External validation of International Classification of Injury Severity Score to predict mortality in a Greek adult trauma population

INTRODUCTION

The International Classification of diseases- based Injury Severity Score (ICISS) obtained by empirically derived diagnosis-specific survival probabilities (DSPs) is the best-known risk-adjustment measure to predict mortality. Recently, a new set of pooled DSPs has been proposed by the International Collaborative Effort on Injury Statistics but it remains to be externally validated in other cohorts. The aim of this study was to externally validate the ICISS using international DSPs and compare its prognostic performance with local DSPs derived from Greek adult trauma population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective single-center cohort study enrolled adult trauma patients (≥ 16 years) hospitalized between January 2015 and December 2019 and temporally divided into derivation (n = 21,614) and validation cohorts (n = 14,889). Two different ICISS values were calculated for each patient using two different sets of DSPs: international (ICISSint) and local (ICISSgr). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Models' prediction was performed using discrimination and calibration statistics.

RESULTS

ICISSint displayed good discrimination in derivation (AUC = 0.836 CI 95% 0.819-0.852) and validation cohort (AUC = 0.817 CI 95% 0.797-0.836). Calibration using visual analysis showed accurate prediction at patients with low mortality risk, especially below 30%. ICISSgr yielded better discrimination (AUC = 0.834 CI 95% 0.814-0.854 vs 0.817 CI 95% 0.797-0.836, p ˂ .05) and marginally improved overall accuracy (Brier score = 0.0216 vs 0.0223) compared with the ICISSint in the validation cohort. Incorporation of age and sex in both models enhanced further their performance as reflected by superior discrimination (p ˂ .05) and closer calibration curve to the identity line in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

This study supports the use of international DSPs for the ICISS to predict mortality in contemporary trauma patients and provides evidence regarding the potential benefit of applying local DSPs. Further research is warranted to confirm our findings and recommend the widespread use of ICISS as a valid measure that is easily obtained from administrative data based on ICD-10 codes.

Arterial Function after a 246 km Ultra-marathon Running Race

There is little research about the effects of ultra-endurance exercise on arterial morphological and functional properties. The aim was to assess the acute changes of the carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity and carotid doppler-derived parameters following an ultra-marathon race as well as the intima-media thickness of the carotid artery in ultra-marathon runners. Twenty athletes were examined at baseline and within 10 mins after a 246 km running race. Measurements included carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, peak-systolic and end-diastolic velocities of carotid artery blood flow, pulsatility and resistivity indices and blood biochemical parameters. The intima-media thickness of the right and left carotid artery was measured before the race. Arterial stiffness and carotid artery intima media thickness at rest remained within known normal limits. The ultra-marathon race significantly increased carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity by 22.6% and pulsatility index by 10.2%. There was a decrease in body weight by 3.35% and an increase of all biochemical markers of muscle damage after the race. Additionally, C-reactive protein was correlated with both pulsatility and resistivity indices post-race. This study shows that immediately after a 246 km ultra-marathon running race, acute increase of arterial stiffness and vascular resistance were evident. The carotid artery thickness of ultra-marathon runners was within normal range.

Pregnancy in women with thalassemia: challenges and solutions

Advances in treatment of thalassemia have led to the aging of thalassemic patients, and consequently concern about successful reproductive outcome is augmented. Although women with thalassemia intermedia only were considered competent of achieving pregnancy, case series reveal the willingness of both thalassemia major and thalassemia intermedia women to have a family. Pregnancy in general is characterized by dynamic multiple-system changes and increased susceptibility to oxidative stress, while homozygous, transfusion-dependent, β-thalassemia patients manifest cardiac, hepatic, endocrine, and metabolic disorders attributable to chronic anoxia and iron overload and thalassemia intermedia, usually nontransfused, is associated with augmented risk of thromboembolic events. Pregnancy in thalassemia should be considered a high risk for both mother and fetus, and favorable outcomes are the result of continuous preconception, antenatal, and postpartum assessment and management by a team of thalassemia experts.

The quality of death certification practice in Greece

BACKGROUND

Death certification represents an excellent source for mortality statistics and appropriate public health surveillance. Errors in reporting the cause of death impede the development of national health policies and, accordingly, allocation of resources. The aim of this study was to determine the frequency of errors in the cause of death and to identify factors that may be associated with inaccuracies in death certificates.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of all natural death certifications in a defined Greek region was conducted over the period 2006-2010. Specific criteria for major and minor errors were adopted for the evaluation of death certificates.

RESULTS

A total of 5,828 death certificates due to natural causes were identified. Major errors were found in 64.6 % of them with almost every death certificate having a minor error. Major error rate did not differ per year (p =0.65). Most commonly encountered major errors were a non-acceptable cause of death (31.2 %) and an incorrect sequencing (16.8 %). Factors affecting their frequency were the age of the deceased (older than 80 years, p =0.025), the area of certificate completion (rural and semi-urban, p <0.001) and doctor's grade (consultant, p <0.026).

CONCLUSIONS

High rate of recording errors at death certification influences the accuracy of the cause of death in a defined region in Southern Greece. Due to their impact on mortality statistics and health policies, standard practices of death certification should be established. Coordinated educational interventions are expected to play a significant role on this. Hippokratia 2016, 20(1): 19-25.

Prevalence of Brucella antibodies on a previously acute brucellosis infected population: sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of Rose Bengal and Wright standard tube agglutination tests

PURPOSE

Brucellosis is a zoonosis with worldwide distribution. The presence of antibodies after acute infection and the prevalence of positive serology in endemic area are not well documented.

METHODS

Patients hospitalized with acute brucellosis were relocated 3-13 years after the initial infection. Hospital records of the initial infection were retrieved, and examination of Brucella antibodies using Rose Bengal test (RBT) and Wright standard tube agglutination (STA) test was performed.

RESULTS

Eighty-three patients were hospitalized from 2000 to 2010; 50.6 % were farmers and 37.4 % livestock farmers. All had febrile illness and various focal complications. All had positive serology, and 82.2 % had positive blood cultures; 91.5 % were treated with streptomycin plus doxycycline. Seventy-two (86.7 %) were relocated on follow-up. Nine (12.5 %) had positive RBT and STA up to 1/320. Occupational history was associated with positive serology (p = 0.0172), and 8/9 of the positive individuals were livestock farmers (38.0 % of the livestock farmers checked). Residence, years after the infection, clinical presentation of brucellosis and treatment were not associated with serology results. Both tests had excellent sensitivity (nearly 100 %), specificity 87.5 % and excellent negative predictive value (nearly 100 %); however, positive predictive value was only 11.4 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Rapid and low-cost tests as RBT and STA are still very useful in diagnosing acute brucellosis; however, every positive test must be examined together with clinical symptoms and occupational history. The tests can be used as screening tests in endemic populations to rule out acute brucellosis.

On the calculation of transcallosal conduction time using transcranial magnetic stimulation

Transcallosal conduction time (TCT), based on the results of transcranial magnetic stimulation studies, is currently calculated as a function of the ipsilateral silent period (iSP) and of the motor evoked potential (MEP) obtained from a target muscle (TCTcurrent = iSP latency - MEP latency). We argue that this measure overestimates TCT and may lead to a bias in statistical group comparisons. We propose an alternative measure, TCTproposed, which we defined as TCTproposed = iSP latency - cSP latency, where cSP is the contralateral silent period. We report our results on the comparison of the two measures in twenty healthy individuals and provide a theoretical basis for TCTproposed.

Acute Q fever lobar pneumonia: a case report

Q fever is a zoonotic disease caused by Coxiella burnetii-an obligate, Gram-negative, intracellular bacteria. Acute febrile illness, hepatitis, and atypical pneumonia are the three most common manifestations, whereas lobar pneumonia is rarely reported among acute Q fever patients. We report a case of acute Q fever with lobar pneumonia and multi-organ involvement.

Transfusional hemosiderosis and combined chelation therapy in sickle thalassemia

Although the indications for transfusions in sickle cell syndromes are well listed, and chronic transfusion has become practicable since the recent advances in chelation therapy have essentially eliminated the risk of secondary iron overload, multi-transfused, non-compliant to long-term chelation therapy patients confront the complication of iron overload and secondary hemosiderosis. In thalassemia major patients, combined therapy with desferrioxamine and deferiprone has maximized tissue iron removal and may reduce the overall occurrence of hemosiderotic heart failure. Despite this, safety and contradictions of chelating agents are still controversial. The aim of this report is to present the results of this combination in a long-term transfused sickle beta-thalassemic patient suffering from severe heart failure and liver dysfunction.

Reversal of heart failure in thalassemia major by combined chelation therapy: a case report

In patients with thalassemia major (TM) who are non-compliant with long-term desferrioxamine (DFO) chelation, survival is limited mainly because of cardiac complications of transfusional hemosiderosis. Combined chelation therapy with DFO and deferiprone has maximized the efficacy of the therapy and reduced cardiological complications. The aim of this report is to present the results of this combination in a desperate case of heart failure.

Acute abdomen due to Brucella melitensis

A case of acute abdomen caused by a Brucella melitensis is reported. The patient presented with biliary involvement in the form of acute acalculous cholecystitis and developed acute appendicitis that resulted in his surgical treatment.

A macro-directive mechanism that facilitates automatic updating and processing of the contents of Electronic Healthcare Records: an extension to the CEN architecture

Facilitating data entry, eliminating redundant effort and providing decision support are some of the factors upon which the successful uptake of Electronic Healthcare Record (EHCR) technology is dependent. The European Standardization Committee (CEN), on the other hand, has proposed a standard EHCR architecture, which allows patient record contents to be highly diverse, customized to individual user needs; this makes their processing a challenging task and poses a demand for specially designed mechanisms. We describe the requirements for a macro-directive mechanism, pertaining to CEN-compatible EHCR software that can automate updating and processing of patient records, thus enhancing the functionality of the software. We have implemented the above-mentioned mechanism in an EHCR application that has been customized for use in the care process of patients suffering from beta-Thalassemia. The application is being used during the last two years in the Thalassemia units of four Greek hospitals, as part of their every day practice. We report on the experience we have acquired so far.

A Java-based electronic healthcare record software for beta-thalassaemia

BACKGROUND

Beta-thalassaemia is a hereditary disease, the prevalence of which is high in persons of Mediterranean, African, and Southeast Asian ancestry. In Greece it constitutes an important public health problem. Beta-thalassaemia necessitates continuous and complicated health care procedures such as daily chelation; biweekly transfusions; and periodic cardiology, endocrinology, and hepatology evaluations. Typically, different care items are offered in different, often-distant, health care units, which leads to increased patient mobility. This is especially true in rural areas. Medical records of patients suffering from beta-thalassaemia are inevitably complex and grow in size very fast. They are currently paper-based, scattered over all units involved in the care process. This hinders communication of information between health care professionals and makes processing of the medical records difficult, thus impeding medical research.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective is to provide an electronic means for recording, communicating, and processing all data produced in the context of the care process of patients suffering from beta-thalassaemia.

METHODS

We have developed - and we present in this paper - Java-based Electronic Healthcare Record (EHCR) software, called JAnaemia. JAnaemia is a general-purpose EHCR application, which can be customized for use in all medical specialties. Customization for beta-thalassaemia has been performed in collaboration with 4 Greek hospitals. To be capable of coping with patient record diversity, JAnaemia has been based on the EHCR architecture proposed in the ENV 13606:1999 standard, published by the CEN/TC251 committee. Compliance with the CEN architecture also ensures that several additional requirements are fulfilled in relation to clinical comprehensiveness; to record sharing and communication; and to ethical, medico-legal, and computational issues. Special care has been taken to provide a user-friendly, form-based interface for data entry and processing.

RESULTS

The experience gained through the use of JAnaemia in 4 Greek hospitals reveals a significant contribution towards (1) improvement of the quality of the data being recorded, since data entry is guided by appropriate forms, (2) easier cooperation between physicians, who share a common information repository, and (3) increased processing capabilities, which facilitate medical research.

CONCLUSIONS

JAnaemia appears to be a useful tool, which can improve the quality of care offered to beta-thalassaemic patients in Greece.