Estimated Incidence of Hospitalizations and Deaths Attributable to Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections Among Adults in Germany Between 2015 and 2019

INTRODUCTION

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden in adults is underestimated mainly due to unspecific symptoms and limited standard-of-care testing. We estimated the population-based incidence of hospitalization and mortality attributable to RSV among adults with and without risk factors in Germany.

METHODS

Weekly counts of hospitalizations and deaths for respiratory, cardiovascular, and cardiorespiratory diseases were obtained (Statutory Health Insurance database, 2015-2019). A quasi-Poisson regression model was fitted to estimate the number of hospitalizations and deaths attributable to RSV as a function of periodic and aperiodic time trends, and viral activity while allowing for potential overdispersion. Weekly counts of RSV and influenza hospitalizations in children < 2 years and adults ≥ 60 years, respectively, were used as viral activity indicators. Models were stratified by age group and risk status (defined as presence of selected comorbidities).

RESULTS

Population-based RSV-attributable hospitalization incidence rates were high among adults ≥ 60 years: respiratory hospitalizations (236-363 per 100,000 person-years) and cardiorespiratory hospitalizations (584-912 per 100,000 person-years). RSV accounted for 2-3% of all cardiorespiratory hospitalizations in this age group. The increase in cardiorespiratory hospitalization risk associated with underlying risk factors was greater in 18-44 year old persons (five to sixfold higher) than in ≥ 75 year old persons (two to threefold higher).

CONCLUSIONS

This is a first model-based study to comprehensively assess adult RSV burden in Germany. Estimated cardiorespiratory RSV hospitalization rates increased with age and were substantially higher in people with risk factors compared to those without risk factors. Our study indicates that RSV, like other respiratory viruses, contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular hospitalizations. Effective prevention strategies are needed, especially among older adults ≥ 60 years and among adults with underlying risk factors.

Estimation of Symptomatic Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection Incidence in Adults in Multiple Countries: A Time-Series Model-Based Analysis Protocol

INTRODUCTION

Estimating respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden in adults is challenging because of non-specific symptoms, infrequent standard-of-care testing, resolution of viral shedding before seeking medical care, test positivity that varies by specimen site in the upper airway and lower diagnostic test sensitivity compared to children. Conducting prospective observational studies to assess RSV burden in adults is time- and resource-intensive. Thus, model-based approaches can be applied using existing data to obtain more accurate estimates of RSV burden. This protocol establishes essential elements for estimating RSV incidence rate in adults using a time series model-based approach. It can be tailored to specific databases and applied globally across countries, enabling estimation of local RSV disease burden to inform public health decision-making, including immunization policy.

METHODS

Data are analysed using a quasi-Poisson regression model, considering the effect of baseline trends and pathogen co-circulation, stratified by age and risk status. Pathogen co-circulation is represented by viral proxies defined based on ICD code groupings indicating RSV and influenza-specific hospitalizations, lagged 0 up to 4 weeks based on the model selection. A final model is constructed in two steps: optimization of the time trend (using p-values) and selection of the viral proxy lag time (using test statistics, to prioritize the most biologically plausible option). The yearly incidence rate and percentage of events attributable to RSV are estimated from the final model. Confidence intervals are calculated using residual bootstrapping.

PLANNED OUTCOMES

Outcomes to be modelled are based on administrative ICD code groupings and include the number of cardiorespiratory, respiratory and cardiovascular events in a specific care setting (e.g., general practitioner visit, emergency department visit, hospitalization and death). Cardiovascular events are limited to those for which existing evidence suggests an association with RSV infection. Additional secondary outcomes are constructed as a subset of the primary outcomes based on specific ICD code groups.

Estimated Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Related Hospitalizations and Deaths Among Children and Adults in Spain, 2016-2019

INTRODUCTION

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial disease burden among infants. In older children and adults, incidence is underestimated due to nonspecific symptoms and limited standard-of-care testing. We aimed to estimate RSV-attributable hospitalizations and deaths in Spain during 2016-2019.

METHODS

Nationally representative hospitalization and mortality databases were obtained from the Ministry of Health and the National Statistical Office. A quasi-Poisson regression model was fitted to estimate the number of hospitalizations and deaths attributable to RSV as a function of periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity, while allowing for potential overdispersion.

RESULTS

In children, the RSV-attributable respiratory hospitalization incidence was highest among infants aged 0-5 months (3998-5453 cases/100,000 person-years, representing 72% of all respiratory hospitalizations) and decreased with age. In 2019, estimated rates in children 0-5, 6-11, 12-23 months and 6-17 years were approximately 1.3, 1.4, 1.5, and 6.5 times higher than those based on standard-of-care RSV-specific codes. In adults, the RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization rate increased with age and was highest among persons ≥ 80 years (1325-1506 cases/100,000, 6.5% of all cardiorespiratory hospitalizations). In 2019, for persons aged 18-49, 50-59, 60-79, and ≥ 80 years, estimated rates were approximately 8, 6, 8, and 16 times higher than those based on standard-of-care RSV-specific codes. The RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory mortality rate was highest among ≥ 80 age group (126-150 deaths/100,000, 3.5-4.1% of all cardiorespiratory deaths), when reported mortality rate ranged between 0 and 0.5/100,000.

CONCLUSIONS

When accounting for under-ascertainment, estimated RSV-attributable hospitalizations were higher than those reported based on standard-of-care RSV-specific codes in all age groups but particularly among older children and older adults. Like other respiratory viruses, RSV contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular complications. Efficacious RSV vaccines could have a high public health impact in these age and risk groups.

A prospective cohort study of SARS-CoV-2 infection-induced seroconversion and disease incidence in German healthcare workers before and during the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines

We assessed the seroepidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) before and during the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, in a prospective observational cohort study on healthcare workers (HCWs) in a large tertiary hospital in Mainz, Germany. Antibody status was assessed during six visits between September 2020 and February 2022. Self-reported symptoms were collected using a smartphone application; symptomatic HCWs were tested using real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assays for SARS-CoV-2. Rates of virologically confirmed and severe COVID-19 were estimated using the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) case definitions, respectively, and were contrasted to background community transmission and circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants. A total of 3665 HCWs were enrolled (mean follow-up time: 18 months); 97 met the FDA definition of virologically confirmed COVID-19 (incidence rate (IR) 2.3/1000 person-months (PMs), one severe case). Most cases reported ≥2 symptoms, commonly, cough and anosmia or ageusia. Overall, 263 individuals seroconverted (IR 6.6/1000 PMs-2.9 times the estimated IR of COVID-19), indicating many cases were missed, either due to asymptomatic infections or to an atypical presentation of symptoms. A triphasic trend in anti-SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and seroconversion was observed, with an initial increase following the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, a two-fold decline six months later, and finally a six-fold increase by the end of the study when Omicron was the dominant circulating variant. Despite the increase in infection rates at the end of the study due to the circulation of the Omicron variant, the infection and disease rates observed were lower than the published estimates in HCWs and rates in the general local population. Preferential vaccination of HCWs and the strict monitoring program for SARS-CoV-2 infection are the most likely reasons for the successful control of COVID-19 in this high-risk population.

Incidence of Lyme Borreliosis in Germany: Exploring Observed Trends Over Time Using Public Surveillance Data, 2016-2020

Background: Public surveillance of Lyme borreliosis (LB) occurs in 9 out of 16 federal states of Germany and remains a critical facet of disease epidemiology and trends. We describe the incidence, time trends, seasonality, and geographic distribution of LB in Germany using publicly reported surveillance data. Methods: We obtained LB cases and incidence (2016-2020) from the online platform SurvStat@RKI 2.0, maintained by the Robert Koch Institute (RKI). Data included clinically diagnosed and laboratory-confirmed LB reported by nine out of 16 federal states of Germany where LB notification is mandatory. Results: During 2016-2020, the nine federal states reported 63,940 LB cases, of which 60,570 (94.7%) were clinically diagnosed, and 3370 (5.3%) also had laboratory confirmation, with an average of 12,789 cases annually. Incidence rates were mostly stable over time. The average annual LB incidence was 37.2/100,000 person-years and varied by spatial level, ranging from 22.9 to 64.6/100,000 person-years among nine states; from 16.8 to 85.6/100,000 person-years among 19 regions; and from 2.9 to 172.8/100,000 person-years among 158 counties. Incidence was lowest among persons 20-24 years old (16.1/100,000 person-years) and highest among those 65-69 years old (60.9/100,000 person-years). Most cases were reported between June and September, with a peak in July of every year. Conclusion: The risk of LB varied substantially at the smallest geographic unit and by age group. Our results underscore the importance of presenting LB data at the most spatially granular unit and by age to allow implementation of efficient preventive interventions and reduction strategies.

Incidence of Lyme Borreliosis in Europe: A Systematic Review (2005-2020)

Background: Lyme borreliosis (LB) is the most common tick-borne disease in Europe, but the burden of disease is incompletely described. Methods: We conducted a systematic review across PubMed, EMBASE, and CABI Direct (Global Health) databases, from January 1, 2005, to November 20, 2020, of epidemiological studies reporting incidence of LB in Europe (PROSPERO, CRD42021236906). Results: The systematic review yielded 61 unique articles describing LB incidence (national or subnational) in 25 European countries. Substantial heterogeneity in study designs, populations sampled, and case definitions restricted data comparability. The European Union Concerted Action on Lyme Borreliosis (EUCALB)-published standardized LB case definitions were used by only 13 (21%) of the 61 articles. There were 33 studies that provided national-level LB incidence estimates for 20 countries. Subnational LB incidence was available from an additional four countries (Italy, Lithuania, Norway, and Spain). The highest LB incidences (>100 cases per 100,000 population per year [PPY]) were reported in Belgium, Finland, the Netherlands, and Switzerland. Incidences were 20-40/100,000 PPY in the Czech Republic, Germany, Poland, and Scotland and <20/100,000 PPY in Belarus, Croatia, Denmark, France, Ireland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, Sweden, and the United Kingdom (England, Northern Ireland, and Wales); markedly higher incidences were observed at the subnational level (up to 464/100,000 PPY in specific local areas). Conclusions: Although countries in Northern (Finland) and Western (Belgium, the Netherlands, and Switzerland) Europe reported the highest LB incidences, high incidences also were reported in some Eastern European countries. There was substantial subnational variation in incidence, including high incidences in some areas of countries with low overall incidence. This review, complemented by the incidence surveillance article, provides a comprehensive view into LB disease burden across Europe that may guide future preventive and therapeutic strategies-including new strategies on the horizon.

Seroprevalence of Lyme Borreliosis in Europe: Results from a Systematic Literature Review (2005-2020)

Background: Lyme borreliosis (LB), a tick bite-transmitted infection caused by Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (Bbsl) complex spirochetes, is the most common tickborne disease in Europe. Studies in European countries have reported LB seroprevalence (prevalence of antibodies to Bbsl infection) and diagnostic strategies used for testing. We conducted a systematic literature review to summarize contemporary LB seroprevalence in Europe. Methods: PubMed, Embase, and CABI Direct (Global Health) databases were searched from 2005 to 2020 to identify studies reporting LB seroprevalence in European countries. Reported single-tier and two-tier test results were summarized; algorithms (standard or modified) were used to interpret final test results from studies that used two-tier testing. Results: The search yielded 61 articles from 22 European countries. Studies used a range of diagnostic testing methods and strategies (48% single-tier, 46% standard two-tier, and 6% modified two-tier). In 39 population-based studies, of which 14 were nationally representative, seroprevalence estimates ranged from 2.7% (Norway) to 20% (Finland). There was substantial heterogeneity among studies in terms of design, cohort types, periods sampled, sample sizes, and diagnostics, which limited cross-study comparisons. Nevertheless, among studies that reported seroprevalence in persons with greater exposure to ticks, LB seroprevalence was higher among these groups than in the general population (40.6% vs. 3.9%). Furthermore, among studies that used two-tier testing, general population LB seroprevalence was higher in Western Europe (13.6%) and Eastern Europe (11.1%) than in Northern Europe (4.2%) and Southern Europe (3.9%). Conclusion: Despite variations in LB seroprevalence between and within European subregions and countries, high seroprevalence was observed in certain geographic regions and particular risk groups, suggesting significant disease burden and supporting the need for improved, targeted public health interventions such as vaccination. Harmonized approaches to serologic testing and more nationally representative seroprevalence studies are needed to better understand the prevalence of Bbsl infection in Europe.

Incidence of Lyme Borreliosis in Europe from National Surveillance Systems (2005-2020)

Background: Lyme borreliosis (LB) is the most common tick-borne disease in Europe. To inform European intervention strategies, including vaccines under development, we conducted a systematic review for LB incidence. Methods: We searched publicly available surveillance data reporting LB incidence in Europe from 2005 to 2020. Population-based incidence was calculated as the number of reported LB cases per 100,000 population per year (PPY), and high LB risk areas (incidence >10/100,00 PPY for 3 consecutive years) were estimated. Results: Estimates of LB incidence were available for 25 countries. There was marked heterogeneity in surveillance systems (passive vs. mandatory and sentinel sites vs. national), case definitions (clinical, laboratory, or both), and testing methods, limiting comparison across countries. Twenty-one countries (84%) had passive surveillance; four (Belgium, France, Germany, and Switzerland) used sentinel surveillance systems. Only four countries (Bulgaria, France, Poland, and Romania) used standardized case definitions recommended by European public health institutions. Among all surveillance systems and considering any case definition for the most recently available years, national LB incidences were highest in Estonia, Lithuania, Slovenia, and Switzerland (>100 cases/100,000 PPY), followed by France and Poland (40-80/100,000 PPY), and Finland and Latvia (20-40/100,000 PPY). Incidences were lowest in Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, England, Hungary, Ireland, Norway, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Scotland, and Serbia (<20/100,000 PPY). At the subnational level, highest LB incidences (>100/100,000 PPY) were observed in areas of Belgium, Czech Republic, France, Germany, and Poland. Overall, on average 128,888 cases are reported annually. An estimated 202/844 million (24%) persons in Europe reside in areas of high LB incidence and 202/469 million (43.2%) persons reside in areas of high LB incidence among countries with surveillance data. Conclusion: Our review showed substantial variability in reported LB incidence across and within European countries, with highest incidences reported from the Eastern, Northern (Baltic states and Nordic countries), and Western Europe surveillance systems. Standardization of surveillance systems, including wider implementation of common case definitions, is urgently needed to interpret the range of differences in LB incidence observed across European countries.

Burden of respiratory syncytial virus infection in older and high-risk adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the evidence from developed countries

Background

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) significantly impacts the health of older and high-risk adults (those with comorbidities). We aimed to synthesise the evidence on RSV disease burden and RSV-related healthcare utilisation in both populations.

Methods

We searched Embase and MEDLINE for papers published between 2000 and 2019 reporting the burden and clinical presentation of symptomatic RSV infection and the associated healthcare utilisation in developed countries in adults aged ≥60 years or at high risk. We calculated pooled estimates using random-effects inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis.

Results

103 out of 3429 articles met the inclusion criteria. Among older adults, RSV caused 4.66% (95% CI 3.34–6.48%) of symptomatic respiratory infections in annual studies and 7.80% (95% CI 5.77–10.45%) in seasonal studies; RSV-related case fatality proportion (CFP) was 8.18% (95% CI 5.54–11.94%). Among high-risk adults, RSV caused 7.03% (95% CI 5.18–9.48%) of symptomatic respiratory infections in annual studies, and 7.69% (95% CI 6.23–9.46%) in seasonal studies; CFP was 9.88% (95% CI 6.66–14.43%). Data paucity impaired the calculation of estimates on population incidence, clinical presentation, severe outcomes and healthcare-related utilisation.

Conclusions

Older and high-risk adults frequently experience symptomatic RSV infection, with appreciable mortality; however, detailed data are lacking. Increased surveillance and research are needed to quantify population-based disease burden and facilitate RSV treatments and vaccine development.

Quantity and Quality of Antibodies After Acellular Versus Whole-cell Pertussis Vaccines in Infants Born to Mothers Who Received Tetanus, Diphtheria, and Acellular Pertussis Vaccine During Pregnancy: A Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

The blunting effect of pertussis immunization during pregnancy on infant antibody responses induced by whole-cell pertussis (wP) vaccination is not well-defined.

METHODS

This randomized controlled trial (NCT02408926) followed term infants born to mothers vaccinated with tetanus, diphtheria, and acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccine during pregnancy in Thailand. Infants received either acellular pertussis (aP)- or wP-containing vaccine at 2, 4, 6, and 18 months of age. A comparison group comprised wP-vaccinated children born to mothers not vaccinated during pregnancy. Antibodies against pertussis toxin (PT), filamentous hemagglutinin (FHA), and pertactin (PRN) were evaluated using commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. Functionality of antibodies against Bordetella pertussis was measured using Bordetella pertussis growth inhibition assay.

RESULTS

After maternal Tdap vaccination, 158 infants vaccinated with aP-containing vaccines possessed higher antibody levels (P < .001) against all tested B. pertussis antigens postpriming compared to 157 infants receiving wP-containing vaccines. At 1 month postbooster, only anti-FHA and anti-PRN antibodies were still significantly higher (P < .001) in the aP group. Significantly higher anti-PT and anti-FHA (P < .001), but not anti-PRN immunoglobulin G, were observed among 69 wP-vaccinated infants born to control mothers compared with wP-vaccinated infants of Tdap-vaccinated mothers after primary and booster vaccination. The antibody functionality was higher in all wP-vaccinated infants at all times.

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal Tdap vaccination inhibited more pertussis-specific responses in wP-vaccinated infants compared to aP-vaccinated infants, and the control group of unvaccinated women had highest PT-specific responses, persisting until after the booster dose. Antibody functionality was better in the wP groups.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT02408926.Infant whole-cell pertussis (wP) vaccine responses are blunted after maternal Tdap vaccination. Pertussis antibody titers are higher in acellular pertussis (aP)- than wP-vaccinated infants of immunized mothers, yet quality of antibodies, measured as serum-mediated bacterial growth inhibition, is better after wP than aP vaccination.

A prediction model for good neurological outcome in successfully resuscitated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients

BACKGROUND

In the initial hours after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), it remains difficult to estimate whether the degree of post-ischemic brain damage will be compatible with long-term good neurological outcome. We aimed to construct prognostic models able to predict good neurological outcome of OHCA patients within 48 h after CCU admission using variables that are bedside available.

METHODS

Based on prospectively gathered data, a retrospective data analysis was performed on 107 successfully resuscitated OHCA patients with a presumed cardiac cause of arrest. Targeted temperature management at 33 °C was initiated at CCU admission. Prediction models for good neurological outcome (CPC1-2) at 180 days post-CA were constructed at hour 1, 12, 24 and 48 after CCU admission. Following multiple imputation, variables were selected using the elastic-net method. Each imputed dataset was divided into training and validation sets (80% and 20% of patients, respectively). Logistic regression was fitted on training sets and prediction performance was evaluated on validation sets using misclassification rates.

RESULTS

The prediction model at hour 24 predicted good neurological outcome with the lowest misclassification rate (21.5%), using a cut-off probability of 0.55 (sensitivity = 75%; specificity = 82%). This model contained sex, age, diabetes status, initial rhythm, percutaneous coronary intervention, presence of a BIS 0 value, mean BIS value and lactate as predictive variables for good neurological outcome.

DISCUSSION

This study shows that good neurological outcome after OHCA can be reasonably predicted as early as 24 h following ICU admission using parameters that are bedside available. These prediction models could identify patients who would benefit the most from intensive care.

Assessing the reactogenicity of Tdap vaccine administered during pregnancy and antibodies to Bordetella pertussis antigens in maternal and cord sera of Thai women

INTRODUCTION

Pregnant Thai women have low antibody titers against B. pertussis antigens, which coincide with an increasing incidence of pertussis among Thai infants. Thus, there exists a potential benefit of a booster dose of tetanus- diphtheria-acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccine administered during pregnancy. Here, we report the vaccine reactogenicity profile and birth outcomes in Tdap-vaccinated pregnant women who have or have not had prior immunization with tetanus vaccine, and the IgG levels to B. pertussis antigens in maternal and cord sera at delivery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Pregnant women (N = 370) aged 18-40 years were administered the Tdap vaccine (Boostrix®, GlaxoSmithKline, Rixensart, Belgium) at 26-36 weeks gestation. Adverse events following vaccination were identified by follow-up telephone call and medical record review. IgG against pertussis toxin (anti-PT), filamentous hemagglutinin (anti-FHA) and pertactin (anti-PRN) in both maternal and umbilical cord blood obtained at delivery were quantitatively evaluated using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (EUROIMMUN®, Lübeck, Germany).

RESULTS

There was no reported increase in the severity or duration of adverse events associated with the administration of an extra tetanus-containing vaccine within the previous five years (N = 181) or multiple doses of tetanus-containing vaccines during the current pregnancy (N = 98). Vaccination at least eight weeks prior to delivery resulted in high antibody titers to all B. pertussis antigens studied.

CONCLUSIONS

The reactogenicity of Tdap vaccine administered during pregnancy was not affected by prior tetanus toxoid immunization. High transplacental antibody against B. pertussis antigens in the cord blood provides evidence of antibody transfer and should thus help to protect newborns from pertussis during early life.

Effect of Prepregnancy Pertussis Vaccination in Young Infants

Background

Maternal antibodies to pertussis can hamper infant immune responses to pertussis vaccines. The effect a maternal tetanus, diphtheria, acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccine booster between 2 consecutive pregnancies is investigated.

Methods

A prospective study was conducted in Belgium during 2008-2014 on the kinetics of maternal pertussis antibodies in unvaccinated women and their infants (group A; 86 mother-infant pairs) and in siblings born after the women received Tdap vaccine (group B; 58 mother-infant pairs). Levels of antibody to pertussis toxin, antibody to filamentous hemagglutinin, and antibody to pertactin were measured in maternal blood before and after vaccination and at both deliveries, in cord blood from both siblings, and in infants before and after they received a priming series of acellular pertussis containing vaccines.

Results

Levels of pertussis antibodies in all group B siblings at birth were significantly higher than those in their siblings at birth, even as the interval since maternal vaccination increased. Blunting of the infant pertussis vaccine response was detected in group B siblings. We estimated the maximum interval between repeat Tdap vaccine doses in adult women that would yield a beneficial effect for the consecutive infant.

Conclusions

Prepregnancy Tdap vaccination significantly increases maternal antibody concentrations in consecutive infants. However, similar to the effect of Tdap vaccination during pregnancy, immune responses of later-born infants born to mothers who received a prepregnancy immunization, are blunted.