A machine learning model for predicting the lymph node metastasis of early gastric cancer not meeting the endoscopic curability criteria

BACKGROUND

We developed a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) who did not meet the existing Japanese endoscopic curability criteria and compared its performance with that of the most common clinical risk scoring system, the eCura system.

METHODS

We used data from 4,042 consecutive patients with EGC from 21 institutions who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) and/or surgery between 2010 and 2021. All resected EGCs were histologically confirmed not to satisfy the current Japanese endoscopic curability criteria. Of all patients, 3,506 constituted the training cohort to develop the neural network-based ML model, and 536 constituted the validation cohort. The performance of our ML model, as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), was compared with that of the eCura system in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

LNM rates were 14% (503/3,506) and 7% (39/536) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The ML model identified patients with LNM with an AUC of 0.83 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.89) in the validation cohort, while the eCura system identified patients with LNM with an AUC of 0.77 (95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.85) (P = 0.006, DeLong's test).

CONCLUSIONS

Our ML model performed better than the eCura system for predicting LNM risk in patients with EGC who did not meet the existing Japanese endoscopic curability criteria. We developed a neural network-based machine learning model that predicts the risk of lymph node metastasis in patients with early gastric cancer who did not meet the endoscopic curability criteria.

Utility and advantage of the unroofing technique for gastrointestinal subepithelial tumors: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

Background and aim

Various techniques for direct biopsy from gastrointestinal subepithelial tumors (SETs) have been reported, although no standard method has been established. A common feature of these techniques is the removal of overlaying mucosa to enable direct biopsies from the SETs. These methods have been synthesized under the collective term "unroofing technique". We conducted a multicenter retrospective study to assess its efficacy and identify potential complications.

Methods

This study was conducted in 10 hospitals and involved all eligible patients who underwent unroofing techniques to obtain biopsies for gastrointestinal SETs between April 2015 and March 2021. The primary endpoint was the diagnostic accuracy of the unroofing technique, and the secondary endpoints were the incidence of adverse events and the factors contributing to the accurate diagnosis.

Results

The study included 61 patients with 61 gastrointestinal SETs. The median tumor size was 20 mm, and the median procedure time was 38 min, with 82% successful tumor exposure. The rate of pathological diagnosis was 72.1%. In 44 patients with a pathological diagnosis, two showed discrepancies with the postresection pathological diagnosis. No factors, including facility experience, organ, tumor size, or tumor exposure, significantly affected the diagnostic accuracy. There was one case of delayed bleeding and two cases of perforation.

Conclusion

The diagnostic yield of the unroofing technique was acceptable. The unroofing technique was beneficial regardless of institutional experience, organ, tumor size, or actual tumor exposure.

Assessment of effectiveness and safety of thrombolytic therapy to pulmonary emboli by endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial needle injection

Objective

Endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial needle injection (EBUS-TBNI) may effectively treat acute pulmonary embolisms (PEs). Here, we assessed the effectiveness of clot dissolution and safety of tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) injection using EBUS-TBNI in a 1-week survival study of a porcine PE model.

Methods

Six pigs with bilateral PEs were used: 3 for t-PA injection using EBUS-TBNI (TBNI group) and 3 for systemic administration of t-PA (systemic group). Once bilateral PEs were created, each 25 mg of t-PA injection using EBUS-TBNI for bilateral PEs (a total of 50 mg t-PA) and 100 mg of t-PA systemic administration was performed on day 1. Hemodynamic parameters, blood tests, and contrast-enhanced computed tomography scans were carried out at several time points. On day 7, pigs were humanely killed to evaluate the residual clot volume in the pulmonary arteries.

Results

The average of percent change of residual clot volumes was significantly lower in the TBNI group than in the systemic group (%: systemic group 36.6 ± 22.6 vs TBNI group 9.6 ± 6.1, P < .01) on day 3. Considering the elapsed time, the average decrease of clot volume per hour at pre-t-PA to post t-PA was significantly greater in the TBNI group than in the systemic group (mm3/hour: systemic 68.1 ± 68.1 vs TBNI 256.8 ± 148.1, P < .05). No hemorrhage was observed intracranially, intrathoracically, or intraperitoneally on any contrast-enhanced computed tomography images.

Conclusions

This study revealed that t-PA injection using EBUS-TBNI is an effective and safe way to dissolve clots.

Femoral prosthesis alignment of augmented reality-assisted versus accelerometer-based navigation in total knee arthroplasty: A noninferiority analysis

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to examine the comparative precision of the augmented reality (AR)-assisted navigation system and the accelerometer-based navigation system in total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed noninferiority analysis in a retrospective cohort. The coronal alignment of femoral prosthesis was compared between 109 TKAs performed using the AR-assisted navigation system and 118 TKAs performed using the accelerometer-based navigation system. All femoral prostheses were planned to be positioned perpendicular to the mechanical axis of the femur. The primary outcome was the success rate of coronal alignment of the femoral prosthesis defined as alignment error relative to neutral alignment <3°. We calculated the noninferiority margin as 7%-points using the 95%-95 % method and also confirmed the validity of the noninferiority margin using the fixed margin method. Noninferiority would be shown if the lower boundary of the 95 % confidence interval (CI) for the between-group difference in percentage of the success rate was not less than 0.93 (i.e., 1.00 - 0.07).

RESULTS

Treatment success was achieved in 104 of 109 patients (95.4 %) in the AR-assisted navigation group and 110 of 118 (93.2 %) in the accelerometer-based navigation group. The risk ratio of success between the AR-assisted navigation group versus accelerometer-based navigation group was 1.02 (95 % CI, 0.96 to 1.09): the CIs did not include the noninferiority margin of 0.93.

CONCLUSION

The AR-assisted navigation system was noninferior to the accelerometer-based navigation system in terms of coronal alignment of the femoral prosthesis in TKA.

The Incidence of Severe Radiation-Induced Lymphopenia during Chemoradiotherapy for Stage Ⅲ Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Comparative Study of Proton Versus Photon-Based Radiotherapy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

To investigate the incidence of severe radiation-induced lymphopenia (SRL) and the survival in patients with stage Ⅲ non-small cell lung cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy with passive scattering proton beam (PSPT) or photon-based radiotherapy (XRT) including 3D-CRT and IMRT.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 355 patients who received definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy with PSPT (n = 38) or XRT (n = 317) at our institution between January 2010 and December 2020. SRL during concurrent chemoradiotherapy was defined as absolute lymphocyte counts (ALCs) of <500 cells/mm3. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to adjust for the patient characteristics between the PSPT and XRT groups. Propensity scores were calculated using age, sex, PS (0-1 vs. 2), primary tumor location (upper/middle vs. lower lobe), pathology (Adeno vs. Others), PTV volume, ALCs at pretreatment, year of treatment (before vs. after July 2018, when durvalumab approved in Japan), and platinum-based chemotherapy regimen (CDDP based vs. CBDCA based). After PSM, the incidence of SRL and the overall survival (OS) were analyzed.

RESULTS

The GTV and PTV volumes were significantly lower in the PSPT group than in the XRT group (median, 57 vs. 103 mm3; p < 0.05, 322 vs. 399 mm3; p < 0.05, respectively). ALCs at pretreatment were significantly lower in the PSPT group than in the XRT group (median, 1531 vs. 1718 cells/mm3; p < 0.05). SRL was observed in 275 patients (87%) in the XRT group and 27 patients (71%) in the PSPT group (p < 0.05). After PSM, PSPT significantly reduced the incidence of SRL compared to XRT (68.6 % vs. 88.6 %, p < 0.05), and the patients without SRL may have better 3-year OS than those with SRL (71.1 % vs. 55.3 %; p = 0.062).

CONCLUSION

Compared with XRT, PSPT significantly reduced the incidence of SRL, and the patients without SRL had a good prognosis.

Incidence and Prognostic Factors of Painful Vertebral Compression Fracture Caused by Spine Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Most studies of vertebral compression fracture (VCF) caused by stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) do not mention the symptoms. We aimed herein to determine the rate and prognostic factors of painful VCF caused by SBRT for spinal metastasis.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Between August 2013 and December 2021, spinal segments with VCF were retrospectively identified in patients treated with spine SBRT. Iatrogenic VCFs, excluding pathological fractures, were classified into a modified group and graded using CTCAE v5.0 as grade 1 (painless), grade 2 (mildly painful), or grade 3 (intensely painful, requiring hospitalization or surgery). The primary endpoint was the rate of painful VCF (grades 2-3). Moreover, various factors specific to the patient, tumor, and treatment were evaluated to determine their value in predicting the rate of painful VCF.

RESULTS

In total, 934 spinal segments in 387 patients were analyzed. The median follow-up after SBRT was 14 (range: 0-107) months. Sixty iatrogenic fractures (6.4%) comprising 31 de novo fractures and 29 existing VCF progressions were identified. The patients' median age was 68 (range: 38-79) years, and 31 (52%) spinal segments had a history of radiotherapy. Grade 1, 2, and 3 VCFs were confirmed in 41, four, and 15 segments, respectively. The rate of grade 3 VCF was 2.0% (19 / 934) of the spinal segments treated with SBRT. Eight (0.9%) VCFs required surgery for stabilization or decompression of spinal canal stenosis. None of the 17 VCFs treated with posterior decompression and fixation before SBRT developed into a painful VCF. On univariate analysis, the painful VCF rate was significantly higher in patients with no posterolateral tumor involvement than in those with bilateral or unilateral involvement (56.3% vs 22.7%; p = 0.026). Other spinal instability neoplastic score (SINS) components (Location, Pain, Bone lesion, Alignment, Vertebral body collapse), SINS (Stable/ Potentially unstable vs Unstable), age, number of spinal levels, radiation history, existing VCF, and interval between SBRT and VCF showed no significant correlation with painful VCF.

CONCLUSION

Although VCF is a known adverse effect of spine SBRT, 68% of the cases examined were painless (grade 1). Intensely painful VCFs (grade 3) were confirmed in only 1.6% of all the treated spinal segments. The absence of posterolateral tumor involvement was significantly associated with painful VCF.

Dosimetric Evaluation of Targets and Organs at Risk in Dose Escalation Study for Total Marrow and Lymphoid Irradiation

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Total marrow and lymphoid irradiation (TMLI) delivers radiation dose to the bone marrow and lymph nodal region while reducing the dose to non-target organs. We conducted a dose-escalation study of TMLI to improve treatment outcomes while reducing OAR doses using intensity-modulated radiation therapy. However, this dose escalation strategy may cause increasing risk of recurrence and adverse events because of dose uniformity compromises of the target. We hypothesized that the homogeneity index (HI) could become worse with increased target's dose while maintaining reduced OAR doses for the nine patients enrolled in the TMLI phase Ⅰ clinical trial.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Nine patients treated with TMLI using a treatment delivery system from September 2019 to August 2021 were included. The prescribed doses were 14 Gy/6 fr, 16 Gy/6 fr, and 18 Gy/6 fr twice daily for 3 days, with three patients allocated each prescription. Bone marrow, lymph nodal region, spleen, testis, brain, and liver were designated as targets. The bone marrow was divided into eight parts (see Table); an individual PTV margin was added to each structure. We intended to deliver the D80% prescription dose for PTV. For the brain and liver, the prescribed dose was 12 Gy in consideration of function preservation. Lenses, oral cavity, parotid glands, lungs, heart, esophagus, stomach, kidneys, intestines, and breasts were defined as OAR. Targets were evaluated with HI that was calculated using the formula HI = (D2%-D98%)/D50%, based on ICRU report 83. For OARs, Dmax, D2%, D10%, and mean dose constraint were evaluated.

RESULTS

The table lists HI for the PTV_ALL and each target. The HI of PTV_ALL rose with increasing prescription dose and was highest at 18 Gy. The highest HI was 0.632 for PTV_Rib at 18 Gy, and the lowest HI was 0.045 for PTV_testis at 14 Gy. OAR Dose constraints were achieved in all patients. The average OAR doses in all cases for lenses, oral cavity, parotid glands, lungs, heart, esophagus, intestines, kidneys, and breast were 4.7±0.80, 4.4±0.51, 6.7±0.48, 7.6±0.22, 7.8±0.19, 6.7±0.18, 7.4±1.12, 6.9±0.96, and 14.7 Gy, respectively. The Dmax of the lenes, D2% of the esophagus, and D10% of the stomach were 7.2 ± 1.09, 11.5 ± 0.47, and 10.9 ± 0.98 Gy, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In the TMLI phase I clinical trial, we evaluated the dose uniformity to the targets and the OAR dose constraints. Although the HI for PTV_ALL worsened with increasing prescription dose, compliance with OAR dose constraints was achieved in all patients.

Concurrent Nivolumab-Induced Gastritis and Cholangitis Accompanied by Biliary Tract Hemorrhage in a Patient With Stage IV Lung Adenocarcinoma

Immune checkpoint inhibitors, including nivolumab, can result in immune-related adverse events (irAEs) that may affect multiple organ systems. Among irAEs, both gastritis and cholangitis are uncommon. We present the case of a 65-year-old man who received nivolumab for lung adenocarcinoma presented with epigastric pain. He was diagnosed with immune-related gastritis and cholangitis based on imaging and pathological findings. We administered prednisolone (1 mg/kg/day), which improved the patient's gastritis and relieved his pain. However, he experienced recurrent epigastric pain during corticosteroid tapering, and magnetic resonance imaging showed biliary tract hemorrhage. After watchful waiting, the hemorrhage improved without additional immunosuppressants. Immune-related gastritis, immune-related cholangitis, and their coexistence should be considered in patients who develop epigastric pain during immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. When patients with concurrent immune-related gastritis and cholangitis complain of recurrent epigastric pain, it is important to assess which of these two irAEs is worsening because the optimal immunosuppressants differ between the two.

AQDnet: Deep Neural Network for Protein-Ligand Docking Simulation

We have developed an innovative system, AI QM Docking Net (AQDnet), which utilizes the three-dimensional structure of protein-ligand complexes to predict binding affinity. This system is novel in two respects: first, it significantly expands the training dataset by generating thousands of diverse ligand configurations for each protein-ligand complex and subsequently determining the binding energy of each configuration through quantum computation. Second, we have devised a method that incorporates the atom-centered symmetry function (ACSF), highly effective in describing molecular energies, for the prediction of protein-ligand interactions. These advancements have enabled us to effectively train a neural network to learn the protein-ligand quantum energy landscape (P-L QEL). Consequently, we have achieved a 92.6% top 1 success rate in the CASF-2016 docking power, placing first among all models assessed in the CASF-2016, thus demonstrating the exceptional docking performance of our model.

Antithrombotic monotherapy for stable coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation patients with and without prior coronary artery revascularization: Insights from the AFIRE trial

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation under a contract with Bayer Yakuhin

Background

The AFIRE (Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Events With Rivaroxaban in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease) trial demonstrated that rivaroxaban monotherapy was noninferior to combination therapy with rivaroxaban plus a single antiplatelet therapy regarding efficacy and superior for safety endpoints in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease including patients not requiring revascularization [prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or bypass grafting (CABG)].

Purpose

The aim of this post-hoc subgroup analysis was to investigate the efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban monotherapy compared to combination therapy in patients with and without prior revascularization.

Methods

Among 2,215 patients included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis in the AFIRE trial, 1445 patients (65.2%) had undergone previous PCI alone, and 252 (11.4%) had undergone previous CABG. The remaining 518 patients (23.4%) was categorized as a group without prior revascularization and then compared with a group with prior revascularization (PCI or CABG). The primary efficacy end point was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascularization, or death from any cause. The primary safety end point was major bleeding, according to the criteria of the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis.

Results

In 1697 patients with prior revascularization, efficacy and safety endpoints of rivaroxaban monotherapy were superior to combination therapy (efficacy: HR 0.62, 95%CI 0.45-0.85, p=0.003; safety: HR 0.62, 95%CI 0.39-0.98, p=0.040), whereas there were no significant differences in efficacy and safety endpoints among 518 patients without prior revascularization (efficacy: HR 1.19, 95%CI 0.67-2.11, p=0.553; safety: HR 0.47, 95%CI 0.18-1.26, p=0.125). There was a borderline interaction of efficacy endpoint (P for interaction=0.055) by randomized treatment assignment (Figure 1 and Figure 2). Compared with combination therapy, the safety benefit of rivaroxaban monotherapy on any bleeding was significant in patients without prior revascularization (HR 0.59, 95%CI 0.38-0.93, p=0.022).

Conclusions

In patients with prior PCI or CABG, rivaroxaban monotherapy resulted in more favorable safety and efficacy outcomes than combination therapy. There was a borderline interaction for primary efficacy outcome between prior revascularization and anti-thrombotic therapy.

Temporal Profiles of Symptom Scores After Palliative Radiotherapy for Bleeding Gastric Cancer With Adjustment for the Palliative Prognostic Index: An Exploratory Analysis of a Multicentre Prospective Observational Study (JROSG 17-3)

AIMS

Although palliative radiotherapy for gastric cancer may improve some symptoms, it may also have a negative impact due to its toxicity. We investigated whether symptoms improved after radiotherapy with adjustment for the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI) considering that patients with limited survival tend to experience deterioration of symptoms.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was an exploratory analysis of the Japanese Radiation Oncology Study Group study (JROSG 17-3). We assessed six symptom scores (nausea, anorexia, fatigue, shortness of breath, pain at the irradiated area and distress) at registration and 2, 4 and 8 weeks thereafter. We tested whether symptoms linearly improved after adjusting for the baseline PPI. Shared parameter models were used to adjust for potential bias in missing data.

RESULTS

The present study analysed all 55 patients enrolled in JROSG 17-3. With time from registration as the only explanatory variable in the model, a significant linear decrease was observed in shortness of breath, pain and distress (slopes, -0.26, -0.22 and -0.19, respectively). Given that the interaction terms (i.e. PPI × time) were not significantly associated with symptom scores in any of the six symptoms, only PPI was included as the main effect in the final multivariable models. After adjusting for the PPI, shortness of breath, pain and distress significantly improved (slope, -0.25, -0.19 and -0.17; P < 0.001, 0.002 and 0.047, respectively). An improvement in fatigue and distress was observed only in patients treated with a biologically effective dose ≤14.4 Gy.

CONCLUSION

Shortness of breath, pain and distress improved after radiotherapy. Moreover, a higher PPI was significantly associated with higher symptom scores at all time points, including baseline. In contrast, PPI did not seem to influence the improvement of these symptoms. Regardless of the expected survival, patients receiving radiotherapy for gastric cancer can expect an improvement in shortness of breath, pain and distress over 8 weeks. Multiple-fraction radiotherapy might hamper the improvement in fatigue and distress by its toxicity or treatment burden.

Association of beta blocker use with new-onset heart failure and mortality in atrial fibrillation without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure (HF) is one of the major complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). We previously reported that not a few AF patients without pre-existing HF (defined as prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association functional class≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)&lt;40%) subsequently developed new-onset HF. Beta blockers are the established therapy for HF, but it remains unclear whether beta blockers prevent new-onset HF and improve outcomes in AF patients without preexisting HF.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF registry, 778 of 3,262 patients without pre-existing HF were receiving beta blockers at baseline. We investigated the incidence of new-onset HF defined as cardiac death or HF hospitalization, and all-cause death in a propensity-matched cohort (N=1,198; mean age, 71 years; 39% female; mean LVEF, 66%). Additionally, annual follow-up prescription data before the onset of events were collected in 294 of patients with beta blockers and 395 of those without beta blockers. We also investigated the association of starting or stopping beta blockers with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death.

Results

During the median follow-up of 5.8 years, new-onset HF and all-cause death occurred in 77 (12.9%) and 118 (19.7%) of patients with beta blockers, and 70 (11.7%) and 131 (21.9%) of those without beta blockers, respectively. Incidence of new-onset HF was comparable between patients with and without beta blockers (Figure 1), and incidence of all-cause death was also comparable between the two groups (Figure 2). In exploratory subgroup analyses, there was no interaction in the association of beta blockers with the incidence of events, except for pulse rate for new-onset HF and left atrial size for all-cause death. Hazard ratio of beta blockers for new-onset HF tended to be lower in patients with higher pulse rates (&gt;84 bpm) (Figure 1), and that for all-cause death was lower in those without left atrial enlargement (Figure 2). Of patients with follow-up prescription data, beta blockers were stopped in 55 (18.7%) and started in 97 (24.6%) patients, respectively. Patients with starting beta blockers had higher pulse rate (78.5±17.3 vs 74.9±13.9 bpm; p=0.03) and more symptomatic AF (58.8% vs 46.0%; p=0.03) compared to those without starting beta blockers, while there was no difference in baseline characteristics between those with and without stopping beta blockers. During the follow-up, the incidences of new-onset HF and all-cause death were also comparable between the patients with and without stopping beta blockers and those with and without starting beta blockers.

Conclusion

Beta blockers were not associated with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death in AF patients without pre-existing HF. However, the exploratory subgroup analyses suggested the existence of subjects who may benefit from beta blockers.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with peripheral artery disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) represents the common arrhythmia and increases the risk of thromboembolism. Risk assessment for thromboembolism is important for the management of AF patients. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is identified as a risk factor for thromboembolism in CHA2DS2-VASc score. However, there are little data on clinical characteristics and cardiovascular events of AF patients with PAD.

Purpose

In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of AF patients with PAD.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011 and follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,464 patients from March 2011 to August 2021. Median follow-up period was 1,848 days.

Results

Of 4,464 patients, 183 patients had PAD (4.1%; PAD group). The mean age was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (PAD group vs. no-PAD group: 76.7 vs. 73.5; p&lt;0.01). Patients with PAD had more co-morbidities such as stroke, systemic embolism, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia coronary artery disease and chronic kidney disease than those without PAD. Thus, CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (2.81 vs. 2.00; p&lt;0.01, 5.17 vs. 3.30; p&lt;0.01, 2.42 vs. 1.71; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The proportion of patients with oral anticoagulant was similar between the two groups and the proportion of patients with antiplatelet drug was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (59.0% vs. 55.6%; p=0.36, 62.9% vs. 24.7%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The incidences of all-cause death, cardiac death and myocardial infarction were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (11.4 vs. 4.6 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.7 vs. 0.8 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.2 vs. 0.2 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01). However, the incidence of stroke or systemic embolism was similar between the two groups (2.9 vs. 2.2 per 100 person-years, log-rank p=0.19). Finally, the incidence of composite of cardiac death, stroke, systemic embolism or myocardial infarction was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (6.0 vs. 3.0 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01).

Conclusion

AF patients with PAD had significantly higher risk for death and cardiac events, whereas the incidence of thromboembolism was similar between AF patients with and without PAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Association of cardiothoracic ratio with heart failure hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Chest radiography is the most common diagnostic imaging test in clinical medicine, and the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is a readily available and non-invasive tool with which to assess the volume status and cardiomegaly. However, it remains unknown whether CTR on chest radiography is associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, 3,727 patients with available data of CTR were examined. We divided the patients into two groups according to their CTR at baseline; Higher group (CTR ≥50.0%, n=2,696) and Lower group (CTR &lt;50.0%, n=1,031), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between the two groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in Higher group, and the patients in Higher group were older. The patients in Higher group had higher prevalence of HF, hypertension and chronic kidney disease. During the median follow-up of 3,033 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization were higher in Higher group (Higher group: 2.5% per person-year vs. Lower group: 1.1%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that higher CTR (≥50.0%) was an independent determinant of the incidence of HF hospitalization. Furthermore, when we divided the patients into four groups based on the quartile of CTR; Q1 (CTR&lt;49.0%), Q2 (49.0≤CTR&lt;53.8%), Q3 (53.8≤CTR&lt;59.0%), Q4 (59.0%≤CTR), the incidence of HF hospitalization was more frequent in patients with higher CTR, regardless of the presence or absence of prior hospitalization for HF (Figure).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients, patients with higher CTR had significantly higher incidence of HF hospitalization, regardless of the prevalence of prior hospitalization for HF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Effect of rivaroxaban monotherapy vs. combination with anti-platelet therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease across different body mass index categories

Background

The AFIRE (Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Events With Rivaroxaban in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease) trial showed both noninferiority for efficacy and superiority for safety endpoints of rivaroxaban monotherapy compared to rivaroxaban plus antiplatelet therapy (combination therapy) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (CAD). However, no accumulating evidence regarding efficacy and safety of these fixed-dose direct oral anticoagulant therapy was available in underweight and obese patients.

Purpose

The aim of this post-hoc analysis of the AFIRE trial was to evaluate outcomes of rivaroxaban monotherapy (vs. combination therapy) in patients with AF and stable CAD across body mass index (BMI) categories.

Methods

Patients were categorized into groups 1 (underweight: BMI of &lt;18.5 kg/m2), 2 (normal: BMI of 18.5 to &lt;25 kg/m2), 3 (overweight: BMI of 25 to &lt;30 kg/m2), and 4 (obesity: BMI of ≥30 kg/m2). Efficacy (a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascularization, stroke, or systemic embolism) and safety (major bleeding defined according to International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria) were compared between rivaroxaban monotherapy and combination therapy across BMI categories.

Results

We analyzed 2,054 patients with a median age of 75.0 (interquartile range [IQR], 69 to 80)) years old and CHA2DS2-VASc of 4 (IQR, 3 to 5). Group 1 through 4 included 72 (3.5%), 1,158 (56.4%), 680 (33.1%), 144 (7.0%) patients and 62.3%, 52.3%, 36.2%, and 30.3% were received reduced dose of rivaroxaban, respectively. Although the sample sizes for group 1 and 4 were limited, monotherapy was superior to combination therapy for efficacy in group 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.95) and safety in group 3 (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.62), whereas a significant difference in the endpoints was not observed in the other BMI categories. Impact of monotherapy on endpoints did not have a significant interaction in BMI.

Conclusions

Rivaroxaban monotherapy had similar effect on prognosis across all BMI categories in patients with AF and stable CAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation based on a contract with Bayer Yakuhin, Ltd

The association of left ventricular ejection fraction with incident heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of incident heart failure (HF). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an important prognostic parameter in patients with HF. However, little is known regarding the association of LVEF with incident HF in patients with AF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between LVEF at enrollment and incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period in patients with AF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, we investigated 3,544 patients with the data of LVEF at enrollment. We divided the patients into 4 groups stratified by LVEF (reduced LVEF [LVEF &lt;40%], mildly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 40–49%], slightly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 50–59%], and normal LVEF [LVEF ≥60%]), and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups.

Results

Of 3,544 patients, the mean age was 73.6±10.7 years, 1,420 (40%) were female, 1,781 (50%) were paroxysmal AF, and 1,085 (30%) had pre-existing HF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 2.1±1.3 and 3.4±1.7, respectively. The mean LVEF at enrollment was 63±12% (reduced LVEF: 197 [6%], mildly reduced LVEF: 250 [7%], slightly reduced LVEF: 532 [15%] and normal LVEF: 2,565 [72%], respectively). Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF, and had a higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 605 patients were hospitalized for HF during the median follow-up period of 5.5 years, corresponding to an annual incidence of 3.4% per person-year. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up in patients with AF (Picture 1). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LVEF strata were significantly associated with the increased risk of HF hospitalization even after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF and CHA2DS2-VASc score (Picture 1). An increased risk of HF hospitalization was observed even in patients with mildly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.99–3.29) as well as in those with slightly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.45–2.22) compared with those with normal LVEF. These results were also the case in AF patients without pre-existing HF (Picture 2).

Conclusion

LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization in patients with AF, suggesting the importance of measuring LVEF in all patients with AF. Even mildly (LVEF: 40–49%) or slightly (LVEF: 50–59%) reduced LVEF was independently associated with the risk of incident HF in patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Surface nanostructures on Nb-doped SrTiO3irradiated with swift heavy ions at grazing incidence

A single crystal of SrTiO₃doped with 0.5 wt% niobium (Nb-STO) was irradiated with 200 MeV Au³²⁺ions at grazing incidence to characterize the irradiation-induced hillock chains. Exactly the same hillock chains are observed by using atomic force microscopy (AFM) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) to study the relation between irradiation-induced change of surface topography and corresponding material property changes. As expected, multiple hillocks as high as 5-6 nm are imaged by AFM observation in tapping mode. It is also found that the regions in between the adjacent hillocks are not depressed, and in many cases they are slightly elevated. Line-like contrasts along the ion paths are found in both AFM phase images and SEM images, indicating the formation of continuous ion tracks in addition to multiple hillocks. Validity of preexisting models for explaining the hillock chain formation is discussed based on the present results. In order to obtain new insights related to the ion track formation, cross-sectional transmission electron microscopy (TEM) observation was performed. The ion tracks in the near-surface region are found to be relatively large, whereas buried ion tracks in the deeper region are relatively small. The results suggest that recrystallization plays an important role in the formation of small ion tracks in the deep region, whereas formation of large ion tracks in the near-surface region is likely due to the absence of recrystallization. TEM images also show shape deformation of ion tracks in the near-surface region, suggesting that material transport towards the surface is the reason for the absence of recrystallization.

Clinical Significance of Serum Zinc Levels on the Development of Sarcopenia in Cirrhotic Patients

BACKGROUND/AIM

Sarcopenia increases the mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Approximately 60% of zinc is accumulated in skeletal muscle. We aimed to determine the role of subclinical zinc deficiency on sarcopenia development in patients with cirrhosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We enrolled 151 patients with cirrhosis and divided them into the group with normal serum zinc levels (Group N: 80-130 μg/dl; n=38) and group with subclinical zinc deficiency (Group D: <80 μg/dl; n=113). The risk factors for sarcopenia were then investigated.

RESULTS

Group D had more sarcopenia cases than Group N (31.0% vs. 13.2%). In group D, HGS exhibited a weakly positive but significant correlation with serum zinc levels (R=0.287, p=0.00212), serum zinc levels negatively correlated with both ammonia and myostatin levels (R=-0.254, p=0.0078; R=-0.33, p<0.01), and low zinc levels were independently associated with sarcopenia development.

CONCLUSION

Patients with cirrhosis showing subclinical zinc deficiency have a significantly higher risk of developing sarcopenia.

Augmented Reality- vs Accelerometer-Based Portable Navigation System to Improve the Accuracy of Acetabular Cup Placement During Total Hip Arthroplasty in the Lateral Decubitus Position

BACKGROUND

There have been no studies regarding the effectiveness of augmented reality (AR)-based portable navigation systems compared with accelerometer-based portable navigation systems in total hip arthroplasty (THA).

METHODS

We retrospectively compared THAs performed using an AR-based portable navigation system (n = 45) and those performed using an accelerometer-based portable navigation system (n = 42). All THAs were performed with the patient in the lateral decubitus position. The primary outcome was the absolute difference between cup placement angles displayed on the navigation screen and those measured on postoperative X-ray.

RESULTS

The mean absolute differences were significantly smaller in the AR-based portable navigation system group than the accelerometer-based portable navigation system group in radiographic inclination (2.5° ± 1.7° vs 4.6° ± 3.1°; 95% confidence interval 1.1°-3.2°, P < .0001). Similarly, the mean absolute differences were significantly better in the AR-based portable navigation system group in radiographic anteversion (2.1° ± 1.8° vs 6.4° ± 4.2°; 95% confidence interval 3.0°-5.7°, P < .0001). Neither hip dislocation, surgical site infection, nor other complications associated with use of the navigation system occurred in either group.

CONCLUSION

The AR-based portable navigation system may provide more precise acetabular cup placement compared with the accelerometer-based portable navigation system in THA.

Microscopic Temperature Control Reveals Cooperative Regulation of Actin-Myosin Interaction by Drebrin E

Drebrin E is a regulatory protein of intracellular force produced by actomyosin complexes, that is, myosin molecular motors interacting with actin filaments. The expression level of drebrin E in nerve cells decreases as the animal grows, suggesting its pivotal but unclarified role in neuronal development. Here, by applying the microscopic heat pulse method to actomyosin motility assay, the regulatory mechanism is examined from the room temperature up to 37 °C without a thermal denaturing of proteins. We show that the inhibition of actomyosin motility by drebrin E is eliminated immediately and reversibly during heating and depends on drebrin E concentration. The direct observation of quantum dot-labeled drebrin E implies its stable binding to actin filaments during the heat-induced sliding. Our results suggest that drebrin E allosterically modifies the actin filament structure to regulate cooperatively the actomyosin activity at the maintained in vivo body temperature.

Colchicine protects against cartilage degeneration by inhibiting MMP13 expression via PLC-γ1 phosphorylation

OBJECTIVE

Low molecular weight compounds that reduce the expression of MMP13 at the mRNA level might serve as disease-modifying osteoarthritis (OA) drugs (DMOADs). The objective of this study was to identify a candidate DMOAD that targets MMP13 expression.

DESIGN

High-throughput screening was performed to identify compounds that suppress inflammatory cytokine-induced MMP13 expression. Ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA) using isobaric tags for relative and absolute quantification (iTRAQ)-based proteomic analysis was conducted to identify signaling pathways related to cytokines. MMP13 expression in chondrocytes was evaluated through RT-qPCR and western blotting analyses. Additionally, 10-week-old mice were subjected to destabilization of the medial meniscus (DMM) surgery to induce OA and were sacrificed 12 weeks post-surgery for pathological examination. OA was evaluated using the OARSI scoring system.

RESULTS

Colchicine was identified as a DMOAD candidate as it inhibited inflammatory cytokine-induced MMP13 expression in vitro, and the colchicine-administered mice with DMM presented significantly lower OARSI scores (adjusted P: 0.0242, mean difference: 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) of difference: 0.1651-3.035) and significantly lower synovial membrane inflammation scores (adjusted P: 0.0243, mean difference: 0.6, 95% CI of difference: 0.06158-1.138) than mice with DMM. IPA further revealed that components of the Rho signaling pathways are regulated by cytokines and colchicine. IL-1β and TNF-α activate RAC1 and SRC signals, respectively, leading to the phosphorylation of PLC-γ1 and synergistic induction of MMP13 expression. Most notably, colchicine abrogates inflammatory cytokine-induced phosphorylation of PLC-γ1, leading to the induction of MMP13 expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Colchicine is a potential DMOAD candidate that inhibits MMP13 expression and consequent cartilage degradation by disrupting the SRC/RAC1-phospho-PLCγ1-Ca2+ signaling pathway.

The Combination of Albumin-Bilirubin Score and Prothrombin Time Is a Useful Tool for Predicting Liver Dysfunction after Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization in Child-Pugh Class A Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma within Up-to-Seven Criteria

Mortality and recurrence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are high. Recent studies show that for patients with HCC beyond up-to-seven criteria, treatment with molecular-targeted agents (MTAs) is recommended because the treatment efficiency of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is poor; further, TACE increases decline in liver function. However, the relationship between TACE and liver function decline in patients with HCC within up-to-seven criteria has not been clarified. Hence, we aimed to investigate this relationship. This retrospective observational study included 189 HCC tumors within up-to-seven criteria in 114 Child–Pugh class A patients. Twenty-four (12.7%) tumors were changed from Child–Pugh class A to B after TACE, and 116 (61.4%) tumors exhibited recurrence within 6 months after TACE. Prothrombin time (PT) and albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) score before TACE were significantly associated with liver dysfunction from Child–Pugh class A to B. The combination of PT and ALBI score before TACE had high predictive ability for liver dysfunction from Child–Pugh class A to B after TACE (specificity = 100%, sensitivity = 91.7%). The combined use of pre-TACE PT and ALBI score has a high predictive ability for liver dysfunction after TACE for Child–Pugh class A patients with HCC within up-to-seven criteria.

Association of low total cholesterol level with clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hyperlipidemia is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, low cholesterol is also reported to be associated with poor outcome in patients with chronic disease, which is called “cholesterol paradox”, and the association of cholesterol level with the incidence of clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan, follow-up data and baseline total cholesterol levels were available in 3,054 patients. We excluded 767 patients who were taking statins, and 2,267 patients were included in the analyses. We defined low cholesterol as total cholesterol &lt;150 mg/dl, and examined the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism (SE), heart failure (HF) hospitalization, and major bleeding.

Results

Patients with low cholesterol (N=464 (20.4%)) were older, more often male, and had higher prevalence of low body weight (&lt;50 kg), permanent/persistent AF, prior stroke/SE, HF, chronic kidney disease, and anemia (hemoglobin &lt;11 g/dl). CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with low cholesterol (low cholesterol vs others; 3.6±1.6 vs 3.2±1.7: P&lt;0.001). Prescription of oral anti-coagulants was comparable between the groups (50.0% vs 54.5%: P=0.09). During the median follow-up of 1,805 days, the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/SE, HF hospitalization, and major bleeding was significantly higher in patients with low cholesterol (all-cause death, 10.9 vs 3.8 /100 person-years; stroke/SE, 3.4 vs 1.9 /100 person-years; HF hospitalization, 4.7 vs 2.5 /100 person-years; major bleeding, 2.7 vs 1.4 /100 person-years) (Figure 1). After adjustment for the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score, low body weight, permanent/persistent AF, chronic kidney disease, anemia, and prescription of oral anti-coagulants, low cholesterol was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause death and stroke/SE, but not with that of HF hospitalization or major bleeding (Figure 2, model 3). Total cholesterol levels were still significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.96 for 10 mg/dl increase) and stroke/SE (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.999 for 10 mg/dl increase), when analyzed as continuous variables. Subgroup analysis revealed that the risk of low cholesterol for all-cause death was more pronounced in female (interaction P, 0.049), patient without prior stroke/SE (interaction P, 0.01), those without HF (interaction P, 0.01), and those without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.001). The risk for stroke/SE was more pronounced in patients without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.01).

Conclusion

Low total cholesterol level was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause and stroke/SE in AF patients not taking statins, suggesting the existence of cholesterol paradox in AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Avent

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has been reported to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events, but current guidelines recommend an intensive blood pressure target of less than 130/80 mmHg for AF patients taking oral anticoagulants without mentioning the lower limits of DBP.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,472 patients, and hypertensive patients who received prescription of any antihypertensive agents and whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg were available were examined (n=1,319). We divided the patients into four groups according to their DBP at baseline; G1 (DBP&lt;60 mmHg, n=349), G2 (60≤DBP&lt;70, n=434), G3 (70≤DBP&lt;80, n=386) and G4 (80≤DBP, n=150), and compared the clinical background and outcomes among groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older. During the median follow-up of 2,458 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization during follow up) were the highest in G1 group and the lowest in G3 group (G1: 7.2% per person-year vs. G2: 4.9% vs. G3: 2.2% vs. G4: 4.4%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 vs. G3; hazard ratio (HR): 1.96, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.39–2.76, G2 vs. G3; HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.28–2.50, G4 vs. G3; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 0.99–2.45) (Figure 1). When we examined the association of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with excessively low DBP (&lt;50 mmHg) had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.81–4.33), and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg, patients with excessively low DBP had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events, and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Previous pacemaker therapy was not associated with the risk of clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) occasionally require pacemaker implantation. Meanwhile, patients with implanted pacemaker are occasionally found to have subclinical AF and develop clinical AF. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of AF patients with implanted pacemaker.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes in AF patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,447 patients. After exclusion of patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy, we investigated 293 AF patients with pacemaker implantation at baseline. We performed propensity score-matching analysis to assess the impact of pacemaker therapy in AF patients.

Results

Of a total cohort, patients with pacemaker were more often female (51.2% vs. 39.7%; p&lt;0.01) and older (78.0 vs. 73.3 years of age; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (33.1% vs. 26.6%; p&lt;0.01), valvular heart disease (22.9% vs. 16.8%; p&lt;0.01), chronic kidney disease (48.8% vs. 34.7%; p&lt;0.01), and history of performing direct current cardioversion (7.2% vs. 3.1%; p&lt;0.01), compared with patients without pacemaker. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with pacemaker (3.80 vs. 3.34; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more often prescribed oral anticoagulants (62.1% vs. 55.2%; p=0.02), verapamil (13.3% vs. 9.4%; p=0.03), and loop diuretics (30.7% vs. 21.8%; p&lt;0.01). Using propensity score-matching, 291 patients with pacemaker and 291 without pacemaker were matched and baseline characteristics were comparable. The median follow-up period was 1,819 days. All-cause death occurred in 91 patients with pacemaker (6.0 /100 person-years) and 79 patients without pacemaker (5.9 /100 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) for patients with pacemaker of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 1.37; p=0.93). Furthermore, HR of cardiac death for patients with pacemaker was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.23 to 4.32; p=0.99), that of stroke or systemic embolism was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.44 to 1.07; p=0.10) and that of hospitalization for heart failure was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.37; p=0.76).

Conclusion

We identified that patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy were not associated with the incidence of various adverse clinical events in Japanese AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda Pharmaceutical, and the Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

Association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is associated with an increased risk of mortality in general population. We have previously reported that atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with thrombocytopenia have a higher mortality than those without thrombocytopenia. However, association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in AF patients is unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the association of baseline platelet count with cause of death including cardiac death, intracranial death, malignancy, infection, extracranial bleeding death, renal failure death, respiratory failure death and undetermined death.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data with baseline platelet counts less than 150,000/μL were available in 853 patients by the end of September 2020. We divided them into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=703), Moderate thrombocytopenia (50,000–99,999/μL, n=120), and Severe thrombocytopenia (&lt;50,000/μL, n=30).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 76 years, 34% were women, the mean body weight and body mass index was 59.3 kg and 22.9 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 121,000/μL (interquartile range 109,000 to 141,000/μL). Compared to Mild thrombocytopenia, patients with Moderate or Severe thrombocytopenia were more likely to have chronic kidney disease (42.2% vs 54.2% vs 73.3%, p=0.0003), have higher HAS-BLED score (1.90 vs 2.14 vs 2.00, p=0.047) and lower hemoglobin (12.8g/dL vs 11.7g/dL vs 11.2g/dL, p&lt;0.0001) and were less often prescribed anti platelet drugs. Age, sex, body weight, systolic blood pressure, previous stroke, previous major bleeding, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were comparable between three groups. During the median follow-up period, the incidence rate (per 100 person-years) of all-cause death was 6.82 vs 15.27 vs 9.64. (p&lt;0.001) On univariate analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Moderate group than Mild group. (HR: 2.15; 95% CI 1.61–2.87, p&lt;0.0001), but there was no significant difference between Mild and Severe groups. (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 0.78–2.64, p=0.243). The incidence of cardiac death was comparable between three groups. (Mild vs Moderate: HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.15–2.75, p=0.56, Mild vs Severe: HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.15–8.23, p=0.92) Regarding other causes of death such as intracranial bleeding, extracranial bleeding, malignancy, infection, renal failure, respiratory failure and undetermined cause, there was no significant difference.

Conclusion

Mortality was higher according to the degree of thrombocytopenia in AF patients, but the cause of death was not different among three groups.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Predictors and risk model for heart failure hospitalization in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF), as well as that of thromboembolism. The strategy for prediction of thromboembolism has been well-established; however, little focus has been placed on the risk stratification for and prevention of HF hospitalization in AF patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the predictors and risk model of HF hospitalization in non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,472 patients by the end of October 2020. From the registry, we excluded patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] &lt;40%), and those with valvular AF (mitral stenosis or prosthetic heart valve). Among 3,188 non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF, we explored the risk factors for the HF hospitalization during follow-up period. The risk model for predicting HF hospitalization was determined by the cumulative numbers of risk factors which were significant on multivariate analysis.

Results

The mean age was 72.4±10.8 years, 1197 were female and 1787 were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1.7±1.2 and 2.9±1.6, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 5.1 years, HF hospitalization occurred in 285 (8.9%), corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.8 events per 100 person-years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, advanced age (≥75 years), valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, reduced LVEF (&lt;60%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and anemia were independently associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization (all P&lt;0.001) (Picture 1). A risk model based on these 6 variables could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period (log-rank; P&lt;0.001) (Picture 2). Patients with ≥3 risk factors had an 11-fold higher incidence of HF hospitalization compared with those not having any of these risk factors (hazard ratio: 11.3, 95% confidence interval: 7.0–18.4; P&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

Advanced age, coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, reduced LVEF, COPD and anemia were independently associated with the risk of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF. There was good prediction for endpoint of HF hospitalization using these 6 variables, providing the opportunities for the implementation of strategies to reduce the incidence of HF among AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Aspirin vs. P2Y12 inhibitors with anticoagulation therapy for atrial fibrillation: insights from the AFIRE trial

Background

Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) can be treated with multiple antithrombotic therapies including antiplatelets and oral anticoagulants; however, this has the potential to increase bleeding risk.

Purpose

This sub-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of P2Y12 inhibitors and aspirin in patients also receiving oral anticoagulant therapy.

Methods

We evaluated patients from the Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Events with Rivaroxaban in Patients with Stable Coronary Artery Disease (AFIRE) trial who received combination therapy (rivaroxaban plus a single antiplatelet agent). The choice of antiplatelets was left to the physician's discretion. The primary efficacy endpoint was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascularization, and death from any cause. The primary safety endpoint was major bleeding according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria.

Results

A total of 1,075 patients were included (P2Y12 inhibitor group, n=297; aspirin group, n=778). Approximately 60% of patients were administered proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), and there was no significant difference in PPI use in the P2Y12 inhibitor and aspirin groups. Regarding the primary efficacy endpoint, there was no significant difference between the P2Y12 inhibitor and aspirin groups (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% confidence interval, 0.88–1.94; p=0.178). Likewise, the primary safety endpoint was not different between the groups (hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.43–1.47; p=0.456). In the detailed subgroup analysis, there were no differences in the efficacy and safety endpoints.

Conclusions

There were no significant differences between P2Y12 inhibitors and aspirin in cardiovascular events in patients with AF and stable CAD taking rivaroxaban in the chronic phase.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation based on a contract with Bayer Yakuhin, Ltd. Summary of this study

Enhanced liver fibrosis score as a surrogate of liver-related complications and mortality in primary biliary cholangitis

The presence of bridging fibrosis predicts survival of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). This study aimed to compare serum parameters for the estimation of liver fibrosis and prediction of clinical outcomes in PBC.Out of 392 patients with PBC, 102 who underwent liver biopsy and in whom fibrosis indices, platelet count, hyaluronic acid, type IV collagen 7 second domain, procollagen type III amino-terminal peptide, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1, Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer, N-terminal type III collagen propeptide levels; fibrosis index based on 4 factors, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, and enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) score were determined, were included. The correlation of histological stages based on both Scheuer and Nakanuma classifications with fibrosis indices was investigated. The Nakanuma system comprises grading for liver fibrosis and bile duct loss. Diagnostic performances of 10 fibrosis indices were evaluated to identify patients with poor prognosis. Moreover, correlations of those with PBC clinical manifestation and survival were also investigated.Enhances liver fibrosis (ELF) score had the highest correlation coefficient for liver fibrosis evaluated according to either the Scheuer or Nakanuma classification among 10 serum fibrosis indices. It also had the highest diagnostic performance in estimating Scheuer stage III and Nakanuma fibrosis score 2, both of which represent portal-bridging fibrosis. Patients with an ELF score of ≥10.0 had shorter survival and presented more frequently clinical complications than those with an ELF score of <10.0.ELF score determines the severity of liver fibrosis and predicts the occurrence of complications and survival in patients with PBC.

The association between sarcopenia and endotoxin in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis

We aimed to prospectively identify the risk factors of sarcopenia in patients with cirrhosis.Patients (n = 193) included in a discovery cohort (January 2011 and December 2014) were categorized into alcoholic (A1; n = 55) and non-alcoholic cirrhosis (NA; n = 138) groups, and those (n = 235) in a validation cohort (January 2015 to December 2019) were categorized into alcoholic (n = 92), non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related (n = 27), and hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis groups (n = 116). Skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) was determined using computed tomography (SMI-CT) and bioelectrical impedance analysis (SMI-BIA). Endotoxin activity (EA) was measured with an EA assay.SMI-CT correlated with grip strength in all the groups but significantly correlated with SMI-BIA of the men in group A1 (R = 0.64, P < .0001) and both sexes in group NA (male: R = 0.44, P = .0001; female: R = 0.35, P = .003). SMI-CT inversely correlated with the EA levels of the men in group A1 (R = -0.67, P < .0001) and myostatin levels in group NA (R = -0.53, P < .0001). Lower extremity SMI had a strong negative correlation with the EA levels of the men in group A1 (R = -0.58, P < .001), whereas upper extremity SMI showed an inverse trend with EA levels (R = -0.28, P = .08). SMI-CT also inversely correlated with the EA levels in groups A2 (R = -0.52, P = .003) and N (R = -0.67, P < .0001) and myostatin levels in group C (R = -0.65, P < .0001). Moreover, SMI-CT correlated with nutritional factors, including cholinesterase (R = 0.50, P = .005), zinc (R = 0.45, P = .01), branched amino acid-to-tyrosine ratio (R = 0.39, P = .02), and triglyceride (R = 0.33, P = .03) in group N.Sarcopenia risk factors differ among cirrhosis etiologies. Alcohol-induced, intestine-mediated peripheral endotoxemia could participate in sarcopenia development in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Vascular endothelial growth factor-A is an Immunohistochemical biomarker for the efficacy of bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy for duodenal and jejunal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety of bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy for patients with metastatic duodenal and jejunal adenocarcinoma (mDJA) are unclear. The present study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of bevacizumab and to explore immunohistochemical markers that can predict the efficacy of bevacizumab for patients with mDJA.

METHODS

This multicentre study included patients with histologically confirmed small bowel adenocarcinoma who received palliative chemotherapy from 2008 to 2017 at 15 hospitals. Immunostaining was performed for vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A), TP53, Ki67, β-catenin, CD10, MUC2, MUC5AC, MUC6, and mismatch repair proteins.

RESULTS

A total of 74 patients were enrolled, including 65 patients with mDJA and 9 with metastatic ileal adenocarcinoma. Patients with mDJA who received platinum-based chemotherapy with bevacizumab as first-line treatment tended to have a longer progression-free survival and overall survival than those treated without bevacizumab (P = 0.075 and 0.077, respectively). Multivariate analysis extracted high VEGF-A expression as a factor prolonging progression-free survival (hazard ratio: 0.52, 95% confidence interval: 0.30-0.91). In mDJA patients with high VEGF-A expression, those who received platinum-based chemotherapy with bevacizumab as a first-line treatment had significantly longer progression-free survival and tended to have longer overall survival than those treated without bevacizumab (P = 0.025 and P = 0.056, respectively), whereas no differences were observed in mDJA patients with low VEGF-A expression.

CONCLUSION

Immunohistochemical expression of VEGF-A is a potentially useful biomarker for predicting the efficacy of bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy for patients with mDJA.

Augmented Reality-Assisted Femoral Bone Resection in Total Knee Arthroplasty

An augmented reality (AR)-based navigation system allows visualization of the center of the femoral head and femoral mechanical axis superimposed on the surgical field during total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and may help surgeons to improve the accuracy of distal femoral resection.

Clinical Significance of Gamma-Glutamyltranspeptidase Combined with Carbohydrate-Deficient Transferrin for the Assessment of Excessive Alcohol Consumption in Patients with Alcoholic Cirrhosis

Background: This study aimed to compare the diagnostic performance of carbohydrate-deficient transferrin (CDT) and gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase (γ-GTP) to assess the single and combined benefits of these biological markers for the detection of chronic excessive alcohol consumption in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. Methods: Biological markers were determined in blood samples from patients with alcoholic cirrhosis (drinking group, n = 35; nondrinking group, n = 81). The prediction accuracy of %CDT alone, γ-GTP alone, and their combination for the detection of excessive alcohol consumption was determined in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. Results: Serum total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, γ-GTP, and alkaline phosphatase levels and %CDT were significantly higher and serum albumin levels were significantly lower in the drinking group than in the nondrinking group. The combination of %CDT and γ-GTP compared with %CDT or γ-GTP alone showed a higher prediction accuracy. The combination of %CDT and γ-GTP exhibited a higher specificity than γ-GTP alone. However, in terms of sensitivity, no significant difference was found between single or combined markers. Conclusions: The combination of %CDT and γ-GTP is considered a useful biomarker of chronic excessive alcohol consumption in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Pleural invasion, epidermal growth factor receptor mutation and carcinoembryonic antigen level affect pleural lavage cytology-positive status in non-small-cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

Pleural invasion (pl) is strongly associated with the pleural lavage cytology (PLC) status. We analysed tumours with pl and evaluated the relationship between the PLC status and pl.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 428 surgically treated patients who had been diagnosed with non-small-cell lung cancer with pl and had their PLC status examined between 2000 and 2016. We investigated the influence of a PLC-positive status on the prognosis and searched for the factors predictive of a PLC-positive status.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight (18%) patients were PLC positive. The recurrence-free survival of PLC-positive patients was significantly worse than that of PLC-negative patients in pl1 and pl2, but not in pl3 (5-year recurrence-free survival rate, PLC positive versus PLC negative: pl1, 22.0% vs 60.0%, P = 0.002; pl2, 30.4% vs 59.7%, P = 0.015; pl3, 50.0% vs 59.6%, P = 0.427). A multivariable analysis showed that the degree of pl (pl2-3 versus pl1) [odds ratio (OR) 5.34, P < 0.001] was an independent predictive factor for PLC positivity. Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation positivity (OR 5.48, P = 0.042) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥5 ng/ml (OR 3.78, P = 0.042) were associated with a PLC-positive status in patients with pl2-3. We found that the PLC-positive rate in patients with pl2-3 was 35.6%; however, if the tumour was EGFR mutation positive and had CEA ≥5 ng/ml, the PLC-positive rate increased to 77%.

CONCLUSIONS

If a tumour was suspected of being pl2-3 and had EGFR mutation positivity and CEA ≥5 ng/ml, the PLC-positive rate was extremely high.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

Hyogo Cancer Center, G-138.

Prognostic significance of preoperative haemoglobin A1c level in patients with lung adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the influence of the preoperative haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) value on the prognosis and pathology of patients with lung adenocarcinoma who underwent surgery.

METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of 400 lung adenocarcinoma patients who underwent lobectomy with mediastinal lymph node dissection between 2009 and 2013 using a prospectively maintained database. We stratified 400 patients into 4 groups according to the preoperative HbA1c value as follows: HbA1c ≤ 5.9 (n = 296), 6.0 ≤ HbA1c ≤ 6.9 (n = 70), 7.0 ≤ HbA1c ≤ 7.9 (n = 21) and HbA1c ≥ 8.0 (n = 12). We compared the recurrence-free survival and overall survival (OS) among these 4 groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the risk factors for recurrence.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 61.2 months. On comparing the recurrence-free survival and OS rates among these 4 groups, we found that these rates among patients in the HbA1c ≥ 8.0 group were significantly poorer compared with the other 3 groups (5-year recurrence-free survival: HbA1c ≤ 5.9, 70.4%; 6.0 ≤ HbA1c ≤ 6.9, 69.7%; 7.0 ≤ HbA1c ≤ 7.9, 70.7%; ≥8.0 HbA1c, 18.8%; P = 0.002; and 5-year OS: HbA1c ≤ 5.9, 88.7%; 6.0 ≤ HbA1c ≤ 6.9, 80.6%; 7.0 ≤ HbA1c ≤ 7.9, 90.2%; ≥8.0 HbA1c, 66.7%; P = 0.046). Patients in the HbA1c ≥ 8.0 group had significantly more tumours with vascular invasion (P = 0.041) and experienced distant metastasis significantly more often (P = 0.028) than those with other values. A multivariate analysis revealed that preoperative HbA1c ≥ 8.0 [hazard ratio (HR) 2.33; P = 0.026] and lymph node metastasis (HR 3.94; P < 0.001) were significant independent prognostic factors for recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results revealed that preoperative HbA1c ≥ 8.0 is associated to poor prognosis due to the occurrence of distant metastasis and we should carefully follow these patients after surgery.

CLINICAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

Hyogo Cancer Center, G-57.

Development of a fast response neutron detector for the supersonic FRC collision process

The collisional merging experiments of the field-reversing configuration (FRC) at supersonic/Alfvénic velocities have been performed in the FRC Amplification via Translation-Collisional Merging device only in Japan. This experiment may excite shockwaves and cause particle acceleration. To obtain supporting evidence of particle acceleration by shockwaves, we have proposed to observe neutrons originating from the D-D fusion reaction of accelerated non-thermal particles. A plastic scintillation detector has been developed for the supersonic/Alfvénic collision/merging FRC experiment. The developed neutron detector has sufficient performance of neutron sensitivity and nanosecond response time. In the collisional merging process, we obtained a signal that could be considered a neutron, which is not predicted by the adiabatic compression process in the two-dimensional magnetohydrodynamics simulation.

Lenvatinib prevents liver fibrosis by inhibiting hepatic stellate cell activation and sinusoidal capillarization in experimental liver fibrosis

Molecular targeted agents are pharmacologically used to treat liver fibrosis and have gained increased attention. The present study examined the preventive effect of lenvatinib on experimental liver fibrosis and sinusoidal capillarization as well as the in vitro phenotypes of hepatic stellate cells. LX-2, a human stellate cell line, was used for in vitro studies. In vivo liver fibrosis was induced in F344 rats using carbon tetrachloride by intraperitoneal injection for 8 weeks, and oral administration of lenvatinib was started two weeks after initial injection of carbon tetrachloride. Lenvatinib restrained proliferation and promoted apoptosis of LX-2 with suppressed phosphorylation of extracellular signal-regulated kinase 1/2 and AKT. It also down-regulated COL1A1, ACTA2 and TGFB1 expressions by inhibiting the transforming growth factor-β1/Smad2/3 pathway. Treatment with lenvatinib also suppressed platelet-derived growth factor-BB-stimulated proliferation, chemotaxis and vascular endothelial growth factor-A production, as well as basic fibroblast growth factor-induced LX-2 proliferation. In vivo study showed that lenvatinib attenuated liver fibrosis development with reduction in activated hepatic stellate cells and mRNA expression of profibrogenic markers. Intrahepatic neovascularization was ameliorated with reduced hepatic expressions of Vegf1, Vegf2 and Vegfa in lenvatinib-treated rats. Collectively, these results suggest the potential use of lenvatinib as a novel therapeutic strategy for liver fibrosis.