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Paget J, Staadegaard L, Wang X, Li Y, van Pomeren T, van Summeren J, Dückers M, Chaves SS, Johnson EK, Mahé C, Nair H, Viboud C, Spreeuwenberg P. Global and national influenza-associated hospitalisation rates: Estimates for 40 countries and administrative regions. J Glob Health 2023; 13:04003. [PMID: 36701368 PMCID: PMC9879557 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.13.04003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background WHO estimates that seasonal influenza epidemics result in three to five million cases of severe illness (hospitalisations) every year. We aimed to improve the understanding of influenza-associated hospitalisation estimates at a national and global level. Methods We performed a systematic literature review of English- and Chinese-language studies published between 1995 and 2020 estimating influenza-associated hospitalisation. We included a total of 127 studies (seven in Chinese) in the meta-analysis and analyzed their data using a logit-logistic regression model to understand the influence of five study factors and produce national and global estimates by age groups. The five study factors assessed were: 1) the method used to calculate the influenza-associated hospitalisation estimates (rate- or time series regression-based), 2) the outcome measure (divided into three envelopes: narrow, medium, or wide), 3) whether every case was laboratory-confirmed or not, 4) whether the estimates were national or sub-national, 5) whether the rates were based on a single year or multiple years. Results The overall pooled influenza-associated hospitalisation rate was 40.5 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 24.3-67.4) per 100 000 persons, with rates varying substantially by age: 224.0 (95% CI = 118.8-420.0) in children aged 0-4 years and 96.8 (95% CI = 57.0-164.3) in the elderly aged >65 years. The overall pooled hospitalisation rates varied by calculation method; for all ages, the rates were significantly higher when they were based on rate-based methods or calculated on a single season and significantly lower when cases were laboratory-confirmed. The national hospitalisation rates (all ages) varied considerably, ranging from 11.7 (95% CI = 3.8-36.3) per 100 000 in New Zealand to 122.1 (95% CI = 41.5-358.4) per 100 000 in India (all age estimates). Conclusions Using the pooled global influenza-associated hospitalisation rate, we estimate that seasonal influenza epidemics result in 3.2 million cases of severe illness (hospitalisations) per annum. More extensive analyses are required to assess the influence of other factors on the estimates (e.g. vaccination and dominant virus (sub)types) and efforts to harmonize the methods should be encouraged. Our study highlights the high rates of influenza-associated hospitalisations in children aged 0-4 years and the elderly aged 65+ years.
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Affiliation(s)
- John Paget
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Lisa Staadegaard
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Xin Wang
- School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China,Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - You Li
- School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China,Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Tayma van Pomeren
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | | | - Michel Dückers
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Sandra S Chaves
- Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, Fondation de France, Paris, France
| | - Emily K Johnson
- Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA
| | - Cédric Mahé
- Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, Fondation de France, Paris, France
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Cecile Viboud
- Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, USA
| | - Peter Spreeuwenberg
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, the Netherlands
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Johnson EK, Sylte D, Chaves SS, Li Y, Mahe C, Nair H, Paget J, van Pomeren T, Shi T, Viboud C, James SL. Hospital utilization rates for influenza and RSV: a novel approach and critical assessment. Popul Health Metr 2021; 19:31. [PMID: 34126993 PMCID: PMC8204427 DOI: 10.1186/s12963-021-00252-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2020] [Accepted: 03/31/2021] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) contribute significantly to the burden of acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) inpatient care, but heterogeneous coding practices and availability of inpatient data make it difficult to estimate global hospital utilization for either disease based on coded diagnoses alone. METHODS This study estimates rates of influenza and RSV hospitalization by calculating the proportion of ALRI due to influenza and RSV and applying this proportion to inpatient admissions with ALRI coded as primary diagnosis. Proportions of ALRI attributed to influenza and RSV were extracted from a meta-analysis of 360 total sources describing inpatient hospital admissions which were input to a Bayesian mixed effects model over age with random effects over location. Results of this model were applied to inpatient admission datasets for 44 countries to produce rates of hospital utilization for influenza and RSV respectively, and rates were compared to raw coded admissions for each disease. RESULTS For most age groups, these methods estimated a higher national admission rate than the rate of directly coded influenza or RSV admissions in the same inpatient sources. In many inpatient sources, International Classification of Disease (ICD) coding detail was insufficient to estimate RSV burden directly. The influenza inpatient burden estimates in older adults appear to be substantially underestimated using this method on primary diagnoses alone. Application of the mixed effects model reduced heterogeneity between countries in influenza and RSV which was biased by coding practices and between-country variation. CONCLUSIONS This new method presents the opportunity of estimating hospital utilization rates for influenza and RSV using a wide range of clinical databases. Estimates generally seem promising for influenza and RSV associated hospitalization, but influenza estimates from primary diagnosis seem highly underestimated among older adults. Considerable heterogeneity remains between countries in ALRI coding (i.e., primary vs non-primary cause), and in the age profile of proportion positive for influenza and RSV across studies. While this analysis is interesting because of its wide data utilization and applicability in locations without laboratory-confirmed admission data, understanding the sources of variability and data quality will be essential in future applications of these methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily K Johnson
- Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
| | - Dillon Sylte
- Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA
| | - Sandra S Chaves
- Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, Fondation de France, Paris, France
- Vaccine Epidemiology and Modeling Department, Sanofi Pasteur, Lyon, France
| | - You Li
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Cedric Mahe
- Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, Fondation de France, Paris, France
- Vaccine Epidemiology and Modeling Department, Sanofi Pasteur, Lyon, France
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - John Paget
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Tayma van Pomeren
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Ting Shi
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Cecile Viboud
- Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, USA
| | - Spencer L James
- Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA
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Im J, Balasubramanian R, Ouedraogo M, Wandji Nana LR, Mogeni OD, Jeon HJ, van Pomeren T, Haselbeck A, Lim JK, Prifti K, Baker S, Meyer CG, Kim JH, Clemens JD, Marks F, Soura AB. The epidemiology of dengue outbreaks in 2016 and 2017 in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. Heliyon 2020; 6:e04389. [PMID: 32695907 PMCID: PMC7364030 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04389] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2019] [Revised: 10/27/2019] [Accepted: 06/30/2020] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Dengue is prevalent in as many as 128 countries with more than 100 million clinical episodes reported annually and four billion people estimated to be at risk. While dengue fever is systematically diagnosed in large parts of Asia and South America, the disease burden in Africa is less well investigated. This report describes two consecutive dengue outbreaks in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso in 2016 and 2017. Methods Blood samples of febrile patients received at Schiphra laboratory in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, were screened for dengue infection using SD Bioline Dengue Duo rapid diagnostic test kits (Standard Diagnostics, Suwon, Republic of Korea). Results A total of 1,397 and 1,882 cases were reported by a single laboratory in 2016 and 2017, respectively. Most cases were at least 15 years of age and the results corroborated reports from WHO indicating the circulation of three dengue virus serotypes in Burkina Faso. Conclusion This study complements data from other, simultaneously conducted surveillance efforts, and indicates that the dengue disease burden might be underestimated in sub-Saharan African nations. Dengue surveillance should be enhanced in African settings to determine the burden more accurately, and accelerated efforts towards a dengue vaccine should be put in place.
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Affiliation(s)
- Justin Im
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Ruchita Balasubramanian
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.,Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
| | - Moussa Ouedraogo
- Laboratorie d'Analyses Medicales, Centre Médical avec Antenne chirurgicale Protestant Schiphra, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
| | - Lady Rosny Wandji Nana
- Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la Population, Université de Ouagadougou, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
| | | | - Hyon Jin Jeon
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.,The Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Tayma van Pomeren
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.,Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la Population, Université de Ouagadougou, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
| | | | | | - Kristi Prifti
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Stephen Baker
- The Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Christian G Meyer
- Duy Tan University, Da Nang, Viet Nam.,Institute for Tropical Medicine, Eberhard Karls University, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Jerome H Kim
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - John D Clemens
- International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.,University of California, Fielding School of Public Health, Los Angeles, USA
| | - Florian Marks
- International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.,The Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Abdramane Bassiahi Soura
- Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la Population, Université de Ouagadougou, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
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