differences between angiotensin-converting-enzyme-inhibitor (ACEi) and angiotensin-receptor-blocker (ARBs) as well as their associations independent of blood pressure lowering, remains inconclusive in T2D.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study with new-user design in 253,491 patients in the Hong-Kong-Diabetes-Surveillance-Database (HKDSD) in 2002-2019. We evaluated the associations of time-varying RASi use (ACEi and ARBs) with all-site cancer, diabetes-related cancers, and cancer-specific mortality including comparison with new-users of calcium-channel-blockers (CCBs) as an active-comparator group.

Findings

Of 253,491, 133,730 (52.8%) were new-RASi and 119,761 (47.2%) were non-RASi users with a median follow-up period of 6.3 (interquartile ragne: 3.4-9.2) years (1,678,719 patient-years). After propensity-score weighting and adjustment for time-varying covariables, RASi use was associated with lower risk of all-site cancer (HR=0.76, 95%CI: 0.74-0.79), diabetes-related cancer (HR=0.79, 95%CI: 0.75-0.84), cancer-specific mortality (HR=0.50, 95%CI: 0.47-0.53), and diabetes-related cancer mortality (HR=0.49, 95%CI: 0.45-0.54) versus non-RASi. Amongst RASi users, ARBs use was associated with lower risk of cancer-specific mortality versus ACEi (HR=0.77, 95%CI: 0.66-0.91). Use of RASi was associated with an estimated-prevention of 2.6 (95%CI: 2.3-3.0) all-site cancer per-1000-person-years and 2.2 (95%CI: 2.0-2.5) cancer-related mortality per-1000-person-years. Lower risk of cancer-specific mortality was similarly observed in new-RASi compared with new-CCBs users.

Interpretation

RASi use was independently associated with lower cancer risk in T2D with stronger associations in users of ARBs than ACEi. The benefits of RASi in patients with diabetes might go beyond cardiovascular-renal protection if confirmed by other real-world studies and trials.

Funding

Dr. Aimin Yang was supported by a CUHK Impact-Research-Fellowship Scheme.

[Value of ultrasonography in diagnosis and classification of Masson's tumor]

A retrospective analysis was performed on 11 cases of Masson's tumor admitted to Liaocheng People's Hospital from January 2010 to July 2021. Among them, there were 4 males and 7 females, aged from 14 to 62 years, with a medical history of 1 to 24 months. All of the patients complained of touching the mass under the skin. In this group, 9 cases were pure form, 1 case was mixed form and 1 case was extravascular form. Ultrasound imaging can reflect the characteristics of Masson's tumor to a certain extent, which has a certain value in the diagnosis, classification and differential diagnosis.

The balance of interleukin‐12 and interleukin‐23 determines the bias of MAIT1 versus MAIT17 responses during bacterial infection

Mucosal‐associated invariant T (MAIT) cells are a major subset of innate‐like T cells mediating protection against bacterial infection through recognition of microbial metabolites derived from riboflavin biosynthesis. Mouse MAIT cells egress from the thymus as two main subpopulations with distinct functions, namely, T‐bet‐expressing MAIT1 and RORγt‐expressing MAIT17 cells. Previously, we reported that inducible T‐cell costimulator and interleukin (IL)‐23 provide essential signals for optimal MHC‐related protein 1 (MR1)‐dependent activation and expansion of MAIT17 cells in vivo. Here, in a model of tularemia, in which MAIT1 responses predominate, we demonstrate that IL‐12 and IL‐23 promote MAIT1 cell expansion during acute infection and that IL‐12 is indispensable for MAIT1 phenotype and function. Furthermore, we showed that the bias toward MAIT1 or MAIT17 responses we observed during different bacterial infections was determined and modulated by the balance between IL‐12 and IL‐23 and that these responses could be recapitulated by cytokine coadministration with antigen. Our results indicate a potential for tailored immunotherapeutic interventions via MAIT cell manipulation.

Modeling Global Carbon Costs of Plant Nitrogen and Phosphorus Acquisition

Most Earth system models (ESMs) do not explicitly represent the carbon (C) costs of plant nutrient acquisition, which leads to uncertainty in predictions of the current and future constraints to the land C sink. We integrate a plant productivity-optimizing nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) acquisition model (fixation & uptake of nutrients, FUN) into the energy exascale Earth system (E3SM) land model (ELM). Global plant N and P uptake are dynamically simulated by ELM-FUN based on the C costs of nutrient acquisition from mycorrhizae, direct root uptake, retranslocation from senescing leaves, and biological N fixation. We benchmarked ELM-FUN with three classes of products: ILAMB, a remotely sensed nutrient limitation product, and CMIP6 models; we found significant improvements in C cycle variables, although the lack of more observed nutrient data prevents a comprehensive level of benchmarking. Overall, we found N and P co-limitation for 80% of land area, with the remaining 20% being either predominantly N or P limited. Globally, the new model predicts that plants invested 4.1 Pg C yr-1 to acquire 841.8 Tg N yr-1 and 48.1 Tg P yr-1 (1994-2005), leading to significant downregulation of global net primary production (NPP). Global NPP is reduced by 20% with C costs of N and 50% with C costs of NP. Modeled and observed nutrient limitation agreement increases when N and P are considered together (r 2 from 0.73 to 0.83).