The long-term impact of the Leprosy Post-Exposure Prophylaxis (LPEP) program on leprosy incidence: A modelling study

Background

The Leprosy Post-Exposure Prophylaxis (LPEP) program explored the feasibility and impact of contact tracing and the provision of single dose rifampicin (SDR) to eligible contacts of newly diagnosed leprosy patients in Brazil, India, Indonesia, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Tanzania. As the impact of the programme is difficult to establish in the short term, we apply mathematical modelling to predict its long-term impact on the leprosy incidence.

Methodology

The individual-based model SIMCOLEP was calibrated and validated to the historic leprosy incidence data in the study areas. For each area, we assessed two scenarios: 1) continuation of existing routine activities as in 2014; and 2) routine activities combined with LPEP starting in 2015. The number of contacts per index patient screened varied from 1 to 36 between areas. Projections were made until 2040.

Principal findings

In all areas, the LPEP program increased the number of detected cases in the first year(s) of the programme as compared to the routine programme, followed by a faster reduction afterwards with increasing benefit over time. LPEP could accelerate the reduction of the leprosy incidence by up to six years as compared to the routine programme. The impact of LPEP varied by area due to differences in the number of contacts per index patient included and differences in leprosy epidemiology and routine control programme.

Conclusions

The LPEP program contributes significantly to the reduction of the leprosy incidence and could potentially accelerate the interruption of transmission. It would be advisable to include contact tracing/screening and SDR in routine leprosy programmes.

The Leprosy Post-Exposure Prophylaxis (LPEP) program explored the feasibility and impact of contact tracing and the provision of SDR to eligible contacts of newly diagnosed leprosy patients in states or districts of Brazil, India, Indonesia, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Tanzania. This study investigated the long-term impact of the LPEP program on the leprosy new case detection rate (NCDR). Our results show that LPEP could reduce the NCDR beyond the impact of the routine leprosy control programme and that many new cases could be prevented. The benefit of LPEP increases gradually over time. LPEP could accelerate the time of reaching predicted NCDR levels of 2040 under routine program by up to six years. Furthermore, we highlighted how the impact varies between countries due to differences in the number of contacts per index patient screened and differences in leprosy epidemiology and national control programme. Generally, including both household contacts and neighbours (> 20 contacts per index patient) would yield the highest impact.

A comprehensive research agenda for zero leprosy

BACKGROUND

Leprosy control achieved dramatic success in the 1980s-1990s with the implementation of short course multidrug therapy, which reduced the global prevalence of leprosy to less than 1 in 10 000 population. However, a period of relative stagnation in leprosy control followed this achievement, and only limited further declines in the global number of new cases reported have been achieved over the past decade.

MAIN TEXT

In 2016, major stakeholders called for the development of an innovative and comprehensive leprosy strategy aimed at reducing the incidence of leprosy, lowering the burden of disability and discrimination, and interrupting transmission. This led to the establishment of the Global Partnership for Zero Leprosy (GPZL) in 2018, with partners aligned around a shared Action Framework committed to achieving the WHO targets by 2030 through national leprosy program capacity-building, resource mobilisation and an enabling research agenda. GPZL convened over 140 experts from more than 20 countries to develop a research agenda to achieve zero leprosy. The result is a detailed research agenda focusing on diagnostics, mapping, digital technology and innovation, disability, epidemiological modelling and investment case, implementation research, stigma, post exposure prophylaxis and transmission, and vaccines. This research agenda is aligned with the research priorities identified by other stakeholders.

CONCLUSIONS

Developing and achieving consensus on the research agenda for zero leprosy is a significant step forward for the leprosy community. In a next step, research programmes must be developed, with individual components of the research agenda requiring distinct expertise, varying in resource needs, and operating over different timescales. Moving toward zero leprosy now requires partner alignment and new investments at all stages of the research process, from discovery to implementation.

Corticosteroids for treating nerve damage in leprosy

BACKGROUND

Leprosy causes nerve damage that can result in nerve function impairment and disability. Corticosteroids are commonly used for treating nerve damage, although their long-term effect is uncertain. This is an update of a review first published in 2007, and previously updated in 2009 and 2011.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of corticosteroids on nerve damage in leprosy.

SEARCH METHODS

On 16 June 2015, we searched the Cochrane Neuromuscular Specialised Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL Plus, and LILACS. We also checked clinical trials registers and contacted trial authors.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs of corticosteroids for nerve damage in leprosy. The comparators were no treatment, placebo treatment, or a different corticosteroid regimen.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

The primary outcome was improvement in nerve function after one year. Secondary outcomes were change in nerve pain, limitations in activities of daily living, limitations in participation, and adverse events. Two review authors independently extracted data and assessed trial quality. When data were lacking, we contacted trial authors for additional information.

MAIN RESULTS

We included five RCTs involving 576 people. The trials were largely at low risk of bias, but we considered the quality of the evidence from these trials as moderate to low, largely due to imprecision from small sample sizes. Two out of the five trials reported on improvement in nerve function at one year. These two trials compared prednisolone with placebo. One trial, with 84 participants, treated mild sensory impairment of less than six months' duration, and the other, with 95 participants, treated nerve function impairment of 6 to 24 months' duration. There was no significant difference in nerve function improvement after 12 months between people treated with prednisolone and those treated with placebo. Adverse events were not reported significantly more often with corticosteroids than with placebo. The other three trials did not report on the primary outcome measure. One (334 participants) compared three corticosteroid regimens for severe type 1 reactions. No serious side effects of steroids were reported in any participant during the follow-up period. Another trial (21 participants) compared low-dose prednisone with high-dose prednisone for ulnar neuropathy. Two participants on the higher dose of prednisone reported adverse effects. The last (42 participants) compared intravenous methylprednisolone and oral prednisolone with intravenous normal saline and oral prednisolone. The trial found no significant differences between the groups in the occurrence of adverse events.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Corticosteroids are used for treating acute nerve damage in leprosy, but moderate-quality evidence from two RCTs treating either longstanding or mild nerve function impairment did not show corticosteroids to have a superior effect to placebo on nerve function improvement. A third trial showed significant benefit from a five-month steroid regimen over a three-month regimen in terms of response to treatment (need for additional corticosteroids). Further RCTs are needed to establish optimal corticosteroid regimens and to examine the efficacy and safety of adjuvant or new therapies for treating nerve damage in leprosy. Future trials should address non-clinical aspects, such as costs and impact on quality of life, which are highly relevant indicators for both policymakers and participants.

Role of contact tracing and prevention strategies in the interruption of leprosy transmission

The global prevalence of leprosy has declined from 5.2 million in the 1980 s to 200,000 today. However, the new case detection rate remains high: over the last 8 years, around 220,000-250,000 people have been diagnosed with leprosy each year. In June 2013, an international meeting was organised by the Novartis Foundation for Sustainable Development in Geneva, Switzerland,2 with the objective of discussing the feasibility of interrupting the transmission of leprosy. The group of physicians, epidemiologists and public health professionals concluded that a successful programme would require early diagnosis and prompt multidrug therapy (MDT) for all patients, tracing and post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) for contacts of patients newly diagnosed with leprosy, improvements in diagnostic tools, as well as strict epidemiological surveillance and response systems to monitor progress. As a follow-up, a second expert group meeting was convened by the Novartis Foundation in January 2014 in Zurich, Switzerland, with the objective of reviewing the evidence for chemoprophylaxis in contacts and high-risk communities. The meeting also considered the definitions of 'contacts' and 'contact tracing', discussed alternative prophylaxis regimens, preliminary findings of operational pilot projects on PEP in Indonesia, as well as the development of diagnostic tools, and identified the priority questions for operational research in leprosy transmission. The meeting outlined how contact tracing and chemoprophylaxis programmes can be implemented to interrupt leprosy transmission. The expert panel reached the following conclusions: Chemoprophylaxis with single-dose rifampicin (SDR) is efficacious in reducing the risk of developing leprosy, although the protective effect appears to be smaller in contacts closer to the index patient than in more distant contacts.3 SDR can be targeted to contacts or implemented as community mass prophylaxis in certain circumstances; the preferred approach depends on local factors, such as the case detection rate, the level of community stigma against leprosy, and the degree of access to healthcare for patients and contacts. Alternative prophylaxis regimens and the role of post-exposure immunoprophylaxis need to be further investigated. Contact tracing combined with PEP across very diverse settings offers protection rates similar to those reported in controlled trials. For high-incidence pockets ('hotspots') or remote or confined high-incidence populations ('hotpops'), blanket administration of PEP may be a better option. Implementation of contact-tracing programmes is feasible and cost-effective, particularly in high-risk groups, but it should be integrated into local healthcare services to ensure their long-term sustainability. Funding and support must be maintained after an initial pilot has finished. New programmes for contact tracing need effective surveillance systems to enable appropriate follow-up and outcome evaluation. The Novartis Foundation and Netherlands Leprosy Relief (NLR) are currently developing and implementing a large international programme to demonstrate the feasibility, acceptability, cost-effectiveness and real-world efficacy of PEP as a strategy to interrupt leprosy transmission, in six pilot projects in Asia, Africa and South America. These new pilot projects will be developed together with the local health authorities, healthcare workers, communities and patients, in order to create local ownership from the outset. The pilots should aim to be scalable and sustainable, and should therefore include an objective outcome assessment. Local ownership ensures that locally appropriate language and definitions of contacts are used in each of the pilots. A test to identify subclinical disease and distinguish M. leprae exposure from infection would facilitate early and appropriate therapy (with PEP or MDT). The identification and validation of new, sensitive biomarkers for M. leprae infection and exposure may allow better targeting of PEP to those contacts at highest risk of developing leprosy.

Chronic kidney disease, a useful trigger for proactive primary care? Mortality results from a large U.K. cohort

BACKGROUND

Much of the emphasis for primary care management of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has focused on cardiovascular risk; however, many patients die of other causes. Aim. In order to guide future primary care management of CKD, we report the causes of death from a large U.K. CKD cohort linked to health care administrative data.

DESIGN, SETTING AND METHODS

The Grampian Laboratory Outcomes Mortality and Morbidity Study (GLOMMS-1) is a community cohort of people with established CKD, identified in 2003 and followed up for 6 years. Causes of death were available from death certificates. The relative likelihood of different causes of death was compared to the general population.

RESULTS

When standardized for age and sex, mortality was 4.7 (95% confidence interval 4.5-4.9) times higher in GLOMMS-1 than the general population. Non-cardiovascular diseases accounted for 1076 (50.9%) of deaths, 3.7 times more common than in the age- and sex-matched general population. For those with stages 3 and 4 CKD, without cardiovascular disease at baseline, a non-cardiovascular cause accounted for almost two-thirds of deaths. In those 75 years and older, dementia and falls were among the main non-cardiovascular causes of death.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality in those with CKD is high, with non-cardiovascular diseases accounting for more than half of all deaths. While there is evidence that intervention may benefit those at risk of cardiovascular death, most of the non-cardiovascular causes of death identified were not readily amenable to prevention. A mechanism to identify which patients may benefit from intervention to prevent cardiovascular disease or renal disease progression is needed.

Assessing and improving adherence with multidrug therapy

INTRODUCTION

Adherence with multidrug therapy (MDT) in the treatment of leprosy is important to minimise the risk of relapse and avoid the emergence of drug resistance. Adherence is defined as the extent to which the patient's behaviour matches recommendations from the prescriber. This paper reviews the methods for assessing adherence with MDT in leprosy, and community approaches to improving adherence based on evidence from the treatment of tuberculosis (TB) and HIV, as well as leprosy.

METHODS

To identify and summarise the available literature regarding the assessment of treatment regularity in leprosy, a literature search of MEDLINE was conducted using the following search terms: 'leprosy' AND ('adherence' OR 'compliance' OR 'concordance'). To identify evidence for interventions that have involved community members in HIV, TB or leprosy adherence support, a literature search was conducted using the key terms and medical subject headings 'treatment or adherence' 'community,' 'HIV, TB or Leprosy' and 'low and middle income countries' combined using Boolean operators.

RESULTS

Leprosy programmes routinely use defaulting and treatment completion as proxy measures of adherence as recommended by the WHO global strategy. However, a number of other methods have been used to assess adherence including questionnaires, pill counts, as well as direct measures based on testing urine for the presence of dapsone. Direct methods were extensively used during the dapsone mono-therapy era but there is little evidence of their use in MDT. Use of multiple methods of assessing adherence improves the accuracy and reliability of the results. Community activities in TB and HIV such as variants of treatment observation, and/or wider programmes of counselling or direct support to the patient or their family or to increase community or social support were shown to improve treatment outcomes. Outcomes evaluated included treatment default and completion, clinical indicators, and adherence (pill-count, self report).

CONCLUSIONS

Adherence is very important in leprosy and regular assessment of medication adherence together with constructive feedback and counselling of patients is likely to be beneficial. Leprosy programme can learn from adherence support interventions developed by both TB and HIV programmes.

Physical activity attitudes, intentions and behaviour among 18-25 year olds: a mixed method study

BACKGROUND

Young people (18-25 years) during the adolescence/adulthood transition are vulnerable to weight gain and notoriously hard to reach. Despite increased levels of overweight/obesity in this age group, physical activity behaviour, a major contributor to obesity, is poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to explore physical activity (PA) behaviour among 18-25 year olds with influential factors including attitudes, motivators and barriers.

METHODS

An explanatory mixed method study design, based on health Behaviour Change Theories was used. Those at university/college and in the community, including those Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET) were included. An initial self reported quantitative questionnaire survey underpinned by the Theory of Planned Behaviour and Social Cognitive Theory was conducted. 1313 questionnaires were analysed. Results from this were incorporated into a qualitative phase also grounded in these theories. Seven focus groups were conducted among similar young people, varying in education and socioeconomic status. Exploratory univariate analysis was followed by multi staged modelling to analyse the quantitative data. 'Framework Analysis' was used to analyse the focus groups.

RESULTS

Only 28% of 18-25 year olds achieved recommended levels of PA which decreased with age. Self-reported overweight/obesity prevalence was 22%, increasing with age, particularly in males. Based on the statistical modelling, positive attitudes toward PA were strong predictors of physical activity associated with being physically active and less sedentary. However, strong intentions to do exercise, was not associated with actual behaviour. Interactive discussions through focus groups unravelled attitudes and barriers influencing PA behaviour. Doing PA to feel good and to enjoy themselves was more important for young people than the common assumptions of 'winning' and 'pleasing others'. Further this age group saw traditional health promotion messages as 'empty' and 'fear of their future health' was not a motivating factor to change current behaviour.

CONCLUSION

18-25 year olds are a difficult group to reach and have low levels of PA. Factors such as, 'enjoyment', 'appearance 'and 'feeling good' were deemed important by this specific age group. A targeted intervention incorporating these crucial elements should be developed to improve and sustain PA levels.

Comparing the clinical and histological diagnosis of leprosy and leprosy reactions in the INFIR cohort of Indian patients with multibacillary leprosy

Background

The ILEP Nerve Function Impairment in Reaction (INFIR) is a cohort study designed to identify predictors of reactions and nerve function impairment in leprosy. The aim was to study correlations between clinical and histological diagnosis of reactions.

Methodology/Principal Findings

Three hundred and three newly diagnosed patients with World Health Organization multibacillary (MB) leprosy from two centres in India were enrolled in the study. Skin biopsies taken at enrolment were assessed using a standardised proforma to collect data on the histological diagnosis of leprosy, leprosy reactions and the certainty level of the diagnosis. The pathologist diagnosed definite or probable Type 1 Reactions (T1R) in 113 of 265 biopsies from patients at risk of developing reactions whereas clinicians diagnosed skin only reactions in 39 patients and 19 with skin and nerve involvement. Patients with Borderline Tuberculoid (BT) leprosy had a clinical diagnosis rate of reactions of 43% and a histological diagnosis rate of 61%; for patients with Borderline Lepromatous (BL) leprosy the clinical and histological diagnosis rates were 53.7% and 46.2% respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of clinical diagnosis for T1R was 53.1% and 61.9% for BT patients and 61.1% and 71.0% for BL patients. Erythema Nodosum Leprosum (ENL) was diagnosed clinically in two patients but histologically in 13 patients. The Ridley-Jopling classification of patients (n = 303) was 42.8% BT, 27.4% BL, 9.4% Lepromatous Leprosy (LL), 13.0% Indeterminate and 7.4% with non-specific inflammation. This data shows that MB classification is very heterogeneous and encompasses patients with no detectable bacteria and high immunological activity through to patients with high bacterial loads.

Conclusions/Significance

Leprosy reactions may be under-diagnosed by clinicians and increasing biopsy rates would help in the diagnosis of reactions. Future studies should look at sub-clinical T1R and ENL and whether they have impact on clinical outcomes.

Leprosy affects skin and peripheral nerves. Although we have antibiotics to treat the mycobacterial infection, the accompanying inflammation is a major part of the disease process. This can worsen after starting antibacterial treatment with episodes of immune mediated inflammation, so called reactions. These are associated with worsening of nerve damage. However, diagnosing these reactions is not straightforward. They can be diagnosed clinically by examination or by microscopic examination of the skin biopsies. We studied a cohort of 303 newly diagnosed leprosy patients in India and compared the diagnosis rates by clinical examination and microscopy and found that the microscopic diagnosis has higher rates of diagnosis for both types of reaction. This suggests that clinicians and pathologists have different thresholds for diagnosing reactions. More work is needed to optimise both clinical and pathological diagnosis. In this cohort 43% of patients had Borderline Tuberculoid leprosy, an immunologically active type, and 20% of the biopsies showed only minimal inflammation, perhaps these patients had very early disease or self-healing. The public health implication of this work is that leprosy centres need to be supported by pathologists to help with the clinical management of difficult cases.

Reduced lung function due to biomass smoke exposure in young adults in rural Nepal

This study aimed to assess the effects of biomass smoke exposure on lung function in a Nepalese population, addressing some of the methodological issues seen in previous studies. We carried out a cross-sectional study of adults in a population exposed to biomass smoke and a non-exposed population in Nepal. Questionnaire and lung function data were acquired along with direct measures of indoor and outdoor air quality. Ventilatory function (forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV(1)), forced vital capacity (FVC) and forced expiratory flow at 25-75% of FVC) was significantly reduced in the population using biomass across all age groups compared to the non-biomass-using population, even in the youngest (16-25 yrs) age group (mean FEV(1) (95% CI) 2.65 (2.57-2.73) versus 2.83 (2.74-2.91) L; p=0.004). Airflow obstruction was twice as common among biomass users compared with liquefied petroleum gas users (8.1% versus 3.6%; p<0.001), with similar patterns for males (7.4% versus 3.3%; p=0.022) and females (10.8% versus 3.8%; p<0.001), based on the lower limit of normal. Smoking was a major risk factor for airflow obstruction, but biomass exposure added to the risk. Exposure to biomass smoke is associated with deficits in lung function, an effect that can be detected as early as the late teenage years. Biomass smoke and cigarette smoke have additive adverse effects on airflow obstruction in this setting.

Reasons for non- use of condoms and self- efficacy among female sex workers: a qualitative study in Nepal

Background

Heterosexual contact is the most common mode of transmission of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) including Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) in Nepal and it is largely linked to sex work. We assessed the non-use of condoms in sex work with intimate sex partners by female sex workers (FSWs) and the associated self-efficacy to inform the planning of STI/HIV prevention programmes in the general population.

Methods

This paper is based on a qualitative study of Female Sex Workers (FSWs) in Nepal. In-depth interviews and extended field observation were conducted with 15 FSWs in order to explore issues of safe sex and risk management in relation to their work place, health and individual behaviours.

Results

The main risk factor identified for the non-use of condoms with intimate partners and regular clients was low self efficacy. Non-use of condoms with husband and boyfriends placed them at risk of STIs including HIV. In addition to intimidation and violence from the police, clients and intimate partners, clients' resistance and lack of negotiation capacity were identified as barriers in using condoms by the FSWs.

Conclusion

This study sheds light on the live and work of FSWs in Nepal. This information is relevant for both the Government of Nepal and Non Governmental Organisations (NGO) to help improve the position of FSWs in the community, their general well-being and to reduce their risks at work.

Attitudes of General Practitioner Registrars and Their Trainers Toward Obesity Prevention in Adults

Obesity prevalence in developed countries is around 25% and rising. Prevention is beginning to receive attention. In the United Kingdom, general practice provides services to most of the population; on average, a patient is seen 4 times a year. Doctors’ attitudes toward obesity prevention have not been well documented. Objectives: Obtain doctors’ views toward obesity prevention and determine any differences between registrars and their trainers. Methods: During 2006-2007, a postal questionnaire was sent to all general practitioner registrars in Scotland and their trainers. The questions included individual details, opinions about current obesity prevention strategies, and facts about current obesity prevention practices. Results: Of those targeted (103 registrars, 91 trainers), 51% responded, representing 5% of all general practitioners in Scotland. Most agreed obesity and its prevention were important. However, more experienced practitioners were less convinced as to whether primary care could or should help with obesity prevention. Individual change was viewed as important, whereas primary care screening was of least importance. Conclusion: As the largest survey on doctors’ attitudes about obesity prevention, these results indicate that obesity and its prevention are important but that there are concerns and differences between registrars and trainers, in that trainers are more neutral about their agreement. A multifaceted approach building on current good practices of general practitioners with support from other specialty care providers may help to minimize the risk of alienation, fear, and resistance to primary care involvement for both treatment and prevention of obesity. However, resources and training would be necessary, along with methods to protect the doctor/patient relationship.

Potential effect of the World Health Organization's 2011-2015 global leprosy strategy on the prevalence of grade 2 disability: a trend analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess different countries' chances of attaining the 2011-2015 global leprosy target set by the World Health Organization (WHO) and to assess the strategy's effect on the prevalence of grade 2 disability (G2D).

METHODS

Trends in G2D rate were analysed for Brazil, China, India and Thailand and figures were compared with the WHO target: a 35% decrease by 2015 relative to the 2010 baseline. To estimate the prevalence of G2D in 2015 and 2035 for each country three assumptions were made: (i) maintenance of the current trend; (ii) attainment of the WHO target, and (iii) reduction of G2D by 50% every 5 years relative to 2010.

FINDINGS

Since 1995, the G2D rate has decreased every 5 years in Brazil, China, India and Thailand by 12.7% (95% confidence interval, CI: 6.6-18.3), 7.7% (95% CI: 1.1-12.8), 53.7% (95% CI: 38.1-65.4) and 35.9% (95% CI: 23.4-46.3), respectively. New cases with G2D detected after 2010 will contribute 15% (Brazil), 3% (China), 2.5% (India) and 4% (Thailand) to the total prevalence of G2D in 2015. If no policies are changed, between 2015 and 2035, the prevalence of G2D will decrease by more than half in China, India and Thailand, and by 16% in Brazil.

CONCLUSION

The implications of attaining the WHO target are different for each country and using indicators other than G2D prevalence will help monitor progress. The strategy will not immediately reduce the prevalence of G2D, but if it is applied consistently over the next 25 years, its long-term effect can be substantial.

Utilisation of sexual health services by female sex workers in Nepal

Background

The Nepal Demographic Health Survey (NDHS) in 2006 showed that more than half (56%) of the women with sexually transmitted infections (STIs), including HIV, in Nepal sought sexual health services. There is no such data for female sex workers (FSWs) and the limited studies on this group suggest they do not even use routine health services. This study explores FSWs use of sexual health services and the factors associated with their use and non-use of services.

Methods

This study aimed to explore the factors associated with utilisation of sexual health services by FSWs in the Kathmandu Valley of Nepal, and it used a mixed-method approach consisting of an interviewer administered questionnaire-based survey and in-depth interviews.

Results

The questionnaire survey, completed with 425 FSWs, showed that 90% FSWs self-reported sickness, and (30.8%) reported symptoms of STIs. A quarter (25%) of those reporting STIs had never visited any health facilities especially for sexual health services preferring to use non-governmental clinics (72%), private clinics (50%), hospital (27%) and health centres (13%). Multiple regression analysis showed that separated, married and street- based FSWs were more likely to seek health services from the clinics or hospitals. In- depth interviews with 15 FSWs revealed that FSWs perceived that personal, structural and socio-cultural barriers, such as inappropriate clinic opening hours, discrimination, the judgemental attitude of the service providers, lack of confidentiality, fear of public exposure, and higher fees for the services as barriers to their access and utilisation of sexual health services.

Conclusion

FSWs have limited access to information and to health services, and operate under personal, structural and socio-cultural constraints. The 'education' to change individual behaviour, health worker and community perceptions, as well as the training of the health workers, is necessary.

Weight loss interventions in young people (18 to 25 year olds): a systematic review

This systematic review assesses weight loss interventions in young adults (18-25 years), who are vulnerable to weight gain. This age group experience critical life course points (leaving home for higher studies or job, pregnancy, cohabitation) and develop/establish lifestyle and behavioural patterns making this an opportune intervention period. Medline, Embase, Cinahl, PsychINFO and Cochrane Library were searched (1980 to March 2008). All trials and cohort studies with control groups that assessed weight loss interventions in this specific age group were included finally identifying 14 studies. Before and after comparison of behavioural/motivational interventions (-2.40 kg; 95% CI -5.4 to 0.6) and combination interventions (-2.96; 95% CI -4.4 to -1.5) consistently showed weight loss. Behavioural/motivational interventions increased self-efficacy, the desire to control weight, boosted self-esteem, and increased satisfaction with body areas and appearance. Interventions also showed improvements in HDL cholesterol, insulin, glucose and maximum oxygen uptake. However, recruitment to participation in interventions was a barrier for this age group with small sample sizes and short-term interventions. There may be gender differences in preference to participation in certain type of interventions. Further research to understand attitudes towards healthy lifestyle and preferences of interventions is needed to develop suitable interventions for this vulnerable age group.

Leprosy

INTRODUCTION

The World Health Organization field leprosy classification is based on the number of skin lesions: paucibacillary leprosy (1-5 skin lesions), and multibacillary leprosy (more than 5 skin lesions). Worldwide, about 250,000 new cases of leprosy are reported each year, and about 2 million people have leprosy-related disabilities.

METHODS AND OUTCOMES

We conducted a systematic review and aimed to answer the following clinical questions: What are the effects of interventions to prevent leprosy? What are the effects of treatments for leprosy? We searched: Medline, Embase, The Cochrane Library, and other important databases up to September 2009 (Clinical Evidence reviews are updated periodically, please check our website for the most up-to-date version of this review). We included harms alerts from relevant organisations such as the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the UK Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA).

RESULTS

We found 20 systematic reviews, RCTs, or observational studies that met our inclusion criteria. We performed a GRADE evaluation of the quality of evidence for interventions.

CONCLUSIONS

In this systematic review we present information relating to the effectiveness and safety of the following interventions: chemoprophylaxis with single-dose rifampicin, Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) plus killed Mycobacterium leprae vaccine, BCG vaccine, ICRC vaccine, multidrug treatment, multiple-dose treatment, Mycobacterium w vaccine, and single-dose treatment.

COPD and chronic bronchitis risk of indoor air pollution from solid fuel: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Over half the world is exposed daily to the smoke from combustion of solid fuels. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the main contributors to the global burden of disease and can be caused by biomass smoke exposure. However, studies of biomass exposure and COPD show a wide range of effect sizes. The aim of this systematic review was to quantify the impact of biomass smoke on the development of COPD and define reasons for differences in the reported effect sizes.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted of studies with sufficient statistical power to calculate the health risk of COPD from the use of solid fuel, which followed standardised criteria for the diagnosis of COPD and which dealt with confounding factors. The results were pooled by fuel type and country to produce summary estimates using a random effects model. Publication bias was also estimated.

RESULTS

There were positive associations between the use of solid fuels and COPD (OR=2.80, 95% CI 1.85 to 4.0) and chronic bronchitis (OR=2.32, 95% CI 1.92 to 2.80). Pooled estimates for different types of fuel show that exposure to wood smoke while performing domestic work presents a greater risk of development of COPD and chronic bronchitis than other fuels.

CONCLUSION

Despite heterogeneity across the selected studies, exposure to solid fuel smoke is consistently associated with COPD and chronic bronchitis. Efforts should be made to reduce exposure to solid fuel by using either cleaner fuel or relatively cleaner technology while performing domestic work.

Analysis of the UK recommendations on obesity based on a proposed implementation framework

BACKGROUND

There is considerable expertise in the obesity field in identifying, appraising, and synthesising evidence to develop guidelines and recommendations for policy and practice. The recommendations, while based on evidence, are not formulated in a way that readily leads to implementation. This paper analyses the recent UK recommendations on obesity using a proposed implementation framework.

METHODS

Two bibliographic databases (Medline and Embase) and various health related and government websites were systematically searched for obesity recommendations published between 1996 and 2007. All the documents published on recommendations for either prevention or treatment of obesity in the UK were assessed. A proposed implementation framework was developed for the purpose of this review. All the UK recommendations were critically appraised and results summarised according to the criteria used within the framework. Cross-country applicability of the proposed framework was assessed using the Swedish policy recommendations on obesity.

RESULTS

Most recommendations on obesity while demonstrating their basis in evidence, fail to meet the implementation standards. They tend to be non-specific in identifying who is responsible for implementation and monitoring, and often no timescale is indicated. The costs of implementation are rarely estimated and those responsible for such funding are not specified. There are some notable exemptions to the general pattern emanating from more operational and locally based groups. The Swedish policy details 79 proposals with responsibility clearly identified and costs are presented for 20 of them. This policy satisfied most of the framework criteria but failed to give details on evaluation, monitoring and the timeframe for implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

Public health has developed skills in appraising evidence and formulating recommendations based on appropriate evidence but these are often not implemented. Different skills are required to translate these recommendations into actions. Public health clearly needs to develop the implementation skills to a level comparable to the ability to synthesise evidence.

Getting the most out of Student Selected Components: 12 tips for participating students

BACKGROUND

Student Selected Components (SSCs) are an established feature of UK undergraduate medical curricula that offer students choice. They represent a large investment in time and resources. Although programmes vary between Schools, the major learning objectives remain broadly similar. Providing students engage fully with the activity, the final learning outcomes should also be comparable. However, engaging effectively and purposefully with such programmes may not be a clear and straightforward process for students.

AIM

To present the challenges and solutions to inform students how to derive the greatest benefit from the learning activities in their SSC programmes.

METHODS

Synthesis of the accumulated experience over more than 10 years of developing, running and evaluating SSCs by the Directors of SSCs in five Scottish Medical Schools, combined with analysis of course evaluation and student feedback.

RESULTS

Consensus defined 12 tips aimed at improving the approach taken by students to their SSCs, and to provide a structure to maximise their final learning outcomes.

CONCLUSION

SSC programmes provide diverse opportunities for students to develop and expand their learning. With increasing emphasis being placed upon student assessment to judge a wide range of professional skills and standards into foundation and specialist training, much greater importance is now being given to SSCs as an opportunity for personal, professional and academic developments. However, it is important that this is performed in a purposeful manner to maximise this opportunity. These 12 tips provide guidance to students on how they can maximise the opportunity presented to them by SSCs.

Predicting neuropathy and reactions in leprosy at diagnosis and before incident events-results from the INFIR cohort study

BACKGROUND

Leprosy is a disease of skin and peripheral nerves. The process of nerve injury occurs gradually through the course of the disease as well as acutely in association with reactions. The INFIR (ILEP Nerve Function Impairment and Reactions) Cohort was established to identify clinically relevant neurological and immunological predictors for nerve injury and reactions.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

The study, in two centres in India, recruited 188 new, previously untreated patients with multi-bacillary leprosy who had no recent nerve damage. These patients underwent a series of novel blood tests and nerve function testing including motor and sensory nerve conduction, warm and cold detection thresholds, vibrometry, dynamometry, monofilament sensory testing and voluntary muscle testing at diagnosis and at monthly follow up for the first year and every second month for the second year. During the 2 year follow up a total of 74 incident events were detected. Sub-clinical changes to nerve function at diagnosis and during follow-up predicted these new nerve events. Serological assays at baseline and immediately before an event were not predictive; however, change in TNF alpha before an event was a statistically significant predictor of that event.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

These findings increase our understanding of the processes of nerve damage in leprosy showing that nerve function impairment is more widespread than previously appreciated. Any nerve involvement, including sub-clinical changes, is predictive of further nerve function impairment. These new factors could be used to identify patients at high risk of developing impairment and disability.

Cost-effectiveness of interventions to prevent disability in leprosy: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Prevention of disability (POD) is one of the key objectives of leprosy programmes. Recently, coverage and access have been identified as the priority issues in POD. Assessing the cost-effectiveness of POD interventions is highly relevant to understanding the barriers and opportunities to achieving universal coverage and access with limited resources. The purpose of this study was to systematically review the quality of existing cost-effectiveness evidence and discuss implications for future research and strategies to prevent disability in leprosy and other disabling conditions.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

We searched electronic databases (NHS EED, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and LILACS) and databases of ongoing trials (www.controlled-trials.com/mrct/, www.who.int/trialsearch). We checked reference lists and contacted experts for further relevant studies. We included studies that reported both cost and effectiveness outcomes of two or more alternative interventions to prevent disability in leprosy. We assessed the quality of the identified studies using a standard checklist for critical appraisal of economic evaluations of health care programmes. We found 66 citations to potentially relevant studies and three met our criteria. Two were randomised controlled trials (footwear, management of neuritis) and one was a generic model-based study (cost per DALY). Generally, the studies were small in size, reported inadequately all relevant costs, uncertainties in estimates, and issues of concern and were based on limited data sources. No cost-effectiveness data on self-care, which is a key strategy in POD, was found.

CONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE

Evidence for cost-effectiveness of POD interventions for leprosy is scarce. High quality research is needed to identify POD interventions that offer value for money where resources are very scarce, and to develop strategies aimed at available, affordable and sustainable quality POD services for leprosy. The findings are relevant for other chronically disabling conditions, such as lymphatic filariasis, Buruli ulcer and diabetes in developing countries.

Obesity as an independent risk factor for elective and emergency caesarean delivery in nulliparous women--systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

The objective of the study was to investigate the association between increasing maternal body mass index (BMI) and elective/emergency caesarean delivery rates. Systematic review and meta-analysis of published cohort studies were used. The bibliographic databases, MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, were searched systematically, with no language restrictions, from 1996 to May 2007. MeSH terms and key words for 'pregnancy', 'obesity', 'overweight,''body mass index' and 'caesarean section' were combined with the Cochrane Collaboration strategy for identifying primary studies. Finally, 11 papers were considered eligible for inclusion in the review. Although all the papers were cohort studies, only three were prospective in nature. Compared with women with normal BMI (20-25 kg m(-2)), the crude pooled odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for caesarean section in overweight (BMI 25-30 kg m(-2)), obese (BMI 30-35 kg m(-2)) and morbidly obese (BMI > 35 kg m(-2)) women were 1.53 (1.48, 1.58), 2.26 (2.04, 2.51) and 3.38 (2.49, 4.57) respectively. The pooled odds of having an emergency caesarean section were 1.64 (95% confidence intervals 1.55, 1.73) in overweight and 2.23 (2.07, 2.42) in obese women. Caesarean delivery risk is increased by 50% in overweight women and is more than double for obese women compared with women with normal BMI.

Corticosteroids for treating nerve damage in leprosy. A Cochrane review

OBJECTIVE

Corticosteroids are commonly used for treating nerve damage in leprosy. We assessed the effectiveness of corticosteroids for treating nerve damage due to leprosy.

METHODS

A systematic search was undertaken to identify randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing corticosteroids with placebo or with no treatment. Two authors independently assessed quality and extracted data. Where it was not possible to perform a meta-analysis, the data for each trial was summarised.

RESULTS

Three RCTs involving 513 people were found. Two trials compared prednisolone with placebo. One trial treated mild sensory impairment of less than 6 months duration and the other trial treated nerve function impairment of 6 to 24 months duration. Both trials examined nerve function improvement 12 months from the start of treatment, but found no significant difference between the two groups. The third trial compared three corticosteroid regimens for severe type 1 reactions. After 12 months, a significantly higher proportion of individuals on a 3 month course required extra corticosteroids compared to the groups with a high-dose and low-dose regimen of 5 months duration. Diabetes and peptic or infected ulcers were not significantly more often reported in the corticosteroid compared to the placebo group.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence from RCTs does not show a significant long-term effect for either long-standing nerve function impairment or mild sensory impairment. A 5 month corticosteroid regimen was significantly more beneficial than a 3 month corticosteroid regimen. Further RCTs are needed to establish the effectiveness and optimal regimens of corticosteroids and to examine new therapies.

Chemoprophylaxis in the prevention of leprosy

National policies need to be reviewed in the light of new evidence supporting a single dose of rifampicin

Effects of treating postnatal depression on mother-infant interaction and child development: systematic review

BACKGROUND

Postnatal depression has detrimental effects on the child's cognitive and emotional development.

AIMS

To assess the benefits of treating postnatal depression for mother-infant interaction and child development.

METHOD

A systematic search was made of 12 electronic bibliographic databases for randomised controlled trials and controlled clinical trials on treatment of mothers with postnatal depression, where outcomes were assessed in children; findings were assessed.

RESULTS

Only eight trials met the inclusion criteria. Of those included, interventions varied widely but all involved therapies directed at the mother-infant relationship. One study with intensive and prolonged therapy showed cognitive improvement, whereas two others with briefer interventions improved maternal-infant relationships but did not affect the child's cognitive or behavioural development. All five studies assessing only mother-infant relationships showed improvements.

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive development in children of depressed mothers, along with better mother-infant relationships, might be improved with sustained interventions. Trials assessing treatments for postnatal depression would benefit from looking more closely at benefits for children as well as mothers, using validated objective measures.

Long-term weight loss effects on all cause mortality in overweight/obese populations

This systematic review assesses the long-term effectiveness of weight loss on all cause mortality in overweight/obese people. Medline, Embase and Cinahl were searched (1966-2005). Cohort studies and trials on participants with body mass index > or =25 kg m(-2), with weight change and mortality with > or =2-year follow-up, were included finally identifying 11 papers based on eight studies. There may be gender differences in the benefits for all cause mortality. The impact of weight loss in men on mortality was not clear with some studies indicating weight loss to be detrimental, while a recent cohort study showed benefits, if it were a personal decision. Other studies with no gender separation had similarly mixed results. However, one study indicated that overweight/obese women with obesity-related illness, who lost weight intentionally within 1 year, had significantly reduced mortality rates of 19-25%. In contrast, studies of overweight/obese diabetics irrespective of gender showed significant benefit of intentional weight loss on mortality in a meta-analysis, hazard ratios = 0.75 (0.67-0.83). There is some evidence that intentional weight loss has long-term benefits on all cause mortality for women and more so for diabetics. Long-term effects especially for men are not clear and need further investigation.

A prospective national study of acute renal failure treated with RRT: incidence, aetiology and outcomes

BACKGROUND

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a diverse condition with no standardized definition and is managed in several sub-specialty areas within hospitals. Its incidence and aetiology are unknown and studies show a wide range of incidences. ARF is becoming more common as the population ages leading to the hypothesis that the incidence is much higher than previous estimates.

METHODS

This prospective population study investigated the incidence, aetiology and outcomes of ARF based on a standardized classification of ARF treated by renal replacement therapy (RRT) in all sub-specialty areas within hospitals where such treatment takes place. Data were collected prospectively on all patients starting RRT for ARF within three 12-week periods in 2002.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighty-six adults per million population (pmp) per year received RRT for ARF. The incidence increased with age and pre-existing comorbid illness. Two hundred twelve adults pmp per year had no evidence of pre-existing chronic kidney disease (CKD) and the remainder had acute on CKD. The median age was 67 years. Fifty-one percent of the patients received their first RRT treatment in a critical care setting. Sepsis was the most common aetiological insult contributing to ARF in 48% of the patients. Mortality was high with 48% dying within 90 days of starting RRT. Age, comorbidity, sepsis and recent surgery were independent risk factors for death in those with no pre-existing CKD.

DISCUSSION

This is the first national study to describe ARF treated with RRT in all hospital locations. The hypothesis that ARF occurs more frequently than previously thought has been confirmed. This study provides data upon which to base effective decision making for prevention, patient care and resource planning for patients with ARF.

Corticosteroids for treating nerve damage in leprosy

BACKGROUND

Leprosy causes nerve damage which can result in nerve function impairment and disability. Corticosteroids are commonly used for treating nerve damage, although the long-term effect is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of corticosteroids on nerve damage in leprosy.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Neuromuscular Disease Group Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (Issue 4), MEDLINE (from 1966), EMBASE (from 1980), CINAHL (from 1980), LILACS (from 1982) in January 2006. We checked reference lists of the studies identified, the Current Controlled Trials Register (www.controlled-trials.com), conference proceedings and contacted trial authors.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised and quasi-randomised controlled trials of corticosteroids for nerve damage in leprosy.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

The primary outcome was improvement in sensory and motor nerve function after one year. Secondary outcomes were improvement in nerve function after two years, change in nerve pain and tenderness, and adverse events. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed trial quality. We contacted trial authors for additional information. We collected adverse effects and cost effectiveness information from the trials and non-randomised studies.

MAIN RESULTS

We included three randomised controlled trials involving 513 people. Two trials compared prednisolone with placebo. One trial treated mild sensory impairment of less than six months duration and the other trial treated nerve function impairment of 6 to 24 months duration. Both trials examined an effect twelve months from the start of treatment. There was no significant difference in nerve function improvement between people treated with prednisolone or with placebo. The third trial compared three corticosteroid regimens for severe type 1 reactions. This trial did not report the prespecified outcomes. However, after 12 months, a significantly higher proportion of individuals on a 3-month course of prednisolone required extra corticosteroids compared to the groups with a high-dose and low-dose regimen of five months duration. Diabetes and peptic or infected ulcer were sometimes reported as serious adverse events in the placebo-controlled trials, but not significantly more often in the corticosteroid than placebo groups.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Corticosteroids are used for treating acute nerve damage in leprosy, but evidence from randomised controlled trials does not show a significant long-term effect. Randomised controlled trials are needed to establish their effectiveness, the optimal regimens and to examine new therapies.

Promoting early detection in leprosy--a literature review to identify proven and potential interventions addressing patient-related delay

OBJECTIVES

The objective of the literature review was to identify proven and potential interventions to promote early diagnosis and start of treatment in leprosy, specifically, forms of intervention addressing needs at the local or primary level.

DESIGN

Using a structured search procedure, we identified recent leprosy-related publications describing proven interventions. To identify potential interventions the search was extended to publications assessing knowledge and attitudes towards leprosy and extended again to identify publications relating to patient-related delay in the context of other infectious diseases.

RESULTS

The review identified just 19 publications reporting leprosy-related interventions that included a form of evaluation of which only 10 directly addressed patient-related delay. These included health education interventions focussed on people directly affected by leprosy, their family members and other key individuals or groups within the local community. We identified no reports of interventions focussed specifically on the needs of women.

CONCLUSIONS

Our conclusion is that the evidence base available to inform the choice of small-scale interventions to promote early detection at the primary level is extremely limited. There is an urgent need to develop and extend the range of proven interventions, specifically those that address the needs of women, those that explore and develop the health promotion potential of people previously affected by,leprosy and those that exploit the potential of individuals with leadership roles within the community. This will require careful attention to planning, implementation, evaluation and reporting of interventions.

Pilot study of the incidence and prognosis of degenerative Parkinsonian disorders in Aberdeen, United Kingdom: Methods and preliminary results

The objective of this study was to test the methods for a large study of the incidence and prognosis of Parkinson's disease and other degenerative parkinsonian disorders and provide provisional incidence figures. This was a community-based prospective study to identify patients with newly diagnosed non-drug-induced Parkinsonism (>or=2 of tremor, rigidity, bradykinesia, postural instability) from a population of 148,600 people in Aberdeen, Scotland, over 18 months. Multiple search strategies were used to identify patients, including some population screening. Incident patients and age/sex-matched controls had assessments of impairment, disability, quality of life, mood, and cognition and are being followed up yearly. Two hundred and two people with possible parkinsonian symptoms were assessed, and 82 incident patients were identified, 50 with probable Parkinson's disease. The crude incidences of probable Parkinsonism and probable Parkinson's disease were 31.4/100,000/year (95% CI: 24.5-39.7) and 22.4/100,000/year (95% CI: 16.6-29.6), respectively. The mean age of diagnosis of Parkinson's disease was 76.1 +/- 10.0 years and the incidence was greater in men. The methods were generally successful. Provisionally, we found a higher incidence of Parkinson's disease than other comparable studies, and our patients were considerably older. This may reflect better case ascertainment in the elderly. A larger study is planned.

Multi-centre, double blind, randomized trial of three steroid regimens in the treatment of type-1 reactions in leprosy

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this randomized trial was to compare three different steroid regimens in treating type 1 reactions in leprosy in routine clinical practice.

DESIGN

The study design was a multicentre, double-blind, randomized, controlled, parallel group trial in patients with acute reversal reactions. The trial was conducted in six leprosy treatment centres in India. A total of 334 participants with acute type 1 reaction were recruited to the trial and randomized to one of three prednisolone regimens: high dose (60 mg per day) or low dose (30 mg per day) both tapered over 20 weeks, and short duration (60 mg per day tapered over 12 weeks). The main outcome measure was the proportion of patients failing to respond to treatment and requiring additional steroids.

RESULTS

At the end of 12 months, 46% on the short course required additional steroids compared with 31% on the low dose and 24% on the high dose regimen.

CONCLUSIONS

The two 20-week regimens were significantly better than the 12-week regimen. The high dose 20-week regimen was marginally and non-significantly better than the low dose regimen, but the high dose regimen contained 50% more steroid. Reactions in leprosy persist over many months and require long courses of steroids.

Evaluating effectiveness of complex interventions aimed at reducing maternal mortality in developing countries

BACKGROUND

Reducing the worldwide mortality ratio by 75 per cent between 1990 and 2015 is a key Millennium Development Goal. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the accepted 'gold standard' to assess the effectiveness of interventions but they are not always appropriate for practical, ethical or economic reasons in developing countries. This study examines the use of cluster randomized trials and quasi-experimental (nonrandomized) study designs to evaluate complex interventions implemented to reduce maternal mortality.

METHODS

We systematically searched electronic databases including MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, BNI, ASSIA, IBSS, CSA and COCHRANE. English language publications between 1990 and 2003 were included. Studies that assessed the effects of complex interventions aimed at reducing maternal mortality in developing countries were included.

RESULTS

Four cluster randomized trials and eleven quasi-experimental studies were identified. Two cluster randomized trials examined reduction in prenatal visits with no adverse effects on maternal mortality. Two trials assessed the effects of vitamin A supplementation. Both trials found a significant reduction in maternal mortality ratios after vitamin A supplementation. A decline in maternal deaths was reported in eight of the nonrandomized studies. Measuring maternal mortality was a frequent problem because of insufficient sample sizes and/or poor recording methods. Other limitations include lack of suitable comparison groups and difficulties assessing the effects of confounding factors in the quasi-experimental studies.

CONCLUSIONS

RCTs may not be appropriate to evaluate complex interventions in maternal mortality and cluster RCTs and quasi-experimental designs may be more suitable. However, further work is required to improve the robustness of such alternative study designs.

Effects of weight loss in overweight/obese individuals and long-term hypertension outcomes: a systematic review

Many studies have assessed short-term effects of weight loss on blood pressure, whereas little attention has been paid to long-term effects. We conducted a systematic review to evaluate the long-term effects of weight loss on hypertension outcome measures in adults using literature published from 1966 to 2001. All prospective studies and trials, performed on participants with body mass index of > or =28 kg/m2 with a follow-up of >2 years and weight changes recorded, were included. The data from these studies were used to model the long-term effects on blood pressure. Previous reviews on shorter-term studies indicate a 1:1 drop in blood pressure (mm Hg) with weight loss (kilograms). Our findings, based on studies with follow-up of > or =2 years, demonstrate blood pressure decreases less than this after weight loss. The surgical intervention studies exhibited huge weight losses with undramatic blood pressures changes. When surgical interventions are excluded, the models suggest that for 10 kg weight loss, decreases of 4.6 mm Hg and 6.0 mm Hg in diastolic and systolic blood pressure, respectively, may be expected, about half of that predicted from the short-term trials. Initial blood pressure, the length of follow-up, medication changes, and physiological restrictions may contribute to this reduced effect in the long-term studies. Extrapolation of short-term blood pressure changes with weight loss to the longer term is potentially misleading. The weight/hypertension relationship is complex and needs well-conducted studies with long-term follow-up to examine the effects of weight loss on hypertension outcomes.

Long-term follow-up of breast cancer survivors with post-mastectomy pain syndrome

Post-mastectomy pain syndrome (PMPS) is a recognised complication of breast surgery although little is known about the long-term outcome of this chronic pain condition. In 1996, Smith et al identified a prevalence rate of PMPS of 43% among 408 women in the Grampian Region, Northeast Scotland. The aim of this study was to assess long-term outcome at 7–12 years postoperatively in this cohort of women, to describe the natural history of PMPS and impact of pain upon quality of life. Chronic pain and quality of life were assessed using the McGill Pain Questionnaire (MPQ) and Short Form-36 (SF-36). Of 175 women reporting PMPS in 1996, 138 were eligible for questionnaire follow-up in 2002. Mean time since surgery was 9 years (s.d. 1.8 years). A response rate of 82% (113 out of 138) was achieved; 59 out of 113 (52%) women reported continued PMPS and 54 out of 113 (48%) women reported their PMPS had resolved since the previous survey in 1996. Quality of life scores were significantly lower in women with persistent PMPS compared to those women whose pain had resolved. However, for women with persistent PMPS, SF-36 scores had improved over time. Risk factors for persistent PMPS included younger age and heavier weight. This study found that, of women reporting PMPS in 1996, half of those surveyed in 2002 continued to experience PMPS at a mean of 9 years after surgery.

Factors contributing to delay in diagnosis and start of treatment of leprosy: analysis of help-seeking narratives in northern Bangladesh and in West Bengal, India

The objective of our research was to identify factors contributing to delay in diagnosis and start of treatment in leprosy, focussing on patients' narratives of help-seeking behaviour. Our research took place in Purulia, West Bengal, India and in Nilphamari, northern Bangladesh. Between January and August 2000, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 104 patients that explored each individual's narrative of help-seeking behaviour and the context of beliefs and attitudes towards leprosy. Subsequently we surveyed 356 patients currently receiving treatment for leprosy and recorded specific aspects of each help-seeking action and their reports of local beliefs and attitudes towards leprosy. Delay was estimated from time of first symptoms through to start of effective treatment (mean 18 months, median 9 months in Purulia and mean 20 months, median 12 months in Nilphamari). The number of help-seeking actions ranged from 1 to 7. Time committed to first actions contributed 86% (Nilphamari) and 79% (Purulia) to total delay. The most important contributor to delay in the first action occurred when people simply monitored or ignored first symptoms, 80% in Nilphamari and 67% in Purulia. With delay longer than 12 months as outcome, logistic regression analyses identified age over 35 years, multiple visits to practitioners in traditional medicine and multiple visits to health service practitioners as predictive of delay. Attending a nearby clinic and exposure to health education materials were predictive of early presentation reduced delay.

General practitioners' concerns about childhood immunisation and suggestions for improving professional support and vaccine uptake

In recent years childhood vaccination has been vigorously debated. Professional and parental confidence in the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine in particular has been shaken, as reflected by its decreased uptake. A semi-structured postal questionnaire survey of general practitioners (GPs) working in the Highland region of Scotland was undertaken to assess their views on vaccination issues. A 73% response rate was achieved. Of respondents 28% expressed concerns about the possible side effects of MMR. Of GPs 98% thought it was 'likely' that the benefits of the DTP-Hib, polio and men C vaccines outweighed the possible risks. For the first and second doses of MMR 92% and 86%, respectively, believed this to be true. Approximately three quarters of GPs described themselves 'very confident' in discussing the DTP-Hib vaccine with parents, compared with 57% for MMR. Some respondents were misinformed regarding the adverse events associated with the MMR vaccine. There is professional concern about MMR. Initiatives to support GPs in promoting vaccination in order to improve immunisation rates are discussed.