Risk factors for hip and vertebral fractures in chronic kidney disease: the CRIC study

Fracture risk is high in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and underlying pathophysiology and risk factors may differ from the general population. In a cohort study of 3939 participants in the chronic renal insufficiency cohort (CRIC), we used Cox regression to test associations of putative risk factors with the composite of first hip or vertebral fracture assessed using hospital discharge codes. Mean age was 58 years, 45% were female, 42% were Black, and 13% were Hispanic. There were 82 hip and 24 vertebral fractures over a mean (SD) 11.1 (4.8) years (2.4 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI: 2.0, 2.9]). Measured at baseline, diabetes, lower body mass index (BMI), steroid use, proteinuria, and elevated parathyroid hormone (PTH) were each associated with fracture risk after adjusting for covariates. Lower time-updated estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was associated with fractures (HR 1.20 per 10 mL/min/1.73m2 lower eGFR; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.38) as were lower time-updated serum calcium and bicarbonate concentrations. Among time-updated categories of kidney function, hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident fracture were 4.53 (1.77, 11.60) for kidney failure treated with dialysis and 2.48 (0.86, 7.14) for post-kidney transplantation, compared with eGFR ≥60. Proton pump inhibitor use, dietary calcium intake, measures of vitamin D status, serum phosphate, urine calcium and phosphate, and plasma fibroblast growth factor-23 were not associated with fracture risk. In conclusion, lower eGFR in CKD is associated with higher fracture risk, which was highest in kidney failure. Diabetes, lower BMI, steroid use, proteinuria, higher serum concentrations of PTH, and lower calcium and bicarbonate concentrations were associated with fractures and may be modifiable risk factors.

An Emergency Department-based system intervention to improve osteoporosis screening for older adults at high-risk of fracture

Falls and osteoporosis are risk factors for fragility fractures. Bone mineral density (BMD) assessment is associated with better preventative osteoporosis care, but it is underutilized by those at high fracture risk. We created a novel electronic medical record (EMR) alert-driven protocol to screen patients in the Emergency Department (ED) for fracture risk and tested its feasibility and effectiveness in generating and completing referrals for outpatient BMD testing after discharge. The EMR alert was configured in 2 tertiary-care EDs and triggered by the term "fall" in the chief complaint, age (≥65 years for women, ≥70 years for men), and high fall risk (Morse score ≥ 45). The alert electronically notified ED study staff of potentially eligible patients. Participants received osteoporosis screening education and had BMD testing ordered. From November 15, 2020 to December 4, 2021, there were 2,608 EMR alerts among 2,509 patients. We identified 558 patients at high-risk of fracture who were screened for BMD testing referral. Participants were excluded for: serious illness (N = 141), no documented health insurance to cover BMD testing (N = 97), prior BMD testing/recent osteoporosis care (N = 58), research assistant unavailable to enroll (N = 53), concomitant fracture (N = 43), bedridden status (N = 38), chief complaint of fall documented in error (N = 38), long-term care residence (N = 34), participation refusal (N = 32), or hospitalization (N = 3). Of the 16 participants who had BMD testing ordered, 7 scheduled and 5 completed BMD testing. EMR alerts can help identify subpopulations who may benefit from osteoporosis screening, but there are significant barriers to identifying eligible and willing patients for screening in the ED. In our study targeting an innovative venue for osteoporosis care delivery, only about 1% of patients at high-risk of fracture scheduled BMD testing after an ED visit. Adequate resources during and after an ED visit are needed to ensure that older adults participate in preventative osteoporosis care.

Development of an opportunistic diagnostic prediction algorithm for osteoporosis and fragility fracture risk estimates from forearm radiographs (The OFFER1 Study)

Osteoporosis and associated fractures are an increasingly prevalent concern with an ageing population. This study reports testing of IBEX Bone Health (IBEX BH) software, applied following acquisition of forearm radiographs. IBEX Bone Health analyses the radiograph to measure areal bone mineral density (aBMD) at the examination site. A non-randomized cross-sectional study design was performed involving 261 (254 after exclusions) participants (112/142 m/f; mean age 70.8 years (SD+/-9.0); 53 with osteoporosis). They underwent posterior-anterior distal forearm radiographs; dual X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) of the wrists, hips, and lumbar spine; and questionnaires exploring clinical risk factors. IBEX Bone Health automatically identifies regions of interest (ROI) at the ultra-distal (UD) and distal third (TD) regions of the radius. Analysis investigated area under the receiver operating characteristics curve performance of IBEX BH for prediction of (i) osteoporosis (based on clinical reporting of the hip and spine DXA) and (ii) treatment recommendations by Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) inclusive of neck of femur (NoF) areal bone mineral density (aBMD) results following National Osteoporosis Guideline Group (NOGG) guidelines. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for osteoporosis prediction at the UD and TD ROIs were 0.86 (99% confidence interval (CI) [0.80, 0.91]) and 0.81 (99% CI [0.75, 0.88]), respectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for treatment recommendation using FRAX inclusive of NoF aBMD at the UD and TD ROIs were 0.95 (99% CI [0.91, 1.00]) and 0.97 (99% CI [0.93,1.00]), respectively. With a matched sensitivity to FRAX (without NoF aBMD) 0.93 (99% CI [0.78, 0.99]), IBEX BH predicted at the UD and TD ROIs recommended treatment outcomes by NOGG guidelines using FRAX (with NoF aBMD) with specificity 0.89 (99% CI 0.83, 0.94]) and 0.93 (99% CI [0.87, 0.97]), respectively. This is compared with 0.60 (99% CI [0.51, 0.69]) for FRAX (without NoF aBMD). Results demonstrate the potential clinical utility of IBEX BH as an opportunistic screening tool.

Balancing fracture risk versus risk of mortality before fracture among women aged 80 years or older

BACKGROUND

Most fractures occur in women aged ≥80 years but competing mortality unrelated to fracture may limit the benefit of osteoporosis drug therapy for some women in late life. Our primary aim was to develop separate prediction models for non-spine fracture (NSF) and mortality before fracture to identify subsets of women with varying fracture versus mortality risks.

METHODS

Separate prediction models were developed for NSF and mortality before NSF for 4895 women aged ≥80 years enrolled in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF) or the Health Aging and Body Composition (HABC) study. Proportional hazards models modified to account for competing mortality were used to identify candidate risk factors for each outcome. Predictors associated with NSF or mortality (p < 0.2) were included in separate competing risk models to estimate the cumulative incidence of NSF and mortality before NSF during 5 years of follow-up. This process was repeated to develop separate prediction models for hip fracture and mortality before hip fracture.

RESULTS

Significant predictors of NSF (race, total hip BMD, grip strength, prior fracture, falls, and use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, benzodiazepines, or oral/transdermal estrogen) differed from predictors of mortality before NSF (age, walking speed, multimorbidity, weight change, shrinking, smoking, self-rated health, dementia, and use of warfarin). Within nine subsets of women defined by tertiles of risk, 5-year outcomes varied from 28% NSF and 8% mortality in the high-risk NSF/low-risk mortality subset, to 9% NSF and 22% mortality in the low-risk NSF/high-risk mortality subset. Similar results were seen for predictors of hip fracture and mortality before hip fracture.

CONCLUSION

Considerable variation in 5-year competing mortality risk is present among women in late life with similar 5-year NSF risk. Both fracture risk and life expectancy should inform shared clinical decision-making regarding initiation or continuation of osteoporosis drug therapy for women aged ≥80 years.

Development and Comparison of Treatment Decision Tools for Glucocorticoid-Induced Osteoporosis

Long-term Glucocorticoid (GC) use results in compromised bone strength and fractures, and several treatment recommendations have been developed to prevent fractures, but none have been validated in a real-world setting. This study aims to create a treatment decision tool and compares this tool to the treatment suggestions from the American College of Rheumatology (ACR), International Osteoporosis Foundation and European Calcified Tissue Society (IOF-ECTS), and GC-adjusted Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (GC-FRAX), above the intervention threshold. We utilized registry data gathered at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital at Kaohsiung, Taiwan, between September 2014 and April 2021. This research is a single-center, observational, and case-controlled study. We recruited participants using prednisone for at least 2.5 mg/day or the equivalent dose for over 3 months, excluding those younger than 40, those with malignancies, or those currently undergoing anti-osteoporosis therapy. The primary endpoint was new fragility fractures within 3 years, including morphometric vertebral fractures detected at baseline and with a follow-up thoracic-lumbar spine X-ray. Participants were randomly allocated into derivation and validation sets. We developed the Steroid-Associated Fracture Evaluation (SAFE) tool in the derivation cohort by assessing the weights of exploratory variables via logistic regression. Prediction performance was compared in the validation set by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the curve (AUC), and sensitivity and specificity. A total of 424 treatment-naïve subjects were enrolled, and 83 (19.6%) experienced new fractures within 3 years. The final formula of the SAFE tool includes osteoporosis (1 point), an accumulated GC dose ≥ 750 mg within 6 months (or equivalent prednisolone of ≥4.5 mg/day for 6 months) (1 point), a BMI ≥ 23.5 (1 point), previous fractures (1 point), and elderliness of ≥70 years (2 points). In the validation set, a treatment decision based on the SAFE ≥ 2 points demonstrated an AUC of 0.65, with a sensitivity/specificity/accuracy of 75.9/54.0/58.9, with an ACR of 0.56 (100.0/11.0/31.0), IOF-ECTS 0.61 (75.9/46.0/52.7), and GC-FRAX 0.62 (82.8/42.0/51.2). Among current GIOP recommendations, the SAFE score serves as an appropriate treatment decision tool with increased accuracy and specificity.

Assessment of bovine cortical bone fracture behavior using impact microindentation as a surrogate of fracture toughness

The fracture behavior of bone is critically important for evaluating its mechanical competence and ability to resist fractures. Fracture toughness is an intrinsic material property that quantifies a material's ability to withstand crack propagation under controlled conditions. However, properly conducting fracture toughness testing requires the access to calibrated mechanical load frames and the destructive testing of bone samples, and therefore fracture toughness tests are clinically impractical. Impact microindentation mimicks certain aspects of fracture toughness measurements, but its relationship with fracture toughness remains unknown. In this study, we aimed to compare measurements of notched fracture toughness and impact microindentation in fresh and boiled bovine bone. Skeletally mature bovine bone specimens (n = 48) were prepared, and half of them were boiled to denature the organic matrix, while the other half remained preserved in frozen conditions. All samples underwent a notched fracture toughness test to determine their resistance to crack initiation (KIC) and an impact microindentation test using the OsteoProbe to obtain the Bone Material Strength index (BMSi). Boiling the bone samples increased the denatured collagen content, while mineral density and porosity remained unaffected. The boiled bones also showed significant reduction in both KIC (P < .0001) and the average BMSi (P < .0001), leading to impaired resistance of bone to crack propagation. Remarkably, the average BMSi exhibited a high correlation with KIC (r = 0.86; P < .001). A ranked order difference analysis confirmed the excellent agreement between the 2 measures. This study provides the first evidence that impact microindentation could serve as a surrogate measure for bone fracture behavior. The potential of impact microindentation to assess bone fracture resistance with minimal sample disruption could offer valuable insights into bone health without the need for cumbersome testing equipment and sample destruction.

A protocol for the prospective study of urinary cadmium with risk of fracture, bone loss, and muscle loss

Cadmium (Cd) is a heavy metal and natural element found in soil and crops with increasing concentrations linked to phosphate fertilizers and sewage sludge applied to crop lands. A large fraction of older US men and woman have documented Cd exposure. Cd exposure has proven health concerns such as risk of lung cancer from inhalation and impaired renal function; however, growing evidence suggests it also influences bone and muscle health. Given that low levels of Cd could affect bone and muscle, we have designed prospective studies using the two largest and most detailed US studies of bone health in older men and women: the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study and the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures. We are investigating the association of urinary cadmium (U-Cd), as a surrogate for long-term Cd exposure, with bone and muscle health. Building off suggestive evidence from mechanistic and cross-sectional studies, this will be the first well-powered prospective study of incident fracture outcomes, bone loss, and muscle loss in relation to U-Cd, an established biomarker of long-term Cd exposure. The following is a proposed protocol for the intended study; if successful, the proposed studies could be influential in directing future US policy to decrease Cd exposure in the US population similar to recent policies adopted by the European Union to limit Cd in fertilizers.

Association of secondhand smoke with fracture risk in community-dwelling nonsmoking adults in Korea

Although the detrimental effects of active smoking on bone health have been widely recognized, the impact of secondhand smoke exposure on fracture risk in non-smokers remains less understood. A total of 4843 nonsmokers aged 40-69 yr, who participated in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study from 2001 to 2018, were analyzed. The participants were categorized into two groups based on their exposure status to secondhand smoke: currently exposed and unexposed. The exposure group was subsequently divided into two subgroups based on the median weekly exposure time (high vs low). The incidence of new fractures was determined using self-reported questionnaires. The identified fractures were categorized according to the fracture site: overall, vertebral, hip, non-vertebral, and non-vertebral non-hip fractures. The mean age of the participants was 52.4 yr (84.1% women). Exposure to secondhand smoke was associated with an increased risk of fracture (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.27, P = 0.028) after adjusting for multiple covariates including age, sex, BMI, household income, bone density of mid-shaft tibia, C-reactive protein, alcohol consumption, and fracture history. Secondhand smoke remained as a significant risk factor for fracture, independent of the major osteoporotic fracture probabilities estimated using a fracture risk assessment tool (aHR: 1.24, P = 0.038). The high exposure group had higher risk of fracture than that of the unexposed group (aHR: 1.33, P = 0.025), whereas the fracture risk did not differ significantly between low exposure and unexposed groups (aHR: 1.18, P = 0.253), suggesting a potential dose-response relationship. Secondhand smoke showed robust association with increased risk of non-vertebral (aHR: 1.37, P = 0.008) or non-vertebral non-hip fractures (aHR: 1.36, P = 0.013), while its association with vertebral fracture was attenuated (aHR: 1.03, P = 0.908). Secondhand smoke was associated with an elevated risk of fracture in nonsmokers, independent of clinical risk factors.

Use of Fracture Risk Assessment Tool in clinical practice and Fracture Risk Assessment Tool future directions

Fracture Risk Assessment Tool is a free, online fracture risk calculator which can be used to predict 10-year fracture risk for women and men over age 50 years. It incorporates seven clinical risk factors and bone density to give a 10-year risk of major osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture. This dynamic tool can be used with patients at the bedside to help guide treatment decisions. There are some limitations to Fracture Risk Assessment Tool, with the most central limitation being the fact that inputs are binary. Much research has been done to try to refine Fracture Risk Assessment Tool to allow for more accurate risk prediction, and this article describes the data for adjusting Fracture Risk Assessment Tool depending on the clinical scenario such as the dose of glucocorticoid use, presence of diabetes and others. Recently, the new FRAXplus tool has been developed to address many of these concerns and will likely replace the old Fracture Risk Assessment Tool in the future. At the current time, it is available in beta form.

Traumatic rib fracture patterns associated with bone mineral density statuses derived from CT images

Background

The impact of decreased bone mineral density (BMD) on traumatic rib fractures remains unknown. We combined computed tomography (CT) and artificial intelligence (AI) to measure BMD and explore its impact on traumatic rib fractures and their patterns.

Methods

The retrospective cohort comprised patients who visited our hospital from 2017-2018; the prospective cohort (control group) was consecutively recruited from the same hospital from February-June 2023. All patients had blunt chest trauma and underwent CT. Volumetric BMD of L1 vertebra was measured by using an AI software. Analyses were done by using BMD categorized as osteoporosis (<80 mg/cm3), osteopenia (80-120 mg/cm3), or normal (>120 mg/cm3). Pearson's χ2, Fisher's exact, or Kruskal-Wallis tests and Bonferroni correction were used for comparisons. Negative binomial, and logistic regression analyses were used to assess the associations and impacts of BMD status. Sensitivity analyses were also performed.

Findings

The retrospective cohort included 2,076 eligible patients, of whom 954 (46%) had normal BMD, 806 (38.8%) had osteopenia, and 316 (15.2%) had osteoporosis. After sex- and age-adjustment, osteoporosis was significantly associated with higher rib fracture rates, and a higher likelihood of fractures in ribs 4-7. Furthermore, both the osteopenia and osteoporosis groups demonstrated a significantly higher number of fractured ribs and fracture sites on ribs, with a higher likelihood of fractures in ribs 1-3, as well as flail chest. The prospective cohort included 205 eligible patients, of whom 92 (44.9%) had normal BMD, 74 (36.1%) had osteopenia, and 39 (19.0%) had osteoporosis. The findings observed within this cohort were in concurrence with those in the retrospective cohort.

Interpretation

Traumatic rib fractures are associated with decreased BMD. CT-AI can help to identify individuals who have decreased BMD and a greater rib fracture rate, along with their fracture patterns.

Hemoglobin Levels Improve Fracture Risk Prediction in Addition to FRAX Clinical Risk Factors and Bone Mineral Density

CONTEXT

Anemia and decreasing levels of hemoglobin (Hb) have previously been linked to increased fracture risk, but the added value to FRAX, the most utilized fracture prediction tool worldwide, is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between anemia, Hb levels, bone microstructure, and risk of incident fracture and to evaluate whether Hb levels improve fracture risk prediction in addition to FRAX clinical risk factors (CRFs).

METHODS

A total of 2778 community-dwelling women, aged 75-80 years, and part of a prospective population-based cohort study in Sweden were included. At baseline, information on anthropometrics, CRFs, and falls was gathered, blood samples were collected, and skeletal characteristics were investigated using dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry and high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography. At the end of follow-up, incident fractures were retrieved from a regional x-ray archive.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 6.4 years. Low Hb was associated with worse total hip and femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD), and lower tibia cortical and total volumetric BMD, and anemia was associated with increased risk of major osteoporotic fracture (MOF; hazard ratio 2.04; 95% CI 1.58-2.64). Similar results were obtained for hip fracture and any fracture, also when adjusting for CRFs. The ratio between 10-year fracture probabilities of MOF assessed in models with Hb levels included and not included ranged from 1.2 to 0.7 at the 10th and 90th percentile of Hb, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Anemia and decreasing levels of Hb are associated with lower cortical BMD and incident fracture in older women. Considering Hb levels may improve the clinical evaluation of patients with osteoporosis and the assessment of fracture risk.

Effects of Incretin Therapy on Skeletal Health in Type 2 Diabetes-A Systematic Review

Diabetes poses a significant risk to bone health, with Type 1 diabetes (T1D) having a more detrimental impact than Type 2 diabetes (T2D). The group of hormones known as incretins, which includes gastric inhibitory peptide (GIP) and glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1), play a role in regulating bowel function and insulin secretion during feeding. GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) are emerging as the primary treatment choice in T2D, particularly when atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is present. Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4is), although less potent than GLP-1 RAs, can also be used. Additionally, GLP-1 RAs, either alone or in combination with GIP, may be employed to address overweight and obesity. Since feeding influences bone turnover, a relationship has been established between incretins and bone health. To explore this relationship, we conducted a systematic literature review following the PRISMA guidelines. While some studies on cells and animals have suggested positive effects of incretins on bone cells, turnover, and bone density, human studies have yielded either no or limited and conflicting results regarding their impact on bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture risk. The effect on fracture risk may vary depending on the choice of comparison drug and the duration of follow-up, which was often limited in several studies. Nevertheless, GLP-1 RAs may hold promise for people with T2D who have multiple fracture risk factors and poor metabolic control. Furthermore, a potential new area of interest is the use of GLP-1 RAs in fracture prevention among overweight and obese people. Based on this systematic review, existing evidence remains insufficient to support a positive or a superior effect on bone health to reduce fracture risk in people with T2D. © 2023 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Assessment of bovine cortical bone fracture behavior using impact microindentation as a surrogate of fracture toughness

The fracture behavior of bone is critically important for assessing its mechanical competence and ability to resist fractures. Fracture toughness, which quantifies a material's resistance to crack propagation under controlled geometry, is regarded as the gold standard for evaluating a material's resistance to fracture. However properly conducting this test requires access to calibrated mechanical load frames the destruction of the bone samples, making it impractical for obtaining clinical measurement of bone fracture. Impact microindentation offers a potential alternative by mimicking certain aspects of fracture toughness measurements, but its relationship with mechanistic fracture toughness remains unknown. In this study, we aimed to compare measurements of notched fracture toughness and impact microindentation in fresh and boiled bovine bone. Skeletally mature bovine bone specimens (n=48) were prepared, and half of them were boiled to denature the organic matrix, while the other half remained preserved in frozen conditions. Notched fracture toughness tests were conducted on all samples to determine Initiation toughness (KIC), and an impact microindentation test using the OsteoProbe was performed to obtain the Bone Material Strength index. Boiling the bone samples resulted increased the denatured collagen without affecting mineral density or porosity. The boiled bones also showed significant reduction in both KIC (p < 0.0001) and the average Bone Material Strength index (p < 0.0001), leading to impaired resistance of bone to crack propagation. Remarkably, the average Bone Material Strength index exhibited a high correlation with KIC (r = 0.86; p < 0.001). The ranked order difference analysis confirmed excellent agreement between the two measures. This study provides the first evidence that impact microindentation could serve as a surrogate measure for bone fracture behavior. The potential of impact microindentation to non-destructively assess bone fracture resistance could offer valuable insights into bone health without the need for elaborate testing equipment and sample destruction.

Jump power predicts fracture risk in older adults independent of sarcopenia and FRAX

Low countermovement jump power is associated with prevalent fracture, osteoporosis, and sarcopenia in older adults. However, whether jump power predicts incident fracture risk remains uninvestigated. Data of 1,366 older adults in a prospective community cohort were analyzed. Jump power was measured using a computerized ground force plate system. Fracture events were ascertained by follow-up interview and linkage to the National claim database (median follow-up 6.4 years). Participants were divided into normal and low jump power groups using a pre-determined threshold (women <19.0 W/kg; men <23.8 W/kg; or unable to jump). Among the study participants (mean age 71.6 years, women 66.3%), low jump power was associated with a higher risk of fracture (hazard ratio [HR] 2.16 vs. normal jump power, p<0.001), which remained robust (adjusted HR 1.45, p=0.035) after adjustment for fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) probability with BMD and Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) 2019 sarcopenia definition. In AWGS no sarcopenia group, participants with low jump power had a significantly higher risk of fracture than those with normal jump power (12.5% vs. 6.7%; HR 1.93, p=0.013) comparable to that of possible sarcopenia without low jump power (12.0%). Possible sarcopenia group with low jump power had a similar risk of fracture (19.3%) to sarcopenia group (20.8%). When the definition of sarcopenia was modified with jump power measurement (step-up approach: no sarcopenia to possible sarcopenia; possible sarcopenia to sarcopenia when low jump power present), jump power-modified sarcopenia improved sensitivity (18% to 39.3%) to classify individuals who sustained MOF during follow-up to high risk compared to AWGS 2019 sarcopenia, while maintaining positive predictive value (22.3% to 20.6%). In summary, jump power predicted fracture risk in community-dwelling older adults independently of sarcopenia and FRAX MOF probabilities, suggesting potential contribution of complex motor function measurement in fracture risk assessment. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Rapid cortical bone loss at the distal radius is associated with higher risk of fracture in older men - the STRAMBO study

Rapid loss of areal bone mineral density (aBMD) is associated with higher fracture risk after adjustment for confounders including initial aBMD. However, the link between bone microarchitecture decline and fracture is not clear. We studied the association between bone microarchitecture deterioration assessed prospectively over 4 years and the subsequent fracture risk in older men. Bone microarchitecture at the distal radius and tibia was assessed by high resolution peripheral QCT (HR-pQCT; XtremeCT, Scanco Medical) (baseline, 4 years) in 732 men aged 60-87 years. During the 8-year follow-up, 109 men had fragility fractures. Areal BMD was assessed by DXA. After adjustment for age, weight, prior falls and fractures, distal radius aBMD (baseline, slope), and baseline distal radius total volumetric BMD (Tt.BMD), the faster decrease in distal radius Tt.BMD was associated with higher fracture risk (HR=1.53 /SD, 95%CI: 1.20-1.95, p<0.005). Rapid cortical bone loss was associated with higher fracture risk (cortical thickness: HR=1.48; 1.15-1.90, p<0.01; cortical BMD: HR=1.38; 1.11-1.72, p<0.01). The rate of trabecular bone loss at the distal radius and the rate of bone microarchitecture decline at the distal tibia were not associated with fracture risk. After adjustment for aBMD and distal radius HR-pQCT measures assessed after 4 yrs, changes in Tt.BMD were associated with higher fracture risk (e.g., Tt.BMD: HR=1.37; 1.11-1.69, p<0.005). Compared with the reference model (age, weight, prior fractures and falls, baseline and slope of aBMD, baseline HR-pQCT value), further addition of the slope of the HR-pQCT measure did not improve the fracture prediction. Thus, rapid cortical bone loss at the distal radius is associated with higher fracture risk in the multivariable models including baseline values of the HR-pQCT measure. However, repeated HR-pQCT measurements did not improve the assessment of the fracture risk in older men (compared with the reference model defined above).

Improving Recognition of Fracture Risk in People with Human Immunodeficiency Virus: Performance and Model Contribution of Two Common Risk Assessment Tools

Current guidelines recommend screening people with HIV (PWH) for bone disease using predictive tools developed for the general population, although data on PWH are scarce. In this study, we assessed the performance of FRAX and QFracture scoring systems to predict the occurrence of fragility fractures in a prospective cohort of 17,671 adults with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) included in the HIV/AIDS research network (CoRIS) in Spain. The survival estimates of fragility fractures during follow-up were calculated and FRAX and QFracture scores were computed at cohort inclusion. For both tools, discriminatory measures and the observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios were assessed. During a follow-up time of 42,411.55 person-years, 113 fragility fractures were recorded. Areas under the curve were 0.66 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.61-0.71] for FRAX and 0.67 (95% CI 0.62-0.73) for QFracture for major osteoporotic fractures, and 0.72 (95% CI 0.57-0.88) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.68-0.95) for hip fracture, respectively. The O/E was 1.67 for FRAX and 5.49 for QFracture for major osteoporotic fractures, and 11.23 for FRAX and 4.87 for QFracture for hip fractures. Moreover, O/E raised as the risk increased for both tools and in almost all age groups. When using the recommended assessment thresholds, <6% and 10% of major osteoporotic and hip fractures would have been identified, respectively. In conclusion, FRAX and QFracture displayed acceptable discrimination, although both tools significantly underestimated the risk of fragility fractures in PWH. The recommended assessment thresholds may not be appropriate for this population as they were unable to identify individuals with fragility fractures during follow-up.

Association Between Muscle Mass Determined by D3 -Creatine Dilution and Incident Fractures in a Prospective Cohort Study of Older Men

The relation between a novel measure of total skeletal muscle mass (assessed by D₃ -creatine dilution [D₃ Cr]) and incident fracture is unknown. In 1363 men (mean age 84.2 years), we determined D₃ Cr muscle mass; Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) 10-year probability of hip and major osteoporotic (hip, humerus, vertebral, forearm) fracture; and femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD) (by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry [DXA]). Incident fractures were centrally adjudicated by review of radiology reports over 4.6 years. Correlations adjusted for weight and height were calculated between femoral neck BMD and D₃ Cr muscle mass. Across quartiles of D₃ Cr muscle mass/weight, proportional hazards models calculated hazard ratios (HRs) for any (n = 180); nonspine (n = 153); major osteoporotic fracture (n = 85); and hip fracture (n = 40) after adjustment for age, femoral neck BMD, recurrent fall history, and FRAX probability. Models were then adjusted to evaluate the mediating influence of physical performance (walking speed, chair stands, and grip strength). D₃ Cr muscle mass was weakly correlated with femoral BMD (r = 0.10, p < 0.001). Compared to men in the highest quartile, those in the lowest quartile of D₃ Cr muscle mass/weight had an increased risk of any clinical fracture (HR 1.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-2.8); nonspine fracture (HR 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.0), major osteoporotic fracture (HR 2.3; 95% CI, 1.2-4.6), and hip fracture (HR 5.9; 95% CI, 1.6-21.1). Results were attenuated after adjustment for physical performance, but associations remained borderline significant for hip and major osteoporotic fractures (p ≥ 0.05 to 0.10). Low D₃ Cr muscle mass/weight is associated with a markedly high risk of hip and potentially other fractures in older men; this association is partially mediated by physical performance. © 2022 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Automated Opportunistic Osteoporosis Screening in Routine Computed Tomography of the Spine: Comparison With Dedicated Quantitative CT

Opportunistic osteoporosis screening in nondedicated routine computed tomography (CT) is of increasing importance. The purpose of this study was to compare lumbar volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) assessed by a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based framework in routine CT to vBMD from dedicated quantitative CT (QCT), and to evaluate the ability of vBMD and surrogate measurements of Hounsfield units (HU) to distinguish between patients with and without osteoporotic vertebral fractures (VFs). A total of 144 patients (median age: 70.7 years, 93 females) with clinical routine CT (eight different CT scanners, 120 kVp or 140 kVp, with and without intravenous contrast medium) and dedicated QCT acquired within ≤30 days were included. Vertebral measurements included (i) vBMD from the CNN-based approach including automated vertebral body labeling, segmentation, and correction of the contrast media phase for routine CT data (vBMD_OPP), (ii) vBMD from dedicated QCT (vBMD_QCT), and (iii) noncalibrated HU from vertebral bodies of routine CT data as previously proposed for immanent opportunistic osteoporosis screening based on CT attenuation. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for vBMD_QCT versus vBMD_OPP indicated better agreement (ICC = 0.913) than the ICC for vBMD_QCT versus noncalibrated HU (ICC = 0.704). Bland-Altman analysis showed data points from 137 patients (95.1%) within the limits of agreement (LOA) of -23.2 to 25.0 mg/cm³ for vBMD_QCT versus vBMD_OPP. Osteoporosis (vBMD <80 mg/cm³ ) was detected in 89 patients (vBMD_QCT) and 88 patients (vBMD_OPP), whereas no patient crossed the diagnostic thresholds from normal vBMD to osteoporosis or vice versa. In a subcohort of 88 patients (thoracolumbar spine covered by imaging for VF reading), 69 patients showed one or more prevalent VFs, and the performance for discrimination between patients with and without VFs was best for vBMD_OPP (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.862; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.771-0.953). In conclusion, automated opportunistic osteoporosis screening in routine CT of various scanner setups is feasible and may demonstrate high diagnostic accuracy for prevalent VFs. © 2022 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Personalized fracture risk assessment: where are we at?

Introduction: Osteoporotic fracture imposes a significant health care burden globally. Personalized assessment of fracture risk can potentially guide treatment decisions. Over the past decade, a number of risk prediction models, including the Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator (Garvan) and FRAX®, have been developed and implemented in clinical practice. Areas covered: This article reviews recent development and validation results concerning the prognostic performance of the two tools. The main areas of review are the need for personalized fracture risk prediction, purposes of risk prediction, predictive performance in terms of discrimination and calibration, concordance between the Garvan and FRAX tools, genetic profiling for improving predictive performance, and treatment thresholds. In some validation studies, FRAX tended to underestimate fracture by as high as 50%. Studies have shown that the predicted risk from the Garvan tool is highly concordant with clinical decision. Expert opinion: Although there are some discrepancy in fracture risk prediction between Garvan and FRAX, both tools are valid and can aid patients and doctors communicate about risk and make informed decision. The ideal of personalized risk assessment for osteoporosis patients will be realized through the incorporation of genetic profiling into existing fracture risk assessment tools.

Effect of a Multifactorial Intervention on Fracture in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: Subanalysis of the J-DOIT3 Study

AIMS

To evaluate the effects of an intensified multifactorial intervention and patient characteristics on the incidence of fractures comorbid with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Fracture events were identified and analyzed among adverse events reported in the J-DOIT3 study, a multicenter, open-label, randomized, parallel-group trial that was conducted in Japan, in which patients with type 2 diabetes were randomly assigned to receive conventional therapy for glucose, blood pressure, and lipids (targets: HbA1c < 6.9%, blood pressure <130/80 mm Hg, LDL-cholesterol <120mg/dL) or intensive therapy (HbA1c < 6.2%, blood pressure <120/75 mm Hg, LDL-cholesterol <80mg/dL) (ClinicalTrials.gov registration no. NCT00300976).

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence of fractures did not differ between those receiving conventional therapy and those receiving intensive therapy (hazard ratio (HR) 1.15; 95% CI, 0.91-1.47; P = 0.241). Among the potential risk factors, only history of smoking at baseline was significantly associated with the incidence of fractures in men (HR 1.96; 95% CI, 1.04-3.07; P = 0.038). In contrast, the incidence of fractures in women was associated with the FRAX score [%/10 years] at baseline (HR 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07; P < 0.001) and administration of pioglitazone at 1 year after randomization (HR 1.59; 95% CI, 1.06-2.38; P = 0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

Intensified multifactorial intervention may be implemented without increasing the fracture risk in patients with type 2 diabetes. The fracture risk is elevated in those with a history of smoking in men, whereas it is predicted by the FRAX score and is independently elevated with administration of pioglitazone in women.

Association Between Parental Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Diagnosis and Major Osteoporotic Fracture Risk in Adult Offspring: A Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Previous research suggests an intergenerational influence of diabetes on bone health. We examined the association between parental diabetes and major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) risk in offspring.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study used de-identified administrative health data from Manitoba, Canada, which capture population-level records of hospitalizations, physician visits and drug dispensations. The cohort included individuals 40⁺ years with at least 1 parent identified in the data between 1997 and 2015. The exposure was parental diagnosis of diabetes since 1970; the outcome was offspring incident MOF diagnosis of the hip, forearm, spine or humerus. Both measures were identified from hospital and physician visit records using validated case definitions. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models tested the association of parental diabetes and offspring MOF risk.

RESULTS

The cohort included 279,085 offspring; 48.5% were females and 86.8% were ≤44 years of age. Both parents were identified for 89.4% of the cohort; 36.7% had a parental diabetes diagnosis. During a median follow up of 12.0 (interquartile range, 6.0 to 18.0) years, 8,762 offspring had a MOF diagnosis. After adjusting for fracture risk factors, parental diabetes diagnosis was not associated with MOF risk, whether diagnosed in fathers (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97 to 1.08), mothers (aHR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.07) or both parents (aHR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.11). The results remained consistent in a stratified analysis by offspring sex, secondary analysis based on MOF site and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The results indicate parental diabetes is not associated with offspring MOF risk.

[Effects of Recommended Consultation Practice Using Fracture Risk Assessment Tool and Fracture Evaluation Questionnaire for Early Detection of Osteoporosis at Community Pharmacies]

As one of the strategies for the early detection and treatment of osteoporosis, we have recommended visiting a hospital, based on the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX^®) and evaluation questionnaire for osteoporotic fracture risk. In this study, we evaluated the impact of intervention by community pharmacists by integrating our data for the FRAX^® and questionnaire. The measurement of FRAX^® and the questionnaire survey were conducted through participation in health seminars organized by a community general support center from June 2018 to December 2019. Participants with a FRAX^® score more than 15% and at least one item in the questionnaire were considered to have "suspected osteoporosis" were recommended medical consultation. The medical treatment status for the participants considered to have "suspected osteoporosis" aged 40-90 years were analyzed. Of the 84 participants, 54 had a FRAX^® score more than 15%, and 44 participants fulfilled at least one item in the questionnaire. Medical consultation was recommended to 26 of these 44 participants, excluding 18 under treatment. Of the 25 participants, six (excluding one who disagreed) received consultation, and medical treatment was started for four of them (66.7%). However, consultation with the attending physician was recommended to five of the 18 participants who were initially on treatment but discontinued it at the time of the survey. Consequently, two participants resumed their osteoporosis treatment. Our data suggest advantages of community pharmacists' intervention using FRAX^® and a questionnaire for osteoporotic fracture risk measurement for early detection and medical treatment.

Prediction of Fracture Risk From Early-Stage Bone Markers in Patients With Osteoporosis Treated With Once-Yearly Administered Zoledronic Acid

The prevention of fractures is the ultimate goal of osteoporosis treatments. To achieve this objective, developing a method to predict fracture risk in the early stage of osteoporosis treatment would be clinically useful. This study aimed to develop a mathematical model quantifying the long‐term fracture risk after 2 annual doses of 5 mg of once‐yearly administered zoledronic acid or placebo based on the short‐term measurement of bone turnover markers or bone mineral density (BMD). The data used in this analysis were obtained from a randomized, placebo‐controlled, double‐blind, 2‐year study of zoledronic acid that included 656 patients with primary osteoporosis. Two‐year individual bone resorption marker (tartrate‐resistant acid phosphatase 5b [TRACP‐5b]) and lumbar spine (L2‐L4) BMD profiles were simulated using baseline values and short‐term measurements (at 3 months for TRACP‐5b and 6 months for BMD) according to the pharmacodynamic model. A new parametric time‐to‐event model was developed to describe the risk of clinical fractures. Fracture risk was estimated using TRACP‐5b or BMD and the number of baseline vertebral fractures. As a result, the fracture risk during the 2 years was successfully predicted using TRACP‐5b or BMD. The 90% prediction intervals well covered the observed fracture profiles in both models. Therefore, TRACP‐5b or BMD is useful to predict the fracture risk of patients with osteoporosis, and TRACP‐5b would be more useful because it is an earlier marker. Importantly, the developed model allows clinicians to inform patients of their predicted response at the initial stage of zoledronic acid treatment.

Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) Predicts Fracture in Ankylosing Spondylitis: The Manitoba BMD Registry

INTRODUCTION

Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is a chronic inflammatory disease of the spine characterized among other features by spinal boney proliferation, back pain, loss of flexibility, and increased fracture risk. Overlying bone limits the utility of bone mineral density (BMD) by dual X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in the spine. Trabecular bone score (TBS) is a bone texture measurement derived from the spine DXA image that indicates bone quality and fracture risk independent of BMD.

METHODOLOGY

Using the Manitoba Bone Density Program database, patients with diagnosis codes for ankylosing spondylitis, baseline DXA and lumbar spine TBS were identified. Incident nontraumatic fractures (major osteoporotic [MOF], clinical spine, hip, and all fracture) were identified from population based databases. Cox-proportional hazard models are presented.

RESULTS

We identified 188 patients with diagnosed AS. TBS was lower in those with incident MOF (1.278 ± 0.126, compared to 1.178 ± 0.136, p < 0.001). Unadjusted TBS and FRAX-MOF-BMD adjusted predicted major osteoporotic fracture (N = 19) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28-2.26, p = 0.003; HR 1.81, 95% CI: 1.11-2.96, p = 0.018). TBS unadjusted and FRAX-MOF-BMD adjusted also predicted clinical spine fracture (N = 7) (HR 2.50, 95% CI: 1.17-5.37; p = 0.019; HR 2.40 95% CI: 1.1-5.25; p = 0.028). Higher HRs were observed for prediction of hip fracture (N = 6), but these did not achieve statistical significance (FRAX-adjusted HR 1.74, 95% 0.73-4.17; p = 0.211). Unadjusted models show TBS was predictive of all fracture (N = 27) (HR 1.60, 95% CI: 1.08-2.39; p = 0.020), which was borderline significant after adjustment for FRAX-MOF-BMD (HR 1.51, 95% CI: 1.00-2.29; p = 0.052).

CONCLUSION

We report the first analysis of TBS for fracture prediction as an incident event in AS. TBS independently predicted major osteoporotic and clinical spine fracture in AS independent of FRAX.

Predicting Fracture Risk in Younger Postmenopausal Women: Comparison of the Garvan and FRAX Risk Calculators in the Women's Health Initiative Study

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend fracture risk assessment in postmenopausal women aged 50-64, but the optimal method is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To compare discrimination and calibration of the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) and Garvan fracture risk calculator for predicting fractures in postmenopausal women aged 50-64 at baseline.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

PARTICIPANTS

Sixty-three thousand seven hundred twenty-three postmenopausal women aged 50-64 years participating in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study and Clinical Trials.

MAIN MEASURES

Incident hip fractures and major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) during 10-year follow-up. Calculated FRAX- and Garvan-predicted hip fracture and MOF fracture probabilities.

KEY RESULTS

The observed 10-year hip fracture probability was 0.3% for women aged 50-54 years (n = 14,768), 0.6% for women aged 55-59 years (n = 22,442), and 1.1% for women aged 60-64 years (n = 25,513). At sensitivity thresholds ≥ 80%, specificity of both tools for detecting incident hip fracture during 10 years of follow-up was low: Garvan 30.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 30.3-31.0%) and FRAX 43.1% (95% CI 42.7-43.5%). At maximal area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC(c), 0.58 for Garvan, 0.65 for FRAX), sensitivity was 16.0% (95% CI 12.7-19.4%) for Garvan and 59.2% (95% CI 54.7-63.7%) for FRAX. At AUC(c) values, sensitivity was lower in African American and Hispanic women than among white women and lower in women aged 50-54 than those 60-64 years old. Observed hip fracture probabilities were similar to FRAX-predicted probabilities but greater than Garvan-predicted probabilities. At AUC(c) values (0.56 for both tools), sensitivity for identifying MOF was also low (range 26.7-46.8%). At AUC(c) values (0.55 for both tools), sensitivity for identifying any clinical fracture ranged from 18.1 to 34.0%.

CONCLUSIONS

In postmenopausal women aged 50-64 years, the FRAX and Garvan fracture risk calculator discriminate poorly between women who do and do not experience fracture during 10-year follow-up. There is no useful threshold for either tool.

Initiation of dapagliflozin and treatment-emergent fractures

An increase in fracture risk has been reported in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) treated with canagliflozin, possibly mediated by effects induced by all members of the sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor class. It is unclear whether initiation of dapagliflozin is followed by an increase in the risk of fracture; therefore, we performed a population-based, open cohort study (from January 2013 to January 2016) using The Health Improvement Network (THIN). A total of 22 618 people with T2DM (4548 exposed to dapagliflozin and 18 070 receiving standard antidiabetic treatment, matched for age, sex, body mass index and diabetes duration) with no history of fractures at baseline were included. The primary outcome was the occurrence of any fragility fracture (hip, spine, wrist) during the observation period. Risk of any fracture served as a secondary outcome. Adjusted hazard rate ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox regression. A total of 289 fractures (132 fragility fractures) were recorded. No difference in the risk of fragility fracture was detected between participants prescribed dapagliflozin and matched control participants (crude HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.59-1.39, P = .645; adjusted HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.56-1.35, P = .531). Similarly, no difference in the risk of any fracture was detected (adjusted HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.66-1.20; P = .427). Sensitivity analyses limited to the subset of the population at high risk of fracture produced similar results; thus, there was no evidence to suggest an increase in the risk of treatment-emergent fractures in patients with T2DM who initiated treatment with dapagliflozin.

A Preliminary Evaluation of the Ability of Keratotic Tissue to Act as a Prognostic Indicator of Hip Fracture Risk

Studies have shown that Raman spectroscopic analysis of fingernail clippings can help differentiate between post-menopausal women who have and who have not suffered a fracture. However, all studies to date have been retrospective in nature, comparing the proteins in nails sourced from women, post-fracture. The objective of this study was to investigate the potential of a prospective test for hip fracture based on spectroscopic analysis of nail tissue. Archived toenail samples from post-menopausal women aged 50 to 63 years in the Nurses' Health Study were obtained and analysed by Raman spectroscopy. Nails were matched case-controls sourced from 161 women; 82 who underwent a hip fracture up to 20 years after nail collection and 81 age-matched controls. A number of clinical risk factors (CRFs) from the Fracture Risk Assessment (FRAX) tool had been assessed at toenail collection. Using 80% of the spectra, models were developed for increasing time periods between nail collection and fracture. Scores were calculated from these models for the other 20% of the sample and the ability of the score to predict hip fracture was tested in model with and without the CRFs by comparing the odds ratios (ORs) per 1 SD increase in standardised predictive values. The Raman score successfully distinguished between hip fracture cases and controls. With only the score as a predictor, a statistically significant OR of 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.5-3.1) was found for hip fracture for up to 20 years after collection. The OR increased to 3.8 (2.6-5.4) when the CRFs were added to the model. For fractures limited to 13 years after collection, the OR was 6.3 (3.0-13.1) for the score alone. The test based on Raman spectroscopy has potential for identifying individuals who may suffer hip fractures several years in advance. Higher powered studies are required to evaluate the predictive capability of this test.

Use of Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) as a Complementary Approach to Dual-energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DXA) for Fracture Risk Assessment in Clinical Practice

Osteoporosis is a common bone disease characterized by low bone mass and altered bone microarchitecture, resulting in decreased bone strength with an increased risk of fractures. In clinical practice, physicians can assess the risk of fracture for a patient based on several risk factors. Some such as age, weight, and history of fractures after 50 years of age, parental fracture, smoking status, and alcohol intake are incorporated into FRAX, an assessment tool that estimates the 10-year probability of hip fracture and major osteoporotic fractures based on the individual's risk factors profile. The diagnosis of osteoporosis is currently based on bone mineral density (BMD) assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans. Among other widely recognized limitations of BMD is that BMD considers only the density of the bone and fails in measuring bone microarchitecture, for which novel techniques, such as trabecular bone score (TBS), have been developed. TBS is a texture parameter related to bone microarchitecture that may provide skeletal information that is not captured from the standard BMD measurement. Several studies have examined the value of TBS on predicting osteoporotic fractures. Our study aimed to summarize a review of the current scientific literature with focus on fracture risk assessment and to present both its findings and its conclusions regarding how and when TBS should be used. The existing literature indicates that low lumbar spine TBS is associated with a history of fracture and the incidence of new fracture. The effect is largely independent of BMD and of sufficient magnitude to enhance risk stratification with BMD. The TBS effect is also independent of FRAX, with likely greatest utility for those individuals whose BMD levels lie close to an intervention threshold. The clinical and scientific evidence supporting the use of TBS, with the ability of this technology to be seamlessly integrated into a daily workflow, makes TBS an attractive and useful clinical tool for physicians to improve patient management in osteoporosis. Further research is ongoing and necessary to further clarify the role of TBS in additional specific disorders.

Gait speed and one-leg standing time each add to the predictive ability of FRAX

Gait speed or one-leg standing time (OLST) as additional predictors in FRAX. Population 351 elderly women followed 10 years. Both could improve predictions. The area under curve (AUC) for FRAX is 0.59, OLST is 0.69 and gait speed is 0.71. The net reclassification index (NRI) for classification to highest risk quartile or lowest three quartiles was 0.24 for gait speed and non-significant for OLST.

INTRODUCTION

The risk of falls and bone strength are two main determinants of hip fracture risk. The fracture risk assessment tool FRAX, however, lacks direct measures of fall risk¹. A short OLST and a slow gait speed are both fall-related risk factors for hip fractures. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the addition to FRAX of either gait speed or OLST could improve the predictive ability for hip fractures, compared to FRAX alone.

METHODS

A population-based sample of 351 women aged between 69 and 79 years were tested for one-leg standing time with eyes open and mean gait speed over a 15 + 15-m walk. Fracture and mortality data were obtained from health care registers.

RESULTS

The AUC for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) increased from 0.61 to 0.71 when gait speed was added to FRAX. The AUC was 0.69 for OLST added to FRAX. The highest quartile of hip fracture risks according to FRAX had an absolute 10-year risk of ≥15%. The population was divided into one group with a hip fracture risk of ≥15% and one group with a fracture risk of <15%. NRI for addition of gait speed to FRAX was 0.24 (p = 0.023), while NRI was 0.08 (p = 0.544) for addition of OLST to FRAX.

CONCLUSION

Gait speed tended to improve the predictive ability of FRAX more than OLST, but they both added value to FRAX.

Association of Serum Klotho with Loss of Bone Mineral Density and Fracture Risk in Older Adults

OBJECTIVES

Klotho deficiency has been previously linked to aging-like phenotypes such as osteoporosis, cognitive impairment, and sarcopenia. Low serum klotho was shown to be related to grip strength and disability. Nonetheless, no previous study has explored the association between serum klotho and fractures. The purpose of this report is to examine the relationship of serum klotho with bone mineral density (BMD) loss and fractures in older adults.

DESIGN

The Health, Aging, and Body Composition (Health ABC) Study is a longitudinal cohort study of 3,075 community-dwelling older adults.

SETTING

US clinical centers.

PARTICIPANTS

Two thousand seven hundred and seventy six well-functioning black and white adults aged 70 to 79 years with serum klotho measurements were followed up for a median of 5 years.

MEASUREMENTS

Percent annualized BMD change and fracture risk were compared across klotho quartiles. A Poisson distribution was used to calculate age-adjusted fracture incidence rates, and Cox proportional hazards models for multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios.

RESULTS

The annualized percent changes in hip, femoral neck, and vertebral BMD were similar across klotho quartiles. Participants experienced 507 nonspine fractures, 203 hip fractures, and 135 vertebral fractures. The Incidence rate (IR) of nonspine fractures was 17 per 1,000 person-years. The most frequent site was hip (IR = 6 per 1,000 person-years) and the IR of vertebral fractures was 3 per 1,000 person-years. There was no association between the lowest quartile of plasma klotho and nonspine (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.86-1.65), hip (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 0.79-2.27), or vertebral fractures (HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.65-2.11).

CONCLUSION

Although klotho gene is a susceptible gene for reduced BMD, klotho blood concentration does not appear to be a predictor of bone loss or fracture risk in well-functioning older adults.

Risk of Nonspine Fractures in Older Adults with Sarcopenia, Low Bone Mass, or Both

OBJECTIVES

To test the hypothesis that men and women with low bone mineral density (BMD) and sarcopenia have a higher risk of fracture than those with only one or neither conditions.

DESIGN

The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study and the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures in women are prospective observational studies with a mean follow up of 9 (2000-2012) and 8 years (1997-2009), respectively.

SETTING

U.S. clinical centers.

PARTICIPANTS

Men (n = 5,544; mean age 73.7) and women (n = 1,114; mean age 77.6) aged 65 and older, able to walk without assistance, and without bilateral hip replacement.

MEASUREMENTS

Sarcopenia was defined as low appendicular lean mass plus slowness or weakness and low BMD according to the World Health Organization definition of a T-score less than -1.0. Participants were classified as having normal BMD and no sarcopenia (3,367 men, 308 women), sarcopenia only (79 men, 48 women), low BMD only (1,986 men, 626 women), and low BMD and sarcopenia (112 men, 132 women).

RESULTS

Men with low BMD and sarcopenia (hazard ratio (HR)=3.79, 95% confidence interval (CI)=2.65-5.41) and men with low BMD only (HR=1.67, 95% CI=1.45-1.93) but not men with sarcopenia only (HR=1.14, 95% CI=0.62-2.09) had greater risk of fracture than men with normal BMD and no sarcopenia. Women with low BMD and sarcopenia (HR=2.27, 95% CI=1.37-3.76) and women with low BMD alone (HR=2.62, 95% CI=1.74-3.95), but not women with only sarcopenia, had greater risk of fracture than women with normal BMD and no sarcopenia.

CONCLUSION

Men with low BMD and sarcopenia are at especially high risk of fracture. Sarcopenia alone did not increase fracture risk in either group.

Association of microstructural and mechanical properties of cancellous bone and their fracture risk assessment tool scores

This study is to investigate the association between fracture probabilities determined by using the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) and the microstructure and mechanical properties of femoral bone trabecula in osteoporosis (OP) and osteoarthritis (OA) patients with hip replacements. By using FRAX, we evaluated fracture risks of the 102 patients with bone replacements. Using micro CT scanning, we obtained the analysis parameters of microstructural properties of cancellous bone. Through morphometric observations, fatigue tests and compression tests, we obtained parameters of mechanical properties of cancellous bones. Relevant Pearson analysis was performed to investigate the association between the fracture probability and the microstructure and mechanical properties of femoral bone trabecula in patients. Fifteen risk factors in FRAX were compared between OP and OA patients. FRAX hip fracture risk score and major osteoporotic in OP and OA patients were significantly different. FRAX was associated with tissue bone mineral density and volumetric bone mineral density. Our study suggests that the probabilities of major osteoporotic and hip fracture using FRAX is associated with bone mass but not with micro bone quality.

Fragility fracture: recent developments in risk assessment

More than half of older women who sustain a fragility fracture do not have osteoporosis by World Health Organization (WHO) bone mineral density (BMD) criteria; and, while BMD has been used to assess fracture risk for over 30 years, a range of other skeletal and nonskeletal clinical risk factors (CRFs) for fracture have been recognized. More than 30 assessment tools using CRFs have been developed, some predicting fracture risk and others low BMD alone. Recent systematic reviews have reported that many tools have not been validated against fracture incidence, and that the complexity of tools and the number of CRFs included do not ensure best performance with poor assessment of (internal or comparative) validity. Internationally, FRAX® is the most commonly recommended tool, in addition to QFracture in the UK, The Canadian Association of Radiologists and Osteoporosis Canada (CAROC) tool in Canada and Garvan in Australia. All tools estimate standard 10-year risk of major osteoporotic and 10-year risk of hip fracture: FRAX® is able to estimate fracture risk either with or without BMD, but CAROC and Garvan both require BMD and QFracture does not. The best evidence for the utility of these tools is in case finding but there may be future prospects for the use of 10-year fracture risk as a common currency with reference to the benefits of treatment, whether pharmacological or lifestyle. The use of this metric is important in supporting health economic analyses. However, further calibration studies will be needed to prove that the tools are robust and that their estimates can be used in supporting treatment decisions, independent of BMD.

Fracture risk assessment after BMD examination: whose job is it, anyway?

Fracture risk assessments on bone mineral density reports guide family physicians' treatment decisions but are subject to inaccuracy. Qualitative analysis of interviews with 22 family physicians illustrates their pervasive questioning of reported assessment accuracy and independent assumption of responsibility for assessment. Assumption of responsibility is common despite duplicating specialists' work.

INTRODUCTION

Fracture risk is the basis for recommendations of treatment for osteoporosis, but assessments on bone mineral density (BMD) reports are subject to known inaccuracies. This creates a complex situation for referring physicians, who must rely on assessments to inform treatment decisions. This study was designed to broadly understand physicians' current experiences with and preferences for BMD reporting; the present analysis focuses on their interpretation and use of the fracture risk assessments on reports, specifically

METHODS

A qualitative, thematic analysis of one-on-one interviews with 22 family physicians in Ontario, Canada was performed.

RESULTS

The first major theme identified in interview data reflects questioning by family physicians of reported fracture risk assessments' accuracy. Several major subthemes related to this included questioning of: 1) accuracy in raw bone mineral density measures (e.g., g/cm(2)); 2) accurate inclusion of modifying risk factors; and 3) the fracture risk assessment methodology employed. A second major theme identified was family physicians' independent assumption of responsibility for risk assessment and its interpretation. Many participants reported that they computed risk assessments in their practice to ensure accuracy, even when provided with assessments on reports.

CONCLUSIONS

Results indicate family physicians question accuracy of risk assessments on BMD reports and often assume responsibility both for revising and relating assessments to treatment recommendations. This assumption of responsibility is common despite the fact that it may duplicate the efforts of reading physicians. Better capture of risk information on BMD referrals, quality control standards for images and standardization of risk reporting may help attenuate some inefficiency.

Quality of fracture risk assessment in post-fracture care in Ontario, Canada

As fracture risk assessment is a basis for treatment decisions, accurate risk assessments on bone mineral density (BMD) reports are important. Over 50 % of sampled BMD reports for Ontarians with fracture histories underestimated fracture risk by a single category. Risk assessments in Ontario may not accurately inform treatment recommendations.

INTRODUCTION

The shifting emphasis on fracture risk assessment as a basis for treatment recommendations highlights the importance of ensuring that accurate fracture risk assessments are present on reading specialists' BMD reports. This study seeks to determine the accuracy of fracture risk assessments on a sample of BMD reports from 2008 for individuals with a history of fracture and produced by a broad cross section of Ontario's imaging laboratories.

METHODS

Forty-eight BMD reports for individuals with documented history of fragility fracture were collected as part of a cluster randomized trial. To compute fracture risk, risk factors, and BMD T-scores from reports were abstracted using a standardized template and compared to the assessments on the reports. Cohen's kappa was used to score agreement between the research team and the reading specialists.

RESULTS

The weighted kappa was 0.21, indicating agreement to be at the margin of "poor to fair." More than 50 % of the time, reported fracture risks did not reflect fracture history and were therefore underestimated by a single category. Over 30 % of the reports containing a "low" fracture risk assessment were assessed as "moderate" fracture risk by the research team, given fracture history. Over 20 % of the reports with a "moderate" fracture risk were assessed as "high" by the research team, given fracture history.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the high prevalence of fracture risk assessments that are underestimated. This has implications in terms of fracture risk categorization that can negatively affect subsequent follow-up care and treatment recommendations.

European guidance for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women

Guidance is provided in a European setting on the assessment and treatment of postmenopausal women at risk of fractures due to osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION

The International Osteoporosis Foundation and European Society for Clinical and Economic Aspects of Osteoporosis and Osteoarthritis published guidance for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in 2008. This manuscript updates these in a European setting.

METHODS

Systematic literature reviews.

RESULTS

The following areas are reviewed: the role of bone mineral density measurement for the diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk, general and pharmacological management of osteoporosis, monitoring of treatment, assessment of fracture risk, case finding strategies, investigation of patients and health economics of treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

A platform is provided on which specific guidelines can be developed for national use.

Japanese 2011 guidelines for prevention and treatment of osteoporosis--executive summary

INTRODUCTION

In 1998, the first Japanese practice guidelines on osteoporosis was published. It has been updated several times, with the most recent being the full-scale 2011 edition and its abridged edition. The present guidelines provide information for the managements of primary osteoporosis in postmenopausal women and men over 50 years old, a summary of the evidence for the treatment of secondary osteoporosis, and a summary of the evidence for the prevention of osteoporosis in younger people.

METHOD

The present Executive Summary is primarily based on the content of the 2011 Japanese abridged edition. One of the key changes is revision of the criteria for initiation of pharmacological treatment, along with an introduction of the fracture risk factors used in FRAX®. Key figures and tables were selected from the Japanese abridged edition and a reference list was added.

RESULT AND CONCLUSIONS

The essential points of the Japanese practice guidelines on osteoporosis were translated into English for the first time. It is hoped that the content of the guidelines becomes known throughout the world.

Finite element analysis of the proximal femur and hip fracture risk in older men

Low areal BMD (aBMD) is associated with increased risk of hip fracture, but many hip fractures occur in persons without low aBMD. Finite element (FE) analysis of QCT scans provides a measure of hip strength. We studied the association of FE measures with risk of hip fracture in older men. A prospective case-cohort study of all first hip fractures (n = 40) and a random sample (n = 210) of nonfracture cases from 3549 community-dwelling men > or =65 yr of age used baseline QCT scans of the hip (mean follow-up, 5.6 yr). Analyses included FE measures of strength and load-to-strength ratio and BMD by DXA. Hazard ratios (HRs) for hip fracture were estimated with proportional hazards regression. Both femoral strength (HR per SD change = 13.1; 95% CI: 3.9-43.5) and the load-to-strength ratio (HR = 4.0; 95% CI: 2.7-6.0) were strongly associated with hip fracture risk, as was aBMD as measured by DXA (HR = 5.1; 95% CI: 2.8-9.2). After adjusting for age, BMI, and study site, the associations remained significant (femoral strength HR = 6.5, 95% CI: 2.3-18.3; load-to-strength ratio HR = 4.3, 95% CI: 2.5-7.4; aBMD HR = 4.4, 95% CI: 2.1-9.1). When adjusted additionally for aBMD, the load-to-strength ratio remained significantly associated with fracture (HR = 3.1, 95% CI: 1.6-6.1). These results provide insight into hip fracture etiology and demonstrate the ability of FE-based biomechanical analysis of QCT scans to prospectively predict hip fractures in men.

European guidance for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women

Guidance is provided in a European setting on the assessment and treatment of postmenopausal women with or at risk from osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION

The European Foundation for Osteoporosis and Bone disease (subsequently the International Osteoporosis Foundation) published guidelines for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in 1997. This manuscript updates these in a European setting.

METHODS

The following areas are reviewed: the role of bone mineral density measurement for the diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk; general and pharmacological management of osteoporosis; monitoring of treatment; assessment of fracture risk; case finding strategies; investigation of patients; health economics of treatment.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

A platform is provided on which specific guidelines can be developed for national use.