Predicting which patients with cancer will see a psychiatrist or counsellor from their initial oncology consultation document using natural language processing

BACKGROUND

Patients with cancer often have unmet psychosocial needs. Early detection of who requires referral to a counsellor or psychiatrist may improve their care. This work used natural language processing to predict which patients will see a counsellor or psychiatrist from a patient's initial oncology consultation document. We believe this is the first use of artificial intelligence to predict psychiatric outcomes from non-psychiatric medical documents.

METHODS

This retrospective prognostic study used data from 47,625 patients at BC Cancer. We analyzed initial oncology consultation documents using traditional and neural language models to predict whether patients would see a counsellor or psychiatrist in the 12 months following their initial oncology consultation.

RESULTS

Here, we show our best models achieved a balanced accuracy (receiver-operating-characteristic area-under-curve) of 73.1% (0.824) for predicting seeing a psychiatrist, and 71.0% (0.784) for seeing a counsellor. Different words and phrases are important for predicting each outcome.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest natural language processing can be used to predict psychosocial needs of patients with cancer from their initial oncology consultation document. Future research could extend this work to predict the psychosocial needs of medical patients in other settings.

Mapping the experiences of people with advanced cancer across multiple cancer types-a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Through the introduction of tumor agnostic therapies, people with metastatic cancer and their treating physicians are facing new treatment choices that have differing side effect and efficacy profiles from conventional chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE

The present study undertakes a scoping review of research into the experiences of people with advanced or metastatic cancer across various solid tumor types with the goal of developing a tumor-agnostic conceptual model.

DESIGN

Automated queries on three internet search engines were performed to identify qualitative interview studies that focused on people with metastatic cancer. No limits were imposed for dates nor location of studies.

RESULTS

Of the 173 hits generated from the searches, 25 peer-reviewed papers were selected for the review with dates that ranged from 2007 to 2022. All papers originated from the USA, Europe, Australia, or Japan. Three major themes emerged that formed the basis for the tumor-agnostic conceptual model: symptoms, loss of autonomy, and adaptation/coping.

CONCLUSIONS

The explication of the interplay between the physical and emotional symptoms experienced by those with advanced and metastatic cancer using a multi-tumor approach provides the potential to make generalizations about the needs of this population. An opportunity exists to potentially address these needs through matching patient needs and preferences with the characteristics of novel therapeutics.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

In the era of tumor agnostic therapies, the elicitation of patient preferences across the spectrum of anatomical origins has the potential to enhance shared decision making in the setting of metastatic disease.

Outcomes of patients with advanced epithelial growth factor receptor mutant lung cancer treated with first-line osimertinib who would not have met the eligibility criteria for the FLAURA clinical trial

OBJECTIVES

Osimertinib is largely used as first-line therapy for metastatic epithelial growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutant lung cancers based on the FLAURA clinical trial. Real-world patient outcomes often differ from clinical trial outcomes. This study evaluated the efficacy of first-line osimertinib in patients treated in British Columbia (BC), Canada. Furthermore, we compared the outcomes of patients who would and would not have been eligible for the original FLAURA trial.

METHODS

Consecutive patients receiving first-line osimertinib for metastatic EGFR exon19 or L858R lung cancer were identified using the BC Cancer Pharmacy Database. Patient eligibility for the FLAURA clinical trial were retrospectively reviewed based on the following criteria: ECOG ≥ 2, symptomatic brain metastases or on steroids, hemoglobin < 90 g/L, platelets < 100x109/L, or a creatinine clearance < 50 mL/min. mOS was assessed for the entire population and compared between patients who would have been eligible and ineligible for FLAURA.

RESULTS

From January 2020 to October 2021, 311 patients received first-line osimertinib; 44 % (137/311) were deemed FLAURA ineligible, predominantly due to low ECOG (n = 120). After a median follow-up of 26.5 months, the mOS for the entire cohort was 27.4 months (95 %CI 23.8-30.1). The mOS for ineligible patients was 18 months shorter than eligible patients (15.8 vs 34.2, p < 0.001). Ineligible patients had higher rates of de novo stage IV disease, higher rates of stage IVB disease, and more sites of disease than eligible patients.

CONCLUSION

In this real-world population, nearly half of patients would have been ineligible for FLAURA. The mOS was one year shorter than reported in FLAURA. However, patients who would have been eligible for the FLAURA clinical trial had similar OS to patients enrolled in FLAURA. Trial ineligible patients had a higher burden of disease at baseline which may have led to inferior outcomes. Further research is needed to improve outcomes in these patients.

Treating anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) fusion-driven metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with alectinib through pregnancy

Management of cancer during pregnancy requires careful consideration of risks and benefits from maternal and fetal perspectives. For advanced lung adenocarcinomas, with no targetable driver mutations, there is evidence-based guidance on the use of carboplatin-paclitaxel chemotherapy after first trimester. In contrast, for epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated or anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-rearranged metastatic lung adenocarcinomas, there is a paucity of clinical data on the safety of EGFR and ALK tyrosine kinase inhibitors to mother and fetus for official guidelines to recommend the use of these otherwise-first-line therapies in pregnancy. Considering this knowledge gap, we present a case of a young gravida 1 para 0 (G1P0) woman who continued alectinib 300 mg oral two times per day for ALK-rearranged metastatic lung adenocarcinoma throughout all 36 weeks of her pregnancy and delivered a healthy baby at term via caesarean section (C-section).

Prospective Longitudinal Assessment of Quality of Life After Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy for Oligometastases: Analysis of the Population-based SABR-5 Phase II Trial

AIMS

To evaluate longitudinal patient-reported quality of life (QoL) in patients treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) for oligometastases.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The SABR-5 trial was a population-based single-arm phase II study of SABR to up to five sites of oligometastases, conducted in six regional cancer centres in British Columbia, Canada from 2016 to 2020. Prospective QoL was measured using treatment site-specific QoL questionnaires at pre-treatment baseline and at 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 30 and 36 months after treatment. Patients with bone metastases were assessed with the Brief Pain Inventory (BPI). Patients with liver, adrenal and abdominopelvic lymph node metastases were assessed with the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Abdominal Discomfort (FACIT-AD). Patients with lung and intrathoracic lymph node metastases were assessed with the Prospective Outcomes and Support Initiative (POSI) lung questionnaire. The two one-sided test procedure was used to assess equivalence between the worst QoL score and the baseline score of individual patients. The mean QoL at all time points was used to determine the trajectory of QoL response after SABR. The proportion of patients with 'stable', 'improved' or 'worsened' QoL was determined for all time points based on standard minimal clinically important differences (MCID; BPI worst pain = 2, BPI functional interference score [FIS] = 0.5, FACIT-AD Trial Outcome Index [TOI] = 8, POSI = 3).

RESULTS

All enrolled patients with baseline QoL assessment and at least one follow-up assessment were analysed (n = 133). On equivalence testing, the patients' worst QoL scores were clinically different from baseline scores and met MCID (BPI worst pain mean difference: 1.8, 90% confidence interval 1.19 to 2.42]; BPI FIS mean difference: 1.68, 90% confidence interval 1.15 to 2.21; FACIT-AD TOI mean difference: -8.76, 90% confidence interval -11.29 to -6.24; POSI mean difference: -4.61, 90% confidence interval -6.09 to -3.14). However, the mean FIS transiently worsened at 9, 18 and 21 months but eventually returned to stable levels. The mean FACIT and POSI scores also worsened at 36 months, albeit with a limited number of responses (n = 4 and 8, respectively). Most patients reported stable QoL at all time points (range: BPI worst pain 71-82%, BPI FIS 45-78%, FACIT-AD TOI 50-100%, POSI 25-73%). Clinically significant stability, worsening and improvement were seen in 70%/13%/18% of patients at 3 months, 53%/28%/19% at 18 months and 63%/25%/13% at 36 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Transient decreases in QoL that met MCID were seen between patients' worst QoL scores and baseline scores. However, most patients experienced stable QoL relative to pre-treatment levels on long-term follow-up. Further studies are needed to characterise patients at greatest risk for decreased QoL.

Predictors of Quality of Life Decline in Patients with Oligometastases treated with Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy: Analysis of the Population-Based SABR-5 Phase II Trial

AIMS

Most patients experience stable quality of life (QoL) after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) treatment for oligometastases. However, a subset of patients experience clinically relevant declines in QoL on post-treatment follow-up. This study aimed to identify risk factors for QoL decline.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The SABR-5 trial was a population-based single-arm phase II study of SABR to up to five sites of oligometastases. Prospective QoL was measured using treatment site-specific tools at pre-treatment baseline and 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 30 and 36 months after treatment. The time to persistent QoL decline was calculated as the time from SABR to the first decline in QoL score meeting minimum clinically important difference with no improvement to baseline score on subsequent assessments. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were carried out to determine factors associated with QoL decline.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirty-three patients were included with a median follow-up of 32 months (interquartile range 25-43). Thirty-five patients (26%) experienced a persistent decline in QoL. The median time until persistent QoL decline was not reached. The cumulative incidence of QoL decline at 2 and 3 years were 22% (95% confidence interval 14.0-29.6) and 40% (95% confidence interval 28.0-51.2), respectively. In multivariable analysis, disease progression (odds ratio 5.23, 95% confidence interval 1.59-17.47, P = 0.007) and adrenal metastases (odds ratio 9.70, 95% confidence interval 1.41-66.93, P = 0.021) were associated with a higher risk of QoL decline. Grade 3 or higher (odds ratio 3.88, 95% confidence interval 0.92-16.31, P = 0.064) and grade 2 or higher SABR-associated toxicity (odds ratio 2.24, 95% confidence interval 0.85-5.91, P = 0.10) were associated with an increased risk of QoL decline but did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Disease progression and adrenal lesion site were associated with persistent QoL decline following SABR. The development of grade 3 or higher toxicities was also associated with an increased risk, albeit not statistically significant. Further studies are needed, focusing on the QoL impact of metastasis-directed therapies.

Tensor radiomics: paradigm for systematic incorporation of multi-flavoured radiomics features

Background

Radiomics features hold significant value as quantitative imaging biomarkers for diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment response assessment. To generate radiomics features and ultimately develop signatures, various factors can be manipulated, including image discretization parameters (e.g., bin number or size), convolutional filters, segmentation perturbation, or multi-modality fusion levels. Typically, only one set of parameters is employed, resulting in a single value or "flavour" for each radiomics feature. In contrast, we propose "tensor radiomics" (TR) where tensors of features calculated using multiple parameter combinations (i.e., flavours) are utilized to optimize the creation of radiomics signatures.

Methods

We provide illustrative instances of TR implementation in positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and CT by leveraging machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) methodologies, as well as reproducibility analyses: (I) to predict overall survival (OS) in lung cancer (CT) and head and neck cancer (PET-CT), TR was employed by varying bin sizes. This approach involved use of a hybrid deep neural network called 'TR-Net' and two ML-based techniques for combining different flavours. (II) TR was constructed by incorporating different segmentation perturbations and various bin sizes to classify the response of late-stage lung cancer to first-line immunotherapy using CT images. (III) In MRI of glioblastoma (GBM), TR was implemented to generate multi-flavour radiomics features, enabling enhanced analysis and interpretation. (IV) TR was employed via multiple PET-CT fusions in head and neck cancer. Flavours based on different fusions were created using Laplacian pyramids and wavelet transforms.

Results

Our findings demonstrated that TR outperformed conventional radiomics features in lung cancer CT and head and neck cancer PET-CT images, significantly enhancing OS prediction accuracy. TR also improved classification of lung cancer response to therapy and exhibited notable advantages in reproducibility compared to single-flavour features in MR imaging of GBM. Moreover, in head and neck cancer, TR through multiple PET-CT fusions exhibited improved performance in predicting OS.

Conclusions

We conclude that the proposed TR paradigm has significant potential to improve performance in different medical imaging tasks. By incorporating multiple flavours of radiomics features, TR overcomes limitations associated with individual features and shows promise in enhancing prognostic capabilities in clinical settings.

An ethics framework for social listening and infodemic management

Issue

Successful response to an infodemic requires social listening and integrated analysis to produce infodemic insights by identifying questions, concerns, information voids and circulating narratives including health misinformation. There is currently a wide variation in social listening and infodemic insights generation practices, and a lack of frameworks to be applied on ethical values and standards.

Description of the problem

In the context of infodemic management, infodemic insights are generated based on social listening, health system and data from online and offline sources. Where there is a difference between health guidance and behaviors during an emergency, rapid infodemic insights can help understand the underlying drivers of this divergence. Integrated analysis of this data informs infodemic management strategies generate insights that advise a wide range of public health interventions. Present ethical challenges influence data processing and use.

Results

The World Health Organization (WHO) convened a group of experts to develop an ethical framework for social listening and infodemic management. It will guide health authorities and practitioners in planning and setting up infodemic insights teams and implementing infodemic management activities. To support the deliberation of the WHO expert group, a systematic review has been conducted to understand present ethical concerns and challenges.

Lessons

Infodemic management strategies raise ethical concerns that relate to data control, commercialization, transparency, accountability and implications. Power and power imbalances, human rights, privacy and dignity, trust and respect for cultural practices may arise during data collection, analysis, interpretation, and intervention design. Without proper ethical oversight and guidance, the implementation of infodemic management strategies could harm individuals and communities, erode trust, and undermine the effectiveness of responses to a public health emergency.

Key messages

• Social listening and infodemic management by health authorities require consideration of ethical principles and guidance.

• WHO ethics guidance will help public health authorities establish infodemic management practices, policies and strategies.

Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy for Oligo-Progressive Cancers: Results of the Randomized Phase II STOP Trial

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

In the metastatic setting, there is uncertain benefit to localized eradication of one or more lesions that are progressing despite systemic therapy. This randomized phase II trial examined if patients with ≤5 sites of oligoprogression benefited from the addition of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) to standard of care (SOC) systemic therapy.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Eligibility criteria included age ≥18 years, ECOG performance status 0-2, and oligoprogressive disease, defined as 1-5 lesions actively progressing while on systemic therapy. Patients were required to have at least 3 months of disease stability/response on systemic therapy prior to oligoprogression. After stratifying by type of systemic therapy (cytotoxic vs. non-cytotoxic), patients were randomized 2:1 to SABR to all progressing lesions plus SOC (SABR arm) vs. SOC alone (SOC arm). The trial began exclusive to non-small cell lung cancer but did not meet accrual goals and was expanded in 2019 to include all non-hematologic malignancies. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), lesional control, quality of life (QOL), toxicity, and duration of current systemic agent post-SABR.

RESULTS

Between February 2017 and June 2021, 90 patients with 125 oligoprogressive metastases were enrolled across 8 Canadian institutions, with 59 patients randomized to SABR and 31 to SOC. Median age was 67 years (IQR: 61-73 years) and 39 (43%) were female. The most common primary sites were lung (44% of patients), genitourinary (23%) and breast (13%), with the most common oligo-progressive locations being lung (43%), bone (19%), lymph nodes (14%), and liver (13%). In the SABR arm, the most common fractionations were 35 Gy/5 (38% of lesions) and 50 Gy/5 (18%). Protocol adherence in the SOC arm was suboptimal: 3 patients (10%) withdrew immediately after randomization, and 7 additional patients (23%) received high-dose or ablative therapies. Median follow-up was 31 months. There was no difference in PFS between arms (median PFS 8.4 months in the SABR arm vs. 4.3 months in the SOC arm; however, the curves cross and 2-year PFS was 9% vs. 24% respectively, p = 0.91). Median OS was 31.2 months vs. 27.4 months, respectively (p = 0.22). Lesional control with SABR was 71% vs. 39% with SOC (p = 0.002). Median duration of post-randomization first-line systemic therapy was 10.3 months vs. 7.6 months, respectively (p = 0.71). Treatment was well-tolerated with 2 (3.4%) grade 3 treatment-related toxicities in the SABR arm and no grade 4/5 related events in either arm. QOL did not differ between arms.

CONCLUSION

Despite being a well-tolerated treatment providing superior lesional control, SABR for oligoprogression did not improve PFS or OS. Results may have been impacted by withdrawals and desire for ablative treatments on the SOC arm, and this lack of equipoise may make accrual to phase III trials difficult, although larger studies in select sub-populations are desired. (NCT02756793).

ctDNA response after pembrolizumab in non-small cell lung cancer: phase 2 adaptive trial results

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has shown promise in capturing primary resistance to immunotherapy. BR.36 is a multi-center, randomized, ctDNA-directed, phase 2 trial of molecular response-adaptive immuno-chemotherapy for patients with lung cancer. In the first of two independent stages, 50 patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer received pembrolizumab as standard of care. The primary objectives of stage 1 were to ascertain ctDNA response and determine optimal timing and concordance with radiologic Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) response. Secondary endpoints included the evaluation of time to ctDNA response and correlation with progression-free and overall survival. Maximal mutant allele fraction clearance at the third cycle of pembrolizumab signified molecular response (mR). The trial met its primary endpoint, with a sensitivity of ctDNA response for RECIST response of 82% (90% confidence interval (CI): 52-97%) and a specificity of 75% (90% CI: 56.5-88.5%). Median time to ctDNA response was 2.1 months (90% CI: 1.5-2.6), and patients with mR attained longer progression-free survival (5.03 months versus 2.6 months) and overall survival (not reached versus 7.23 months). These findings are incorporated into the ctDNA-driven interventional molecular response-adaptive second stage of the BR.36 trial in which patients at risk of progression are randomized to treatment intensification or continuation of therapy. ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT04093167 .

Use, response and outcomes of second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced biliary tract cancers

INTRODUCTION

First-line chemotherapy for advanced biliary tract cancers has been established as gemcitabine and cisplatin; however, there is currently no recognized standard second-line chemotherapy. The purpose of this study is to review and evaluate the outcomes of second-line chemotherapy for advanced biliary tract cancers.

METHODS

Patients who received chemotherapy for unresectable or metastatic biliary tract cancers at BC Cancer between August 2009 and December 2015 were retrospectively studied to identify second-line chemotherapy treatments used and to determine overall survival, time-to-treatment discontinuation and characteristics predicting for improved overall survival.

RESULTS

Of 325 patients who received first-line chemotherapy for advanced biliary tract cancer, 90 (30%) received second-line chemotherapy. Median overall survival for patients who received only first-line chemotherapy was 9.5 months versus 17.3 months for patients who received second-line chemotherapy. Median time-to-treatment discontinuation for second-line chemotherapy was 2.0 months. Common drugs used in second-line chemotherapy treatments included capecitabine (30%), 5-fluorouracil and irinotecan (17%) and 5-fluorouracil monotherapy (15%). There was no difference in overall survival for patients who received single-agent second-line chemotherapy compared to doublet second-line chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who are fit enough to receive second-line chemotherapy may benefit in terms of overall survival and should be offered treatment with single-agent therapy. Capecitabine was the most common second-line chemotherapy treatment. The improved median overall survival for patients who received second-line chemotherapy may be impacted by independent patient-specific factors which are unknown at this time.

Beyond PACIFIC: Real-World Outcomes of Adjuvant Durvalumab According to Treatment Received and PD-L1 Expression

Adjuvant durvalumab after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard of care for unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). A post hoc exploratory analysis of PACIFIC revealed no OS benefit in the PD-L1 < 1% subgroup. This retrospective analysis assesses the real-world impact of durvalumab on OS according to PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS). Patients with stage III, unresectable NSCLC treated by CRT, with available PD-L1 TPS, from 1 March 2018 to 31 December 2020, at BC Cancer, British Columbia, Canada were included. Patients were divided into two groups, CRT + durvalumab and CRT alone. OS and PFS were analyzed in the PD-L1 ≥ 1% and <1% subgroups. A total of 134 patients were included in the CRT + durvalumab group and 117, in the CRT alone group. Median OS was 35.9 months in the CRT + durvalumab group and 27.4 months in the CRT alone group [HR 0.59 (95% CI 0.42-0.83), p = 0.003]. Durvalumab improved OS in the PD-L1 ≥ 1% [HR 0.53 (95% CI 0.34-0.81), p = 0.003, n = 175], but not in the <1% subgroup [HR 0.79 (95% CI 0.44-1.42), p = 0.4, n = 76]. This retrospective study demonstrates a statistically significant improvement in OS associated with durvalumab after CRT in PD-L1 ≥ 1%, but not PD-L1 < 1% NSCLC. Variables not accounted for may have biased the survival analysis. A prospective study would bring more insight.

Real-World Clinical Outcomes for Patients with EGFR and HER2 Exon 20 Insertion-Mutated Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

(1) Background: Exon 20 insertion mutations (ex20ins) in EGFR and HER2 are uncommon driver mutations in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with a poor prognosis and few targeted therapy options, and there are limited real-world data. Here, we report the clinicopathologic features and outcomes for patients with ex20ins NSCLC across British Columbia, Canada. (2) Methods: NSCLC patients with ex20ins in EGFR or HER2 were identified via tumour testing between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2021 (n = 7233). Data were collected by chart review. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method using the log-rank test. (3) Results: A total of 131 patients were identified. The median age was 66. Thirty-three percent of patients had brain metastases. For the EGFR cohort, the median OS was 18.6 months for patients who received any systemic therapy (ST) vs. 2.6 months for patients who did not (p < 0.001). Median OS was similar for patients treated with ex20ins-specific tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) vs. other STs (18.6 vs. 15.9 months; p = 0.463). The median first-line PFS was 4.1 vs. 7.4 months for patients treated with a TKI vs. other ST (p = 0.744). For the HER2 cohort, the median OS was 9.0 months for patients who received any ST vs. 4.9 months for patients who did not (p = 0.015). The median OS was 23.0 months for patients treated with an ex20ins TKI vs. 5.6 months for patients who were not (p = 0.019). The median first-line PFS was 5.4 vs. 2.1 months for patients treated with a TKI vs. other ST (p = 0.343). (4) Conclusions: Overall survival was significantly longer among ex20ins patients who received any systemic therapy vs. those who did not. Overall survival was significantly better among HER2 ex20ins patients who received ex20ins-specific TKIs.

Prediction of Disease Progression to Upfront Pembrolizumab Monotherapy in Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer with High PD-L1 Expression Using Baseline CT Disease Quantification and Smoking Pack Years

Health Canada approved pembrolizumab in the first-line setting for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer with PD-L1 ≥ 50% and no EGFR/ALK aberration. The keynote 024 trial showed 55% of such patients progress with pembrolizumab monotherapy. We propose that the combination of baseline CT and clinical factors can help identify those patients who may progress. In 138 eligible patients from our institution, we retrospectively collected their baseline variables, including baseline CT findings (primary lung tumor size and metastatic site), smoking pack years, performance status, tumor pathology, and demographics. The treatment response was assessed via RECIST 1.1 using the baseline and first follow-up CT. Associations between the baseline variables and progressive disease (PD) were tested by logistic regression analyses. The results showed 46/138 patients had PD. The baseline CT "number of involved organs" by metastasis and smoking pack years were independently associated with PD (p < 0.05), and the ROC analysis showed a good performance of the model that integrated these variables in predicting PD (AUC: 0.79). This pilot study suggests that the combination of baseline CT disease and smoking PY can identify who may progress on pembrolizumab monotherapy and can potentially facilitate decision-making for the optimal first-line treatment in the high PD-L1 cohort.

Real-World Outcomes of Stage IV NSCLC with PD-L1 ≥ 50% Treated with First-Line Pembrolizumab: Uptake of Second-Line Systemic Therapy

INTRODUCTION

Platinum-based chemotherapy was compared to single-agent pembrolizumab in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with PDL1 > 50% in KEYNOTE-024. In this trial, it was found that patients who received single-agent pembrolizumab had improved progression-free survival in addition to overall survival (OS). Based on KEYNOTE-024, only 53% of patients treated originally with pembrolizumab received second-line anticancer systemic therapy with an OS of 26.3 months. Based on these results, the objective of this study was to characterize real-world NSCLC patients who received second-line therapy after single-agent pembrolizumab.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study considering stage IV NSCLC patients diagnosed with BC Cancer between 2018 and 2021 with PD-L1 ≥ 50% who received first-line single agent pembrolizumab. Patient demographics, cancer history, treatment administered, and survival were collected retrospectively. Descriptive statistics were produced. OS was calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using the log rank test. A multivariate model evaluated characteristics associated with the receipt of second-line therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 718 patients were diagnosed with Stage IV NSCLC and received at least one cycle of pembrolizumab. The median duration of treatment was 4.4 months, and the follow-up duration was 16.0 months. There were 567 (79%) patients who had disease progression, of whom 21% received second-line systemic therapy. Within the subset of patients with disease progression, the median duration of treatment was 3.0 months. It would be found that patients who received second-line therapy had better baseline ECOG performance status, were younger at diagnosis, and had a longer duration of pembrolizumab. Within the full population, the OS from the treatment initiation date was 14.0 months. OS was 5.6 months in patients who did not receive additional therapy after progression and 22.2 months in patients who received subsequent therapy. Baseline ECOG performance status was associated with improved OS in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Based on this real-world Canadian population, 21% of patients received second-line systemic therapy, despite second-line therapy being associated with prolonged survival. In this real-world population, we found that 60% fewer patients received second-line systemic therapy when compared to KEYNOTE-024. Although differences always exist when comparing a clinical and non-clinical trial population, our findings suggest undertreating stage IV NSCLC patients.

Improved uptake and survival with systemic treatments for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer: younger versus older adults

BACKGROUND

Over the past decade, there has been increasing availability of novel therapeutics with improved tolerability and efficacy for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The study goals were: to compare the uptake of systemic therapy (ST) before and after the availability of targeted tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) and immunotherapy and to examine the changes in overall survival (OS) over time between younger and older adults with advanced NSCLC.

METHODS

All patients with advanced NSCLC referred to British Columbia (BC) Cancer in 2009, 2011, 2015 and 2017 were included. One-year time points were based on molecular testing implementation and funded drug availability: baseline (2009), epidermal growth factor receptor TKI (2011), anaplastic lymphoma kinase TKI (2015) and Programed Death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors (2017). Age groups were <70years and ≥70years. Baseline demographics, simplified comorbidity scores (SCS), disease characteristics, and ST details were collected retrospectively. Variables were compared using X2, Fisher's exact tests and logistic-regression analysis. OS was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

3325 patients were identified. Baseline characteristics were compared between ages < 70 years and ≥ 70 years for each time cohort with significant differences noted in baseline Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status and SCS. The rate of ST delivery trended upwards over time with age <70 years: 2009 44%, 2011 53%, 2015 50% and 2017 52% and age ≥70 years: 22%, 25%, 28% and 29% respectively. Predictors for decreased use of ST for age <70 years: ECOG ≥2, SCS ≥9, year 2011, and smoking history; and age ≥70 years: ECOG ≥2, years 2011 and 2015, and smoking history. The median OS of patients who received ST improved from 2009 to 2017: age <70 years 9.1 m vs. 15.5 m and age ≥70 years 11.4 m vs. 15.0 m.

CONCLUSIONS

There was an increased uptake of ST for both age groups with the introduction of novel therapeutics. Although a smaller proportion of older adults received ST, those who received treatment had comparable OS to their young counterpart. The benefit of ST in both age groups was seen across the different types of treatments. With careful assessment and selection of appropriate candidates, older adults with advanced NSCLC appear to benefit from ST.

The perceptions and adoption of environmentally sustainable practices among anesthesiologists-a qualitative study

PURPOSE

Previous surveys of anesthesiologists showed that despite a strong interest in implementing environmentally sustainable anesthetic practices, less than a third do so. Qualitative understanding of the capability, opportunity, and motivational factors that influence "green" behavior will inform the design of effective interventions to promote environmentally sustainable practices in the operating room (OR).

METHODS

We conducted 23 semistructured interviews with anesthesiologists, with data saturation achieved. Applying the Behavior Change Wheel, interview questions addressed "capability," "opportunity," and "motivation" determinants of behavior.

RESULTS

Preference for sevoflurane and syringe reuse were most commonly cited as existing environmentally sustainable anesthetic practices. Several participants reported lack of knowledge and feedback as impediments to sustainable anesthetic practices. Reported physical barriers included inadequate recycling facilities and abundance of supplies. Interviewees also discussed the importance of habitual behavior in improving skill sets and reducing cognitive load required to perform environmentally sustainable practices. General awareness of environmental issues and aggregation of marginal gains were reasons for environmentally sustainable measures in the OR. Organizational practice and culture played a significant role in the propagation of sustainable anesthetic practices, with senior staff often carrying a greater influence. While the majority preferred a top-down approach to effect change, others favored the use of incentives.

CONCLUSION

This study provides insight into the factors that influence the adoption of environmentally sustainable practices in the OR. Measures to promote these practices include education and training, feedback on efforts, engagement of senior anesthetists as role models and for change management, environmental restructuring, and policy designs that balance a top-down vs bottom-up approach to influencing change.

Pembrolizumab monotherapy versus chemotherapy in platinum-pretreated, recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal cancer (KEYNOTE-122): an open-label, randomized, phase III trial

BACKGROUND

Pembrolizumab previously demonstrated robust antitumor activity and manageable safety in a phase Ib study of patients with heavily pretreated, programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1)-positive, recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The phase III KEYNOTE-122 study was conducted to further evaluate pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy in patients with platinum-pretreated, recurrent and/or metastatic NPC. Final analysis results are presented.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

KEYNOTE-122 was an open-label, randomized study conducted at 29 sites, globally. Participants with platinum-pretreated recurrent and/or metastatic NPC were randomly assigned (1 : 1) to pembrolizumab or chemotherapy with capecitabine, gemcitabine, or docetaxel. Randomization was stratified by liver metastasis (present versus absent). The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), analyzed in the intention-to-treat population using the stratified log-rank test (superiority threshold, one-sided P = 0.0187). Safety was assessed in the as-treated population.

RESULTS

Between 5 May 2016 and 28 May 2018, 233 participants were randomly assigned to treatment (pembrolizumab, n = 117; chemotherapy, n = 116); Most participants (86.7%) received study treatment in the second-line or later setting. Median time from randomization to data cut-off (30 November 2020) was 45.1 months (interquartile range, 39.0-48.8 months). Median OS was 17.2 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 11.7-22.9 months] with pembrolizumab and 15.3 months (95% CI 10.9-18.1 months) with chemotherapy [hazard ratio, 0.90 (95% CI 0.67-1.19; P = 0.2262)]. Grade 3-5 treatment-related adverse events occurred in 12 of 116 participants (10.3%) with pembrolizumab and 49 of 112 participants (43.8%) with chemotherapy. Three treatment-related deaths occurred: 1 participant (0.9%) with pembrolizumab (pneumonitis) and 2 (1.8%) with chemotherapy (pneumonia, intracranial hemorrhage).

CONCLUSION

Pembrolizumab did not significantly improve OS compared with chemotherapy in participants with platinum-pretreated recurrent and/or metastatic NPC but did have manageable safety and a lower incidence of treatment-related adverse events.

Economic impact of using risk models for eligibility selection to the International lung screening Trial

OBJECTIVES

Using risk models as eligibility criteria for lung screening can reduce race and sex-based disparities. We used data from the International Lung Screening Trial(ILST; NCT02871856) to compare the economic impact of using the PLCOm2012 risk model or the US Preventative Services' categorical age-smoking history-based criteria (USPSTF-2013).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The cost-effectiveness of using PLCOm2012 versus USPSTF-2013 was evaluated with a decision analytic model based on the ILST and other screening trials. The primary outcomes were costs in 2020 International Dollars ($), quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) and incremental net benefit (INB, in $ per QALY). Secondary outcomes were selection characteristics and cancer detection rates (CDR).

RESULTS

Compared with the USPSTF-2013 criteria, the PLCOm2012 risk model resulted in $355 of cost savings per 0.2 QALYs gained (INB=$4294 at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $20 000/QALY (95 %CI: $4205-$4383). Using the risk model was more cost-effective in females at both a 1.5 % and 1.7 % 6-year risk threshold (INB=$6616 and $6112, respectively), compared with males ($5221 and $695). The PLCOm2012 model selected more females, more individuals with fewer years of formal education, and more people with other respiratory illnesses in the ILST. The CDR with the risk model was higher in females compared with the USPSTF-2013 criteria (Risk Ratio = 7.67, 95 % CI: 1.87-31.38).

CONCLUSION

The PLCOm2012 model saved costs, increased QALYs and mitigated socioeconomic and sex-based disparities in access to screening.

Predicting the Survival of Patients With Cancer From Their Initial Oncology Consultation Document Using Natural Language Processing

IMPORTANCE

Predicting short- and long-term survival of patients with cancer may improve their care. Prior predictive models either use data with limited availability or predict the outcome of only 1 type of cancer.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether natural language processing can predict survival of patients with general cancer from a patient's initial oncologist consultation document.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective prognostic study used data from 47 625 of 59 800 patients who started cancer care at any of the 6 BC Cancer sites located in the province of British Columbia between April 1, 2011, and December 31, 2016. Mortality data were updated until April 6, 2022, and data were analyzed from update until September 30, 2022. All patients with a medical or radiation oncologist consultation document generated within 180 days of diagnosis were included; patients seen for multiple cancers were excluded.

EXPOSURES

Initial oncologist consultation documents were analyzed using traditional and neural language models.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the performance of the predictive models, including balanced accuracy and receiver operating characteristics area under the curve (AUC). The secondary outcome was investigating what words the models used.

RESULTS

Of the 47 625 patients in the sample, 25 428 (53.4%) were female and 22 197 (46.6%) were male, with a mean (SD) age of 64.9 (13.7) years. A total of 41 447 patients (87.0%) survived 6 months, 31 143 (65.4%) survived 36 months, and 27 880 (58.5%) survived 60 months, calculated from their initial oncologist consultation. The best models achieved a balanced accuracy of 0.856 (AUC, 0.928) for predicting 6-month survival, 0.842 (AUC, 0.918) for 36-month survival, and 0.837 (AUC, 0.918) for 60-month survival, on a holdout test set. Differences in what words were important for predicting 6- vs 60-month survival were found.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that models performed comparably with or better than previous models predicting cancer survival and that they may be able to predict survival using readily available data without focusing on 1 cancer type.

Safety and efficacy of tenecteplase in patients with wake-up stroke assessed by non-contrast CT (TWIST): a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Current evidence supports the use of intravenous thrombolysis with alteplase in patients with wake-up stroke selected with MRI or perfusion imaging and is recommended in clinical guidelines. However, access to advanced imaging techniques is often scarce. We aimed to determine whether thrombolytic treatment with intravenous tenecteplase given within 4·5 h of awakening improves functional outcome in patients with ischaemic wake-up stroke selected using non-contrast CT.

METHODS

TWIST was an investigator-initiated, multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial with blinded endpoint assessment, conducted at 77 hospitals in ten countries. We included patients aged 18 years or older with acute ischaemic stroke symptoms upon awakening, limb weakness, a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score of 3 or higher or aphasia, a non-contrast CT examination of the head, and the ability to receive tenecteplase within 4·5 h of awakening. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to either a single intravenous bolus of tenecteplase 0·25 mg per kg of bodyweight (maximum 25 mg) or control (no thrombolysis) using a central, web-based, computer-generated randomisation schedule. Trained research personnel, who conducted telephone interviews at 90 days (follow-up), were masked to treatment allocation. Clinical assessments were performed on day 1 (at baseline) and day 7 of hospital admission (or at discharge, whichever occurred first). The primary outcome was functional outcome assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days and analysed using ordinal logistic regression in the intention-to-treat population. This trial is registered with EudraCT (2014-000096-80), ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03181360), and ISRCTN (10601890).

FINDINGS

From June 12, 2017, to Sept 30, 2021, 578 of the required 600 patients were enrolled (288 randomly assigned to the tenecteplase group and 290 to the control group [intention-to-treat population]). The median age of participants was 73·7 years (IQR 65·9-81·1). 332 (57%) of 578 participants were male and 246 (43%) were female. Treatment with tenecteplase was not associated with better functional outcome, according to mRS score at 90 days (adjusted OR 1·18, 95% CI 0·88-1·58; p=0·27). Mortality at 90 days did not significantly differ between treatment groups (28 [10%] patients in the tenecteplase group and 23 [8%] in the control group; adjusted HR 1·29, 95% CI 0·74-2·26; p=0·37). Symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage occurred in six (2%) patients in the tenecteplase group versus three (1%) in the control group (adjusted OR 2·17, 95% CI 0·53-8·87; p=0·28), whereas any intracranial haemorrhage occurred in 33 (11%) versus 30 (10%) patients (adjusted OR 1·14, 0·67-1·94; p=0·64).

INTERPRETATION

In patients with wake-up stroke selected with non-contrast CT, treatment with tenecteplase was not associated with better functional outcome at 90 days. The number of symptomatic haemorrhages and any intracranial haemorrhages in both treatment groups was similar to findings from previous trials of wake-up stroke patients selected using advanced imaging. Current evidence does not support treatment with tenecteplase in patients selected with non-contrast CT.

FUNDING

Norwegian Clinical Research Therapy in the Specialist Health Services Programme, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the British Heart Foundation, and the Norwegian National Association for Public Health.

Disparate Time-to-Treatment and Varied Incidence of Actionable Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Molecular Alterations in British Columbia: A Historical Cohort Study

Background: non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) outcomes remain suboptimal for early-stage disease despite emerging advances in systemic therapy for the peri-operative period. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) identifies driver mutations for which targeted therapies have been developed that improve survival. The BC lung cancer screening program, which was initiated in May 2022, is expected to identify people with early and late stages of NSCLC. It is crucial to first understand the molecular epidemiology and patterns of time to initiate treatment across its five health authorities (HA) to optimize the delivery of care for NSCLC in BC. In this way, we may harness the benefits of targeted therapy for more people with NSCLC as novel advances in therapy continue to emerge. Objective: to compare (a) the frequency of actionable NSCLC molecular alterations among HAs and (b) the time to treatment initiation. Methods: a retrospective observational study was conducted with prospectively collected data from the BC CGL Database. Adults with late stage NSCLC who underwent targeted NGS were included for the time period from May 2020 to June 2021. Demographics, actionable molecular alterations, PDL-1 expression, and time to treatment across HAs were examined. Using appropriate statistical tests for comparison among HAs, p>0.05 was deemed significant. Results: 582 patients underwent NGS/IHC and analysis during the study period. The mean age was 71 (10.1), and 326 (56%) patients were female. A significantly higher proportion of all EGFRm+ were identified within Vancouver Coastal Health (VCHA) and Fraser Health Authority (FHA) compared to the other health authorities (p < 0.001). This also holds true for common sensitizing EGFRm+ alone (p < 0.001) and for sensitizing EGFRm+ when adjusted for females and smoker status (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.62, 0.92; p = 0.005). Patients residing within the Northern, Interior, and Island HAs were less likely to receive treatment at the same rate as those in VCHA and FHA HAs. Conclusion: actionable NSCLC driver mutations are present in all regional HAs, with disparity noted in time to initiate treatment between HAs. This provides evidence for the importance of molecular testing for patients in all BC HAs to guide personalized and timely NSCLC treatment.

Real World Patient Eligibility for Second Line Lurbinectedin Based Treatment in Small Cell Lung Cancer: Understanding Epidemiology and Estimating Health Care Utilization

BACKGROUND

In the ATLANTIS study, second-line lurbinectedin/doxorubicin did not improve overall survival (OS), however patients with a chemotherapy-free interval (CTFI) of ≥180 days had an improved progression free survival (PFS). The objective of this retrospective study was to identify the proportion of real-world small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients who are suitable for lurbinectedin-based therapy based on these criteria.

METHODS

A retrospective study of all SCLC referred to BC Cancer between 2012 and 2017 was conducted. Patient demographics, staging, treatment, and survival data were collected retrospectively. Baseline characteristics were compared using descriptive statistics. OS was calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves. Statistically significant p-value was <0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 1048 patients were identified. Baseline characteristics: median age 68 years, 47% male, 61% current smoking status, 68% extensive disease. Best supportive care was received by 22%. First-line systemic therapy was platinum doublet for 71% of the population. Second-line systemic therapy was delivered to 22%. Of the 219 patients who received second-line systemic therapy after platinum doublet, 183 patients had a CTFI of ≥90 days and 107 patients had a CTFI of ≥180 days. Patients originally treated as limited stage disease, received platinum doublet as second line, received thoracic radiation (RT) or prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) were more likely to have a CTFI of ≥90 and ≥180 days.

CONCLUSION

In our real-world SCLC population, only 21% of the SCLC population received second-line therapy after platinum doublet with 17% achieving CTFI of ≥90 days and 10% CTFI of ≥180 days. Based on this retrospective review, only a small fraction of platinum-treated patients would be preferentially offered lurbinectedin in the second-line setting.

International recommendations for plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA measurement in nasopharyngeal carcinoma in resource-constrained settings: lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic

The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic continue to constrain health-care staff and resources worldwide, despite the availability of effective vaccines. Aerosol-generating procedures such as endoscopy, a common investigation tool for nasopharyngeal carcinoma, are recognised as a likely cause of SARS-CoV-2 spread in hospitals. Plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA is considered the most accurate biomarker for the routine management of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. A consensus statement on whether plasma EBV DNA can minimise the need for or replace aerosol-generating procedures, imaging methods, and face-to-face consultations in managing nasopharyngeal carcinoma is urgently needed amid the current pandemic and potentially for future highly contagious airborne diseases or natural disasters. We completed a modified Delphi consensus process of three rounds with 33 international experts in otorhinolaryngology or head and neck surgery, radiation oncology, medical oncology, and clinical oncology with vast experience in managing nasopharyngeal carcinoma, representing 51 international professional societies and national clinical trial groups. These consensus recommendations aim to enhance consistency in clinical practice, reduce ambiguity in delivering care, and offer advice for clinicians worldwide who work in endemic and non-endemic regions of nasopharyngeal carcinoma, in the context of COVID-19 and other airborne pandemics, and in future unexpected settings of severe resource constraints and insufficiency of personal protective equipment.

A perspective on life-cycle health technology assessment and real-world evidence for precision oncology in Canada

Health technology assessment (HTA) can be used to make healthcare systems more equitable and efficient. Advances in precision oncology are challenging conventional thinking about HTA. Precision oncology advances are rapid, involve small patient groups, and are frequently evaluated without a randomized comparison group. In light of these challenges, mechanisms to manage precision oncology uncertainties are critical. We propose a life-cycle HTA framework and outline supporting criteria to manage uncertainties based on real world data collected from learning healthcare systems. If appropriately designed, we argue that life-cycle HTA is the driver of real world evidence generation and furthers our understanding of comparative effectiveness and value. We conclude that life-cycle HTA deliberation processes must be embedded into healthcare systems for an agile response to the constantly changing landscape of precision oncology innovation. We encourage further research outlining the core requirements, infrastructure, and checklists needed to achieve the goal of learning healthcare supporting life-cycle HTA.

Patient-reported outcomes in a linguistically diverse cancer population: Addressing barriers to access

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Background: The census metropolitan area served by BC Cancer is Vancouver which has a population of 2.4 million. Census Canada noted the mother tongue learned in childhood and still spoken was: 54% English, 17% Indo-European, 16% Chinese, 10% Indo-Iranian, 3% English+other language, 2% other. At BC Cancer, implementation of patient reported outcomes (PROs) was launched 1 year ago with consideration of preferred language. Our goal was to examine the implementation of PROs with respect to equity of access and language preferences. Methods: BC Cancer Vancouver implemented PROs including the Edmonton Symptom Assessment Scale Revised, Canadian Problem Checklist and EQ5D in April 2021 using a web-based platform. A 1-year cohort was reviewed for patients’ mother tongue and the language used for the PROs. Qualitative interviews were undertaken for non-English mother tongue patients to ask for preferred language of PROs and reasons for the choice if mother tongue was not selected. Results: 86 patients were enrolled in the PRO program. Baseline characteristics: 66% female, age 30% < 60/ 31% 60-69/ 39% >70, primary site 54% lung/ 34% colorectal/ 18% other. Ethnic origin: 53% North American and European, 40% East and Southeast Asian, 2% Latin/Central and South American, 3% South Asian, 1% Indigenous, 1% other. Mother tongue: 52% English, 48% non-English (39% English proficient, 9% low English proficiency). Patient preferred language for PROs: 81% English, 11% Chinese, 7% other. Reasons for non-English mother tongue preference for English language included comfort with written English, use of family assistance completing questionnaires for both language and familiarity with electronic devices. Conclusions: In the Vancouver linguistically diverse cancer population, the majority of patients preferred English language PROs. Reasons for this include proficiency in the written language and the use of family members to complete the questionnaires. With 39% of patients over the age of 70 in our study, the use of electronic devices for completion may have introduced an additional barrier to access. In clinic iPad questionnaires with nursing and care aide support have been introduced to help address this gap. Clinical trial information: NCT05057234.

Uptake of second-line anticancer therapy after first-line pembrolizumab in patients with stage IV non–small cell lung cancer with PD-L1 > 50%: Comparison between clinical trials and the real world

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Background: In KEYNOTE-024 single agent pembrolizumab was compared to platinum-based chemotherapy in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with PDL1 >50%. Patients treated with pembrolizumab had an improved progression free survival and overall survival (OS). In KEYNOTE-024, 53% of patients treated with pembrolizumab received second line anticancer therapy with a median OS of 26.3 months. The objective of this study is to characterize real-world NSCLC patients who received second line therapy after pembrolizumab. Methods: A retrospective study of stage IV NSCLC patients with PDL1 >50% referred to BC Cancer between 2018-2021 treated with first line pembrolizumab. Patient demographics, treatment received, and outcomes were collected retrospectively. Baseline characteristics were compared using descriptive statistics. Univariate and multivariate analysis was completed. Kaplan-Meier curves was used to calculate OS and compared using the log rank test. Results: Between 2018-2021, 718 Stage IV NSCLC patients received at least 1 cycle of pembrolizumab. Median duration on treatment was 4.4 months and follow up duration was 16.0 months. 567 (80%) had disease progression of which only 21% (n = 119) received second line systemic therapy. Within the subset with disease progression, median duration on treatment was 3.0 months and follow up duration was 11.7 months. Patients who received second line therapy were younger (p < 0.001), better baseline ECOG PS (p < 0.001) and had longer duration on first line pembrolizumab (p < 0.001). There was no difference in sex (p = 0.519), smoking status (p = 0.416) or histology (p = 0.136). In the multivariate model including age (OR 0.95), baseline ECOG PS (PS 0-1, OR 2.59) and duration on pembrolizumab (OR 1.05) each independently impacted receipt of second line therapy, Table. Median OS from date of diagnosis was 9.6 (IQR 8.4-10.9) months in patients who did not receive additional therapy after progression and 25.3 (IQR 22.5-28.1) months in patients who received subsequent therapy, (p < 0.001). Conclusions: In our stage IV NSCLC population, we found that only 21% of patients received second line systemic therapy despite it being associated with improved OS. Compared to KEYNOTE-024, this real-world population found that 60% less patients received second line systemic therapy. Although differences exist between a clinical and non-clinical trial population, these findings suggest significantly undertreating our stage IV NSCLC patients requiring increased rates of offering second line therapy.[Table: see text]

Hippocampal cingulum white matter increases over time in young people at high genetic risk for bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

Bipolar disorder (BD) is a strongly familial psychiatric disorder associated with white matter (WM) brain abnormalities. It is unclear whether such abnormalities are present in relatives without BD, and little is known about WM trajectories in those at increased genetic risk.

METHODS

Diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (dMRI) data were acquired at baseline and after two years in 91 unaffected individuals with a first-degree relative with bipolar disorder (HR), and 85 individuals with no family history of mental illness (CON). All participants were aged between 12 and 30 years at baseline. We examined longitudinal change in Fractional Anisotropy (FA) using tract-based spatial statistics (TBSS).

RESULTS

Compared to the CON group, HR participants showed a significant increase in FA in the right cingulum (hippocampus) (CGH) over a two-year period (p < .05, FDR corrected). This effect was more pronounced in HR individuals without a lifetime diagnosis of a mood disorder than those with a mood disorder.

LIMITATIONS

While our study is well powered to achieve the primary objectives, our sub-group analyses were under powered.

CONCLUSIONS

In one of the very few longitudinal neuroimaging studies of young people at high risk for BD, this study reports novel evidence of atypical white matter development in HR individuals in a key cortico-limbic tract involved in emotion regulation. Our findings also suggest that this different white matter developmental trajectory may be stronger in HR individuals without affective psychopathology. As such, increases in FA in the right CGH of HR participants may be a biomarker of resilience to mood disorders.

Real-world eligibility for platinum doublet plus immune checkpoint inhibitors in extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer

Introduction

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a rapidly progressing aggressive malignancy. Durvalumab in CASPIAN and atezolizumab in IMPower133 were found to improve overall survival (OS) for extensive-stage SCLC. Here we evaluate the proportion of real-world ES SCLC patients who may be eligible for first-line immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) with platinum doublet.

Methods

A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted of referred ES SCLC between 2015 and 2017 in British Columbia, Canada. Patient demographics, staging, treatment, and survival data were collected through the Cancer Registry. Retrospective chart review was completed to extract past medical history and missing variables. CASPIAN/IMPower133 excluded patients with autoimmune diseases, active infection, and performance status (PS) ≥2.

Results

Between 2015 and 2017, 349 patients were diagnosed with ES SCLC. In patients who received platinum-doublet chemotherapy (n=227), 15 had medical contraindication to ICI: inflammatory bowel disease (n=4), rheumatoid arthritis (n=4), idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=3), lupus (n=1), Sjogren’s (n=1), Takayasu arteritis (n=1), and active tuberculosis (n=1). ECOG PS was 0–1 in 96 (45%), PS was 2 in 61 (29%), and ≥3 in 51 (10%). Prior to cycle 1, 82 (36%) patients were eligible for ICI in addition to platinum doublet, 23% of the entire ES population. After cycles 1 and 2, additional 15 (7%) and 8 (4%) patients became PS 0–1, respectively. mOS for ES SCLC who received first-line platinum doublet, non-platinum chemotherapy, and best supportive care was 8.4 1.9 and 1.5 months (p<0.001).

Discussion

By CASPIAN/IMpower133 trial eligibility, only 36% of our real-world platinum-treated patients would have been eligible for the addition of ICI, which is 23% of the entire ES population in one Canadian province. After one or two cycles of chemotherapy, an additional 11% of patients showed PS improvement to 0–1. While the results of CASPIAN/IMpower133 are practice-changing, the majority of the patients will not meet clinical trial eligibility and clinical trials including patients with poor PS are necessary.

End-of-Life Health Resource Utilization for Limited English-Proficient Patients With Advanced Non–Small-Cell Lung Cancer

PURPOSE:

Limited English-proficient (LEP) patients with non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) may receive less palliative care services and more likely to receive aggressive end-of-life (EoL) care. Goals of this retrospective cohort study are to compare access to community palliative home care (CPHC), do not resuscitate (DNR) form completion, place of death, and health resource utilization at EoL between English-proficient (EP) and LEP patients with NSCLC in Vancouver, Canada.

METHODS:

All patients with advanced NSCLC referred in 2016 and received medical care were included. Patients were classified as LEP if seen with a medical interpreter. Descriptive statistics and univariate and multivariate analyses were used to compare the outcomes between the two groups.

RESULTS:

One hundred eighty-six patients were referred, 66% EP. Rates of CPHC referral and DNR form completion were the same for both groups (84% and 92%, P = 1.00). LEP patients received earlier access to CPHC (15 v 10 weeks before death, P = .039). Rates of ER visits within 6 months and 30 days of death were 0.89 for EP patients and 0.7 for LEP patients, P = .374, and 0.1 for EP patients and 0.13 for LEP patients, P = .244. Hospitalization rates within 6 months and 30 days of death were 1.4 for EP patients and 1.59 for LEP patients, P = .640, and 0.67 for EP patients and 0.81 for LEP patients, P = .091. EP patients were more likely to have a home death (26% v 14%), whereas LEP patients died in acute care (23% v 14%) or a tertiary palliative care unit (24% v 19%). This was not statistically significant ( P = .335). LEP patients had better median overall survival (8.5 v 5.4 months, P < .001), but when controlled by age, mutation, and EP status, only receipt of palliative-intent systemic therapy was statistically significant.

CONCLUSION:

EP and LEP patients with NSCLC have similar referral rates to CPHC, DNR form completion, and EoL health resource utilization. The measured EoL variables did not demonstrate significant disparities between EP and LEP patients.

Defining a Core Data Set for the Economic Evaluation of Precision Oncology

OBJECTIVES

Precision oncology is generating vast amounts of multiomic data to improve human health and accelerate research. Existing clinical study designs and attendant data are unable to provide comparative evidence for economic evaluations. This lack of evidence can cause inconsistent and inappropriate reimbursement. Our study defines a core data set to facilitate economic evaluations of precision oncology.

METHODS

We conducted a literature review of economic evaluations of next-generation sequencing technologies, a common application of precision oncology, published between 2005 and 2018 and indexed in PubMed (MEDLINE). Based on this review, we developed a preliminary core data set for informal expert feedback. We then used a modified-Delphi approach with individuals involved in implementation and evaluation of precision medicine, including 2 survey rounds followed by a final voting conference to refine the data set.

RESULTS

Two authors determined that variation in published data elements was reached after abstraction of 20 economic evaluations. Expert consultation refined the data set to 83 unique data elements, and a multidisciplinary sample of 46 experts participated in the modified-Delphi process. A total of 68 elements (81%) were selected as required, spanning demographics and clinical characteristics, genomic data, cancer treatment, health and quality of life outcomes, and resource use.

CONCLUSIONS

Cost-effectiveness analyses will fail to reflect the real-world impacts of precision oncology without data to accurately characterize patient care trajectories and outcomes. Data collection in accordance with the proposed core data set will promote standardization and enable the generation of decision-grade evidence to inform reimbursement.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

POS0779 STANDARDIZED MORTALITY RATIO AND RISK FACTORS FOR DEATH IN SOUTHERN CHINESE PATIENTS WITH THE ANTIPHOSPHOLIPID SYNDROME (APS)

Objectives

To report the mortality rate and risk factors for death in southern Chinese patients with the antiphospholipid syndrome (APS)

Methods

The HKAPS registry was established in early 2020 by the Hong Kong Society of Rheumatology to study the outcomes of Chinese patients with APS treated in public hospitals in Hong Kong. Patients aged ≥18 years were identified by the Hospital Authority Clinical Data retrieval system using the ICD-10 diagnostic code of APS. The medical history and APS diagnosis was verified by sub-investigators in different hospitals using the 2006 modified consensus criteria for the APS. Eligible patients were classified into definite APS or probable APS, which was further categorized into primary (without underlying rheumatic diseases) and secondary types. The treatment and outcome (recurrence and mortality) of the patients was studied by Kaplan-Meier analysis and risk factors for recurrence of thrombosis and mortality were studied by Cox regression.

Results

428 APS patients were studied - 282 fulfilled the 2006 criteria for APS while 146 patients had probable APS (anti-phospholipid [aPL] antibodies positive once or with non-criteria manifestations). All were ethnic Chinese. The mean age at diagnosis was 44.1±15.6 years and the female to male ratio was 3.4:1. APS was primary in 211 patients and secondary to concomitant rheumatic diseases in 217 patients (SLE in 89.9%). 369(86.4%) patients had thromboembolic manifestations, 85(19.9%) had obstetric morbidities and 20(4.7%) had both. In patients with secondary APS, 23% thrombotic or obstetric manifestations occurred before diagnosis of the rheumatic diseases. Lupus anticoagulant (LAC), moderate/high titers of IgG anticardiolipin and anti-β2glycoprotein-1 antibodies was present in 326(76.1%), 242(56.5%) and 29(6.7%) patients, respectively. 137(32%) patients were double positive while 19(4.4%) patient was triple positive for these aPL antibodies. Among the thromboembolic manifestations, arterial thrombosis (n=201) was more common than venous thrombosis (n=186). The following treatment regimens were used: warfarin (63.6%), aspirin plus subcutaneous heparin (6.8%), aspirin plus warfarin (3%), aspirin alone (17.8%) and direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) (2.8%). Bleeding complications developed in 77(18%) patients.

After a mean follow-up of 8.0±14.1 years, recurrence of thromboembolic or obstetric complications occurred in 83(19.4%) and 14(3.3%) patients, respectively (1 patient had recurrence of both thrombosis and obstetric complications). Cox regression did not reveal any factors significantly associated with recurrence of thrombosis. A total of 67(15.7%) patients succumbed (median time to death 7.3 years). The causes of death were vascular in 29.9% (intracranial haemorrhage [35%], myocardial infarction [30%], limb ischemia [10%], ischemic stroke[10%], bowel ischemia[5%]) and non-vascular in 70.1% of patients (infection [59.6%], malignancy [10.6%], SLE activity [6.4%], pulmonary arterial hypertension [2.1%], organ failure [6.4%] and others). The cumulative risk of mortality over time was 6.4% at 5 years and 11.9% at 10 years. The age and sex adjusted standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of our APS patients relative to the general population was 18.2(14.2-23.0). In patients with thrombotic APS, mortality was associated with older age (≥60 years) (HR 2.57[1.34-4.95]) and the presence of LAC (HR 2.01[1.07-3.75]), adjusted for age, sex and vascular risk factors that included hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia, smoking and atrial fibrillation.

Conclusion

APS in southern Chinese is relatively uncommon and most cases were associated with SLE. In contrast to the Caucasians, venous thrombosis related to APS is less frequent. Over 8 years, recurrence of thrombotic events is uncommon. The mortality of APS in our Chinese patients was increased, with older age and the presence of LAC being independent risk factors.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared