1
|
Roos I, Leray E, Frascoli F, Casey R, Brown JWL, Horakova D, Havrdova EK, Trojano M, Patti F, Izquierdo G, Eichau S, Onofrj M, Lugaresi A, Prat A, Girard M, Grammond P, Sola P, Ferraro D, Ozakbas S, Bergamaschi R, Sá MJ, Cartechini E, Boz C, Granella F, Hupperts R, Terzi M, Lechner-Scott J, Spitaleri D, Van Pesch V, Soysal A, Olascoaga J, Prevost J, Aguera-Morales E, Slee M, Csepany T, Turkoglu R, Sidhom Y, Gouider R, Van Wijmeersch B, McCombe P, Macdonell R, Coles A, Malpas CB, Butzkueven H, Vukusic S, Kalincik T, Duquette P, Grand'Maison F, Iuliano G, Ramo-Tello C, Solaro C, Cabrera-Gomez JA, Rio ME, Bolaños RF, Shaygannejad V, Oreja-Guevara C, Sanchez-Menoyo JL, Petersen T, Altintas A, Barnett M, Flechter S, Fragoso Y, Amato MP, Moore F, Ampapa R, Verheul F, Hodgkinson S, Cristiano E, Yamout B, Laureys G, Dominguez JA, Zwanikken C, Deri N, Dobos E, Vrech C, Butler E, Rozsa C, Petkovska-Boskova T, Karabudak R, Rajda C, Alkhaboori J, Saladino ML, Shaw C, Shuey N, Vucic S, Sempere AP, Campbell J, Piroska I, Taylor B, van der Walt A, Kappos L, Roullet E, Gray O, Simo M, Sirbu CA, Brochet B, Cotton F, De Sèze J, Dion A, Douek P, Guillemin F, Laplaud D, Lebrun-Frenay C, Moreau T, Olaiz J, Pelletier J, Rigaud-Bully C, Stankoff B, Marignier R, Debouverie M, Edan G, Ciron J, Ruet A, Collongues N, Lubetzki C, Vermersch P, Labauge P, Defer G, Cohen M, Fromont A, Wiertlewsky S, Berger E, Clavelou P, Audoin B, Giannesini C, Gout O, Thouvenot E, Heinzlef O, Al-Khedr A, Bourre B, Casez O, Cabre P, Montcuquet A, Créange A, Camdessanché JP, Faure J, Maurousset A, Patry I, Hankiewicz K, Pottier C, Maubeuge N, Labeyrie C, Nifle C. Delay from treatment start to full effect of immunotherapies for multiple sclerosis. Brain 2020; 143:2742-2756. [DOI: 10.1093/brain/awaa231] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2020] [Revised: 04/30/2020] [Accepted: 06/01/2020] [Indexed: 01/21/2023] Open
Abstract
Abstract
In multiple sclerosis, treatment start or switch is prompted by evidence of disease activity. Whilst immunomodulatory therapies reduce disease activity, the time required to attain maximal effect is unclear. In this study we aimed to develop a method that allows identification of the time to manifest fully and clinically the effect of multiple sclerosis treatments (‘therapeutic lag’) on clinical disease activity represented by relapses and progression-of-disability events. Data from two multiple sclerosis registries, MSBase (multinational) and OFSEP (French), were used. Patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis, minimum 1-year exposure to treatment, minimum 3-year pretreatment follow-up and yearly review were included in the analysis. For analysis of disability progression, all events in the subsequent 5-year period were included. Density curves, representing incidence of relapses and 6-month confirmed progression events, were separately constructed for each sufficiently represented therapy. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to identify the first local minimum of the first derivative after treatment start; this point represented the point of stabilization of treatment effect, after the maximum treatment effect was observed. The method was developed in a discovery cohort (MSBase), and externally validated in a separate, non-overlapping cohort (OFSEP). A merged MSBase-OFSEP cohort was used for all subsequent analyses. Annualized relapse rates were compared in the time before treatment start and after the stabilization of treatment effect following commencement of each therapy. We identified 11 180 eligible treatment epochs for analysis of relapses and 4088 treatment epochs for disability progression. External validation was performed in four therapies, with no significant difference in the bootstrapped mean differences in therapeutic lag duration between registries. The duration of therapeutic lag for relapses was calculated for 10 therapies and ranged between 12 and 30 weeks. The duration of therapeutic lag for disability progression was calculated for seven therapies and ranged between 30 and 70 weeks. Significant differences in the pre- versus post-treatment annualized relapse rate were present for all therapies apart from intramuscular interferon beta-1a. In conclusion we have developed, and externally validated, a method to objectively quantify the duration of therapeutic lag on relapses and disability progression in different therapies in patients more than 3 years from multiple sclerosis onset. Objectively defined periods of expected therapeutic lag allows insights into the evaluation of treatment response in randomized clinical trials and may guide clinical decision-making in patients who experience early on-treatment disease activity. This method will subsequently be applied in studies that evaluate the effect of patient and disease characteristics on therapeutic lag.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Izanne Roos
- CORe, Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
- Melbourne MS Centre, Department of Neurology, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
| | - Emmanuelle Leray
- Rennes University, EHESP, REPERES (Pharmaco-epidemiology and Health services research) - EA 7449, Rennes, France
| | - Federico Frascoli
- Faculty of Science, Engineering and Technology, School of Science, Department of Mathematics, Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne, 3122, Australia
| | - Romain Casey
- University of Lyon, Claude Bernard University Lyon 1, F-69000 Lyon, France
- Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Neurologie, sclérose en plaques, pathologies de la myéline et neuro-inflammation, F-69677 Bron, France
- Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques, Lyon Neuroscience Research Centre, INSERM 1028 et CNRS UMR 5292, F-69003 Lyon, France
- EUGENE DEVIC EDMUS Foundation against multiple sclerosis, state-approved foundation, F-69677 Bron, France
| | - J William L Brown
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK
| | - Dana Horakova
- Department of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague and General University Hospital, Prague, 12808, Czech Republic
| | - Eva K Havrdova
- Department of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague and General University Hospital, Prague, 12808, Czech Republic
| | - Maria Trojano
- Department of Basic Medical Sciences, Neuroscience and Sense Organs, University of Bari, Bari, 70122, Italy
| | - Francesco Patti
- GF Ingrassia Department, University of Catania, Catania, 95123, Italy
- Policlinico G Rodolico, 95123, Catania, Italy
| | | | - Sara Eichau
- Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena, Sevilla, 41009, Spain
| | - Marco Onofrj
- Department of Neuroscience, Imaging, and Clinical Sciences, University G. d’Annunzio, 66100 Chieti, Italy
| | - Alessandra Lugaresi
- IRCCS Istituto delle Scienze Neurologiche di Bologna, UOSI Riabilitazione Sclerosi Multipla, Bologna, 40139, Italy
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Alexandre Prat
- CHUM MS Center and Universite de Montreal, Montreal, H2L 4M1, Canada
| | - Marc Girard
- CHUM MS Center and Universite de Montreal, Montreal, H2L 4M1, Canada
| | | | - Patrizia Sola
- Department of Neuroscience, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria, Modena, 41100, Italy
| | - Diana Ferraro
- Department of Neuroscience, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria, Modena, 41100, Italy
| | | | | | - Maria José Sá
- Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João and Universidade Fernando Pessoa, 4249-004 Porto, Portugal
| | - Elisabetta Cartechini
- UOC Neurologia, Azienda Sanitaria Unica Regionale Marche - AV3, Macerata, 62100, Italy
| | - Cavit Boz
- KTU Medical Faculty Farabi Hospital, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, 61080, Turkey
| | - Franco Granella
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, Parma, 43126, Italy
- Department of General Medicine, Parma University Hospital, Parma, 43126, Italy
| | - Raymond Hupperts
- Zuyderland Ziekenhuis, Sittard, Sittard, 6131 BK, The Netherlands
| | - Murat Terzi
- Medical Faculty, 19 Mayis University, Kurupelit, Samsun, 55160, Turkey
| | - Jeannette Lechner-Scott
- School of Medicine and Public Health, University Newcastle, 2308, Australia
- Department of Neurology, John Hunter Hospital, Hunter New England Health, Newcastle, 2305, Australia
| | - Daniele Spitaleri
- Azienda Ospedaliera di Rilievo Nazionale San Giuseppe Moscati Avellino, Contrada Amoretta, Avellino, 83100, Italy
| | | | - Aysun Soysal
- Bakirkoy Education and Research Hospital for Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases, Istanbul, 34142, Turkey
| | - Javier Olascoaga
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Biodonostia, Hospital Universitario Donostia, San San Sebastián, Spain, 20014, Spain
| | | | | | - Mark Slee
- Flinders University, Adelaide, 5042, Australia
| | - Tunde Csepany
- Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, 4032, Hungary
| | - Recai Turkoglu
- Haydarpasa Numune Training and Research Hospital, Selimiye Mahallesi, Istanbul, 34668, Turkey
| | - Youssef Sidhom
- Department of Neurology, Razi Hospital, 2010, Tunis, Manouba, Tunisia
| | - Riadh Gouider
- Department of Neurology, Razi Hospital, 2010, Tunis, Manouba, Tunisia
| | - Bart Van Wijmeersch
- Rehabilitation and MS-Centre Overpelt and Hasselt University, Hasselt, 3900, Belgium
| | - Pamela McCombe
- University of Queensland, St Lucia, 4072, Australia
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, 4029, Australia
| | - Richard Macdonell
- Department of Neurology, Austin Health, Heidlberg, 3084, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine and Dental Health Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
| | - Alasdair Coles
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK
| | - Charles B Malpas
- CORe, Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
- Melbourne MS Centre, Department of Neurology, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
| | - Helmut Butzkueven
- Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, 3004, Australia
- Department of Neurology, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, 3004, Australia
- Department of Neurology, Box Hill Hospital, Monash University, Melbourne, 3128, Australia
| | - Sandra Vukusic
- University of Lyon, Claude Bernard University Lyon 1, F-69000 Lyon, France
- Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Neurologie, sclérose en plaques, pathologies de la myéline et neuro-inflammation, F-69677 Bron, France
- Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques, Lyon Neuroscience Research Centre, INSERM 1028 et CNRS UMR 5292, F-69003 Lyon, France
| | - Tomas Kalincik
- CORe, Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
- Melbourne MS Centre, Department of Neurology, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, 3050, Australia
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|