Temporal and diurnal variation in social media posts to a suicide support forum

BACKGROUND

Rates of suicide attempts and deaths are highest on Mondays and these occur more frequently in the morning or early afternoon, suggesting weekly temporal and diurnal variation in suicidal behaviour. It is unknown whether there are similar time trends on social media, of posts relevant to suicide. We aimed to determine temporal and diurnal variation in posting patterns on the Reddit forum SuicideWatch, an online community for individuals who might be at risk of, or who know someone at risk of suicide.

METHODS

We used time series analysis to compare date and time stamps of 90,518 SuicideWatch posts from 1st December 2008 to 31st August 2015 to (i) 6,616,431 posts on the most commonly subscribed general subreddit, AskReddit and (ii) 66,934 of these AskReddit posts, which were posted by the SuicideWatch authors.

RESULTS

Mondays showed the highest proportion of posts on SuicideWatch. Clear diurnal variation was observed, with a peak in the early morning (2:00-5:00 h), and a subsequent decrease to a trough in late morning/early afternoon (11:00-14:00 h). Conversely, the highest volume of posts in the control data was between 20:00-23:00 h.

CONCLUSIONS

Posts on SuicideWatch occurred most frequently on Mondays: the day most associated with suicide risk. The early morning peak in SuicideWatch posts precedes the time of day during which suicide attempts and deaths most commonly occur. Further research of these weekly and diurnal rhythms should help target populations with support and suicide prevention interventions when needed most.

Timing of suicide in people with epilepsy: A population-based study from 18 states of the United States, 2003-2014

Suicide timing varies across several psychiatric disorders, which may share common underlying pathophysiological mechanisms with epilepsy. We investigated suicide timing in people with epilepsy. Using cross-sectional, population-based U.S. National Violent Death Reporting System data from 2003 through 2014 in 18 States, we identified 1310 suicides with epilepsy and 102,582 suicides without epilepsy among those 10 years and older. We compared patterns of suicide mortality ratios between those with and without epilepsy by month of year, week of month, day of week, time of day, and overall by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. As the suicide patterns seen among persons without epilepsy, suicides in persons with epilepsy occurred significantly more often during the morning, afternoon, and evening hours than at night in all subgroups except females. Compared to Sundays, suicides in persons with epilepsy were only significantly increased on Mondays and Tuesdays in those aged ≥45 years and only on Mondays in men. This pattern differs from persons without epilepsy whose suicides significantly increased on Mondays and significantly decreased on Saturdays in nearly all study subgroups. Suicides in persons with epilepsy did not exhibit the timing patterns of persons without epilepsy by week of month (significant decreases from the third to fifth weeks compared to the first week among those aged ≥45 years, males, and Non-Hispanic whites) and month of year (significant increases from January to November peaking from June to September compared to December in all study groups). Compared to the general population or people without epilepsy, previous and current studies suggest that in people with epilepsy, suicide timing differs from and suicide rates significantly exceed those in people without epilepsy. Preventing suicide in people with epilepsy should focus not only on the peak times of occurrence but also across all time periods.

The timing of general population and patient suicide in England, 1997-2012

BACKGROUND

There have been conflicting findings on temporal variation in suicide risk and few have examined the phenomenon in clinical populations. The study investigated seasonal and other temporal patterns using national data.

METHODS

Data on 73,591 general population and 19,318 patient suicide deaths in England between 1997 and 2012 were collected through the National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide examining suicide rates in relation to month of the year, day of the week, and individual days of national or religious significance.

RESULTS

Suicide incidence fell over successive months of the year and there was evidence of an overall spring peak. Monday was associated with the highest suicide rates and in the patient population this effect appeared to be more pronounced in those aged over 50 or those who lived alone. Suicide risk was significantly lower during Christmas, particularly for women. There was a peak in suicide on New Year's Day in the general population. Other 'special days' were not associated with a change in suicide incidence.

LIMITATIONS

We were limited to identifying associations between the variables investigated and were unable to explore causal mechanisms. We did not carry out comprehensive multi-variable adjustment in our regression models.

CONCLUSIONS

There is substantial seasonal and temporal variation in suicide deaths, and there appears to be some evidence in the clinical as well as the general population in England. Clinical services should be aware of the risk of suicide just after the weekend, especially in people who live alone, and the potential need for closer supervision during this period.