Dynamics of magnetization at infinite temperature in a Heisenberg spin chain

Understanding universal aspects of quantum dynamics is an unresolved problem in statistical mechanics. In particular, the spin dynamics of the one-dimensional Heisenberg model were conjectured as to belong to the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) universality class based on the scaling of the infinite-temperature spin-spin correlation function. In a chain of 46 superconducting qubits, we studied the probability distribution of the magnetization transferred across the chain's center, [Formula: see text]. The first two moments of [Formula: see text] show superdiffusive behavior, a hallmark of KPZ universality. However, the third and fourth moments ruled out the KPZ conjecture and allow for evaluating other theories. Our results highlight the importance of studying higher moments in determining dynamic universality classes and provide insights into universal behavior in quantum systems.

Insights into oscillator network dynamics using a phase-isostable framework

Networks of coupled nonlinear oscillators can display a wide range of emergent behaviors under the variation of the strength of the coupling. Network equations for pairs of coupled oscillators where the dynamics of each node is described by the evolution of its phase and slowest decaying isostable coordinate have previously been shown to capture bifurcations and dynamics of the network, which cannot be explained through standard phase reduction. An alternative framework using isostable coordinates to obtain higher-order phase reductions has also demonstrated a similar descriptive ability for two oscillators. In this work, we consider the phase-isostable network equations for an arbitrary but finite number of identical coupled oscillators, obtaining conditions required for the stability of phase-locked states including synchrony. For the mean-field complex Ginzburg-Landau equation where the solutions of the full system are known, we compare the accuracy of the phase-isostable network equations and higher-order phase reductions in capturing bifurcations of phase-locked states. We find the former to be the more accurate and, therefore, employ this to investigate the dynamics of globally linearly coupled networks of Morris-Lecar neuron models (both two and many nodes). We observe qualitative correspondence between results from numerical simulations of the full system and the phase-isostable description demonstrating that in both small and large networks, the phase-isostable framework is able to capture dynamics that the first-order phase description cannot.

Reporting of paediatric osteoporotic vertebral fractures in Duchenne muscular dystrophy and potential impact on clinical management: the need for standardised and structured reporting

BACKGROUND

In boys with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), initiation of bisphosphonate is recommended upon identification of moderate or severe vertebral fractures, even if asymptomatic. Clear radiological reporting is important for consistency of clinical interpretation and management.

OBJECTIVES

To audit radiology reports of spine imaging for vertebral fracture assessment in DMD, and assess potential impact on diagnosis and management.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Lateral thoracolumbar spine imaging (71 lateral spine radiographs and 13 lateral dual energy absorptiometry spine image) in 84 boys with DMD performed across two centres. Anonymised radiology reports by paediatric radiologists were circulated to two neuromuscular clinicians and two endocrinologists. Clinicians determined if there was vertebral fracture, no vertebral fracture, or unclear interpretation. Endocrinologists also determined if bisphosphonate was indicated. A single observer (a clinician with expertise in vertebral fracture assessment) performed vertebral fracture assessment in 37 images and re-reported using a structured format. Structured reports were re-circulated to the four clinicians to re-evaluate the degree of concordance in clinical diagnosis of vertebral fracture and treatment decisions with bisphosphonate.

RESULTS

The term "fracture" was used in 25/84 (30%) radiology reports and only in 8/43 (19%) with description of vertebral body abnormalities. Fracture grading was included in 7/43 (16%) radiology reports. Diagnostic concordance by the clinicians was noted in 36/84 (43%). Unclear interpretation was noted in 22% to 51% based on radiology reports. No unclear interpretation was noted with structured reports. Complete diagnostic (37/37, 100%) and treatment (37/37, 100%) concordance was noted with the structured reports, whereas complete diagnostic and treatment concordance was noted in only 16/37 (43%) and 17/37 (46%) of the radiology reports, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Only a third of radiology reports of spine imaging in DMD explicitly used the terminology "fracture". Grading was only noted in a small percentage. Variability in diagnostic interpretation by clinicians may lead to differing management plans. As identification of vertebral fracture is a trigger for treatment, developing reporting guidelines for paediatric vertebral fracture assessment will improve care. A structured template should be introduced for radiological reporting of paediatric vertebral fracture assessment.

Impact of modified-release opioid use on clinical outcomes following total hip and knee arthroplasty: a propensity score-matched cohort study

Modified-release opioids are often prescribed for the management of moderate to severe acute pain following total hip and knee arthroplasty, despite recommendations against their use due to increasing concerns regarding harm. The primary objective of this multicentre study was to examine the impact of modified-release opioid use on the incidence of opioid-related adverse events compared with immediate-release opioid use, among adult inpatients following total hip or knee arthroplasty. Data for total hip and knee arthroplasty inpatients receiving an opioid analgesic for postoperative analgesia during hospitalisation were collected from electronic medical records of three tertiary metropolitan hospitals in Australia. The primary outcome was the incidence of opioid-related adverse events during hospital admission. Patients who received modified with or without immediate-release opioids were matched to those receiving immediate-release opioids only (1:1) using nearest neighbour propensity score matching with patient and clinical characteristics as covariates. This included total opioid dose received. In the matched cohorts, patients given modified-release opioids (n = 347) experienced a higher incidence of opioid-related adverse events overall, compared with those given immediate-release opioids only (20.5%, 71/347 vs. 12.7%, 44/347; difference in proportions 7.8% [95%CI 2.3-13.3%]). Modified-release opioid use was associated with an increased risk of harm when used for acute pain during hospitalisation after total hip or knee arthroplasty.

Non-Abelian braiding of graph vertices in a superconducting processor

Indistinguishability of particles is a fundamental principle of quantum mechanics¹. For all elementary and quasiparticles observed to date-including fermions, bosons and Abelian anyons-this principle guarantees that the braiding of identical particles leaves the system unchanged^2,3. However, in two spatial dimensions, an intriguing possibility exists: braiding of non-Abelian anyons causes rotations in a space of topologically degenerate wavefunctions^4-8. Hence, it can change the observables of the system without violating the principle of indistinguishability. Despite the well-developed mathematical description of non-Abelian anyons and numerous theoretical proposals^9-22, the experimental observation of their exchange statistics has remained elusive for decades. Controllable many-body quantum states generated on quantum processors offer another path for exploring these fundamental phenomena. Whereas efforts on conventional solid-state platforms typically involve Hamiltonian dynamics of quasiparticles, superconducting quantum processors allow for directly manipulating the many-body wavefunction by means of unitary gates. Building on predictions that stabilizer codes can host projective non-Abelian Ising anyons^9,10, we implement a generalized stabilizer code and unitary protocol²³ to create and braid them. This allows us to experimentally verify the fusion rules of the anyons and braid them to realize their statistics. We then study the prospect of using the anyons for quantum computation and use braiding to create an entangled state of anyons encoding three logical qubits. Our work provides new insights about non-Abelian braiding and, through the future inclusion of error correction to achieve topological protection, could open a path towards fault-tolerant quantum computing.

Post-processed data and graphical tools for a CONUS-wide eddy flux evapotranspiration dataset

Large sample datasets of in situ evapotranspiration (ET) measurements with well documented data provenance and quality assurance are critical for water management and many fields of earth science research. We present a post-processed ET oriented dataset at daily and monthly timesteps, from 161 stations, including 148 eddy covariance flux towers, that were chosen based on their data quality from nearly 350 stations across the contiguous United States. In addition to ET, the data includes energy and heat fluxes, meteorological measurements, and reference ET downloaded from gridMET for each flux station. Data processing techniques were conducted in a reproducible manner using open-source software. Most data initially came from the public AmeriFlux network, however, several different networks (e.g., the USDA-Agricultural Research Service) and university partners provided data that was not yet public. Initial half-hourly energy balance data were gap-filled and aggregated to daily frequency, and turbulent fluxes were corrected for energy balance closure error using the FLUXNET2015/ONEFlux energy balance ratio approach. Metadata, diagnostics of energy balance, and interactive graphs of time series data are included for each station. Although the dataset was developed primarily to benchmark satellite-based remote sensing ET models of the OpenET initiative, there are many other potential uses, such as validation for a range of regional hydrologic and atmospheric models.

Toxicity and human health assessment of an alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) synthetic kerosene developed under an international agreement with Sweden

Alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) Synthetic Kerosene with Aromatics (SKA) fuels are produced by dehydration and refining of alcohol feed stocks. ATJ SKA fuel known as SB-8 was developed by Swedish Biofuels as a cooperative agreement between Sweden and AFRL/RQTF. SB-8 including standard additives was tested in a 90-day toxicity study with male and female Fischer 344 rats exposed to 0, 200, 700, or 2000 mg/m³ fuel in an aerosol/vapor mixture for 6 hr/day, 5 days/week. Aerosols represented 0.04 and 0.84% average fuel concentration in 700 or 2000 mg/m³ exposure groups. Examination of vaginal cytology and sperm parameters found no marked changes in reproductive health. Neurobehavioral effects were increased rearing activity (motor activity) and significantly decreased grooming (functional observational battery) in 2000 mg/m³ female rats. Hematological changes were limited to elevated platelet counts in 2000 mg/m³ exposed males. Minimal focal alveolar epithelial hyperplasia with increased number of alveolar macrophages was noted in some 2000 mg/m³ males and one female rat. Additional rats tested for genotoxicity by micronucleus (MN) formation did not detect bone marrow cell toxicity or alterations in number of MN; SB-8 was not clastogenic. Inhalation results were similar to effects reported for JP-8. Both JP-8 and SB fuels were moderately irritating under occlusive wrapped conditions but slightly irritating under semi-occlusion. Exposure to SB-8, alone or as 50:50 blend with petroleum-derived JP-8, is not likely to enhance adverse human health risks in the military workplace.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

Intensive specialists’ consultation combined with antibiotic stewardship programmes

Background

Antibiotic Stewardship Programmes (ASP) combine measures to optimise antibiotic (AB) therapies and ensure high AB prescription quality. Studies have shown that ASP in combination with an infectious disease (ID) consultation, can significantly improve the rational use of AB. This study aims to improve the quality of care and treatment of ID patients after implementing ASP activities, with or without ID consultation.

Methods

This is a study protocol of a prospective, two-arm, clustered intervention study with before-after-analyses conducted in ten hospitals (excl. university hospitals) in Germany over a period of three years. The intervention includes the implementation of ASP, with or without consultation by an ID specialist. We will gather information on ID inpatients (diagnosed with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) N = 335 and Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB) N = 110) aged >18 years. We will compare patient-related outcomes (changes in SAB score as an indicator of difficult-to-treat infections, and CAP score as an indicator of common infections), as well as the quality and quantity of AB prescriptions. Secondary endpoints comprise quality and quantity of AB prescriptions as well as hospital-related and health economic outcomes. The statistical analysis includes a multilevel analysis. In addition, we will conduct a process evaluation, using interviews to analyse the process and the feasibility of the interventions.

Results

The baseline-data collection process started in April 2021. We will provide data for the broader ID and public health research communities, and publish the results in international journals to contribute to the ongoing global effort addressing AB resistance.

Conclusions

We highlight the purview, in terms of the multicentre, comprehensive interventions and the mixed-method approach.

Key messages

The study results will shed light on whether ASP+ID consultation improves AB prescription quality. We expect enhanced treatment results of ID patients in the public health sector.

Pathology of grey seals Halichoerus grypus in southwest England including pups in early rehabilitation

Few investigations have examined the pathology of grey seals Halichoerus grypus in southwest England, where it is the most abundant marine mammal. Here, primary pathological findings are presented from 107 post-mortem examinations of grey seals in southwest England between 2013 and 2020. Over three-quarters were pups in their first year of life; the origins of the carcasses reflected the known breeding season and breeding sites of grey seals in the region. Trauma was the most common primary pathological finding (n = 49), followed by infectious disease (n = 36). Traumatic findings included fisheries-related trauma (n = 15), other acute physical traumas (n = 15) and other chronic traumas (n = 19). Infectious disease findings included respiratory infections (n = 21) and gastrointestinal infections (n = 9). There was no difference in the primary pathological findings for seals found dead or that died or were euthanased on the day they were found compared to those dying in early rehabilitation, suggesting that it is appropriate to include findings from seals in early rehabilitation in studies of wild grey seal pathology. Seals that had not been frozen before post-mortem examination were nearly twice as likely to have a primary pathological finding of infectious disease or trauma than those that had been frozen, highlighting the need, wherever possible, to avoid freezing seals prior to post-mortem examination.

Improving the peri-operative pathway of people with diabetes undergoing elective surgery: the IP3D project

AIM

To determine whether outcomes for people with diabetes undergoing elective surgery improve following the introduction of innovations in the peri-operative care pathway.

METHODS

Following a baseline audit of 185 people with diabetes listed for elective surgery (July to December 2017) with a length of stay > 24 hours, a number of changes in practice were implemented. These included dissemination of a 'diabetes peri-operative passport' to participants preoperatively, formation of a diabetes surgery working group, recruitment of surgical diabetes champions and the roll-out of surgical diabetes study days. Crucial was recruitment of a diabetes peri-operative nurse, whose role included engaging and educating others and supporting individuals throughout their peri-operative diabetes care. Records of 166 individuals listed for surgery during the implementation period (July to December 2018) were then audited using the same methodology.

RESULTS

The availability of a recent HbA_1c measurement significantly increased (63% vs 92%; P ≤ 0.001). The mean HbA_1c of those seen for optimizations by the diabetes peri-operative nurse significantly decreased [84 mmol/mol (9.8%) vs 62 mmol/mol (7.8%); P ≤ 0.001]. Recurrent hypoglycaemia significantly decreased (7.0% vs 0.6%; P = 0.002) and the mean number of hyperglycaemic events in people experiencing hyperglycaemia almost halved (3.0 vs 1.7; P=0.007). The mean length of hospital stay significantly decreased (4.8 vs 3.3 days; P=0.001) and, crucially, 30-day readmissions did not increase (12% vs 9%; P=0.307). Postoperative complications significantly decreased (28% vs 16%; P=0.008), including a composite of dysglycaemic complications, poor wound healing, wound infection and other infections (12% vs 5.4%; P=0.023).

CONCLUSION

The new pathway improved important peri-operative outcomes for people with diabetes undergoing elective surgery with the potential for cost savings. These findings could have important implications for peri-operative care on a wider scale.

A PAX-8-positive Female Urethra Adenocarcinoma: A Case Report with Diagnostic Challenges in Intestinal- Type Adenocarcinoma

Introduction/Objective

Female urethra adenocarcinoma (FUA) in women is extremely rare, representing 0.02% of all women’s cancers and <1% of cancers in the female genitourinary tract. Intestinal-type primary adenocarcinoma of the urethra is even rarer, with only one documented case to our knowledge. Furthermore, PAX-8 immunoexpression in this entity has not been reported. Here we report an intestinal-type primary urethral adenocarcinoma that developed from inflammation-related metaplasia in urethral diverticulum with positive PAX-8 staining.

Methods

Clinical chart review and microscopic examination on the lung, urethral, and vaginal wall biopsies and immunohistochemistry were performed.

Results

A 64-year-old female with a 32-pack-year history of tobacco use was found to have multiple pulmonary nodules on imaging. The tumor cells were positive for CK7, CK20, SAT-B2, and PAX-8 and negative for TTF- 1/Napsin and ER. Positive PAX-8 immunoexpression raised the possibility of a gynecologic/Mullerian primary.

Subsequent colonoscopy and imaging showed no evidence of colorectal or uterine tumors. The patient began having hematuria with intermittent urinary retention, and cystoscopy showed a 4 x 3 cm mass involving bladder neck circumferentially and invading into the vaginal wall. Urethral and vaginal tumor biopsies were performed. Morphologic examination of the urethral biopsy demonstrated intestinal metaplasia of squamous mucosa with transition from a mature to dysplastic phenotype where the adenocarcinoma originated from. The vaginal wall biopsy showed the same morphology. The urethral and vaginal wall biopsies showed a similar immunophenotype as the pulmonary nodule biopsy.

Conclusion

FUA is a rare, aggressive tumor that occurs in Skene’s glands. In our current case, however, it appeared to arise from inflammation-related metaplasia in urethral diverticulum. Another important finding of the case is the positive PAX-8 expression. Therefore in PAX-8 positive tumors, primary adenocarcinoma of lower urinary tract should be in the differential, along with gynecologic/Mullerian tumors.

0438 Automatic Nighttime Agitation and Sleep Disruption Detection Using a Wearable Ankle Device and Machine Learning

Introduction

Nighttime agitation behavior such as wandering and restlessness during awake and sleep in people with Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is expensive to manage and adversely affects sleep. Nighttime agitation is mostly noted by subjective caregiver reports. An automated process for this assessment would improve clinical management. Here we report on the RestEaZeTM system that uses an ankle band and machine learning to automatically classify sleep status and nighttime agitation behaviors in older adults with AD.

Methods

We collected data on 7 adults (mean: 81 years, SD: 10.6) with AD. They wore the RestEaZeTM ankle band with a 3-axis accelerometer, a 3-axis gyroscope, and three textile capacitive sensors. A trained Research Assistant (RA) continuously observed for wandering, restlessness, wake, and sleep between 5pm and 7am using the Cohen Mansfield Agitation Inventory (CMAI). We merged, and band-pass filtered the data and divided it into 10-second non-overlapping windows. CMAI labels and time-series features (scaled using StandardScaler) extracted from the RestEaZeTM data were used to train a Random Forest binary classifier. The significant features were extracted based on the impact on the p-value for the classifier. We used the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to balance the dataset and performed 5-fold cross-validation with a 67-33 train-test split.

Results

We report the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Area-under-the Curve (AUC) for the ROC curve for the classifiers: (1) Sleep/Awake: sensitivity=0.95, specificity=0.87, accuracy=0.92, AUC=0.97; (2) Wandering/Non-Wandering: sensitivity=0.85, specificity=0.99, accuracy=0.98, AUC=0.99; and (3) Restless/Non-Restless: sensitivity=0.84, specificity=0.84, accuracy=0.84, AUC=0.92. The significant features were related to the intensity of movements.

Conclusion

Our preliminary results show the feasibility of using RestEaZeTM for quantitatively measuring nighttime agitation. These can provide clinically useful objective measures of agitation that can be automatically transmitted to clinical or research records with minimal staff time requirements.

Support

The authors acknowledge the funding support from the National Institute on Aging under award R01AG051588 and Arbor Pharmaceuticals for support for Horizant and the matching placebo.

Stability Studies with Patulin

The chemical stability of patulin in a variety of foods and feeds in various solvents and in the presence of SO2 in water was investigated spectrophotometrically. Patulin was found to be completely stable in apple juice and dry corn; however, in wet corn, Durham wheat, and sorghum and in the presence of SO2 in water, patulin was observed to be unstable. Patulin was completely stable over long periods of time in chloroform, benzene, and methylene chloride, but slow decomposition was noted in methanol and water.

Determination of Selenium in Feeds and Premixes: Collaborative Study

A total of 17 laboratories participated in a collaborative study for the determination of selenium in feeds and premixes using either a fluorometric or a continuous hydride generation atomic absorption (HGAA) method. Each collaborator analyzed 16 blind duplicate samples of feed and premixes from various feed manufacturers. The amount of Se in these materials ranged from 0.2 to 5500 μg/g. Six laboratories used only the fluorometric procedure, 8 laboratories used only the hydride generation atomic absorption procedure, and 3 laboratories used both procedures. One laboratory in the fluorometric study and 3 laboratories in the HGAA study were initially excluded because of invalid data. Poor agreement between the blind duplicates indicated probable sample interchange and/or dilution error. The data from 8 laboratories were submitted to statistical analysis, including data from 2 laboratories participating in both studies. The repeatability standard deviation (RSDr) for samples analyzed by the fluorometric procedure ranged from 5.9 to 33%, and the reproducibility standard deviation (RSDR) ranged from 12 to 33%. RSDf for samples analyzed by HGAA ranged from 2.8 to 18%, and RSDR ranged from 4.0 to 36%. Both fluorometric and continuous hydride generation atomic absorption methods for the determination of Se in feeds and premixes have been adopted first action by AOAC INTERNATIONAL.

Validation of Three Rapid Screening Methods for Detection of Verotoxin-Producing Escherichia coli in Foods: Interlaboratory Study

An interlaboratory study was conducted for the validation of 3 methods for the detection of all verotoxin-producing Escherichia coli (VTEC) in foods. The methods were a multi-analyte 1-step lateral flow immunoassay (LFIA) for detection of E. coli O157 and verotoxin (VT); an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay targeted against VT1, VT2, and VT2c (VT-ELISA); and a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method for detection of VT genes (VT-PCR). Aliquots (25 g or 25 mL) of 4 food types (raw minced [ground] beef, unpasteurized milk, unpasteurized apple juice [cider], and salami) were individually inoculated with low numbers (<9 to 375 cells/25 g) of 6 test strains of E. coli (serogroups O26, O103, O111, O145, and O157) with differing VT-producing capabilities. Five replicates for each test strain and 5 uninoculated samples were prepared for each food type. Fourteen participating laboratories analyzed samples using the LFIA, 9 analyzed the samples by ELISA, and 9 by PCR. The LFIA for O157 and VT had a specificity (correct identification of negative samples) of 92 and 94%, respectively, and a sensitivity (correct identification of positive samples) of 94 and 55%, respectively. The VT-ELISA and VT-PCR

Identification of the Identical Human Mutation in ACVR1 in 2 Cats With Fibrodysplasia Ossificans Progressiva

Two domestic shorthair cats, 1 intact female and 1 intact male, presented with progressive limb lameness and digital deformities at 4 and 6 months of age. Stiffness and swelling of the distal thoracic and pelvic limb joints progressed to involve hip and shoulder joints, resulting in reduced mobility. Radiographs in both cats and computed tomography of the male cat revealed ankylosing, polyarticular deposits of extracortical heterotopic bone spanning multiple axial and appendicular joints, extending into adjacent musculotendinous tissues. All findings supported fibrodysplasia ossificans progressiva (FOP), a disorder characterized by toe malformations and progressive heterotopic ossification in humans. In both cats, molecular analyses revealed the same heterozygous mutation in the activin A receptor type I (ACVR1) gene that occurs in humans with FOP. Several reports of heterotopic ossification in cats exist, but this is the first one to identify clinical FOP in 2 cats with the identical mutation that occurs in >95% of humans with FOP.

A Dynamic Three-Dimensional Air Pollution Exposure Model for Hong Kong

INTRODUCTION

High-density high-rise cities have become a more prominent feature globally. Air quality is a significant public health risk in many of these cities. There is a need to better understand the extent to which vertical variation in air pollution and population mobility in such cities affect exposure and exposure-response relationships in epidemiological studies.

METHODS

We used a novel strategy to execute a staged model development that incorporated horizontal and vertical pollutant dispersion, building infiltration, and population mobility patterns in estimating traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) exposures in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HK SAR).

Two street-level spatial monitoring campaigns were undertaken to facilitate the creation of a two-dimensional land-use regression (LUR) model. A network of approximately 100 passive nitric oxide-nitrogen dioxide (NO-NO2) monitors was deployed for two-week periods during the cool and warm seasons. Sampling locations were selected based on population and road network density with a range of physical and geographical characteristics represented. Eight sets of portable monitors for black carbon (BC) and particulate matter ≤2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) were rotated so as to be deployed at 80 locations for a 24-hour period. Land-use, geographical, and emissions layers were combined with the spatial monitoring campaign results to create spatiotemporal exposure models.

Vertical air pollution monitoring was carried out at six strategic locations for two weeks in the warm season and two weeks in the cool season. Continuous measurements were carried out at four different heights of a residential building and on both sides of a street canyon. The heights ranged from as close to street level as practically possible up to a maximum of 50 meters (i.e., below the 20th floor). Paired indoor monitoring was included to allow the calculation of infiltration coefficients to feed into the dynamic component of the exposure model.

The final phase of model development addressed population mobility. A population-representative travel behavior survey (n = 89,358) was used to produce the dynamic component of the model, with time-weighted exposure estimates split between home and work or school. Transport microenvironment exposures were taken from published literature. Time-activity exposure estimates were split by age, sex, and employment status.

Development of the exposure model in distinct packages allowed the application of a staged approach to an existing cohort data set. Mortality risk estimates for an elderly cohort of 66,000 Hong Kong residents were calculated using increasing exposure model complexity.

RESULTS

The street-level (2-dimensional [2D]) LUR modeling captured important spatial parameters and represented spatial patterns of air quality in Hong Kong that were consistent with the literature. Higher concentrations of gaseous pollutants were centered in Kowloon and the northern region of Hong Kong Island. PM2.5 and BC predictions exhibited a north-south/west-east gradient, with higher concentrations in the northwest due to regional transport of particulate pollutants from Mainland China. While the degree of explained variance of the models was in line with other LUR modeling efforts in Asia, R2 values ranged from 0.46 (NO2) to 0.59 (PM2.5).

Exponential decay rates (k) were calculated at each monitoring location. While it was clear that k values were higher during the warm season than the cool season, no robust patterns were identified relating to the canyon physical parameters. Therefore, a single decay rate was used for each pollutant across the whole region for derivation of the 3-dimensional (3D) exposure layer (k = 0.004 and 0.012 for PM2.5 and BC, respectively). An alternative decay profile that capped decay at 20 meters above street level was proposed and evaluated. The electrochemical sensors deployed during the canyon campaigns did not exhibit the degree of interunit precision necessary to detect vertical variations in gaseous pollutants, and these results were excluded from the study.

We found that values of the median infiltration efficiencies (Finf) for both BC and PM2.5 were especially high during the cool season (91%). Finf values were somewhat lower during the warm season (81% and 88% for PM2.5 and BC, respectively), and we found a significant negative correlation between air conditioning use and Finf. The Finf for a mechanically ventilated office building was 45% and 40% during the cool and warm seasons, respectively.

Dynamic exposure estimates were compared against home outdoor estimates. As expected, the addition of an indoor component decreased time-weighted exposure estimates, which were balanced out to some extent by the inclusion of transport microenvironments. Overall, mean time-weighted exposures for the full dynamic model were around 20% lower than home outdoor estimates.

Higher levels of exposures were found with working adults and students than for those neither in work nor study. This was due to the increased mobility of people going to work or school. The exposures to PM2.5, BC, and NO2 were, respectively, 13%, 39%, and 14% higher for people who were under age 18, compared with people who were 65 or older. Exposure estimates for the female population were approximately 4% lower.

The availability of an existing cohort data set of elderly Hong Kong residents (n = 66,820) facilitated the calculation and comparison of mortality risk estimates for the different exposure models.

Overall, results indicated that the application of exposure estimates that incorporated infiltration, vertical, and to a lesser extent, dynamic components resulted in higher hazard ratios (HRs) than the standard street-level model and increased the number of significant associations with all-natural-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from the study provided the first evidence that considering air pollution exposure in a dynamic 3D landscape would benefit epidemiological studies. Higher HRs and a greater number of significant associations were found between mortality and pollutant exposures that would not have been found had standard 2D exposure models been used. Dynamic models can also identify differential exposures between population subtypes (e.g., students and working adults; those neither in work nor study).

Improved urban building design appears to be stimulating the dispersion of local TRAP in street canyons. Conversely, Finf values found in naturally ventilated buildings were high, and residences provided little protection from ambient air pollution.

We have demonstrated that the creation of effective advanced exposure models is possible in Asian cities without an undue burden on resources. We recommend that vertical exposure patterns be incorporated in future epidemiological studies in high-rise cities where the floor of residence is recorded in health record data.

Research in psychiatric higher specialist training: a survey of specialist registrars

Aims and Method

Specialist registrars (SpRs) in psychiatry spend only 3 years in this grade, with 1 day a week allocated to research. In view of this sizeable proportion of time designated for research, we undertook a postal survey of the experiences of and attitudes towards research of SpRs in developmental psychiatry.

Results

A high proportion of respondents were involved in research at the time of the study, although half described difficulty starting and a third described difficulty taking the day. The majority of respondents believed research to be important and about three-quarters found it enjoyable.

Clinical Implications

While research remains a mandatory part of training it is important that trainers ensure that research time is protected.

Predicting the digestible energy of corn determined with growing swine from nutrient composition and cross-species measurements

The DE values of corn grain for pigs will differ among corn sources. More accurate prediction of DE may improve diet formulation and reduce diet cost. Corn grain sources ( = 83) were assayed with growing swine (20 kg) in DE experiments with total collection of feces, with 3-wk-old broiler chick in nitrogen-corrected apparent ME (AME) trials and with cecectomized adult roosters in nitrogen-corrected true ME (TME) studies. Additional AME data for the corn grain source set was generated based on an existing near-infrared transmittance prediction model (near-infrared transmittance-predicted AME [NIT-AME]). Corn source nutrient composition was determined by wet chemistry methods. These data were then used to 1) test the accuracy of predicting swine DE of individual corn sources based on available literature equations and nutrient composition and 2) develop models for predicting DE of sources from nutrient composition and the cross-species information gathered above (AME, NIT-AME, and TME). The overall measured DE, AME, NIT-AME, and TME values were 4,105 ± 11, 4,006 ± 10, 4,004 ± 10, and 4,086 ± 12 kcal/kg DM, respectively. Prediction models were developed using 80% of the corn grain sources; the remaining 20% was reserved for validation of the developed prediction equation. Literature equations based on nutrient composition proved imprecise for predicting corn DE; the root mean square error of prediction ranged from 105 to 331 kcal/kg, an equivalent of 2.6 to 8.8% error. Yet among the corn composition traits, 4-variable models developed in the current study provided adequate prediction of DE (model ranging from 0.76 to 0.79 and root mean square error [RMSE] of 50 kcal/kg). When prediction equations were tested using the validation set, these models had a 1 to 1.2% error of prediction. Simple linear equations from AME, NIT-AME, or TME provided an accurate prediction of DE for individual sources ( ranged from 0.65 to 0.73 and RMSE ranged from 50 to 61 kcal/kg). Percentage error of prediction based on the validation data set was greater (1.4%) for the TME model than for the NIT-AME or AME models (1 and 1.2%, respectively), indicating that swine DE values could be accurately predicted by using AME or NIT-AME. In conclusion, regression equations developed from broiler measurements or from analyzed nutrient composition proved adequate to reliably predict the DE of commercially available corn hybrids for growing pigs.

The host galaxy of a fast radio burst

In recent years, millisecond-duration radio signals originating in distant galaxies appear to have been discovered in the so-called fast radio bursts. These signals are dispersed according to a precise physical law and this dispersion is a key observable quantity, which, in tandem with a redshift measurement, can be used for fundamental physical investigations. Every fast radio burst has a dispersion measurement, but none before now have had a redshift measurement, because of the difficulty in pinpointing their celestial coordinates. Here we report the discovery of a fast radio burst and the identification of a fading radio transient lasting ~6 days after the event, which we use to identify the host galaxy; we measure the galaxy's redshift to be z = 0.492 ± 0.008. The dispersion measure and redshift, in combination, provide a direct measurement of the cosmic density of ionized baryons in the intergalactic medium of ΩIGM = 4.9 ± 1.3 per cent, in agreement with the expectation from the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe, and including all of the so-called 'missing baryons'. The ~6-day radio transient is largely consistent with the radio afterglow of a short γ-ray burst, and its existence and timescale do not support progenitor models such as giant pulses from pulsars, and supernovae. This contrasts with the interpretation of another recently discovered fast radio burst, suggesting that there are at least two classes of bursts.

Theory and application of arterial tissue in-host remodelling

A central therapeutic goal in many applications of modern Biomedicine is the reconstruction of the diseased arterial sections via robust and viable tissue equivalents. In-host remodelling is an emerging technology that exploits the remodelling ability of the host to regenerate tissue. We develop a general theoretical framework of growth and remodeling of arterial tissue starting from a synthetic, degradable, acellularized graft and we demonstrate the potential of mechanistic models to guide the development and assisting in the design of arterial tissue engineered constructs.