Prognostic impact of hypertension grading

BACKGROUND

Most Hypertension Guidelines grade hypertension according to various cut-off values. We sought to investigate the prognostic impact of Grades 1 (140-159 and/or 90-99 mmHg), 2 (160-179 and/or 100-109 mmHg) and 3 (≥180 and/or ≥110 mmHg).

METHODS

We followed for an average of 10 years a cohort of 3,150 initially untreated hypertensive patients (mean age 50 years, 44 % women) with no previous cardiovascular disease at entry. All patients underwent diagnostic tests including 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring.

RESULTS

At entry, average clinic BP was 156/97 mmHg and average 24-hour BP was 137/87 mmHg. During follow-up, 314 patients experienced a first major cardiovascular event (composite of non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke, cardiovascular death, or hospitalization for heart failure). Event rate was not formally dissimilar between Grade 1 and Grade 2 (0.73 vs 0.95 per 100 patient-years, respectively; p = 0.06). It was higher in Grade 3 (1.93 per 100 patient-years; p < 0.01 vs Grade 1 and Grade 2). After adjustment for a robust set of covariables, the hazard ratio was not dissimilar between Grade 1 and Grade 2 (p = 0.27), and higher in Grade 3 than in Grade 1 (p < 0.01), but the excess risk in Grade 3 was no longer significant (hazard ratio: 1.25, 95 % CI 0.87-1.78; p = 0.22) after adjustment for 24-hour ambulatory systolic BP.

CONCLUSIONS

We were unable to find a significant difference in the relative hazard of cardiovascular events tied to hypertension Grades 1 and 2. Conversely, Grade 3 (clinic BP ≥180/110 mmHg) portends a higher cardiovascular risk, which is associated with higher levels of 24-hour ambulatory BP.

Molecular Targets of Novel Therapeutics for Diabetic Kidney Disease: A New Era of Nephroprotection

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a chronic microvascular complication in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) and the leading cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Although glomerulosclerosis, tubular injury and interstitial fibrosis are typical damages of DKD, the interplay of different processes (metabolic factors, oxidative stress, inflammatory pathway, fibrotic signaling, and hemodynamic mechanisms) appears to drive the onset and progression of DKD. A growing understanding of the pathogenetic mechanisms, and the development of new therapeutics, is opening the way for a new era of nephroprotection based on precision-medicine approaches. This review summarizes the therapeutic options linked to specific molecular mechanisms of DKD, including renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockers, SGLT2 inhibitors, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, endothelin receptor antagonists, and aldosterone synthase inhibitors. In a new era of nephroprotection, these drugs, as pillars of personalized medicine, can improve renal outcomes and enhance the quality of life for individuals with DKD.

[Non-inferiority trials]

Superiority trials are designed to test the hypothesis that a given diagnostic or therapeutic strategy is better than (i.e. "superior to") placebo or an active control. Conversely, non-inferiority trials test the hypothesis that a newer (i.e. alternative) strategy is not "unacceptably worse" than a control (i.e. "traditional", or "older") strategy. Non-inferiority trials are increasingly conducted in clinical medicine more often when a "newer" strategy is supposed to offer a relevant advantage in terms other than clinical efficacy (i.e. better tolerability, less cost, simpler regimen, etc.) versus a "gold standard" traditional strategy. The principle underlying non-inferiority trials is that the above advantage justifies the preferential use of the newer strategy in the clinical practice even if the clinical efficacy of the "new" appears to be a bit worse than that of the "old", albeit not unacceptably worse (i.e. not beyond a pre-specified value). The demonstration of non-inferiority requires that the confidence interval of the point estimate (e.g. the hazard ratio) does not cross a pre-specified limit. The definition of such pre-specified limit, the so called "non-inferiority margin", is a pivotal point when planning non-inferiority trials. It denotes the maximally tolerated worse effect of the alternative strategy, compared with the traditional one, required to conclude that an alternative strategy is non-inferior to the traditional "gold standard". The non-inferiority margin is derived from previous trials evaluating the efficacy of the traditional strategy vs placebo. We reviewed the principles and the practical aspects in the design and conduct of non-inferiority trials.

Managing hyperkalemia in patients with heart failure on guideline-directed medical therapy: challenges and opportunities

Heart failure is a chronic and invalidating syndrome that affects tens of millions of people worldwide with significant socio-economic ramifications for the health care systems. Significant progress in the understanding of the pathophysiology of heart failure has allowed the gradual introduction of several drug classes for the management of such patients. Beta-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors, and sodium-glucose-cotransporter 2 inhibitors are all considered pillars of the guideline-directed medical therapy for heart failure. Despite remarkable improvements in the morbidity and mortality of heart failure, however, many patients still develop clinically significant hyperkalemia during combined treatment with those four pharmacological pillars. The consequence is often a down-titration or discontinuation of one or more crucial drugs, which in turns leads to a considerable increase in the risk of cardiovascular events, dialysis, and all-cause mortality. This paper will explore novel approaches for the management of hyperkalemia in heart failure, including closer monitoring of potassium levels, early review of drugs that might increase the risk of hyperkalemia, and pharmacological treatment of hyperkalemia, with a special emphasis on sodium-glucose-cotransporter 2 inhibitors and potassium-binding agents, including patiromer and sodium zirconium cyclosilicate.

Anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation. A large real-world update

INTRODUCTION

In a large nationwide administrative database including ∼35 % of Italian population, we analyzed the impact of oral anticoagulant treatment (OAT) in patients with a hospital diagnosis of non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Of 170404 OAT-naïve patients (mean age 78.7 years; 49.4 % women), only 61.1 % were prescribed direct oral anticoagulants, DOACs, or vitamin-K antagonists, VKAs; 14.2 % were given aspirin (ASA), and 24.8 % no anti-thrombotic drugs (No Tx). We compared ischemic stroke (IS), IS and systemic embolism (IS/SE), intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), major bleeding (MB), major gastro-intestinal bleeding, all-cause deaths and the composite outcome, across four propensity-score matched treatment cohorts with >15400 patients each. Over 2.9±1.5 years, the incidence of IS and IS/SE was slightly less with VKAs than with DOACs (1.62 and 1.84 vs 1.81 and 1.99 events.100 person-years; HR=0.85, 95%CI=0.76-0.95 and HR=0.87, 95%CI=0.78-0.97). This difference disappeared in a sensitivity analysis which excluded those patients treated with low-dose of apixaban, edoxaban, or rivaroxaban (41.7% of DOACs cohort). Compared with DOACs, VKAs were associated with greater incidence of ICH (1.09 vs 0.81; HR=1.38, 95%CI=1.17-1.62), MB (3.78 vs 3.31; HR=1.14, 95%CI=1.02-1.28), all-cause mortality (9.66 vs 10.10; HR=1.07, 95%CI=1.02-1.11), and composite outcome (13.72 vs 13.32; HR=1.04, 95%CI=1.01-1.08). IS, IS/SE, and mortality were more frequent with ASA or No Tx than with VKAs or DOACs (p<0.001 for all comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

Beyond confirming the association with a better net clinical benefit of DOACs over VKAs, our findings substantiate the large proportion of NVAF patients still inappropriately anticoagulated, thereby reinforcing the need for educational programs.

Prognostic Value and Relative Cutoffs of Triglycerides Predicting Cardiovascular Outcome in a Large Regional-Based Italian Database

BACKGROUND

Despite longstanding epidemiologic data on the association between increased serum triglycerides and cardiovascular events, the exact level at which risk begins to rise is unclear. The Working Group on Uric Acid and Cardiovascular Risk of the Italian Society of Hypertension has conceived a protocol aimed at searching for the prognostic cutoff value of triglycerides in predicting cardiovascular events in a large regional-based Italian cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Among 14 189 subjects aged 18 to 95 years followed-up for 11.2 (5.3-13.2) years, the prognostic cutoff value of triglycerides, able to discriminate combined cardiovascular events, was identified by means of receiver operating characteristic curve. The conventional (150 mg/dL) and the prognostic cutoff values of triglycerides were used as independent predictors in separate multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, serum uric acid, arterial hypertension, diabetes, chronic renal disease, smoking habit, and use of antihypertensive and lipid-lowering drugs. During 139 375 person-years of follow-up, 1601 participants experienced cardiovascular events. Receiver operating characteristic curve showed that 89 mg/dL (95% CI, 75.8-103.3, sensitivity 76.6, specificity 34.1, P<0.0001) was the prognostic cutoff value for cardiovascular events. Both cutoff values of triglycerides, the conventional and the newly identified, were accepted as multivariate predictors in separate Cox analyses, the hazard ratios being 1.211 (95% CI, 1.063-1.378, P=0.004) and 1.150 (95% CI, 1.021-1.295, P=0.02), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower (89 mg/dL) than conventional (150 mg/dL) prognostic cutoff value of triglycerides for cardiovascular events does exist and is associated with increased cardiovascular risk in an Italian cohort.

The lowest well tolerated blood pressure: A personalized target for all?

The optimal blood pressure (BP) target for prevention of cardiovascular complications of hypertension remains uncertain. Most Guidelines suggest different targets depending on age, comorbidities and treatment tolerability, but the underlying evidence is not strong. Results of randomized strategy trials comparing lower (i.e., more intensive) versus higher (i.e., less intensive) BP targets should drive the definition. However, these trials tested different BP targets based on systolic BP, diastolic BP or combined systolic and diastolic BP goals. Overall, the more intensive treatment targets reduced the risk of major cardiovascular complications of hypertension when compared with the less intensive targets, despite a higher incidence of unwanted effects including, but not limited to, hypotension, electrolyte abnormalities and renal dysfunction. Consequently, some Guidelines defined low BP thresholds (i.e., 120/70 mmHg) not to exceed downward because of the expectation that unwanted effects may outweigh the outcome benefits. The present review discusses the evidence underlying the choice of BP targets, which remains an important step in the management of hypertensive patients. We conclude that, on the ground of the heterogeneity of available data in support to fixed BP targets, their definition should be personalized in all patients and based on best trade-off between efficacy and safety, i.e., the lowest well tolerated BP.

Kidney Fibrosis and Oxidative Stress: From Molecular Pathways to New Pharmacological Opportunities

Kidney fibrosis, diffused into the interstitium, vessels, and glomerulus, is the main pathologic feature associated with loss of renal function and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Fibrosis may be triggered in kidney diseases by different genetic and molecular insults. However, several studies have shown that fibrosis can be linked to oxidative stress and mitochondrial dysfunction in CKD. In this review, we will focus on three pathways that link oxidative stress and kidney fibrosis, namely: (i) hyperglycemia and mitochondrial energy imbalance, (ii) the mineralocorticoid signaling pathway, and (iii) the hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) pathway. We selected these pathways because they are targeted by available medications capable of reducing kidney fibrosis, such as sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, non-steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs), and HIF-1alpha-prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors. These drugs have shown a reduction in oxidative stress in the kidney and a reduced collagen deposition across different CKD subtypes. However, there is still a long and winding road to a clear understanding of the anti-fibrotic effects of these compounds in humans, due to the inherent practical and ethical difficulties in obtaining sequential kidney biopsies and the lack of specific fibrosis biomarkers measurable in easily accessible matrices like urine. In this narrative review, we will describe these three pathways, their interconnections, and their link to and activity in oxidative stress and kidney fibrosis.

Use of Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Preliminary Data from the Italian Atrial Fibrillation (ITALY-AF) Registry

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AFIB), the most frequent cardiac arrhythmia, is a major risk factor for stroke, heart failure, and death. Because of the recent advances in AFIB management and the availability of new oral anticoagulants (OACs), there is a need for a systematic and predefined collection of contemporary data regarding its management and treatment.

METHODS

The objective of the ongoing ITALY-AFIB registry is to evaluate the long-term morbidity and mortality in patients with AFIB and to verify the implementation of the current guidelines for stroke prevention in these patients. The registry includes consecutive in- and out-patients with first diagnosed, paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent AFIB. In patients in sinus rhythm at entry, the qualifying episode of AFIB, confirmed by ECG diagnosis, had to have occurred within 1 year before entry. The clinical record form is web-based and accessible by personal keyword.

RESULTS

Enrolment into the registry started in the year 2013. In a current cohort of 2470 patients (mean age 75 ± 11 years, males 56%), the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.7 ± 1.8, and the mean HAS-BLED was 1.6 ± 0.9. There were no significant sex differences in the AFIB subtypes. At the end of the inclusion visit and after receiving knowledge of the web-based electronic estimate of risk for stroke and bleeding, the proportion of patients discharged with OACs was 80%. After exclusion of patients with first diagnosed AFIB (n = 397), the proportion of patients with prescription of OACs rose from 66% before the visit to 82% on discharge (p < 0.0001). Prescription of aspirin or other antiplatelet drugs fell from 18% before the visit to 10% on discharge (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A web-based management of AFIB with automated estimation of risk profiles appears to favorably affect adherence to AFIB guidelines, based on a high proportion of patients treated with OACs and a substantial decline in the use of antiplatelet drugs.

Left ventricular remodeling response to SGLT2 inhibitors in heart failure: an updated meta-analysis of randomized controlled studies

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reported contrasting results about reverse left ventricular remodeling (LVR) after sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) therapy in patients with heart failure (HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a metanalysis of RCTs of SGLT2i administration in HF outpatients published until June 2022 searching four electronic databases. The protocol has been published in PROSPERO. Primary LVR outcome was change in absolute LV end-diastolic (LVEDV) and end-systolic volume (LVESV) from baseline to study endpoint. Secondary outcomes included changes in LVEDV and LVESV indexed to body surface area, LV Mass index (LVMi), LV ejection fraction (LVEF), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP). Mean differences (MDs) with 95% CIs were pooled. A total of 9 RCTs (1385 patients) were analyzed. All of them reported data on LVEF. Six trials reported data on LVESV and LVEDV (n = 951); LVMi was available in 640. SGLT2i treatment significantly reduced LVEDV [MD= -10.59 ml (-17.27; -3.91), P = 0.0019], LVESV [MD= -8.80 ml (-16.91; -0.694), P = 0.0334], and LVMI [MD= -5.34 gr/m2 (-9.76; -0.922), P = 0.0178], while LVEF significantly increased [MD = + 1.98% (0.67; 0.306), P = 0.0031]. By subgroup analysis, the beneficial effects of SGLT2i on LVEF did not differ by imaging method used, time to follow-up re-evaluation, or HF phenotype. Reduction in LV volumes tended to be greater in HF with reduced EF (HFrEF) than in those with preserved EF (HFpEF), while the opposite was observed for LVMi.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with SGLT2i significantly reversed cardiac volumes, improving LV systolic function and LV mass, particularly in HFrEF patients.

The Results of the URRAH (Uric Acid Right for Heart Health) Project: A Focus on Hyperuricemia in Relation to Cardiovascular and Kidney Disease and its Role in Metabolic Dysregulation

The relationship between Serum Uric Acid (UA) and Cardiovascular (CV) diseases has already been extensively evaluated, and it was found to be an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality but also acute coronary syndrome, stroke and heart failure. Similarly, also many papers have been published on the association between UA and kidney function, while less is known on the role of UA in metabolic derangement and, particularly, in metabolic syndrome. Despite the substantial number of publications on the topic, there are still some elements of doubt: (1) the better cut-off to be used to refine CV risk (also called CV cut-off); (2) the needing for a correction of UA values for kidney function; and (3) the better definition of its role in metabolic syndrome: is UA simply a marker, a bystander or a key pathological element of metabolic dysregulation?. The Uric acid Right for heArt Health (URRAH) project was designed by the Working Group on uric acid and CV risk of the Italian Society of Hypertension to answer the first question. After the first papers that individuates specific cut-off for different CV disease, subsequent articles have been published responding to the other relevant questions. This review will summarise most of the results obtained so far from the URRAH research project.

Serum uric acid and left ventricular mass index independently predict cardiovascular mortality: The uric acid right for heart health (URRAH) project

A relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) and cardiovascular (CV) events has been documented in the Uric Acid Right for Heart Health (URRAH) study.

AIM

of this study was to investigate the association between SUA and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) and whether SUA and LVMI or their combination may predict the incidence of CV death.

METHODS

Subjects with echocardiographic measurement of LVMI included in the URRAH study (n=10733) were part of this analysis. LV hypertrophy (LVH) was defined as LVMI > 95 g/m2 in women and 115 g/m2 in men.

RESULTS

A significant association between SUA and LVMI was observed in multiple regression analysis in men: beta 0,095, F 5.47, P< 0.001 and women: beta 0,069, F 4.36, P<0.001. During follow-up 319 CV deaths occurred. Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significantly poorer survival rate in subjects with higher SUA (> 5.6 mg/dl in men and 5.1 mg/dl in women) and LVH (log-rank chi-square 298.105; P<0.0001). At multivariate Cox regression analysis in women LVH alone and the combination of higher SUA and LVH but not hyperuricemia alone, were associated with a higher risk of CV death, while in men hyperuricemia without LVH, LVH without hyperuricemia and their combination were all associated with a higher incidence of CV death.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that SUA is independently associated with LVMI and suggest that the combination of hyperuricemia with LVH is an independent and powerful predictor for CV death both in men and women.

Long COVID [post-acute sequelae of coronavirus disease 2019]: experimental drugs for cardiopulmonary complications

[Figure: see text].

Interpretation of Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring for Risk Stratification in Hypertensive Patients: The 'Ambulatory Does Prediction Valid (ADPV)' Approach

Several outcome-based prospective investigations have provided solid data which support the prognostic value of 24 h ambulatory blood pressure over and beyond cardiovascular traditional risk factors. Average 24 h, daytime, and nighttime blood pressures are the principal components of the ambulatory blood pressure profile that have improved cardiovascular risk stratification beyond traditional risk factors. Furthermore, several additional ambulatory blood pressure measures have been investigated. The correct interpretation in clinical practice of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring needs a standardization of methods. Several algorithms for its clinical use have been proposed. Implementation of the results of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring in the management of individual subjects with the aim of improving risk stratification is challenging. We suggest that clinicians should focus attention on ambulatory blood pressure components which have been proven to act as the main independent predictors of outcome (average 24 h, daytime, and nighttime blood pressure, pulse pressure, dipping status, BP variability).

[Blood pressure goal for hypertension in the elderly]

Blood pressure progressively increases with age and hypertension represents one of the most prevalent and potentially modifiable risk factors in older adults. Because of the high prevalence of multiple comorbidities and frailty, the management of hypertension in the elderly is more challenging than in younger patients. It is now soundly established from randomized clinical trials the benefit from treating hypertension in older hypertensive patients, including those over the age of 80 years. Although the prognostic benefit of active treatment is indisputable, it is still debated the ideal blood pressure target in the geriatric population. A critical review of trials analyzing the benefits of different blood pressure targets in elderly patients supports the notion that targeting a more intensive blood pressure goal may provide benefits which considerably outweigh the risks of unwanted effects (including hypotension, falls, acute kidney injury, and electrolyte disturbances). Furthermore, these prognostic benefits persist even in older patients who are frail. However, the optimal blood pressure control should achieve the maximum preventive benefits without causing harms or complications.In conclusion, age itself is not a barrier for treatment and it should not preclude a more intensive treatment of hypertension. Treatment should be personalized to achieve a more strict control of blood pressure (to prevent serious cardiovascular events), and to avoid over-treating frail older adults.

The spike effect of acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and coronavirus disease 2019 vaccines on blood pressure

Among the various comorbidities potentially worsening the clinical outcome in patients hospitalized for the acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), hypertension is one of the most prevalent. However, the basic mechanisms underlying the development of severe forms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) among hypertensive patients remain undefined and the direct association of hypertension with outcome in COVID-19 is still a field of debate. Experimental and clinical data suggest that SARS-CoV-2 infection promotes a rise in blood pressure (BP) during the acute phase of infection. Acute increase in BP and high in-hospital BP variability may be tied with acute organ damage and a worse outcome in patients hospitalized for COVID-19. In this context, the failure of the counter-regulatory renin-angiotensin-system (RAS) axis is a potentially relevant mechanism involved in the raise in BP. It is well recognized that the efficient binding of the Spike (S) protein to angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors mediates the virus entry into cells. Internalization of ACE2, downregulation and malfunction predominantly due to viral occupation, dysregulates the protective RAS axis with increased generation and activity of angiotensin (Ang) II and reduced formation of Ang1,7. Thus, the imbalance between Ang II and Ang1-7 can directly contribute to excessively rise BP in the acute phase of SARS-CoV-2 infection. A similar mechanism has been postulated to explain the raise in BP following COVID-19 vaccination ("Spike Effect" similar to that observed during the infection of SARS-CoV-2). S proteins produced upon vaccination have the native-like mimicry of SARS-CoV-2 S protein's receptor binding functionality and prefusion structure and free-floating S proteins released by the destroyed cells previously targeted by vaccines may interact with ACE2 of other cells, thereby promoting ACE2 internalization and degradation, and loss of ACE2 activities.

Serum Uric Acid Predicts All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality Independently of Hypertriglyceridemia in Cardiometabolic Patients without Established CV Disease: A Sub-Analysis of the URic acid Right for heArt Health (URRAH) Study

High serum uric acid (SUA) and triglyceride (TG) levels might promote high-cardiovascular risk phenotypes across the cardiometabolic spectrum. However, SUA predictive power in the presence of normal and high TG levels has never been investigated. We included 8124 patients from the URic acid Right for heArt Health (URRAH) study cohort who were followed for over 20 years and had no established cardiovascular disease or uncontrolled metabolic disease. All-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiovascular mortality (CVM) were explored by the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox multivariable regression, adopting recently defined SUA cut-offs for ACM (≥4.7 mg/dL) and CVM (≥5.6 mg/dL). Exploratory analysis across cardiometabolic subgroups and a sensitivity analysis using SUA/serum creatinine were performed as validation. SUA predicted ACM (HR 1.25 [1.12-1.40], p < 0.001) and CVM (1.31 [1.11-1.74], p < 0.001) in the whole study population, and according to TG strata: ACM in normotriglyceridemia (HR 1.26 [1.12-1.43], p < 0.001) and hypertriglyceridemia (1.31 [1.02-1.68], p = 0.033), and CVM in normotriglyceridemia (HR 1.46 [1.23-1.73], p < 0.001) and hypertriglyceridemia (HR 1.31 [0.99-1.64], p = 0.060). Exploratory and sensitivity analyses confirmed our findings, suggesting a substantial role of SUA in normotriglyceridemia and hypertriglyceridemia. In conclusion, we report that SUA can predict ACM and CVM in cardiometabolic patients without established cardiovascular disease, independent of TG levels.

Hyperuricemia increases the risk of cardiovascular mortality associated with very high HdL-cholesterol level

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Whether the association between very high HDL-cholesterol levels and cardiovascular mortality (CVM) is modulated by some facilitating factors is unclear. Aim of the study was to investigate whether the risk of CVM associated with very high HDL-cholesterol is increased in subjects with hyperuricemia.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Multivariable Cox analyses were made in 18,072 participants from the multicentre URRAH study stratified by sex and HDL-cholesterol category. During a median follow-up of 11.4 years there were 1307 cases of CVM. In multivariable Cox models a J-shaped association was found in the whole population, with the highest risk being present in the high HDL-cholesterol group [>80 mg/dL, adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.28; 95%CI, 1.02-1.61; p = 0.031)]. However, a sex-specific analysis revealed that this association was present only in women (HR, 1.34; 95%CI, 1.02-1.77; p = 0.034) but not in men. The risk of CVM related to high HDL-cholesterol was much greater in the women with high uric acid (>0.30 mmol/L, HR 1.61; 95%CI, 1.08-2.39) than in those with low uric acid (HR, 1.17; 95%CI, 0.80-1.72, p for interaction = 0.016). In women older than 70 years with hyperuricemia the risk related to high HDL-cholesterol was 1.83 (95%CI, 1.19-2.80, p < 0.005). Inclusion of BMI in the models weakened the strength of the associations.

CONCLUSION

Our data indicate that very high HDL-cholesterol levels in women are associated with CVM in a J-shaped fashion. The risk of CVM is increased by concomitant hyperuricemia suggesting that a proinflammatory/oxidative state can enhance the detrimental cardiovascular effects associated with high HDL-cholesterol.

Serum uric acid / serum creatinine ratio as a predictor of cardiovascular events. Detection of prognostic cardiovascular cut-off values

OBJECTIVE

In the frame of the Uric Acid Right for Heart Health (URRAH) study, a nationwide multicenter study involving adult participants recruited on a regional community basis from all the territory of Italy under the patronage of the Working Group on Uric Acid and Cardiovascular Risk of the Italian Society of Hypertension, we searched for the cut-off values of the ratio between serum uric acid (SUA) and serum creatinine (sCr) able to predict cardiovascular (CV) events.

METHODS

Among 20 724 participants followed-up for 126 ± 64 months, after detecting cut-off by the receiver operating characteristic curves, we calculated by Cox models adjusted for confounders having CV events as dependent variable the hazard ratio (HR) of SUA/sCr > cut-off. We also verified if the role of cut-off varied with increasing SUA/sCr.

RESULTS

A plausible prognostic cut-off of SUA/sCr was found and was the same in the whole database, in men and in women (>5.35). The HR of SUA/sCr > cut-off was 1.159 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.092-1.131, P < 0.03) in all, 1.161 (95% CI 1.021-1.335, P < 0.02) in men, and 1.444 (95% CI 1.012-1.113, P < 0.03) in women. In increasing quintiles of SUA/sCr the cut-offs were >3.08, >4.87, >5.35, >6.22 and >7.58, respectively. The HRs significantly increased from the 3rd to the 5th quintile (1.21, 95% CI 1.032-1.467, P = 0.018; 1.294, 95% CI 1.101-1.521, P = 0.002; and 1.642, 95% CI 1.405-1.919, P < 0.0001; respectively), that is, over 5.35, whereas the 2nd quintile was not significantly different from the 1st (reference).

CONCLUSION

Having SUA/sCr >5.35 is an independent CV risk indicator both in men and women. The cut-off is dynamic and significantly increases with increasing SUA/sCr.

COVID-19, vaccines and deficiency of ACE2 and other angiotensinases. Closing the loop on the "Spike effect"

The role of a dysregulated renin-angiotensin system (RAS) in the pathogenesis of COVID-19 is well recognized. The imbalance between angiotensin II (Ang II) and Angiotensin_1-7 (Ang_1,7) caused by the interaction between SARS-CoV-2 and the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE₂) receptors exerts a pivotal role on the clinical picture and outcome of COVID-19. ACE₂ receptors are not the exclusive angiotensinases in nature. Other angiotensinases (PRCP, and POP) have the potential to limit the detrimental effects of the interactions between ACE₂ and the Spike proteins. In the cardiovascular disease continuum, ACE₂ activity tends to decrease, and POP/PRCP activity to increase, from the health status to advanced deterioration of the cardiovascular system. The failure of the counter-regulatory RAS axis during the acute phase of COVID-19 is characterized by a decrease of ACE₂ expression coupled to unchanged activity of other angiotensinases, therefore failing to limit the accumulation of Ang II. COVID-19 vaccines increase the endogenous synthesis of SARS-CoV-2 spike proteins. Once synthetized, the free-floating spike proteins circulate in the blood, interact with ACE₂ receptors and resemble the pathological features of SARS-CoV-2 ("Spike effect" of COVID-19 vaccines). It has been noted that an increased catalytic activity of POP/PRCP is typical in elderly individuals with comorbidities or previous cardiovascular events, but not in younger people. Thus, the adverse reactions to COVID-19 vaccination associated with Ang II accumulation are generally more common in younger and healthy subjects. Understanding the relationships between different mechanisms of Ang II cleavage and accumulation offers the opportunity to close the pathophysiological loop between the risk of progression to severe forms of COVID-19 and the potential adverse events of vaccination.

Benefits of more intensive versus less intensive blood pressure control. Updated trial sequential analysis

Outcome data from randomized trials which compared different blood pressure (BP) targets grew impressively after publication of recent trials. We conducted a cumulative updated trial sequential analysis of studies which compared a more versus less intensive BP control strategy, for a total of 60,870 randomized patients. The compared BP targets differed across the trials. Outcome measures were stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. The average duration of follow-up was 3.95 years and achieved systolic BP was 7.69 mmHg lower with the more intensive than the less intensive BP control strategy. The more intensive BP control strategy significantly reduced the risk of stroke (OR 0.79; 95% CI 0.67-0.93), heart failure (OR 0.73; 95% CI 0.55-0.96), myocardial infarction (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.73-0.91) and cardiovascular death (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.68-0.98) as compared to the less intensive strategy. In a trial sequential analysis, the more intensive BP control strategy provided conclusive benefits over the less intensive strategy on the risk of stroke, heart failure and myocardial infarction by definitely crossing the efficacy monitoring boundary. For cardiovascular death, the cumulative Z-curve of the sequential analysis touched the efficacy monitoring boundary, but did not cross it. In conclusion, data accrued from randomized trials conclusively demonstrate the superiority of a more intensive over a less intensive BP control strategy for the prevention of stroke, heart failure and myocardial infarction. Results also suggest a significant benefit, albeit not yet conclusive, of a more intensive over a less intensive strategy for prevention of cardiovascular death.

Blood Pressure Increase following COVID-19 Vaccination: A Systematic Overview and Meta-Analysis

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines proved a strong clinical efficacy against symptomatic or moderate/severe COVID-19 and are considered the most promising approach for curbing the pandemic. However, some questions regarding the safety of COVID-19 vaccines have been recently raised. Among adverse events to vaccines and despite a lack of signal during phase III clinical trials, an increase in blood pressure (BP) after COVID-19 vaccination has been reported as a potential adverse reaction. We systematically analyze this topic and undertook a meta-analysis of available data to estimate the proportion of patients with abnormal BP or raise in BP after vaccination. Six studies entered the final analysis. Overall, studies accrued 357,387 subjects with 13,444 events of abnormal or increased BP. After exclusion of outlier studies, the pooled estimated proportion of abnormal/increased BP after vaccination was 3.20% (95% CI: 1.62-6.21). Proportions of cases of stage III hypertension or hypertensive urgencies and emergencies was 0.6% (95% CI: 0.1% to 5.1%). In conclusion, abnormal BP is not rare after COVID-19 vaccination, but the basic mechanisms of this phenomenon are still unclear and require further research.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on prescription of sacubitril/valsartan in Italy

AIMS

The present study sought to examine the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown measures on the prescription of sacubitril/valsartan in patients with heart failure (HF) in Italy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data from Italian Medicines Agency (AIFA) monitoring registries were analysed. The sacubitril/valsartan monitoring registry is based on 6-month prescriptions. A monthly aggregation on new activations throughout the observational period was computed. From March to December 2020, the initiation of new HF patients on sacubitril/valsartan decreased by nearly 40% with prescriptions dropping to values similar to 2018 when the registry was still operated off-line. A slight increase in prescriptions was observed after the lockdown measures were lifted, but prescriptions remained constantly below the pre-lockdown period.

CONCLUSION

A marked and worrisome decline during the COVID-19 pandemic in the activation of a life-saving treatment such as sacubitril/valsartan was observed. This decline was clearly linked to the lockdown measures instated to counteract the COVID-19 pandemic. Upcoming studies should analyse the occurrence of new cases of HF as well as the severity of patients admitted to hospitals and their mortality compared to pre-pandemic levels.

Serum uric acid levels threshold for mortality in diabetic individuals: The URic acid Right for heArt Health (URRAH) project

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The URRAH (URic acid Right for heArt Health) Study has identified cut-off values of serum uric acid (SUA) predictive of total mortality at 4.7 mg/dl, and cardiovascular (CV) mortality at 5.6 mg/dl. Our aim was to validate these SUA thresholds in people with diabetes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The URRAH subpopulation of people with diabetes was studied. All-cause and CV deaths were evaluated at the end of follow-up. A total of 2570 diabetic subjects were studied. During a median follow-up of 107 months, 744 deaths occurred. In the multivariate Cox regression analyses adjusted for several confounders, subjects with SUA ≥5.6 mg/dl had higher risk of total (HR: 1.23, 95%CI: 1.04-1.47) and CV mortality (HR:1.31, 95%CI:1.03-1.66), than those with SUA <5.6 mg/dl. Increased all-cause mortality risk was shown in participants with SUA ≥4.7 mg/dl vs SUA below 4.7 mg/dl, but not statistically significant after adjustment for all confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

SUA thresholds previously proposed by the URRAH study group are predictive of total and CV mortality also in people with diabetes. The threshold of 5.6 mg/dl can predict both total and CV mortality, and so is candidate to be a clinical cut-off for the definition of hyperuricemia in patients with diabetes.

Tight Blood Pressure Control in Chronic Kidney Disease

Hypertension affects over a billion people worldwide and is the leading cause of cardiovascular disease and premature death worldwide, as well as one of the key determinants of chronic kidney disease worldwide. People with chronic kidney disease and hypertension are at very high risk of renal outcomes, including progression to end-stage renal disease, and, even more importantly, cardiovascular outcomes. Hence, blood pressure control is crucial in reducing the human and socio-economic burden of renal and cardiovascular outcomes in those patients. However, current guidelines from hypertension and renal societies have issued different and sometimes conflicting recommendations, which risk confusing clinicians and potentially contributing to a less effective prevention of renal and cardiovascular outcomes. In this review, we critically appraise existing evidence and key international guidelines, and we finally formulate our own opinion that clinicians should aim for a blood pressure target lower than 130/80 in all patients with chronic kidney disease and hypertension, unless they are frail or with multiple comorbidities. We also advocate for an even more ambitious systolic blood pressure target lower than 120 mmHg in younger patients with a lower burden of comorbidities, to minimise their risk of renal and cardiovascular events during their lifetime.

Chronic Kidney Disease and Left Ventricular Hypertrophy. Potent Modifiers of the Prognostic Impact of Circadian Blood Pressure Changes

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether the prognostic value of blood pressure (BP) changes from day to night is modified by concomitant risk factors and organ damage.

METHODS

We studied 3247 clinically hypertensive patients who underwent off-therapy 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring during their initial diagnostic work-up. Over a mean 9.9-year follow-up, 292 patients developed a first primary outcome event (composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, cardiovascular death, hospitalization for heart failure) and 281 died. The day-night BP changes were analyzed as night-to-day systolic BP ratio and included in semiparametric Cox models.

RESULTS

After allowance for age, sex, diabetes, cigarette smoking, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, serum uric acid and average 24-hour systolic BP, the night-to-day systolic BP ratio maintained an independent association with outcome (hazard ratio, 1.17 [1.01-1.35]; P=0.041). When 2 markers of organ damage, chronic kidney disease and left ventricular hypertrophy, were added to the model, the night-to-day systolic BP ratio failed to maintain an independent association with outcome (hazard ratio, 1.19 [0.97-1.31]). The Akaike Information Criterion and the Schwarz-Bayes Information Criterion showed that, after allowance for other covariables, the night-to-day systolic BP ratio: (1) provided less information when compared with chronic kidney disease and left ventricular hypertrophy and (2) did not improve information provided by chronic kidney disease and left ventricular hypertrophy. Results were comparable on all-cause death as well as using categories of the night-day systolic BP ratio (extreme dippers, dippers, nondippers, reverse dippers).

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic kidney disease and left ventricular hypertrophy are potent modifiers of the prognostic value of the circadian BP changes.

[Hypertension after COVID-19 vaccination]

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) rapidly spread across the world, killing more than 4 million individuals globally, with 240 million individuals being confirmed by laboratory tests. Among different therapeutic strategies to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, vaccines are the most promising approach for curbing the pandemic. They elicit an immune neutralizing response and thus offer protection against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, some questions regarding the safety of COVID-19 vaccines have been raised and based on sparse reports of severe systemic reactions after vaccination. Among these, evidences on the potential effect of vaccination on the acute rise in blood pressure have been recently accrued. Approved vaccines in Europe increase the endogenous synthesis of SARS-CoV-2 Spike proteins from a variety of cells. Once synthetized in the cells reached by the vaccine, the Spike proteins first assemble in the cytoplasm and then migrate to the cell surface to protrude with a native-like conformation. Spike proteins are recognized by the immune system which rapidly develops an immune response. Furthermore, the Spike proteins assembled in the cells which are eventually destroyed by the immune response circulate in the blood as free-floating forms. Free-floating Spike proteins may interact with angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors leading to internalization, degradation, and dysregulation of the catalytic activities of these receptors. The consequent loss of ACE2 receptor activity leads to a rapid drop in the generation of angiotensin1,7 resulting from inactivation of angiotensin II. The imbalance between angiotensin II (overactivity) and of angiotensin1,7 (deficiency) might play a role in the genesis of acute elevation in blood pressure.

Pharmacotherapy for hypertensive urgency and emergency in COVID-19 patients

Introduction

Hypertension is a common chronic disorder in patients hospitalized for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Furthermore, an exaggerated cardiovascular response with persistently raised blood pressure during hospitalization seems independently associated with in-hospital all-cause mortality, intensive care unit admission and heart failure. However, the real burden of elevated blood pressure during the acute phase of COVID-19 remains undefined.

Areas covered

The authors review the available evidence on the pharmacotherapy for the treatment of acute elevations in blood pressure (including hypertensive urgency and emergency) in COVID-19 patients.

Expert opinion

Acute elevations in blood pressure and unstable in-hospital blood pressure may be associated with organ damage and worse outcome in patients with COVID-19. In this setting, hypertensive emergencies require immediate reduction in blood pressure through intravenous treatment according to specific features and goals. Conversely, hypertensive urgencies usually require solely oral treatment. Diuretics, beta-blockers, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, and calcium channel blockers may be of benefit in treating COVID-19 patients with elevated blood pressure values.

Age-stratified and blood-pressure-stratified effects of blood-pressure-lowering pharmacotherapy for the prevention of cardiovascular disease and death: an individual participant-level data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The effects of pharmacological blood-pressure-lowering on cardiovascular outcomes in individuals aged 70 years and older, particularly when blood pressure is not substantially increased, is uncertain. We compared the effects of blood-pressure-lowering treatment on the risk of major cardiovascular events in groups of patients stratified by age and blood pressure at baseline.

METHODS

We did a meta-analysis using individual participant-level data from randomised controlled trials of pharmacological blood-pressure-lowering versus placebo or other classes of blood-pressure-lowering medications, or between more versus less intensive treatment strategies, which had at least 1000 persons-years of follow-up in each treatment group. Participants with previous history of heart failure were excluded. Data were obtained from the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Triallists' Collaboration. We pooled the data and categorised participants into baseline age groups (<55 years, 55-64 years, 65-74 years, 75-84 years, and ≥85 years) and blood pressure categories (in 10 mm Hg increments from <120 mm Hg to ≥170 mm Hg systolic blood pressure and from <70 mm Hg to ≥110 mm Hg diastolic). We used a fixed effects one-stage approach and applied Cox proportional hazard models, stratified by trial, to analyse the data. The primary outcome was defined as either a composite of fatal or non-fatal stroke, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction or ischaemic heart disease, or heart failure causing death or requiring hospital admission.

FINDINGS

We included data from 358 707 participants from 51 randomised clinical trials. The age of participants at randomisation ranged from 21 years to 105 years (median 65 years [IQR 59-75]), with 42 960 (12·0%) participants younger than 55 years, 128 437 (35·8%) aged 55-64 years, 128 506 (35·8%) 65-74 years, 54 016 (15·1%) 75-84 years, and 4788 (1·3%) 85 years and older. The hazard ratios for the risk of major cardiovascular events per 5 mm Hg reduction in systolic blood pressure for each age group were 0·82 (95% CI 0·76-0·88) in individuals younger than 55 years, 0·91 (0·88-0·95) in those aged 55-64 years, 0·91 (0·88-0·95) in those aged 65-74 years, 0·91 (0·87-0·96) in those aged 75-84 years, and 0·99 (0·87-1·12) in those aged 85 years and older (adjusted pinteraction=0·050). Similar patterns of proportional risk reductions were observed for a 3 mm Hg reduction in diastolic blood pressure. Absolute risk reductions for major cardiovascular events varied by age and were larger in older groups (adjusted pinteraction=0·024). We did not find evidence for any clinically meaningful heterogeneity of relative treatment effects across different baseline blood pressure categories in any age group.

INTERPRETATION

Pharmacological blood pressure reduction is effective into old age, with no evidence that relative risk reductions for prevention of major cardiovascular events vary by systolic or diastolic blood pressure levels at randomisation, down to less than 120/70 mm Hg. Pharmacological blood pressure reduction should, therefore, be considered an important treatment option regardless of age, with the removal of age-related blood-pressure thresholds from international guidelines.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, National Institute of Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford Martin School.

Aprocitentan, A Dual Endothelin Receptor Antagonist Under Development for the Treatment of Resistant Hypertension

Aprocitentan (ACT-132577) is an orally active, dual endothelin-1 (ET-1) receptor antagonist that prevents the binding of ET-1 to both ETA/ETB receptors. It is an active metabolite of macitentan (obtained by oxidative depropylation), an orphan drug used for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. Aprocitentan is highly bound to plasma proteins and is eliminated in both urine and feces. It is well tolerated across all doses (up to 600 mg with single dose and 100 mg once a day at multiple doses). Its pharmacokinetic profile shows a half-life of 44 h, fitting a once-daily dosing regimen with plasma ET-1 concentrations (reflecting ET receptor antagonism), significantly increasing with doses ≥ 25 mg. Only minor differences in exposure between healthy females and males, healthy elderly and adult subjects, fed and fasted conditions, and renal function have been observed. Aprocitentan in patients with resistant hypertension is currently under investigation in the PRECISION phase III trial (ClinicalTrials identifier: NCT03541174). Nonetheless, results of pre-clinical data and studies in humans support the potential role of aprocitentan in this clinical setting. The absolute blood pressure (BP) reductions with aprocitentan are in the ranges established as a surrogate for reduction in cardiovascular morbidity in hypertension. Significant changes in BP with aprocitentan are observed within 14 days, and its BP-lowering effects have also been documented with ambulatory BP monitoring. Finally, aprocitentan enhances the BP-lowering effects of other antihypertensive drugs, including renin-angiotensin-system blockers. In conclusion, aprocitentan ameliorates the effects of ET-1 and could potentially reduce BP and provide broader cardiovascular protection in patients with resistant hypertension. Available data support the hypothesis that this new agent could expand our antihypertensive arsenal in resistant hypertension, making aprocitentan an attractive candidate for further large-scale trials.

Worldwide Early Impact of COVID-19 on Dialysis Patients and Staff and Lessons Learned: A DOPPS Roundtable Discussion

As the worst global pandemic of the past century, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has had a disproportionate effect on maintenance dialysis patients and their health care providers. At a virtual roundtable on June 12, 2020, Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) investigators from 15 countries in Asia, Europe, and the Americas described and compared the effects of COVID-19 on dialysis care, with recent updates added. Most striking is the huge difference in risk to dialysis patients and staff across the world. Per-population cases and deaths among dialysis patients vary more than 100-fold across participating countries, mirroring burden in the general population. International data indicate that the case-fatality ratio remains at 10% to 30% among dialysis patients, confirming the gravity of infection, and that cases are much more common among in-center than home dialysis patients. This latter finding merits urgent study because in-center patients often have greater community exposure, and in-center transmission may be uncommon under optimal protocols. Greater telemedicine use is a welcome change here to stay, and our community needs to improve emergency planning and protect dialysis staff from the next pandemic. Finally, the pandemic's challenges have prompted widespread partnering and innovation in kidney care and research that must be sustained after this global health crisis.

[Nephrology: where we stand and where we should go]

In the last year, the Italian National Health Service as a whole and the Nephrology community have been severely challenged by the pandemic. It has been a dramatic stress test for the entire healthcare system, not only in Italy but worldwide. The general organization of our Nephrology units and our models of care were put under extreme pressure, and we had to quickly adopt unprecedented clinical practice recommendations and organizational models to overcome the impasse caused by the pandemic. The time has come to evaluate these new experiences, ask how we could have been better prepared and look for change. In this editorial, we outline a few proposals and suggestions for the future, weighing the information gathered in the 2018 Nephrology Census against the new organizational requirements imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic.

SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: Lights and shadows

Vaccines to prevent acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection elicit an immune neutralizing response. Some concerns have been raised regarding the safety of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, largely based on case-reports of serious thromboembolic events after vaccination. Some mechanisms have been suggested which might explain the adverse cardiovascular reactions to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. Different vaccine platforms are currently available which include live attenuated vaccines, inactivated vaccines, recombinant protein vaccines, vector vaccines, DNA vaccines and RNA vaccines. Vaccines increase the endogenous synthesis of SARS-CoV-2 Spike proteins from a variety of cells. Once synthetized, the Spike proteins assembled in the cytoplasma migrate to the cell surface and protrude with a native-like conformation. These proteins are recognized by the immune system which rapidly develops an immune response. Such response appears to be quite vigorous in the presence of DNA vaccines which encode viral vectors, as well as in subjects who are immunized because of previous exposure to SARS-CoV-2. The resulting pathological features may resemble those of active coronavirus disease. The free-floating Spike proteins synthetized by cells targeted by vaccine and destroyed by the immune response circulate in the blood and systematically interact with angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors expressed by a variety of cells including platelets, thereby promoting ACE2 internalization and degradation. These reactions may ultimately lead to platelet aggregation, thrombosis and inflammation mediated by several mechanisms including platelet ACE2 receptors. Whereas Phase III vaccine trials generally excluded participants with previous immunization, vaccination of huge populations in the real life will inevitably include individuals with preexisting immunity. This might lead to excessively enhanced inflammatory and thrombotic reactions in occasional subjects. Further research is urgently needed in this area.

Pharmacological blood pressure lowering for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease across different levels of blood pressure: an individual participant-level data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The effects of pharmacological blood pressure lowering at normal or high-normal blood pressure ranges in people with or without pre-existing cardiovascular disease remains uncertain. We analysed individual participant data from randomised trials to investigate the effects of blood pressure lowering treatment on the risk of major cardiovascular events by baseline levels of systolic blood pressure.

METHODS

We did a meta-analysis of individual participant-level data from 48 randomised trials of pharmacological blood pressure lowering medications versus placebo or other classes of blood pressure-lowering medications, or between more versus less intensive treatment regimens, which had at least 1000 persons-years of follow-up in each group. Trials exclusively done with participants with heart failure or short-term interventions in participants with acute myocardial infarction or other acute settings were excluded. Data from 51 studies published between 1972 and 2013 were obtained by the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (Oxford University, Oxford, UK). We pooled the data to investigate the stratified effects of blood pressure-lowering treatment in participants with and without prevalent cardiovascular disease (ie, any reports of stroke, myocardial infarction, or ischaemic heart disease before randomisation), overall and across seven systolic blood pressure categories (ranging from <120 to ≥170 mm Hg). The primary outcome was a major cardiovascular event (defined as a composite of fatal and non-fatal stroke, fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction or ischaemic heart disease, or heart failure causing death or requiring admission to hospital), analysed as per intention to treat.

FINDINGS

Data for 344 716 participants from 48 randomised clinical trials were available for this analysis. Pre-randomisation mean systolic/diastolic blood pressures were 146/84 mm Hg in participants with previous cardiovascular disease (n=157 728) and 157/89 mm Hg in participants without previous cardiovascular disease (n=186 988). There was substantial spread in participants' blood pressure at baseline, with 31 239 (19·8%) of participants with previous cardiovascular disease and 14 928 (8·0%) of individuals without previous cardiovascular disease having a systolic blood pressure of less than 130 mm Hg. The relative effects of blood pressure-lowering treatment were proportional to the intensity of systolic blood pressure reduction. After a median 4·15 years' follow-up (Q1-Q3 2·97-4·96), 42 324 participants (12·3%) had at least one major cardiovascular event. In participants without previous cardiovascular disease at baseline, the incidence rate for developing a major cardiovascular event per 1000 person-years was 31·9 (95% CI 31·3-32·5) in the comparator group and 25·9 (25·4-26·4) in the intervention group. In participants with previous cardiovascular disease at baseline, the corresponding rates were 39·7 (95% CI 39·0-40·5) and 36·0 (95% CI 35·3-36·7), in the comparator and intervention groups, respectively. Hazard ratios (HR) associated with a reduction of systolic blood pressure by 5 mm Hg for a major cardiovascular event were 0·91, 95% CI 0·89-0·94 for partipants without previous cardiovascular disease and 0·89, 0·86-0·92, for those with previous cardiovascular disease. In stratified analyses, there was no reliable evidence of heterogeneity of treatment effects on major cardiovascular events by baseline cardiovascular disease status or systolic blood pressure categories.

INTERPRETATION

In this large-scale analysis of randomised trials, a 5 mm Hg reduction of systolic blood pressure reduced the risk of major cardiovascular events by about 10%, irrespective of previous diagnoses of cardiovascular disease, and even at normal or high-normal blood pressure values. These findings suggest that a fixed degree of pharmacological blood pressure lowering is similarly effective for primary and secondary prevention of major cardiovascular disease, even at blood pressure levels currently not considered for treatment. Physicians communicating the indication for blood pressure lowering treatment to their patients should emphasise its importance on reducing cardiovascular risk rather than focusing on blood pressure reduction itself.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, UK National Institute for Health Research, and Oxford Martin School.

Optimal Use of the Non-Inferiority Trial Design

Superiority trials are conducted to test the hypothesis that a treatment or strategy A is superior to (i.e., better than) treatment strategy B in reducing the impact of disease. However, A may be considerably safer, more convenient, or cheaper than B. These features may make A more attractive than B even if the burden of disease is reduced comparably by the two treatments, or even a bit worse by A over B. In this context, non-inferiority trials have become increasingly popular to test the hypothesis that a new treatment is not 'unacceptably worse' than an active comparator by more than a predefined non-inferiority margin. Non-inferiority trials have unique design features and methodology and require a different analysis than traditional superiority trials. The main aim of this overview is to analyze the role of non-inferiority trials in the development of new treatments, involving some scientific, statistical, and practical considerations. We elucidate some aspects of non-inferiority trials that contribute to the validity of the results. The unique design features and methodology of non-inferiority trials are summarized and key findings to consider when evaluating a non-inferiority trial are illustrated.

High heart rate amplifies the risk of cardiovascular mortality associated with elevated uric acid

AIMS

Whether the association between uric acid (UA) and cardiovascular disease is influenced by some facilitating factors is unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the risk of cardiovascular mortality (CVM) associated with elevated UA was modulated by the level of resting heart rate (HR).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Multivariable Cox analyses were made in 19 128 participants from the multicentre Uric acid Right for heArt Health study. During a median follow-up of 11.2 years, there were 1381 cases of CVM. In multivariable Cox models both UA and HR, either considered as continuous or categorical variables were independent predictors of CVM both improving risk discrimination (P ≤ 0.003) and reclassification (P < 0.0001) over a multivariable model. However, the risk of CVM related to high UA (≥5.5 mg/dL, top tertile) was much lower in the subjects with HR

CONCLUSION

This data suggest that the contribution of UA to determining CVM is modulated by the level of HR supporting the hypothesis that activation of the sympathetic nervous system facilitates the action of UA as a cardiovascular risk factor.

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Key Words

• Cardiovascular
• Heart rate
• Longitudinal study
• Mortality
• Sympathetic activity
• Uric acid

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Affiliation(s)

Paolo Palatini Department of Medicine, Studium Patavinum, University of Padova, Via S. Fris 121, 31029 Vittorio Veneto, Italy
Gianfranco Parati S. Luca Hospital, Istituto Auxologico Italiano & University of Milan-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
Agostino Virdis Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
Gianpaolo Reboldi Department of Medical and Surgical Science, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
Stefano Masi Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
Alessandro Mengozzi Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
Edoardo Casiglia Department of Medicine, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
Valerie Tikhonoff Department of Medicine, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
Arrigo F G Cicero Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Andrea Ungar Department of Geriatric and Intensive Care Medicine, Careggi Hospital and University of Florence, Florence, Italy
Giulia Rivasi Department of Geriatric and Intensive Care Medicine, Careggi Hospital and University of Florence, Florence, Italy
Massimo Salvetti Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
Carlo M Barbagallo Biomedical Department of Internal Medicine and Specialistics, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
Michele Bombelli Department of Cardiovascular, Neural and Metabolic Sciences, Clinica Medica, Monza, Italy Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy
Raffaella Dell'Oro Department of Cardiovascular, Neural and Metabolic Sciences, Clinica Medica, Monza, Italy Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy
Berardino Bruno Department of Life, Health and Environmental Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Luciano Lippa Italian Society of General, Medicine (SIMG), Avezzano, L'Aquila, Italy
Lanfranco D'Elia Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, "Federico II" University of Naples Medical School, Naples, Italy
Paolo Verdecchia Hospital S. Maria della Misericordia, Perugia, Italy
Fabio Angeli Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy Department of Medicine and Cardiopulmonary Rehabilitation, Maugeri Care and Research Institutes, IRCCS Tradate, Varese, Italy
Francesca Mallamaci CNR-IFC, Clinical Epidemiology of Renal Diseases and Hypertension, Reggio Cal Unit, Reggio Calabria, Italy
Massimo Cirillo Department of Public Health, "Federico II" University of Naples, Napoli, Italy
Marcello Rattazzi Department of Medicine-DIMED, University of Padova, Medicina, Interna 1°, Ca' Foncello University Hospital, Treviso, Italy
Pietro Cirillo Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation-Nephrology, Dialysis and Transplantation Unit, Aldo Moro University of Bari, Bari, Italy
Loreto Gesualdo Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation-Nephrology, Dialysis and Transplantation Unit, Aldo Moro University of Bari, Bari, Italy
Alberto Mazza Department of Internal Medicine, Hypertension Unit, General Hospital, Rovigo, Italy
Cristina Giannattasio Cardiology IV, 'A. De Gasperis' Department, Niguarda Ca' Granda Hospital, Milano, Italy Health Science Department, Milano-Bicocca University, Milano, Italy
Alessandro Maloberti Cardiology IV, 'A. De Gasperis' Department, Niguarda Ca' Granda Hospital, Milano, Italy Health Science Department, Milano-Bicocca University, Milano, Italy
Massimo Volpe Hypertension Unit, Division of Cardiology, Department of Clinical and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Psychology, University of Rome Sapienza, Sant'Andrea Hospital, Rome, Italy IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli (IS), Italy
Giuliano Tocci Hypertension Unit, Division of Cardiology, Department of Clinical and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Psychology, University of Rome Sapienza, Sant'Andrea Hospital, Rome, Italy IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli (IS), Italy
Georgios Georgiopoulos First Department of Cardiology, 'Hippokration' Hospital, University of Athens, Medical School, Athens, Greece
Guido Iaccarino Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, "Federico II" University of Naples, Napoli, Italy
Pietro Nazzaro Department of Medical Basic Sciences, Neurosciences and Sense Organs, University of Bari Medical School, Bari, Italy
Ferruccio Galletti Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, "Federico II" University of Naples Medical School, Naples, Italy
Claudio Ferri Department of Life, Health and Environmental Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Giovambattista Desideri Department of Life, Health and Environmental Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Francesca Viazzi Department of Internal Medicine, University of Genoa and Policlinico San Martino, Genova, Italy
Roberto Pontremoli Department of Internal Medicine, University of Genoa and Policlinico San Martino, Genova, Italy
Maria Lorenza Muiesan Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
Guido Grassi Department of Cardiovascular, Neural and Metabolic Sciences, Clinica Medica, Monza, Italy Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy
Claudio Borghi Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy

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Lessons Learnt during the COVID-19 Pandemic: For Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease, We Should Prioritize Home-Based Treatment and Telemedicine

BACKGROUNDS

The recent coronavirus disease 2019 (CO-VID-19) pandemic has placed worldwide health systems and hospitals under pressure, and so are the renal care models. This may be a unique opportunity to promote and expand alternative models of health-care delivery in patients undergoing renal replacement therapies.

SUMMARY

Despite the high risk of acquiring communicable diseases when undergoing in-centre treatments, only a small proportion of patients are currently being treated with home therapies. Recent data provided by the Italian Society of Nephrology (SIN), the REIN French Registry and the Wuhan Hemodialysis Quality Control Center clearly show that patients receiving hospital-based treatment have a 3- to 4-fold greater risk of infection, and a subsequent fatality proportion between 21 and 34%. On the other hand, home-based therapy can be managed remotely, there is little or no need for transport to and from the hospital, and it is less expensive. Besides, the digital revolution in health care with the development of virtual care systems can make home dialysis with telehealth a cost-effective solution for both patients and health-care providers. Such a transition would require specific training for physicians and health-care professionals and a functional re-organization of dialysis centres to improve the skills and expertise in caring for patients at home.

CONCLUSION

The need for more widespread home treatment is the main lesson learnt by nephrologists by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

Background and aim

Over 80% (365/454) of the nation’s centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment.

Methods

We investigated fixed factors and contextual effects by multilevel modeling. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to develop decision rules.

Results

Increased positivity among hemodialysis patients was predicted by center location [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20–1.51], positive healthcare workers (IRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02–1.17), test-all policy (IRR 5.94, 95% CI 3.36–10.45), and infected proportion in the general population (IRR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001–1.003) (all p < 0.01). Conversely, lockdown duration exerted a protective effect (IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94–0.98) (p < 0.01). The province-contextual effects accounted for 10% of the total variability. Predictive factors for peritoneal dialysis and transplant cases were center location and infected proportion in the general population. Using recursive partitioning, we identified decision thresholds at general population incidence ≥ 229 per 100,000 and at ≥ 3 positive healthcare workers.

Conclusions

Beyond fixed risk factors, shared with the general population, the increased and heterogeneous proportion of positive patients is related to the center’s testing policy, the number of positive patients and healthcare workers, and to contextual effects at the province level. Nephrology centers may adopt simple decision rules to strengthen containment measures timely.