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Brothers TN, Furtado M, Al-Mamun MA. Thiamine utilization and the lack of prescribing standardization: A critical examination. Alcohol 2024; 117:11-19. [PMID: 37979843 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcohol.2023.10.041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2023] [Revised: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 10/31/2023] [Indexed: 11/20/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Thiamine is often prescribed for thiamine deficiency during hospitalization despite the lack of US-based clinical guidelines. This study aims to evaluate thiamine prescribing patterns and key characteristics associated with the deficiency to address gaps in care. METHODS Data were obtained from electronic health records of hospitalized patients between September 1, 2021, and March 30, 2022. Alcohol use disorder (AUD) was defined by a positive Clinical Institute Withdrawal Assessment score or a positive serum alcohol level upon admission. Geriatric patients were defined as age ≥65. Cohort 1 was defined as: AUD, albumin <4 g/L, INR >1.5, and total bilirubin >3 mg/dL. Cohort 2 was defined as: age >65, albumin <4 g/L, hemoglobin <15 g/dL, and folate <4 ng/mL. A multivariable LASSO regression model was used to identify characteristics associated with higher thiamine dosing (>100 mg/day). RESULTS Among 780 patients, 520 (66.7%) were identified as AUD, of which 265 (50.1%) were between the ages of 45-64 years. The AUD cohort was significantly different (p < 0.05) in the mean serum albumin 4.16 g/L (IQR: 3.8-4.5), AST 73.55 U/L (23.75-82.00), ALT 52.57 U/L (17.00-57.00), total bilirubin 0.98 (0.3-1.0), and INR 1.1 (0.99-1.12), compared to non-AUD patients with a mean serum albumin 3.75 g/L (3.3-4.2), AST 35.07 U/L (11.00-42.00), ALT 32.77 U/L (5.00-34.00), total bilirubin 0.89 (0.2-0.9), and INR 1.21 (1.0-1.22). In the geriatric cohort, 136 patients (17%) had a mean serum albumin 3.77 g/L (3.4-4.2), AST 38.66 U/L (14.0-41.0), ALT 29.36 U/L (9.0-37.0), total bilirubin 0.62 mg/dL (0.30-0.90), and direct bilirubin 0.12 mg/dL (0.00-0.20), compared to the non-geriatric cohort with a mean serum albumin 4.10 g/L (3.8-4.40), AST 66.44 U/L (21.0-75.0), ALT 50.03 U/L (16.00-53.75), total bilirubin 1.02 mg/dL (0.30-1.00), and direct bilirubin 0.31 mg/dL (0.00-0.20). In cohort 1, 40.6% patients were between 51 and 64 years old, (66.5%) male, and had a BMI <25 (36.4%). In cohort 2, 52.6% were between 65 and 70 years old, (57.9%) male, and had a BMI <25 (57.9%). Cohort 1 were prescribed a dose of 100 mg (47.7 %), oral (63.5%), intramuscular (18.2%), daily (58.9%), one-day duration (49.4%) most frequently. Cohort 2 were prescribed a dose of 100 mg (56.0%), oral (77.2%), daily (77.2%), one-day duration (29.8%) most frequently. The AUD was significantly associated with having a higher dosage (e.g., >100 mg) of thiamine prescribed per day OR 1.62 (1.11-2.37) (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS This study confirms that thiamine prescribing patterns vary during hospitalization and suggest specific laboratory findings may aid in identifying cohorts associated with the deficiency.
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Affiliation(s)
- Todd N Brothers
- College of Pharmacy, The University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, United States; Roger Williams Medical Center, Providence, RI, United States.
| | | | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- School of Pharmacy, University of West Virginia, Morgantown, WV, United States
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Jeun KJ, Nduaguba S, Al-Mamun MA. Factors Influencing the Medication Adherence in Adults With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) and Its Impact on Healthcare Utilization. J Atten Disord 2024; 28:168-177. [PMID: 37947056 DOI: 10.1177/10870547231210284] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aims to investigate the factors influencing medication adherence among adults with Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) and impact of central nervous system stimulants (CNS) adherence on healthcare utilization (HCU). Methods: This was a cross-sectional study using Medical Expenditure Panel Survey 2013 to 2019, with participants (≥18 years of age) with ADHD and had at least one CNS prescription. Multivariate logistic and linear regression were utilized to evaluate the medication adherence and its impact on HCU, respectively. RESULT Total 798 (10,718,005 weighted) ADHD patients, were mostly White (81%), aged between 18 and 25 (35%), and non-adherent to CNS (65%). The use of extended-release medications (OR = 1.51 [1.03, 2.23]) and new users (OR = 3.46 [2.12, 5.63], p ≤ .05) were positively associated with medication adherence. The adherent group utilized more outpatient visits (0.04 vs. 0.46) and prescription refills (18.38 vs. 31.25) compared to non-adherent. CONCLUSION Our findings can be applied to improve the medication adherence, patient education, and optimize intervention for adults with ADHD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ki Jin Jeun
- West Virginia University School of Pharmacy, Morgantown, USA
| | - Sabina Nduaguba
- West Virginia University School of Pharmacy, Morgantown, USA
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Adjeroh L, Brothers T, Shawwa K, Ikram M, Al-Mamun MA. The association between polypharmacy and health-related quality of life among non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0293912. [PMID: 37956162 PMCID: PMC10642842 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2023] [Accepted: 10/22/2023] [Indexed: 11/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE The United States government spends over $85 billion annually on treating non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD). Patients with CKD are prescribed a multitude of medications to manage numerous comorbidities associated with CKD. Thus, this study aims to investigate the association between polypharmacy and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in non-dialysis CKD patients. METHODS This cross-sectional study utilized data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) from 2010 through 2019. We classified polypharmacy into three groups based on the number of medication classes: ≤ 4 (minor polypharmacy), 5 through 9 (major polypharmacy), and ≥ 10 (hyperpolypharmacy). To measure HRQoL, a Physical Component Summary (PCS) and a Mental Component Summary (MCS) were obtained from the 12-item Short-Form Health Survey version 2 and Veteran's Rand 12 item. We applied multivariable ordinary least squares regression to assess the association between polypharmacy and HRQoL in non-dialysis CKD patients. RESULTS A total of 649 CKD patients (weighted n = 667,989) were included. Patients with minor polypharmacy, major polypharmacy, and hyperpolypharmacy were 22.27%, 48.24%, and 29.48%, respectively. Major polypharmacy and hyperpolypharmacy were significantly and negatively associated with lower PCS scores when compared with minor polypharmacy [Beta = -3.12 (95% CI: -3.62, -2.62), p-value<0.001; Beta = -4.13 (95CI: -4.74, -3.52), p-value<0.001]. Similarly, major polypharmacy and hyperpolypharmacy were significantly and negatively associated with lower MCS scores when compared to minor polypharmacy [Beta = -0.38 (95% CI: -0.55, -0.20), p-value<0.001; Beta = -1.70 (95% CI: -2.01, -1.40), p-value<0.001]. The top 5 classes of medications used by CKD patients were antihyperlipidemic (56.31%), beta-adrenergic blockers (49.71%), antidiabetics (42.14%), analgesics (42.17%), and diuretics (39.65%). CONCLUSION Our study found that both major polypharmacy and hyperpolypharmacy were associated with lower HRQoL among non-dialysis CKD patients. This study highlights the need for further evaluation of the combination of medications taken by non-dialysis CKD patients to minimize unnecessary and inappropriate medication use.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leonie Adjeroh
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia, United States of America
| | - Todd Brothers
- College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, United States of America
| | - Khaled Shawwa
- Department of Medicine, Section of Nephrology, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia, United States of America
| | - Mohammad Ikram
- Department of Surgery, Penn State, Hershey, Pennsylvania, United States of America
| | - Mohammad A. Al-Mamun
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia, United States of America
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Khadka S, Bardes JM, Al-Mamun MA. Opioid-related polysubstance use and its effect on mortality and health resource utilization among trauma patients. Inj Epidemiol 2023; 10:54. [PMID: 37872616 PMCID: PMC10594664 DOI: 10.1186/s40621-023-00459-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2023] [Accepted: 09/30/2023] [Indexed: 10/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pre-injury opioid use is common, but the effects of opioid-related polysubstance use on mortality and health resources utilization (HRU) have not been investigated yet. The objective of this study was to investigate the effects of opioid-related polysubstance use on mortality and HRU among patients in trauma centres in the US. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study using the US National Trauma Databank from the year 2017 to 2019. Patients (≥ 18 years of age) who tested positive for opioids were included. Patients were analysed based on the number of substances used (i.e., opioids only, two substances (opioids + 1 substance), and three or more than three substances (opioids + ≥ 2 substances)), and polysubstance by type (i.e., opioids only, opioids and alcohol, opioids and stimulants, opioids and benzodiazepine, and other combinations). Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the association between polysubstance use, mortality and HRU (i.e., need for hospital admission, ICU, and mechanical ventilation). RESULTS Both polysubstance by number and type analyses showed that opioid-related polysubstance use was not significantly associated with mortality compared to opioids only. The odds of hospital admission were higher among the opioids and benzodiazepines group (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06-1.24, p < 0.01). The need for ICU was magnified using benzodiazepines and stimulants with opioids (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.27-1.63, p < 0.01) when compared to the opioids only group. CONCLUSION Opioid-related pre-injury polysubstance use was associated with higher HRU in trauma patients. The evidence can be used by policymakers and practitioners to improve patient outcomes in trauma centers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Safalta Khadka
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, School of Pharmacy, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, 26505, USA.
| | - James M Bardes
- Division of Trauma, Acute Care Surgery and Critical Care, Department of Surgery, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, 26505, USA
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, School of Pharmacy, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, 26505, USA
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Mbous YPV, Brothers T, Al-Mamun MA. Medication Regimen Complexity Index Score at Admission as a Predictor of Inpatient Outcomes: A Machine Learning Approach. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2023; 20:3760. [PMID: 36834454 PMCID: PMC9967355 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20043760] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2022] [Revised: 02/11/2023] [Accepted: 02/13/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the intensive care unit, traditional scoring systems use illness severity and/or organ failure to determine prognosis, and this usually rests on the patient's condition at admission. In spite of the importance of medication reconciliation, the usefulness of home medication histories as predictors of clinical outcomes remains unexplored. METHODS A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the medical records of 322 intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The predictors of interest included the medication regimen complexity index (MRCI) at admission, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, or a combination thereof. Outcomes included mortality, length of stay, and the need for mechanical ventilation. Machine learning algorithms were used for outcome classification after correcting for class imbalances in the general population and across the racial continuum. RESULTS The home medication model could predict all clinical outcomes accurately 70% of the time. Among Whites, it improved to 80%, whereas among non-Whites it remained at 70%. The addition of SOFA and APACHE II yielded the best models among non-Whites and Whites, respectively. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values showed that low MRCI scores were associated with reduced mortality and LOS, yet an increased need for mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSION Home medication histories represent a viable addition to traditional predictors of health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yves Paul Vincent Mbous
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, School of Pharmacy, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV 26506, USA
| | - Todd Brothers
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI 02881, USA
- Roger Williams Medical Center, Providence, RI 02908, USA
| | - Mohammad A. Al-Mamun
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, School of Pharmacy, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV 26506, USA
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Asare EO, Al-Mamun MA, Sarmin M, Faruque ASG, Ahmed T, Pitzer VE. The influence of demographic and meteorological factors on temporal patterns of rotavirus infection in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Proc Biol Sci 2022; 289:20212727. [PMID: 35673869 PMCID: PMC9174722 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2021.2727] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
To quantify the potential impact of rotavirus vaccines and identify strategies to improve vaccine performance in Bangladesh, a better understanding of the drivers of pre-vaccination rotavirus patterns is required. We developed and fitted mathematical models to 23 years (1990-2012) of weekly rotavirus surveillance data from Dhaka with and without incorporating long-term and seasonal variation in the birth rate and meteorological factors. We performed external model validation using data between 2013 and 2019 from the regions of Dhaka and Matlab. The models showed good agreement with the observed age distribution of rotavirus cases and captured the observed shift in seasonal patterns of rotavirus hospitalizations from biannual to annual peaks. The declining long-term trend in the birth rate in Bangladesh was the key driver of the observed shift from biannual to annual winter rotavirus patterns. Meteorological indices were also important: a 1°C, 1% and 1 mm increase in diurnal temperature range, surface water presence and degree of wetness were associated with a 19%, 3.9% and 0.6% increase in the transmission rate, respectively. The model demonstrated reasonable predictions for both Dhaka and Matlab, and can be used to evaluate the impact of rotavirus vaccination in Bangladesh against changing patterns of disease incidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ernest O. Asare
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Mohammad A. Al-Mamun
- Department of Pharmaceutical Systems and Policy, School of Pharmacy, West Virginia University, USA
| | - Monira Sarmin
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division (NCSD), International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - A. S. G. Faruque
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division (NCSD), International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Tahmeed Ahmed
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division (NCSD), International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Virginia E. Pitzer
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
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Brothers TN, Strock J, LeMasters TJ, Pawasauskas J, Reed RC, Al-Mamun MA. Survival and recovery modeling of acute kidney injury in critically ill adults. SAGE Open Med 2022; 10:20503121221099359. [PMID: 35652035 PMCID: PMC9150243 DOI: 10.1177/20503121221099359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2022] [Accepted: 04/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives: Acute kidney injury is common among the critically ill. However, the incidence, medication use, and outcomes of acute kidney injury have been variably described. We conducted a single-center, retrospective cohort study to examine the risk factors and correlates associated with acute kidney injury in critically ill adults with a particular focus on medication class usage. Methods: We reviewed the electronic medical records of all adult patients admitted to an intensive care unit between 1 February and 30 August 2020. Acute kidney injury was defined by the 2012 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes guidelines. Data included were demographics, comorbidities, symptoms, laboratory parameters, interventions, and outcomes. The primary outcome was acute kidney injury incidence. A Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression model was used to determine risk factors associated with acute kidney injury. Secondary outcomes including acute kidney injury recovery and intensive care unit mortality were analyzed using a Cox regression model. Results: Among 226 admitted patients, 108 (47.8%) experienced acute kidney injury. 37 (34.3%), 39 (36.1%), and 32 patients (29.6%) were classified as acute kidney injury stages I–III, respectively. Among the recovery and mortality cohorts, analgesics/sedatives, anti-infectives, and intravenous fluids were significant (p-value < 0.05). The medication classes IV-fluid electrolytes nutrition (96.7%), gastrointestinal (90.2%), and anti-infectives (81.5%) were associated with an increased odds of developing acute kidney injury, odd ratios: 1.27, 1.71, and 1.70, respectively. Cox regression analyses revealed a significantly increased time-varying mortality risk for acute kidney injury-stage III, hazard ratio: 4.72 (95% confidence interval: 1–22.33). In the recovery cohort, time to acute kidney injury recovery was significantly faster in stage I, hazard ratio: 9.14 (95% confidence interval: 2.14–39.06) cohort when compared to the stage III cohort. Conclusion: Evaluation of vital signs, laboratory, and medication use data may be useful to determine acute kidney injury risk stratification. The influence of particular medication classes further impacts the risk of developing acute kidney injury, necessitating the importance of examining pharmacotherapeutic regimens for early recognition of renal impairment and prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Todd N Brothers
- College of Pharmacy, The University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, USA
| | - Jacob Strock
- Graduate School of Oceanography, The University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI, USA
| | - Traci J LeMasters
- School of Pharmacy, University of West Virginia, Morgantown, WV, USA
| | - Jayne Pawasauskas
- College of Pharmacy, The University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, USA
| | - Ronald C Reed
- Graduate School of Oceanography, The University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI, USA
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Graduate School of Oceanography, The University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI, USA
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Newsome AS, Murray B, Smith SE, Brothers T, Al-Mamun MA, Chase AM, Rowe S, Buckley MS, Murphy D, Devlin JW. Optimization of critical care pharmacy clinical services: A gap analysis approach. Am J Health Syst Pharm 2021; 78:2077-2085. [PMID: 34061960 PMCID: PMC8195049 DOI: 10.1093/ajhp/zxab237] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Andrea Sikora Newsome
- Department of Pharmacy, Augusta University Medical Center, Augusta, GA, USA.,Department of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina Medical Center, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Brian Murray
- Department of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina Medical Center, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Susan E Smith
- Department of Clinical and Administrative Pharmacy, University of Georgia College of Pharmacy, Athens, GA, USA
| | - Todd Brothers
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, University of Rhode Island College of Pharmacy, Kingston, RI, and Department of Pharmacy, Roger Williams Medical Center, Providence, RI, USA
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, University of Rhode Island College of Pharmacy, Kingston, RI, USA
| | - Aaron M Chase
- Department of Clinical and Administrative Pharmacy, University of Georgia College of Pharmacy, Augusta, GA, and Department of Pharmacy, Augusta University Medical Center, Augusta, GA, USA
| | - Sandra Rowe
- Department of Pharmacy, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR, USA
| | - Mitchell S Buckley
- Department of Pharmacy, Banner University Medical Center Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ, USA
| | - David Murphy
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - John W Devlin
- Northeastern University School of Pharmacy, Boston, MA, and Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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Joshi SS, Al-Mamun MA, Weinberger DM. Correlates of Nonrandom Patterns of Serotype Switching in Pneumococcus. J Infect Dis 2021; 221:1669-1676. [PMID: 31875229 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiz687] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2019] [Accepted: 12/23/2019] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pneumococcus is a diverse pathogen, with >90 serotypes, each of which has a distinct polysaccharide capsule. Pneumococci can switch capsules, evading vaccine pressure. Certain serotype pairs are more likely to occur on the same genetic background as a results of serotype switching, but the drivers of these patterns are not well understood. METHODS We used the PubMLST and Global Pneumococcal Sequencing Project databases to quantify the number of genetic lineages on which different serotype pairs occur together. We also quantified the genetic diversity of each serotype. Regression model were used to evaluate the relationship between shared polysaccharide components and the frequency of serotype co-occurrence and diversity. RESULTS A number of serotype pairs occurred together on the same genetic lineage more commonly than expected. Co-occurrence of between-serogroup pairs was more common when both serotypes had glucose as a component of the capsule (and, potentially, glucuronic acid, any-N-acetylated sugar, or ribitol). Diversity also varied markedly by serotype and was associated with the presence of specific sugars in the capsule. CONCLUSIONS Certain pairs of serotypes are more likely to co-occur on the same genetic background. These patterns were correlated with shared polysaccharide components. This might reflect adaptation of strains to produce capsules with specific characteristics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shreyas S Joshi
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Daniel M Weinberger
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
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Al-Mamun MA, Brothers T, Newsome AS. Development of Machine Learning Models to Validate a Medication Regimen Complexity Scoring Tool for Critically Ill Patients. Ann Pharmacother 2020; 55:421-429. [PMID: 32929977 DOI: 10.1177/1060028020959042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The Medication Regimen Complexity -Intensive Care Unit (MRC-ICU) is the first tool for measuring medication regimen complexity in critically ill patients. This study tested machine learning (ML) models to investigate the relationship between medication regimen complexity and patient outcomes. METHODS This study was a single-center, retrospective observational evaluation of 130 adults admitted to the medical ICU. The MRC-ICU score was utilized to improve the inpatient model's prediction accuracy. Three models were proposed: model I, demographic data without medication data; model II, demographic data and medication regimen complexity variables; and model III: demographic data and the MRC-ICU score. A total of 6 ML classifiers was developed: k-nearest neighbor (KNN), naïve Bayes (NB), random forest, support vector machine, neural network, and logistic classifier (LC). They were developed and tested using electronic health record data to predict inpatient mortality. RESULTS The results demonstrated that adding medication regimen complexity variables (model II) and the MRC-ICU score (model III) improved inpatient mortality prediction.. The LC outperformed the other classifiers (KNN and NB), with an overall accuracy of 83%, sensitivity (Se) of 87%, specificity of 67%, positive predictive value of 93%, and negative predictive value of 46%. The APACHE III score and the MRC-ICU score at the 24-hour interval were the 2 most important variables. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE Inclusion of the MRC-ICU score improved the prediction of patient outcomes on the previously established APACHE III score. This novel, proof-of-concept methodology shows promise for future application of the MRC-ICU scoring tool for patient outcome predictions.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Todd Brothers
- University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, USA.,Roger Williams Medical Center, Providence, RI, USA
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Cazer CL, Al-Mamun MA, Kaniyamattam K, Love WJ, Booth JG, Lanzas C, Gröhn YT. Corrigendum: Shared Multidrug Resistance Patterns in Chicken-Associated Escherichia coli Identified by Association Rule Mining. Front Microbiol 2020; 11:1359. [PMID: 32714298 PMCID: PMC7340122 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2020.01359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2020] [Accepted: 05/27/2020] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Casey L. Cazer
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States
- *Correspondence: Casey L. Cazer
| | - Mohammad A. Al-Mamun
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale University School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, United States
| | - Karun Kaniyamattam
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States
| | - William J. Love
- Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, North Carolina State University College of Veterinary Medicine, Raleigh, NC, United States
| | - James G. Booth
- Department of Biological Statistics and Computational Biology, Cornell University College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Ithaca, NY, United States
| | - Cristina Lanzas
- Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, North Carolina State University College of Veterinary Medicine, Raleigh, NC, United States
| | - Yrjö T. Gröhn
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States
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Asare EO, Al-Mamun MA, Armah GE, Lopman BA, Parashar UD, Binka F, Pitzer VE. Modeling of rotavirus transmission dynamics and impact of vaccination in Ghana. Vaccine 2020; 38:4820-4828. [PMID: 32513513 PMCID: PMC8290434 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.05.057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2019] [Revised: 04/26/2020] [Accepted: 05/18/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Background: Rotavirus incidence remains relatively high in low-income countries (LICs) compared to high-income countries (HICs) after vaccine introduction. Ghana introduced monovalent rotavirus vaccine in April 2012 and despite the high coverage, vaccine performance has been modest compared to developed countries. The predictors of low vaccine effectiveness in LICs are poorly understood, and the drivers of subnational heterogeneity in rotavirus vaccine impact are unknown. Methods: We used mathematical models to investigate variations in rotavirus incidence in children <5 years old in Ghana. We fit models to surveillance and case-control data from three different hospitals: Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital in Accra, Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital in Kumasi, and War Memorial Hospital in Navrongo. The models were fitted to both pre- and post-vaccine data to estimate parameters describing the transmission rate, waning of maternal immunity, and vaccine response rate. Results: The seasonal pattern and age distribution of rotavirus cases varied among the three study sites in Ghana. Our model was able to capture the spatio-temporal variations in rotavirus incidence across the three sites and showed good agreement with the age distribution of observed cases. The rotavirus transmission rate was highest in Accra and lowest in Navrongo, while the estimated duration of maternal immunity was longer (∼5 months) in Accra and Kumasi and shorter (∼3 months) in Navrongo. The proportion of infants who responded to the vaccine was estimated to be high in Accra and Kumasi and low in Navrongo. Conclusions: Rotavirus vaccine impact varies within Ghana. A low vaccine response rate was estimated for Navrongo, where rotavirus is highly seasonal and incidence limited to a few months of the year. Our findings highlight the need to further explore the relationship between rotavirus seasonality, maternal immunity, and vaccine response rate to determine how they influence vaccine effectiveness and to develop strategies to improve vaccine impact.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ernest O Asare
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - George E Armah
- Noguchi Memorial Institute for Medical Research, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana
| | - Benjamin A Lopman
- Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Umesh D Parashar
- Epidemiology Branch, Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Fred Binka
- University of Health and Allied Health Sciences, Ho, Ghana
| | - Virginia E Pitzer
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
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13
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Cazer CL, Al-Mamun MA, Kaniyamattam K, Love WJ, Booth JG, Lanzas C, Gröhn YT. Shared Multidrug Resistance Patterns in Chicken-Associated Escherichia coli Identified by Association Rule Mining. Front Microbiol 2019; 10:687. [PMID: 31031716 PMCID: PMC6473086 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2019.00687] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/08/2019] [Accepted: 03/19/2019] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Using multiple antimicrobials in food animals may incubate genetically-linked multidrug-resistance (MDR) in enteric bacteria, which can contaminate meat at slaughter. The U.S. National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System tested 14,418 chicken-associated Escherichia coli between 2004 and 2012 for resistance to 15 antimicrobials, resulting in >32,000 possible MDR patterns. We analyzed MDR patterns in this dataset with association rule mining, also called market-basket analysis. The association rules were pruned with four quality measures resulting in a <1% false-discovery rate. MDR rules were more stable across consecutive years than between slaughter and retail. Rules were decomposed into networks with antimicrobials as nodes and rules as edges. A strong subnetwork of beta-lactam resistance existed in each year and the beta-lactam resistances also had strong associations with sulfisoxazole, gentamicin, streptomycin and tetracycline resistances. The association rules concur with previously identified E. coli resistance patterns but provide significant flexibility for studying MDR in large datasets.
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Affiliation(s)
- Casey L Cazer
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale University School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, United States
| | - Karun Kaniyamattam
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States
| | - William J Love
- Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, North Carolina State University College of Veterinary Medicine, Raleigh, NC, United States
| | - James G Booth
- Department of Biological Statistics and Computational Biology, Cornell University College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Ithaca, NY, United States
| | - Cristina Lanzas
- Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, North Carolina State University College of Veterinary Medicine, Raleigh, NC, United States
| | - Yrjö T Gröhn
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States
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Verteramo Chiu LJ, Tauer LW, Al-Mamun MA, Kaniyamattam K, Smith RL, Grohn YT. An agent-based model evaluation of economic control strategies for paratuberculosis in a dairy herd. J Dairy Sci 2018; 101:6443-6454. [PMID: 29705432 DOI: 10.3168/jds.2017-13175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2017] [Accepted: 03/12/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
This paper uses an agent-based simulation model to estimate the costs associated with Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis (MAP), or Johne's disease, in a milking herd, and to determine the net benefits of implementing various control strategies. The net present value (NPV) of a 1,000-cow milking herd is calculated over 20 yr, parametrized to a representative US commercial herd. The revenues of the herd are generated from sales of milk and culled animals. The costs include all variable and fixed costs necessary to operate a representative 1,000-cow milking herd. We estimate the NPV of the herd with no MAP infection, under an expected endemic infection distribution with no controls, and under an expected endemic infection distribution with various controls. The initial number of cows in a herd with an endemic MAP infection is distributed as 75% susceptible, 13% latent, 9% low MAP shedding, and 3% high MAP shedding. Control strategies include testing using ELISA and fecal culture tests and culling of cows that test positive, and culling based on observable milk production decrease. Results show that culling cows based on test results does not increase the herd's NPV and in most cases decreases NPV due to test costs as well as false positives and negatives with their associated costs (e.g., culling healthy cows and keeping infected cows). Culling consistently low producing cows when MAP is believed to be present in the herd produces higher NPV over the strategy of testing and culling MAP infected animals, and over the case of no MAP control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leslie J Verteramo Chiu
- Section of Epidemiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.
| | - Loren W Tauer
- Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853
| | - Mohammad A Al-Mamun
- Section of Epidemiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853
| | - Karun Kaniyamattam
- Section of Epidemiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853
| | - Rebecca L Smith
- Department of Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Illinois, Urbana 61802
| | - Yrjo T Grohn
- Section of Epidemiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853
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15
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Al-Mamun MA, Smith RL, Schukken YH, Gröhn YT. Use of an Individual-based Model to Control Transmission Pathways of Mycobacterium avium Subsp. paratuberculosis Infection in Cattle Herds. Sci Rep 2017; 7:11845. [PMID: 28928423 PMCID: PMC5605505 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-12078-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2017] [Accepted: 09/04/2017] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Johne’s disease (JD) is a chronic enteric disease in cattle caused by Mycobacterium avian subsp. paratuberculosis (MAP). Eradicating JD is a difficult task due to the long incubation period of MAP, inefficient diagnostic tests, and delayed clinical signs. Effective control strategies can help farmers to reduce prevalence, but those most acceptable to farmers combine specific information about lactation performance and testing results, which existing models do not provide. This paper presents an individual-based model of MAP infection dynamics and assesses the relative performance of the applied alternative control strategies. The base dairy herd model included the daily life events of a dairy cow and reflects several current dairy management processes. We then integrated MAP infection dynamics into the model. The model adopted four different test-based control strategies based on risk-based culling decisions and three hygiene scenarios. The model tracked the source of each infection and quantified the efficacy of each control strategy in reducing the risks of different transmission routes. The results suggest that risk-based culling can reduce prevalence compared with no control, but cannot eliminate the infection. Overall, this work provides not only a valuable tool to investigate MAP transmission dynamics but also offers adaptability to model similar infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- M A Al-Mamun
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University, College of Veterinary Medicine, Tower Road, Ithaca, New York, 14853, United States of America.
| | - R L Smith
- Department of Pathobiology, University of Illinois, College of Veterinary Medicine, Urbana, Illinois, 61802, United States of America
| | - Y H Schukken
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University, College of Veterinary Medicine, Tower Road, Ithaca, New York, 14853, United States of America.,GD Animal Health, Arnsbergstraat 7, 7411 EZ, Wageningen, The Netherlands.,Department of Animal Sciences, Wageningen University, Wageningen, 6700 AH, The Netherlands
| | - Y T Gröhn
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University, College of Veterinary Medicine, Tower Road, Ithaca, New York, 14853, United States of America
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16
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Smith RL, Al-Mamun MA, Gröhn YT. Economic consequences of paratuberculosis control in dairy cattle: A stochastic modeling study. Prev Vet Med 2017; 138:17-27. [PMID: 28237232 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2017.01.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2016] [Revised: 12/22/2016] [Accepted: 01/09/2017] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
The cost of paratuberculosis to dairy herds, through decreased milk production, early culling, and poor reproductive performance, has been well-studied. The benefit of control programs, however, has been debated. A recent stochastic compartmental model for paratuberculosis transmission in US dairy herds was modified to predict herd net present value (NPV) over 25 years in herds of 100 and 1000 dairy cattle with endemic paratuberculosis at initial prevalence of 10% and 20%. Control programs were designed by combining 5 tests (none, fecal culture, ELISA, PCR, or calf testing), 3 test-related culling strategies (all test-positive, high-positive, or repeated positive), 2 test frequencies (annual and biannual), 3 hygiene levels (standard, moderate, or improved), and 2 cessation decisions (testing ceased after 5 negative whole-herd tests or testing continued). Stochastic dominance was determined for each herd scenario; no control program was fully dominant for maximizing herd NPV in any scenario. Use of the ELISA test was generally preferred in all scenarios, but no paratuberculosis control was highly preferred for the small herd with 10% initial prevalence and was frequently preferred in other herd scenarios. Based on their effect on paratuberculosis alone, hygiene improvements were not found to be as cost-effective as test-and-cull strategies in most circumstances. Global sensitivity analysis found that economic parameters, such as the price of milk, had more influence on NPV than control program-related parameters. We conclude that paratuberculosis control can be cost effective, and multiple control programs can be applied for equivalent economic results.
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Affiliation(s)
- R L Smith
- Department of Pathobiology, University of Illinois, College of Veterinary Medicine, Urbana, IL 61802, USA.
| | - M A Al-Mamun
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA
| | - Y T Gröhn
- Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA
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17
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Al-Mamun MA, Smith RL, Schukken YH, Gröhn YT. Modeling of Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis dynamics in a dairy herd: An individual based approach. J Theor Biol 2016; 408:105-117. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.08.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2016] [Revised: 07/13/2016] [Accepted: 08/10/2016] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
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18
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Hoque MM, Adnan SD, Karim S, Al-Mamun MA, Faruki MA, Islam K, Nandy S. Relationship between Serum Iron Profile and Blood Groups among the Voluntary Blood Donors of Bangladesh. Mymensingh Med J 2016; 25:340-348. [PMID: 27277369] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Blood donation results in a substantial iron loss and subsequent mobilization from body stores. Chronic iron deficiency is a well-recognized complication of regular blood donation. The present study conducted to compare the level of serum ferritin, serum iron, total iron binding capacity (TIBC) and percentage transferrin saturation in different ABO and Rhesus type blood groups among the voluntary blood donors of Bangladesh. The present prospective study included 100 healthy voluntary donors attending at Department of Blood Transfusion, Dhaka Medical College, Dhaka between the periods of July 2013 to Jun 2014. From each donor 10mL venous blood sample was taken and divided into heparinized and non-heparinized tubes for determination of hemoglobin (Hb), hematocrit (Hct), serum iron (SI), total iron binding capacity (TIBC) and serum ferritin by standard laboratory methods. Percentage of transferrin saturation (TS) calculated from serum iron and TIBC. Data were analyzed with SPSS (version 16) software and comparisons between groups were made using student's t-test and one way ANOVA. In the present study mean±SD of age of the respondents was 27.2±6.5 years with a range of 18 to 49 years and 81.0% were male and 19.0% were female. Among the donors 18.0% had blood group A, 35.0% had blood group B, 14.0% had blood group AB and 33.0% had blood group O. Among the donors 91.0% had rhesus positive and 9.0% had rhesus negative. Donors with blood group O had lowest haemoglobin, serum iron and transferring saturation levels. Donors with blood group A had highest TIBC level. Donors with blood group B had lowest serum ferritin level. An independent samples 't' test showed statistically significant difference in serum ferritin and percentage transferrin saturation between blood group AB and blood group O and in percentage transferrin saturation between blood group B and blood group O. One way ANOVA showed that there is no significant difference in haemoglobin, serum iron, serum ferritin and percentage transferring saturation in different ABO and Rh blood grouping categories. Blood donors with blood group O had lowest haemoglobin, serum iron and transferring saturation levels and donors with blood group A had highest TIBC level. Blood donors with blood group B had lowest serum ferritin level. The understanding of the different blood groups ability to retain iron in their system can give an insight into their ability to handle the disease iron deficiency anaemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- M M Hoque
- Professor Md Mazharul Hoque, Professor, Department of Transfusion Medicine, Dhaka Medical College, Dhaka, Bangladesh
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19
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Al-Mamun MA, Farid DM, Ravenhil L, Hossain MA, Fall C, Bass R. An in silico model to demonstrate the effects of Maspin on cancer cell dynamics. J Theor Biol 2015; 388:37-49. [PMID: 26497917 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.10.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2015] [Revised: 07/22/2015] [Accepted: 10/12/2015] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
Most cancer treatments efficacy depends on tumor metastasis suppression, where tumor suppressor genes play an important role. Maspin (Mammary Serine Protease Inhibitor), an non-inhibitory serpin has been reported as a potential tumor suppressor to influence cell migration, adhesion, proliferation and apoptosis in in vitro and in vivo experiments in last two decades. Lack of computational investigations hinders its ability to go through clinical trials. Previously, we reported first computational model for maspin effects on tumor growth using artificial neural network and cellular automata paradigm with in vitro data support. This paper extends the previous in silico model by encompassing how maspin influences cell migration and the cell-extracellular matrix interaction in subcellular level. A feedforward neural network was used to define each cell behavior (proliferation, quiescence, apoptosis) which followed a cell-cycle algorithm to show the microenvironment impacts over tumor growth. Furthermore, the model concentrates how the in silico experiments results can further confirm the fact that maspin reduces cell migration using specific in vitro data verification method. The data collected from in vitro and in silico experiments formulates an unsupervised learning problem which can be solved by using different clustering algorithms. A density based clustering technique was developed to measure the similarity between two datasets based on the number of links between instances. Our proposed clustering algorithm first finds the nearest neighbors of each instance, and then redefines the similarity between pairs of instances in terms of how many nearest neighbors share the two instances. The number of links between two instances is defined as the number of common neighbors they have. The results showed significant resemblances with in vitro experimental data. The results also offer a new insight into the dynamics of maspin and establish as a metastasis suppressor gene for further molecular research.
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Affiliation(s)
- M A Al-Mamun
- Department of Population Medicine & Diagnostic Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA.
| | - D M Farid
- Department of Computer Science & Engineering, United International University, Bangladesh.
| | - L Ravenhil
- Department of Applied Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Northumbria at Newcastle, UK
| | - M A Hossain
- Anglia Ruskin IT Research Institute (ARITI), Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK.
| | - C Fall
- Computational Intelligence Group, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, University of Northumbria at Newcastle, UK.
| | - R Bass
- Department of Applied Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Northumbria at Newcastle, UK; Computational Intelligence Group, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, University of Northumbria at Newcastle, UK.
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20
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Kazmi N, Hossain MA, Phillips RM, Al-Mamun MA, Bass R. Avascular tumour growth dynamics and the constraints of protein binding for drug transportation. J Theor Biol 2012; 313:142-52. [PMID: 22974970 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.07.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2012] [Revised: 07/20/2012] [Accepted: 07/24/2012] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
Abstract
The potential for the use of in-silico models of disease in progression monitoring is becoming increasingly recognised, as well as its contribution to the development of complete curative processes. In this paper we report the development of a hybrid cellular automaton model to mimic the growth of avascular tumours, including the infusion of a bioreductive drug to study the effects of protein binding on drug transportation. The growth model is operated within an extracellular tumour microenvironment. An artificial Neural Network based scheme was implemented that modelled the behaviours of each cell (proliferation, quiescence, apoptosis and/or movement) based on the complex heterogeneous microenvironment; consisting of oxygen, glucose, hydrogen ions, inhibitory factors and growth factors. To validate the growth model results, we conducted experiments with multicellular tumour spheroids. These results showed good agreement with the predicted growth dynamics. The outcome of the avascular tumour growth model suggested that tumour microenvironments have a strong impact on cell behaviour. To address the problem of cellular proteins acting as resistive factors preventing efficient drug penetration, a bioreactive drug (tirapazamine) was added to the system. This allowed us to study the drug penetration through multicellular layers of tissue after its binding to cellular proteins. The results of the in vitro model suggested that the proteins reduce the toxicity of the drug, reducing its efficacy for the most severely hypoxic fractions furthest from a functional blood vessel. Finally this research provides a unique comparison of in vitro tumour growth with an intelligent in silico model to measure bioreductive drug availability inside tumour tissue through a set of experiments.
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Affiliation(s)
- N Kazmi
- School of Computing, Engineering and Information Sciences, Northumbria University, UK.
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