Risk of recurrent stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with oral anticoagulants alone or in combination with anti-platelet therapy

INTRODUCTION

Ischaemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are at high risk of stroke recurrence despite oral anticoagulation therapy. Patients with cardiovascular comorbidities may take both antiplatelet and oral anticoagulation therapy (OAC/AP). Our study aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of OAC/AP therapy as secondary prevention in people with AF and ischaemic stroke.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a post-hoc analysis of pooled individual data from multicenter prospective cohort studies and compared outcomes in the OAC/AP cohort and patients on DOAC/VKA anticoagulation alone (OAC cohort). Primary outcome was a composite of ischaemic stroke, systemic embolism, intracranial bleeding, and major extracranial bleeding, while secondary outcomes were ischaemic and haemorrhagic events considered separately. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors for outcome events. To compare the risk of outcome events between the two cohorts, the relation between the survival function and the set of explanatory variables were calculated by Cox proportional hazard models and the results were reported as adjusted hazard ratios (HR). Finally another analysis was performed to compare the overall risk of outcome events in both OAC/AP and OAC cohorts after propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up time of 7.5 ± 9.1 months (median follow-up time 3.5 months, interquartile range ±3), 2284 stroke patients were on oral anticoagulants and 215 were on combined therapy. The multivariable model demonstrated that the composite outcome is associated with age (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04 for each year increase) and concomitant antiplatelet therapy (OR: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.48-3.27), the ischaemic outcome with congestive heart failure (OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.02-2.36) and concomitant antiplatelet therapy (OR: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.19-3.13) and the haemorrhagic outcome with age (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.06 for each year increase), alcoholism (OR: 2.15, 95% CI: 1.06-4.39) and concomitant antiplatelet therapy (OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.23-4.02). Cox regression demonstrated a higher rate of the composite outcome (hazard ratio of 1.93 [95% CI, 1.35-2.76]), ischaemic events (HR: 2.05 [95% CI: 1.45-2.87]) and bleeding outcomes (HR: 1.90 [95% CI, 1.06-3.40]) in OAC/AP cohort. After PSM analysis, the composite outcome remained more frequent in people treated with OAC + AP (RR: 1.70 [95% CI, 1.05-2.74]).

DISCUSSION

Secondary prevention with combination of oral anticoagulant and antiplatelet therapy after ischaemic stroke was associated with worse outcomes in our cohort.

CONCLUSION

Further research is needed to improve secondary prevention by investigating the mechanisms of recurrent ischaemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Whole-Genome Sequencing and Molecular Analysis of Ceftazidime-Avibactam-Resistant KPC-Producing Klebsiella pneumoniae from Intestinal Colonization in Elderly Patients

Ceftazidime-avibactam (CAZ-AVI) is an active antibiotic combination of a β-lactam-β-lactamase inhibitor against carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales. Reports of resistance to CAZ-AVI other than metallo-β-lactamases have increased in recent years. The aim of this study was to analyze KPC-Klebsiella pneumoniae (KP) isolates resistant to CAZ-AVI from the intestinal carriage of hospitalized elderly patients in Italy, in February 2018-January 2020. Characterization of CAZ-AVI-resistant KP isolates, including MLST, resistome, virulome and plasmid content, was performed by WGS analysis. Out of six CAZ-AVI-resistant KP isolates, three belonged to ST101 and three to ST512; two isolates produced KPC-3 (both ST512), four had mutated KPC-3 (KPC-31, in ST101 and ST512, and KPC-46, both ST101). All CAZ-AVI-resistant KP isolates were multidrug-resistant and carried several resistance genes. The yersiniabactin ybt9 gene cluster was present in all ST101 isolates, while, in ST512 isolates, no virulence genes were detected. Several plasmids were detected: IncF was present in all isolates, as well as IncR and Col440 in ST101 and IncX3 in ST512 isolates. In conclusion, it is important to monitor the circulation of K. pneumoniae resistant to CAZ-AVI to prevent the spread of clones causing difficult-to-treat infections. The presence of mutated KPC-3 in high-risk K. pneumoniae clones resistant to CAZ-AVI in hospitalized patients deserves attention.

Whole Genome Sequencing and Molecular Analysis of Carbapenemase-Producing Escherichia coli from Intestinal Carriage in Elderly Inpatients

The spread of carbapenemase-producing (CP) Enterobacterales is currently a worldwide concern, especially in the elderly. Twelve CP-E. coli isolated from rectal swabs of colonized inpatients aged ≥65 years from four hospitals in two Italian cities (Milan and Rome) were analyzed by whole genome sequencing (WGS) to obtain multi-locus sequence typing (MLST), identification of carbapenemase-encoding genes, resistome, plasmid content, and virulence genes. MLST analysis showed the presence of 10 unrelated lineages: ST410 (three isolates from three different hospitals in two cities) and ST12, ST38, ST69, ST95, ST131, ST189, ST648, ST1288, and ST1598 (one isolate each). Most isolates (9/12, 75%) contained a serine-β-lactamase gene (5 bla_KPC-3, 2 bla_KPC-2, and 2 bla_OXA-181), while three isolates harbored a metallo-β-lactamase gene (two bla_NDM-5 and one bla_VIM-1). In most CP-E. coli, the presence of more than one plasmid was observed, with the predominance of IncF. Several virulence genes were detected. All isolates contained genes enhancing the bacterial fitness, such as gad and terC, and all isolates but one, fimH, encoding type 1 fimbriae. In conclusion, CP-E. coli clones colonizing elderly patients showed heterogeneous genetic backgrounds. We recommend strict surveillance to monitor and prevent the spread of successful, high-risk clones in healthcare settings.

Dynamics of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales intestinal colonisation in the elderly population after hospital discharge, Italy, 2018-2020

Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE) represent a serious threat to public health worldwide. Elderly patients are at increased risk of colonisation/infection with CPE. This study aimed to evaluate the persistence of CPE colonisation and the genotypic characteristics of persistent strains in elderly people discharged from Italian hospitals. A longitudinal study was conducted in two Italian cities (March 2018 to September 2020) enrolling 137 patients aged ≥65 years with CPE intestinal colonisation at hospital discharge. CPE colonisation was evaluated after 4, 8 and 12 months. Competing risk analysis was used to explore the association between baseline characteristics and persistence at 4 months. For all isolates, carbapenemase typing and multilocus sequence typing were performed. Persistent isolates underwent whole-genome sequencing. Of 137 patients, 91% carried carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (CP-KP) and 8.8% carried carbapenemase-producing Escherichia coli. Although a large number of patients were lost to follow-up owing to death or withdrawal, 28/65 patients (43.1%) remained colonised at Month 4; 16/42 (38.1%) and 5/28 (17.9%) were found colonised up to Months 8 and 12, respectively. Colonisation persistence was more frequent in patients with bacteraemia or complicated urinary tract infection while in hospital and in those staying in long-term care facilities (LTCFs). Clonal characteristics of CP-KP isolates did not appear to influence persistence. Isolates obtained from each persistent carrier were identical or highly related by SNP phylogenetic analysis. Identification of patients at higher risk of persistent intestinal carriage after hospital discharge can prompt control measures to limit the transmission of CPE in the community, especially in LTCF settings.

Timing of initiation of oral anticoagulants in patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation comparing posterior and anterior circulation strokes

Introduction

The aim of this study in patients with acute posterior ischaemic stroke (PS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) was to evaluate (1) the risks of recurrent ischaemic event and severe bleeding and (2) these risks in relation with oral anticoagulant therapy (OAT) and its timing.

Materials and Methods

Patients with PS were prospectively included; the outcome events of these patients were compared with those of patients with anterior stroke (AS) which were taken from previous registries. The primary outcome was the composite of stroke recurrence, transient ischaemic attack, symptomatic systemic embolism, symptomatic cerebral bleeding and major extracranial bleeding occurring within 90 days from acute stroke.

Results

A total of 2470 patients were available for the analysis: 473 (19.1%) with PS and 1997 (80.9%) with AS. Over 90 days, 213 (8.6%) primary outcome events were recorded: 175 (8.7%) in patients with AS and 38 (8.0%) in those with PS. In patients who initiated OAT within 2 days, the primary outcome occurred in 5 out of 95 patients (5.3%) with PS compared to 21 out of 373 patients (4.3%) with AS (OR 1.07; 95% CI 0.39-2.94). In patients who initiated OAT between days 3 and 7, the primary outcome occurred in 3 out of 103 patients (2.9%) with PS compared to 26 out of 490 patients (5.3%) with AS (OR 0.54; 95% CI 0.16-1.80).

Discussion

our findings suggest that, when deciding the time to initiate oral anticoagulation, the location of stroke, either anterior or posterior, does not predict the risk of outcome events.

Conclusions

Patients with PS or AS and AF appear to have similar risks of ischaemic or haemorrhagic events at 90 days with no difference concerning the timing of initiation of OAT.

Safety of Anticoagulation in Patients Treated With Urgent Reperfusion for Ischemic Stroke Related to Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The optimal timing for starting oral anticoagulant after an ischemic stroke related to atrial fibrillation remains a challenge, mainly in patients treated with systemic thrombolysis or mechanical thrombectomy. We aimed at assessing the incidence of early recurrence and major bleeding in patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation treated with thrombolytic therapy and/or thrombectomy, who then received oral anticoagulants for secondary prevention.

METHODS

We combined the dataset of the RAF and the RAF-NOACs (Early Recurrence and Major Bleeding in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Non-Vitamin K Oral Anticoagulants) studies, which were prospective observational studies carried out from January 2012 to March 2014 and April 2014 to June 2016, respectively. We included consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation treated with either vitamin K antagonists or nonvitamin K oral anticoagulants. Primary outcome was the composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack, symptomatic systemic embolism, symptomatic cerebral bleeding, and major extracerebral bleeding within 90 days from the inclusion. Treated-patients were propensity matched to untreated-patients in a 1:1 ratio after stratification by baseline clinical features.

RESULTS

A total of 2159 patients were included, 564 (26%) patients received acute reperfusion therapies. After the index event, 505 (90%) patients treated with acute reperfusion therapies and 1287 of 1595 (81%) patients untreated started oral anticoagulation. Timing of starting oral anticoagulant was similar in reperfusion-treated and untreated patients (median 7.5 versus 7.0 days, respectively). At 90 days, the primary study outcome occurred in 37 (7%) patients treated with reperfusion and in 146 (9%) untreated patients (odds ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.50-1.07]). After propensity score matching, risk of primary outcome was comparable between the 2 groups (odds ratio, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.53-2.02]).

CONCLUSIONS

Acute reperfusion treatment did not influence the risk of early recurrence and major bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation-related acute ischemic stroke, who started on oral anticoagulant.

Hemorrhagic Transformation in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation: Time to Initiation of Oral Anticoagulant Therapy and Outcomes

Background

In patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation, early anticoagulation prevents ischemic recurrence but with the risk of hemorrhagic transformation (HT). The aims of this study were to evaluate in consecutive patients with acute stroke and atrial fibrillation (1) the incidence of early HT, (2) the time to initiation of anticoagulation in patients with HT, (3) the association of HT with ischemic recurrences, and (4) the association of HT with clinical outcome at 90 days.

Methods and Results

HT was diagnosed by a second brain computed tomographic scan performed 24 to 72 hours after stroke onset. The incidence of ischemic recurrences as well as mortality or disability (modified Rankin Scale scores >2) were evaluated at 90 days. Ischemic recurrences were the composite of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or systemic embolism. Among the 2183 patients included in the study, 241 (11.0%) had HT. Patients with and without HT initiated anticoagulant therapy after a mean 23.3 and 11.6 days, respectively, from index stroke. At 90 days, 4.6% (95% confidence interval, 2.3–8.0) of the patients with HT had ischemic recurrences compared with 4.9% (95% confidence interval, 4.0–6.0) of those without HT; 53.1% of patients with HT were deceased or disabled compared with 35.8% of those without HT. On multivariable analysis, HT was associated with mortality or disability (odds ratio, 1.71; 95% confidence interval, 1.24–2.35).

Conclusions

In patients with HT, anticoagulation was initiated about 12 days later than patients without HT. This delay was not associated with increased detection of ischemic recurrence. HT was associated with increased mortality or disability.

Anticoagulation After Stroke in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Background and Purpose- Bridging therapy with low-molecular-weight heparin reportedly leads to a worse outcome for acute cardioembolic stroke patients because of a higher incidence of intracerebral bleeding. However, this practice is common in clinical settings. This observational study aimed to compare (1) the clinical profiles of patients receiving and not receiving bridging therapy, (2) overall group outcomes, and (3) outcomes according to the type of anticoagulant prescribed. Methods- We analyzed data of patients from the prospective RAF and RAF-NOACs studies. The primary outcome was defined as the composite of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic embolism, symptomatic cerebral bleeding, and major extracerebral bleeding observed at 90 days after the acute stroke. Results- Of 1810 patients who initiated oral anticoagulant therapy, 371 (20%) underwent bridging therapy with full-dose low-molecular-weight heparin. Older age and the presence of leukoaraiosis were inversely correlated with the use of bridging therapy. Forty-two bridged patients (11.3%) reached the combined outcome versus 72 (5.0%) of the nonbridged patients (P=0.0001). At multivariable analysis, bridging therapy was associated with the composite end point (odds ratio, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.4-3.7; P<0.0001), as well as ischemic (odds ratio, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.3-3.9; P=0.005) and hemorrhagic (odds ratio, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.2-4.9; P=0.01) end points separately. Conclusions- Our findings suggest that patients receiving low-molecular-weight heparin have a higher risk of early ischemic recurrence and hemorrhagic transformation compared with nonbridged patients.

Early recurrence in paroxysmal versus sustained atrial fibrillation in patients with acute ischaemic stroke

Background

The relationship between different patterns of atrial fibrillation and early recurrence after an acute ischaemic stroke is unclear.

Purpose

In a prospective cohort study, we evaluated the rates of early ischaemic recurrence after an acute ischaemic stroke in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation or sustained atrial fibrillation which included persistent and permanent atrial fibrillation.

Methods

In patients with acute ischaemic stroke, atrial fibrillation was categorised as paroxysmal atrial fibrillation or sustained atrial fibrillation. Ischaemic recurrences were the composite of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack and symptomatic systemic embolism occurring within 90 days from acute index stroke.

Results

A total of 2150 patients (1155 females, 53.7%) were enrolled: 930 (43.3%) had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and 1220 (56.7%) sustained atrial fibrillation. During the 90-day follow-up, 111 ischaemic recurrences were observed in 107 patients: 31 in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (3.3%) and 76 with sustained atrial fibrillation (6.2%) (hazard ratio (HR) 1.86 (95% CI 1.24-2.81)). Patients with sustained atrial fibrillation were on average older, more likely to have diabetes mellitus, hypertension, history of stroke/ transient ischaemic attack, congestive heart failure, atrial enlargement, high baseline NIHSS-score and implanted pacemaker. After adjustment by Cox proportional hazard model, sustained atrial fibrillation was not associated with early ischaemic recurrences (adjusted HR 1.23 (95% CI 0.74-2.04)).

Conclusions

After acute ischaemic stroke, patients with sustained atrial fibrillation had a higher rate of early ischaemic recurrence than patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. After adjustment for relevant risk factors, sustained atrial fibrillation was not associated with a significantly higher risk of recurrence, thus suggesting that the risk profile associated with atrial fibrillation, rather than its pattern, is determinant for recurrence.

Randomized, double blind placebo-controlled pilot study of the antihypertensive effects of Grana Padano D.O.P. cheese consumption in mild - moderate hypertensive subjects

OBJECTIVE

Grana Padano, an Italian protected designation of origin (PDO) semi-fat cheese, undergoes a long ripening period during which the proteolysis carried out by natural starter lactic acid bacteria releases peptides having sustained angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE)-inhibitory activity. The length (generally 3-8 amino acid residues) and the sequence of these peptides are responsible for their ability to elicit ACE-inhibitory activity. The aim of this study has been the evaluation of the effect of a daily dietary supplement consisting in a small amount (30 g/day) of Grana Padano cheese, in terms of the lowering of the blood pressure (BP) of mild-moderate hypertensive subjects.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Thirty mild-moderate hypertensive patients, with BP values not on target (> 140 and/or > 90 mmHg) after at least 3 months of stable treatment were considered in this randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled cross-over study. All patients randomly received a dietary integration (30 g/day) of Grana Padano cheese or a placebo (made from flavored grated bread mixed with fats and salts in concentrations equal to those of the cheese). BP was evaluated at baseline and at the end of the active and placebo treatments (2 months each) by: - Office BP (OBP); - Automated Office BP (AOBP) using the BpTRU®, an automated oscillometric device that provides the average of multiple (n=6) blood pressure measurements; - Ambulatory Blood Pressure (ABP) 24 hour monitoring.

RESULTS

Dietary integration with Grana Padano cheese resulted in a significant decrease in Office, Automated Office and Ambulatory BP. The mean decrease (vs. placebo) for 24-hour ABP was -3.5 mmHg for systolic and -2.4 mmHg for diastolic BP (p = 0.0063 and p = 0.0065, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Daily dietary integration with 30 g of Grana Padano DOP cheese effectively reduces BP and may help mild-to-moderate hypertensive patients to reach a target BP.

Abstract P488: Antihypertensive Effects of Lactotripeptides on Unattended Office and Abulatory Blood Pressure. A Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled Study

Milk fermentation by Lactobacillus helveticus produces some tripeptides (VPP and IVP) with sustained ACE-inhibitor activity that have shown to lower blood pressure (BP) in experimental animals and in humans. Grana Padano DOP, an Italian cheese, has shown a potent in vitro ACE-inhibitory effect due to its high concentration of such tripeptides. Present data refer to a randomized, double-blind, placebo controlled, study in which 30 mild-moderate hypertensive patients received a dietary integration with Grana Padano DOP. At base-line all patients had BP not on target (>140 and/or 90 mmHg) after their usual treatment and received a dietary integration with Grana Padano (1 ounce per day) and placebo, in cross over fashion.BP was evaluated at baseline and at the end of the active and placebo treatment (2 months each) by Office and unattended Office BP (using the BpTRU, average of 5 consecutive BP readings) and by ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM).

Results: dietary integration with Grana Padano resulted in a significant decreased in systolic and diastolic office and unattended office BP (-6 mmHg for systolic and - 5 mmHg for diastolic BP). ABPM confirmed a sustained antihypertensive effect of such integration (see table).

In conclusion, the diaily integration with 1 ounce of Grana Padano DOP cheese caused a significant decrease in systolic and diastolic BP pressure in hypertensive patients. No changes in BMI, total and HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, glucose, serum sodium and potassium levels were observed. The statistically significant drop in BP may be considered also clinically significant since the majority (67%) of the patients reached normal BP levels at the end of active treatment.

Sex-related differences in risk factors, type of treatment received and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation and acute stroke: Results from the RAF-study (Early Recurrence and Cerebral Bleeding in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation)

Introduction

Atrial fibrillation is an independent risk factor of thromboembolism. Women with atrial fibrillation are at a higher overall risk for stroke compared to men with atrial fibrillation. The aim of this study was to evaluate for sex differences in patients with acute stroke and atrial fibrillation, regarding risk factors, treatments received and outcomes.

Methods

Data were analyzed from the “Recurrence and Cerebral Bleeding in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation” (RAF-study), a prospective, multicenter, international study including only patients with acute stroke and atrial fibrillation. Patients were followed up for 90 days. Disability was measured by the modified Rankin Scale (0–2 favorable outcome, 3–6 unfavorable outcome).

Results

Of the 1029 patients enrolled, 561 were women (54.5%) (p < 0.001) and younger (p < 0.001) compared to men. In patients with known atrial fibrillation, women were less likely to receive oral anticoagulants before index stroke (p = 0.026) and were less likely to receive anticoagulants after stroke (71.3% versus 78.4%, p = 0.01). There was no observed sex difference regarding the time of starting anticoagulant therapy between the two groups (6.4 ± 11.7 days for men versus 6.5 ± 12.4 days for women, p = 0.902). Men presented with more severe strokes at onset (mean NIHSS 9.2 ± 6.9 versus 8.1 ± 7.5, p < 0.001). Within 90 days, 46 (8.2%) recurrent ischemic events (stroke/TIA/systemic embolism) and 19 (3.4%) symptomatic cerebral bleedings were found in women compared to 30 (6.4%) and 18 (3.8%) in men (p = 0.28 and p = 0.74). At 90 days, 57.7% of women were disabled or deceased, compared to 41.1% of the men (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis did not confirm this significance.

Conclusions

Women with atrial fibrillation were less likely to receive oral anticoagulants prior to and after stroke compared to men with atrial fibrillation, and when stroke occurred, regardless of the fact that in our study women were younger and with less severe stroke, outcomes did not differ between the sexes.

Prestroke CHA2DS2-VASc Score and Severity of Acute Stroke in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Findings from RAF Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to investigate for a possible association between both prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the severity of stroke at presentation, as well as disability and mortality at 90 days, in patients with acute stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

This prospective study enrolled consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke, AF, and assessment of prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Severity of stroke was assessed on admission using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (severe stroke: NIHSS ≥10). Disability and mortality at 90 days were assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS <3 or ≥3). Multiple logistic regression was used to correlate prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc and severity of stroke, as well as disability and mortality at 90 days.

RESULTS

Of the 1020 patients included in the analysis, 606 patients had an admission NIHSS score lower and 414 patients higher than 10. At 90 days, 510 patients had mRS ≥3. A linear correlation was found between the prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and severity of stroke (P = .001). On multivariate analysis, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score correlated with severity of stroke (P = .041) and adverse functional outcome (mRS ≥3) (P = .001). A logistic regression with the receiver operating characteristic graph procedure (C-statistics) evidenced an area under the curve of .60 (P = .0001) for severe stroke. Furthermore, a correlation was found between prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and lesion size.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, in addition to the risk of stroke, a high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was independently associated with both stroke severity at onset and disability and mortality at 90 days.

Prediction of Early Recurrent Thromboembolic Event and Major Bleeding in Patients With Acute Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation by a Risk Stratification Schema: The ALESSA Score Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSES

This study was designed to derive and validate a score to predict early ischemic events and major bleedings after an acute ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

The derivation cohort consisted of 854 patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation included in prospective series between January 2012 and March 2014. Older age (hazard ratio 1.06 for each additional year; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.11) and severe atrial enlargement (hazard ratio, 2.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.87) were predictors for ischemic outcome events (stroke, transient ischemic attack, and systemic embolism) at 90 days from acute stroke. Small lesions (≤1.5 cm) were inversely correlated with both major bleeding (hazard ratio, 0.39; P=0.03) and ischemic outcome events (hazard ratio, 0.55; 95% confidence interval, 0.30-1.00). We assigned to age ≥80 years 2 points and between 70 and 79 years 1 point; ischemic index lesion >1.5 cm, 1 point; severe atrial enlargement, 1 point (ALESSA score). A logistic regression with the receiver-operating characteristic graph procedure (C statistic) showed an area under the curve of 0.697 (0.632-0.763; P=0.0001) for ischemic outcome events and 0.585 (0.493-0.678; P=0.10) for major bleedings.

RESULTS

The validation cohort consisted of 994 patients included in prospective series between April 2014 and June 2016. Logistic regression with the receiver-operating characteristic graph procedure showed an area under the curve of 0.646 (0.529-0.763; P=0.009) for ischemic outcome events and 0.407 (0.275-0.540; P=0.14) for hemorrhagic outcome events.

CONCLUSIONS

In acute stroke patients with atrial fibrillation, high ALESSA scores were associated with a high risk of ischemic events but not of major bleedings.

Effect of bedtime dosing of barnidipine hydrochloride in non-dipper hypertensive patients with obstructive sleep apnoea not treated with continuous positive airway pressure

OBJECTIVE

Obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) is considered a cause of secondary hypertension. About 50% of patients with OSA show elevated blood pressure levels. Non-dipper pattern (blunted or absent nocturnal decrease of blood pressure) is frequently observed in patients with OSA and is associated with increased cerebral, cardiovascular and renal events. The aim of this study was to observe the effect of barnidipine calcium channel blocker on these patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Forty-one patients (mean age 69 ± 17 years, 18 females) with previously diagnosed OSA (by reduced channel home-based polysomnography) who were not being treated with continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) because of contraindications or because of patient intolerance or rejection were evaluated. Non-dipper status was defined as the presence of a nighttime fall in systolic blood pressure (BP) which was < 10% that of daytime systolic BP as observed in a previous ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) monitoring. OSA was defined according to the presence of 5 or more episodes per hour of apnoea, hypopnoea or arousal due to respiratory effort. The reproducibility of non-dipping status was confirmed through a second 24-h ABP monitoring performed at baseline. On top of the previous stable treatment regimen (which excluded calcium-channel blockers), a 10 mg dosing of barnidipine hydrochloride at bedtime was added to all subjects during a 12-week period.

RESULTS

Among the 41 non-dipper patients, 32 (78%) showed complete normalization of circadian rhythm. Add-on treatment with barnidipine was generally well tolerated.

CONCLUSIONS

Bedtime dosing of the calcium-channel blocker (CCB) barnidipine significantly reduced mean nighttime systolic and diastolic ABP in hypertensive patients presenting with non-dipper pattern and OSA--not on CPAP treatment. Moreover, it restored the previously altered circadian rhythm in the majority of them.

Prognostic value of trans-thoracic echocardiography in patients with acute stroke and atrial fibrillation: findings from the RAF study

Anticoagulant therapy is recommended for the secondary prevention of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). T he identification of patients at high risk for early recurrence, which are potential candidates to prompt anticoagulation, is crucial to justify the risk of bleeding associated with early anticoagulant treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate in patients with acute ischemic stroke and AF the association between findings at trans-thoracic echocardiography (TTE) and 90 days recurrence. In consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke and AF, TTE was performed within 7 days from hospital admission. Study outcomes were recurrent ischemic cerebrovascular events (stroke or TIA) and systemic embolism. 854 patients (mean age 76.3 ± 9.5 years) underwent a TTE evaluation; 63 patients (7.4%) had at least a study outcome event. Left atrial thrombosis was present in 11 patients (1.3%) among whom 1 had recurrent ischemic event. Left atrial enlargement was present in 548 patients (64.2%) among whom 51 (9.3%) had recurrent ischemic events. The recurrence rate in the 197 patients with severe left atrial enlargement was 11.7%. On multivariate analysis, the presence of atrial enlargement (OR 2.13; 95% CI 1.06-4.29, p = 0.033) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (OR 1.22; 95% CI 1.04-1.45, p = 0.018, for each point increase) were correlated with ischemic recurrences. In patients with AF-associated acute stroke, left atrial enlargement is an independent marker of recurrent stroke and systemic embolism. The risk of recurrence is accounted for by severe atrial enlargement. TTE-detected left atrial thrombosis is relatively uncommon.