Collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from observational studies of Lp-PLA2 and cardiovascular diseases

BACKGROUND

A large number of observational epidemiological studies have reported generally positive associations between circulating mass and activity levels of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) and the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Few studies have been large enough to provide reliable estimates in different circumstances, such as in different subgroups (e.g., by age group, sex, or smoking status) or at different Lp-PLA2 levels. Moreover, most published studies have related disease risk only to baseline values of Lp-PLA2 markers (which can lead to substantial underestimation of any risk relationships because of within-person variability over time) and have used different approaches to adjustment for possible confounding factors.

OBJECTIVES

By combination of data from individual participants from all relevant observational studies in a systematic 'meta-analysis', with correction for regression dilution (using available data on serial measurements of Lp-PLA2), the Lp-PLA2 Studies Collaboration will aim to characterize more precisely than has previously been possible the strength and shape of the age and sex-specific associations of plasma Lp-PLA2 with coronary heart disease (and, where data are sufficient, with other vascular diseases, such as ischaemic stroke). It will also help to determine to what extent such associations are independent of possible confounding factors and to explore potential sources of heterogeneity among studies, such as those related to assay methods and study design. It is anticipated that the present collaboration will serve as a framework to investigate related questions on Lp-PLA2 and cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

A central database is being established containing data on circulating Lp-PLA2 values, sex and other potential confounding factors, age at baseline Lp-PLA2 measurement, age at event or at last follow-up, major vascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information about any repeat measurements of Lp-PLA2 and potential confounding factors has been sought to allow adjustment for possible confounding and correction for regression dilution. The analyses will involve age-specific regression models. Synthesis of the available observational studies of Lp-PLA2 will yield information on a total of about 15 000 cardiovascular disease endpoints.

Changing prediction of mortality by systolic blood pressure with increasing age: the Rotterdam study

There are indications that in persons of older age, systolic blood pressure (SBP) is no longer associated with mortality. This raises the question whether the predictive value of SBP changes from younger to older age groups. Analysis in the Rotterdam Study, a population-based prospective cohort study among 4,612 participants aged ≥55 years without previous cardiovascular disease and with a median follow-up of 14.9 (interquartile range, 11.1-15.8) years. Within four age groups (55-64, 65-74, 75-84, ≥85 years), the predictive value of baseline SBP for mortality was studied. From age 55 to ≥85 years, risk of all-cause mortality associated with SBP ≥160 mmHg decreased from HR 1.7 (95%CI 1.2-2.2) to HR 0.7 (95%CI 0.4-1.1), p for trend <0.001. For participants with SBP 140-159 mmHg, the risk decreased from HR 1.2 (95%CI 0.9-1.5) to HR 0.7 (95%CI 0.5-1.1), p for trend <0.001. Analyses in the 5-year age groups showed an increased risk with higher SBPs up to age 75 years. After 75 years, a trend towards SBP no longer being associated with an increased mortality risk was seen in our study. These findings need to be considered with recently reported beneficial effects of antihypertensive treatment in this age group.

Genome-wide association analysis of coffee drinking suggests association with CYP1A1/CYP1A2 and NRCAM

Coffee consumption is a model for addictive behavior. We performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWASs) on coffee intake from 8 Caucasian cohorts (N=18 176) and sought replication of our top findings in a further 7929 individuals. We also performed a gene expression analysis treating different cell lines with caffeine. Genome-wide significant association was observed for two single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the 15q24 region. The two SNPs rs2470893 and rs2472297 (P-values=1.6 × 10(-11) and 2.7 × 10(-11)), which were also in strong linkage disequilibrium (r(2)=0.7) with each other, lie in the 23-kb long commonly shared 5' flanking region between CYP1A1 and CYP1A2 genes. CYP1A1 was found to be downregulated in lymphoblastoid cell lines treated with caffeine. CYP1A1 is known to metabolize polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, which are important constituents of coffee, whereas CYP1A2 is involved in the primary metabolism of caffeine. Significant evidence of association was also detected at rs382140 (P-value=3.9 × 10(-09)) near NRCAM-a gene implicated in vulnerability to addiction, and at another independent hit rs6495122 (P-value=7.1 × 10(-09))-an SNP associated with blood pressure-in the 15q24 region near the gene ULK3, in the meta-analysis of discovery and replication cohorts. Our results from GWASs and expression analysis also strongly implicate CAB39L in coffee drinking. Pathway analysis of differentially expressed genes revealed significantly enriched ubiquitin proteasome (P-value=2.2 × 10(-05)) and Parkinson's disease pathways (P-value=3.6 × 10(-05)).

von Willebrand factor plasma levels, genetic variations and coronary heart disease in an older population

BACKGROUND

High von Willebrand factor (VWF) levels are associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, it remains unclear whether VWF is causally related to the occurrence of CHD or primarily mirrors endothelial dysfunction, which predisposes to atherosclerosis and subsequent CHD.

OBJECTIVES

Because VWF is largely determined by genetic factors, we investigated whether VWF antigen levels (VWF:Ag) and the risk of CHD are affected by common variations in the VWF gene.

METHODS

We included 7002 participants (≥ 55 years) from the large prospective population-based Rotterdam Study in the discovery cohort. The extension cohort of the Rotterdam Study, consisting of 3011 participants, was used as a replication cohort. We determined VWF:Ag levels and genotype data of 38 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in VWF. Subsequently, hazard ratios for CHD were calculated and genetic analyses were performed to assess the relationship between SNPs, VWF:Ag levels and CHD risk.

RESULTS

We identified and replicated three SNPs that were associated with VWF:Ag: rs216321 (β = 0.10 [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.06;0.13]) (Ala852Gln), rs1063856 (β = 0.05 [95% CI 0.03;0.07]) (Thr789Ala) and rs2283333 (β = 0.09 [95% CI 0.05;0.21]) (intron 15). However, genetic polymorphisms in the VWF gene were not associated with the risk of CHD.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study we have shown that genetic variations in VWF strongly affect VWF plasma levels, but are not associated with the risk of CHD. Our findings therefore do not support a strong causal relationship between VWF and CHD in elderly individuals of ≥ 55 years, but suggest that VWF is primarily a marker of CHD.

Genetic determinants of von Willebrand factor plasma levels and the risk of stroke: the Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

High von Willebrand factor (VWF) plasma levels are associated with an increased risk of stroke. VWF levels are strongly heritable. A previous meta-analysis of five large genome-wide association studies identified single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within eight genetic loci as determinants of VWF levels. Whether these SNPs are associated with stroke risk is not known. The aim of our study was to investigate the association between genetic determinants of VWF levels and stroke risk.

METHODS

The study was part of the Rotterdam Study, a large population-based cohort study among subjects aged ≥ 55 years. A total of 5763 participants for whom DNA was available, and who were free of stroke at baseline, were eligible for analysis. VWF antigen (VWF:Ag) levels were measured in 3379 eligible participants. Within each of the eight loci, one top SNP was defined. The association between the eight SNPs and the risk of stroke was analyzed. Then, a genetic score, based on these eight SNPs, was constructed, and its total contribution to VWF plasma levels and stroke risk was investigated.

RESULTS

None of the eight SNPs was individually associated with stroke risk. A higher genetic score was significantly associated with a higher VWF:Ag level, but was not associated with an increased risk of stroke.

CONCLUSION

Eight SNPs that strongly determine VWF levels are not associated with stroke risk, either individually, or combined in a genetic score.

Association of an APOC3 promoter variant with type 2 diabetes risk and need for insulin treatment in lean persons

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

An APOC3 promoter haplotype has been previously associated with type 1 diabetes. In this population-based study, we investigated whether APOC3 polymorphisms increase type 2 diabetes risk and need for insulin treatment in lean participants.

METHODS

In the Rotterdam Study, a population-based prospective cohort (n = 7,983), Cox and logistic regression models were used to analyse the associations and interactive effects of APOC3 promoter variants (-482C > T, -455T > C) and BMI on type 2 diabetes risk and insulin treatment. Analyses were followed by replication in an independent case-control sample (1,817 cases, 2,292 controls) and meta-analysis.

RESULTS

In lean participants, the -482T allele was associated with increased risk of prevalent and incident type 2 diabetes: OR -482CT 1.47 (95% CI 1.13-1.92), -482TT 1.40 (95% CI 0.83-2.35), p = 0.009 for trend; HR -482CT 1.35 (95% CI 0.96-1.89), -482TT 1.68 (95% CI 0.91-3.1), p = 0.03 for trend, respectively. These results were confirmed by replication. Meta-analysis was highly significant (-482T meta-analysis p = 1.1 × 10(-4)). A borderline significant interaction was observed for insulin use among participants with type 2 diabetes (-482CT*BMI p = 0.06, -455TC*BMI p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

At a population-based level, the influence of APOC3 promoter variants on type 2 diabetes risk varies with the level of adiposity. Lean carriers of the -482T allele had increased type 2 diabetes risk, while such an effect was not observed in overweight participants. Conversely, in overweight participants the -455C allele seemed protective against type 2 diabetes. The interaction of the variants with need for insulin treatment may indicate beta cell involvement in lean participants. Our findings suggest overlap in the genetic backgrounds of type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes in lean patients.

Measures of body composition and risk of heart failure in the elderly: the Rotterdam study

OBJECTIVES

The incidence of heart failure increases with aging. Aim of the present study was to determine whether measures body composition predict incident heart failure in older adults.

SETTING

Prospective community-based cohort study. 5, 868 men and women aged 55 years and older participating the Rotterdam study. Measures of body mass index and waist circumference were obtained at baseline. Information on incident heart failure was obtained during follow-up. Cox regression analyses were performed to investigate the possible association between measure of body composition and incident heart failure.

RESULTS

During a mean follow up of 10.9 (SD ±4.4) years, 765 participants had heart failure. After adjustment for age and gender, 1-standard deviation of body mass index, waist circumference and the waist-hip ratio predicted heart failure (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.17-1.34; HR 1.26; 95% CI 1.18-1.36; and HR 1.17; 95% CI 1.08-1.27), respectively. In age-stratified analyses, 1-standard deviation of body mass index (1.17; 95% CI 1.06- 1.29) and waist circumference (1.16; 95% CI 1.05- 1.29) were still associated with the risk of heart failure in the oldest participants, whereas the waist-hip ratio was not (1.06; 95% CI 0.945-1.18).

CONCLUSION

Although estimates decrease with age, measures of overall and central adiposity predict incident heart failure among community dwelling older adults.

Heart failure and the risk of stroke: the Rotterdam Study

Patients with heart failure used to have an increased risk of stroke, but this may have changed with current treatment regimens. We assessed the association between heart failure and the risk of stroke in a population-based cohort that was followed since 1990. The study uses the cohort of the Rotterdam Study and is based on 7,546 participants who at baseline (1990–1993) were aged 55 years or over and free from stroke. The associations between heart failure and risk of stroke were assessed using time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors (smoking, diabetes mellitus, BMI, ankle brachial index, blood pressure, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction and relevant medication). At baseline, 233 participants had heart failure. During an average follow-up time of 9.7 years, 1,014 persons developed heart failure, and 827 strokes (470 ischemic, 75 hemorrhagic, 282 unclassified) occurred. The risk of ischemic stroke was more than five-fold increased in the first month after diagnosis of heart failure (age and sex adjusted HR 5.79, 95% CI 2.15–15.62), but attenuated over time (age and sex adjusted HR 3.50 [95% CI 1.96–6.25] after 1–6 months and 0.83 [95% CI 0.53–1.29] after 0.5–6 years). Additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors only marginally attenuated these risks. In conclusion, the risk of ischemic stroke is strongly increased shortly after the diagnosis of heart failure but returns to normal within 6 months after onset of heart failure.

Does aortic stiffness improve the prediction of coronary heart disease in elderly? The Rotterdam Study

It has been demonstrated that aortic stiffness is an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease. We investigated whether this measure is of use in cardiovascular risk stratification in clinical practice for elderly subjects (mean age 71.5 years). Within the framework of the Rotterdam Study, we stratified subjects free of coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline into categories of low (<10%), intermediate (10-20%) and high (>20%) 10-year risk of CHD based on Framingham risk factors. Within each risk category, we determined the percentages of subjects moving into a higher or lower risk category when adding aortic stiffness to the Framingham risk factors. Among 2849 participants, 223 CHD events occurred during a median follow-up of 7.9 years. In the low risk group, 5% of the subjects could be reclassified and in the high-risk group, 6% of the subjects could be reclassified to the intermediate-risk group. In the intermediate-risk group 3% could be reclassified to the high-risk group and 6% to the low-risk group. In a population of elderly subjects, aortic stiffness measurement in addition to Framingham risk factors leads to a limited reclassification of subjects in 10-year cardiovascular disease-risk categories. Therefore, aortic stiffness is associated with the risk of CHD in elderly, but provides no additional value in cardiovascular risk stratification.

Insulin metabolism and the risk of Alzheimer disease: the Rotterdam Study

OBJECTIVE

Diabetes mellitus has been associated with an increased risk of Alzheimer disease (AD), but how it exerts its effect remains controversial. Possible pathophysiologic mechanisms are glucose toxicity and a direct effect of insulin on amyloid metabolism. Most studies had short follow-up, and longer-term effects of diabetes on AD risk are unknown. We investigated whether fasting glucose and insulin levels and insulin resistance are associated with the risk of AD and whether this risk is constant over time.

METHODS

The study was based on 3,139 participants of the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study. All subjects were free from dementia, did not have a history of diabetes, and had fasting levels of glucose and insulin measured at baseline. Insulin resistance was estimated with the homeostasis model assessment. We investigated how fasting glucose, insulin, and insulin resistance are related to the risk of AD in 3 different strata according to time-to-event, using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 211 participants developed AD, 71 of them within 3 years of baseline. Levels of insulin and insulin resistance were associated with a higher risk of AD within 3 years of baseline. After 3 years, the risk was no longer increased. Glucose was not associated with a higher risk of AD. There was no interaction of APOE ε4 carriership and insulin metabolism on the risk of AD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that insulin metabolism influences the clinical manifestation of AD only within 3 years.

Bayesian methods for meta-analysis of causal relationships estimated using genetic instrumental variables

Genetic markers can be used as instrumental variables, in an analogous way to randomization in a clinical trial, to estimate the causal relationship between a phenotype and an outcome variable. Our purpose is to extend the existing methods for such Mendelian randomization studies to the context of multiple genetic markers measured in multiple studies, based on the analysis of individual participant data. First, for a single genetic marker in one study, we show that the usual ratio of coefficients approach can be reformulated as a regression with heterogeneous error in the explanatory variable. This can be implemented using a Bayesian approach, which is next extended to include multiple genetic markers. We then propose a hierarchical model for undertaking a meta-analysis of multiple studies, in which it is not necessary that the same genetic markers are measured in each study. This provides an overall estimate of the causal relationship between the phenotype and the outcome, and an assessment of its heterogeneity across studies. As an example, we estimate the causal relationship of blood concentrations of C-reactive protein on fibrinogen levels using data from 11 studies. These methods provide a flexible framework for efficient estimation of causal relationships derived from multiple studies. Issues discussed include weak instrument bias, analysis of binary outcome data such as disease risk, missing genetic data, and the use of haplotypes.

Insulin-resistance and metabolic syndrome are related to executive function in women in a large family-based study

While type 2 diabetes is well-known to be associated with poorer cognitive performance, few studies have reported on the association of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and contributing factors, such as insulin-resistance (HOMA-IR), low adiponectin-, and high C-reactive protein (CRP)- levels. We studied whether these factors are related to cognitive function and which of the MetS components are independently associated. The study was embedded in an ongoing family-based cohort study in a Dutch population. All participants underwent physical examinations, biomedical measurements, and neuropsychological testing. Linear regression models were used to determine the association between MetS, HOMA-IR, adiponectin levels, CRP, and cognitive test scores. Cross-sectional analyses were performed in 1,898 subjects (mean age 48 years, 43% men). People with MetS had significantly higher HOMA-IR scores, lower adiponectin levels, and higher CRP levels. MetS and high HOMA-IR were associated with poorer executive function in women (P = 0.03 and P = 0.009). MetS and HOMA-IR are associated with poorer executive function in women.

Single nucleotide polymorphisms in genes that are associated with a modified response to statin therapy: the Rotterdam Study

The objective of this study was to investigate whether common variation in genes involved in lipid metabolism modify the effect of statins on serum total cholesterol concentration. Statin users were identified in the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort study of subjects >55 years of age. We studied the association between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genes involved in lipid metabolism and total cholesterol response to statin therapy, using linear regression analysis and adjusting for potential confounders. Replication was performed in an independent extended cohort of the Rotterdam Study. Genotype data and total cholesterol concentrations after start of statin therapy were available for 554 newly started statin users. Two SNPs were associated with a significantly higher cholesterol concentration under statin therapy: SNP rs1532624 in the CETP gene (β: 0.141  mmol l(-1), P=0.004 per additional allele) and SNP rs533556 in the APOA1 gene (β: 0.138  mmol l(-1), P=0.005 per additional allele). In the replication sample, only the CETP rs1532624 SNP again showed a significant association. The SNPs were not related to baseline total cholesterol in non-statin users. In conclusion, we found that the CETP rs1532624 polymorphism is associated with cholesterol response to statin therapy in a cohort of elderly subjects in the general population.

Abdominal fat in children measured by ultrasound and computed tomography

The prevalence of childhood obesity is increasing rapidly. Visceral fat plays an important role in the pathogenesis of metabolic and cardiovascular diseases. Currently, computed tomography (CT) is broadly seen as the most accurate method of determining the amount of visceral fat. The main objective was to examine whether measures of abdominal visceral fat can be determined by ultrasound in children and whether CT can be replaced by ultrasound for this purpose. To assess whether preperitoneal fat thickness and area are good approximations of visceral fat at the umbilical level, we first retrospectively examined 47 CT scans of nonobese children (body mass index <30kg/m(2); median age 7.9 y [95% range 1.2 to 16.2]). Correlation coefficients between visceral and preperitoneal fat thickness and area were 0.58 (p<0.001) and 0.76 (p<0.001), respectively. Then, to assess how preperitoneal and subcutaneous fat thicknesses and areas measured by ultrasound compare with these parameters in CT, we examined 34 nonobese children (median age 9.5 [95% range 0.3 to 17.0]) by ultrasound and CT. Ultrasound measurements of preperitoneal and subcutaneous fat were correlated with CT measurements, with correlation coefficients ranging from 0.75-0.97 (all p<0.001). Systematic differences of up to 24.0cm(2) for preperitoneal fat area (95% confidence interval -29.9 to 77.9cm(2)) were observed when analyzing the results described by the Bland-Altman method. Our findings suggest that preperitoneal fat can be used as an approximation for visceral fat in children and that measuring abdominal fat with ultrasound in children is a valid method for epidemiological and clinical studies. However, the exact agreement between the ultrasound and CT scan was limited, which indicates that ultrasound should be used carefully for obtaining exact fat distribution measurements in individual children.

Salivary cortisol is related to atherosclerosis of carotid arteries

BACKGROUND

Dysregulation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis has been suggested as an independent risk factor for ischemic heart disease. The aim of our study was to evaluate whether two markers of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis activity, the level of salivary cortisol and the diurnal salivary cortisol pattern, are associated with atherosclerosis of the carotid arteries in an elderly population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1866 participants of the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study in the elderly, provided four salivary cortisol samples throughout 1 d, and underwent ultrasonography to examine the presence of plaques in the common, internal, and bifurcation sites of both carotid arteries. Two summary measures of the separate cortisol values were computed: area under the curve (AUC), which is a measure of total cortisol exposure while awake; and the slope, which is a measure of diurnal cortisol decline.

RESULTS

Total cortisol exposure while awake (AUC) was associated with higher plaque scores (beta = 0.08 per sd of AUC, 95% confidence interval 0.00-0.16; P = 0.04) in a fully adjusted linear regression model. Persons with an AUC in the highest tertile had a higher number of plaques of carotid arteries compared with those in the lowest tertile (3.08 vs. 2.80, 95% confidence interval of difference 0.09-0.48; P = 0.005). There was no relation between diurnal cortisol decline and plaque score.

CONCLUSION

Our results support the hypothesis that increased total cortisol exposure is independently associated with atherosclerosis of the carotid arteries.

Cerebrovascular risk factors and incident depression in community-dwelling elderly

OBJECTIVE

The 'vascular depression' hypothesis suggests that late-life depression results from vascular brain damage. We studied the longitudinal association between cerebrovascular risk factors and incident depression in a large population-based study.

METHOD

Two thousand nine hundred and thirty-one persons with the age of > or =61 years were followed up. Data on a comprehensive set of cerebrovascular risk factors were collected at baseline. Participants received a psychiatric assessment 5 years later to establish DSM-IV diagnoses.

RESULTS

Only current smoking and antihypertensive drug use were independently associated with incident depressive symptoms. Diabetes mellitus and the Framingham stroke risk score were related to incident depressive disorder. No relation with depression was observed for cholesterol, diastolic and systolic blood pressure, history of cardiovascular disease, atrial fibrillation, left ventricular hypertrophy or the use of statins and anticoagulants.

CONCLUSION

These results moderately support the 'vascular depression' hypothesis.

Tracking and determinants of subcutaneous fat mass in early childhood: the Generation R Study

OBJECTIVES

To examine the development and tracking of subcutaneous fat mass in the first 2 years of life and to examine which parental, fetal and postnatal characteristics are associated with subcutaneous fat mass.

DESIGN

This study was embedded in the Generation R Study, a prospective cohort study from early fetal life onward. Subcutaneous fat mass was measured by skinfold thickness (biceps, triceps, suprailiacal, subscapular) at the ages of 1.5, 6 and 24 months in 1012 children. Information about parental, fetal and postnatal growth characteristics was collected by physical and fetal ultrasound examinations and questionnaires.

RESULTS

Normal values of subcutaneous fat mass are presented. Total subcutaneous fat mass was higher in girls than in boys at the age of 24 months (P=0.01). Subjects in the lowest and highest quartiles at the age of 6 months tended to keep their position in the same quartile at the age of 24 months (odds ratios 1.86 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3, 2.7)) and 1.84 (95% CI: 1.3, 2.6), respectively). Maternal height and weight, paternal weight, fetal weight at 30 weeks, birth weight and weight at the age of 6 weeks were each inversely associated with subcutaneous fat mass at the age of 24 months after adjustment for current weight at 24 months.

CONCLUSION

This study shows for the first time that subcutaneous fat mass tends to track in the first 2 years of life. Furthermore, the results suggest that an adverse fetal environment and growth are associated with increased subcutaneous fat mass at the age of 24 months. Further studies are needed to examine whether these associations persist in later life.

New charts for ultrasound dating of pregnancy and assessment of fetal growth: longitudinal data from a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Correct assessment of gestational age and fetal growth is essential for optimal obstetric management. The objectives of this study were, first, to develop charts for ultrasound dating of pregnancy based on crown-rump length and biparietal diameter and, second, to derive reference curves for normal fetal growth based on biparietal diameter, head circumference, transverse cerebellar diameter, abdominal circumference and femur length from 10 weeks of gestational age onwards.

METHODS

A total of 8313 pregnant women were included for analysis in this population-based prospective cohort study. All women had repeated ultrasound assessments to examine fetal growth.

RESULTS

Charts for ultrasound dating of pregnancy, based on crown-rump length and biparietal diameter, were derived. Internal validation with the actual date of delivery showed that ultrasound imaging provided reliable gestational age estimates. Up to 92% of deliveries took place within 37-42 weeks of gestation if gestational age was derived from ultrasound data, compared with 87% based on a reliable last menstrual period. The earlier the ultrasound assessment the more accurate the prediction of date of delivery. After 24 weeks of gestation a reliable last menstrual period provided better estimates of gestational age. Reference curves for normal fetal growth from 10 weeks of gestational age onwards were derived.

CONCLUSIONS

Charts for ultrasound dating of pregnancy and reference curves for fetal biometry are presented. The results indicate that, up to 24 weeks of pregnancy, dating by ultrasound examination provides a better prediction of the date of delivery than does last menstrual period. The earlier the ultrasound assessment in pregnancy, preferably between 10 and 12 weeks, the better the estimate of gestational age.

Vitamin K epoxide reductase complex subunit 1 (VKORC1) polymorphism and aortic calcification: the Rotterdam Study

OBJECTIVE

Besides effects on hemostasis, vitamin K-dependent proteins play a role in bone mineralization and arterial calcification. We investigated the association between the VKORC1 1173C>T polymorphism and calcification of the aortic far wall in a large population-based cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Aortic calcification was diagnosed by radiographic detection of calcified deposits in the abdominal aorta. In all cohort members for whom DNA was available, the C1173T SNP of VKORC1 (rs9934438) was determined. With multivariable logistic regression analysis the association between this polymorphism and the risk of aortic calcification was calculated, adjusted for potential confounders. The T allele frequency of the VKORC1 1173C>T polymorphism was 38.8%. 1185 (37.2%) persons were homozygous CC, 1529 (48,0%) were heterozygous CT and 473 (14.8%) were homozygous TT. Persons with at least one T-allele had a statistically significant 19% (95% CI 2 to 40%) risk increase of calcification of the aortic far wall compared to CC homozygous persons, adjusted for age and gender.

CONCLUSIONS

The T-allele of the VKORC1 1173C>T polymorphism was associated with a significantly higher risk of aortic calcification in Whites.

Explaining differences in birthweight between ethnic populations. The Generation R Study

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether differences in birthweight of various ethnic groups residing in The Netherlands can be explained by determinants of birthweight.

DESIGN

Population-based birth cohort study.

SETTING

Data of pregnant women and their partners in Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

POPULATION

We examined data of 6044 pregnant women with a Dutch, Moroccan, Turkish, Capeverdean, Antillean, Surinamese-Creole, Surinamese-Hindustani and Surinamese-other ethnic background.

METHODS

Regression analyses were used to assess the impact of biomedical, socio-demographic and lifestyle-related determinants on birthweight differences.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Birthweight was established immediately after delivery in grams.

RESULTS

Compared with mean birthweight of offspring of Dutch women (3485 g, SD 555), the mean birthweight was lower in all non-Dutch populations, except in Moroccans. Differences ranged from an 88-g lower birthweight in offspring of the Turkish women to a 424-g lower birthweight in offspring of Surinamese-Hindustani women. Differences in gestational age, maternal and paternal height largely explained the lower birthweight in the Turkish, Antillean, Surinamese-Creole and Surinamese-other populations. Differences in birthweight between the Dutch and the Capeverdean and Surinamese-Hindustani populations could only partly be explained by the studied determinants.

CONCLUSIONS

These results confirm significant differences in birthweight between ethnic populations that can only partly be understood from established determinants of birthweight. The part that is understood points to the importance of determinants that cannot easily be modified, such as parental height. Further study is necessary to obtain a fuller understanding.

Fetal kidney volume and its association with growth and blood flow in fetal life: The Generation R Study

An adverse fetal environment may lead to smaller kidneys and subsequent hypertension with renal disease in adult life. The aim of our study was to examine whether maternal characteristics, fetal growth, fetal blood flow redistribution, or inadequate placental perfusion in different periods of fetal life affect kidney volume in late fetal life. We also determined if fetal kidney volume was linked to the amount of amniotic fluid. In a population-based prospective study from early fetal life, fetal growth characteristics and fetal blood flow parameters were assessed by ultrasound and Doppler examinations in 1215 women in mid- and late-pregnancy. Kidney volume was measured in late pregnancy. Maternal height and pre-pregnancy weight were associated with kidney volume. After adjustment for the same characteristics in late pregnancy, fetal growth and blood flow in mid-pregnancy were not associated with kidney volume in late pregnancy. In late pregnancy, however, all fetal growth parameters were positively linked with kidney volume. The largest effect on kidney volume was found for abdominal circumference. Signs of fetal blood flow redistribution and increased placental resistance were associated with decreased kidney volume in late pregnancy. Amniotic fluid volume was positively associated with kidney volume. Our study shows that maternal anthropometrics, fetal growth, fetal blood flow redistribution, and raised placental resistance all correlate with kidney volume.

Insertion/deletion gene polymorphism of the angiotensin-converting enzyme and blood pressure changes in older adults. The Rotterdam study

The insertion/deletion (I/D) polymorphism of the angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) gene may be involved in determining blood pressure changes. The aim of the present study was to assess the relationship between the ACE I/D gene and the change of blood pressure levels during follow-up. We calculated the difference between mean levels of SBP, DBP and PP obtained during the two observations as follows: BP mean levels obtained at third phase minus the BP mean levels at baseline and subsequently we investigated the association of the ACE I/D polymorphism and the mean changes of SBP, DBP and PP levels. The study was conducted within the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study including subjects aged 55 years and older. Information on the II, ID and DD genotypes of the ACE gene and mean change of blood pressure levels were available in 3966 subjects. In adjusted models, subjects with the D allele had higher mean changes of systolic and pulse pressure (PP) than subjects with the I allele. The mean changes of systolic blood pressure were 6.1 (4.7-7.5), 8.2 (7.5-9.3) and 7.4 (5.9-8.5) mm Hg in subjects with the II, ID and DD genotype, respectively. The corresponding mean changes of PP through genotypes were 4.3 (3.3-5.4), 6.0 (5.3-6.7) and 5.9 (4.9-6.9) mm Hg, respectively. No difference was found for mean change of diastolic blood pressure among genotypes. In conclusion, the results of this population-based study show that the ACE ID/DD genotypes are associated with increased mean changes of systolic and PP.

TGF-beta1 polymorphisms and arterial stiffness; the Rotterdam Study

Arterial stiffness is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Transforming growth factor beta1 is a pleiotropic cytokine, with many functions, including influence on the vascular wall (e.g., on angiogenesis, endothelial cells and the extracellular matrix). We investigated five functional polymorphisms in the transforming growth factor beta1 gene (-800 G/A, -509 C/T, codon 10 Leu/Pro, codon 25 Arg/Pro and codon 263 Thr/Ile) in relation to arterial stiffness in a population-based study. A total of 3863 participants of the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based study, were included in the current study. The relations of the genotypes and haplotypes with arterial stiffness (pulse wave velocity (PWV), distensibility coefficient (DC) and pulse pressure (PP)) were studied using analyses of variance and linear regression. The analyses were adjusted for age, sex, mean arterial pressure, heart rate, conventional cardiovascular risk factors and measures of atherosclerosis. There were no associations between PWV and -800 G/A (P=0.56), -509 C/T (P=0.29), codon 10 (P=0.98) and, codon 25 (P=0.28). These polymorphisms were not associated with the DC or with PP. The haplotype-based analyses yielded similar results. The results of this study show that the TGF-beta1 -800 G/A, -509 C/T, codon 10 Leu/Pro and codon 25 Arg/Pro polymorphisms are not associated with arterial stiffness.

Pharmacogenetic interactions of three candidate gene polymorphisms with ACE-inhibitors or beta-blockers and the risk of atherosclerosis

AIMS

To investigate whether the angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) insertion/deletion (I/D), angiotensinogen M235T or angiotensin II receptor type 1 573C/T polymorphism modify the risk of atherosclerosis associated with beta-blocker or ACE-inhibitor therapy.

METHODS

Data were used from the Rotterdam Study, a population-based prospective cohort study in the Netherlands, which started in 1990 and included 7983 subjects of >or= 55 years. In this study, 2216 subjects with hypertension were included. Three subclinical measurements were used for atherosclerosis, i.e. peripheral arterial disease, carotid atherosclerosis and aortic atherosclerosis. The interaction between antihypertensive drugs and genetic polymorphisms on the risk of atherosclerosis was determined with binary logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The risk of aortic atherosclerosis associated with long-term (>or=4 years) beta-blocker treatment compared with no use of beta-blockers was higher in subjects with the TT genotype than in subjects with the MM genotype of the AGT gene [synergy index (SI) = 3.36; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14, 9.97]. The risk of carotid atherosclerosis associated with long-term ACE-inhibitor treatment compared with no use of ACE-inhibitors was lower in subjects with the TT genotype than in subjects with the MM genotype of the AGT gene (SI = 0.20; 95% CI 0.04, 0.95).

CONCLUSION

Overall, the risk of atherosclerosis in hypertensives taking a beta-blocker or ACE-inhibitor-based regimen was not strongly modified by any of the three candidate gene polymorphisms.

Diuretic-gene interaction and the risk of myocardial infarction and stroke

This study investigates whether the interaction between diuretics and alpha-adducin (ADD1) G460W or G-protein beta3-subunit (GNB3) rs2301339 polymorphism modifies the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke. Data were used from the Rotterdam Study. The drug-gene interaction was determined with a Cox proportional hazard model with adjustment for each drug class as time-dependent covariates. The risk of MI in current users of low-ceiling diuretics with one or two copies of the ADD1 W-allele (hazard ration (HR)=0.92) was similar compared to the expected joint effect of the W-allele and low-ceiling diuretics on a multiplicative scale (1.04 x 0.90=0.94) (synergy index (SI):0.99; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.43-2.27). No drug-gene interaction was found on the risk of stroke (SI:0.66; 95% CI:0.43-1.27). In addition, a trend towards an interaction was found between current use and the GNB3 rs230119 G/A polymorphism on the risk of MI (SI: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.23-1.15), whereas no interaction on the risk of stroke was found (SI: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.46-1.56).

Unrecognized myocardial infarction and the risk of stroke: The Rotterdam Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between unrecognized myocardial infarction and the risk of stroke in a population-based cohort study.

METHODS

We followed 6,439 participants from the Rotterdam Study for stroke until January 2002. Participants were free from stroke, and presence of myocardial infarction was assessed at baseline (1990-1993). We calculated hazard ratios of stroke for persons with unrecognized or recognized myocardial infarction compared with persons without myocardial infarction. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

In 52,915 person-years of follow-up, 505 strokes occurred. Recognized myocardial infarction was only borderline associated with an increased risk of stroke. Unrecognized myocardial infarction increased the risk of stroke by 76% (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio 1.76, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.37). Stratification by sex showed that the increased risk was only found in men (hazard ratio for men 2.53, 95% CI 1.68 to 3.81; hazard ratio for women 1.27, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.96). After adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors at baseline, the risk remained significantly increased in men (hazard ratio for stroke 2.13, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.36). Subtyping of strokes revealed that unrecognized myocardial infarction was particularly associated with cortical ischemic strokes (hazard ratio for men 3.57, 95% CI 1.79 to 7.12).

CONCLUSIONS

Men with unrecognized myocardial infarction have an increased risk of stroke.

A longitudinal population-based study of prothrombotic factors in elderly subjects with atrial fibrillation: the Rotterdam Study 1990-1999

BACKGROUND

A prothrombotic or hypercoagulable state in atrial fibrillation may contribute to stroke and thromboembolism. Results of longitudinal population-based studies in elderly people with atrial fibrillation are not yet available.

METHODS

In the Rotterdam Study, a population-based prospective cohort study, 162 participants with atrial fibrillation at baseline, aged 55 years and over, were matched for age and gender with 324 people in sinus rhythm. Associations were examined between three coagulation factors and the risk of total and cardiac mortality and stroke. Hazard rate ratios were calculated with 95% confidence intervals using Cox's proportional hazards model, adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Plasma von Willebrand factor was, age- and gender-adjusted, associated with cardiac mortality in the total population (relative risk 1.16; 1.06-1.27, per 10 IU dL(-1) increase), but statistical significance was lost after additional adjustments. A strong association (1.27; 1.08-1.50, per 5-unit increase) was found between soluble P-selectin (sP-sel) and cardiac mortality in atrial fibrillation patients but not in participants in sinus rhythm. Furthermore, the expected association between fibrinogen and cardiac mortality was observed only in those in sinus rhythm (2.60; 1.69-4.01, per unit increase), and not in atrial fibrillation. No associations were found between coagulation factors and stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based study, plasma levels of sP-sel predicted clinical adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation, suggesting a role of platelets in the prothrombotic state associated with atrial fibrillation. Fibrinogen was a risk factor of cardiac and all-cause mortality in sinus rhythm, but not in atrial fibrillation.

Dietary folate, vitamin B12, and vitamin B6 and the risk of Parkinson disease

BACKGROUND

Increased homocysteine levels might accelerate dopaminergic cell death in Parkinson disease (PD), through neurotoxic effects. Higher dietary intakes of folate, vitamin B12, and vitamin B6 (cofactors in homocysteine metabolism) might decrease the risk of PD through decreasing plasma homocysteine. Moreover, vitamin B6 might influence the risk of PD through antioxidant effects unrelated to homocysteine metabolism and through its role in dopamine synthesis.

METHODS

In the Rotterdam Study, a prospective, population-based cohort study of people aged 55 years and older, the authors evaluated the association between dietary intake of folate, vitamin B12, and vitamin B6 and the risk of incident PD among 5,289 participants who were free of dementia and parkinsonism and underwent complete dietary assessment at baseline. PD was assessed through repeated in-person examination and continuous monitoring by computer linkage to medical records. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 9.7 years, the authors identified 72 participants with incident PD. Higher dietary intake of vitamin B6 was associated with a significantly decreased risk of PD (hazard ratio per SD, 0.69 [95% CI 0.50 to 0.96]; for highest vs lowest tertile, 0.46 [0.22 to 0.96]). Stratified analyses showed that this association was restricted to smokers. No association was observed for dietary folate and vitamin B(12).

CONCLUSIONS

Dietary vitamin B6 may decrease the risk of Parkinson disease, probably through mechanisms unrelated to homocysteine metabolism.

ACEPolymorphisms

Angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) plays an essential role in two physiological systems, one leading to the production of angiotensin II and the other to the degradation of bradykinin. The wide distribution and multifunctional properties of these peptides suggest that ACE could be involved in various pathophysiological conditions. The discovery that ACE levels are under genetic control ushered in a new era of investigation; most studies focused on an insertion/deletion (I/D) polymorphism in intron 16 of the ACE gene as a marker for a functional polymorphism. Recently, many single nucleotide polymorphisms were detected in the gene and the search for the locations of functional polymorphisms became a topic of extensive investigation. Nevertheless, association studies on the I/D polymorphism and clinical outcomes continued, mostly with conflicting results. This article reviews the current state of knowledge regarding ACE polymorphisms and suggests that a functional polymorphism is most likely located between intron 18 and the 3' UTR. The potential existence of another functional polymorphism in the 5' UTR, however, cannot be excluded. This review also presents an overview of ACE function in different pathophysiological systems, and summarizes previous reports on ACE and clinical outcomes. Although findings on the I/D polymorphism and disorders like diabetic nephropathy and Alzheimer disease can be considered conclusive, reports on most of the cardiovascular phenotypes are still controversial. Genotypic and phenotypic misclassifications, insufficient power in some studies, and the presence of interaction with other genes or environmental factors are possible explanations for the contradictory findings.

Angiotensin converting enzyme gene polymorphism and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality: the Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

Findings on the association between the insertion/deletion (I/D) polymorphism of the angiotensin I-converting enzyme (ACE) gene and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality have been inconsistent. Considering the possible interaction between this polymorphism and smoking, we evaluated the association between ACE I/D polymorphism and myocardial infarction (MI), mortality due to coronary heart disease (CHD), and cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

The study was performed within the Rotterdam Study, a population based cohort study. The ACE I/D polymorphism was determined for 6714 participants and smoking status recorded at baseline. Fatal and non-fatal MIs and mortality events were regularly recorded. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed separately for current smokers and non-smokers. We used age as the follow up time, presenting age specific survivals.

RESULTS

During follow up, 248 MIs and 301 and 482 deaths, respectively, due to CHD and CVD occurred. There were no significant differences between the genotypes as regards MI incidence. Among smokers, there was an increased risk of CHD and CVD mortality in carriers of the DD genotype compared to the II genotype, which diminished at later ages (p<0.01 for gene-age interaction). Subgroup analysis in a younger and older group (based on the median age of 68.2 years) showed a significantly increased risk of CVD mortality in the younger group (hazard ratio = 5.19; 95% confidence interval: 1.15 to 23.42).

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that the ACE I/D polymorphism is not a strong risk factor for MI but its interaction with smoking might play a role in cardiovascular mortality especially at younger ages.

Heritability of the Function and Structure of the Arterial Wall

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Using 930 individuals connected in a single pedigree from an isolated population, participants of the Erasmus Rucphen Family (ERF) study, we investigated the heritability of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV), carotid intima media thickness (IMT), and carotid plaque score.

METHODS

PWV was measured between the carotid and femoral arteries as an indicator of aortic stiffness. Common carotid IMT and plaque score, quantifying alterations in arterial wall structure, were measured by ultrasonography.

RESULTS

All 3 traits were significantly associated with classic cardiovascular risk factors. Age- and gender-adjusted heritability estimates were 0.36 for PWV, 0.41 for carotid IMT, and 0.28 for plaque score. After adjustment for appropriate risk factors, the heritabilities were 0.26, 0.35, and 0.21 for PWV, IMT, and plaque score, respectively. All heritability estimates were statistically significant (P<0.001). Taking into account different proportions of variance associated with covariates for each trait, genetic factors explained &12% of the total variability for each of the phenotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first report on the heritability of PWV. The heritability estimates of IMT and plaque score were similar to those in previous reports. We conclude that genetic factors significantly contribute to arterial structure and function in this isolated population, presenting the opportunity to locate susceptibility genes related to cardiovascular disorders.

Insertion/deletion polymorphism of the ACE gene and adherence to ACE inhibitors

AIMS

We investigated whether the insertion/deletion (I/D) polymorphism of the ACE gene modified the adherence to ACE inhibitors as measured by the discontinuation of an ACE inhibitor, or addition of another antihypertensive drug.

METHODS

This was a cohort study among 239 subjects who started ACE inhibitor therapy. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate relative risk (RR).

RESULTS

During follow-up there was no significant difference between subjects with the DD, ID or II genotype (DD vs II; RR = 1.17, 95%CI: 0.78, 1.77 and ID vs II; RR = 1.06, 95%CI: 0.73, 1.55) in adherence.

CONCLUSIONS

The I/D polymorphism of the ACE gene does not influence the adherence to ACE inhibitors.

Ethnic differences in prenatal growth and the association with maternal and fetal characteristics

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study were to determine ethnic differences in prenatal growth and to examine their association with differences in maternal and fetal characteristics such as maternal height, weight, age, parity and fetal gender.

METHODS

A total of 1494 women from Rotterdam, The Netherlands, with a low-risk pregnancy who participated in a population-based cohort study, the Generation R Study, were offered three ultrasound examinations during pregnancy. Multilevel modeling was applied to determine ethnic differences in (estimated) fetal weight (including birth weight) and in the separate biometric variables that were used to calculate the estimated fetal weight (abdominal circumference, head circumference and femur length). Additionally the association of ethnic differences with maternal and fetal characteristics (i.e. maternal weight, height, age, parity and fetal gender) was studied.

RESULTS

Turkish, Cape Verdian, Surinamese-Creole and Surinamese-Hindustani women had on average smaller fetuses than the native Dutch women. The differences became more pronounced towards term. In the Turkish group the differences were no longer statistically significant when adjusted for maternal weight, height, age, parity and fetal gender. In the Cape Verdian, Surinamese-Creole and Surinamese-Hindustani groups the differences decreased after adjustment (31%, 16% and 39%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that there are ethnic differences in fetal growth, which to a large extent may be attributed to differences in maternal weight, height, age and parity. For some ethnic groups, however, additional factors are involved, as differences remain significant after correction for fetal and maternal characteristics.

Angiotensin converting enzyme gene, smoking and mortality in a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The genetic and environmental risk factors, which may influence longevity and mortality, have received much attention during more than one decade. One of the major risks for mortality is cardiovascular disease and the renin angiotensin system (RAS) plays a major role in maintaining blood pressure homeostasis. In this system, the Angiotensin Converting Enzyme (ACE) is one of the key regulators and has been studied in relation to cardiovascular disease and mortality. We aimed to evaluate if the ACE I/D polymorphism is related to total mortality in the elderly.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Some 6968 elderly individuals from the Rotterdam study were genotyped for this polymorphism. Smoking was studied as a possible covariable or effect modifier. To examine the effect of the ACE genotype on mortality, a Cox proportional hazards model was fitted.

RESULTS

Our results show an increased risk of total mortality in subjects with age at death below 65 years carriers of the DD genotype (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.9, P = 0.016). This association was significant in total and cause specific mortality only in those who smoke (P-value < 0.001 for gene-age interaction). Our findings suggest that the ACE gene is rather associated with early mortality than with late.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals who carry the DD genotype appear to be susceptible to early mortality if they smoke, suggesting a possible interaction between smoking and the ACE gene.

Dietary fatty acids and the risk of Parkinson disease: The Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

Unsaturated fatty acids are important constituents of neuronal cell membranes and have neuroprotective, antioxidant, and anti-inflammatory properties.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if a high intake of unsaturated fatty acids might be associated with a lower risk of Parkinson disease (PD).

METHODS

In the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort study of people ages > or =55, the association between intake of unsaturated fatty acids and the risk of incident PD was evaluated among 5,289 subjects who were free of dementia and parkinsonism and underwent complete dietary assessment at baseline. PD was assessed through repeated in-person examination, and the cohort was continuously monitored by computer linkage to medical records. The data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 6.0 years, 51 participants with incident PD were identified. Intakes of total fat, monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs), and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) were significantly associated with a lower risk of PD, with an adjusted hazard ratio per SD increase of energy-adjusted intake of 0.69 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.91) for total fat, of 0.68 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.94) for MUFAs, and 0.66 (95% CI 0.46 to 0.96) for PUFAs. No associations were found for dietary saturated fat, cholesterol, or trans-fat.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that high intake of unsaturated fatty acids might protect against Parkinson disease.