1
|
Mastboim NS, Angel A, Shaham O, Ber TI, Navon R, Simon E, Rosenberg M, Israeli Y, Hainrichson M, Avni N, Reiner E, Feigin P, Oved K, Tadmor B, Singer P, Kagan I, Lev S, Diker D, Jarjou'I A, Kurd R, Ben-Chetrit E, Danziger G, Tegethoff SA, Papan C, Motov S, Shapira M, Stein M, Gottlieb TM, Eden E, Klein A. An immune-protein score combining TRAIL, IP-10 and CRP for predicting severe COVID-19 disease. Cytokine 2023; 169:156246. [PMID: 37327532 PMCID: PMC10235675 DOI: 10.1016/j.cyto.2023.156246] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2023] [Revised: 05/11/2023] [Accepted: 05/21/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
COVID-19 patients are oftentimes over- or under-treated due to a deficit in predictive management tools. This study reports derivation of an algorithm that integrates the host levels of TRAIL, IP-10, and CRP into a single numeric score that is an early indicator of severe outcome for COVID-19 patients and can identify patients at-risk to deteriorate. 394 COVID-19 patients were eligible; 29% meeting a severe outcome (intensive care unit admission/non-invasive or invasive ventilation/death). The score's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.86, superior to IL-6 (AUC 0.77; p = 0.033) and CRP (AUC 0.78; p < 0.001). Likelihood of severe outcome increased significantly (p < 0.001) with higher scores. The score differentiated severe patients who further deteriorated from those who improved (p = 0.004) and projected 14-day survival probabilities (p < 0.001). The score accurately predicted COVID-19 patients at-risk for severe outcome, and therefore has potential to facilitate timely care escalation and de-escalation and appropriate resource allocation.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Paul Feigin
- Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Israel
| | - Kfir Oved
- MeMed, Tirat Carmel, Israel; Canopy Immuno-therapeutics, Israel
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Amir Jarjou'I
- Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Hebrew University School of Medicine, Israel
| | - Ramzi Kurd
- Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Hebrew University School of Medicine, Israel
| | - Eli Ben-Chetrit
- Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Hebrew University School of Medicine, Israel
| | | | | | | | | | - Ma'anit Shapira
- Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Israel; Hillel Yaffe Medical Center, Israel
| | - Michal Stein
- Edmond and Lily Safra Children's Hospital, Sheba Medical Center, Israel; Sackler School of Medicine,Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | | | | | - Adi Klein
- Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Israel; Hillel Yaffe Medical Center, Israel
| |
Collapse
|