Modelling counterfactual incidence during the transition towards culture-independent diagnostic testing

BACKGROUND

Culture-independent diagnostic testing (CIDT) provides rapid results to clinicians and is quickly displacing traditional detection methods. Increased CIDT use and sensitivity likely result in higher case detection but might also obscure infection trends. Severe illness outcomes, such as hospitalization and death, are likely less affected by changes in testing practices and can be used as indicators of the expected case incidence trend had testing methods not changed.

METHODS

Using US Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network data during 1996-2019 and mixed effects quasi-Poisson regression, we estimated the expected yearly incidence for nine enteric pathogens.

RESULTS

Removing the effect of CIDT use, CIDT panel testing and culture-confirmation of CIDT testing, the modelled incidence in all but three pathogens (Salmonella, Shigella, STEC O157) was significantly lower than the observed and the upward trend in Campylobacter was reversed from an observed 2.8% yearly increase to a modelled -2.8% yearly decrease (95% credible interval: -4.0, -1.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Severe outcomes may be useful indicators in evaluating trends in surveillance systems that have undergone a marked change.

Changing Diagnostic Testing Practices for Foodborne Pathogens, Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network, 2012-2019

BACKGROUND

Pathogen detection has changed with increased use of culture-independent diagnostic tests (CIDTs). CIDTs do not yield isolates, which are necessary to detect outbreaks using whole-genome sequencing. The Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet) monitors clinical laboratory testing practices to improve interpretation of surveillance data and assess availability of isolates. We describe changes in practices over 8 years.

METHODS

During 2012-2019, 10 FoodNet sites collected standardized data about practices in clinical laboratories (range, 664-723 laboratories) for select enteric pathogens. We assessed changes in practices.

RESULTS

During 2012-2019, the percentage of laboratories that used only culture methods decreased, with the largest declines for Vibrio (99%-57%) and Yersinia (99%-60%). During 2019, the percentage of laboratories using only CIDTs was highest for Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (43%), Campylobacter (34%), and Vibrio (34%). From 2015 to 2019, the percentage of laboratories that performed reflex culture after a positive CIDT decreased, with the largest declines for Shigella (75%-42%) and Salmonella (70%-38%). The percentage of laboratories that routinely submitted isolates to a public health laboratory decreased for all bacterial pathogens examined from 2015 to 2019.

CONCLUSIONS

By increasing use of CIDTs and decreasing reflex culture, clinical laboratories have transferred the burden of isolate recovery to public health laboratories. Until technologies allow for molecular subtyping directly from a patient specimen, state public health laboratories should consider updating enteric disease reporting requirements to include submission of isolates or specimens. Public health laboratories need resources for isolate recovery.

Metagenomics: The Next Culture-Independent Game Changer

A trend towards the abandonment of obtaining pure culture isolates in frontline laboratories is at a crossroads with the ability of public health agencies to perform their basic mandate of foodborne disease surveillance and response. The implementation of culture-independent diagnostic tests (CIDTs) including nucleic acid and antigen-based assays for acute gastroenteritis is leaving public health agencies without laboratory evidence to link clinical cases to each other and to food or environmental substances. This limits the efficacy of public health epidemiology and surveillance as well as outbreak detection and investigation. Foodborne outbreaks have the potential to remain undetected or have insufficient evidence to support source attribution and may inadvertently increase the incidence of foodborne diseases. Next-generation sequencing of pure culture isolates in clinical microbiology laboratories has the potential to revolutionize the fields of food safety and public health. Metagenomics and other 'omics' disciplines could provide the solution to a cultureless future in clinical microbiology, food safety and public health. Data mining of information obtained from metagenomics assays can be particularly useful for the identification of clinical causative agents or foodborne contamination, detection of AMR and/or virulence factors, in addition to providing high-resolution subtyping data. Thus, metagenomics assays may provide a universal test for clinical diagnostics, foodborne pathogen detection, subtyping and investigation. This information has the potential to reform the field of enteric disease diagnostics and surveillance and also infectious diseases as a whole. The aim of this review will be to present the current state of CIDTs in diagnostic and public health laboratories as they relate to foodborne illness and food safety. Moreover, we will also discuss the diagnostic and subtyping utility and concomitant bias limitations of metagenomics and comparable detection techniques in clinical microbiology, food and public health laboratories. Early advances in the discipline of metagenomics, however, have indicated noteworthy challenges. Through forthcoming improvements in sequencing technology and analytical pipelines among others, we anticipate that within the next decade, detection and characterization of pathogens via metagenomics-based workflows will be implemented in routine usage in diagnostic and public health laboratories.