Precision Oncology in Lung Cancer Surgery

Precision in lung cancer surgery is our ability to use the most cutting edge and up to date information to provide personalized and targeted surgical care to our patients. It aims to tailor patient care to patient and tumor characteristics and susceptibilities as well as to optimize the ways treatments are administered. This may include specific perioperative medical treatment, changing operative techniques to more minimally invasive ones if the situation permits, performing sub-anatomical surgeries when possible, and using innovative tumor visualization methods to enhance detection of previously occult disease to ultimately decrease the extent of the planned resection.

Advances in the clinical use of patient-reported outcomes in thoracic surgery

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are increasingly recognized as a clinical tool for measuring and improving patient-centric care. This review provides a summary on recent advances in the use of PROs in the field of thoracic surgery.

RECENT FINDINGS

PROs have been used as primary endpoints in clinical trials and observational studies evaluating clinical care pathways and quantifying the benefits of minimally invasive surgical techniques for patients undergoing lung surgery. Qualitative and quantitative research has yielded fundamental insights into which PRO domains are meaningful and valued by patients after lung surgery. Patient experience and recovery after esophagectomy have been further characterized by using PROs. New disease-specific survey tools for patients have been developed to track long-term symptoms after esophageal reconstruction. Patient satisfaction has emerged as the key metric used to gauge the patient centeredness of hospital systems.

SUMMARY

Advances have been made in the application of PROs in multiple areas of thoracic surgery, which include lung and esophageal surgery. The growing focus on the use of PROs in clinical pathways has led to a better understanding on how to optimize patient experience.

Preoperative predictors of successful tumour localization by intraoperative molecular imaging with pafolacianine in lung cancer to create predictive nomogram

OBJECTIVES

Intraoperative molecular imaging (IMI) uses cancer-targeted fluorescent probe to locate nodules. Pafolacianine is a Food and Drug Administration-approved fluorescent probe for lung cancer. However, it has a 8-12% false negative rate for localization. Our goal is to define preoperative predictors of tumour localization by IMI.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of patients who underwent IMI using pafolacianine for lung lesions from June 2015 to August 2019. Candidate predictors including sex, age, body mass index, smoking history, tumour size, distance of tumour from surface, use of neoadjuvant therapy and positron emission tomography avidity were included. The outcome was fluorescence in vivo and comprehensively included those who were true or false positives negatives. Multiple imputation was used to handle the missing data. The final model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Three hundred nine patients were included in our study. The mean age was 64 (standard deviation 13) and 68% had a smoking history. The mean distance of the tumours from the pleural surface was 0.4 cm (standard deviation 0.6). Smoking in pack-years and distance from pleura had an odds ratio of 0.99 [95% confidence interval: 0.98-0.99; P = 0.03] and 0.46 [95% confidence interval: 0.27-0.78; P = 0.004], respectively. The final model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.68 and was used to create a nomogram that gives a probability of fluorescence in vivo.

CONCLUSIONS

Primary tumours that are deeper from the pleural surface, especially in patients with a higher pack-years, are associated with a decreased likelihood of intraoperative localization. We identified a nomogram to predict the likelihood of tumour localization with IMI with pafolacianine.

Cathepsin detection to identify malignant cells during robotic pulmonary resection

Background

Intraoperative molecular imaging (IMI) uses a fluorescent probe to identify occult cancers. VGT-309 is a quenched activity-based probe that is activated in the presence of cathepsins, enzymes overexpressed in cancer cells, and detected by near-infrared (NIR) light. This study aims to evaluate the sensitivity and the positive predictive value (PPV) of robotic-assisted thoracic surgery (RATS) with intraoperative molecular imaging (RIMI) using VGT-309 to localize tumors using NIR light to detect areas with increased cathepsin activity. Our secondary outcome was to compare RIMI to video-assisted thoracic surgery (VATS) with intraoperative molecular imaging (VIMI).

Methods

In a phase 2 clinical trial at the University of Pennsylvania, patients (n=10) with suspicious pulmonary lesions underwent RATS. First, white light was used followed by RIMI to identify tissues with increased cathepsin activity. Then, VIMI was performed to compare the sensitivity and PPV in identifying the cathepsin activity. The resected specimens were then evaluated for fluorescence and underwent histopathological analysis for cathepsin expression. Image analysis was performed using ImageJ software. Statistical analysis was conducted using IBM SPSS Statistics software. A P value of 0.05 or less was considered significant.

Results

RATS with white light identified 6 out of the 10 pulmonary nodules, whereas adding RIMI identified an additional 4 more pulmonary nodules. RIMI and VIMI were able to detect the same 8/10 (80%) nodules. The addition of VIMI did not identify any lesions that RIMI may have missed. The mean fluorescence intensity of tumors visualized by RIMI was 115.81 A.U. [standard deviation (SD) =58.57] compared to 95.6 A.U. (SD =14.81) by VIMI (P=0.41). The mean tumor-to-background ratios (TBR) of tumors visualized by RIMI was 9.20 (SD =9.12) compared to 2.29 A.U. (SD =1.11) using VIMI (P=0.1). The sensitivity of RIMI and VIMI was 88.9% which was superior to that of RATS (55.6%). The PPV of RATS was 83.3% compared to 100% in RIMI and VIMI.

Conclusions

RIMI is a valuable option for visualization of occult disease using VGT-309-guided IMI through identifying areas of increased cathepsin activity. In this small series, RIMI and VIMI showed clinical equivalence in sensitivity and PPV of detecting cathepsin activity.

A pH-Activatable Nanoprobe Labels Diverse Histologic Subtypes of Human Lung Cancer During Resection

BACKGROUND

Intraoperative molecular imaging (IMI) uses tumor-targeted optical contrast agents to improve identification and clearance of cancer during surgery. Recently, pH-activatable contrast agents have been developed but none has been tested in lung cancer. Here, we report the successful clinical translation of pegsitacianine (ONM-100), a pH-activatable nanoprobe, for fluorescence-guided lung cancer resection.

METHODS

We first characterized the pH setpoint for pegsitacianine fluorescence activation in vitro. We then optimized the specificity, dosing, and timing of pegsitacianine in murine flank xenograft models of lung adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Finally, we tested pegsitacianine in humans undergoing lung cancer surgery as part of an ongoing phase 2 trial.

RESULTS

We found that the fluorescence activation of pegsitacianine occurred below physiologic pH in vitro. Using preclinical models of lung cancer, we found that the probe selectively labeled both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma xenografts (mean tumor-to-background ratio [TBR] > 2.0 for all cell lines). In the human pilot study, we report cases in which pegsitacianine localized pulmonary adenocarcinoma and pulmonary squamous cell carcinoma (TBRs= 2.7 and 2.4) in real time to illustrate its successful clinical translation and potential to improve surgical management.

CONCLUSIONS

This translational study demonstrates the feasibility of pegsitacianine as an IMI probe to label the two most common histologic subtypes of human lung cancer.

Fluorescence-guided surgery with indocyanine green to identify an idiopathic chyle leak-case report

Background

Chylothorax is the leakage of chyle into the pleural space and is associated with up to 50% morbidity. Although, the identification of traumatic chylothoraces is well described, non-traumatic chylothoraxes, mostly idiopathic, present therapeutic challenges as they are difficult to localize. We describe an attempt at localizing and treating an idiopathic chylothorax refractory to conservative and minimally invasive techniques. This was done using indocyanine green (ICG) and was a joint case between a thoracic surgeon and an interventional radiologist.

Case Description

A 50-year-old female with a recent history of coronavirus disease (COVID)-19 presented with shortness of breath. She was found to have a right pleural effusion and was admitted to the hospital, where a chest tube was inserted and pleural fluid analysis confirmed the diagnosis of a chylothorax. Conservative management was attempted but with little success. Initial magnetic resonance lymphangiogram (MRL) revealed abnormal enhancing lymphatic masses in the right paraspinal thoracic space as well as lympho-venous junction obstruction with large neck collaterals. She then underwent percutaneous lympho-venous junction angioplasty followed by multiple rounds of glue embolization without clinical improvement. The decision was then made to proceed with a thoracotomy, identification of the site of thoracic duct (TD) leakage, and a mechanical pleurodesis assisted by intraoperative imaging. Ten mg of ICG was injected into the inguinal lymph nodes. Using a camera capable of detection of near-infrared (NIR) light, we were able to visualize the site from which the ICG was extravasating in the chest. Glue was then injected in that area to further help in reducing the leak. After keeping her nil per os (NPO) and requiring one more ligation, a repeat MRL showed a markedly decreased leak into the right pleural space. Two weeks later, she was seen in clinic and reported significant improvement in her symptoms.

Conclusions

This is the case of a 50-year-old female who was found to have a significant right chylothorax. She underwent conservative management, followed by tube thoracostomy, and TD ligation but was refractory to treatment. Fluorescence-guided surgery was pivotal to localize the leakage site and help seal it intraoperatively.

Prospective validation of tumor folate receptor expression density with the association of pafolacianine fluorescence during intraoperative molecular imaging-guided lung cancer resections

PURPOSE

Pafolacianine, a folate receptor alpha-targeted NIR tracer, has demonstrated clear efficacy in intraoperative molecular imaging-guided (IMI) lung cancer surgery. However, the selection of patients who would benefit from IMI remains challenging given the variability of fluorescence with patient-associated and histopathologic factors. Our goal in this study was to prospectively evaluate whether preoperative FRα/FRβ staining can predict pafolacianine-based fluorescence during real-time lung cancer resections.

METHODS

This was a prospective study conducted between 2018 and 2022 that reviewed core biopsy and intraoperative data from patients with suspected lung cancer. A total of 196 patients were deemed eligible, of whom core biopsies were taken from 38 patients and assessed for FRα and FRβ expression by immunohistochemistry (IHC). All patients underwent infusion of pafolacianine 24 h prior to surgery. Intraoperative fluorescence images were captured with the VisionSense bandpass filter-enabled camera. All histopathologic assessments were performed by a board-certified thoracic pathologist.

RESULTS

Of the 38 patients, 5 (13.1%) were found to have benign lesions (necrotizing granulomatous inflammation, lymphoid aggregates) and 1 had metastatic non-lung nodule. Thirty (81.5%) had malignant lesions, with the vast majority (23, 77.4%) being lung adenocarcinoma (7 (22.5%) SCC). None of the benign tumors (0/5, 0%) exhibited in vivo fluorescence (mean TBR of 1.72), while 95% of the malignant tumors fluoresced (mean TBR of 3.11 ± 0.31) compared to squamous cell carcinoma (1.89 ± 0.29) of the lung and sarcomatous lung metastasis (2.32 ± 0.09) (p < 0.01). The TBR was significantly higher in the malignant tumors (p = 0.009). The median FRα and FRβ staining intensities were both 1.5 for benign tumors, while the FRα and FRβ staining intensities were 3 and 2 for malignant tumors, respectively. Increased FRα expression was significantly associated with the presence of fluorescence (p = 0.01), CONCLUSION: This prospective study sought to determine whether preoperative FRα and FRβ expression on core biopsy IHC correlates with intraoperative fluorescence during pafolacianine-guided surgery. These results, although of small sample size, including limited non-adenocarcinoma cohort, suggest that performing FRα IHC on preoperative core biopsies of adenocarcinomas as compared to squamous cell carcinomas could provide low-cost, clinically useful information for optimal patient selection which should be further explored in advanced clinical trials.

Preclinical Lymph Node Model for Intraoperative Molecular Imaging of Cancer

Purpose

Lymph node(LN) dissection is part of most oncologic resections. Intraoperatively identifying a positive LN(+ LN), that harbors malignant cells, can be challenging. We hypothesized that intraoperative molecular imaging(IMI) using a cancer-targeted fluorescent prober can identify + LNs. This study aimed to develop a preclinical model of a + LN and test it using an activatable cathepsin-based enzymatic probe, VGT-309.

Procedures

In the first model, we used peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC), representing the lymphocytic composition of the LN, mixed with different concentrations of human lung adenocarcinoma cell line A549. Then, they were embedded in a Matrigel® matrix. A black dye was added to mimic LN anthracosis. Model two was created using a murine spleen, the largest lymphoid organ, injected with various concentrations of A549. To test these models, we co-cultured A549 cells with VGT-309. Mean fluorescence intensity(MFI) was. An independent sample t-test was used to compare the average MFI of each A549:negative control ratio.

Results

A significant difference in MFI from our PBMC control was noted when A549 cells were 25% of the LN (p = 0.046) in both 3D cell aggregate models-where the LNs native parenchyma is replaced and the one where the tumor grows over the native parenchyma. For the anthracitic equivalents of these models, the first significant MFI compared to the control was when A549 cells were 9% of the LN (p = 0.002) in the former model, and 16.7% of the LN (p = 0.033) in the latter. In our spleen model, we first noted significance in MFI when A549 cells were 16.67% of the cellular composition.(p = 0.02).

Conclusions

A + LN model allows for a granular evaluation of different cellular burdens in + LN that can be assessed using IMI. This first exvivo + LN model can be used in preclinical testing of several existing dyes and in creating more sensitive cameras for IMI-guided LN detection.

Intraoperative molecular imaging: 3rd biennial clinical trials update

Significance

This third biennial intraoperative molecular imaging (IMI) conference shows how optical contrast agents have been applied to develop clinically significant endpoints that improve precision cancer surgery.

Aim

National and international experts on IMI presented ongoing clinical trials in cancer surgery and preclinical work. Previously known dyes (with broader applications), new dyes, novel nonfluorescence-based imaging techniques, pediatric dyes, and normal tissue dyes were discussed.

Approach

Principal investigators presenting at the Perelman School of Medicine Abramson Cancer Center's third clinical trials update on IMI were selected to discuss their clinical trials and endpoints.

Results

Dyes that are FDA-approved or currently under clinical investigation in phase 1, 2, and 3 trials were discussed. Sections on how to move benchwork research to the bedside were also included. There was also a dedicated section for pediatric dyes and nonfluorescence-based dyes that have been newly developed.

Conclusions

IMI is a valuable adjunct in precision cancer surgery and has broad applications in multiple subspecialties. It has been reliably used to alter the surgical course of patients and in clinical decision making. There remain gaps in the utilization of IMI in certain subspecialties and potential for developing newer and improved dyes and imaging techniques.

Epidemiological, therapeutic, and survival trends in malignant pleural mesothelioma: A review of the National Cancer Database

BACKGROUND

Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is an aggressive cancer of the cells lining the pleural cavity with a low overall incidence. The National Cancer Database (NCDB) released in August 2022 updated data that reflect the newest trends in MPM.

METHODS

The NCDB was queried for patients diagnosed with MPM between 2004 and 2020. Variables collected included demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatment. Student's t-test and independent-samples proportions test were used for means analysis. Survival was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method using SPSS version 28.

RESULTS

A total of 41,074 patients were diagnosed with mesothelioma, with a steady incidence (0.25%) between 2004 and 2017. The mean age of diagnosis was 70 (SD 13). 73.2% of the patients were males, 69% had no comorbidities, and 93.3% were white. More patients were diagnosed at Stage 1 after 2008 (p < 0.001). Since 2010, there has been a significant increase in patients offered treatment with 73.9% receiving some therapy (p < 0.01): 50.5% received chemotherapy, 27.6% surgery, 8.6% radiation, and 5.4% immunotherapy. The median overall survival was 10.3 months from diagnosis [95% CI: 10.2-10.5]. Risk factors associated with 30-day mortality from surgical intervention included age (OR = 1.02, p < 0.001), male gender (OR = 1.3, p = 0.03), poorly differentiated grade (OR = 2.1, p < 0.001), Stage 4 (OR = 1.4, p = 0014), and epithelioid histology (OR = 0.51, p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

The current management of MPM is based on stage and histologic subtype. Due to the small numbers of patients at most academic centers, the NCDB provides a robust dataset to draw upon broad data points in treatment discussions with patients.

Surgical Decision-Making in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Modeling Prognosis Following Pancreatectomy in the Era of Induction and Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

OBJECTIVE

To develop a predictive model of oncologic outcomes for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) undergoing resection after neoadjuvant or induction chemotherapy use.

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence following surgical resection for PDAC is common. The use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to resection may increase the likelihood of long-term systemic disease control. Accurately characterizing an individual's likely oncologic outcome in the perioperative setting remains challenging.

METHODS

Data from patients with PDAC who received chemotherapy prior to pancreatectomy at a single high-volume institution between 2007 and 2018 were captured in a prospectively collected database. Core clinicopathologic data were reviewed for accuracy and survival data were abstracted from the electronic medical record and national databases. Cox-proportional regressions were used to model outcomes and develop an interactive prognostic tool for clinical decision-making.

RESULTS

A total of 581 patients were included with a median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) of 29.5 (26.5-32.5) and 16.6 (15.8-17.5) months, respectively. Multivariable analysis demonstrates OS and RFS were associated with type of chemotherapeutic used andthe number of chemotherapy cycles received preoperatively. Additional factors contributing to survival models included: tumor grade, histopathologic response to therapy, nodal status, and administration of adjuvant chemotherapy. The models were validated using an iterative bootstrap method and with randomized cohort splitting. The models were well calibrated with concordance indices of 0.68 and 0.65 for the final OS and RFS models, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed an intuitive and dynamic decision-making tool that can be useful in estimating OS, RFS, and location-specific disease recurrence rates. This prognostic tool may add value to patient care in discussing the benefits associated with surgical resection for PDAC.

Sodium Multivitamin Transporter-Targeted Fluorochrome Facilitates Enhanced Metabolic Evaluation of Tumors Through Coenzyme-R Dependent Intracellular Signaling Pathways

BACKGROUND

Intraoperative molecular imaging (IMI)-guided resections have been shown to improve oncologic outcomes for patients undergoing surgery for solid malignancies. The technology utilizes fluorescent tracers targeting cancer cells without the use of any ionizing radiation. However, currently available targeted IMI tracers are effective only for tumors with a highly specific receptor expression profile, and there is an unmet need for IMI tracers to label a broader range of tumor types. Here, we describe the development and testing of a novel tracer (CR)-S0456) targeted to the sodium multivitamin transporter (SMVT).

METHODS

Preclinical models of fibrosarcoma (HT-1080), lung (A549), breast (4T1), and renal cancers (HEK-293 T) in vitro and in vivo were used for assessment of (CR)-S0456 specific tumor labeling via sodium-mediated SMVT uptake in dipotassium phosphate or choline chloride-containing media buffer. Additionally, pharmacologic inhibition of multiple intracellular coenzyme-R obligate signaling pathways, including holocarboxylase synthetase (sulconazole nitrate), PI3K/AKT/mTOR (omipalisib), and calmodulin-dependent phosphatase (calmidazolium), were investigated to assess (CR)-S0456 uptake kinetics. Human fibrosarcoma-bearing xenografts in athymic nude mice were used for tumor and metabolic-specific labeling. Novel NIR needle confocal laser endomicroscopic (nCLE) intratumoral sampling was performed to demonstrate single-cell specific labeling by CR-S0456.

RESULTS

CR-S0456 localization in vitro correlated with highly proliferative cell lines (MTT) and doubling time (p < 0.05) with the highest microscopic fluorescence detected in aggressive human fibrosarcomas (HT-1080). Coenzyme-R-specific localization was demonstrated to be SMVT-specific after competitive inhibition of internal localization with excess administration of pantothenic acid. Inhibiting the activity of SMVT by affecting sodium ion hemostasis prevented the complete uptake of CR-S0456. In vivo validation demonstrated (CR)-S0456 localization to xenograft models with accurate identification of primary tumors as well as margin assessment down to 1 mm³ tumor volume. Systemic treatment of xenograft-bearing mice with a dual PI3K/mTOR inhibitor suppressed intratumoral cell signaling and (CR)-S0456 uptake via a reduction in SMVT expression. Novel analysis of in vivo intratumoral cytologic fluorescence using near-infrared confocal laser endomicroscopy demonstrated the absence of coenzyme-R-mediated NIR fluorescence but not fibroblast activation protein (FAP)-conjugated fluorochrome, indicating specific intracellular inhibition of coenzyme-R obligate pathways.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that a SMVT-targeted NIR contrast agent can be a suitable tracer for imaging a wide range of malignancies as well as evaluating metabolic response to systemic therapies, similar to PET imaging with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

The Risk of Incarceration During Nonoperative Management of Incisional Hernias: A Population-based Analysis of 30,998 Patients

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to quantify the risk of incarceration of incisional hernias.

BACKGROUND

Operative repair is the definitive treatment for incisional ventral hernias but is often deferred if the perceived risk of elective operation is elevated secondary to comorbid conditions. The risk of incarceration during nonoperative management (NOM) factors into shared decision making by patient and surgeon; however, the incidence of acute incarceration remains largely unknown.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of adult patients with an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision or Tenth Revision diagnosis of incisional hernia was conducted from 2010 to 2017 in 15 hospitals of a single healthcare system. The primary outcome was incarceration necessitating emergent operation. The secondary outcome was 30-, 90-, and 365-day mortality. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine independent predictors of incarceration.

RESULTS

Among 30,998 patients with an incisional hernia (mean age 58.1 ± 15.9 years; 52.7% female), 23,022 (78.1%) underwent NOM of whom 540 (2.3%) experienced incarceration, yielding a 1- and 5-year cumulative incidence of 1.24% and 2.59%, respectively. Independent variables associated with incarceration included: age older than 40 years, female sex, current smoker, body mass index 30 or greater, and a hernia-related inpatient admission. All-cause mortality rates at 30, 90, and 365 days were significantly higher in the incarceration group at 7.2%, 10%, and 14% versus 1.1%, 2.3%, and 5.3% in patients undergoing successful NOM, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Incarceration is an uncommon complication of NOM but is associated with a significant risk of death. Tailored decision making for elective repair and considering the aforementioned risk factors for incarceration provides an initial step toward mitigating the excess morbidity and mortality of an incarceration event.

Social Support is Associated with Survival in Patients Diagnosed with Gastrointestinal Cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to examine the link between psychological, behavioral, and social factors and survival in patients diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer.

METHODS

A cohort of gastrointestinal cancer patients were administered a battery of questionnaires that assessed trauma, depression, social support, sleep, diet, exercise, quality of life, tobacco and alcohol use, pain, and fatigue. Analyses included Pearson's correlations, analyses of variance, Kaplan Meier survival, and Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 568 patients, the majority were male (57.9%) and Caucasian (91.9%), with a mean age of 61 (S.D. = 10.7). The level of perceived social support was comparable to patients with other medical conditions. Sociodemographic predictors of social support included the number of years of education (r = 0.109, p = 0.05), marital status (F(6,387) = 5.465, p ≤ 0.001), and whether the patients' income met the family's basic needs (F(1,377) = 25.531, p < 0.001). Univariate analyses revealed that older age (p < 0.001), male gender (p = 0.007), being black (p = 0.005), diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (p = 0.046), higher body mass index (p = 0.022), larger tumor size (p = 0.032), initial treatment including chemotherapy rather than surgery (p < 0.001), and lower level of perceived social support (p = 0.037) were associated with poorer survival. Using multivariate Cox regression and adjusting for all factors found to be significant in univariate survival analyses, older age (p = 0.024) and lower perceived social support (HR = 0.441, 95% CI = 0.233, 0.833; p = 0.012) were the factors that remained significantly associated with poorer survival.

CONCLUSION

There are several biological and psychosocial factors that predict cancer mortality. Social support appears to be a robust factor affecting mortality in gastrointestinal cancer patients.

Leveraging Decision Curve Analysis to Improve Clinical Application of Surgical Risk Calculators

BACKGROUND

Surgical risk calculators (SRCs) have been developed for estimation of postoperative complications but do not directly inform decision-making. Decision curve analysis (DCA) is a method for evaluating prediction models, measuring their utility in guiding decisions. We aimed to analyze the utility of SRCs to guide both preoperative and postoperative management of patients undergoing hepatopancreaticobiliary surgery by using DCA.

METHODS

A single-institution, retrospective review of patients undergoing hepatopancreaticobiliary operations between 2015 and 2017 was performed. Estimation of postoperative complications was conducted using the American College of Surgeons SRC [ACS-SRC] and the Predictive OpTimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER) calculator; risks were compared with observed outcomes. DCA was used to model optimal patient selection for risk prevention strategies and to compare the relative performance of the ACS-SRC and POTTER calculators.

RESULTS

A total of 994 patients were included in the analysis. C-statistics for the ACS-SRC prediction of 12 postoperative complications ranged from 0.546 to 0.782. DCA revealed that an ACS-SRC-guided readmission prevention intervention, when compared with an all-or-none approach, yielded a superior net benefit for patients with estimated risk between 5% and 20%. Comparison of SRCs for venous thromboembolism intervention demonstrated superiority of the ACS-SRC for thresholds for intervention between 2% and 4% with the POTTER calculator performing superiorly between 4% and 8% estimated risk.

CONCLUSIONS

SRCs can be used not only to predict complication risk but also to guide risk prevention strategies. This methodology should be incorporated into external validations of future risk calculators and can be applied for institution-specific quality improvement initiatives to improve patient outcomes.

Preoperative risk analysis index for frailty predicts short-term outcomes after hepatopancreatobiliary surgery

BACKGROUND

The Risk Analysis Index (RAI) for frailty is a rapid survey for comorbidities and performance status, which predicts mortality after general surgery. We aimed to validate the RAI in predicting outcomes after hepatopancreatobiliary surgery.

METHODS

Associations of RAI, determined in 162 patients prior to undergoing hepatopancreatobiliary surgery, with prospectively collected 30-day post-operative outcomes were analyzed with multivariate logistic and linear regression.

RESULTS

Patients (age 62 ± 14, 51% female) had a median RAI of 7, range 0-25. With every unit increase in RAI, length of stay increased by 5% (95% CI: 2-7%), odds of ICU admission increased by 10% (0-20%), ICU length of stay increased by 21% (9-34%), and odds of discharge to a nursing facility increased by 8% (0-17%) (all P < 0.05). Particularly in patients who suffered a first post-operative complication, RAI was associated with additional complications (1.6 unit increase in Comprehensive Complication Index per unit increase in RAI, P = 0.002). In a direct comparison in a subset of 74 patients, RAI and the ACS-NSQIP Risk Calculator performed comparably in predicting outcomes.

CONCLUSION

While RAI and ACS-NSQIP Risk Calculator comparatively predicted short-term outcomes after HPB surgery, RAI has been specifically designed to identify frail patients who can potentially benefit from preoperative prehabilitation interventions.

Race and Health Disparities in Patient Refusal of Surgery for Early-Stage Pancreatic Cancer: An NCDB Cohort Study

AIM

To identify factors associated with refusal of surgery in patients with early-stage pancreatic cancer and estimate the impact of this decision on survival.

METHODS

Using the National Cancer Data Base, 26,358 patients were identified with potentially resectable tumors (pretreatment clinical stage I: T1 or T2 N0M0). Multivariate models were employed to identify factors predicting failure to undergo surgery and assess the impact on survival.

RESULTS

Of early-stage patients who were recommended surgery, 7.8% (N = 992) refused surgery for resectable early-stage pancreatic cancer. On multivariable analysis, patients were more likely to refuse surgery if they were older [odds ratio (OR) = 1.18; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16-1.19], female (OR = 1.52; 95% CI 1.33-1.73), African American (vs White, OR = 1.79; 95% CI 1.37-2.34), on Medicare/Medicaid (vs private, OR = 2.75; 95% CI 1.54-4.92) or had higher Charlson-Deyo score (2 vs 0, OR = 1.33; 95% CI 1.03-1.72). Patients were also significantly more likely to refuse surgery if they were seen at a center that is not an academic/research program (OR 1.9; 95% CI 1.6-2.27). Patients who were recommended surgery but refused had significantly worse survival than those with stage I who received surgery [median survival 6.8 vs 24 months, Cox hazard ratio (HR) 3.41; 95% CI 3.12-3.60].

CONCLUSIONS

The percentage of patients refusing surgery for operable early-stage pancreatic cancer has been decreasing in the last decade but remains a significant issue that affects survival. Disparities in refusal of surgery are independently associated with several variables including gender, race, and insurance. To mitigate national disparities in surgical care, future studies should focus on exploring potential reasons for refusal and developing communication interventions.