Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential predicts incident cardiac arrhythmias

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), the age-related expansion of blood cells with preleukemic mutations, is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and heart failure. This study aimed to test the association of CHIP with new-onset arrhythmias.

METHODS

UK Biobank participants without prevalent arrhythmias were included. Co-primary study outcomes were supraventricular arrhythmias, bradyarrhythmias, and ventricular arrhythmias. Secondary outcomes were cardiac arrest, atrial fibrillation, and any arrhythmia. Associations of any CHIP [variant allele fraction (VAF) ≥ 2%], large CHIP (VAF ≥10%), and gene-specific CHIP subtypes with incident arrhythmias were evaluated using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. Associations of CHIP with myocardial interstitial fibrosis [T1 measured using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)] were also tested.

RESULTS

This study included 410 702 participants [CHIP: n = 13 892 (3.4%); large CHIP: n = 9191 (2.2%)]. Any and large CHIP were associated with multi-variable-adjusted hazard ratios of 1.11 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.18; P = .001] and 1.13 (95% CI 1.05-1.22; P = .001) for supraventricular arrhythmias, 1.09 (95% CI 1.01-1.19; P = .031) and 1.13 (95% CI 1.03-1.25; P = .011) for bradyarrhythmias, and 1.16 (95% CI, 1.00-1.34; P = .049) and 1.22 (95% CI 1.03-1.45; P = .021) for ventricular arrhythmias, respectively. Associations were independent of coronary artery disease and heart failure. Associations were also heterogeneous across arrhythmia subtypes and strongest for cardiac arrest. Gene-specific analyses revealed an increased risk of arrhythmias across driver genes other than DNMT3A. Large CHIP was associated with 1.31-fold odds (95% CI 1.07-1.59; P = .009) of being in the top quintile of myocardial fibrosis by CMR.

CONCLUSIONS

CHIP may represent a novel risk factor for incident arrhythmias, indicating a potential target for modulation towards arrhythmia prevention and treatment.

Birth weight influences cardiac structure, function, and disease risk: evidence of a causal association

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Low birth weight is a common pregnancy complication, which has been associated with higher risk of cardiometabolic disease in later life. Prior Mendelian randomization (MR) studies exploring this question do not distinguish the mechanistic contributions of variants that directly influence birth weight through the foetal genome (direct foetal effects), vs. variants influencing birth weight indirectly by causing an adverse intrauterine environment (indirect maternal effects). In this study, MR was used to assess whether birth weight, independent of intrauterine influences, is associated with cardiovascular disease risk and measures of adverse cardiac structure and function.

METHODS

Uncorrelated (r2 < .001), genome-wide significant (P < 5 × 10-8) single nucleotide polymorphisms were extracted from genome-wide association studies summary statistics for birth weight overall, and after isolating direct foetal effects only. Inverse-variance weighted MR was utilized for analyses on outcomes of atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, heart failure, ischaemic stroke, and 16 measures of cardiac structure and function. Multiple comparisons were accounted for by Benjamini-Hochberg correction.

RESULTS

Lower genetically-predicted birth weight, isolating direct foetal effects only, was associated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease (odds ratio 1.21, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.37; P = .031), smaller chamber volumes, and lower stroke volume, but higher contractility.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study support a causal role of low birth weight in cardiovascular disease, even after accounting for the influence of the intrauterine environment. This suggests that individuals with a low birth weight may benefit from early targeted cardiovascular disease prevention strategies, independent of whether this was linked to an adverse intrauterine environment during gestation.

Occupational physical activity predicts baseline and 8-year progression of carotid atherosclerosis among women

INTRODUCTION

Recent reviews link higher levels of occupational physical activity (OPA) to cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the evidence for women is inconsistent and studies of activity-limiting symptomatic CVD are prone to healthy worker survivor effect. To address these limitations, this study investigated OPA effects on asymptomatic carotid artery intima-media thickness (IMT) among women.

METHODS

Participants include 905 women from the population-based Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study with baseline (1998-2001) data on self-reported OPA and sonographic measurement of IMT. Linear mixed models with adjustment for 15 potential confounders estimated and compared mean baseline IMT and 8-year IMT progression for five levels of self-reported OPA. Analyses stratified by cardiovascular health and retirement status were planned because strong interactions between preexisting CVD and OPA intensity have previously been reported.

RESULTS

Light standing work, moderately heavy active work, and heavy or very heavy physical work were all consistently associated with greater baseline IMT and 8-year IMT progression than light sitting work. The greatest baseline IMT was observed for heavy or very heavy physical work (1.21 mm), and the greatest 8-year IMT progression for light standing work and moderately heavy active work (both 0.13 mm), 30% above sitting work (0.10 mm). Stratified analyses showed that these differences were driven by much stronger OPA effects among women with baseline carotid artery stenosis. Retired women experienced slower IMT progression than those working at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher levels of OPA predict higher baseline IMT and 8-year IMT progression, especially among women with baseline stenosis.

Diffusing Capacity and Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Rationale: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality risk is often estimated using the BODE (body mass index, obstruction, dyspnea, exercise capacity) index, including body mass index, forced expiratory volume in 1 second, dyspnea score, and 6-minute walk distance. Diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DlCO) is a potential predictor of mortality that reflects physiology distinct from that in the BODE index. Objectives: This study evaluated DlCO as a predictor of mortality using participants from the COPDGene study. Methods: We performed time-to-event analyses of individuals with COPD (former or current smokers with forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.7) and DlCO measurements from the COPDGene phase 2 visit. Cox proportional hazard methods were used to model survival, adjusting for age, sex, pack-years, smoking status, BODE index, computed tomography (CT) percent emphysema (low attenuation areas below -950 Hounsfield units), CT airway wall thickness, and history of cardiovascular or kidney diseases. C statistics for models with DlCO and BODE scores were used to compare discriminative accuracy. Results: Of 2,329 participants, 393 (16.8%) died during the follow-up period (median = 4.9 yr). In adjusted analyses, for every 10% decrease in DlCO percent predicted, mortality increased by 28% (hazard ratio = 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.41, P < 0.001). When compared with other clinical predictors, DlCO percent predicted performed similarly to BODE (C statistic DlCO = 0.68; BODE = 0.70), and the addition of DlCO to BODE improved its discriminative accuracy (C statistic = 0.71). Conclusions: Diffusing capacity, a measure of gas transfer, strongly predicted all-cause mortality in individuals with COPD, independent of BODE index and CT evidence of emphysema and airway wall thickness. These findings support inclusion of DlCO in prognostic models for COPD.

Immediate Effect of Mechanical Ventilation Mode and Sedative Infusion on Measured Diaphragm Thickness

Rationale: In patients who are mechanically ventilated, diaphragm thinning on ultrasound is thought to correlate with diaphragm atrophy and has been associated with prolonged intubation. Factors other than atrophy, however, may cause changes in diaphragm thickness, which may confound studies examining changes in diaphragm thickness over time. Objectives: To determine if changes in the mode of mechanical ventilation or an interruption of sedatives have immediate effects on diaphragm thickness measurements in adult patients in the intensive care unit who are mechanically ventilated. Methods: Adult patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation for less than 48 hours were included. Diaphragm thickness was measured at end-expiration and peak inspiration using ultrasound while patients were receiving both volume assist-control and pressure-support modes in a randomized crossover fashion. In patients receiving sedatives, additional measurements were taken after an interruption of sedatives. Measurements were compared between modes and on assist-control before and after an interruption of sedatives. Results: Of 85 patients enrolled, 66 had measurements on assist-control and spontaneous modes, and 40 had measurements before and after an interruption of sedatives. End-expiratory diaphragm thickness increased by a median of 0.08 mm after an interruption of sedatives (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.002 mm to 0.164 mm; P = 0.017), corresponding to a median increase of 6.5%. No difference was seen when comparing measurements taken on volume assist-control and pressure support (median difference, 0 mm; 95% CI, -0.07 mm to 0.08 mm; P = 0.98). Conclusions: End-expiratory diaphragm thickness increased by 6.5% after an interruption of sedatives. The effect of sedatives on measured diaphragm thickness should be considered in future studies examining changes in diaphragm thickness over time. Clinical trial registered with Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04319939).