Reducing non-attendance in outpatient appointments: predictive model development, validation, and clinical assessment

Background

Non-attendance to scheduled hospital outpatient appointments may compromise healthcare resource planning, which ultimately reduces the quality of healthcare provision by delaying assessments and increasing waiting lists. We developed a model for predicting non-attendance and assessed the effectiveness of an intervention for reducing non-attendance based on the model.

Methods

The study was conducted in three stages: (1) model development, (2) prospective validation of the model with new data, and (3) a clinical assessment with a pilot study that included the model as a stratification tool to select the patients in the intervention. Candidate models were built using retrospective data from appointments scheduled between January 1, 2015, and November 30, 2018, in the dermatology and pneumology outpatient services of the Hospital Municipal de Badalona (Spain). The predictive capacity of the selected model was then validated prospectively with appointments scheduled between January 7 and February 8, 2019. The effectiveness of selective phone call reminders to patients at high risk of non-attendance according to the model was assessed on all consecutive patients with at least one appointment scheduled between February 25 and April 19, 2019. We finally conducted a pilot study in which all patients identified by the model as high risk of non-attendance were randomly assigned to either a control (no intervention) or intervention group, the last receiving phone call reminders one week before the appointment.

Results

Decision trees were selected for model development. Models were trained and selected using 33,329 appointments in the dermatology service and 21,050 in the pneumology service. Specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy for the prediction of non-attendance were 79.90%, 67.09%, and 73.49% for dermatology, and 71.38%, 57.84%, and 64.61% for pneumology outpatient services. The prospective validation showed a specificity of 78.34% (95%CI 71.07, 84.51) and balanced accuracy of 70.45% for dermatology; and 69.83% (95%CI 60.61, 78.00) for pneumology, respectively. The effectiveness of the intervention was assessed on 1,311 individuals identified as high risk of non-attendance according to the selected model. Overall, the intervention resulted in a significant reduction in the non-attendance rate to both the dermatology and pneumology services, with a decrease of 50.61% (p<0.001) and 39.33% (p=0.048), respectively.

Conclusions

The risk of non-attendance can be adequately estimated using patient information stored in medical records. The patient stratification according to the non-attendance risk allows prioritizing interventions, such as phone call reminders, to effectively reduce non-attendance rates.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-07865-y.

Access to Endovascular Treatment in Remote Areas

Background and Purpose—

Since demonstration of the benefit of endovascular treatment (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke patients with proximal arterial occlusion, stroke care systems need to be reorganized to deliver EVT in a timely and equitable way. We analyzed differences in the access to EVT by geographical areas in Catalonia, a territory with a highly decentralized stroke model.

Methods—

We studied 965 patients treated with EVT from a prospective multicenter population-based registry of stroke patients treated with reperfusion therapies in Catalonia, Spain (SONIIA). Three different areas were defined: (A) health areas primarily covered by Comprehensive Stroke Centers, (B) areas primarily covered by local stroke centers located less than hour away from a Comprehensive Stroke Center, and (C) areas primarily covered by local stroke centers located more than hour away from a Comprehensive Stroke Center. We compared the number of EVT×100 000 inhabitants/year and time from stroke onset to groin puncture between groups.

Results—

Baseline characteristics were similar between groups. Throughout the study period, there were significant differences in the population rates of EVT across geographical areas. EVT rates by 100 000 in 2015 were 10.5 in A area, 3.7 in B, and 2.7 in C. Time from symptom onset to groin puncture was 82 minutes longer in group B (312 minutes [245–435]) and 120 minutes longer in group C (350 minutes [284–408]) compared with group A (230 minutes [160–407]; P <0.001).

Conclusions—

Accessibility to EVT from remote areas is hampered by lower rate and longer time to treatment compared with areas covered directly by Comprehensive Stroke Centers.

Rapid diagnosis and treatment of TIA results in low rates of stroke, myocardial infarction and vascular death

INTRODUCTION

The 90-day risk of cerebral infarction in patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) is estimated at between 8% and 20%. There is little consensus as to which diagnostic strategy is most effective. This study evaluates the benefits of early transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) with carotid and transcranial Doppler ultrasound in patients with TIA.

METHODS

Prospective study of patients with TIA in an emergency department setting. Demographic data, vascular risk factors, and ABCD(2) score were analysed. TIA aetiology was classified according to TOAST criteria. All patients underwent early vascular studies (<72hours), including TTE, carotid ultrasound, and transcranial Doppler. Primary endpoints were recurrence of stroke or TIA, myocardial infarction (MI), or vascular death during the first year.

RESULTS

We evaluated 92 patients enrolled over 24 months. Mean age was 68.3±13 years and 61% were male. The mean ABCD(2) score was 3 points (≥5 in 30%). The distribution of TIA subtypes was as follows: 12% large-artery atherosclerosis; 30% cardioembolism; 10% small-vessel occlusion; 40% undetermined cause; and 8% rare causes. Findings from the early TTE led to a change in treatment strategy in 6 patients (6.5%) who displayed normal physical examination and ECG findings. At one year of follow-up, 3 patients had experienced stroke (3.2%) and 1 patient experienced MI (1%); no vascular deaths were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

In our TIA patients, early vascular study and detecting patients with silent cardiomyopathy may have contributed to the low rate of vascular disease recurrence.

EDUCA study: Psychometric properties of the Spanish version of the Zarit Caregiver Burden Scale

OBJECTIVES

The Zarit Caregiver Burden Scale, translated and validated into Spanish, is sensitive to the application of a Psychoeducational Intervention Program (PIP) for the prevention and reduction of burden in caregivers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients (EDUCA study). The data obtained in EDUCA was used to reanalyse its psychometric properties and the cut-off points of the Zarit scale.

METHODS

The scale was administered to 115 caregivers of patients with AD who were randomised to receive a PIP or standard care for four months. Internal reliability and a factorial analysis of principal components were assessed, and the impact of PIP on each of the subscales was evaluated. A cut-off point was defined for the Zarit scale to identify the caregivers most sensitive to receiving a PIP.

RESULTS

A good internal reliability (Cronbach alpha coefficient of 0.92) was obtained, with three principal components (burden, competency and dependence) explaining 54.75% of the variance. The application of PIP showed statistically significant differences versus standard care for the dependence subscale (p = 0.0082) (p = 0.062 for the burden scale). The Zarit scale cut-off points which combine better sensitivity and specificity were 56/57 and 59/60, for the 5/6 and 6/7 cut-off points of the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-28) scale, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms the good psychometric properties of the Zarit scale found in previous studies. The dependence component appeared to be most influenced by the application of a PIP in the clinical trial. Caregivers with a Zarit scale score of 60 or more benefit most from the PIP.

Diagnostic potential of acoustic startle reflex, acoustic blink reflex, and electro-oculography in progressive supranuclear palsy: a prospective study

We carried out a prospective study to analyze the diagnostic potential of acoustic startle reflex (ASR), acoustic blink reflex (ABR) and electro-oculography (EOG) in early stages of atypical parkinsonian syndrome. The study was carried out in a consecutive series of 41 patients clinically diagnosed as atypical parkinsonism (mean time from first symptoms of 38 months and follow-up of 26 months). The three procedures were carried out immediately after the first clinical evaluation. ASR and ABR were elicited by auditory stimuli while the patient was attending to a simple reaction time task. Outcome measures were: ASR (absence/presence, latency), ABR (absence/presence, latency) and EOG (suggestive/not suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy [PSP]). Final clinical diagnosis was carried out by two neurologists blind to the neurophysiological results. A study of diagnostic sensitivity and odds ratio (OR) calculation for the PSP diagnosis was carried out. Neurophysiological examination showed the following sensitivity/specificity (%) for the diagnosis of PSP: ASR: 100/89; ABR 85/89; EOG 100/72. OR values were: ASR: 0.011; ABR: 0.037; EOG: 0.038. The three tests taken simultaneously showed a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 95%. The three neurophysiological tests investigated provided sensitive and specific measures with predictor value in early stages of atypical parkinsonian syndrome.

[Extrapyramidal effects of antipsychotic drugs]

Conventional antipsychotics have been used for many years to treat psychiatric and neurological disorders. Nevertheless, their effectiveness is often associated with a high incidence of side effects, especially extrapyramidal ones (EPS). With the entrance of the socalled atypical neuroleptics, this risk has been considerably, although not completely, reduced. Thus, clinicians should have good knowledge about the pharmacological characteristics of the newer anti-psychotics and their associated risk of worsening or developing motor disturbances. This article reviews these drugs, their pharmacological characteristics as well as the phenomenology of the extrapyramidal syndromes ans treatment of the EPS recommended.

Motor circuitry re-organization after pallidotomy in Parkinson disease: a neurophysiological study of the bereitschaftspotential, contingent negative variation, and N30

The aim of the study was to evaluate the reorganization changes in the motor circuitry of the basal ganglia following unilateral posteroventral pallidotomy in Parkinson disease (PD) patients using neurophysiological paradigms. Eight advanced PD patients received a neurophysiological battery 2 months prior and 6 months after unilateral pallidotomy. Examinations were all performed in the practically defined "off" situation. Bereitschaftspotential (BP) and N30 were recorded for each hand alternately. Contingent negative variation (CNV) was obtained using a visual Go/no-Go paradigm. ANOVAs (electrode position; surgery) were applied for BP and CNV results. N30 data were analyzed using Wilcoxon matched-pair tests. A significant increase in amplitude of the late component (NS') of the BP was evidenced with patient performing with the hand contralateral to pallidotomy. No significant amplitude differences were found in CNV after surgery in any lead, or in any of the time windows tested. A trend toward significance was observed corresponding to a postsurgical numerical increase in amplitude of the N30 peak in the hand contralateral to pallidotomy. These results suggest that neurophysiological changes after pallidotomy are mainly in the last stages of movement preparation and execution.

[Weight gain after functional surgery for Parkinsons disease]

BACKGROUND

The origin of weight gain after functional surgery for Parkinson's disease (PD) is incompletely known. We have done a prospective study to determine the possible causes of weight gain after pallidal and subthalamic surgery.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Twenty-seven patients were studied (9 unilateral pallidotomy, 9 bilateral deep brain stimulation (DBS) of palidum, and 9 bilateral DBS of suthalamic nucleus) with a follow-up of 12 months. The relationship between weight gain and changes in motor situation, levodopa dosage, dyskinesias, dysphagia and mood state were analyzed. The patients filled a questionnaire about the severity and etiology of weight gain.

RESULTS

Weight gain was noted in 26 patients (mean of 4.7 kg at 12 months). It was found a significant correlation between weight gain and improvement of dyskinesias (AIMS) (r = 0.461; p = 0.023), the scores of the UPDRS part III, (r = 0.479; p = 0.028), and a significant inverse correlation with the pre-operative weight of the patient (r = 0.399; p = 0.050). Weight gain was most pronounced with bilateral than unilateral pallidal surgery (p = 0.021). The majority of patients referred weight gain as an slight adverse event and secondary to the improvement of dyskinesias.

CONCLUSION

Functional surgery for PD, independently of the surgical target, provokes weight gain which is benign in the majority of cases. Reduction of energy expenditure with respect to the pre-operative situation would be the responsible of that phenomenon.

Transcranial magnetic stimulation of the cerebellum in essential tremor: a controlled study

BACKGROUND

Growing evidence implicates an overactivity of the cerebellum in the pathophysiology of essential tremor. In a small series of patients, we explored the acute effects and therapeutic possibilities of low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) of the cerebellum in patients with essential tremor in a double-blind, crossover, placebo-controlled design.

METHODS

Ten patients with essential tremor underwent an active and a sham rTMS session, at a 1-week interval. The rTMS was performed with a focal double 70-mm butterfly coil (maximum peak field of 2.2 T) applied 2 cm below the inion. Each session consisted of 30 trains of 10-second duration separated by 30-second pauses, at 100% of the maximum output intensity and at 1-Hz frequency. Major evaluation outcomes were the score on the Tremor Clinical Rating Scale and accelerometric recordings obtained before (-5 minutes), immediately after (+5 minutes), and 1 hour after (+60 minutes) each rTMS session. Both clinical and accelerometric measurements were obtained by a blinded neurologist.

RESULTS

On the +5-minute assessment, active rTMS produced a notable tremor improvement compared with sham rTMS, as evidenced by a significant reduction in scores on the clinical rating scale and accelerometric values. At +60 minutes, no clinical or accelerometric benefit was evidenced. No adverse effects of rTMS were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

This exploratory study of the potential therapeutic properties of rTMS on essential tremor showed an acute antitremor effect. Further investigation in search of a more lasting benefit is warranted.

Relationship between cerebral perfusion in frontal-limbic-basal ganglia circuits and neuropsychologic impairment in patients with subclinical hepatic encephalopathy

Early detection of neuropsychologic impairment in cirrhotic patients with subclinical hepatic encephalopathy (SHE) is important for their prognosis and quality of life. Abnormal MRI and MR spectroscopy (MRS) findings have been proposed as early markers of brain damage in these patients, but the role of functional neuroimaging in this field still has to be defined. In this study, the SPECT perfusion pattern in patients with SHE was investigated, and the relationship between regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF) and the MRI, MRS, neuropsychologic evaluation and biochemical data of these patients was assessed.

METHODS

Data were obtained from 13 cirrhotic patients with SHE and 13 age-matched healthy volunteers. Fasting venous blood ammonia and manganese sampling and a battery of standardized neuropsychologic tests related to basal ganglia function and sensitive to the effects of liver disease were all performed on the same day. MRI and 99mTc-hexamethyl propyleneamine oxime SPECT were performed within 2 wk.

RESULTS

A pattern of decreased prefrontal rCBF was found in patients with SHE compared with healthy volunteers. Basal ganglia and mesial temporal rCBF correlated inversely with performance on motor tasks involving speed (Purdue pegboard test) and frontal premotor function (Luria graphic alternances and Stroop tests). Thalamic rCBF correlated positively with T1-weighted MRI signal hyperintensity in the globus pallidus and with abnormal MRS findings. Neither the MRI signal intensity of the globus pallidus nor MRS correlated with neuropsychologic test results.

CONCLUSION

Cirrhotic patients with SHE show a SPECT pattern of impaired prefrontal perfusion that does not seem to account for their neuropsychologic deficits. On the other hand, perfusion in some parts of the limbic system and limbic-connected brain regions, such as the striatum and the mesial temporal regions, increased with neuropsychologic impairment. These findings suggest that brain SPECT may be more sensitive than MRI in delineating cirrhotic patients requiring in-depth clinical testing to reveal basal ganglia-related neuropsychologic alterations.

Decerebrate-like posturing with mechanical ventilation in brain death

Complex spinal cord, spontaneous, or upper limb reflexes are rarely observed in brain death. The authors describe two brain-dead heart-beating cadavers (out of 400 consecutive cases in their hospital in the past 9 years) that, immediately after brain-death diagnosis, exhibited symmetric upper limb movements resembling decerebrate posture that were triggered by each mechanical pulmonary insufflation, and also by superficial pressure and noxious stimuli applied to the arms, thorax, or abdomen. These movements persisted until disconnection from mechanical ventilation.