Achievement of Target Gain Larger than Unity in an Inertial Fusion Experiment

On December 5, 2022, an indirect drive fusion implosion on the National Ignition Facility (NIF) achieved a target gain G_{target} of 1.5. This is the first laboratory demonstration of exceeding "scientific breakeven" (or G_{target}>1) where 2.05 MJ of 351 nm laser light produced 3.1 MJ of total fusion yield, a result which significantly exceeds the Lawson criterion for fusion ignition as reported in a previous NIF implosion [H. Abu-Shawareb et al. (Indirect Drive ICF Collaboration), Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 075001 (2022)PRLTAO0031-900710.1103/PhysRevLett.129.075001]. This achievement is the culmination of more than five decades of research and gives proof that laboratory fusion, based on fundamental physics principles, is possible. This Letter reports on the target, laser, design, and experimental advancements that led to this result.

Response adaptive salvage with KTd and ASCT for functional high-risk multiple myeloma-The Australasian Leukemia and Lymphoma Group (ALLG) MM17 Trial

We evaluated re-induction incorporating carfilzomib-thalidomide-dexamethasone (KTd) and autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) refractory, or demonstrating a suboptimal response, to non-IMID bortezomib-based induction. KTd salvage consisted of thalidomide 100 mg daily and dexamethasone 20 mg orally combined with carfilzomib 56 mg/m² days 1, 2, 8, 9, 15 and 16, of each 28-day cycle. Following four cycles, patients achieving a stringent complete response proceeded to ASCT whereas those who did not received a further two cycles then ASCT. Consolidation consisted of two cycles of KTd then Td to a total of 12 months post-ASCT therapy. Primary end-point was the overall response rate (ORR) with KTd prior to ASCT. Fifty patients were recruited. The ORR was 78% with EuroFlow MRD negativity of 34% in the intention-to-treat population and 65% in the evaluable population at 12 months post-ASCT. With follow-up >38 months median PFS and OS have not been reached with PFS and OS at 36 months of 64% and 80%, respectively. KTd was well tolerated with grade 3 and grade ≥4 adverse events rates of 32% and 10%, respectively. Response adaptive utilisation of KTd with ASCT is associated with both high-quality responses and durable disease control in functional high-risk NDMM.

Recommendations from a Canadian Delphi consensus study on best practice for optimal referral and appropriate management of severe asthma

BACKGROUND

In Canada, severe asthma affects an estimated 5-10% of people with asthma and is associated with frequent exacerbations, poor symptom control and significant morbidity from the disease itself, as well as the high dose inhaled, and systemic steroids used to treat it. Significant heterogeneity exists in service structure and patient access to severe asthma care, including access to biologic treatments. There appears to be over-reliance on short-acting beta agonists and frequent oral corticosteroid use, two indicators of uncontrolled asthma which can indicate undiagnosed or suboptimally treated severe asthma. The objective of this modified Delphi consensus project was to define standards of care for severe asthma in Canada, in areas where the evidence is lacking through patient and healthcare professional consensus, to complement forthcoming guidelines.

METHODS

The steering group of asthma experts identified 43 statements formed from eight key themes. An online 4-point Likert scale questionnaire was sent to healthcare professionals working in asthma across Canada to assess agreement (consensus) with these statements. Consensus was defined as high if ≥ 75% and very high if ≥ 90% of respondents agreed with a statement.

RESULTS

A total of 150 responses were received from HCPs including certified respiratory educators, respirologists, allergists, general practitioners/family physicians, nurses, pharmacists, and respiratory therapists. Consensus amongst respondents was very high in 37 (86%) statements, high in 4 (9%) statements and was not achieved in 2 (5%) statements. Based on the consensus scores, ten key recommendations were proposed. These focus on referrals from primary and secondary care, accessing specialist asthma services, homecare provision for severe asthma patients and outcome measures.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of these recommendations across the severe asthma care pathway in Canada has the potential to improve outcomes for patients through earlier detection of undiagnosed severe asthma, reduction in time to severe asthma diagnosis, and initiation of advanced phenotype specific therapies.

Continuous heart rate variability monitoring of freely moving chicken through a wearable electrocardiography recording system

Identification and quantification of stress and stress inducing factors are important components of animal welfare assessment and essential parts of poultry management. Measurement of the autonomic nervous system's influence on cardiac function using heart rate and heart rate variability (HR/HRV) indices can provide a non-invasive assessment of the welfare status of an animal. This paper presents a preliminary study showing the feasibility of continuous long-term measurement of HR/HRV indices in freely moving chicken. We developed and evaluated an electrocardiography (ECG) based HR/HRV recording system that can be used as a poultry wearable backpack for research studies. The backpack system was first validated against a commercial ECG amplifier, and the corresponding estimations of HR values matched well with each other. Then, an in vivo proof-of-concept experiment was conducted on floor-reared chickens to collect ECG data for 2 weeks. The extracted HR/HRV values show strong alignment with circadian patterns and well-defined sleep cycles. Wearable devices, like the backpack ECG system used in this study, may be best suited for application in freely moving poultry to get an insight into circadian abnormalities and sleep quality for stress and welfare management.

The influence of anastomotic techniques on postoperative anastomotic complications: Results of the Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Audit

BACKGROUND

The optimal anastomotic techniques in esophagectomy to minimize rates of anastomotic leakage and conduit necrosis are not known. The aim of this study was to assess whether the anastomotic technique was associated with anastomotic failure after esophagectomy in the international Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Audit cohort.

METHODS

This prospective observational multicenter cohort study included patients undergoing esophagectomy for esophageal cancer over 9 months during 2018. The primary exposure was the anastomotic technique, classified as handsewn, linear stapled, or circular stapled. The primary outcome was anastomotic failure, namely a composite of anastomotic leakage and conduit necrosis, as defined by the Esophageal Complications Consensus Group. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to identify the association between anastomotic techniques and anastomotic failure, after adjustment for confounders.

RESULTS

Of the 2238 esophagectomies, the anastomosis was handsewn in 27.1%, linear stapled in 21.0%, and circular stapled in 51.9%. Anastomotic techniques differed significantly by the anastomosis sites (P < .001), with the majority of neck anastomoses being handsewn (69.9%), whereas most chest anastomoses were stapled (66.3% circular stapled and 19.3% linear stapled). Rates of anastomotic failure differed significantly among the anastomotic techniques (P < .001), from 19.3% in handsewn anastomoses, to 14.0% in linear stapled anastomoses, and 12.1% in circular stapled anastomoses. This effect remained significant after adjustment for confounding factors on multivariable analysis, with an odds ratio of 0.63 (95% CI, 0.46-0.86; P = .004) for circular stapled versus handsewn anastomosis. However, subgroup analysis by anastomosis site suggested that this effect was predominantly present in neck anastomoses, with anastomotic failure rates of 23.2% versus 14.6% versus 5.9% for handsewn versus linear stapled anastomoses versus circular stapled neck anastomoses, compared with 13.7% versus 13.8% versus 12.2% for chest anastomoses.

CONCLUSIONS

Handsewn anastomoses appear to be independently associated with higher rates of anastomotic failure compared with stapled anastomoses. However, this effect seems to be largely confined to neck anastomoses, with minimal differences between techniques observed for chest anastomoses. Further research into standardization of anastomotic approach and techniques may further improve outcomes.

Lawson Criterion for Ignition Exceeded in an Inertial Fusion Experiment

For more than half a century, researchers around the world have been engaged in attempts to achieve fusion ignition as a proof of principle of various fusion concepts. Following the Lawson criterion, an ignited plasma is one where the fusion heating power is high enough to overcome all the physical processes that cool the fusion plasma, creating a positive thermodynamic feedback loop with rapidly increasing temperature. In inertially confined fusion, ignition is a state where the fusion plasma can begin "burn propagation" into surrounding cold fuel, enabling the possibility of high energy gain. While "scientific breakeven" (i.e., unity target gain) has not yet been achieved (here target gain is 0.72, 1.37 MJ of fusion for 1.92 MJ of laser energy), this Letter reports the first controlled fusion experiment, using laser indirect drive, on the National Ignition Facility to produce capsule gain (here 5.8) and reach ignition by nine different formulations of the Lawson criterion.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

A novel approach to monitoring lithium blood levels and renal function in patients receiving lithium during the COVID-19 pandemic

Introduction

Lithium is commonly administered to patients in an outpatient department (OPD) setting. Regular monitoring of lithium levels and renal function in accordance with published guidelines is required. In our unit, this is usually performed at OPD review. During the COVID-19 pandemic, reviews were either postponed or done remotely.

Objectives

1. To devise a system to ensure that patients receiving lithium had appropriate blood test monitoring in the absence of traditional OPD appointments. 2. To assess the efficacy of this intervention by recording blood test dates and comparing with pre-COVID compliance.

Methods

All outpatients receiving lithium, identified from the hospital database, received (1) a letter summarising the monitoring guidelines and (2) prospectively dated blood request forms. Patients at higher risk of contracting COVID-19 were advised to attend their primary care setting. Others were encouraged to attend primary care or our phlebotomy department. Compliance was measured by accessing the hospital’s laboratory enquiry computer based system and compared with pre-COVID-19 figures. Information was anonymised, as per General Data Protection Regulations.

Results

57 patients receiving lithium were identified. Prior to the first Irish lockdown in March 2020, 16 (28%) were overdue testing. Three months into the pandemic, 15 patients (26%) were overdue testing.

Conclusions

In the absence of routine outpatient appointments during the COVID-19 pandemic, the provision of written guidelines and completed blood request forms for patients receiving lithium was effective in ensuring monitoring of lithium levels and renal function. This system can be utilised as an alternative/adjunct to OPD review benefitting patients and health service delivery.

Disclosure

No significant relationships.

POS0756 DETERMINANTS OF HEALTH-RELATED QUALITY OF LIFE (HR-QoL) ACROSS THE SPECTRUM OF SYSTEMIC AUTOIMMUNE RHEUMATIC DISEASES: RESULTS FROM THE LEAP COHORT

Background

Poor health-related quality of life (HR-QoL) is recognised in patients with established connective tissue diseases (CTDs), however it is not clear how it affects patients with undifferentiated CTD (UCTD) which has traditionally been associated with a mild or more benign profile.

Objectives

To investigate HR-QoL in patients affected with a variety of CTDs (including UCTD) using the SF-36 questionnaire; and secondly, to review demographic and clinical factors predictive of a poor HR-QoL

Methods

The Lupus Extended Autoimmune Phenotype (LEAP) cohort is a multicentre prospective study of patients with a CTD. Rheumatologist diagnosis was used to classify patients into four groups: systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), primary Sjögren’s syndrome (pSS), UCTD, and (combined because of low numbers) those with an idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM), systemic sclerosis (SSc) or overlap syndrome. The SF-36 quality of life questionnaire was completed at enrolment and includes eight domains: physical function (PF), role physical (RP), bodily pain (BP), general health (GH), vitality (VT), social functioning (SF), role emotional (RE) and mental health (MH) which range from 0 to 100, with higher scores reflecting better HR-QoL. Physical (PCS) and mental component score (MCS) were calculated for each group, with a score below 50 representing a worse HR-QoL compared to the general UK population. Predictors for poor HR-QoL was chosen a priori, then tested using linear regression adjusted for age, gender and ethnicity. All statistical analysis was performed using STATA v14, with results expressed as beta coefficients with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI).

Results

Data were collected from 309 patients (280 [90.6%] women, with a mean [SD] age of 48.9 [12.9] years) from three UK rheumatology centres. The majority of patients were Caucasian (n=235, 76.1%). By rheumatologist diagnosis, 115 (37.2%) had SLE, 56 (18.1%) pSS, 72 (23.3%) UCTD and 66 (21.4%) SSc, IIM or an overlap syndrome. Patients with UCTD, pSS and SSc/IIM spectrum disorders had a shorter median disease duration (3.8, 3.7 and 6.1 years respectively) compared with patients with those with SLE (11.0 years), p<0.001. Previous steroid and immunosuppressant use was highest in patients with SLE and SSc/IIM spectrum disorders (p<0.001). The most affected domains include VT, GH and BP (Figure 1), and the PCS is more impaired compared with the MCS, with similar scores across disease groups. Agnostic of disease group, factors associated with a lower PCS include increasing age (beta -0.15 [95%CI -0.26, -0.06], p=0.008), prednisolone use (-3.1 [-6.05, -0.19], p=0.037), c-reactive protein (-0.09 [-0.62, -0.10], p=0.007), fatigue (-2.00 [-3.79, -0.22], p=0.028), and sicca syndrome (-4.70 [-7.66, -1.74] p=0.002), and these remained significant in a multivariate model.

Figure 1.

radar diagrams of eight SF-36 domains, and MCS and PCS boxplots. SLE; systemic lupus erythematosus; UCTD, undifferentiated CTD; pSS, primary Sjögren’s syndrome; IIM, idiopathic inflammatory myopathy; SSc, systemic sclerosis; PF, physical function; RP, role physical; BP, bodily pain; GH, general health; VT, vitality; SF, social functioning; RE, role emotional; MH, mental health

Conclusion

Patients with UCTD exhibit similar impairment in physical components of HR-QoL compared with other established CTDs, despite perceived differences in disease severity. This study highlights sicca syndrome, fatigue, and steroid burden as key targets for improving HR-QoL in patients across the spectrum of CTDs.

Disclosure of Interests

Sarah Dyball Grant/research support from: UCB and Eli Lilly, John Reynolds: None declared, Ariane Herrick Speakers bureau: Janssen, Consultant of: Arena, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Camurus, CSL-Behring, and Gesynta, Grant/research support from: Gesynta, Hector Chinoy Speakers bureau: UCB, Biogen, Consultant of: Novartis, Eli Lilly, Orphazyme, Astra Zeneca, Grant/research support from: Eli Lilly and UCB, Sahena Haque: None declared, Sophia Naz: None declared, Ellen Bruce: None declared, Ian N. Bruce Speakers bureau: AstraZeneca, GSK and UCB, Consultant of: AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly, GSK, Merck Serono, UCB and ILTOO, Grant/research support from: Genzyme/Sanofi, GSK, Roche and UCB, Ben Parker Speakers bureau: Eli Lilly and Roche, Consultant of: Fresenius-Kabi and AbbVie, Grant/research support from: Genzyme/Sanofi and GSK

Textbook outcome following oesophagectomy for cancer: international cohort study

Background

Textbook outcome has been proposed as a tool for the assessment of oncological surgical care. However, an international assessment in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer has not been reported. This study aimed to assess textbook outcome in an international setting.

Methods

Patients undergoing curative resection for oesophageal cancer were identified from the international Oesophagogastric Anastomosis Audit (OGAA) from April 2018 to December 2018. Textbook outcome was defined as the percentage of patients who underwent a complete tumour resection with at least 15 lymph nodes in the resected specimen and an uneventful postoperative course, without hospital readmission. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with textbook outcome, and results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95 per cent confidence intervals (95 per cent c.i.).

Results

Of 2159 patients with oesophageal cancer, 39.7 per cent achieved a textbook outcome. The outcome parameter ‘no major postoperative complication’ had the greatest negative impact on a textbook outcome for patients with oesophageal cancer, compared to other textbook outcome parameters. Multivariable analysis identified male gender and increasing Charlson comorbidity index with a significantly lower likelihood of textbook outcome. Presence of 24-hour on-call rota for oesophageal surgeons (OR 2.05, 95 per cent c.i. 1.30 to 3.22; P = 0.002) and radiology (OR 1.54, 95 per cent c.i. 1.05 to 2.24; P = 0.027), total minimally invasive oesophagectomies (OR 1.63, 95 per cent c.i. 1.27 to 2.08; P &lt; 0.001), and chest anastomosis above azygous (OR 2.17, 95 per cent c.i. 1.58 to 2.98; P &lt; 0.001) were independently associated with a significantly increased likelihood of textbook outcome.

Conclusion

Textbook outcome is achieved in less than 40 per cent of patients having oesophagectomy for cancer. Improvements in centralization, hospital resources, access to minimal access surgery, and adoption of newer techniques for improving lymph node yield could improve textbook outcome.

Textbook outcome following oesophagectomy for cancer: international cohort study

BACKGROUND

Textbook outcome has been proposed as a tool for the assessment of oncological surgical care. However, an international assessment in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer has not been reported. This study aimed to assess textbook outcome in an international setting.

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative resection for oesophageal cancer were identified from the international Oesophagogastric Anastomosis Audit (OGAA) from April 2018 to December 2018. Textbook outcome was defined as the percentage of patients who underwent a complete tumour resection with at least 15 lymph nodes in the resected specimen and an uneventful postoperative course, without hospital readmission. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with textbook outcome, and results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95 per cent confidence intervals (95 per cent c.i.).

RESULTS

Of 2159 patients with oesophageal cancer, 39.7 per cent achieved a textbook outcome. The outcome parameter 'no major postoperative complication' had the greatest negative impact on a textbook outcome for patients with oesophageal cancer, compared to other textbook outcome parameters. Multivariable analysis identified male gender and increasing Charlson comorbidity index with a significantly lower likelihood of textbook outcome. Presence of 24-hour on-call rota for oesophageal surgeons (OR 2.05, 95 per cent c.i. 1.30 to 3.22; P = 0.002) and radiology (OR 1.54, 95 per cent c.i. 1.05 to 2.24; P = 0.027), total minimally invasive oesophagectomies (OR 1.63, 95 per cent c.i. 1.27 to 2.08; P < 0.001), and chest anastomosis above azygous (OR 2.17, 95 per cent c.i. 1.58 to 2.98; P < 0.001) were independently associated with a significantly increased likelihood of textbook outcome.

CONCLUSION

Textbook outcome is achieved in less than 40 per cent of patients having oesophagectomy for cancer. Improvements in centralization, hospital resources, access to minimal access surgery, and adoption of newer techniques for improving lymph node yield could improve textbook outcome.

Next generation risk assessment for skin allergy: Decision making using new approach methodologies

Our aim is to develop and apply next generation approaches to skin allergy risk assessment (SARA) that do not require new animal test data and better quantify uncertainties. Significant progress has been made in the development of New Approach Methodologies (NAMs), non-animal test methods, for assessment of skin sensitisation and there is now focus on their application to derive potency information for use in Next Generation Risk Assessment (NGRA). The SARA model utilises a Bayesian statistical approach to infer a human-relevant metric of sensitiser potency and a measure of risk associated with a given consumer exposure based upon any combination of human repeat insult patch test, local lymph node, direct peptide reactivity assay, KeratinoSens™, h-CLAT or U-SENS™ data. Here we have applied the SARA model within our weight of evidence NGRA framework for skin allergy to three case study materials in four consumer products. Highlighting how to structure the risk assessment, apply NAMs to derive a point of departure and conclude on consumer safety risk. NGRA based upon NAMs were, for these exposures, at least as protective as the historical risk assessment approaches. Through such case studies we are building our confidence in using NAMs for skin allergy risk assessment.

36 Predicting Long-Term Survival and Time-to-Recurrence After Oesophagectomy in Patients with Oesophageal Cancer

Aim

Long-term survival after oesophagectomy remains poor, with recurrence a feared common outcome. Prediction tools can identify high-risk patients and optimise treatment decisions based on their prognostic factors. This study developed a prediction model to predict long-term survival and time-to-recurrence following surgery for oesophageal cancer.

Method

Patients undergoing curative surgery from the European iNvestigation of SUrveillance After Resection for Esophageal Cancer study were included. Prediction models were developed for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using Cox proportional hazards (CPH) and Random Survival Forest (RSF). Model performance was evaluated using discrimination (time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC)) and calibration (visual comparison of predicted and observed survival probabilities).

Results

This study included 4719 patients with an OS of 47.7% and DFS of 48.4% at 5 years. Sixteen variables were included. CPH and RSF demonstrated good discrimination with a tAUC of 78.2% (95% CI 77.4–79.1%) and 77.1% (95% CI 76.1–78.1%) for OS and a tAUC of 79.4% (95% CI 78.5–80.2%) and 78.6% (95% CI 77.5–79.5%) respectively for DFS at 5 years. CPH showed good agreement between predicted and observed probabilities in all quintiles. RSF showed good agreement for patients with survival probabilities between 20–80%.

Conclusions

This study demonstrated that a statistical model can accurately predict long-term survival and time-to-recurrence after oesophagectomy. Identification of patient groups at risk of recurrence and poor long-term survival can improve patient outcomes by optimising treatment methods and surveillance strategies. Future work evaluating prediction-based decisions against standard decision-making is required to understand the clinical utility derived from prognostic model use.

36 Predicting Long-Term Survival and Time-to-Recurrence After Oesophagectomy in Patients with Oesophageal Cancer

Aim

Long-term survival after oesophagectomy remains poor, with recurrence a feared common outcome. Prediction tools can identify high-risk patients and optimise treatment decisions based on their prognostic factors. This study developed a prediction model to predict long-term survival and time-to-recurrence following surgery for oesophageal cancer.

Method

Patients undergoing curative surgery from the European iNvestigation of SUrveillance After Resection for Esophageal Cancer study were included. Prediction models were developed for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using Cox proportional hazards (CPH) and Random Survival Forest (RSF). Model performance was evaluated using discrimination (time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC)) and calibration (visual comparison of predicted and observed survival probabilities).

Results

This study included 4719 patients with an OS of 47.7% and DFS of 48.4% at 5 years. Sixteen variables were included. CPH and RSF demonstrated good discrimination with a tAUC of 78.2% (95% CI 77.4–79.1%) and 77.1% (95% CI 76.1–78.1%) for OS and a tAUC of 79.4% (95% CI 78.5–80.2%) and 78.6% (95% CI 77.5–79.5%) respectively for DFS at 5 years. CPH showed good agreement between predicted and observed probabilities in all quintiles. RSF showed good agreement for patients with survival probabilities between 20–80%.

Conclusions

This study demonstrated that a statistical model can accurately predict long-term survival and time-to-recurrence after oesophagectomy. Identification of patient groups at risk of recurrence and poor long-term survival can improve patient outcomes by optimising treatment methods and surveillance strategies. Future work evaluating prediction-based decisions against standard decision-making is required to understand the clinical utility derived from prognostic model use.

Postoperative outcomes in oesophagectomy with trainee involvement

BACKGROUND

The complexity of oesophageal surgery and the significant risk of morbidity necessitates that oesophagectomy is predominantly performed by a consultant surgeon, or a senior trainee under their supervision. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of trainee involvement in oesophagectomy on postoperative outcomes in an international multicentre setting.

METHODS

Data from the multicentre Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Study Group (OGAA) cohort study were analysed, which comprised prospectively collected data from patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer between April 2018 and December 2018. Procedures were grouped by the level of trainee involvement, and univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to compare patient outcomes across groups.

RESULTS

Of 2232 oesophagectomies from 137 centres in 41 countries, trainees were involved in 29.1 per cent of them (n = 650), performing only the abdominal phase in 230, only the chest and/or neck phases in 130, and all phases in 315 procedures. For procedures with a chest anastomosis, those with trainee involvement had similar 90-day mortality, complication and reoperation rates to consultant-performed oesophagectomies (P = 0.451, P = 0.318, and P = 0.382, respectively), while anastomotic leak rates were significantly lower in the trainee groups (P = 0.030). Procedures with a neck anastomosis had equivalent complication, anastomotic leak, and reoperation rates (P = 0.150, P = 0.430, and P = 0.632, respectively) in trainee-involved versus consultant-performed oesophagectomies, with significantly lower 90-day mortality in the trainee groups (P = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

Trainee involvement was not found to be associated with significantly inferior postoperative outcomes for selected patients undergoing oesophagectomy. The results support continued supervised trainee involvement in oesophageal cancer surgery.

Laboratory Management for Cytopathology Fellows: Our Institution’s Curriculum

Introduction/Objective

The cytopathology laboratory is one of the most highly regulated clinical laboratories. The Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) milestones include competencies in laboratory management. Additionally, many cytology fellows will be involved in laboratory management after finishing training. Therefore, it is imperative to incorporate formal laboratory management training for cytology fellows. Our cytopathology department implemented a formal laboratory management curriculum this year, with emphasis placed on the milestones (1.0 and 2.0) provided by the ACGME.

Methods/Case Report

The curriculum is divided into seven modules extending throughout the fellowship year (August-April). The modules include hand-off communication, process improvement, laboratory accreditation (introduction, intermediate, advanced) and error management (introduction, intermediate). Each module has two components: self-study of assigned reading materials and online courses, followed by an interactive session with faculty and/or laboratory personnel. Several engaging, high-quality resources are used including Institute for Healthcare Improvement Open School, modules from professional organizations, PubMed articles, National Quality Forum, departmental committees and mock inspections. Each module is followed by an interactive session to review policies, procedures and/or checklists. The fellows also spend time in the cytology laboratory preparation area and participate in Quality Improvement meetings.

Results (if a Case Study enter NA)

The fellowship director discusses the educational expectations at the start of each module. Evidence of compliance is demonstrated by uploading all of the completed assignments to MedHub (a web- based training management system) at the end of the module. All of the modules include self-assessment questions that are reviewed by the fellowship director.

Conclusion

Our cytopathology laboratory introduced a structured laboratory management curriculum. This curriculum fulfills some of the laboratory management competencies put forth in the ACGME milestones. This curriculum will also help to prepare fellows to confidently participate in cytology laboratory management as they enter the workforce.

OP0081 A CASE OF ATYPICAL MYCOBACTERIUM INFECTION COMPLICATING EXTRA-NODAL ROSAI-DORFMAN DISEASE IN A PATIENT WITH SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS (SLE)

Background:

We present the case of a 28 year old Black-British female with severe SLE requiring treatment with rituximab in 2012 due to persistent low-grade activity and severe episodes of pleuro-pericardial effusions, pancytopaenia, fever and weight loss

Her other background includes beta-thalassaemia trait and excision of calcific fibrotic tissue on bilateral anterolateral orbits in 2015.

In 2018 she reported an 18-month history of non-tender, non-fluctuant, slow growing left thigh mass with USS revealing a well demarcated subcutaneous complex cystic lesion of ~2x4x7cm. There was no preceding trauma or skin infection. Histology from a needle biopsy revealed diffuse histiocytosis with positive immunohistochemistry (ICH) for S100, CD68 and CD31, it was negative for CD1a, consistent with Extra-nodal Rosai-Dorfman disease (RDD).

She developed constitutional symptoms after reporting months of gradual weight loss with gradual ESR, CRP rise and leucocytosis. Her SLE symptoms were stable and given lack of SLE-specific symptoms; PET-CT was used to identify systemic RDD; the thigh mass showed strong FDG avidity along with a small focus of uptake in the small bowel, thought to be RDD related with no other areas of uptake.

She had ongoing ooze from the enlarging thigh lesion (5 x 26 x 15 cm), this was sent for MCS and AAFB; which isolated Mycobacterium avium. She was treated with rifampicin, ethambutol and clarithromycin resulting in improved thigh lesion, constitutional symptoms and inflammatory markers.

Objectives:

[1]To describe a rare associated complication of severe SLE and to educate and inform clinicians regarding possible masquerades of disease

[2]To education and inform about the approach to diagnosis of mycobacterium infection.

Methods:

Case report and literature review.

Results:

Mycobacterium infections rarely complicate RDD; to date, only one case report is published involving an HIV infected patient with RDD confirmed on LN biopsy presenting with splenomegaly and treated with oral corticosteroids (OCS) complicated by Mycobacterium avium complex and Salmonella enterica confirmed on bone marrow biopsy/culture, similar to our patient, he presented with constitutional symptoms and weight loss(2).

Mycobacterium can also mimic RDD, a case report has described a 74 year old with tender lymphadenopathy diagnosed with RDD on LN biopsy. She was treated with IV and OCS, but was unresponsive. A repeat LN biopsy and CT imaging revealed the presence of mycobacterium kansasii; her biopsy was positive for CD68/S100 throughout. Of note, she had high levels of anti-interferon autoantibodies and was diagnosed with adult-onset immunodeficiency syndrome(3).

Conclusion:

This case illustrates the need for a MDT approach for multi-system diseases such as SLE and RDD, and the need to consider atypical infections when blood tests are incongruent with clinical state.

References:

[1]Bruce-Brand C, Schneider JW, Schubert P. Rosai-Dorfman disease: an overview. J Clin Pathol. 2020 Nov;73(11):697-705. doi: 10.1136/jclinpath-2020-206733.

[2]Olmedo-Reneaum A, Molina-Jaimes A, Conde-Vazquez E, Montero-Vazquez S. Rosai-Dorfman disease and superinfection due to Salmonella enterica and Mycobacterium avium complex in a patient living with HIV. IDCases. 2020 Jan 14;19:e00698.

[3]King YA, Hu CH, Lee YJ, Lin CF, Liu D, Wang KH. Disseminated cutaneous Mycobacterium kansasii infection presenting with Rosai-Dorfman disease-like histological features in a patient carrying anti-interferon-γ autoantibodies. J Dermatol. 2017 Dec;44(12):1396-1400.

Image 1.Table 1.SLE Clinical HistoryDiagnosed 2006 (‘97 ACR Classification Criteria)Clinical -Polyarthritis -Glandular (lacrimal swelling) -Pericardial effusion/Pleural Effusion -MyositisSerological -Anti-nuclear antibody (ANA) -Anti-dsDNA -Anti-U1-RNP -Anti- SS-A/Ro -Lupus AnticoagulantPrevious SLE Treatment -Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) -Methotrexate (MTX) -Azathioprine (AZA) -Rituximab (RTX)

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

OP0134 NOVEL INTERFERON GENE EXPRESSION SCORES PREDICT REFRACTORY SEVERE CUTANEOUS DISEASE FOLLOWING RITUXIMAB THERAPY IN SLE

Background:

We developed and validated two continuous interferon-stimulated gene (ISG) expression scores (IFN-Score-A and IFN-Score-B) that predict clinical outcomes in SLE. IFN-Score-A includes ISGs typically present in a global interferon signature while IFN-Score-B includes additional ISGs potentially responsive to multiple IFN subtypes [1].

We have previously shown that these scores associate with treatment response following rituximab (RTX) therapy within the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group (BILAG) Biologics Register (BILAG-BR), a UK wide study of patients treated with RTX for active SLE following cyclophosphamide and/ or mycophenolate mofetil treatment failure. Specifically, multivariable analysis showed higher baseline IFN-Score-B independently predicted BILAG response at 6 months post treatment [2].

We also showed that response of cutaneous lupus to RTX can be poor even when other organs respond well, and that interferons are enriched in the skin of patients with SLE where dysregulated keratinocytes are a source of IFNк [3]. MASTERPLANS is a consortium aimed at identifying therapeutic biomarkers in SLE.

Objectives:

To investigate how IFN-Score-A and -B associated with skin disease and response to RTX.

Methods:

Pre-treatment whole blood samples were collected in TEMPUS tubes from subjects undergoing first RTX treatment within BILAG-BR. IFN-Scores were derived using a custom Taqman array as previously described [1]. Clinical response was defined as improvement in BILAG-2004 disease activity, with a maximum of one domain showing persistent BILAG-2004 grade B disease, and no new BILAG grade A or B disease flares at 6 months. The mucocutaneous domain of BILAG was then analysed separately.

Results:

147 patients were studied, of whom 90 had follow up data available. Baseline BILAG-2004 grade A/B disease activity predominantly affected the mucocutaneous domain in 74/147 (50.3%), musculoskeletal in 61 /147 (41.5%) and renal domain 66/147 (37.4%).

At 6 months 59/90 (65.6%) achieved an overall treatment response. Responders showed significantly higher mean IFN-Score-B compared with non-responders (-1.8 vs -2.4, p = 0.04). Among those with active grade A/B BILAG-2004 mucocutaneous disease at baseline, 38/50 (76%) showed improvement within this domain at 6 months. However, among overall non-responders, 7/31 (22.6%) had new or residual BILAG-A mucocutaneous disease at 6 months post RTX, indicating it to be a substantial component of overall treatment failure. In contrast, persistent grade A musculoskeletal disease was seen in 9.7% of non-responders. BILAG-A mucocutaneous disease is characterised by severe manifestations including extensive rashes covering > 18% of body surface area, severe bullous lupus or panniculitis and disabling deep mucosal ulceration. Neither IFN-Score-A nor IFN-Score-B were significantly associated with the severity of mucocutaneous disease at baseline. However, individuals with persistent or new BILAG-A mucocutaneous disease at six months following RTX displayed significantly lower baseline IFN-Score-B than those with improving or residual less severe disease (-3.0 vs -2.1, p = 0.04) after RTX.

Conclusion:

Low IFN score-B status identified an endotype of severe mucocutaneous SLE which was resistant to RTX therapy in the BILAG-BR cohort. We previously showed that high IFN-score-B independently predicts overall therapeutic response to rituximab. Further work will aim to refine IFN status as overall and organ specific biomarkers in SLE.

References:

[1] El-Sherbiny et al., Sci. Rep. 2018; 8: 5793.

[2] Alase et al., ARD 2019;78:763-764

[3] Psarras et al., Nat Commun. 2020; 11: 6149

Acknowledgements:

We would like to thank the Medical Research Council, National Institute of Health Research, UK for funding the MASTERPLANS project

Disclosure of Interests:

Lucy Marie Carter: None declared, Adewonuola Alase: None declared, Zoe Wigston: None declared, Antonios Psarras: None declared, Agata Burska: None declared, Md Yuzaiful Md Yusof: None declared, Elizabeth Hensor: None declared, John Reynolds: None declared, Miriam Wittmann Consultant of: Abbvie, Celgene, Janssen, L’Oreal, Novartis and Pfizer, Ian N. Bruce Speakers bureau: GlaxoSmithKline, UCB Pharma, Consultant of: AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly, GlaxoSmithKline, ILTOO Pharma, MedImmune, Merck Serono, Grant/research support from: Genzyme Sanofi, GlaxoSmithKline, Edward Vital Consultant of: Roche, GSK and AstraZeneca, Grant/research support from: Roche, GSK and AstraZeneca

Mortality from esophagectomy for esophageal cancer across low, middle, and high-income countries: An international cohort study

BACKGROUND

No evidence currently exists characterising global outcomes following major cancer surgery, including esophageal cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to characterise impact of high income countries (HIC) versus low and middle income countries (LMIC) on the outcomes following esophagectomy for esophageal cancer.

METHOD

This international multi-center prospective study across 137 hospitals in 41 countries included patients who underwent an esophagectomy for esophageal cancer, with 90-day follow-up. The main explanatory variable was country income, defined according to the World Bank Data classification. The primary outcome was 90-day postoperative mortality, and secondary outcomes were composite leaks (anastomotic leak or conduit necrosis) and major complications (Clavien-Dindo Grade III - V). Multivariable generalized estimating equation models were used to produce adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI95%).

RESULTS

Between April 2018 to December 2018, 2247 patients were included. Patients from HIC were more significantly older, with higher ASA grade, and more advanced tumors. Patients from LMIC had almost three-fold increase in 90-day mortality, compared to HIC (9.4% vs 3.7%, p < 0.001). On adjusted analysis, LMIC were independently associated with higher 90-day mortality (OR: 2.31, CI95%: 1.17-4.55, p = 0.015). However, LMIC were not independently associated with higher rates of anastomotic leaks (OR: 1.06, CI95%: 0.57-1.99, p = 0.9) or major complications (OR: 0.85, CI95%: 0.54-1.32, p = 0.5), compared to HIC.

CONCLUSION

Resections in LMIC were independently associated with higher 90-day postoperative mortality, likely reflecting a failure to rescue of these patients following esophagectomy, despite similar composite anastomotic leaks and major complication rates to HIC. These findings warrant further research, to identify potential issues and solutions to improve global outcomes following esophagectomy for cancer.

Perioperative intravenous contrast administration and the incidence of acute kidney injury after major gastrointestinal surgery: prospective, multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine the impact of preoperative exposure to intravenous contrast for CT and the risk of developing postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery.

METHODS

This prospective, multicentre cohort study included adults undergoing gastrointestinal resection, stoma reversal or liver resection. Both elective and emergency procedures were included. Preoperative exposure to intravenous contrast was defined as exposure to contrast administered for the purposes of CT up to 7 days before surgery. The primary endpoint was the rate of AKI within 7 days. Propensity score-matched models were adjusted for patient, disease and operative variables. In a sensitivity analysis, a propensity score-matched model explored the association between preoperative exposure to contrast and AKI in the first 48 h after surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 5378 patients were included across 173 centres. Overall, 1249 patients (23·2 per cent) received intravenous contrast. The overall rate of AKI within 7 days of surgery was 13·4 per cent (718 of 5378). In the propensity score-matched model, preoperative exposure to contrast was not associated with AKI within 7 days (odds ratio (OR) 0·95, 95 per cent c.i. 0·73 to 1·21; P = 0·669). The sensitivity analysis showed no association between preoperative contrast administration and AKI within 48 h after operation (OR 1·09, 0·84 to 1·41; P = 0·498).

CONCLUSION

There was no association between preoperative intravenous contrast administered for CT up to 7 days before surgery and postoperative AKI. Risk of contrast-induced nephropathy should not be used as a reason to avoid contrast-enhanced CT.

SAT0192 TRAJECTORIES OF LUPUS DISEASE ACTIVITY OVER TIME IN THE CLINICAL TRIAL SETTING REVEALED BY LATENT CLASS MIXED MODELS

Background:

There is considerable debate regarding the most appropriate outcome measures for clinical trials in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We propose that studying changes in disease activity over time may yield important information above and beyond fixed endpoints at 12 months.

Objectives:

To compare outcomes and predictors of response using i) traditional response definitions at a fixed time point and ii) trajectories of disease activity over time in a clinical trial dataset.

Methods:

Data from the phase 3 clinical trial of Epratuzumab (EMBODY) in patients with active SLE were reanalysed. Response at 12 months was defined as: reduction to ≤1 BILAG B score, no increase in SLEDAI-2K score and no increase in prednisolone dose. Latent class mixed models (LCMM) were constructed using the numerical BILAG-2004 (nBILAG) score (where A=12, B=8, C=1, D/E=0) from the screening visit until trial end. Cumulative prednisolone and Epratuzumab exposure was determined by estimating the area under the dose-time or concentration-time curves (AUC) respectively.

Results:

1202 patients were included with a median disease duration of 5.6 [1.9, 12.7] years and baseline nBILAG score of 20 [16, 24]. At 12 months there were 564/1202 (46.9%) responders. There was no association between receiving Epratuzumab and response. Responders were older, with lower baseline nBILAG score and baseline steroid dose. Using a cubic spline LCMM in the whole cohort, 5 trajectories were identified: Non-responders (NR, 33.9%), rapid responders (RR, 36.7%), slow responders (SR, 20.7%), flare (F, 4.7%) and high disease activity (HDA, 3.9%) (figure). Of the 564 12-month responders, 113 (20.4%) were in the NR latent class whilst 417 (73.9%) were in RR or SR classes. Whilst there were no differences in study drop-out due to adverse events, withdrawal due to inefficacy was 20.6% in NR compared to 8.4% in RR and 7.6% in SR.

In multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for age, gender and study drop-out, being a responder (RR or SR) was significantly associated with activity in constitutional, musculoskeletal and cardiorespiratory BILAG domains, higher baseline and cumulative steroid exposure, and receiving active drug.

There was a trend towards higher baseline CD19+ counts in RR compared to NR or SR (p=0.108) but in a population-averaged multivariable linear model only baseline CD19+ count, Epratuzumab and steroid dose were associated with number of CD19+ cell over time (p<0.001 for each).

Conclusion:

Compared to a fixed end-point at 12 months, LCMM identified trajectories of disease activity and an association between clinical improvement and receiving active drug. Predictors of response vary significantly according to the response definition used.

Table.

Comparison of predictors of response between the 2 models

Response at 12 monthsResponse latent call (RR or SR)AgeYesNoBaseline gBILAG scoreYes (negative)Yes (positive)Baseline steroid doseYesYesActive diseaseConstitutionalNoYesMusculoskeletalNoYesCardiorespiratoryNoYesGastroenterologicalYesNoAnti-SmithYesNoLow C3YesNoEpratuzumabNoYes

Acknowledgments:

Presented on behalf of the MASTERPLANS Consortium

Disclosure of Interests:

John Reynolds: None declared, Jennifer Prattley: None declared, Mark Lunt: None declared, Nophar Geifman: None declared, Ian N. Bruce Grant/research support from: Genzyme Sanofi, GSK, and UCB, Consultant of: Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, UCB, Iltoo, and Merck Serono, Speakers bureau: UCB

OP0094 EULAR-ACR 2019 CLASSIFICATION CRITERIA FOR SLE: CAN WE CLASSIFY USING LABORATORY TESTS ALONE?

Background:

The EULAR-ACR 2019 (EULAR19) classification criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) were developed to improve the sensitivity and specificity of previous criteria. Notably, both the EULAR19 and existing SLICC-SLE 2012 (SLICC12) criteria can classify patients as having SLE by the presence of immunology and haematological abnormalities in the absence of any signs or symptoms.

Objectives:

To validate the EULAR19 criteria, with comparison to existing criteria, in a large cohort of patients with an established systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease (SARD).

Methods:

We recruited 227 adult patients who were ANA positive with ≥1 clinical feature suggestive of a SARD, from three hospitals in the North West of England. Clinician diagnosis was used as gold standard; we then applied the EULAR19, SLICC12 and the ACR-SLE 1997 (ACR97) criteria.

Results:

Of the 227 patients recruited, by clinician diagnosis, 89 patients (36%) had SLE, 43 (17%) primary Sjögren’s (pSS), 62 (25%) undifferentiated CTD (UCTD), 25 (10%) systemic sclerosis (SSc) and 8 (3%) an inflammatory myositis. The characteristics of these patients and the breakdown of the EULAR19 criteria are outlined in figure 1.

Figure 1.

Baseline characteristics and classification criteria compared across five SARD diagnoses.

The sensitivity and specificity of the EULAR19 is similar to ACR97 (sensitivity 84% (95% CI 75-91%) vs. 87% (95% CI 78-93%) and specificity 78% (95% CI 70-84%) vs. 76% (95% CI 68-83%) respectively). The SLICC12 criteria by contrast are more sensitive (94% (95% CI 87-98%)) and less specific (61% (95% CI 52-69%)) in this cohort.

Figure 2 illustrates patients with a clinician diagnosis of SLE or UCTD who meet each of the classification criteria. Of the 89 patients with a clinician diagnosis of SLE, 39 (44%) patients would have sufficient points to meet EULAR19 criteria on blood test results alone in the absence of clinical symptoms. Four pSS patients and 4 UCTD patients would also meet EULAR19 criteria from positive blood results alone.

Figure 2.

Venn diagrams illustrating patients with SLE and UCTD who meet the EULAR19, ACR97 and SLICC12 classification criteria. No criteria refers to the patients not meeting any of the three SLE classification criteria.

Conclusion:

These results suggest that the EULAR19 criteria perform comparably to the ACR97 criteria when applied to an established cohort of SARDs. Similar to SLICC12, it is possible to classify patients as having SLE using the EULAR19 criteria by haematological and other laboratory tests. To what extent haematological abnormalities can be potentially used as the sole ‘clinical criteria’ needs consideration.

SLE n=89pSS n=43UCTD n=62SSc n=25Myositis n=8Female N (%)82 (92)42 (98)53 (85)24 (96)8 (100)Age, mean (SD) /years44 (13)52 (12)47 (13)60 (9)53 (7)Disease duration, mean (SD) /years12 (10)6 (5)5 (7)9 (11)3 (3)SLE classification criteriaEULAR SLE 2019, N (%)75 (84)10 (23)20 (32)1 (4)0ACR SLE 1997, N (%)77 (87)9 (21)21 (34)2 (8)1 (13)SLICC SLE 2012, N (%)84 (94)15 (35)33 (53)4 (16)2 (25)EULAR-ACR 2019 criteriaConstitutional, N (%)10 (11)2 (5)1 (2)01 (13)Neuropsychiatric, N (%)3 (3)01 (2)1 (4)0Mucocutaneous, N (%)71 (80)13 (30)27 (44)2 (8)2 (25)Serosal, N (%)13 (15)1 (2)2 (3)00Musculoskeletal, N (%)52 (58)14 (33)22 (35)3 (12)3 (38)Renal, N (%)30 (34)001 (4)0Haematological, N (%)44 (49)12 (28)10 (16)3 (12)0Antiphospholipid antibodies, N (%)43 (48)7 (16)17 (27)4 (16)0Low complement, N (%)48 (54)10 (23)10 (16)3 (12)1 (13)Anti-Sm, N (%)19 (21)2 (5)4 (6)1 (4)0Anti-dsDNA, N (%)50 (56)8 (19)12 (19)01 (13)

Disclosure of Interests:

Sarah Dyball: None declared, John Reynolds: None declared, Eoghan McCarthy: None declared, Sahena Haque: None declared, Ariane Herrick: None declared, Hector Chinoy: None declared, Ellen Bruce: None declared, Ben Parker Grant/research support from: GSK and Sanofi Genzyme, Consultant of: GSK, AstraZenaca, UCV, Abbvie, Pfizer, BMS, Celltrion, Ian N. Bruce Grant/research support from: Genzyme Sanofi, GSK, and UCB, Consultant of: Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, UCB, Iltoo, and Merck Serono, Speakers bureau: UCB

SAT0191 PLASMA PROTEOMICS IDENTIFIES A PROTEIN SIGNATURE ASSOCIATED WITH RESPONSE TO RITUXIMAB IN PATIENTS WITH SLE

Background:

Rituximab (RTX) is B cell-depleting biological therapy used in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Response rates are typically around 50% and there are currently no robust biomarkers to identify which patients are more likely to respond.

Objectives:

To determine whether proteomic analysis of baseline plasma samples could identify novel biomarkers of response to RTX in patients with active SLE.

Methods:

Patients with SLE (≥ 4 ACR criteria) receiving RTX for active disease (BILAG A or 2 BILAG B scores) from the UK-based BILAG-BR register were included. Improvement at 12 months was defined as a reduction to ≤ 1 BILAG B score with no increase in either SLEDAI score or steroid dose. Proteomic analysis was performed on baseline plasma samples using sequential window acquisition of all theoretical fragment ion spectra mass spectrometry (SWATH-MS). Data were aligned and normalised to give relative protein abundance. A Lasso penalised logistic regression, with an outcome of improvement at 12 months, was used to perform the variable selection procedure using the R package ‘glmnet’. The penalty metric was set at the value which minimised deviance in a 10-fold cross-validation procedure. Confounding variables of sex, age, ethnicity, oral steroid dose, and SLEDAI score had no penalty applied and were thus forcibly retained in the model. Protein-protein interaction networks were visualised using STRING v11.0.

Results:

70 patients of whom 63/70 (90%) were female with a median (IQR) age of 41 (32, 51) years and disease duration of 11 (6, 20) years at baseline were included. Patients had active disease with a median SLEDAI score of 10 (6, 16). All patients received RTX according to NHS England guidelines. Of 829 proteins, 815 were detected in at least 1 patient. We identified 9 proteins which were associated with clinical improvement at 12 months. A literature search identified that these proteins have relevance to T cell function, complement activation and lupus nephritis. Gender had the greatest weight in the model followed by Serpin Family A Member 10 (SERPINA10) and complement factor B (CFB). Protein interaction networks linked SERPINA10 to CFB by C3 complement (figure).

Conclusion:

Plasma proteome analysis has identified a protein signature associated with response to RTX in SLE. These findings will be validated in independent cohorts and may offer the ability to predict response to RTX in lupus patients.

Protein Interaction Network of the 9 proteins from the multivariable model (with one additional level added). Cyan/magenta lines shown known interactions. Other colours show predicted interactions.

Disclosure of Interests: :

John Reynolds: None declared, Jennifer Prattley: None declared, Mark Lunt: None declared, Ian N. Bruce Grant/research support from: Genzyme Sanofi, GSK, and UCB, Consultant of: Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, UCB, Iltoo, and Merck Serono, Speakers bureau: UCB

"It's all interconnected… like a spider web": a qualitative study of the meanings of food and healthy eating in an Indigenous community

Canadian Indigenous populations are disproportionately affected by rising rates of diet-related chronic disease and have been experiencing rapid lifestyle changes affecting diet. In recognition of these issues, this study aimed to obtain greater understanding of attitudes and meanings around healthy eating in a semi-remote community in Eeyou Istchee. A qualitative study design used semi-structured interviews and observational field notes to explore local accounts of food and health. Two distinct versions of “healthy eating” were identified: one relating to traditional food and preparation methods; the other reflecting medicalised accounts of illness and diagnosed conditions. The latter links with “southern” modes of accessing and preparing food, demonstrating local capacity to adapt to the rapid changes in body, lifestyle and environment being experienced. New connections, associating non-native ways with traditional practices, are being formed where traditional ways of living on the land have been severed. These local accounts show how people are continually negotiating different constructs of “healthy eating.” These findings expand current understandings of the context of food and healthy eating in Eeyou Istchee, emphasising present-day and historical experiences of the land. Future research and diet-related health interventions must continue to acknowledge and incorporate local understandings of health to help address the broader socio-political factors that shape Indigenous lifestyles, environments and health.

Trekstock RENEW: evaluation of a 12-week exercise referral programme for young adult cancer survivors delivered by a cancer charity

Purpose

To evaluate the uptake and effect of RENEW, a 12-week exercise referral programme for young adult cancer survivors delivered by Trekstock, a UK-based cancer charity.

Methods

The RENEW programme provides one-to-one individually tailored support from a level-4 cancer-rehabilitation-qualified gym instructor, free gym membership and access to information resources online. Objective and self-report data on cardiorespiratory function, strength, body composition, fatigue, sleep quality and general health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was collected from participants before the programme (week 0), immediately after (week 12) and 1 month later (week 16).

Results

Forty-eight young adults (83% female; mean age, 29 years) with a history of cancer took part within the 12-week programme and completed the evaluation measures. Physical activity (PA) levels significantly increased following the programme and remained raised at follow-up. Improvements in physical function were significant: peak expiratory flow (mean change, 30.96, p = 0.003), sit-and-reach test (mean change, 6.55 ± 4.54, p < 0.0001), and 6-mine-walk test (mean change, 0.12 ± 0.04, p < 0.0001). No significant changes in BMI, weight or muscle mass were observed. Improvements in fatigue, sleep and HRQoL were observed across the programme and at follow-up (mean change, weeks 0–16; 8.04 ± 1.49 p < 0.01; 1.05 ± 0.49 p < 0.05; and − 0.9 ± 0.46 p = 0.051, respectively). Changes in self-efficacy to exercise and motivations to exercise were not observed at 12 weeks or at follow-up.

Conclusions

Results suggest that the RENEW exercise referral programme has a positive impact upon some domains of physical function and well-being among young adult cancer survivors.

Implication for cancer survivors

Exercise referral programmes delivered by charity organisations are one means by which PA behaviour change support may be widely disseminated to young adult cancer survivors. Health professionals and charitable bodies specialising in the care of young adults with cancer should look to address factors which prevent engagement and uptake of ‘real-world’ PA interventions such as the RENEW programme.

Visual Immunoprecipitate Assay Eight Hour Method for Detection of Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Raw and Cooked Beef (Modification of AOAC Official Method 996.09): Collaborative Study

AOAC Official Method 996.09, Visual Immunoprecipitate Assay (VIP®) for Escherichia coli O157:H7, was modified to incorporate a new enrichment protocol using BioControl EHEC8™ medium for testing raw and cooked beef. Foods were tested by VIP assay and the U.S. Department of Agriculture/Food Safety and Inspection Service (USDA/FSIS) enrichment procedure and the FDA Bacteriological Analytical Manual (BAM) isolation and confirmation techniques. A total of 15 collaborators participated. Raw and cooked ground beef were inoculated with E. coli O157:H7 at 2 different levels: a high level, where predominantly positive results were expect d, and a low level where fractional recovery was anticipated. Collaborators tested 396 test portions and controls by both methods, for a total of 792 test portions. Of the 396 paired test portions, 75 were positive and 230 were negative by both the VIP and culture methods. Eleven test portions were presumptively positive by VIP and could not be confirmed culturally; 32 were negative by VIP, but confirmed positive by culture; and 65 were negative by the culture method, but confirmed positive by the VIP method. There was no statistical difference between results obtained with the VIP for EHEC 8 h method and the culture method except for cooked beef, where the VIP had significantly higher recovery for one inoculation level.

Assurance® Enzyme Immunoassay Eight Hour Method for Detection of Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Raw and Cooked Beef (Modification of AOAC Official Method 996.10): Collaborative Study

AOAC Official Method 996.10, Assurance® Enzyme Immunoassay (EIA) for Escherichia coli O157:H7 (EHEC), was modified to incorporate a new enrichment protocol using BioControl EHEC8™ medium for testing raw and cooked beef. Foods were tested by EIA and the U.S. Department of Agriculture/Food Safety and Inspection Service (USDA/FSIS) enrichment conditions and the FDA Bacteriological Analytical Manual (BAM) isolation and confirmation techniques. A total of 14 collaborators participated. Raw and cooked ground beef were inoculated with E. coli O157:H7 at 2 different levels: a high level where predominantly positive results were expected, and a low level where fractional recovery was anticipated. Collaborators tested 378 test portions and controls by both the 8 h EIA and the USDA/FSIS enrichment methods, for a total of 756 test portions. Of the 378 paired test portions, 75 were positive and 212 were negative by both methods. Thirteen test portions were presumptively positive by EIA and could not be confirmed culturally; 30 were negative by EIA, but confirmed positive by culture; and 65 were negative by the culture method, but confirmed positive by the EIA method. There was no statistical difference between results obtained with the Assurance EIA for EHEC 8 h method and the culture method for raw ground beef. The Assurance EIA had a significantly higher recovery for cooked beef.

A single fast radio burst localized to a massive galaxy at cosmological distance

Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are brief radio emissions from distant astronomical sources. Some are known to repeat, but most are single bursts. Nonrepeating FRB observations have had insufficient positional accuracy to localize them to an individual host galaxy. We report the interferometric localization of the single-pulse FRB 180924 to a position 4 kiloparsecs from the center of a luminous galaxy at redshift 0.3214. The burst has not been observed to repeat. The properties of the burst and its host are markedly different from those of the only other accurately localized FRB source. The integrated electron column density along the line of sight closely matches models of the intergalactic medium, indicating that some FRBs are clean probes of the baryonic component of the cosmic web.

Does care at a cardiac arrest centre improve outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest? - A systematic review

AIM

To perform a systematic review to answer 'In adults with attempted resuscitation after non-traumatic cardiac arrest does care at a specialised cardiac arrest centre (CAC) compared to care in a healthcare facility not designated as a specialised cardiac arrest centre improve patient outcomes?'

METHODS

The PRISMA guidelines were followed. We searched bibliographic databases (Embase, MEDLINE and the Cochrane Library (CENTRAL)) from inception to 1st August 2018. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-randomised studies were eligible for inclusion. Two reviewers independently scrutinized studies for relevance, extracted data and assessed quality of studies. Risk of bias of studies and quality of evidence were assessed using ROBINS-I tool and GRADEpro respectively. Primary outcomes were survival to 30 days with favourable neurological outcomes and survival to hospital discharge with favourable neurological outcomes. Secondary outcomes were survival to 30 days, survival to hospital discharge and return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) post-hospital arrival for patients with ongoing resuscitation. This systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD 42018093369) RESULTS: We included data from 17 observational studies on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients in meta-analyses. Overall, the certainty of evidence was very low. Pooling data from only adjusted analyses, care at CAC was not associated with increased likelihood of survival to 30 days with favourable neurological outcome (OR 2.92, 95% CI 0.68-12.48) and survival to 30 days (OR 2.14, 95% CI 0.73-6.29) compared to care at other hospitals. Whereas patients cared for at CACs had improved survival to hospital discharge with favourable neurological outcomes (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.74-2.84) and survival to hospital discharge (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.46-2.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Very low certainty of evidence suggests that post-cardiac arrest care at CACs is associated with improved outcomes at hospital discharge. There remains a need for high quality data to fully elucidate the impact of CACs.

Randomised clinical trial: efficacy, safety and dosage of adjunctive allopurinol in azathioprine/mercaptopurine nonresponders (AAA Study)

BACKGROUND

Thiopurine hypermethylation towards 6-methylmercaptopurine (6MMP) instead of 6-thioguanine nucleotides (6TGN) is associated with inefficacy in patients with IBD. Allopurinol reverses such hypermethylation.

AIMS

To prospectively determine efficacy of allopurinol-thiopurine combination and to compare 2 doses of allopurinol.

DESIGN

In a multicentre, double-blind trial, patients with clinically active or steroid-dependent IBD and thiopurine shunting were randomised to 50 or 100 mg/d allopurinol and 25% of their screening thiopurine dose, which was subsequently optimised, aiming for 6TGN of 260-500 pmol/8x10⁸ RBCs. The primary endpoint was steroid-free clinical remission at 24 weeks.

RESULTS

Of 73 patients, 39 (53% [95% CI 42-65]) achieved steroid-free remission, (54% with 50 mg/d and 53% with 100 mg/d). 81% were able to discontinue steroids. Therapeutic 6TGN levels were achieved in both groups. Final thiopurine doses were lower with 100 mg/d allopurinol (P < 0.005). 6MMP: 6TGN ratio decreased from mean 64 to 4 (P < 0.001), being higher with 50 mg/d (6 ± 1.83) than for 100 mg/d ([1 ± 0.16], P = 0.003). Three patients on 50 mg/d failed to sustain low ratios at 24 weeks. Toxicity was minimal; three patients on 50 mg/d allopurinol developed transient leukopenia. Alanine aminotransferase concentrations decreased (P < 0.001) similarly in both arms. Faecal calprotectin levels at study end were lower in patients who achieved the primary endpoint (median 171 [85-541] vs 821[110-5892] ug/g, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Low-dose allopurinol-thiopurine combination safely reverses shunting and optimises 6TGN with associated improvement in disease activity. 100 mg/d allopurinol is preferable due to greater metabolite profile stability and lower thiopurine dose without additional toxicity.

Home, No Follow-Up: Are we ignoring the significance of unplanned clinic attendances, re-admission and mortality in the first 12 months post-operatively in over 65 year olds' hip fractures treated with DHS fixation?

INTRODUCTION

80,000 hip fractures are admitted to UK hospitals annually (Royal College of Physicians, 2016). Little is known about 12-month post-operative re-admission, unplanned clinic attendance and mortality. We aimed to determine if there is a role for routine follow-up for certain strata of our hip fracture population treated by Dynamic Hip Screw (DHS) Fixation based on unplanned attendance to clinics and whether it is possible to stratify risk of re-admission, re-operation and mortality within the first 12 months post-operatively.

METHODS

A prospectively collated single centre database of patients >65 years old undergoing DHS fixation for traumatic hip fractures between August 2007 and February 2011 was retrospectively analysed. Pre-operative data regarding patient demographics, mobility, residence and co-morbidities were collected. Post-operative (1, 4, 12 months) place of residence, mobility status, unplanned attendance to an orthopaedic clinic with symptoms relating to the respective limb, re-admission to hospital and mortality was collated. Regression analysis was performed (SPSS, IBM Corporation, version 24). P < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

648 consecutive patients were identified. Increasing age (p = 0.006) and presence of pressure sores during initial admission (p = 0.0019) increased the frequency of unplanned clinic attendance. No significant predictors of re-admission to hospital were found. Overall mortality was related to increasing age (p = 0.042), male gender (p = 0.004) and ASA grade (p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

There is no current vogue to follow-up such patients in this post-operative period. We have identified variables that should be sought prior to discharge in this population. 22% of our population had at least one unplanned clinic attendance with a cost implication of approximately £50,132 (£151 per appointment) over the study period and potentially over £1.6 million pounds annually in the U.K.

IMPLICATIONS

Formal follow-up/rehabilitation programs could be offered for those at risk of unplanned clinic attendance. Post-operative orthogeriatric and/or general practitioner follow-up may reduce 12-month mortality in those at risk but validated scoring and risk stratification systems are required to fully justify this.

Left Atrial Appendage Morphology and Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: A Cross-Sectional Multicenter Pilot Study

BACKGROUND

The left atrial appendage (LAA) is the main source of thrombus in atrial fibrillation, and there is an association between non-chicken wing (NCW) LAA morphology and stroke. We hypothesized that the prevalence of NCW LAA morphology would be higher among patients with cardioembolic (CE) stroke and embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) than among those with noncardioembolic stroke (NCS).

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective pilot study included consecutive patients with ischemic stroke from 3 comprehensive stroke centers who previously underwent a qualifying chest computed tomography (CT) to assess LAA morphology. Patients underwent inpatient diagnostic evaluation for ischemic stroke, and stroke subtype was determined based on ESUS criteria. LAA morphology was determined using clinically performed contrast enhanced thin-slice chest CT by investigators blinded to stroke subtype. The primary predictor was NCW LAA morphology and the outcome was stroke subtype (CE, ESUS, NCS).

RESULTS

We identified 172 patients with ischemic stroke who had a clinical chest CT performed. Mean age was 70.1 ± 14.3 years and 51.7% were male. Compared with patients with NCS, the prevalence of NCW LAA morphology was higher in patients with CE stroke (58.7% versus 46.3%, P = .1) and ESUS (58.8% versus 46.3%, P = .2), but this difference did not achieve statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of NCW LAA morphology may be similar in patients with ESUS and CE, and may be higher than that in those with NCS. Larger studies are needed to confirm these associations.

Abstract WP203: Left Atrial Appendage Morphology is Similar in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source and Cardioembolic Stroke and Different From Atherothrombotic Subtypes

Background: The left atrial appendage (LAA) is the main source of thrombus in atrial fibrillation (AF), and there is an association between non-chicken wing (NCW) LAA morphology and stroke. We hypothesized that the prevalence of non-chicken wing LAA morphology would be higher among patients with cardioembolic (CE) stroke and embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) than among those with non-cardioembolic stroke (NCS).

Methods: This multi-center retrospective study included consecutive patients with ischemic stroke from three comprehensive stroke centers who previously underwent a qualifying chest CT. Patients underwent inpatient diagnostic evaluation for ischemic stroke, and stroke subtype was determined based on ESUS criteria. LAA morphology was determined using clinically performed contrast enhanced thin-slice chest CT by investigators blinded to stroke subtype. The primary predictor was NCW LAA morphology and the outcome was stroke subtype (CE, ESUS, NCS).

Results: We identified 172 ischemic stroke patients who had a clinical chest CT performed. Mean age was 70.1±14.3 years and 51.7% were male. Compared to patients with NCS, the prevalence of NCW LAA morphology was higher in patients with CE stroke (58.7% vs. 46.3%, p=0.1) and ESUS (58.8% vs. 46.3%, p=0.2) but this difference did not achieve statistical significance.

Conclusion: The prevalence of NCW LAA morphology is similar in patients with ESUS and CE, and may be higher than that in those with NCS. Larger studies are needed to confirm this association.