Machine learning approach for prediction of outcomes in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of available prediction tools for clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains modest. Machine Learning (ML) has been used to predict outcomes in the AF population, but not in a population entirely on anticoagulant therapy.

METHODS AND AIMS

Different supervised ML models were applied to predict all-cause death, cardiovascular (CV) death, major bleeding and stroke in anticoagulated patients with AF, processing data from the multicenter START-2 Register.

RESULTS

11078 AF patients (male n = 6029, 54.3%) were enrolled with a median follow-up period of 1.5 years [IQR 1.0-2.6]. Patients on Vitamin K Antagonists (VKA) were 5135 (46.4%) and 5943 (53.6%) were on Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOAC). Using Multi-Gate Mixture of Experts, a cross-validated AUC of 0.779 ± 0.016 and 0.745 ± 0.022 were obtained, respectively, for the prediction of all-cause death and CV-death in the overall population. The best ML model outperformed CHA2DSVA2SC and HAS-BLED for all-cause death prediction (p < 0.001 for both). When compared to HAS-BLED, Gradient Boosting improved major bleeding prediction in DOACs patients (0.711 vs. 0.586, p < 0.001). A very low number of events during follow-up (52) resulted in a suboptimal ischemic stroke prediction (best AUC of 0.606 ± 0.117 in overall population). Body mass index, age, renal function, platelet count and hemoglobin levels resulted the most important variables for ML prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

In AF patients, ML models showed good discriminative ability to predict all-cause death, regardless of the type of anticoagulation strategy, and major bleeding on DOAC therapy, outperforming CHA2DS2VASC and the HAS-BLED scores for risk prediction in these populations.

D-dimer and risk of venous thromboembolism recurrence: Comparison of two studies with similar designs but different laboratory and clinical results

BACKGROUND

D-dimer testing may help deciding the duration of anticoagulation in subjects at high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence. Two management studies on this issue have been published (DULCIS in 2014 and APIDULCIS in 2022). They had similar designs but had important different results. Aim of this article is to compare their results.

METHODS

Both studies were finalized to extend anticoagulation [with vitamin K anticoagulants (VKAs) in DULCIS or apixaban 2.5 mg BID (kindly provided by BMS-Pfizer Collaboration) in APIDULCIS] only in patients with positive D-dimer results.

RESULTS

More D-dimer assays resulted positive in APIDULCIS than in DULCIS (61.1 % vs 47.7 %, respectively; p < 0.0001). While only 4 (0.5 %) refused low dose apixaban in APIDULCIS, the 22.6 % of patients with positive D-dimer refused to resume VKAs in DULCIS; their rates of recurrence were 187 and 8.8 per 100 person-years, respectively (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 21.2). The incidence of bleeding was low in those receiving apixaban vs those who resumed VKAs (0.4 vs 2.3 per 100 person-years, respectively; IRR 0.17;). While the recurrence rate was low and similar in the studies in subjects who resumed anticoagulation, it was significantly higher in APIDULCIS than in DULCIS in those who stopped anticoagulation for negative D-dimer (5.6 vs 3.0 per 100 person-years, respectively; IRR 1.9).

CONCLUSION

The low dose Apixaban for extended VTE treatment is effective and safe, and well accepted by patients. Why subjects who stopped anticoagulation for negative D-dimer had a higher recurrence rate in APIDULCIS than in DULCIS remains to be explained.

Thrombotic events associated with low baseline direct oral anticoagulant levels in atrial fibrillation: the MAS study

ABSTRACT

Although effective and safe, treatment with direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) in atrial fibrillation (AF) is still associated with thrombotic complications. Whether the measurement of DOAC levels may improve treatment efficacy is an open issue. We carried out the observational, prospective, multicenter Measure and See (MAS) study. Blood was collected 15 to 30 days after starting DOAC treatment in patients with AF who were followed-up for 1 year. Plasma samples were centralized for DOAC level measurement. Patients' DOAC levels were converted into drug/dosage standardized values to allow a pooled analysis in a time-dependent, competitive-risk model. The measured values were transformed into standardized values (representing the distance of each value from the overall mean) by subtracting the DOAC-specific mean value from the original values and dividing by the standard deviation. Trough and peak DOAC levels were assessed in 1657 and 1303 patients, respectively. In total, 21 thrombotic complications were recorded during 1606 years of follow-up (incidence of 1.31% of patients per year). Of 21 thrombotic events, 17 occurred in patients whose standardized activity levels were below the mean of each DOAC (0); the incidence was the highest (4.82% of patients per year) in patients whose standardized values were in the lowest class (-1.00 or less). Early measurement of DOAC levels in patients with AF allowed us to identify most of the patients who, having low baseline DOAC levels, subsequently developed thrombotic complications. Further studies are warranted to assess whether thrombotic complications may be reduced by measuring baseline DOAC levels and modifying treatment when indicated. This trial was registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as #NCT03803579.

Patients with antiphospholipid syndrome and a first venous or arterial thrombotic event: clinical characteristics, antibody profiles and estimate of the risk of recurrence

OBJECTIVES

Thrombosis in antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) involves in most cases the venous circulation. Why in some patients thrombotic APS affects the arterial circulation and in particular cerebral circulation is unknown. In previous studies, both patient characteristics and antiphospholipid antibody types and titers have been associated with arterial thrombosis. Aim of this study was to compare the clinical characteristics and laboratory findings of venous and arterial thrombotic APS from a large series of patients.

METHODS

Data were retrieved from the Start 2 antiphospholipid, a multicenter prospective register of long-term collected data from Thrombosis Centers in Italy.

RESULTS

Of 167 patients with thrombotic APS, 114 (68 %) had a venous and 53 (32 %) had an arterial event as first clinical manifestation. Several clinical characteristics and risk factors were different among groups in univariate analysis. Using logistic regression analysis, reduced creatinine clearance and hyperlipidemia were independent variable for the occurrence of arterial APS. Notably, no difference in antiphospholipid antibody profiles and aβ2-Glycoprotein I levels were found between groups. A higher adjusted global antiphospholipid syndrome score (aGAPSS) was found in arterial group indicating a possible high recurrence rate in arterial APS.

CONCLUSIONS

These data have pathophysiological and clinical implication since associated conditions might predispose patients to arterial rather than venous events and call to a close monitoring and treatment of arterial APS due to their increased tendency to recurrence.

Inappropriate Underdosing of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation Patients: Results from the START2-AF Registry

Background: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are recommended for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients. We aimed to describe the prevalence of inappropriate DOACs dose prescription in the START2-AF Registry, the outcomes according to the appropriateness of the dosage, and the factors associated with inappropriate dose prescription. Methods: Patients' demographics and clinical data were prospectively collected as electronic files in an anonymous form on the website of the START2-Registry; DOACs dosage was determined to be appropriate when prescribed according to the European Heart Rhythm Association Guidelines. Results: We included 5943 NVAF patients on DOACs; 2572 (46.3%) were female patients. The standard dose (SD) was prescribed to 56.9% of patients and the low dose (LD) was prescribed to 43.1% of patients; 38.9% of all NVAF patients received an inappropriate LD DOAC and 0.3% received inappropriate SD. Patients treated with LD DOAC had a significantly higher rate of all bleedings (RR 1.5; 95% CI 1.2-2.0), major bleedings (RR 1.8; 95% CI 1.3-1.7), and mortality (RR 2.8; 95% CI 1.9-4.1) with respect to patients treated with SD DOAC. No difference was found among patients treated with appropriate and inappropriate LD regarding bleeding, thrombotic, and mortality rates. Age, body weight <60 kg, and renal failure were significantly associated with inappropriate LD DOAC prescription. Conclusions: Inappropriate LD DOACs in NVAF patients is not associated with a reduction in bleeding risk, nor with an increased thrombotic risk. Instead, it is associated with higher mortality rate, suggesting that, in clinical practice, underdosing is preferred for patients at particularly high risk for adverse events.

Sex Differences in Clinical Presentation of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis

Background: Differences between men and women in the clinical features and extent of lower limb deep vein thrombosis (DVT) may influence DVT diagnostic algorithms involving pretest clinical probability (PTP) assessment, D-dimer, and compression ultrasonography (CUS). Aims: To assess differences in DVT clinical presentation between men and women and their effect on PTP and D-dimer. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study in outpatients referred for suspected DVT of the lower limbs to our vascular emergency department from January 2005 to December 2019. Patients underwent PTP assessment with the Wells score, D-dimer testing, and CUS. Results: More women were referred for suspected DVT than men (M/F: 1,785/2,821; F: 61.4%; p < 0.0001). Women were older than men (median age: 71 vs. 67 years; p = 0.0001), DVT was diagnosed in 436 patients (9.4%) but in more men than women (M: 210 [11.8%] vs. F: 226 [8%]; p = 0.0002), with more proximal DVT in men than women (M: 131 7.3% vs. F: 124 [4.4%]; p = 0.00021). PTP was more likely in men (355 [19.9%]) than women (455 [16.2%]) (p = 0.0011); more men had swelling in the entire limb, increased calf circumference by >3 cm compared with the contralateral limb, and pitting edema, than women. D-dimer levels (available in 65% of patients) were more frequently positive in women with DVT than in men (94.6% vs. 85.7%; p = 0.016). However, a positive D-dimer and/or likely PTP was similarly frequent in men (92%) and women (96%) with DVT. Conclusions: More women than men are referred for suspected DVT, and men have a higher prevalence of proximal DVT. However, current algorithms for DVT diagnosis perform similarly in men and in women.

Long-Term Outcomes in Two-Year Follow-Up after Primary Treatment in Patients with a Prior Venous Thromboembolic Event: A Prospective, Observational, Real-Life Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) need anticoagulation (AC) therapy for at least 3/6 months (primary treatment); after that period, they should receive a decision on the duration of therapy.

METHODS

This study examined the complications occurring during two years of follow-up (FU) in patients with a first VTE who were recruited in 20 clinical centers and had discontinued or prolonged AC. They were included in the START2-POST-VTE prospective observational study.

RESULTS

A total of 720 patients (53.5% males) who, after the completion of primary treatment, had received the decision to continue (n = 281, 39%; 76.1% with a DOAC) or discontinue (n = 439, 61%) AC were followed up for 2 years (total FU = 1318 years). The decision to prolong or suspend AC was made in similar proportions in patients with unprovoked or provoked index events. Courses of sulodexide treatment or Aspirin (100 mg daily) were prescribed to 20.3% and 4.5%, respectively, of the patients who discontinued AC. The bleeding rate was significantly higher in patients who extended AC (1.6% pt/y) than in those who stopped AC (0.1% pt/y; p = 0.001) and was higher in patients using standard-dose DOACs (3.1% pt/y) than in those using reduced-dose DOACs (0.4% pt/y). The recurrent VTE rates were similar between the two groups (2.2% pt/y during AC vs. 3% pt/y off AC).

CONCLUSION

Physicians' decisions about AC duration were independent of the unprovoked/provoked nature of the index event. The bleeding rate was higher in patients who continued AC using standard-dose DOACs. Surprisingly, the rate of thrombotic recurrence was not different between those who continued or discontinued AC. Randomized studies comparing different procedures to decide on the duration of AC after a first VTE are needed.

Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors and mortality risk in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation. Insights from the nationwide START registry

BACKGROUND

Arterial hypertension is the most common cardiovascular comorbidity in atrial fibrillation (AF). Few studies investigated management strategies of hypertension in AF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included 5769 AF patients on oral anticoagulants from the nationwide ongoing Italian START registry. We investigated the prescription of antihypertensive drugs and mortality risk. Subgroup analyses according to sex and major cardiovascular comorbidities were performed.

RESULTS

Mean age was 80.8 years, 46.1% were women; 80.3% of patients were hypertensive. Furosemide (30.1%) was the most frequent diuretic followed by hydrochlorothiazide (15.4%) and potassium canrenoate (7.9%). 61.1% received β-blockers: 34.2% bisoprolol, 6.2% atenolol. Additionally, 36.9% were on angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-I): ramipril (20.9%), enalapril (5.3%) and perindopril (2.8%); 31.7% were on angiotensin receptors blockers (ARBs): valsartan (7.6%) and irbesartan (6.4%). Amlodipine and lercanidipine were prescribed in 14.0% and 2.3%, respectively. ACE-I (p < 0.001), α-blockers (p = 0.020) and Dihydropyridines calcium channel blockers (p = 0.004) were more common in men, while ARBs (p = 0.008), thiazide diuretics (p < 0.001) and β-blockers (p < 0.001) in women. During 22.61 ± 17.1 months, 512 patients died. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that ACE-I (Hazard ratio [HR] 0.758, 95% Confidence Interval [95%CI] 0.612-0.940, p = 0.012) and ARBs (HR 0.623, 95%CI 0.487-0.796, p < 0.001) inversely associated with mortality. ACE-I/ARBs inversely associated with mortality in both sexes and in patients with diabetes. This associastion was evident for ACE-I in patients with previous cardiovascular disease, and for ARBs in HF.

CONCLUSION

A lower mortality risk was found in AF patients on ACE-I/ARBs. Different prescription patterns of antihypertensive drugs between men and women do exist.

D-Dimers in diagnosis and prevention of venous thrombosis: recent advances and their practical implications

D‑Dimers derive from degradation of cross‑linked fibrin by plasmin, and thus their level is a marker of coagulation and fibrinolytic system activation. Guidelines recommend that D‑dimers are determined if the pretest probability (PTP) is low or intermediate, to exclude venous thromboembolism (VTE), either deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism, and to avoid imaging tests. If the PTP is high or D‑dimer level is above the suggested thresholds, imaging is recommended. D‑Dimer assays offer high sensitivity and low specificity, as D‑dimer levels can be above the threshold in several other conditions than thrombosis, and they increase with age. As a result, there have been several proposals to improve the diagnostic accuracy of D‑dimer levels by adjusting the cutoffs according to patient characteristics, such as age, PTP, pregnancy, renal function, or cancer. D‑Dimer levels can also predict clinical severity of COVID‑19, and escalated anticoagulation based on D‑dimer levels can be associated with a lower risk of mortality in patients with severe COVID‑19. Finally, D‑dimer levels have been incorporated in prediction models for recurrent VTE to help identify patients who may benefit from prolonged anticoagulation.

Statins under-treatment and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation. Insights from the nationwide START registry

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Statins are mainstream drugs for cardiovascular (CV) prevention, but under-prescription is an important clinical challenge. Data on the use of single statins and on the rate of under-prescription in atrial fibrillation (AF) are lacking. We evaluated the association of statin underuse with mortality risk in a large AF cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

As many as 5477 patients from the Italian nationwide START registry were included. The prevalence of different statins was reported and the association of under prescription with all-cause and CV mortality investigated. Mean age was 80.2 years, and 46.4% were women. Among 2899 patients with a clinical indication to statin, only 1578 (54.4%) were on treatment. In a mean follow-up of 22.5 ± 17.1 months, 491 (4.7%/year) deaths occurred (106 CV deaths, 1.0%/year). Atorvastatin and Simvastatin were inversely associated with all-cause (HR 0.692, 95% CI 0.519-0.923, p = 0.012 and HR 0.598, 95% CI 0.428-0.836, p = 0.003, respectively) and CV death (HR 0.372, 95% CI 0.178-0.776, p = 0.008 and HR 0.306, 95% CI 0.123-0.758, p = 0.010, respectively). The 1321 untreated patients were older, more frequently women and with a higher prevalence of diabetes, previous cerebrovascular disease, peripheral artery disease compared to those on treatment. Statin undertreatment was associated with higher risk of all-cause (HR 1.400, 95% CI 1.078-1.819, p = 0.012) and CV death (HR 2.057, 95% CI 1.188-3.561, p = 0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

AF patients with an indication to statins but left untreated show a high risk of all-cause and CV mortality. Implementation of statin prescription in the AF population can help reducing the residual mortality risk.

Venous Thromboembolism in Women of Childbearing Age: Insights from the START Registry

BACKGROUND

 Women of childbearing age are exposed to venous thromboembolic risk mainly for pregnancy and use of oral contraceptives. The impact of risk factors (RF) on venous thromboembolism (VTE) in these circumstances is still unclear.

AIM

 In the context of START registry, we aimed to investigate the weight of a series of RF on the occurrence of pregnancy- or combined oral contraceptive (COC)-associated VTE.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

 We selected all women included in the START for VTE occurred between 18-42 years and compared those with a first or recurrent pregnancy/postpartum- (group A) or COC-VTE (group B) with those who had VTE outside these circumstances (group C). Final analysis included a cohort of 532 women. Follow-up data showed that there were no significant differences between the groups in terms of thrombotic and haemorrhagic complications. As for pregnancy-associated VTE, the overall outcome was good in terms of both maternal and fetal prognosis.

RESULTS

 In a binary model of logistic regression, correcting for potential confounders, VTE family history conferred a significant and independent higher risk of COC-VTE compared with group C. Similarly, comparison between group A and C documented that family history significantly affected the risk of pregnancy-associated VTE. VTE in the group C was significantly associated with older age. Lastly, smoke was a significant risk factor for pregnancy/postpartum VTE when group A and group B were compared.

CONCLUSION

 Present data suggest that in the setting of fertile women, family history of VTE has a greater role in predicting COC- and pregnancy/postpartum- VTE than outside these circumstances.

Incidence and clinical outcomes of heparin-induced thrombocytopenia: 11 year experience in a tertiary care university hospital

Heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT) is a rare immuno-mediated adverse reaction with high thrombotic and mortality risk. To evaluate incidence and outcomes of HIT cases diagnosed at a tertiary care hospital from 2007 to 2018. A retrospective study was conducted. Patients with suspected HIT underwent 4Ts score assessment and anti-heparin PF4 IgG antibodies ELISA screening test. If the latter was positive, platelet aggregation test (PAT) was performed. If the latter was positive, any form of heparin was stopped, alternative anticoagulants were started and then overlapped with warfarin. HIT incidence was calculated by dividing HIT cases by the mean yearly number of admitted patients over 11 years. Follow-up was 90 days. Among 2125 screening tests, 96 (4.5%) were positive with confirmatory PAT in 82/90 (3.8% for missing data in 6). Median age was 75; 39 patients were surgical and 51 medical. The median 4Ts score was 5. Unfractionated heparin was employed in 34 (37%). HIT incidence was 0.16/1000/patient/years (95% CI: 0.12-0.23) in surgical and 0.15/1000/patient/years (95%: 0.12-0.20) in medical patients. HIT with thrombosis (HIT-T) was observed in 31 patients (0.05/1000/patient/years 95% CI: 0.04-0.1), with venous thromboses in 25 (80%). HIT without thrombosis was observed in 59 patients (0.1/1000 patient/years; 95% CI: 0.08-0.13, twofold vs HIT-T). All cause mortality was 25.5% (95% CI: 17.6-35.4), major bleeding 7.7% (95% CI:3.2-15.3), and thromboembolic complications 3.3% (95% CI:1.1-9.3). HIT is a rare event with high mortality, despite the use of non heparin anticoagulants.

Management and 1-Year Outcome in Elderly Patients with Hip Fracture Surgery Receiving Anticoagulation (Warfarin or DOAc) or P2Y12 Antiplatelet Agents

(1) Background: Little prospective data exist regarding the perioperative management and long-term prognosis of elderly patients receiving treatment with antithrombotic drugs and undergoing urgent surgery for a hip fracture. (2) Methods: The study included patients who required hip surgery and were receiving warfarin, DOAc or P2Y12 antiplatelet agents at the moment of trauma. Ongoing antithrombotic treatment was managed according to existing recommendations. The endpoints of the study were the time to surgery, perioperative bleeding, the need for transfusion and, finally, mortality, major cardiovascular events and re-hospitalization at 6 and 12 months. (3) Results: The study included a total of 138 patients. The mean age was 86 years; 75.4% were female. Eighty-two received DOAc, thirty-six received warfarin and twenty received P2Y12 inhibitors. The controls were 283 age- and sex-matched patients who did not receive antithrombotic treatment. A total of 38% of patients receiving warfarin underwent surgery <48 h, 52% receiving DOAc, 55% receiving P2Y12 inhibitors and, finally, 82% in the control group. Perioperative bleeding and the need for transfusion were not different between the four groups. Mortality at 6 months was higher in patients receiving warfarin and P2Y12 inhibitors (30% and 25%) in comparison to DOAc and the control group (11.6% and 10% p < 0.0001). Similarly, the other endpoints were more frequent in patients receiving warfarin and P2Y12 inhibitors. The trend was maintained for 12 months. No significant differences in mortality were found between early (<48 h) and late (>48 h) surgery independent of the type of treatment. (4) Conclusions: Our study confirmed that anticoagulants delay surgery in patients with hip fractures; however, intervention > 48 h is not associated with a poorer prognosis. This finding is relevant as it underlines that, in patients at high risk of postoperative cardiovascular complications, the careful management of anticoagulation before surgery may compensate for the delay of surgery with a very low in-hospital mortality rate (<1%). One-year survival was significantly lower in patients receiving warfarin, probably related to their worse risk profile at the moment of trauma survival.

DOACs use in extreme body-weighted patients: results from the prospective START-register

BACKGROUND

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are widely used for the treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF). However, evidence in obese and underweight patients is limited. We assessed the safety and effectiveness of DOACs and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in patients  ≥ 120 kg or ≤ 50 kg enrolled in an observational prospective cohort study, the START-Register.

METHODS

Adult patients started on anticoagulant therapy were followed up for a median of 1.5 years (IQR 0.6-2.8). Primary efficacy outcome was the occurrence of VTE recurrence, stroke and systemic embolism. Primary safety outcome was major bleeding (MB).

RESULTS

10,080 AF and VTE patients were enrolled between March 2011 and June 2021, 295 patients weighted  ≤ 50 kg and 82 patients ≥ 120 kg. Obese patients were significantly younger than underweight patients. Rates of thrombotic events were low and similar between DOACs and VKAs in underweight patients (1 event on DOACs therapy [0.9% 95% CI 0.11-5.39] and 2 on VKAs [1.1% 95% CI 0.01-47.68]) and in overweight patients (0 events on DOACs, 1 on VKAs [1.6%, 95% CI 0.11-5.79]. Two MB events occurred on DOACs (1.9%, 95% CI 0.38-6.00) and 3 on VKAs (1.6%, 95% CI 0.04-22.06) in the underweight group; 1 MB on DOACs (5.3% 95% CI 0.33-16.68) and 2 on VKAs (3.3%, 95% CI 0.02-130.77) in the overweight group.

CONCLUSIONS

DOACs seem to be effective and safe also for the treatment of patients with extreme body weights, both underweight and overweight. Further prospective studies are needed to support these findings.

Venous thromboembolism secondary to hospitalization for COVID-19: patient management and long-term outcomes

Background

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a complication of COVID-19 in hospitalized patients. Little information is available on long-term outcomes of VTE in this population.

Objectives

We aimed to compare the characteristics, management strategies, and long-term clinical outcomes between patients with COVID-19-associated VTE and patients with VTE provoked by hospitalization for other acute medical illnesses.

Methods

This is an observational cohort study, with a prospective cohort of 278 patients with COVID-19-associated VTE enrolled between 2020 and 2021 and a comparison cohort of 300 patients without COVID-19 enrolled in the ongoing START2-Register between 2018 and 2020. Exclusion criteria included age <18 years, other indications to anticoagulant treatment, active cancer, recent (<3 months) major surgery, trauma, pregnancy, and participation in interventional studies. All patients were followed up for a minimum of 12 months after treatment discontinuation. Primary end point was the occurrence of venous and arterial thrombotic events.

Results

Patients with VTE secondary to COVID-19 had more frequent pulmonary embolism without deep vein thrombosis than controls (83.1% vs 46.2%, P <.001), lower prevalence of chronic inflammatory disease (1.4% and 16.3%, P <.001), and history of VTE (5.0% and 19.0%, P <.001). The median duration of anticoagulant treatment (194 and 225 days, P = 0.9) and the proportion of patients who discontinued anticoagulation (78.0% and 75.0%, P = 0.4) were similar between the 2 groups. Thrombotic event rates after discontinuation were 1.5 and 2.6 per 100 patient-years, respectively (P = 0.4).

Conclusion

The risk of recurrent thrombotic events in patients with COVID-19-associated VTE is low and similar to the risk observed in patients with VTE secondary to hospitalization for other medical diseases.

COVID-19 pandemic affects the ability of negative D-dimer to identify venous thromboembolism patients at low risk of recurrence: insights from the Apidulcis study

Not available.

Recurrences and bleeding during extended treatment of patients with venous thromboembolism: results of the international, prospective, observational WHITE study

BACKGROUND

Little data are available on real-life long-term treatments after a venous thromboembolism (VTE), and on recurrent VTE or bleeds events during treatments.

METHODS

We investigated the complications occurring during follow-up (FU) in VTE patients who had received the treatment decisions given by the clinical centers, active in 7 countries (China, Czechia, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, Tunisia), which participated in the international, prospective, observational WHITE study.

RESULTS

FU information was collected in 1004 patients, recruited by 62 clinical centers (17 centers did not participate in FU collection). Extended treatments were proposed to 811 patients: direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) (475), sulodexide (202), antiplatelet agents (73), vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) (45), low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) (16). All specific treatments were stopped in the remaining 193 patients. Patients who during FU used treatments different than those prescribed by the local investigators (263) or for other causes (26) were excluded from analysis. 50 primary events occurred throughout 1044 years FU in 715 patients, 4.8 incidence (×100 patient-years) [3.8 for recurrences, and 0.96 for bleeding (major or clinically relevant)]. Primary event incidence differed according to treatments (LMWH=33.3, antiplatelets =7.6, VKAs = 6.1, DOACs = 4.7, sulodexide = 4.2, all treatment stopped = 2.5), and differed across the involved countries.

CONCLUSIONS

DOACs were the most used drugs for extended treatments. Overall, the rate of primary events during FU was low. The investigators identified patients at low risk of recurrence and high bleeding risk. Sulodexide use for secondary prevention deserves further studies.

Management and outcomes of calf deep vein thrombosis in patients with contraindication to full anticoagulation due to bleeding

BACKGROUND

This prospective observational study was aimed at assessing early outcomes of inpatients with isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (IDDVT) and coexisting bleeding.

METHODS

Patients received enoxaparin 4000 units daily or intermediate doses, and ultrasound surveillance (US). Primary outcomes were extension to the popliteal vein (PDVT) or symptomatic pulmonary embolism (PE), bleeding complications during the treatment and the composite of PDVT and bleeding complications. Secondary outcomes were recurrent IDDVTs and death.

RESULTS

90/95 patients completed the study period (30 days). PDVT occurred in 2/41 (4.9%) and in 3/45 (6.7%) subjects receiving enoxaparin 4000 units and intermediate doses respectively (OR 1.39; 95% CI: 0.22-11; P=0.72). PE occurred in only one of the 4 untreated subjects (25% vs. 0 patients taking enoxaparin 4000 units or intermediate doses; P=1.0). Recurrent IDDVTs occurred in 29 subjects (32.2%), more frequently during enoxaparin 4000 (19/29, 65.5%). Four patients died (4.4%). Bleeding complications occurred in 8 subjects (8.9%), all treated with intermediate doses (0 vs. 17.8%; P=1.0). Enoxaparin 4000 units significantly reduced the risk of the composite outcome compared with higher doses (4.9% vs. 24.4%; OR 6.31; 95% CI: 1.56-42.65; P=0.02). Major trauma significantly increased the risk of PDVT (OR 20.92; 95% CI: 2.82-427.51, P=0.01; logistic regression P=0.01). Patients with major trauma are also at increased bleeding risk (OR 5; 95% CI: 1.06-23.76, P=0.04; logistic regression P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Enoxaparin 4000 units daily, supported by US, may be an option for selected patients.

Prevalence of pulmonary embolism among patients with recent onset of dyspnea on exertion. A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Exertional dyspnea is a frequently encountered complaint in clinical practice. However, the prevalence of pulmonary embolism (PE) among patients with dyspnea on exertion has not been reported.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to assess the prevalence of objectively confirmed PE among consecutive patients visiting an emergency department because of recent onset of exertional dyspnea.

METHODS

Patients aged ≤75 years with recent (<1 month) marked exertional dyspnea had a systematic workup for PE, irrespective of concomitant signs or symptoms of venous thromboembolism and alternative explanations for dyspnea. PE was excluded on the basis of a low pretest clinical probability and normal age-adjusted D-dimer. All other patients had computed tomography pulmonary angiography. An interim analysis after inclusion of 400 patients would stop recruitment if the 95% confidence interval (CI) of the PE prevalence had a lower limit exceeding 20%.

RESULTS

The study was prematurely terminated after the inclusion of 417 patients. In 134 patients (32.1%), PE was excluded based on low clinical probability and normal D-dimer. PE was found in 134 (47.3%) of the remaining 283 patients, for an overall prevalence of 32.1% (95% CI, 27.8-36.8). PE was present in 40 of 204 (19.6%) patients without other findings suspicious for PE and in 94 of 213 patients (44.1%) with such findings. PE involved a main pulmonary artery in 37% and multiple lobes in 87% of the patients.

CONCLUSION

The angiographic demonstration of PE is common in patients presenting with recent onset of marked exertional dyspnea, including 20% without other findings suggesting pulmonary embolism.

Rivaroxaban treatment for six weeks versus three months in patients with symptomatic isolated distal deep vein thrombosis: randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To compare two different treatment durations of rivaroxaban in patients with symptomatic isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (DVT).

DESIGN

Randomised, double blind, placebo controlled clinical trial.

SETTING

28 outpatient clinics specialising in venous thromboembolism.

PARTICIPANTS

402 adults (≥18 years) with symptomatic isolated distal DVT.

INTERVENTIONS

After receiving standard dose rivaroxaban for six weeks, participants were randomly assigned to receive rivaroxaban 20 mg or placebo once daily for an additional six weeks. Follow-up was for 24 months from study inclusion.

MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES

The primary efficacy outcome was recurrent venous thromboembolism during follow-up after randomisation, defined as the composite of progression of isolated distal DVT, recurrent isolated distal DVT, proximal DVT, symptomatic pulmonary embolism, or fatal pulmonary embolism. The primary safety outcome was major bleeding after randomisation until two days from the last dose of rivaroxaban or placebo. An independent committee adjudicated the outcomes.

RESULTS

200 adults were randomised to receive additional rivaroxaban treatment and 202 to receive placebo. Isolated distal DVT was unprovoked in 81 (40%) and 86 (43%) patients, respectively. The primary efficacy outcome occurred in 23 (11%) patients in the rivaroxaban arm and 39 (19%) in the placebo arm (relative risk 0.59, 95% confidence interval 0.36 to 0.95; P=0.03, number needed to treat 13, 95% confidence interval 7 to 126). Recurrent isolated distal DVT occurred in 16 (8%) patients in the rivaroxaban arm and 31 (15%) in the placebo arm (P=0.02). Proximal DVT or pulmonary embolism occurred in seven (3%) patients in the rivaroxaban arm and eight (4%) in the placebo arm (P=0.80). No major bleeding events occurred.

CONCLUSIONS

Rivaroxaban administered for six additional weeks in patients with isolated distal DVT who had an uneventful six week treatment course reduces the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism, mainly recurrent isolated distal DVT, over a two year follow-up without increasing the risk of haemorrhage.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

EudraCT 2016-000958-36; ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02722447.

Recurrence after stopping anticoagulants in women with combined oral contraceptive-associated venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The risk of recurrence after discontinuation of anticoagulation for a combined oral contraceptive (COC)-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unclear. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the incidence of recurrent VTE among women with COC-associated VTE, unprovoked VTE and to compare the incidence of recurrent VTE between the two groups. The Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Embase Classic +Embase and Medline ALL to July 2020 and citations from included studies were searched. Randomized controlled trials, prospective cohort studies and meta-analyses of these study types were selected. The analysis was conducted by random-effects model. Nineteen studies were identified including 1537 women [5828 person-years (PY)] with COC-associated VTE and 1974 women (7798 PY) with unprovoked VTE. Studies were at low risk of bias. The incidence rate of VTE recurrence was 1.22/100 PY [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92-1.62, I²  = 6%] in women with COC-associated VTE, 3.89/100 PY (95% CI 2.93-5.17, I²  = 74%) in women with unprovoked VTE and the unadjusted incidence rate ratio was 0.34 (95% CI 0.26-0.46, I²  = 3%). The recurrence risk in women after COC-associated VTE is low and lower than after an unprovoked VTE.

Thromboembolic Complications in COVID-19 Patients Hospitalized in Italian Ordinary Wards: Data from the Multicenter Observational START-COVID Register

Background  Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection causes acute respiratory insufficiency with severe interstitial pneumonia and extrapulmonary complications; in particular, it may predispose to thromboembolic disease. The reported incidence of thromboembolic complications varies from 5 to 30% of cases.

Aim  We conducted a multicenter, Italian, retrospective, observational study on COVID-19 patients admitted to ordinary wards, to describe the clinical characteristics of patients at admission and bleeding and thrombotic events occurring during the hospital stay.

Results  The number of hospitalized patients included in the START-COVID-19 Register was 1,135, and the number of hospitalized patients in ordinary wards included in the study was 1,091, with 653 (59.9%) being males and 71 years (interquartile range 59–82 years) being the median age. During the observation, two (0.2%) patients had acute coronary syndrome episodes and one patient (0.1%) had an ischemic stroke; no other arterial thrombotic events were recorded. Fifty-nine patients had symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) (5.4%) events, 18 (30.5%) deep vein thrombosis (DVT), 39 (66.1%) pulmonary embolism (PE), and 2 (3.4%) DVT+PE. Among patients with DVT, eight (44.4%) were isolated distal DVT and two cases were jugular thrombosis. Among patients with PE, seven (17.9%) events were limited to subsegmental arteries. No fatal PE was recorded. Major bleeding events occurred in nine (1.2%) patients and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding events in nine (1.2%) patients. All bleeding events occurred among patients receiving thromboprophylaxis, more frequently when treated with subtherapeutic or therapeutic dosages.

Conclusion  Our findings confirm that patients admitted to ordinary wards for COVID-19 infection are at high risk for thromboembolic events. VTE recorded among these patients is mainly isolated PE, suggesting a peculiar characteristic of VTE in these patients.

Low in-hospital mortality rate in patients with COVID-19 receiving thromboprophylaxis: data from the multicentre observational START-COVID Register

COVID-19 infection causes respiratory pathology with severe interstitial pneumonia and extra-pulmonary complications; in particular, it may predispose to thromboembolic disease. The current guidelines recommend the use of thromboprophylaxis in patients with COVID-19, however, the optimal heparin dosage treatment is not well-established. We conducted a multicentre, Italian, retrospective, observational study on COVID-19 patients admitted to ordinary wards, to describe clinical characteristic of patients at admission, bleeding and thrombotic events occurring during hospital stay. The strategies used for thromboprophylaxis and its role on patient outcome were, also, described. 1091 patients hospitalized were included in the START-COVID-19 Register. During hospital stay, 769 (70.7%) patients were treated with antithrombotic drugs: low molecular weight heparin (the great majority enoxaparin), fondaparinux, or unfractioned heparin. These patients were more frequently affected by comorbidities, such as hypertension, atrial fibrillation, previous thromboembolism, neurological disease, and cancer with respect to patients who did not receive thromboprophylaxis. During hospital stay, 1.2% patients had a major bleeding event. All patients were treated with antithrombotic drugs; 5.4%, had venous thromboembolism [30.5% deep vein thrombosis (DVT), 66.1% pulmonary embolism (PE), and 3.4% patients had DVT + PE]. In our cohort the mortality rate was 18.3%. Heparin use was independently associated with survival in patients aged ≥ 59 years at multivariable analysis. We confirmed the high mortality rate of COVID-19 in hospitalized patients in ordinary wards. Treatment with antithrombotic drugs is significantly associated with a reduction of mortality rates especially in patients older than 59 years.

Bleeding and mortality risk in patients implanted with mechanical prosthetic heart valves with and without thrombocytopenia. Insights from the nationwide PLECTRUM registry

Previous studies showed that mechanical prosthetic heart valve (MPHV) patients may develop thrombocytopenia, but its association with clinical outcomes has not been investigated. We enrolled 1,663 patients with available platelet count from the multicenter nationwide retrospective PLECTRUM registry to investigate the association of thrombocytopenia with all-cause mortality and major bleeding (MB) in patients implanted with MPHV. Thrombocytopenia was defined by platelet count <150 × 10⁹/L. Overall, 44.9% of patients were women and the mean age was 56.7 years. At baseline, 184 (11.1%) patients had thrombocytopenia. Patients with thrombocytopenia were more frequently men and elderly. Platelet count showed an age-dependent decline in men but not in women. We found an increased risk of death in patients with age ≥ 65 years, with a low anticoagulation quality, concomitant arterial hypertension, heart failure, a higher INR range, or with thrombocytopenia (OR 1.739, 95%CI 1.048-2.886, p = .032). At multivariable logistic regression, patients with age ≥65 years, concomitant AF and thrombocytopenia (OR 1.907, 95%CI 1.219-2.983, p = .005) had an increased risk of MBs. In MPHV patients, thrombocytopenia is associated with an increased risk of death and MB. There is a growing need for a sex- and age-specific threshold to define platelet count in adult patients.

Do women with venous thromboembolism bleed more than men during anticoagulation? Data from the real-life, prospective START-Register

Background:

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a frequent and serious disease that requires immediate and long-term anticoagulant treatment, which is inevitably associated with a risk of bleeding complications. Some studies, though not all, reported a higher risk of bleeding in female patients treated with either old anticoagulants [vitamin k antagonists (VKAs)] or recent anticoagulants [direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs)]. Furthermore, analyses of clinical trials reported an abnormal vaginal bleeding in women of reproductive age treated with DOACs. This study aimed at comparing the risk of bleeding in an inception cohort of VTE women and men included in a prospective observational registry.

Methods:

Baseline characteristics and bleeding events occurring during anticoagulation in patients of both sexes, included in the START-Register after a first VTE, were analyzed.

Results:

In all, 1298 women were compared with 1290 men. Women were older and more often had renal diseases; their index events were often provoked (often by hormonal contraception and pregnancy), and more frequently presented as isolated pulmonary embolism (PE). The rate of bleeding was similar in women (2.9% patient-years) and men (2.1% patient-years), though it was higher when uterine bleeds were included (3.5% patient-years, p = 0.0141). More bleeds occurred in VKA- than DOAC-treated patients (6.4% versus 2.6%, respectively; p = 0.0013). At multivariate analysis, age ⩾ 75 years was associated with higher prevalence of bleeds.

Conclusion:

The occurrence of bleeding was not different between women and men during anticoagulation after VTE. Only after inclusion of vaginal/uterine bleeds, the rate of bleeding was higher in women. The incidence of bleeding was higher in women treated with VKAs.

Plain Language Summary

Unprovoked or provoked venous thromboembolism: not the prevalent criterion to decide on anticoagulation extension in clinical practice of various countries-the prospective, international, observational WHITE study

The decision on treatment after a first venous thromboembolism (VTE) to prevent recurrences may be influenced by many factors. The prospective, observational, WHITE study aimed to analyze how this issue was tackled in every-day clinical practice in various countries, which have sensibly different socio-economic conditions and healthcare systems. Doctors active in 79 Internal or Vascular clinical centers in 7 countries (China, Czechia, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, and Tunisia) enrolled VTE patients after the maintenance treatment phase. The present report analyzed information, collected in the central database, regarding the baseline characteristics, index events, type and duration of anticoagulant therapy and decision on post-maintenance treatment. From April 2018 to December 2020, 1240 patients were enrolled, 58% with an unprovoked index event. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) were used in > 85% of all cases in China, Poland, Portugal, Russia and Czechia, in 52% in Slovakia and in no patient in Tunisia. The maintenance anticoagulation lasted in average approximately 6 months. Altogether, anticoagulation was stopped in 20%, extended in about 50%, regardless of whether the event was unprovoked or provoked and shifted to antithrombotics (mainly sulodexide or aspirin) in the remaining patients. In conclusion, some differences in VTE patient management were found between countries. The provoked/unprovoked nature of the index event, instead, was not the prevalent criterion to drive the decision on extension of anticoagulation, without large variations between countries. DOACs were the most widely used anticoagulant drugs, whereas > 25% of patients received antithrombotic drugs instead of anticoagulants as extended treatment.

Prevalence and clinical implications of eligibility criteria for prolonged dual antithrombotic therapy in patients with PEGASUS and COMPASS phenotypes: Insights from the START-ANTIPLATELET registry

AIM

To analyze the prevalence and clinical implications of the eligibility criteria for prolonged dual antithrombotic therapy with ticagrelor 60 mg twice daily and/or rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily in a contemporary real-world ACS registry.

METHODS

Patients from the START-ANTIPLATELET registry (NCT02219984) were stratified according to the eligibility criteria of the PEGASUS and COMPASS studies to investigate the proportion of patients eligible for prolonged dual antithrombotic therapy at discharge and after 1-year of DAPT. Net adverse clinical events (NACE), defined as all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and major bleeding, at 1 year were also evaluated and compared among groups.

RESULTS

1844 were considered for the analysis at baseline. Out of 849 event-free patients continually receiving dual antiplatelet therapy for at least 1 year, 577 (68%) and 583 (68.7%) met at least one eligibility criterion for ticagrelor and rivaroxaban, respectively. In the PEGASUS-like patients, age was the most common criterion (71% of cases). The presence ≥2 cardiovascular risk factors was the most common eligibility criterion in the COMPASS-like patients (80.8%). At 1-year follow-up, 211 (11.4%) and 119 (6.5%) patients experienced NACE and MACE, respectively. The incidence of NACEs was higher in the PEGASUS-only group (15.4% vs. 8.4%; p = 0.008) and numerically higher in the COMPASS-only group (10.9% vs. 8.4%; p = 0.299).

CONCLUSIONS

In a contemporary real-world ACS cohort, approximately two-thirds of patients that complete 1-year DAPT met the eligibility criteria for ticagrelor 60 mg twice daily or rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily, showing a higher risk of NACEs.

760 Prevalence of eligibility criteria for prolonged dual antithrombotic therapy in patients with PEGASUS and COMPASS phenotypes: insights from the start-antiplatelet registry

Aims

After 1 year of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) for acute coronary syndrome (ACS), clinicians face the dilemma of choosing between prolonged DAPT with aspirin and ticagrelor 60 mg twice daily (PEGASUS strategy) or aspirin and rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily (COMPASS strategy). In recent years, there has been a widespread discussion about the optimal duration of DAPT and the best combination of drugs. To analyse the prevalence and clinical implications of the eligibility criteria for prolonged dual antithrombotic therapy with ticagrelor 60 mg twice daily and/or rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily in a contemporary real-world ACS registry.

Methods and results

Patients from the START-ANTIPLATELET registry (NCT02219984) were stratified according to the eligibility criteria of the PEGASUS and COMPASS studies to investigate the proportion of patients eligible for prolonged dual antithrombotic therapy at discharge and after 1-year of DAPT. Net adverse clinical events (NACE), defined as all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and major bleeding, at 1 year were also evaluated and compared among groups. 1844 were considered for the analysis at baseline. Out of 849 event-free patients continually receiving dual antiplatelet therapy for at least 1 year, 577 (68%) and 583 (68.7%) met at least one eligibility criterion for ticagrelor and rivaroxaban, respectively. In the PEGASUS-like patients, age was the most common criterion (71% of cases). The presence ≥2 cardiovascular risk factors was the most common eligibility criterion in the COMPASS-like patients (80.8%). At 1-year follow-up, 211 (11.4%) and 119 (6.5%) patients experienced NACE and MACE, respectively. The incidence of NACEs was higher in the PEGASUS-only group (15.4% vs. 8.4%; P = 0.008) and numerically higher in the COMPASS-only group (10.9% vs. 8.4%; P = 0.299).

Conclusions

In a contemporary real-world ACS cohort, approximately two-thirds of patients that complete 1-year DAPT met the eligibility criteria for ticagrelor 60 mg twice daily or rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily, showing a higher risk of NACEs.

Anticoagulation Duration After First Venous Thromboembolism: Real-Life Data From the International, Observational WHITE Study

Background

International guidelines recommend at least three months anticoagulation in all patients after acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) and suggest those with unprovoked events be considered for indefinite anticoagulation if the risk of recurrence is high and the risk of bleeding during treatment non-high. Other authors have recently argued against using a dichotomy unprovoked/provoked events to decide on anticoagulation duration and suggest instead using overall risk factors present in each patient as the basis for deciding.

Aim

This sub-analysis of the WHITE study aimed at assessing the reasons for the treatment decisions taken by doctors in different countries.

Results

1240 patients were recruited in 7 countries (China, Czechia, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, and Tunisia). Anticoagulation was extended in 51.7% and 49.3% of patients with unprovoked or provoked events (n.s.); stopped in 15.4% versus 28.9% (P < .0001), and changed to antithrombotic drugs (sulodexide or aspirin) in 32.9% versus 21.8% (P < .0001). In the 430 subjects with isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (IDDVT) anticoagulation was stopped in 34.4%, continued in 37.0% (mainly those with post-thrombotic syndrome [PTS]) and switched to antithrombotics in the balance. High risk of recurrence was the most prevalent reason (>83% of cases) given to continue anticoagulation, regardless of nature and site of the index events, followed by risk of bleeding and presence of PTS signs.

Conclusion

On average, attending physicians estimated the risk of recurrence in real life conditions, and the consequent therapeutic decision, using all the information available, not limiting to the location or nature of the index event.

Long-term risk of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation for unprovoked venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incidence of major bleeding up to 5 years after discontinuing anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL (from inception to January 2021) to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE who had completed ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on major bleeding events and person-years were obtained from authors of included studies to calculate study-level incidence rates. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results across studies.

RESULTS

Of 1123 records identified by the search, 20 studies (17 RCTs) and 8740 patients were included in the analysis. During 13 011 person-years of follow-up after discontinuing anticoagulation, the pooled incidence of major bleeding (n=41) and fatal bleeding (n=7) per 100 person-years was 0.35 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20-0.54) and 0.09 (95% CI, 0.05-0.15). The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding was of 1.0% (95% CI, 0.4%-2.4%). The case-fatality rate of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation was 19.9% (95% CI, 10.6%-31.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a first unprovoked VTE have a non-trivial risk of major bleeding once anticoagulants are discontinued. Estimates from this study can help clinicians counsel patients about the incremental risk of major bleeding with extended anticoagulation to guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

Long-term risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism among patients receiving extended oral anticoagulant therapy for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) during extended anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incidence of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years in patients with a first unprovoked VTE.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane CENTRAL were searched to identify randomized trials and prospective cohort studies reporting recurrent VTE among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive anticoagulation for a minimum of six additional months after completing ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on number of recurrent VTE and person-years, obtained from authors of included studies, were used to calculate study-level incidence rate, and random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies and 15 603 patients were included in the analysis. During 11 631 person-years of follow-up, the incidence of recurrent VTE and fatal pulmonary embolism per 100 person-years was 1.41 (95% CI, 1.03-1.84) and 0.09 (0.04-0.16), with 5-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (3.0%-13.2%) and 1.2% (0.4%-4.6%), respectively. The incidence of recurrent VTE was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.77-1.44) with direct oral anticoagulants and 1.55 (1.01-2.20) with vitamin K antagonists. The case-fatality rate of recurrent VTE was 4.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-8.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risk of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation is low but not negligible. Thus, clinicians and patients should be aware of this risk and take appropriate and timely action in case of suspicion of recurrent VTE. Estimates from this study can be used to advise patients on what to expect while receiving extended anticoagulation, and estimate the net clinical benefit of extended treatment to guide long-term management of unprovoked VTE.

The effect of health literacy on vaccine hesitancy among Italian anticoagulated population during COVID-19 pandemic: the moderating role of health engagement

Assessing vaccine hesitancy and its determinants is pivotal to optimize vaccine acceptance in anticoagulated patients, given that this population has been described to have a higher risk of severe COVID-19-related complications. This study assessed the moderator role of patients' health engagement on the relationship between health literacy and vaccine hesitancy. A web-based survey was performed in Italy during the first wave (June-August 2020) and the second wave (October 2020-March 2021) of the COVID-19 pandemic, enrolling 288 patients. The rates of vaccine hesitancy reported during the first pandemic wave were 38.4% and 30.8% during the second wave (when a vaccine was available) (p = .164). A moderation analysis was performed to assess the role of health engagement in influencing the relationship from health literacy to vaccine hesitancy. Patients' health engagement enhanced the effects of health literacy on decreasing vaccine hesitancy (p < .001), suggesting that co-construction strategies for communicative action are pivotal.

Long-Term Risk for Major Bleeding During Extended Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk for major bleeding in patients receiving extended (beyond the initial 3 to 6 months) anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain.

PURPOSE

To determine the incidence of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years among patients with a first unprovoked VTE, overall, and in clinically important subgroups.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to 23 July 2021.

STUDY SELECTION

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive oral anticoagulation for a minimum of 6 additional months after completing at least 3 months of initial anticoagulant treatment.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Unpublished data required for analyses were obtained from authors of included studies.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Among the 14 RCTs and 13 cohort studies included in the analysis, 9982 patients received a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 7220 received a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). The incidence of major bleeding per 100 person-years was 1.74 events (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.20 events) with VKAs and 1.12 events (CI, 0.72 to 1.62 events) with DOACs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding with VKAs was 6.3% (CI, 3.6% to 10.0%). Among patients receiving either a VKA or a DOAC, the incidence of major bleeding was statistically significantly higher among those who were older than 65 years or had creatinine clearance less than 50 mL/min, a history of bleeding, concomitant use of antiplatelet therapy, or a hemoglobin level less than 100 g/L. The case-fatality rate of major bleeding was 8.3% (CI, 5.1% to 12.2%) with VKAs and 9.7% (CI, 3.2% to 19.2%) with DOACs.

LIMITATION

Data were insufficient to estimate incidence of major bleeding beyond 1 year of extended anticoagulation with DOACs.

CONCLUSION

In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risks and consequences of anticoagulant-related major bleeding are considerable. This information will help inform patient prognosis and guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Canadian Institutes of Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42019128597).

Elastic compression stockings for prevention of the post-thrombotic syndrome in patients with and without residual vein thrombosis and/or popliteal valve reflux

Not available.

Ischemic and bleeding risk by type 2 diabetes clusters in patients with acute coronary syndrome

The risk of ischemic events carried by different clusters of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) in the setting of secondary prevention is not definite and the association between DM and bleeding complications is controversial. We explored these issues in the START-ANTIPLATELET, a multicenter Italian registry including acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. Study outcome was 1-year incidence of the net composite endpoint including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) or any bleeding and its individual components across different DM strata (no DM, DM with or without insulin). Out of 951 patients, 20.0% had diabetes not on insulin and 2.5% had diabetes on insulin. The rate of the net composite endpoint was highest in patients receiving insulin (39.4 per 100 person-years vs 11.7 in diabetic patients not on insulin vs 14.0 in those without DM; p = 0.007). In DM, the higher risk of MACE was regardless of insulin use (p = 0.36). Conversely, the increase in bleeding complications was limited to patients on insulin (Hazard Ratio 2.31, 95% CI 0.93-5.71 vs no DM; p = 0.0105 across DM strata). On top of aspirin, the rates of the net composite endpoint were similar with ticagrelor/prasugrel or clopidogrel irrespective of DM status (p for interaction 0.63). In conclusion, in ACS patients, type 2 DM enhances the risk of MACE regardless of the DM cluster, whereas the propensity to bleeding related to DM seems confined to insulin-treated patients.

Treatment Decision-Making of Secondary Prevention After Venous Thromboembolism: Data From the Real-Life START2-POST-VTE Register

Patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) should receive a decision on the duration of anticoagulant treatment (AT) that is often not easy to make. Sixteen Italian clinical centers included patients with recent VTE in the START2-POST-VTE register and reported the decisions taken on duration of AT in each patient and the reasons for them. At the moment of this report, 472 (66.9%) of the 705 patients included in the registry were told to stop AT in 59.3% and to extend it in 40.7% of patients. Anticoagulant treatment lasted ≥3 months in >90% of patients and was extended in patients with proximal deep vein thrombosis because considered at high risk of recurrence or had thrombophilic abnormalities. d-dimer testing, assessment of residual thrombus, and patient preference were also indicated among the criteria influencing the decision. In conclusion, Italian doctors stuck to the minimum 3 months AT after VTE, while the secondary or unprovoked nature of the event was not seen as the prevalent factor influencing AT duration which instead was the result of a complex and multifactorial evaluation of each patient.

Sex-based difference in anticoagulated patients with mechanical prosthetic heart valves and long-term mortality risk

BACKGROUND

Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) reduce thromboembolism in patients with mechanical prosthetic heart valves (MPHV). It is unclear whether a sex-based difference in MPHV patients regarding valve site, anticoagulation quality, and mortality risk does exist.

METHODS

We analysed 2111 MPHV patients from the nationwide PLECTRUM study promoted by the Italian Federation of Anticoagulation Clinics (FCSA). We analysed the site of MPHV, anticoagulation quality, as assessed by the time in therapeutic range (TiTR), and mortality risk in women and men.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 56.8 ± 12.3 years. Women were older with a lower prevalence of ischemic heart disease and smoking habit and a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation at baseline. Aortic MPHV was more frequent in men (74.7% vs 43.3%, P < .001), whereas mitral (41.1% vs 17.6%, P < .001) and mitro-aortic (15.6% vs 7.7%, P < .001) MPVH in women. The association between female sex and mitral/mitro-aortic site remained at multivariable logistic regression analysis (Odds Ratio 3.623, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 2.947-4.455, P < .001). Regarding anticoagulation quality, women showed lower mean TiTR (63.0 ± 19.4 vs 57.5 ± 19.2, P < .001), and a higher proportion of TiTR < 60% (54.9% vs 43.3%, P < .001). During a mean follow-up of 123 months (21 665 pt-years), 152 deaths occurred (0.7%/year); 83 in the aortic (0.63%/year) and 69 in the mitral/mitro-aortic (0.81%/year) group. At multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, female sex was not associated with mortality (HR 0.953, 95%CI 0.678 1.340, P = .783).

CONCLUSIONS

Female sex is independently associated with mitral/mitro-aortic MPHV. Despite a lower TiTR in women, mortality risk did not differ between the two groups.

Clopidogrel versus ticagrelor in high-bleeding risk patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes: insights from the multicenter START-ANTIPLATELET registry

Optimal dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) strategy in high-bleeding risk (HBR) patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome remains debated. We sought to investigate the use of clopidogrel versus ticagrelor in HBR patients with acute coronary syndrome and their impact on ischemic and bleeding events at 1 year. In the START-ANTIPLATELET registry (NCT02219984), consecutive patients with ≥ 1 HBR criteria were stratified by DAPT type in clopidogrel versus ticagrelor groups. The primary endpoint was net adverse clinical endpoints (NACE), defined as a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and major bleeding. Of 1209 patients with 1-year follow-up, 553 were defined at HBR, of whom 383 were considered eligible for the study as on DAPT with clopidogrel (174 or 45.4%) or ticagrelor (209 or 54.6%). Clopidogrel was more often administered in patients at increased ischemic and bleeding risk, while ticagrelor in those undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Mean DAPT duration was longer in the ticagrelor group. At 1 year, after multivariate adjustment, no difference in NACEs was observed between patients on clopidogrel versus ticagrelor (19% vs. 11%, adjusted hazard ratio 1.27 [95% CI 0.71-2.27], p = 0.429). Age, number of HBR criteria, and mean DAPT duration were independent predictors of NACEs. In a real-world registry of patients with acute coronary syndrome, 45% were at HBR and frequently treated with clopidogrel. After adjustment for potential confounders, the duration of DAPT, but not DAPT type (stratified by clopidogrel vs. ticagrelor), was associated with the risk of ischemic and bleeding events at 1 year.

Design and rationale of a randomized, placebo-controlled trial on the efficacy and safety of sulodexide for extended treatment in elderly patients after a first venous thromboembolism

How to prevent recurrences after a first venous thromboembolic (VTE) event in elderly patients is still an open issue, especially because of the high bleeding risk of anticoagulation in these patients. The placebo-controlled "Jason" study aims at assessing the efficacy and safety for secondary VTE prevention in elderly patients of oral Sulodexide (Vessel^®) administration, a mixture of glycosaminoglycans (Alfasigma, Bologna, Italy) which proved effective against recurrences in a general population (SURVET study) without major bleeding (MB) complications. 1450 patients, aged ≥ 75 years, after at least 3 months of anticoagulation treatment for a first VTE episode, are double-blind randomized to receive for 12 months either sulodexide 500 lipasemic units (LSUs) twice daily, or sulodexide 250 LSU twice daily + indistinguishable placebo, or indistinguishable placebo. Primary outcomes for efficacy are the composite of death for VTE and recurrent VTE, and occurrence of MB for safety. Secondary outcomes include stroke, cardiovascular death and other thromboembolic events, and MB + clinically relevant non-MB. The first patient is scheduled to be randomized in May 2020. The study protocol has been approved by AIFA (Agenzia Italiana del Farmaco) and the Ethics Committee of the coordinating center. Written informed consent will be obtained from all patients prior to study participation. Jason study is an investigator-initiated trial, promoted by "Arianna Anticoagulazione" Foundation, Bologna, Italy, and supported by Alfasigma, Bologna, Italy. Study findings will be disseminated to participant centers, at research conferences and in peer-reviewed journals. Trial registration numbers NCT04257487; EudraCT (2019-000570-33).

Bleeding and thrombotic complications during treatment with direct oral anticoagulants or vitamin K antagonists in venous thromboembolic patients included in the prospective, observational START2-register

OBJECTIVE

The proportion and characteristics of Italian patients affected by venous thromboembolism (VTE) treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) or vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), and complications occurring during follow-up.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort of 2728 VTE patients included in the Survey on anticoagulaTed pAtients RegisTer (START2-Register) from January 2014 to June 2018 was investigated. Characteristics of patients, type of treatment and complications occurring during 2962 years of follow-up were analysed.

SETTING

About 60 Italian anticoagulation and thrombosis centres participated in the observational START2-Register PARTICIPANTS: 2728 adult patients with VTE of a lower limb and/or pulmonary embolism (PE), with a follow-up after the initial phase treatment.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients could receive DOACs or VKAs; both prescribed by the National and Regional Health Systems for patients with VTE.

OUTCOMES MEASURES

Efficacy: rate of VTE recurrence (all thrombotic complications were also recorded).

SAFETY

the rate of major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding events.

RESULTS

Almost 80% of patients were treated with DOACs. The prevalence of symptomatic PE and impaired renal function was higher in patients receiving VKAs. Duration of anticoagulation was >180 days in approximately 70% of patients. Bleeding events were similar in both treatment groups. The overall eventuality of recurrence was significantly higher in DOAC cohorts versus VKA cohorts (HR 2.15 (1.14-4.06), p=0.018); the difference was almost completely due to recurrences occurring during extended treatment (2.73% DOAC vs 0.49% VKA, p<0.0001). All-cause mortality was higher in VKA-treated (5.9%) than in DOAC-treated patients (2.6%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Italian centres treat most patients with VTE with DOACs and prefer VKA for those with more serious clinical conditions. Recurrences were significantly more frequent in DOAC-treated patients due to increased incidence after 180 days of treatment, probably due to reduced adherence to treatment. These results underline the importance of structured surveillance of DOAC-treated patients with VTE to strengthen treatment adherence during extended therapy.

Peripheral arterial disease has a strong impact on cardiovascular outcome in patients with acute coronary syndromes: from the START Antiplatelet registry

BACKGROUND

Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) was reported to increase the risk of new cardiovascular events in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). However, most of the evidence comes from randomized clinical trials. We aimed to assess the impact of PAD on cardiovascular outcome and treatment decisions in ACS patients in a current real-life setting.

METHODS

START-ANTIPLATELET is a multicenter registry enrolling ACS patient. Baseline clinical characteristics and treatment at discharge were recorded and follow-up was repeated at 6-months and 1-year. PAD was defined as intermittent claudication and/or previous revascularization.

RESULTS

Among 1442 patients enrolled, 103 (7.1%) had PAD. PAD patients were older (71.8 ± 10.6vs66.2 ± 12.6 yrs., p < 0.0001), more frequently hypertensive (90.3vs68.6%, p< 0.0001), hypercholesterolemic (66vs52%, p= 0.037), diabetic (51.5vs24%, p= 0.0001), obese (28.2vs19.3%, p= 0.029) and with previous TIA (7.8vs2.8%, p= 0.005) or stroke (11.7vs3.1%, p< 0.0001). Clinical presentation and acute treatment were similar in non-PAD and PAD patients, but the latter were discharged significantly less frequently on dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) (68.9vs85%, p= 0.005). After a median follow-up time of 11.1 months, major cardio/cerebrovascular event-free survival [MACCE, including cardiovascular death, MI, TIA and stroke, target-vessel revascularization (TVR) and major arterial ischemic events] was significantly shorter (9.0vs11.2 months, p= 0.02; HR 3.2, 2.4-8.4) in PAD patients and net adverse cardiovascular events (NACE = MACCE plus major hemorrhages) were significantly more frequent (19.1%vs10.5%, p = 0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

PAD identifies a subgroup of ACS patients at significantly increased cardiovascular risk, but these patients tend to be undertreated. Patients admitted for ACS should be screened for PAD and optimal medical therapy at discharge should be implemented.

Ischemic and bleeding risk stratification in diabetic patients after acute coronary syndrome based on insulin requirement

Background

Diabetes is a known risk factor for a first or recurrent cardiovascular event, however, its association with an increased risk of bleeding is controversial. To date, no study has explored the prognostic weight of insulin therapy in the setting of ACS.

Purpose

To investigate the differential role of insulin versus no insulin therapy on ischemic and bleeding risks in patients with diabetes and ACS.

Methods

START-ANTIPLATELET is a prospective, real-world multicenter registry including consecutive patients admitted for ACS. For the purpose of this analysis, patients were stratified according to diabetes status and insulin therapy. We compared 1-year rates of major adverse cardiovascular events, a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke, and of any bleeding, according to diabetes status (no diabetes, diabetes not on insulin therapy, diabetes on insulin therapy). In addition, we evaluated the net clinical benefit of dual antiplatelet therapy with the newer P2Y12 inhibitors (ticagrelor or prasugrel) vs dual antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel according to diabetes status.

Results

In an overall population of 907 patients, 198 had diabetes, 10.6% of whom were on insulin. From non-diabetic patients to diabetic patients not on insulin and diabetic patients on insulin there was a stepwise decrease of MACE-free survival (log-rank p 0.039) with incidence of events at 1 year being 3.8%, 6.8% (adjusted p vs no diabetes 0.49) and 12.5% (adjusted p vs no diabetes 0.047), respectively (Figure, panel A). The rates of any bleeding were higher in patients on insulin (20.8% vs 8.8% in those without diabetes and 5.8% in diabetic patients not receiving insulin; log-rank p 0.028; Figure, panel B). Multivariable analysis demonstrated an almost 5-fold increase of any bleeding in diabetic patients with vs without insulin (OR 4.98, 95% CI 1.46–16.92; p=0.010). In the overall population, the incidence of the net composite endpoint including MACE or major bleeding with the use of ticagrelor/prasugrel on top of aspirin was significantly lower compared to use of clopidogrel (4.7% vs 8.4%; OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.30–0.94, p=0.031). This net clinical benefit in patients receiving a newer P2Y12 inhibitor was regardless of the diabetes status (p for interaction 0.48).

Conclusions

In this cohort of ACS patients, the presence of diabetes stratified by insulin therapy was associated with a graded increase in the 1-year rates of MACE. Conversely, insulin therapy significantly contributed to the overall increase of bleeding risk in diabetes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Clinical phenotypes of atrial fibrillation and risk of mortality: a cluster analysis

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) experience a high mortality rate despite optimal antithrombotic treatment. Characteristics of AF patients at higher mortality risk have been barely described so far and no risk score has been specifically developed at this aim. Furthermore, a clinical approach based on risk scores present some limits such as to not consider some important risk factors for mortality, and many available scores have poor predictive value. Cluster analysis may play a role in overcoming limitations of risk scores, especially in the case of overlapping risk factors.

Purpose

To identify of clinical phenotypes by using an unbiased statistical approach, such as the cluster analysis.

Methods

Cluster analysis was used to identify clinical phenotypes of AF patients associated with all-cause mortality in 5,171 AF patients from the START registry. Clinical variables used for the analysis were age, sex, diabetes, previous cerebrovascular events, previous cardiovascular events, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, use of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants, cancer, pulmonary disease, smoking habit, previous major bleeding. The risk of all-cause mortality in each cluster was analyzed.

Results

We identified 4 clusters (Figure 1). Cluster 1 was composed by youngest patients, with obesity and paroxysmal AF; Cluster 2 by patients with low cardiovascular risk factors and high proportion of cancer; Cluster 3 by men with diabetes and coronary and peripheral artery disease, a high proportion of thrombocytopenia, and a high use of aspirin, proton pump inhibitors, and statins; Cluster 4 included the oldest patients, mainly women, with previous cerebrovascular disease, persistent/ permanent AF, heart failure, kidney disease and anemia. In this cluster there was the highest use of digoxin and NOACs.

During 9856,84 patient/years of observation, 386 deaths (3.92%/year) occurred. Mortality rates significantly increased across clusters: 0.42%/year (cluster 1, reference group), 2.12%/year (cluster 2, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.306, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.204–9.077, p=0.020), 4.41%/year (cluster 3, aHR 6.702, 95% CI 2.433–18.461, p&lt;0.001) and 8.71%/year (cluster 4, aHR 8.927, 95% CI 3.238–24.605, p&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

We identified different clinical phenotypes of AF patients by cluster analysis which were specifically associated with mortality. This approach may help identify patients at higher risk of mortality.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Effect of body mass index on ischemic and bleeding events in patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes: insights from the START-ANTIPLATELET registry

Background

The protective effect of obesity on mortality in acute coronary syndromes (ACS) patients remains debated. We aimed at evaluating the impact of obesity on ischemic and bleeding events as possible explanations to the obesity paradox in ACS patients.

Methods

For the purpose of this sub-study, patients enrolled in the START-ANTIPLATELET registry were stratified according to Body Mass Index (BMI) into three groups: normal, BMI &lt;25kg/m2; overweight, BMI: 25–29.9kg/m2; obese, BMI ≥30kg/m2. The primary endpoint was net adverse clinical endpoints (NACE), defined as a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and major bleeding.

Results

Patients were classified as follows: 410 (33.9%) normal, 538 (44.5%) overweight, 261 (21.6%) obese. Compared to the normal weight group, obese and overweight patients had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, but were younger, with a better left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and lower PRECISE-DAPT score. At one-year follow-up NACE was more frequently observed in normal than in overweight and obese patients (15.1%,8.6%,and9.6%, respectively; p=0.004), driven by a significantly higher rate of all-cause death (6.3%,2.6%, and 3.8%, respectively; p=0.008), while no significant differences were noted in terms of MI, stroke, and major bleeding. When correcting for confounding variables, BMI loses its power in independently predicting outcomes, failing to confirm the obesity paradox in a real-world ACS population.

Conclusions

Our study conflicts the obesity paradox in real-world ACS population, and suggest that the reduced mortality rate may be explained by a lower bleeding risk in obese patients allowing a more aggressive medical treatment, and by a better LVEF translating into a higher survival rate.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Ticagrelor versus Clopidogrel in high bleeding risk patients presenting with Acute Coronary Syndromes: insights from the multicenter START-ANTIPLATELET registry

Background

Optimal dual antiplatelet therapy in high bleeding risk (HBR) patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) remains debated. Although current guidelines recommend the use of potent P2Y12 inhibitors in these patients (according to the labeled indications), clopidogrel is frequently used in clinical practice based on a perceived advantage in terms of safety in the HBR population.

Purpose

We sought to investigate the use of clopidogrel versus ticagrelor in consecutive HBR ACS patients and their impact on ischemic and bleeding events at 1 year.

Methods

ACS patients enrolled in the START-ANTIPLATELET registry with at least 1 HBR criterion were included in the present analysis and stratified according to DAPT type (clopidogrel versus ticagrelor). The primary endpoint was net adverse clinical endpoint (NACE), defined as a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and major bleeding. The secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACE), defined as a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction and stroke, each individual component of NACE and MACE, and target vessel revascularization.

Results

Among a total of 1,209 patients with 1-year follow-up in the registry, 383 patients were considered at HBR, of whom 174 (45.4%) were on clopidogrel and 209 (54.6%) on ticagrelor. Clopidogrel was more likely to be administered in patients at increased ischemic and bleeding risk, while ticagrelor in those undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Mean DAPT duration was longer in the ticagrelor group than in the clopidogrel group (10.40±4.29 versus 9.35±5.4; p-value=0.03). At 1-year follow-up, the risk of NACE and MACE events was significantly higher in the clopidogrel than in the ticagrelor group (NACE: HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.07–3.09; p-value=0.02; MACE: HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.04–3.24; p-value=0.03) (Figure). After multivariate adjustment for clinical and procedural characteristics, no difference in NACEs nor MACEs was observed between patients on clopidogrel versus ticagrelor (NACE: adjusted HR 1.27; 95% CI 0.71–2.27; p-value=0.42; MACE: adjusted HR 1.19; 95% CI 0.63–2.24; p-value=0.59) (Figure). Age, number of HBR criteria, and mean DAPT duration were independent predictors of NACEs.

Conclusions

In a real-world ACS registry, approximately 50% of patients are at HBR and frequently treated with clopidogrel. In HBR ACS patients, no difference was observed in ischemic and bleeding events between clopidogrel and ticagrelor after adjustment for potential confounders.

Kaplan-Meier curves at 1-year follow-up.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Anticoagulation resumption after intracranial hemorrhage in patients treated with VKA and DOACs

BACKGROUND

Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with severe prognosis and recurrent risk. This impacts on the decision to resume anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (AF) or venous thromboembolism (VTE) patients. Purpose of our study is to evaluate the incidence rate of recurrent ICH in patients with AF or VTE resuming anticoagulation after a first ICH episode.

METHODS

We report data of two cohorts of AF or VTE after a first ICH. The Vitamin K antagonist (VKA) cohort (166 patients) derives from CHIRONE Study, the direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) cohort (178 patients) derives from START2-Register RESULTS: The clinical characteristics of the two cohort are similar with the exception of more prevalence of history of previous stroke/TIA in DOAC patients with respect to VKA (p = 0.02) and serum creatinine levels>1.5 mg/dL in VKA patients with respect to DOAC(p = 0.0001). The index ICH was spontaneous in 66.4% and in 33.7% among DOAC and VKAs cohort respectively (p = 0.0001). During follow-up, 14 recurrent ICH were recorded; 9 (rate 2.5 × 100 patient-years) in VKA and 5 (rate 1.3 × 100 patient-years) in DOAC (Relative Risk 1.9; 95% CI 0.6-7.4; p = 0.2). The univariate logistic regression analysis showed that patients with recurrent ICH were more frequently males, hypertensive, with a history of previous Stroke/TIA and older than patients without recurrence. VKA patients showed a higher risk of recurrence with respect to DOAC patients (OR 1.9;95% CI 0.7-6.7).

CONCLUSIONS

A trend toward fewer ICH recurrences was detected among DOACs patients in comparison to the previously reported rate of patients on warfarin.

Direct oral anticoagulant plasma levels' striking increase in severe COVID-19 respiratory syndrome patients treated with antiviral agents: The Cremona experience

BACKGROUND

Antiviral drugs are administered in patients with severe COVID-19 respiratory syndrome, including those treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). Concomitant administration of antiviral agents has the potential to increase their plasma concentration. A series of patients managed in the Cremona Thrombosis Center were admitted at Cremona Hospital for SARS-CoV-2 and started antiviral drugs without stopping DOAC therapy. DOAC plasma levels were measured in hospital and results compared with those recorded before hospitalization.

METHODS

All consecutive patients on DOACs were candidates for administration of antiviral agents (lopinavir, ritonavir, or darunavir). Plasma samples for DOAC measurement were collected 2to 4 days after starting antiviral treatment, at 12 hours from the last dose intake in patients on dabigatran and apixaban, and at 24 hours in those on rivaroxaban and edoxaban. For each patient, C-trough DOAC level, expressed as ng/mL, was compared with the one measured before hospitalization.

RESULTS

Of the 1039 patients hospitalized between February 22 and March 15, 2020 with COVID-19 pneumonia and candidates for antiviral therapy, 32 were on treatment with a DOAC. DOAC was stopped in 20 and continued in the remaining 12. On average, C-trough levels were 6.14 times higher during hospitalization than in the pre-hospitalization period.

CONCLUSION

DOAC patients treated with antiviral drugs show an alarming increase in DOAC plasma levels. In order to prevent bleeding complications, we believe that physicians should consider withholding DOACs from patients with SARS-CoV-2 and replacing them with alternative parenteral antithrombotic strategies for as long as antiviral agents are deemed necessary and until discharge.