1-year impact of COVID-19 on childhood immunizations in Pakistan: analysis of > 3.7 million children

 

Covid-19 has universally disrupted primary health care, but routine childhood immunizations are one the most affected services. We analyzed big data in vaccines for measuring the 1-year impact of Covid-19 on outline childhood immunizations for the 48 million population in the Sindh province of Pakistan. We extracted and analyzed >3.7m real-time immunization records of 0-23 months old children from the Sindh Government's Electronic Immunization Registry (EIR). Using a 6-month baseline preceding the COVID-19 lockdown, we quantified the lockdown's (March 23-May 9, 2020) impact on daily immunization rates by geographical area and the change in coverage rates at the one-year mark since the lockdown. The lockdown resulted in 53% drop in the number of immunizations. The impact in rural areas as more than in urban areas (54.9% decline vs 47.5% decline from baseline), and slums had a slightly larger decrease in immunization coverage than non-slum areas (53.8% vs. 51.3%). Of 1,246,321 children who missed immunizations during first year of the pandemic, 76% of these children were eventually vaccinated by the end of March 2021. Similarly, of the 417,553 children who had dropped out during the initial 7-week national lockdown (March 23-May 10, 2020), 79% were immunized by March 2021. Our analysis of EIR data shows that the catch-up and recovery of coverage rates have primarily been driven through intensive outreach vaccination efforts instead of an increase in demand. One year since the onset of the pandemic, the average daily immunization doses administered through outreach increased by 121 percent above baseline estimates. In contrast, vaccines administered at immunization clinics were still 22 percent below baseline. The example of Pakistan shows LMICs can successfully deploy mitigation strategies to catch up with missed children during Covid-19 and sustain routine childhood immunizations to close immunity gaps.

Key messages

Although the lockdown resulted in a 53% drop in immunizations, at the 1-year mark since the pandemic started, 76% of children who missed immunizations are vaccinated.

Pakistan data shows LMICs can rectify routine immunization coverage and immunity gaps and rebound successfully to their pre-COVID-19 coverage rates.

Real-time immunization trends in under-2 children in Pakistan: insights from big data analysis

Background

Despite the provision of free-of-cost vaccines in Pakistan, fully immunized child (FIC) coverage in Sindh province remains low at 49%. In 2012, we developed and piloted the Zindagi Mehfooz (Safe Life; ZM) Digital Immunization Registry, an Android-based platform that enables vaccinators to enroll and track child level immunization data of children in the catchment population. In 2017, ZM was scaled-up across Sindh province and is currently being used by 2,284 vaccinators across 1,526 facilities serving >48 million (m) population.

Methods

All children under-2 years of age visiting EPI centers are enrolled. At enrollment, caregiver and child bio-data and child immunization history are recorded, and the child is provided with a unique Quick Response (QR) code for identification. For follow-up immunization visits, 3 SMS reminders are sent to caregivers, and upon immunization, child history is retrieved by scanning the QR code and vaccination record updated. ZM allows real-time access to data and generation of monitoring reports. Data from ZM was used to calculate coverage rates, timeliness, and trends for immunization coverage in Sindh.

Results

From Oct'17 to Dec'19, more than 2.4m children and 0.8m women were enrolled in the Registry, while >17m immunizations were administered. The FIC coverage in 12-23 months old children has increased from 49% (at baseline) to 57% for children enrolled in ZM. Additionally, pentavalent-3 coverage increased from 59% to 68%.

Discussion

ZM demonstrates the potential of DIRs to improve immunization outcomes within low-resource settings by enabling better child tracking and a higher retention rate. Additionally, the big dataset provides the opportunity to identify real-time trends and provides actionable data for evidence-based decision making.

Key messages

ZM Immunization Registry has strengthened the current EPI program through increased FIC coverage and timeliness through better tracking of children and increased retention. Big Data from ZM can be used to analyze immunization trends of global relevance, and guide strategic policy decisions for improving immunization coverage and equity, based on actionable data insights.

Using mobile immunization vans to cover under-served populations in hard-to-reach areas

Background

In Pakistan, only 66% of children receive their basic vaccinations. However, the figure masks significant inequalities in vaccine coverage between urban and rural residences, slums and areas distantly located from EPI centers. Frequent outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases such as polio and measles, in urban cities like Karachi, signal the need for expanding vaccine services to underserved areas. In Apr'19, we introduced the Mobile Immunization Van initiative in Karachi in collaboration with EPI Sindh. Currently, two vans are deployed in hard-to-reach areas and slums to immunize under-2 children for routine vaccines.

Methods

Before the van visit, mobilization efforts are conducted in targeted areas to encourage caretakers to bring their child for vaccination. On the day of visit, the van is parked at a central location, and announcements are played on a loudspeaker to attract caregivers. All vaccinations are administered in the van, and entries are recorded in Government's Digital Immunization Registry along with GIS coordinates of immunized children. The data is then automatically transferred on to a web-dashboard for analysis and tracking.

Results

From Apr'19 to Jan'20, the vans have vaccinated 2,867 children, out of which 50% had never been immunized prior to the van visit. Of those who received their follow-up vaccines from the van, 80% were at least 4 weeks beyond from their vaccine due date. GIS analysis of van data confirmed that immunizations were conducted in slums, and areas distantly located from EPI centers. Moreover, compared to government outreach activity, proportion of BCG, Penta3 and Measles1 administrations in slums was higher through the vans by 5%, 6%, and 4% respectively.

Conclusions

The vans provide an opportunity for immunizing never-vaccinated children and children defaulting on their vaccine schedule, from the most vulnerable geographies, while simultaneously enrolling them in the Government's EPI Program for effective tracking.

Key messages

The mobile vans help achieve universal immunization coverage through provision of vaccine services in slum and rural hard-to-reach areas with limited access to government-provided services. The mobile vans help vaccinate and capture never-immunized children into the Government’s EPI records, reducing the number of children missed through routine services.

Role of Liver Biopsy in the Diagnosis of Neonatal Cholestasis due to Biliary Atresia

Biliary atresia is the commonest cause of cholestatic jaundice. Early diagnosis & surgical correction helps long time survival & prevent development of cirrhosis. This study was conducted to find out the role of liver biopsy in the diagnosis of biliary atresia having positive hepatobiliary scintigraphy as there is chance of false positivity. This cross sectional study was carried out in Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Medical University (BSMMU), Dhaka, Bangladesh at Paediatric Gastroenterology & Nutrition Department from January 2014 to June 2015. All admitted patients with the diagnosis of neonatal cholestasis were evaluated clinically and by scintigraphy for biliary atresia. Having positive hepatobiliary scintigraphy but highly suggestive of biliary atresia were enrolled for this study. A total of 108 cases were initially selected. Among them 33 patients showed no excretion of tracer during hepatobiliary scintigraphy. Liver biopsy was done in these 33 cases. All cases (100%) had history of passage of pale or acholic stool. Fractionated serum bilirubin of >2mg/dl was found all of the cases. Histological scoring system reveals typical features of biliary atresia in 27(81.8%). Two had no conclusive histology of biliary atresia, four had features of neonatal hepatitis (12.1%). In this study, percutaneous liver biopsy with histological analysis by scoring system was found useful for the correct diagnosis of biliary atresia.

Epac-Rap1-activated mesenchymal stem cells improve cardiac function in rat model of myocardial infarction

INTRODUCTION

Rap1, a member of Ras superfamily of small GTP-binding proteins, is involved in cardiovascular biology in numerous ways. It is an evolutionary conserved regulator of adhesion, polarity, differentiation and growth.

AIMS

Our aim was to analyze Rap1-activated rat bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) for their potential role in adhesion and cardiac differentiation.

METHODS

Myocardial infarction (MI) was produced in Sprague Dawley (SD) rats through occlusion of the left anterior descending coronary artery. MSCs were treated with 8-pCPT-2'-O-Me-cAMP (CPT) to activate Rap1. Normal (untreated) and CPT-treated MSCs were transplanted through intramyocardial injection in respective groups. Cardiac function was assessed by echocardiography at 2 and 4 weeks after cell transplantation. Histological analysis was performed to observe changes at tissue level.

RESULTS

Homing of CPT-treated MSCs was significantly (***P<.001) higher as compared to normal MSCs in the infarcted hearts. This may be due to increase in the gene expression of some of the cell adhesion molecules as evident by qRT-PCR analysis. Significant (***P<.001) improvement in the restoration of heart function in terms of left ventricular diastolic and systolic internal diameters (LVIDd, LVIDs), % ejection fraction, % fraction shortening and end-systolic and end-diastolic volumes were observed in CPT-treated MSCs as compared to the MI model. Histological analyses showed significant (***P<.001) reduction in scar formation in the CPT-treated group. Differentiation of treated MSCs into functional cardiomyocytes was evident through immunohistochemical staining. LV wall thickness was also preserved significantly (***P<.001). Blood vessel formation was more pronounced in CPT-treated group although both cell therapy groups showed significant increase as compared to MI model.

CONCLUSION

Our findings showed that pharmacological activation of Epac-Rap1 improves cardiac function through better survival, adhesion and differentiation of transplanted cells. Transplantation of these MSCs in the infarct area restored functional myocardium.

Preconditioning of mesenchymal stem cells with 2,4-dinitrophenol improves cardiac function in infarcted rats

AIMS

The aim of this study is to determine if preconditioning of bone marrow derived mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) with 2,4-dinitrophenol (DNP) improves survival of transplanted stem cells in a rat model of myocardial infarction (MI), and to asses if this strategy has measurable impact on cardiac function.

MAIN METHODS

MSCs were preconditioned with DNP. In vitro cell adhesion assay and qRT-PCR were performed to analyze the expression of genes involved in cardiomyogenesis, cell adhesion and angiogenesis. MI was produced by occlusion of left anterior descending coronary artery. One million cells were transplanted by intramyocardial injection into the infarcted myocardium. Echocardiography was performed after two and four weeks of cellular transplantation. Hearts were harvested after four weeks and processed for histological analysis.

KEY FINDINGS

DNP treated MSCs adhered to the surface more (p<0.001) as compared to the normal MSCs. Gene expression levels were significantly upregulated in case of DNP treatment. The number of viable MSCs was more (p<0.001) in animals that received DNP treated MSCs, leading to significant improvement in cardiac function. Histological analysis revealed significant reduction in scar formation (p<0.001), maintenance of left ventricular wall thickness (p<0.001), and increased angiogenesis (p<0.01).

SIGNIFICANCE

The study evidenced for the first time that MSCs preconditioned with DNP improved cardiac function after transplantation. This can be attributed to improved survival, homing, adhesion, and cardiomyogenic and angiogenic differentiation of DNP treated MSCs in vivo.

Atypical case of cystic fibrosis

A patient of cystic fibrosis is hereby reported. He had no family history and presented with chest symptoms, only. There was no evidence of hepatic or pancreatic involvement. To our knowledge this represents the first case of its kind from this part of country.