[Pulmonary hypertension associated with left heart diseases: pathophysiology, diagnosis, treatment]

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a common complication of diseases affecting the left heart, mostly found in patients suffering from heart failure. Left atrial hypertension is the initial driver of post-capillary PH. However, several mechanisms may lead in a subset of patients to structural changes in the pulmonary vessels with development of a pre-capillary component. The right ventricle may be frequently affected, leading to right ventricular failure and a worse outcome. The differential diagnosis of PH associated with left heart disease vs pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is challenging in patients with cardiovascular comorbidities, risk factors for PAH and/or a preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. Multidimensional clinical phenotyping is needed to identify patients in whom hemodynamic confirmation is deemed necessary, that may be completed by provocative testing in the cath lab. In contrast with PAH, management of PH associated with left heart disease should focus on the treatment of the underlying condition. There is currently no approved therapy for PH associated with left heart disease: some PAH-specific treatments have led to an increase in adverse events in these patients.

A new strategy for anticoagulation: The factor XI inhibitors

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are currently the first-choice therapy for the prevention of cardioembolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation and for the treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) due to their more favorable efficacy to safety profile in comparison to vitamin K antagonists (VKA). DOACs did not show a clinical benefit when used for in stroke prevention in patients with mechanic or rheumatic valves or in those who underwent transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), in the treatment of VTE in patients with antiphospholipid antibody syndrome and in prevention of VTE in medically ill patients. There are some concerns for bleeding excess at the gastrointestinal site for some, but not all, DOACs. In recent years, in order to overcome the limitations of the available DOACs and to explore the advantages of anticoagulation in additional clinical settings, the development of factor XI and factor XII inhibitors as anticoagulant agents has been proposed. Emerging data show that factor XI has a minor role in the physiological process of hemostasis and an important role in the development of thrombosis. Bleeding has been viewed for several years as an unavoidable side effect of anticoagulant therapy. The aim of factor XI inhibitors is to challenge this dogma by favoring the uncoupling between hemostasis and thrombosis. This paper provides an update on the rationale for the use of factor XI inhibitors, their pharmacological properties and the preliminary clinical findings.

Risk factors for recurrence and major bleeding in patients with cancer-associated venous thromboembolism

Risks of recurrence and treatment-emergent bleeding are high in patients with cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) but factors associated with these risks remain substantially undefined. The aim of this analysis in patients with cancer-associated VTE included in the Caravaggio study was to identify risk factors for recurrent VTE and major bleeding. Variables potentially predictive for recurrent VTE or major bleeding were evaluated in a Cox proportional hazard multivariable analysis with backward variable selection. Recurrent VTE occurred in 78 patients (6.8%) and major bleeding in 45 (3.9%). Independent risk factors for recurrent VTE were deep vein thrombosis (DVT) as index event (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.84, 95% CI 1.17-2.88), ECOG status of 1 or more (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.11-3.43), pancreatic or hepatobiliary cancer site (HR 2.20, 95% CI 1.19-4.06), concomitant anti-cancer treatment (HR 1.98, 95% CI 1.03-3.81) and creatinine clearance (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.00-1.20 for every 10 ml/min absolute increase). Independent risk factors for major bleeding were ECOG status of 2 (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.24-4.29), genitourinary cancer site (HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.28-5.77), upper gastrointestinal cancer site (HR 3.17, 95% CI 1.22-8.23), and non-resected luminal gastrointestinal cancer (HR 2.77, 95% CI 1.38-5.56). This analysis of the Caravaggio study in patients with cancer-associated VTE who were on standardized anticoagulant treatment identified five independent predictors for recurrent VTE and four independent predictors of treatment-emergent major bleeding. Considering these risks could help clinicians to optimize the anticoagulant treatment in patients with cancer-associated VTE.

[A new anticoagulant strategy: the factor XI inhibitors]

In the last 10 years the introduction of the direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) has revolutionized the anticoagulant treatment, one of the cornerstones of the therapy for cardiovascular diseases. Thanks to their efficacy at least not inferior compared to vitamin K antagonists and their better safety profile, particularly with regard to intracranial bleeding, DOACs are now the first choice for the prevention of cardioembolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and for the treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Other areas of clinical use for DOACs include the prevention of VTE in orthopedic and oncology surgery and in outpatient cancer patients treated with anticancer therapy, or the use of low-dose in association with aspirin in patients with coronary or peripheral artery disease.An increased risk of gastrointestinal bleeding has been reported for some DOACs. In addition, DOACs have also experienced some failures including stroke prevention in patients with mechanical prosthetic valves or rheumatic diseases and VTE therapy in patients with antiphospholipid antibody syndrome. Also, no data are available on DOACs in some particular areas, including severe renal impairment and thrombocytopenia.In recent years, the clinical use of factor XI and factor XII inhibitors has been proposed. Currently, factor XI inhibitors have more clinical data than factor XII inhibitors. This article will report the rationale for the clinical use and the main evidences currently available on factor XI inhibitors.

Timing and Predictors of Recanalization After Anticoagulation in Cerebral Venous Thrombosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Vessel recanalization after cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is associated with favorable outcomes and lower mortality. Several studies examined the timing and predictors of recanalization after CVT with mixed results. We aimed to investigate predictors and timing of recanalization after CVT.

METHODS

We used data from the multicenter, international AntiCoagulaTION in the Treatment of Cerebral Venous Thrombosis (ACTION-CVT) study of consecutive patients with CVT from January 2015 to December 2020. Our analysis included patients that had undergone repeat venous neuroimaging more than 30 days after initiation of anticoagulation treatment. Prespecified variables were included in univariate and multivariable analyses to identify independent predictors of failure to recanalize.

RESULTS

Among the 551 patients (mean age, 44.4±16.2 years, 66.2% women) that met inclusion criteria, 486 (88.2%) had complete or partial, and 65 (11.8%) had no recanalization. The median time to first follow-up imaging study was 110 days (interquartile range, 60-187). In multivariable analysis, older age (odds ratio [OR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.07), male sex (OR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.24-0.80), and lack of parenchymal changes on baseline imaging (OR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.29-0.96) were associated with no recanalization. The majority of improvement in recanalization (71.1%) occurred before 3 months from initial diagnosis. A high percentage of complete recanalization (59.0%) took place within the first 3 months after CVT diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

Older age, male sex, and lack of parenchymal changes were associated with no recanalization after CVT. The majority recanalization occurred early in the disease course suggesting limited further recanalization with anticoagulation beyond 3 months. Large prospective studies are needed to confirm our findings.

[Anticoagulation therapy during pulmonary embolism follow-up in clinical practice]

Patients with pulmonary embolism are a heterogeneous population and, after the acute phase and the first 3-6 months, the main issue is whether to continue, and hence how long and at what dose, or to stop anticoagulation therapy. In patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE), direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are the recommended treatment (class I, level of evidence B in the latest European guidelines), and in most cases, an "extended" or "long-term" low-dose therapy is warranted. This paper aims to provide a practical management tool to the clinician dealing with pulmonary embolism follow-up: from the evidence behind the most used exams (D-dimer, ultrasound Doppler of the lower limbs, imaging tests, recurrence and bleeding risk scores), and the use of DOACs in the extended phase, to six real clinical scenarios with the relative management in the acute phase and at follow-up. Lastly, a practical algorithm is shown to deal with anticoagulation therapy in the follow-up of VTE patients in a simple, schematic, and pragmatic way.

Abstract 8: Outcomes And Recurrence Rates Among Patients With Provoked And Cryptogenic Cerebral Venous Thrombosis: Analysis Of The ACTION CVT Study

Introduction: Cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is a rare cause of stroke. While the standard treatment is anticoagulation, the type and duration of anticoagulation depend on the underlying etiology. This study aims to identify the characteristics and risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with unprovoked CVT (cryptogenic), transient provoked CVT (peripartum, contraception, infection, trauma) and persistent provoked CVT (cancer, hereditary thrombophilias).

Methods: We used the ACTION CVT retrospective database which included consecutive CVT patients in 27 stroke centers in the United States, Europe, and New Zealand from January 2015 to December 2020. Baseline characteristics were compared between the groups using Chi square test, T test or Mann-Whitney-U test, followed by multivariable logistic regression. We used interaction analysis to assess the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE).

Results: A total of 1025 CVT patients were included in this study; 363 (35.4%) had transient provoking factors, 152 (14.8%) had persistent provoking factors, and 510 (49.8%) had cryptogenic CVT. Patients with transiently provoked CVT were younger (P=0.003) and more likely to be women (P<0.001), and patients with cryptogenic CVT were less likely to have a prior VTE (P<0.001). Compared to patients with transient provoked, there was higher risk of recurrent VTE in patients with persistent provoking factors (HR 2.59, 95% CI 1.29-5.22, P=0.008) and numerically higher recurrent VTE risk in cryptogenic CVT (HR 1.85, 95% CI 0.98-3.51, P=0.059). These associations did not vary by age, sex, or history of VTE status (p-interaction > 0.1 for all). Results were similar in sensitivity analyses excluding those with positive Factor V Leiden or Prothrombin gene mutation as well as in analyses excluding patients with positive antiphospholipid antibody test.

Conclusions: In this multicenter study, we found that the risk of recurrent VTE after CVT may vary depending on the underlying etiology with higher rates in patients with cryptogenic CVT and those with persistent provoking factors. Longer anticoagulation duration may be needed in such groups compared to CVT with transient provoking factors.

Abstract 2: Timing And Predictors Of Recanalization After Cerebral Venous Thrombosis

Background and Purpose: Recanalization after cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is poorly understood. We aimed to investigate predictors and timing of recanalization in a large, international cohort of patients with CVT.

Materials and Methods: We used data from the multicenter, international, AntiCoagulaTION in the Treatment of Cerebral Venous Thrombosis (ACTION-CVT) study of consecutive patients with confirmed CVT from 01/2015 to 12/2020. Our analysis included patients that had undergone repeat venous neuroimaging more than 30 days after initiation of anticoagulation treatment. Pre-specified variables were included in univariate and multivariable analyses to identify independent predictors of failure to recanalize. We also examined improvement in recanalization at clinically-relevant time points ( <75 days, 3 months ± 15 days, 6 months ± 30 days, and 12 month ± 30 days) after the initial CVT hospital admission.

Results: Among the 551 patients (mean age, 44.4 ± 16.2 years, 66% women) that met inclusion criteria, 486 (88.2%) had complete or partial, and 65 (11.8%) had no recanalization. In multivariable analysis, older age (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03 - 1.07), male sex (OR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.24 - 0.80), and lack of parenchymal changes on baseline imaging (OR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.29 - 0.96) were associated with no recanalization. The majority of improvement in recanalization (71.1%) occurred before 3 months from initial diagnosis. A high percentage of complete recanalization (59.0%) took place within the first 3 months after diagnosis.

Discussion: Older age, male sex, and lack of parenchymal changes were associated with no recanalization after CVT. The majority of improvement in recanalization and complete recanalization occurred early in the disease course.

Effects of Direct Oral Anticoagulants' Nonrecommended Dose in Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety profiles of nonrecommended direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) doses in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) are still undefined.

SUMMARY

We searched for randomized controlled trials and observational studies that compared nonrecommended versus recommended doses of DOACs, published up to December 2021. Primary study outcomes were ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism (IS/TIA/SE) and major bleeding (MB). All-cause mortality was a secondary outcome. We determined pooled odds ratios (ORs) between groups of patients with a random-effect model. Twenty-three studies with 175,801 patients were included. Nonrecommended doses were associated with a higher risk of IS/TIA/SE and all-cause mortality, but not of MB as compared to recommended doses of DOACs (OR 1.25 [95% CI: 1.14-1.38], OR 1.69 [95% CI: 1.31-2.18] and OR 1.10 [95% CI: 0.93-1.31], respectively). The nonrecommended low dose was associated with an increased risk of IS/TIA/SE and all-cause death (OR 1.21 [95% CI: 1.05-1.39] and OR 1.66 [95% CI: 1.18-2.35], respectively) but not of MB (OR 1.01 [95% CI: 0.83-1.22] as compared to recommended doses. Subgroup analysis of nonrecommended low doses of DOACs showed a nonsignificant increase in IS/TIA/SE in Asians (OR 1.17 [95% CI: 0.89-1.54] vs. non-Asian (OR 1.21 [95% CI: 1.07-1.36]).

KEY MESSAGES

Compared with recommended doses, nonrecommended low doses of DOACs increase the risk of ischemic events without decreasing the risk of bleeding. For Asians, the efficacy of DOACs seemed preserved despite the nonrecommended low-dose prescription. Clinicians should carefully adhere to recommended DOAC prescription advice in managing NVAF patients.

Efficacy and safety of two heparin regimens for prevention of venous thromboembolism in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: a meta-analysis

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is common in patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). The optimal heparin regimen remains unknown and should balance thromboembolic and bleeding risks. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of standard or higher heparin regimens for the prevention of VTE in patients hospitalized due to COVID-19. We performed a systematic literature search; studies reporting on hospitalized patients with COVID-19 who received standard heparin prophylaxis vs. high (intermediate or therapeutic) heparin regimens were included if outcome events were reported by treatment group and more than 10 patients were included. Primary study outcome was in-hospital VTE. Secondary study outcomes were major bleeding (MB), all-cause death, fatal bleeding and fatal pulmonary embolism. Overall, 33 studies (11,387 patients) were included. Venous thromboembolic events occurred in 5.2% and in 8.2% of patients who received heparin prophylaxis with at high-dose or standard-dose, respectively (RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.55-0.90, I2 48.8%). MB was significantly higher in patients who received high- compared to the standard-dose (4.2% vs 2.2%, RR 1.94, 95% CI 1.47-2.56, I2 18.1%). Sub-analyses showed a slight benefit associated with high-dose heparin in patients admitted to non-intensive care unit (ICU) but not in those to ICU. No significant differences were observed for mortality outcomes. Heparin prophylaxis at high-dose reduces the risk of VTE, but increased the risk of MB compared to the standard-dose. No clinical benefit for heparin high-dose was observed for ICU setting, but its role in the non-ICU deserves further evaluation. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42021252550.

Predictors of Recurrent Venous Thrombosis After Cerebral Venous Thrombosis: Analysis of the ACTION-CVT Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is a rare cause of stroke carrying a nearly 4% risk of recurrence after 1 year. There are limited data on predictors of recurrent venous thrombosis in patients with CVT. In this study, we aim to identify those predictors.

METHODS

This is a secondary analysis of the ACTION-CVT study which is a multicenter international study of consecutive patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of CVT over a 6-year period. Patients with cancer-associated CVT, CVT during pregnancy, or CVT in the setting of known antiphospholipid antibody syndrome were excluded per the ACTION-CVT protocol. The study outcome was recurrent venous thrombosis defined as recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) or de novo CVT. We compared characteristics between patients with vs without recurrent venous thrombosis during follow-up and performed adjusted Cox regression analyses to determine important predictors of recurrent venous thrombosis.

RESULTS

Nine hundred forty-seven patients were included with a mean age of 45.2 years, 63.9% were women, and 83.6% had at least 3 months of follow-up. During a median follow-up of 308 (interquartile range 120-700) days, there were 5.05 recurrent venous thromboses (37 VTE and 24 de novo CVT) per 100 patient-years. Predictors of recurrent venous thrombosis were Black race (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.13, 95% CI 1.14-3.98, p = 0.018), history of VTE (aHR 3.40, 95% CI 1.80-6.42, p < 0.001), and the presence of one or more positive antiphospholipid antibodies (aHR 3.85, 95% CI 1.97-7.50, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses including events only occurring on oral anticoagulation yielded similar findings.

DISCUSSION

Black race, history of VTE, and the presence of one or more antiphospholipid antibodies are associated with recurrent venous thrombosis among patients with CVT. Future studies are needed to validate our findings to better understand mechanisms and treatment strategies in patients with CVT.

Outcome Prediction in Cerebral Venous Thrombosis: The IN-REvASC Score

BACKGROUND

We identified risk factors, derived and validated a prognostic score for poor neurological outcome and death for use in cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT).

METHODS

We performed an international multicenter retrospective study including consecutive patients with CVT from January 2015 to December 2020. Demographic, clinical, and radiographic characteristics were collected. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were conducted to determine risk factors for poor outcome, mRS 3-6. A prognostic score was derived and validated.

RESULTS

A total of 1,025 patients were analyzed with median 375 days (interquartile range [IQR], 180 to 747) of follow-up. The median age was 44 (IQR, 32 to 58) and 62.7% were female. Multivariable analysis revealed the following factors were associated with poor outcome at 90- day follow-up: active cancer (odds ratio [OR], 11.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.62 to 27.14; P<0.001), age (OR, 1.02 per year; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.04; P=0.039), Black race (OR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.10 to 4.27; P=0.025), encephalopathy or coma on presentation (OR, 2.71; 95% CI, 1.39 to 5.30; P=0.004), decreased hemoglobin (OR, 1.16 per g/dL; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.31; P=0.014), higher NIHSS on presentation (OR, 1.07 per point; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.11; P=0.002), and substance use (OR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.16 to 4.71; P=0.017). The derived IN-REvASC score outperformed ISCVT-RS for the prediction of poor outcome at 90-day follow-up (area under the curve [AUC], 0.84 [95% CI, 0.79 to 0.87] vs. AUC, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.66 to 0.76], χ2 P<0.001) and mortality (AUC, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.78 to 0.90] vs. AUC, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.66 to 0.79], χ2 P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Seven factors were associated with poor neurological outcome following CVT. The INREvASC score increased prognostic accuracy compared to ISCVT-RS. Determining patients at highest risk of poor outcome in CVT could help in clinical decision making and identify patients for targeted therapy in future clinical trials.

Clinical prediction models in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: A multicenter cohort study

Background

Clinical spectrum of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) ranges from asymptomatic infection to severe respiratory failure that may result in death. We aimed at validating and potentially improve existing clinical models to predict prognosis in hospitalized patients with acute COVID-19.

Methods

Consecutive patients with acute confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia hospitalized at 5 Italian non-intensive care unit centers during the 2020 outbreak were included in the study. Twelve validated prognostic scores for pneumonia and/or sepsis and specific COVID-19 scores were calculated for each study patient and their accuracy was compared in predicting in-hospital death at 30 days and the composite of death and orotracheal intubation.

Results

During hospital stay, 302 of 1044 included patients presented critical illness (28.9%), and 226 died (21.6%). Nine out of 34 items included in different prognostic scores were independent predictors of all-cause-death. The discrimination was acceptable for the majority of scores (APACHE II, COVID-GRAM, REMS, CURB-65, NEWS II, ROX-index, 4C, SOFA) to predict in-hospital death at 30 days and poor for the rest. A high negative predictive value was observed for REMS (100.0%) and 4C (98.7%) scores; the positive predictive value was poor overall, ROX-index having the best value (75.0%).

Conclusions

Despite the growing interest in prognostic models, their performance in patients with COVID-19 is modest. The 4C, REMS and ROX-index may have a role to select high and low risk patients at admission. However, simple predictors as age and PaO2/FiO2 ratio can also be useful as standalone predictors to inform decision making.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Old and Frail Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: The Advantages of an Anticoagulation Service

Despite the recent advancements, oral anticoagulation is still challenging in some patients and this is the case for old and frail patients. The large majority of frail patients with atrial fibrillation should receive anticoagulation since the associated benefits outweigh the risk of bleeding. A multidisciplinary consensus document on the use and prescription of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in older and frail patients with atrial fibrillation has been recently published. In this manuscript we provide a comment on this document and add insights into the management of these patients. The new DOAC age had imposed a paradigm shift in the management of patients with the need for clinically-oriented services rather than laboratory-oriented services. In this paper we provide tools for a structured patient-oriented DOACs treatment service supported by a multidisciplinary approach.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin in the Treatment of Cerebral Venous Thrombosis (ACTION-CVT): A Multicenter International Study

BACKGROUND

A small randomized controlled trial suggested that dabigatran may be as effective as warfarin in the treatment of cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT). We aimed to compare direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) to warfarin in a real-world CVT cohort.

METHODS

This multicenter international retrospective study (United States, Europe, New Zealand) included consecutive patients with CVT treated with oral anticoagulation from January 2015 to December 2020. We abstracted demographics and CVT risk factors, hypercoagulable labs, baseline imaging data, and clinical and radiological outcomes from medical records. We used adjusted inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox-regression models to compare recurrent cerebral or systemic venous thrombosis, death, and major hemorrhage in patients treated with warfarin versus DOACs. We performed adjusted inverse probability of treatment weighted logistic regression to compare recanalization rates on follow-up imaging across the 2 treatments groups.

RESULTS

Among 1025 CVT patients across 27 centers, 845 patients met our inclusion criteria. Mean age was 44.8 years, 64.7% were women; 33.0% received DOAC only, 51.8% received warfarin only, and 15.1% received both treatments at different times. During a median follow-up of 345 (interquartile range, 140-720) days, there were 5.68 recurrent venous thrombosis, 3.77 major hemorrhages, and 1.84 deaths per 100 patient-years. Among 525 patients who met recanalization analysis inclusion criteria, 36.6% had complete, 48.2% had partial, and 15.2% had no recanalization. When compared with warfarin, DOAC treatment was associated with similar risk of recurrent venous thrombosis (aHR, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.51-1.73]; P=0.84), death (aHR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.22-2.76]; P=0.70), and rate of partial/complete recanalization (aOR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.48-1.73]; P=0.79), but a lower risk of major hemorrhage (aHR, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.15-0.82]; P=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CVT, treatment with DOACs was associated with similar clinical and radiographic outcomes and favorable safety profile when compared with warfarin treatment. Our findings need confirmation by large prospective or randomized studies.

Long-term risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism among patients receiving extended oral anticoagulant therapy for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) during extended anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incidence of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years in patients with a first unprovoked VTE.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane CENTRAL were searched to identify randomized trials and prospective cohort studies reporting recurrent VTE among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive anticoagulation for a minimum of six additional months after completing ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on number of recurrent VTE and person-years, obtained from authors of included studies, were used to calculate study-level incidence rate, and random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies and 15 603 patients were included in the analysis. During 11 631 person-years of follow-up, the incidence of recurrent VTE and fatal pulmonary embolism per 100 person-years was 1.41 (95% CI, 1.03-1.84) and 0.09 (0.04-0.16), with 5-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (3.0%-13.2%) and 1.2% (0.4%-4.6%), respectively. The incidence of recurrent VTE was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.77-1.44) with direct oral anticoagulants and 1.55 (1.01-2.20) with vitamin K antagonists. The case-fatality rate of recurrent VTE was 4.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-8.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risk of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation is low but not negligible. Thus, clinicians and patients should be aware of this risk and take appropriate and timely action in case of suspicion of recurrent VTE. Estimates from this study can be used to advise patients on what to expect while receiving extended anticoagulation, and estimate the net clinical benefit of extended treatment to guide long-term management of unprovoked VTE.

Role of heparin prophylaxis at different doses in patients with COVID-19 and respiratory failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is common in patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). The use of heparin at higher doses than prophylactic is advocated, but the optimal regimens remain unknown due to the balance between prevention of thromboembolic events and bleeding risks.

Objective

To systematically review and perform a meta-analysis aimed at evaluating the risk of VTE and of major bleeding (MB) in patients with respiratory failure due to COVID-19 according to heparin doses.

Methods

We performed a systematic search in MEDLINE up until 22 March 2021. Studies on patients with respiratory failure due to COVID-19 were included if reported on study outcomes according to standard prophylactic and to higher heparin doses and included more than 10 patients. Study primary outcome was VTE; secondary outcomes were MB, all-cause death, fatal bleeding and fatal pulmonary embolism (PE).

Results

Overall, 2 randomized and 16 observational studies were selected (3458 patients). In 13 studies (2492 patients) VTE events were similar in patients receiving standard prophylaxis or higher heparin doses (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.58–1.95, I2 87%; only randomized studies RR 1.72, 95% CI 0.78–3.81, I2 54%). 16 studies (3174) reporting on MB and showed a significant reduction in favor of standard heparin prophylaxis (RR 0.39, 95% CI 0.28–0.53, I2 8%). No differences were observed for overall mortality according to heparin doses (RR 1.11, 95% CI 0.88–1.40, I2 68%; in 8 studies, 2448 patients). Similarly, no differences were observed for fatal bleedings and fatal PEs.

In the subanalysis of studies reporting only on intensive care unit patients (ICU) an increase in the risk of VTE (RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.28–2.72, I2 18%) and a reduction on the risk of MB (RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.40–0.90, I2 0%) were observed in patients receiving standard heparin doses compared to higher doses. Overall mortality was similar (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.86–1.39, I2 64%).

Conclusion

Different doses of heparin prophylaxis seem to not affect the risk of VTE in the overall patients with COVID-19 and respiratory failure. In studies reporting only on ICU patients the risk of VTE was lower when higher heparin doses were used compared to standard doses, but with no advantage in overall death and with an increase of MBs.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Effectiveness and safety of DOACs for the prevention of recurrent VTE: a prospective cohort study

Background

In the direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) era, extended anticoagulation after 6–12 months of treatment is an attractive strategy in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE). Real-life data on the clinical benefit of DOAC over time is lacking.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to assess the effectiveness and safety of DOACs in patients with acute VTE treated for variable periods.

Methods

Data on patients with an objective diagnosis of acute VTE treated with DOACs were included in prospective cohort study. Study outcomes were recurrent VTE and major bleeding (ISTH definition).

Results

Overall, 934 patients were included (mean age 67.0±16.0, male gender 51.4%). Three-hundred and forty-six patients had a deep vein thrombosis (37.0%), 98 (10.5%) had isolated pulmonary embolism and 490 (52.5%) had both. One-hundred and sixty-nine patients (18.1%) had an active cancer, 59 (6.3%) a history of cancer and 365 patients (39.1%) an unprovoked VTE. During DOAC treatment (mean 21.6 months), 7 recurrent VTEs and 25 major bleedings occurred. In 546 and in 98 patients, DOAC was continued with full and reduced doses, respectively. In 290 patients (43.8% unprovoked, 13.8% active cancer, 42.4% associated with non-cancer risk factor), anticoagulants were withdrawn (average treatment duration 8.8 months) and 22 recurrent VTEs occurred over a follow-up off-treatment period of 31.9 months. In these patients, 2 episodes of major bleeding were observed. Overall, 201 patients died; fatal PE occurred in 4 and fatal bleeding in 1 patient. Time course for recurrent VTE according to 2019 ESC risk for recurrence is reported in the Figure.

Conclusions

In this cohort study, DOACs showed a good risk to benefit profile in the extended phase after an acute VTE event.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1. Cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE

Long-Term Risk for Major Bleeding During Extended Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk for major bleeding in patients receiving extended (beyond the initial 3 to 6 months) anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain.

PURPOSE

To determine the incidence of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years among patients with a first unprovoked VTE, overall, and in clinically important subgroups.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to 23 July 2021.

STUDY SELECTION

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive oral anticoagulation for a minimum of 6 additional months after completing at least 3 months of initial anticoagulant treatment.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Unpublished data required for analyses were obtained from authors of included studies.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Among the 14 RCTs and 13 cohort studies included in the analysis, 9982 patients received a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 7220 received a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). The incidence of major bleeding per 100 person-years was 1.74 events (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.20 events) with VKAs and 1.12 events (CI, 0.72 to 1.62 events) with DOACs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding with VKAs was 6.3% (CI, 3.6% to 10.0%). Among patients receiving either a VKA or a DOAC, the incidence of major bleeding was statistically significantly higher among those who were older than 65 years or had creatinine clearance less than 50 mL/min, a history of bleeding, concomitant use of antiplatelet therapy, or a hemoglobin level less than 100 g/L. The case-fatality rate of major bleeding was 8.3% (CI, 5.1% to 12.2%) with VKAs and 9.7% (CI, 3.2% to 19.2%) with DOACs.

LIMITATION

Data were insufficient to estimate incidence of major bleeding beyond 1 year of extended anticoagulation with DOACs.

CONCLUSION

In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risks and consequences of anticoagulant-related major bleeding are considerable. This information will help inform patient prognosis and guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Canadian Institutes of Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42019128597).

Upper extremities deep vein thrombosis treated with oral direct anticoagulants: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Limited data are available on the role of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for the treatment of upper extremities deep vein thrombosis (UEDVT).

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to assess the effectiveness and safety of DOACs in the treatment of UEDVT.

METHODS

Patients with an objectively confirmed acute UEDVT treated with DOACs were merged from prospective cohorts to a collaborative database. Primary study outcomes were recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) and major bleeding occurring during DOAC treatment.

RESULTS

Overall, 188 patients were included in the study: mean age 52.4 ± 20.4 years, males 43.6%, patients with active cancer 29.2%. Twenty-nine percent of patients had 2 or more risk factors for VTE, 33.0% had catheter-related or pacemaker-related UEDVT. In 13.8% of patients, DOACs were started one month after UEDVT diagnosis or later. Active cancer was an independent predictor for delayed initiation of DOACs (OR 8.1, 95% CI 3.0-22.2). Mean duration of treatment with DOACs was 5.1 ± 2.8 months. During treatment with DOACs, recurrent VTE occurred in 0.9 per 100 patient-year, major bleeding in 1.7 and all-cause deaths in 6.0 per 100 patient-year. No fatal bleeding or fatal VTE recurrence were observed. During 232.1 patient-years of follow-up after DOAC withdrawal, recurrent VTE occurred in 3.0 per 100 patient-year. The 2019 ESC categories for risk of VTE recurrences were able to discriminate patient groups at different risk of events in the on and off-treatment periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data support the feasibility as well as the effectiveness and safety of DOACs for the treatment of acute UEDVT.

Sex-specific differences in the presentation, clinical course, and quality of life of patients with acute venous thromboembolism according to baseline risk factors. Insights from the PREFER in VTE

INTRODUCTION

Sex and the presence of specific provoking risk factors, along with age, influence the presentation and prognosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE). We investigated the presentation, course and quality of life in women and men with acute VTE classified according to their VTE provoking factors.

METHODS

PREFER in VTE is an international, non-interventional registry of patients with a first episode of acute symptomatic VTE. Baseline provoking factors were classified as follows: major transient, minor transient, active cancer, and none identifiable. The primary outcome was recurrent VTE. Quality of life and treatment satisfaction were secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 3,455 patients with acute VTE, 1,623 (47%) were women. The mean age at the time of VTE was 61 (SD 18) in women, 60 (SD 15) in men. The distribution of provoking risk factors was similar between sexes, despite a tendency for higher frequency of minor and major transient risk factors in women, and cancer or unprovoked VTE in men. At 12-month follow-up, VTE recurrence was reported in 74 (6.5%) women and 80 (6.4%) men (absolute risk difference -0.1%, 95% CI -1.9%; +2.1%). In patients with unprovoked VTE, the VTE recurrence rate was 38/612 (6.2%) in women and 53/798 (6.6%) in men (absolute risk difference -0.4, 95% CI -3.0; +2.1%). Multivariable Cox regressions confirmed the absence of sex differences. Quality of life and treatment satisfaction scores one year after VTE were lower in women than in men irrespective of the provoking risk factors (p<0.001 for both scores).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite differences in the provoking risk factors for VTE, women and men had a similar rate VTE recurrence at one year. After acute VTE, women had lower quality of life and treatment satisfaction scores.

Risk Factors for Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation on Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants for Stroke Prevention

[Figure: see text].

Shock and Diffuse ST-elevation in a Patient with Coronavirus Disease-2019 Disease

The infection by the novel coronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is associated with significant cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Cardiac events require prompt diagnosis and management, also in the SARS-CoV-2 era. A 58-year-old male, heavy smoker and with known SARS-CoV-2 infection, abruptly developed severe hypotension and asthenia. At patients' home, emergency physicians found hemodynamic compromise with diffuse ST-elevation at electrocardiography. The patient was rapidly moved to the cardiac catheterization laboratory, and any contact with other health-care workers was avoided. Coronary angiography excluded coronary artery disease. At admission to the coronavirus disease-2019 unit, an increase in inflammatory markers and liver enzymes with normal troponin levels were observed. Bedside lung ultrasonography showed interstitial syndrome and bilateral pleural effusion, whereas echocardiography showed large and diffuse pericardial effusion with a swinging heart. The hemodynamic status improved after gentle fluid therapy such suggesting potential concomitant sepsis and pericardiocentesis was not performed. At this time, a computed tomography scan showed a widespread neoplasm in the right lung involving the subclavian artery and vein and the thoracic lymph nodes. The histology confirmed the diagnosis of a locally advanced pulmonary adenocarcinoma. One week after admission, the patient died for worsening respiratory failure. Not delayed primary PCI remains the standard of care for patients with suspected ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in the SARS-CoV-2 era. A diagnostic deepening for potential STEMI-mimicker (known to be associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and to patients' comorbidities) should be considered, and a multidisciplinary approach is needed in these patients.

Bleeding with Apixaban and Dalteparin in Patients with Cancer-Associated Venous Thromboembolism: Results from the Caravaggio Study

BACKGROUND

 Direct oral anticoagulants are recommended for the treatment of cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) as an alternative to low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH), but an increased bleeding risk in patients with gastrointestinal cancer was reported. The Caravaggio study compared apixaban and dalteparin for the treatment of patients with CAT. Here we describe sites of bleeding, associated cancer sites, clinical presentation, and course of major bleeding in patients included in the Caravaggio study.

METHODS

 The Caravaggio study was a multinational, randomized, open-label, noninferiority study. Bleeding events and the severity of major bleedings were adjudicated by a committee unaware of treatment allocation using predefined criteria; for the purpose of this analysis, data were analyzed in the safety population.

RESULTS

 Major bleeding occurred in 22 of 576 patients on apixaban (3.8%) and in 23 of 579 patients on dalteparin (4.0%). The sites of major bleeding and their distribution according to the type of cancer were similar between the two treatment groups. Major bleeding occurred in nine patients with gastrointestinal cancer in each treatment group. The clinical presentation of major bleeding was severe or fatal in 6 patients on apixaban and in 5 patients on dalteparin, while the clinical course was severe in 5 patients on apixaban and in 7 patients on dalteparin.

CONCLUSION

 Apixaban is a safe alternative to LMWH for the treatment in patients with CAT. No excess in gastrointestinal bleeding was observed in patients who received apixaban, including those with gastrointestinal cancer.

Accuracy of Physicians in Differentiating Type 1 and Type 2 Myocardial Infarction Based on Clinical Information

Background

Physicians commonly judge whether a myocardial infarction (MI) is type 1 (thrombotic) vs type 2 (supply/demand mismatch) based on clinical information. Little is known about the accuracy of physicians’ clinical judgement in this regard. We aimed to determine the accuracy of physicians’ judgement in the classification of type 1 vs type 2 MI in perioperative and nonoperative settings.

Methods

We performed an online survey using cases from the Optical Coherence Tomographic Imaging of Thrombus (OPTIMUS) Study, which investigated the prevalence of a culprit lesion thrombus based on intracoronary optical coherence tomography (OCT) in patients experiencing MI. Four MI cases, 2 perioperative and 2 nonoperative, were selected randomly, stratified by etiology. Physicians were provided with the patient’s medical history, laboratory parameters, and electrocardiograms. Physicians did not have access to intracoronary OCT results. The primary outcome was the accuracy of physicians' judgement of MI etiology, measured as raw agreement between physicians and intracoronary OCT findings. Fleiss’ kappa and Gwet’s AC1 were calculated to correct for chance.

Results

The response rate was 57% (308 of 536). Respondents were 62% male; median age was 45 years (standard deviation ± 11); 45% had been in practice for > 15 years. Respondents’ overall accuracy for MI etiology was 60% (95% confidence interval [CI] 57%-63%), including 63% (95% CI 60%-68%) for nonoperative cases, and 56% (95% CI 52%-60%) for perioperative cases. Overall chance-corrected agreement was poor (kappa = 0.05), consistent across specialties and clinical scenarios.

Conclusions

Physician accuracy in determining MI etiology based on clinical information is poor. Physicians should consider results from other testing, such as invasive coronary angiography, when determining MI etiology.

Rates and Determinants for the Use of Anticoagulation Treatment before Stroke in Patients with Known Atrial Fibrillation

Introduction and Objective

Even though the introduction of less cumbersome anticoagulant agents has improved, the rates of overall anticoagulant treatment in eligible patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remain to be defined. We aimed to assess the rates of and determinants for the use of anticoagulation treatment before stroke in patients with known AF since the introduction of direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) in clinical practice.

Methods

Consecutive patients admitted to an individual stroke unit, from September 2013 through July 2019, for acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) with known AF before the event were included in the study. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of the use of anticoagulant treatment.

Results

Overall, 155 patients with ischemic stroke/TIA and known AF were included in this study. Among 152 patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score >1, 43 patients were not receiving any treatment, 47 patients were receiving antiplatelet agents, and the remaining 62 patients were on oral anticoagulants. Among 34 patients on DOAC, 13 were receiving a nonlabeled reduced dose and 18 out of 34 patients on vitamin K antagonists had an INR value <2 at the time of admission. Before stroke, only 34 out of 155 patients (21.9%) were adequately treated according to current guidelines. Previous stroke/TIA was the only independent predictor of the use of anticoagulant therapy.

Conclusions

Only 21.9% of the patients hospitalized for a stroke or TIA with known AF before the event were adequately treated according to recent treatment guidelines. It is important to improve medical information about the risk of AF and the efficacy of anticoagulants in stroke prevention.

Prognostic value of respiratory index in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism: The Respiratory Index model study

Background:

Current strategies for prognostic stratification in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism require improvement. The aims of this study in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism were (a) to evaluate the prognostic value of a novel respiratory index (oxygen saturation in air to respiratory rate ratio) and (b) to derive a risk model which includes the respiratory index and evaluate its value in predicting 30-day mortality.

Methods:

Prospective cohorts of haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism were merged to a collaborative database that served to create two subsequent derivation and validation cohorts based on a temporal criterion. The study outcome was 30-day all-cause death.

Results:

Thirty-day all-cause death occurred in 7.5% and in 6.9% of patients in the derivation and validation cohorts (each composed of 319 patients). In the derivation cohort, the respiratory index (odds ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.48–0.90) and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (odds ratio 9.16, 95% confidence interval 1.22–68.89) were predictors of 30-day mortality. The cut-off value of the respiratory index ⩽3.8 was identified to best predict 30-day all-cause death (15.4% vs 5.0%, odds ratio 2.94, 95% confidence interval 1.22–7.11). The respiratory index ⩽3.8 was combined with the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index to create the Respiratory Index model that showed a good discriminatory power in the derivation (c-statistic 0.703, 95% confidence interval 0.60–0.80) and in the validation cohort (c-statistic 0.838, 95% confidence interval 0.768–0.907).

Conclusion:

In hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism, the respiratory index was an independent predictor of 30-day all-cause death. The Respiratory Index model which includes the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index and the respiratory index, provides a good risk stratification of haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

455Prediction of major bleeding in patients receiving DOACs for venous thromboembolism: a prospective cohort study

Background

The accuracy of currently available bleeding scores in patients on treatment with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for venous thromboembolism (VTE) is undefined.

Purpose

In a prospective cohort of patients with VTE treated with DOACs, we evaluated the accuracy of the ATRIA, HAS-BLED, Kuijer, ORBIT, RIETE and VTE-BLEED risk scores in predicting major bleeding (according to ISTH definition).

Methods

The accuracy of different scores to correctly classify subjects into a defined risk category was assessed by the c-statistic.

Results

Overall, 1141 patients were evaluated and 1034 included in the study. The index event was pulmonary embolism in 509 patients (49.2%) and proximal deep vein thrombosis in the remaining patients (50.8%). During the 12-month study period, 26 major bleedings occurred in 25 patients (2.8% patient-year): 14 major bleedings occurred in the first 6 months of treatment and 12 from 6 to 12 months in the 654 patients remained on treatment.

In the 12-month study period, the VTE-BLEED score showed the best predictive value for bleeding complications (c-statistics 0.674, 95% CI 0.593–0.755). The lowest incidence of major bleeding (0.3%) was observed in the low risk category of VTE-BLEED which includes 38% of patients. The highest incidence of major bleeding (7.1%) was observed in the high-risk category of ORBIT which includes 10.9% of patients.

Conclusions

The VTE-BLEED score had the best accuracy in predicting major bleeding during treatment with DOACs for VTE. Whether the VTE-BLEED score can be used for decision making on anticoagulation should be tested in a management study.

P6463Prognostic value of respiratory index (RI) in hemodinamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism: the RI-MODEL study

Background

The accuracy of the 2014 ESC model to predict 30-day mortality in hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is relatively limited.

Purpose

The aims of this study in hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE were i) to evaluate the prognostic value of a novel respiratory index (RI) (oxygen saturation in air to respiratory rate ratio) and ii) to assess the accuracy of the RI-model (simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index [sPESI] + RI), both in predicting 30-day mortality.

Methods

A collaborative database of hemodynamically stable patients with PE was divided into two cohorts (derivation and validation) with equal numbers of patients, based on a temporal criterion. Study outcome was 30-day all-cause-death. Discrimination and calibration were assessed in the derivation and validation cohorts by the c-statistics and by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively.

Results

30-day all-cause-death occurred in 7.5% of the 319 patients in the derivation cohort (mean age 72 years, females 53%). The RI was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality (p=0.004). A RI ≤3.8 was associated with an increased death rate compared to higher RI values (15.4% vs 5.0%, OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.5–8.1). When the RI≤3.8 was integrated in the sPESI, the novel RI-model showed a good discriminatory power (c-statistics 0.703, 95% CI 0.603–0.803).

In the 319 patients of the validation cohort (30-day mortality 6.9%, mean age 71 years, females 55%) the discriminatory power of the RI-model was confirmed (c-statistics 0.838, 95% CI 0.768–0.907).

The RI-model and the 2014 ESC model had a c-statistics of 0.772 (95% CI 0.709–0.834) and of 0.687 (95% CI 0.620–0.753) in the overall population, respectively.

Conclusion

In this study, the RI independently predicted 30-day mortality in hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE. A clinical model including RI showed a better discriminatory value than 2014 ESC model and could be used for risk stratification in these patients.

P5588Early versus delayed oral anticoagulation in patients with acute pulmonary embolism: determinants and outcome

Background

Whether early oral anticoagulant treatment is appropriate for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) regardless of PE severity is undefined. The aim of this study in patients with acute PE at intermediate risk of death were: I) to assess the determinants for the use of early vs delayed vs no oral anticoagulants in patients with acute PE and II) to assess the association between timing of oral anticoagulation and in-hospital mortality.

Methods

Prospective cohorts of patients with acute PE at intermediate risk of death according to the European Society of Cardiology Guidelines 2014 were merged in a collaborative database. The initiation of oral anticoagulation was classified as early (≤3 days) or delayed (between day 3 and 10 from diagnosis). Patients treated with parenteral anticoagulants for longer than 10 days were also included. In-hospital death was the primary study outcome.

Results

Overall, 557 patients were included in the study, 23 received thrombolytic treatment during the hospital stay. The mean duration of parenteral anticoagulation was 7±8 days (5 median), 348 patients were initiated on a direct oral anticoagulant and 79 on a vitamin K antagonist during the hospital stay. Initiation of oral anticoagulants occurred early or delayed in 209 (37%) and 218 (39%) patients, respectively and never occurred during the first 30 days in 130 (23%).

Intermediate-low risk patients more commonly received early and intermediate high delayed oral anticoagulation. Simplified PESI score of zero (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.3–2.7) was independently associated with early oral anticoagulation; among sPESI components absence of cancer (OR 5.9, 95% CI 3.3–10) and heart rate <110 (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.01–3.16) were independent predictors of early initiation of oral anticoagulants. The presence of both right ventricle dysfunction and injury was associated with delayed initiation of oral anticoagulants.

The incidence of death was 5.5%. Death occurred in 32 patients and was not related to the duration of parenteral anticoagulation (OR 1.01 per day, 95% CI 0.98–1.06) nor to right ventricle dysfunction but to sPESI 1 (OR 3.32, 95% CI 1.14–9.66). These results were partially confirmed in the 435 intermediate risk patients without cancer (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.99–1.08 for days of parenteral treatment; OR 4.17, 95% CI 0.95–18 for sPESI 1).

Conclusion

The clinical severity of PE and not the timing of initiation of oral anticoagulants are associated with in-hospital death in patients with intermediate risk PE. Randomized studies are needed to definitively assess the role of heparin lead-in in patients with PE at intermediate risk for death.

P3850Impact of sex and risk factors for venous thromboembolism on the clinical course of first acute venous thromboembolism. Insights from the PREFER in VTE

Introduction

The interaction between sex and specific provoking risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) may influence initial presentation and prognosis.

Purpose

We investigated the impact of sex on the risk of recurrence across subgroups of patients with first VTE classified according to baseline risk factors.

Methods

PREFER in VTE was an international, non-interventional registry (2013–2015) including patients with a first episode of acute symptomatic objectively diagnosed VTE. We studied the risk of recurrence in patients classified according to baseline provoking risk factors for VTE consisted of i) major transient (major surgery/trauma, >5 days in bed), ii) minor transient (pregnancy or puerperium, estroprogestinic therapy, prolonged immobilization, current infection or bone fracture/soft tissue trauma); iii) unprovoked events, iv) active cancer-associated VTE.

Results

A total of 3,455 patients diagnosed with first acute VTE were identified, of whom 1,623 (47%) were women. The percentage of patients with a major transient risk factor was 22.2% among women and 19.7% among men. Minor transient risk factors were present in 21.3% and 12.4%, unprovoked VTE in 51.6% and 61.6%, cancer-associated VTE in 4.9% of women and 6.3% of men, respectively. The proportions of cases treated with Vitamin-K antagonists (VKAs) and direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) were similar between sexes. Median length of treatment of VKAs was 181.5 and 182.0 days and of DOACs was 113.0 and 155.0 days in women and men, respectively. At 12-months of follow-up, VTE recurrence was reported in 74 (4.8%) women and 80 (4.5%) men. Table 1 shows the sex-specific proportion of recurrences by VTE risk factor categories.

Table 1 Major Transient (n=722) Minor transient (n=573) Cancer-associated (n=195) Unprovoked (1965) Women (361) Men (361) OR (95% CI) Women (346) Men (227) OR (95% CI) Women (79) Men (116) OR (95% CI) Women (837) Men (1128) OR (95% CI) One-year follow-up, n (N%)   Recurrent VTE, 21 (6.2) 10 (2.9) 0.46 (0.2; 0.9) 9 (2.7) 12 (5.4) 2.09 (0.9; 5.0) 6 (8.0) 5 (4.5) 0.54 (0.2; 1.9) 38 (4.7) 53 (4.7) 1.03 (0.7; 1.6)   Major bleeding, 6 (1.8) 5 (1.5) 0.83 (0.3; 2.7) 5 (1.5) 1 (0.5) 0.30 (0.1; 2.6) 1 (1.3) 3 (2.7) 2.07 (0.2; 20) 10 (1.2) 15 (1.4) 1.11 (0.6; 2.4)   All-cause death, 37 (10.2) 31 (8.5) 0.82 (0.5; 1.4) 10 (2.9) 14 (6.2) 2.21 (0.9; 5.1) 26 (32.9) 49 (42.2) 1.49 (0.8; 2.7) 33 (3.9) 30 (2.7) 0.66 (0.4; 1.1)

Conclusions

The proportion of patients with recurrent VTE events after first acute symptomatic VTE provoked by transient risk factors was not negligible during the first year of follow-up during in both women and men. These results may have implications on the decision whether to consider extended anticoagulant therapy in selected patients with provoked events.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This study was funded by Daiichi Sankyo.

Data on the use of oral anticoagulants in nonagenarians with atrial fibrillation

The data presented in this article are related to the research article entitled “Patients aged 90 years or older with atrial fibrillation treated with oral anticoagulants: A multicentre observational study” [1]. This article unveils original data of a cohort of 546 patients aged 90 years or older with non-valvular atrial fibrillation treated with oral anticoagulants. Here, we describe the time course of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism and of major bleeding according to the presence of outcome predictors and report the causes of permanent discontinuation and of death. Furthermore, we report data on the incidence of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, of major bleeding, of permanent discontinuation and of all-cause death comparing i) oral anticoagulant naïve users vs. long-term oral anticoagulant users, ii) patients on anticoagulant therapy for less than 2 years (new users) vs. patients on anticoagulant therapy for more than 2 years. The material of this data article provides a better understanding on the use of oral anticoagulants in this fragile population and facilitates further critical analysis. Moreover, it aims at highlighting the importance of increasing knowledge in patients aged 90 years or older. These patients are often excluded from or under-represented in clinical trials and cohort studies.

Causes and Risk Factors of Cerebral Ischemic Events in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Non–Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants for Stroke Prevention

Background and Purpose—

Despite treatment with oral anticoagulants, patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) may experience ischemic cerebrovascular events. The aims of this case-control study in patients with AF were to identify the pathogenesis of and the risk factors for cerebrovascular ischemic events occurring during non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) therapy for stroke prevention.

Methods—

Cases were consecutive patients with AF who had acute cerebrovascular ischemic events during NOAC treatment. Controls were consecutive patients with AF who did not have cerebrovascular events during NOACs treatment.

Results—

Overall, 713 cases (641 ischemic strokes and 72 transient ischemic attacks; median age, 80.0 years; interquartile range, 12; median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale on admission, 6.0; interquartile range, 10) and 700 controls (median age, 72.0 years; interquartile range, 8) were included in the study. Recurrent stroke was classified as cardioembolic in 455 cases (63.9%) according to the A-S-C-O-D (A, atherosclerosis; S, small vessel disease; C, cardiac pathology; O, other causes; D, dissection) classification. On multivariable analysis, off-label low dose of NOACs (odds ratio [OR], 3.18; 95% CI, 1.95–5.85), atrial enlargement (OR, 6.64; 95% CI, 4.63–9.52), hyperlipidemia (OR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.83–3.16), and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score (OR, 1.72 for each point increase; 95% CI, 1.58–1.88) were associated with ischemic events. Among the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc components, age was older and presence of diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, and history of stroke or transient ischemic attack more common in patients who had acute cerebrovascular ischemic events. Paroxysmal AF was inversely associated with ischemic events (OR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.33–0.61).

Conclusions—

In patients with AF treated with NOACs who had a cerebrovascular event, mostly but not exclusively of cardioembolic pathogenesis, off-label low dose, atrial enlargement, hyperlipidemia, and high CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score were associated with increased risk of cerebrovascular events.

Type 2 Valvular Heart Disease Affects Decision Making for Anticoagulation in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: The UMBRIA-Fibrillazione Atriale Prospective Study

Background  Valvular heart disease (VHD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) often coexist.

Aim  We investigated whether type 2 VHD (other than moderate-severe rheumatic mitral stenosis or mechanical heart valve) influences the prescription of anticoagulants in AF.

Methods  Umbria-Fibrillazione Atriale is a prospective multicenter registry in patients with AF. For the purpose of this study, type 2 VHD patients were propensity matched with non-VHD counterparts in a 1:1 ratio. Patients with type 1 VHD (moderate-severe mitral stenosis or mechanical heart valve) were excluded.

Results  We identified 2,212 patients with AF and excluded 46 because data on VHD were unavailable. Type 2 VHD was present in 426 patients (19.7%). Before registry entry visit, 77.1% of type 2 VHD and 66.8% of non-VHD patients were on anticoagulants. At discharge, 90.8 and 85.2% of patients, respectively, were on anticoagulants. After propensity-score matching, 386 patient-pairs were created. In the matched sample, the likelihood of being on anticoagulants before (odds ratio [OR]: 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–2.01, p  = 0.036) and after (1.63, 95% CI: 1.04–2.57, p  = 0.034) the entry visit was higher in type 2 VHD than in non-VHD patients. Patients with type 2 VHD were 70% more likely to receive vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) (OR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.28–2.27, p  < 0.001), and 32% less likely to receive non–vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs; OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 049–0.94, p  = 0.011) than non-VHD patients.

Conclusion  VKAs consistently outperformed NOACs as preferred treatment option in patients with type 2 VHD. This could potentially deny to these patients the well-established benefits of NOACs observed in phase III trials.

Oxygen saturation or respiratory rate to improve risk stratification in hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Essentials In acute pulmonary embolism (PE), risk stratification is essential to drive clinical management. Improving the 2014-ESC risk stratification strategy is crucial in hemodynamically stable patients. Oxygen saturation and respiratory rate improve risk stratification in hemodynamically stable PE. Simple and routine tests improve risk stratification of hemodynamically stable PE. SUMMARY: Background In patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), risk stratification for short-term death is recommended to drive clinical management. A risk stratification strategy combining the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), echocardiography and troponin was proposed by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) in 2014. The identification of hemodynamically stable patients at increased risk of death by this strategy needs improvement. Objective To assess whether further stratification by serial cut-off values of oxygen saturation or respiratory rate improves the accuracy of the ESC risk stratification strategy in hemodynamically stable PE patients. Methods Prospective cohorts of hemodynamically stable patients with PE were merged in a collaborative database. The accuracy of risk stratification for 30-day mortality by the original and a modified 2014 ESC strategy was assessed. Results Overall, 255 patients (27%) were categorized as low, 510 (54%) as intermediate-low and 181 (19%) as intermediate-high risk according to the original 2014 ESC strategy. Thirty-day mortality was 1.2% in low, 10% in intermediate-low and 11% in intermediate-high-risk patients. By adding oxygen saturation in air of < 88%, the discriminatory power of the 2014 ESC model improved for 30-day mortality (c-statistics, 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.77 vs. 0.63, 95% CI, 0.56-0.69) and for PE-related death (c-statistics, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.69-0.81 vs. 0.63, 95% CI 0.56-0.69). Conclusions Simple and routine tests, such as oxygen saturation or respiratory rate, could be added to the 2014 ESC strategy for risk stratification to identify hemodynamically stable PE patients at increased risk of death who are potentially candidates for more aggressive treatment.

Long-term outcome in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation on dabigatran: a prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Most studies on thromboembolic and bleeding risk in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) exposed to non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants stem from interrogation of insurance databases. Areas covered: We studied 742 consecutive patients with NVAF who started treatment with dabigatran in three hospitals in Italy. Average follow-up was 1.80 years. Mean age was 76.2 years. CHA₂DS₂VASc score was 0-1 in 37 (5%), 2 in 97 (13%) and ≥ 3 in 604 (82%) patients. NVAF was permanent in 349 (48%). Overall, 76% of patients remained on treatment over the entire follow-up period. Among 180 patients who discontinued permanently, the most frequent reasons were dyspepsia (33.9%), bleeding (17.8%), and renal worsening (12.1%). About 48% and 74% of permanent discontinuations occurred during the first 6 and 12 months of treatment, respectively. Rates of major events (per 100 patient-years) were 0.75 for stroke, 0.31 for myocardial infarction, 1.50 for all-cause death, and 1.80 for major bleedings. The rate of intracranial bleedings was 0.45 and that of major gastrointestinal bleedings was 0.75. Expert opinion: This prospective cohort study confirms the low incidence of stroke, major bleeding and intracranial bleeding, and a 76% persistence with treatment, in patients with NVAF treated with dabigatran over about 2 years.

Efficacy and safety of anticoagulant agents in patients with venous thromboembolism and cancer: A network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Low-molecular-weight heparins (LMWHs) are the recommended treatment for cancer-associated venous thrombosis (CAT). Recent evidences suggest a role for direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in this clinical setting.

METHODS

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of different anticoagulants we performed a network meta-analysis of RCTs including patients with CAT treated with LMWHs, vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or DOACs. MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched up to February 2018. The primary efficacy and safety outcomes were recurrent VTE and major bleeding, respectively.

RESULTS

Overall, 4720 CAT patients from 12 studies were included: 1430 from 2 studies comparing DOACs with LMWHs, 1212 from 4 studies comparing DOACs with VKAs and 2078 from 6 studies comparing VKAs to LMWHs. Recurrent VTE occurred in 4.9% of patients receiving DOACs, 9.6% receiving VKAs and 8.4% receiving LMWHs. The network meta-analysis showed a not significant increase of recurrent VTE in patients receiving LMWHs compared to those receiving DOACs (RR 1.3, 95% CI 0.9 to 2.0). The risk of recurrent VTE was higher in patients receiving VKAs compared to LMWHs (RR 1.5, 95% CI 1.0 to 2.0) or DOACs (RR 2.0, 95% CI 1.3 to 3.0) with no heterogeneity. Major bleeding occurred in 4.9, 4.1 and 4.3% of patients with CAT treated with DOAC, VKA or LMWH, respectively. No significant differences were observed from the direct, indirect and network meta-analyses.

CONCLUSION

In patients with CAT, DOACs showed a good efficacy and safety profile compared to other anticoagulants and is candidates to be an alternative to LMWHs.