A cluster randomised, 16-week, parallel-group multicentre trial to compare the effectiveness of a digital school-based cognitive behavioural resilience/wellbeing-building intervention targeting emotional and behavioural problems in vulnerable Year 4 primary school children in whole classes, to the usual school curriculum: a study protocol to the "CUES for Schools" trial

BACKGROUND

Around 10% of school-aged children experience mental health difficulties. Many more are 'vulnerable': experiencing emotional and/or behavioural problems reaching clinical levels, and thus at greatest risk of future mental illness. The trial aim is to evaluate the effectiveness of the CUES for schools programme in reducing emotional and behavioural problems in vulnerable children.

METHODS

The "CUES for Schools" study is a multicentre cluster randomised controlled trial in primary schools in south east England. Schools will be randomised to receive the usual school curriculum, or the CUES programme (1:1). We aim to enrol 74 schools (5550 children including 2220 vulnerable children). CUES is a whole-class teacher-facilitated interactive digital cognitive-behavioural intervention, delivered as 24 short (20-min) modules over 12 weeks, targeting emotional/behavioural regulation skills. Children self-report emotional/behavioural problems at baseline, 8, and 16 weeks, and wellbeing and cognitive vulnerability at 0 and 16 weeks. Adverse events are assessed at 8 and 16 weeks. Teachers rate classroom behaviour at baseline and 16 weeks. School senior leadership teams and individual teachers consent to involvement in the study; parents can opt their child out of CUES sessions, assessments, or research. Children can similarly opt out and assent to research participation. The primary objective of this trial is to evaluate the effectiveness of CUES for schools compared to the usual school curriculum in improving emotional/behavioural problems for vulnerable Year 4 (8-9 years old) children at 16 weeks post-randomisation, as measured using a standardised questionnaire designed for primary schools. The secondary objective is to investigate the impact of the CUES for schools programme on both vulnerable and non-vulnerable children on wellbeing and teacher-rated classroom behaviour.

DISCUSSION

The study will show whether CUES for schools is more effective than the usual curriculum in reducing emotional and behavioural problems in vulnerable Year 4 children, and thus reducing the risk of mental health difficulties in later adolescent and adult life. As a digital, teacher-facilitated intervention, CUES for schools can be readily implemented, at minimal cost. If effective, CUES for schools therefore has the potential to reduce the impact of emotional/behavioural difficulties on children's learning, behaviour, and relationships and the burden of future mental health morbidity.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Trial Registration ISRCTN11445338. Registered on September 12, 2022.

AB0034 INVESTIGATING THE ROLE OF ACCELERATED IMMUNESENESCENCE IN THE PATHOGENESIS OF RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS

Background

Advancing age is recognised as a major risk factor for autoimmune inflammatory conditions, such as Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA). Despite strong associations with older age we understand little of the role ageing processes play in disease pathogenesis in RA. The immune system undergoes a dramatic remodelling with age, termed immunesenescence, which contributes towards increased risk of autoimmunity1. Previous research in patients with established RA has shown certain features of immunesenescence, such as thymic atrophy and telomere shortening in T cells, at a younger age2,3.

Objectives

In this study we aimed to determine if immunesenescence is seen in the very earliest stages of RA and therefore might be a contributor to RA pathogenesis rather than a result of the disease.

Methods

We have assessed aspects of the aged immune phenotype by immunostaining and flow cytometry4 in adults with arthralgia (n=25), undifferentiated arthritis (UA; n=41), confirmed RA of less than 3 months (n=25) and more than 3 months duration (n=78) and compared these to age and sex matched healthy controls (n=38). Nanostring methodology was used to determine gene expression changes associated with the development of RA.

Results

We observed increased features of T and B cell immunesenescence in DMARD-naïve recently diagnosed RA patients driven by reduced naïve T cells (p<0.01) and B cells (p<0.01), increased senescent (CD28-ve, CD57+ve, KLRG1+ve) T cells (p<0.01), an increased Th17/Treg ratio (p<0.01) and increased frequency of age-associated B cells (p<0.01). With the exception of naïve T cell frequency, which was reduced in UA patients (p<0.05), these changes were not seen in the very early stages of RA, namely patients with arthralgia and UA. These data suggest that immunesenescence only occurs once disease is established. Furthermore, using nanostring we have identified several biological ageing processes (DNA damage, autophagy) associated with this state of immunesenescence in RA.

Conclusion

Accelerated immune ageing is an early feature of RA and biological ageing processes represent novel targets to modulate disease progression.

References

[1]Duggal NA, Upton JA, Phillips AC, Sapey E, Lord JM (2013) An age-related numerical and functional deficit in CD19+CD24hiCD38hi B cells is associated with an increase in systemic autoimmunity. Aging Cell 12:873-881.

[2]Goronzy, J.J. and Weyand CM (2001). Thymic function and peripheral T-cell homeostasis in rheumatoid arthritis. Trends Immunol. 22(5):251-5.

[3]Steer SE, Williams FMK, Kato B, Gardner JP, Norman PJ, Hall MA, Kimra M, Vaughan R, Aviv A, Spector T (2007) Reduced telomere length in rheumatoid arthritis in independent of disease activity and duration. Ann Rheum Dis 66:476-480.

[4]Duggal NA, Pollock RD, Lazarus NR, Harridge S, Lord JM (2018). Major features of immunesenescence, including reduced thymic output, are ameliorated by high levels of physical activity in adulthood. Aging Cell 17:e12750

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

AB0091 INCREASED BIOLOGICAL AGE IN MALE PARTICIPANTS OF SWEDISH AND UK RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS COHORTS IS NOT LINKED TO DISEASE

Background

Immunesenescence in the adaptive immune system, subsequent to thymic involution, results in compromised immunity and increased susceptibility to autoimmune disease and chronic inflammation. There are reports in the literature that immunesenescence, including thymic atrophy and telomere shortening, is accelerated in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA)1. What is unclear is whether RA includes accelerated biological ageing overall in addition to immune ageing which may help to explain the increased risk of age-related diseases in RA2. Recent studies have identified a set of DNA methylated sites across the genome that are highly correlated with chronological age and mortality, termed epigenetic clocks3,4 or DNAm age (DNAma), and can be used to determine an individual’s biological age.

Objectives

The aim of our study is to determine if the biological epigenetic clocks of RA patients are accelerated.

Methods

We evaluated the Horvath3 and Hannum4 epigenetic clocks of control and RA patients using published DNAm data sets, accessions GSE42861 (EIRA, Swedish cohort of 342 RA patients and 328 non-RA controls) and E-MTAB-6988 (77 RA discordant monozygotic twins).

Results

We did not detect significant differences between DNAma of RA and non-RA twins. Similarly, there were no significant differences between the DNAma of RA patients and controls from the Swedish EIRA cohort. However, we detected a significant acceleration in DNAma of male discordant twins, both RA and non-RA, by 5.4 years (p=3.29e-5) and 2.8 years (p=0.04) using the Hannum and Horvath clocks, respectively. Male participants, both control and RA patients, from the EIRA cohort also exhibited an accelerated DNAma, by 1.5 years (p=7.55e-5) using the Hannum clock but using the Horvath clock a significant DNAma acceleration, by 1.4 years (p=0.002) was detected in male RA patients from the EIRA cohort.

Conclusion

Overall, we detected a significant biological age acceleration in male participants from both RA and control groups and only found a significant difference between DNAma of Non-RA controls and RA patients for one of the epigenetic clocks. Further analysis using additional cohort data and biological clock algorithms is needed to confirm our findings.

References

[1]Goronzy, J.J. and Weyand CM (2001). Thymic function and peripheral T-cell homeostasis in rheumatoid arthritis. Trends Immunol. 22(5):251-5.

[2]Meune C, et al. (2009) Trends in cardiovascular mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis over 50 years: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies. Rheumatol 48:1309-1313.

[3]Horvath S (2013) DNA methylation age of human tissues and cell types. Genome Biol 14:R115.

[4]Hannum G, et al (2013) Genome-wide Methylation Profiles Reveal Quantitative Views of Human Aging Rates. Mol Cell 49:359-367.

Acknowledgements

The study was funded by FOREUM

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Fetal central nervous system anomalies: When should we offer exome sequencing?

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the detection of pathogenic variants using exome sequencing in an international cohort of fetuses with central nervous system (CNS) anomalies.

METHODS

We reviewed trio exome sequencing (ES) results for two previously reported unselected cohorts (Prenatal Assessment of Genomes and Exomes (PAGE) and CUIMC) to identify fetuses with CNS anomalies with unremarkable karyotypes and chromosomal microarrays. Variants were classified according to ACMG guidelines and association of pathogenic variants with specific types of CNS anomalies explored.

RESULTS

ES was performed in 268 pregnancies with a CNS anomaly identified using prenatal ultrasound . Of those with an isolated, single, CNS anomaly, 7/97 (7.2%) had a likely pathogenic/pathogenic (LP/P) variant. This includes 3/23 (13%) fetuses with isolated mild ventriculomegaly and 3/10 (30%) fetuses with isolated agenesis of the corpus callosum. Where there were multiple anomalies within the CNS, 12/63 (19%) had LP/P variants. Of the 108 cases with CNS and other organ system anomalies, 18 (16.7%) had LP/P findings.

CONCLUSION

ES is an important tool in the prenatal evaluation of fetuses with any CNS anomaly. The rate of LP/P variants tends to be highest in fetuses with multiple CNS anomalies and multisystem anomalies, however, ES may also be of benefit for isolated CNS anomalies.

Fetal hydrops and the Incremental yield of Next-generation sequencing over standard prenatal Diagnostic testing (FIND) study: prospective cohort study and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incremental yield of exome sequencing (ES) over chromosomal microarray analysis (CMA) or karyotyping in prenatally diagnosed non-immune hydrops fetalis (NIHF).

METHODS

A prospective cohort study (comprising an extended group of the Prenatal Assessment of Genomes and Exomes (PAGE) study) was performed which included 28 cases of prenatally diagnosed NIHF undergoing trio ES following negative CMA or karyotyping. These cases were combined with data from a systematic review of the literature. MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL and ClinicalTrials.gov databases were searched electronically (January 2000 to October 2020) for studies reporting on the incremental yield of ES over CMA or karyotyping in fetuses with prenatally detected NIHF. Inclusion criteria for the systematic review were: (i) at least two cases of NIHF undergoing sequencing; (ii) testing initiated based on prenatal ultrasound-based phenotype; and (iii) negative CMA or karyotyping result. The incremental diagnostic yield of ES was assessed in: (i) all cases of NIHF; (ii) isolated NIHF; (iii) NIHF associated with an additional fetal structural anomaly; and (iv) NIHF according to severity (i.e. two vs three or more cavities affected).

RESULTS

In the extended PAGE study cohort, the additional diagnostic yield of ES over CMA or karyotyping was 25.0% (7/28) in all NIHF cases, 21.4% (3/14) in those with isolated NIHF and 28.6% (4/14) in those with non-isolated NIHF. In the meta-analysis, the pooled incremental yield based on 21 studies (306 cases) was 29% (95% CI, 24-34%; P < 0.00001; I²  = 0%) in all NIHF, 21% (95% CI, 13-30%; P < 0.00001; I²  = 0%) in isolated NIHF and 39% (95% CI, 30-49%; P < 0.00001; I²  = 1%) in NIHF associated with an additional fetal structural anomaly. In the latter group, congenital limb contractures were the most prevalent additional structural anomaly associated with a causative pathogenic variant, occurring in 17.3% (19/110) of cases. The incremental yield did not differ significantly according to hydrops severity. The most common genetic disorders identified were RASopathies, occurring in 30.3% (27/89) of cases with a causative pathogenic variant, most frequently due to a PTPN11 variant (44.4%; 12/27). The predominant inheritance pattern in causative pathogenic variants was autosomal dominant in monoallelic disease genes (57.3%; 51/89), with most being de novo (86.3%; 44/51).

CONCLUSIONS

Use of prenatal next-generation sequencing in both isolated and non-isolated NIHF should be considered in the development of clinical pathways. Given the wide range of potential syndromic diagnoses and heterogeneity in the prenatal phenotype of NIHF, exome or whole-genome sequencing may prove to be a more appropriate testing approach than a targeted gene panel testing strategy. © 2021 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

AB0803 EXPERIENCES OF SCREENING AND DIAGNOSIS FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF PATIENTS WITH PSORIASIS AND PSORIATIC ARTHRITIS (PSA)

Background:

Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is an inflammatory arthritis characterised by pain, swelling and stiffness in the joints and affects approximately 0.3 to 1.02% of the UK population [1]. PsA may result in limited physical function and reduced quality of life [2] and is associated with work disability and unemployment [3]. Patients who have the inflammatory skin condition, psoriasis, are at greater risk of developing PsA than those without.

Objectives:

There is no definitive test for PsA. It is usually diagnosed by rheumatologists in secondary care, after referral from primary care. Evidence suggests a delay in diagnosis results in worse outcomes for patients. This study is nested within a randomised controlled trial (RCT) of a new clinical care pathway. The RCT is testing whether screening primary care patients with psoriasis for symptoms of PsA leads to earlier diagnosis and improved outcomes, compared to usual care. This qualitative study explored the acceptability and impact of screening.

Methods:

Telephone interviews were conducted with patients with psoriasis from two secondary UK care centres taking part in the RCT. The semi-structured interviews explored patients’ thoughts and feelings around screening, the impact of the screening outcome and any changes they made as a result. The semi-structured format allowed flexibility to ask questions that probed more deeply and develop new lines of enquiry based on patients’ responses. Patients who did and did not receive a diagnosis of PsA were interviewed.

Results:

Twenty-four patients participated in the study (15 women / 9 men) ranging in age from 35 to 73 years old. The length of time patients had psoriasis ranged from 6 to 60 years. Eleven patients were diagnosed with PsA. A Framework Analysis Approach was used to analyse the data. This allowed for an exploration of the predefined areas (the screening process) as well as remaining open to capturing other related experiences and views of patients. Four main themes represent the data (Table 1).

Table 1.Main themeSub-themes1. Living with psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis:1. Understanding of psoriasis – causes, symptoms, treatments‘It’s [psoriasis] socially debilitating…makes you look a real mess’2. Effects of psoriasis on self, personal and working life‘It’s almost as if the world’s on your shoulders’3. Awareness of PsA2. Experience of screening:1. Thoughts and feelings prior to screening‘I was able to talk and be listened to’2. Valuing ‘high quality’ care‘It’s a lightbulb moment…explained why things were a bit stiff and achy’3. Impact of screening outcome3. Gaining control:1. Increased awareness and knowledge of psoriasis and PsA‘element of surprise that this arthritis should be connected to it [psoriasis]’2. Improved self-management‘You’ve got to learn to listen to your body’3. Early diagnosis of PsA4. Future screening programs:1. Changes to questionnaires‘there weren’t really any questions about were you in pain’2. Use of case studies, sign-posting‘support groups…peer support is crucial with long-term conditions’3. Removing barriers to screening

Conclusion:

This study indicates screening was viewed as a positive and reassuring experience. Patients valued the fact that screening appointments were not rushed and felt they were being listened to. Patients valued learning about psoriasis and PsA and referred to making changes beneficial to their health. Screening enabled patients to get the help they needed if diagnosed, provided relief if not diagnosed, and sometimes led to the diagnosis of a different condition.

References:

[1]Gladman DD, Antoni C, Mease P, Clegg DO, Nash P. Psoriatic arthritis: epidemiology, clinical features, course, and outcome. Ann Rheum Dis 2005;64(Suppl 2):ii14–7

[2]Tillett W, de-Vries C, McHugh NJ. Work disability in psoriatic arthritis: a systematic review. Rheumatology 2012;51:275–83.

[3]Alinaghi F, Calov M, Kristensen LE et al. Prevalence of psoriatic arthritis in patients with psoriasis: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational and clinical studies. J Am Acad Dermatol 2019;80:251–65.e19

Acknowledgements:

On behalf of the PROMPT study team.

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

Effectiveness, safety and acceptability of no-test medical abortion (termination of pregnancy) provided via telemedicine: a national cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To compare outcomes before and after implementation of medical abortion (termination of pregnancy) without ultrasound via telemedicine.

DESIGN

Cohort analysis.

SETTING

The three main abortion providers.

POPULATION OR SAMPLE

Medical abortions at home at ≤69 days' gestation in two cohorts: traditional model (in-person with ultrasound, n = 22 158) from January to March 2020 versus telemedicine-hybrid model (either in person or via telemedicine without ultrasound, n = 29 984, of whom 18 435 had no-test telemedicine) between April and June 2020. Sample (n = 52 142) comprises 85% of all medical abortions provided nationally.

METHODS

Data from electronic records and incident databases were used to compare outcomes between cohorts, adjusted for baseline differences.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Treatment success, serious adverse events, waiting times, gestation at treatment, acceptability.

RESULTS

Mean waiting time from referral to treatment was 4.2 days shorter in the telemedicine-hybrid model and more abortions were provided at ≤6 weeks' gestation (40% versus 25%, P < 0.001). Treatment success (98.8% versus 98.2%, P > 0.999), serious adverse events (0.02% versus 0.04%, P = 0.557) and incidence of ectopic pregnancy (0.2% versus 0.2%, P = 0.796) were not different between models. In the telemedicine-hybrid model, 0.04% were estimated to be over 10 weeks' gestation at the time of the abortion; all were completed safely at home. Within the telemedicine-hybrid model, effectiveness was higher with telemedicine than in-person care (99.2% versus 98.1%, P < 0.001). Acceptability of telemedicine was high (96% satisfied) and 80% reported a future preference for telemedicine.

CONCLUSIONS

A telemedicine-hybrid model for medical abortion that includes no-test telemedicine and treatment without an ultrasound is effective, safe, acceptable and improves access to care.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Compelling evidence from 52 142 women shows no-test telemedicine abortion is safe, effective and improves care.

COngenital heart disease and the Diagnostic yield with Exome sequencing (CODE) study: prospective cohort study and systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incremental yield of antenatal exome sequencing (ES) over chromosomal microarray analysis (CMA) or conventional karyotyping in prenatally diagnosed congenital heart disease (CHD).

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of 197 trios undergoing ES following CMA or karyotyping owing to CHD identified prenatally and a systematic review of the literature were performed. MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL and ClinicalTrials.gov (January 2000 to October 2019) databases were searched electronically for studies reporting on the diagnostic yield of ES in prenatally diagnosed CHD. Selected studies included those with more than three cases, with initiation of testing based upon prenatal phenotype only and that included cases in which CMA or karyotyping was negative. The incremental diagnostic yield of ES was assessed in: (1) all cases of CHD; (2) isolated CHD; (3) CHD associated with extracardiac anomaly (ECA); and (4) CHD according to phenotypic subgroup.

RESULTS

In our cohort, ES had an additional diagnostic yield in all CHD, isolated CHD and CHD associated with ECA of 12.7% (25/197), 11.5% (14/122) and 14.7% (11/75), respectively (P = 0.81). The corresponding pooled incremental yields from 18 studies (encompassing 636 CHD cases) included in the systematic review were 21% (95% CI, 15-27%), 11% (95% CI, 7-15%) and 37% (95% CI, 18-56%), respectively. The results did not differ significantly when subanalysis was limited to studies including more than 20 cases, except for CHD associated with ECA, in which the incremental yield was greater (49% (95% CI, 17-80%)). In cases of CHD associated with ECA in the primary analysis, the most common extracardiac anomalies associated with a pathogenic variant were those affecting the genitourinary system (23/52 (44.2%)). The greatest incremental yield was in cardiac shunt lesions (41% (95% CI, 19-63%)), followed by right-sided lesions (26% (95% CI, 9-43%)). In the majority (68/96 (70.8%)) of instances, pathogenic variants occurred de novo and in autosomal dominant (monoallelic) disease genes. The most common (19/96 (19.8%)) monogenic syndrome identified was Kabuki syndrome.

CONCLUSIONS

There is an apparent incremental yield of prenatal ES in CHD. While the greatest yield is in CHD associated with ECA, consideration could also be given to performing ES in the presence of an isolated cardiac abnormality. A policy of routine application of ES would require the adoption of robust bioinformatic, clinical and ethical pathways. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Student selection to a rural veterinary school. 2: predictors of student performance and attrition

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the extent to which current selection processes at Charles Sturt University, New South Wales, Australia, predict performance within and attrition from the veterinary degree program.

DESIGN

Retrospective evaluation of application details and student performance data.

METHODS

Database records of 424 students entering the veterinary program were retrieved from university records, including all students graduating (n = 356) or leaving the program without completing (n = 68) between 2005 and 2016. Demographic data were related to results of selection processes and achievement within the degree using univariable and multivariable general linear and logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

The grade point average achieved over the 6 years of the degree was influenced by academic achievement prior to entry, gender (females performed ≈ 2% better than males) and interview scores. Preceptor evaluation of final-year clinical performance was associated with interview scores, gender (males performed ≈ 4% better than females) and residential address at the time of application. Attrition for personal reasons was more common for female students and students who had completed a prior degree, and students who experienced academic or personal attrition had lower written application scores. Factors that have been previously linked to poor academic outcomes, including rural or low socioeconomic background, were not associated with adverse student outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Selection processes did not systematically disadvantage students admitted to the degree program. Gender differences in personal attrition and academic and clinical performance warrant further evaluation. Factors in addition to academic aptitude predicted student success.

Student selection to a rural veterinary school. 1: applicant demographics and predictors of success within the application process

OBJECTIVE

To determine demographic details of applicants to the veterinary degree program at and relate this information to student selection processes.

DESIGN

Retrospective evaluation of applicant data.

METHODS

Database records of 4042 applicants to the veterinary program (2006-2016) were retrieved from university records. Summary statistics were used to determine basic demographic data, which were related to pre-entry academic achievement and results of selection processes using univariable and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

The number of applications, interviews and acceptance of offers fluctuated but did not vary substantively for the duration of the study. Gender, rurality (as assessed by residential and school postcodes), socioeconomic background, academic background and pre-entry academic achievement all significantly influenced written application and interview scores in the multivariate models. Rural background, written application score, number of applications, pre-entry academic history and achievement significantly affected the chances of receiving an interview. Chances of receiving an offer and subsequent program entry were significantly influenced by academic background, interview score and pre-entry academic achievement. Male applicants were more likely to receive an offer, but gender had no effect on program entry. Rural residential and school background was associated with significantly reduced ATAR in comparison with city-based applicants.

CONCLUSION

Selection processes effectively identified applicants with demographic backgrounds and life experiences consistent with the School's commitment to the veterinary needs of rural and regional Australia. Findings support the provision of an academic loading for the ATAR results of rural students. Effects of these selection outcomes on student performance should be evaluated.

Discovery and optimization of pyrazole amides as antagonists of CCR1

A HTS screen for CCR1 antagonists afforded a novel sub-micromolar hit 5 containing a pyrazole core. In this report the design, optimization, and SAR of novel CCR1 antagonists based on a pyrazole core motif is presented. Optimization led to the advanced candidate compounds (S)-16q and (S)-16r with 250-fold improved CCR1 potency, excellent off-target selectivity and attractive drug-like properties.

Speed breeding in growth chambers and glasshouses for crop breeding and model plant research

'Speed breeding' (SB) shortens the breeding cycle and accelerates crop research through rapid generation advancement. SB can be carried out in numerous ways, one of which involves extending the duration of plants' daily exposure to light, combined with early seed harvest, to cycle quickly from seed to seed, thereby reducing the generation times for some long-day (LD) or day-neutral crops. In this protocol, we present glasshouse and growth chamber-based SB approaches with supporting data from experimentation with several crops. We describe the conditions that promote the rapid growth of bread wheat, durum wheat, barley, oat, various Brassica species, chickpea, pea, grass pea, quinoa and Brachypodium distachyon. Points of flexibility within the protocols are highlighted, including how plant density can be increased to efficiently scale up plant numbers for single-seed descent (SSD). In addition, instructions are provided on how to perform SB on a small scale in a benchtop growth cabinet, enabling optimization of parameters at a low cost.

Relationships between markers of inflammation and bone density: findings from the Hertfordshire Cohort Study

Among 365 Hertfordshire Cohort Study participants (aged 59-71 years at baseline), higher adiponectin and adiponectin to leptin ratios were associated with lower baseline lumbar spine and femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). Lower IL-10 was associated with accelerated decline in lumbar spine BMD. This suggests that bone health can be influenced by changes in immune phenotype and alterations in adipokine homeostasis.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to examine the association between indices of inflammation and BMD in a population-based cohort of older adults in the UK.

METHODS

Analyses were based on a sample of 194 men and 171 women of the Hertfordshire Cohort Study (community-living, older adults). Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) was performed at the lumbar spine and proximal femur at baseline and repeated at a median of 4.5 years (inter-quartile range 3.6 to 5.2). Inflammatory markers (CRP, TNF, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, adiponectin and leptin) were ascertained at baseline using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) techniques and Bio-Plex Pro Assays. Gender-adjusted linear regression was used to examine the associations between markers of inflammation and outcomes with and without adjustment for anthropometric and lifestyle factors.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) ages at baseline were 64.4 (2.5) and 66.5 (2.7) years for men and women respectively. Higher levels of adiponectin and adiponectin to leptin ratios were each associated with lower baseline lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD in gender-adjusted (p < 0.01) and fully adjusted (p < 0.05) analyses. Lower levels of IL-10 and TNF were each associated with accelerated decline in lumbar spine BMD in both gender-adjusted (p ≤ 0.05) and fully adjusted (p < 0.05) analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort of older adults, high levels of adiponectin and adiponectin to leptin ratios were both associated with lower BMD at the lumbar spine and femoral neck at baseline, and lower IL-10 was associated with accelerated decline in BMD at the lumbar spine. This adds weight to the theory that bone health can be influenced by changes in immune phenotype and alterations in adipokine homeostasis.

Late-stage optimization of a tercyclic class of S1P3-sparing, S1P1 receptor agonists

Poor solubility and cationic amphiphilic drug-likeness were liabilities identified for a lead series of S1P3-sparing, S1P1 agonists originally developed from a high-throughput screening campaign. This work describes the subsequent optimization of these leads by balancing potency, selectivity, solubility and overall molecular charge. Focused SAR studies revealed favorable structural modifications that, when combined, produced compounds with overall balanced profiles. The low brain exposure observed in rat suggests that these compounds would be best suited for the potential treatment of peripheral autoimmune disorders.

Economic modelling of diagnostic and treatment pathways in National Institute for Health and Care Excellence clinical guidelines: the Modelling Algorithm Pathways in Guidelines (MAPGuide) project

BACKGROUND

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) clinical guidelines (CGs) make recommendations across large, complex care pathways for broad groups of patients. They rely on cost-effectiveness evidence from the literature and from new analyses for selected high-priority topics. An alternative approach would be to build a model of the full care pathway and to use this as a platform to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of multiple topics across the guideline recommendations.

OBJECTIVES

In this project we aimed to test the feasibility of building full guideline models for NICE guidelines and to assess if, and how, such models can be used as a basis for cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA).

DATA SOURCES

A 'best evidence' approach was used to inform the model parameters. Data were drawn from the guideline documentation, advice from clinical experts and rapid literature reviews on selected topics. Where possible we relied on good-quality, recent UK systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

REVIEW METHODS

Two published NICE guidelines were used as case studies: prostate cancer and atrial fibrillation (AF). Discrete event simulation (DES) was used to model the recommended care pathways and to estimate consequent costs and outcomes. For each guideline, researchers not involved in model development collated a shortlist of topics suggested for updating. The modelling teams then attempted to evaluate options related to these topics. Cost-effectiveness results were compared with opinions about the importance of the topics elicited in a survey of stakeholders.

RESULTS

The modelling teams developed simulations of the guideline pathways and disease processes. Development took longer and required more analytical time than anticipated. Estimates of cost-effectiveness were produced for six of the nine prostate cancer topics considered, and for five of eight AF topics. The other topics were not evaluated owing to lack of data or time constraints. The modelled results suggested 'economic priorities' for an update that differed from priorities expressed in the stakeholder survey.

LIMITATIONS

We did not conduct systematic reviews to inform the model parameters, and so the results might not reflect all current evidence. Data limitations and time constraints restricted the number of analyses that we could conduct. We were also unable to obtain feedback from guideline stakeholders about the usefulness of the models within project time scales.

CONCLUSIONS

Discrete event simulation can be used to model full guideline pathways for CEA, although this requires a substantial investment of clinical and analytic time and expertise. For some topics lack of data may limit the potential for modelling. There are also uncertainties over the accessibility and adaptability of full guideline models. However, full guideline modelling offers the potential to strengthen and extend the analytical basis of NICE's CGs. Further work is needed to extend the analysis of our case study models to estimate population-level budget and health impacts. The practical usefulness of our models to guideline developers and users should also be investigated, as should the feasibility and usefulness of whole guideline modelling alongside development of a new CG.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the Medical Research Council and the National Institute for Health Research through the Methodology Research Programme [grant number G0901504] and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 17, No. 58. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Protocol for an HTA report: Does therapeutic writing help people with long-term conditions? Systematic review, realist synthesis and economic modelling

INTRODUCTION

Long-term medical conditions (LTCs) cause reduced health-related quality of life and considerable health service expenditure. Writing therapy has potential to improve physical and mental health in people with LTCs, but its effectiveness is not established. This project aims to establish the clinical and cost-effectiveness of therapeutic writing in LTCs by systematic review and economic evaluation, and to evaluate context and mechanisms by which it might work, through realist synthesis.

METHODS

Included are any comparative study of therapeutic writing compared with no writing, waiting list, attention control or placebo writing in patients with any diagnosed LTCs that report at least one of the following: relevant clinical outcomes; quality of life; health service use; psychological, behavioural or social functioning; adherence or adverse events. Searches will be conducted in the main medical databases including MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, The Cochrane Library and Science Citation Index. For the realist review, further purposive and iterative searches through snowballing techniques will be undertaken. Inclusions, data extraction and quality assessment will be in duplicate with disagreements resolved through discussion. Quality assessment will include using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) criteria. Data synthesis will be narrative and tabular with meta-analysis where appropriate. De novo economic modelling will be attempted in one clinical area if sufficient evidence is available and performed according to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) reference case.

G protein-coupled bile acid receptor 1 stimulation mediates arterial vasodilation through a K(Ca)1.1 (BK(Ca))-dependent mechanism

Bile acids (BAs) and BA receptors, including G protein-coupled bile acid receptor 1 (GPBAR1), represent novel targets for the treatment of metabolic and inflammatory disorders. However, BAs elicit myriad effects on cardiovascular function, although this has not been specifically ascribed to GPBAR1. This study was designed to test whether stimulation of GPBAR1 elicits effects on cardiovascular function that are mechanism based that can be identified in acute ex vivo and in vivo cardiovascular models, to delineate whether effects were due to pathways known to be modulated by BAs, and to establish whether a therapeutic window between in vivo cardiovascular liabilities and on-target efficacy could be defined. The results demonstrated that the infusion of three structurally diverse and selective GPBAR1 agonists produced marked reductions in vascular tone and blood pressure in dog, but not in rat, as well as reflex tachycardia and a positive inotropic response, effects that manifested in an enhanced cardiac output. Changes in cardiovascular function were unrelated to modulation of the levothyroxine/thyroxine axis and were nitric oxide independent. A direct effect on vascular tone was confirmed in dog isolated vascular rings, whereby concentration-dependent decreases in tension that were tightly correlated with reductions in vascular tone observed in vivo and were blocked by iberiotoxin. Compound concentrations in which cardiovascular effects occurred, both ex vivo and in vivo, could not be separated from those necessary for modulation of GPBAR1-mediated efficacy, resulting in project termination. These results are the first to clearly demonstrate direct and potent peripheral arterial vasodilation due to GPBAR1 stimulation in vivo through activation of large conductance Ca(2+) activated potassium channel K(Ca)1.1.

Analysis of failed Van Straten LPM proximal interphalangeal prostheses

The two-piece Van Straten Leuwen Poeschmann Metal (LPM) prosthesis was intended for the proximal interphalangeal joints. However, revision rates of 29% after 19 months were reported, as well as massive osteolysis. Five failed LPM titanium-niobium coated cobalt chromium components were obtained, three distal and two proximal, and subjected to a forensic retrieval analysis. Components were analyzed using a Talysurf contacting profilometer, ZYGO noncontacting profilometer, and environmental-scanning electron microscope. All components were heavily worn. In some regions the titanium-niobium coating had been scratched and penetrated. Elsewhere this coating had been removed where there was minimal scratching, which may have been due to corrosion between the coating and substrate. The osteolysis reported clinically was likely to be linked to the wear debris from the failed titanium-niobium coating and substrate.

Accelerating failure rate of the ASR total hip replacement

There is widespread concern regarding the incidence of adverse soft-tissue reactions after metal-on-metal (MoM) hip replacement. Recent National Joint Registry data have shown clear differences in the rates of failure of different designs of hip resurfacing. Our aim was to update the failure rates related to metal debris for the Articular Surface Replacement (ASR). A total of 505 of these were implanted. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a failure rate of 25% at six years for the ASR resurfacing and of 48.8% for the ASR total hip replacement (THR). Of 257 patients with a minimum follow-up of two years, 67 (26.1%) had a serum cobalt concentration which was greater than 7 μg/l. Co-ordinate measuring machine analysis of revised components showed that all patients suffering adverse tissue reactions in the resurfacing group had abnormal wear of the bearing surfaces. Six THR patients had relatively low rates of articular wear, but were found to have considerable damage at the trunion-taper interface. Our results suggest that wear at the modular junction is an important factor in the development of adverse tissue reactions after implantation of a large-diameter MoM THR.

Adverse reaction to metal debris following hip resurfacing: the influence of component type, orientation and volumetric wear

We sought to establish the incidence of joint failure secondary to adverse reaction to metal debris (ARMD) following metal-on-metal hip resurfacing in a large, three surgeon, multicentre study involving 4226 hips with a follow-up of 10 to 142 months. Three implants were studied: the Articular Surface Replacement; the Birmingham Hip Resurfacing; and the Conserve Plus. Retrieved implants underwent analysis using a co-ordinate measuring machine to determine volumetric wear. There were 58 failures associated with ARMD. The median chromium and cobalt concentrations in the failed group were significantly higher than in the control group (p < 0.001). Survival analysis showed a failure rate in the patients with Articular Surface Replacement of 12.8% [corrected] at five years, compared with < 1% at five years for the Conserve Plus and 1.5% at ten years for the Birmingham Hip Resurfacing. Two ARMD patients had relatively low wear of the retrieved components. Increased wear from the metal-on-metal bearing surface was associated with an increased rate of failure secondary to ARMD. However, the extent of tissue destruction at revision surgery did not appear to be dose-related to the volumetric wear.

Shared Values, Networks, and Trust among Canadian Consumer-Driven Disability Organizations

This article focuses on the development of social capital among consumer-driven disability organizations in Canada. A new social movement focuses on issues of identity, quality of life and the lifestyle of people within the movement rather than solely on rights, income security and provisions of the welfare state. Reported here are survey findings revealing the network and values that form the relationship between four national consumer-driven disability organizations (Council of Canadians with Disabilities, the Canadian Association of Independent Living Centres, People First of Canada, and the National Network for Mental Health) and their member or affiliate organizations. Study results reveal features within the new social movement that contribute to, and diminish, social capital, including issues around the development of shared values, establishment of networks and supports within an atmosphere of trust and mutuality. Study findings expand on the mobilizing and political capacity found among consumer-driven disability organizations in Canada.

52. Simulation based training improves resident competence in the performance of critical resuscitation procedures

We sought to assess the impact of procedural skills simulation training on residents’ competence in performing critical resuscitation skills. Our study was a prospective, cross-sectional study of residents from three residency training programs (Family Medicine, Emergency Medicine and Internal Medicine) at the University of Calgary. Participants completed a survey measuring competence in the performance of the procedural skills required to manage hemodynamic instability. The study intervention was an 8 hour simulation based training program focused on resuscitation procedure psychomotor skill acquisition. Competence was criterion validated at the Right Internal Jugular Central Venous Catheter Insertion station by an expert observer using a standardized checklist (Observed Structured Clinical Examination (OSCE) format). At the completion of the simulation course participants repeated the self-assessment survey. Descriptive Statistics, Cronbach’s alpha, Pearson’s correlation coefficient and Paired Sample t-test statistical tools were applied to the analyze the data. Thirty-five of 37 residents (9 FRCPC Emergency Medicine, 4 CCFP-Emergency Medicine, 17 CCFP, and 5 Internal Medicine) completed both survey instruments and the eight hour course. Seventy-two percent of participants were PGY-1 or 2. Mean age was 30.7 years of age. Cronbach’s alpha for the survey instrument was 0.944. Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient was 0.69 (p < 0.001) for relationship between Expert Assessment and Self-Assessment. The mean improvement in competence score pre- to post-intervention was 6.77 (p < 0.01, 95% CI 5.23-8.32). Residents from a variety of training programs (Internal Medicine, Emergency Medicine and Family Medicine) demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in competence with critical resuscitation procedural skills following an intensive simulation based training program. Self-assessment of competence was validated using correlation data based on expert assessments. Dawson S. Procedural simulation: a primer. J Vasc Interv Radiol. 2006; 17(2.1):205-13. Vozenilek J, Huff JS, Reznek M, Gordon JA. See one, do one, teach one: advanced technology in medical education. Acad Emerg Med. 2004; 11(11):1149-54. Ziv A, Wolpe PR, Small SD, Glick S. Simulation-based medical education: an ethical imperative. Acad Med. 2003; 78(8):783-8.

Discovery and Optimization of p38 Inhibitors via Computer-Assisted Drug Design

Integration of computational methods, X-ray crystallography, and structure-activity relationships will be disclosed, which lead to a new class of p38 inhibitors that bind to p38 MAP kinase in a Phe out conformation.

Costs and outcomes of tuberculosis control in the Russian Federation: retrospective cohort analysis

We analysed costs and outcomes of tuberculosis care for patients in a traditional Russian tuberculosis control system, using 3-year retrospective cohort data. Of 1749 cases at 3 years of follow-up, 65% were cured, 11.3% (198/1749) still had 'active' or 'chronic' disease, 10.3% had transferred out of the local civilian health care system and 12.7% had died. The mean cost of managing one case over 3 years was 886 US dollars: 1,078 US dollars for bacteriologically confirmed (BK+) cases and 718 US dollars for bacteriologically unconfirmed (BK-) cases. Approximately 60% of treatment costs were incurred in the first 12 months and 40% incurred in the remaining 2 years. Around 60% of the total cost was accounted for by hospital inpatient care. The cost, treatment and outcome of BK+ and BK- cases differed substantially. The cost of treating BK+ cases was 50% higher than treating BK- cases due to higher hospitalization rates and the additional cost of managing BK+ cases that become 'chronic'. While BK+ cases accounted for 55% of total health expenditure on tuberculosis, the share of BK- cases was 45% of the total - due to hospitalization and lengthy periods of follow up. The costs of treating tuberculosis in the Russian tuberculosis control system are very high compared with other high-burden countries due to hospitalization policies and lengthy case management periods. Much of this expenditure can be avoided if the WHO-recommended DOTS strategy is implemented. In particular, the proportion of expenditure for BK- cases is surprisingly high and can be avoided as most of these patients do not need hospitalizing or lengthy periods of follow-up.

The effect of metformin on fat distribution and the metabolic syndrome in women with polycystic ovary syndrome--a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To establish whether metformin has a significant action in reducing visceral fat and improving other metabolic parameters in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).

DESIGN

Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

SETTING

Reproductive medicine clinic.

POPULATION

Forty women with anovulatory PCOS.

METHODS

Participants were randomised into receiving metformin 500 mg three times a day or placebo for 3 months.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Fat distribution was measured by computed tomography scan. Secondary outcome measures included serum indices of the metabolic syndrome and evidence of ovulation.

RESULTS

We found no significant differences in any of the measures of fat distribution between the placebo and metformin groups. The metformin group had significantly lower total cholesterol (P= 0.02), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (P= 0.02) and cholesterol:high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (P= 0.05), but there was no statistically significant treatment effect on androgens, insulin, insulin resistance, triglycerides, ovulation or pregnancy.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin has no clinically significant effect in reducing visceral fat mass, although it does have a beneficial effect on lipids. This trial lends support to the growing evidence that metformin is not a weight loss drug. Metformin might therefore be used as an adjunct to lifestyle modification in women with PCOS, but not as a substitute for it.

The central issue? Visceral fat mass is a good marker of insulin resistance and metabolic disturbance in women with polycystic ovary syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To establish whether visceral fat mass is the most significant variable correlating with insulin resistance and other metabolic parameters in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).

DESIGN

Prospective cross-sectional trial.

SETTING

Reproductive medicine clinic.

POPULATION

Forty women with anovulatory PCOS.

METHODS

Measurements were taken at recruitment, and analysis was performed to define correlations between the outcome measures and the explanatory variables.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Visceral and subcutaneous fat by computed tomography scan, insulin resistance, anthropometric measures, markers of the metabolic syndrome and androgens.

RESULTS

Strong linear correlation of visceral fat to insulin resistance (r = 0.68, P < 0.001) was observed. There were also statistically significant correlations with fasting insulin (r = 0.73, P < 0.001), homeostasis model assessment beta-cell function (r = 0.50, P = 0.007), triglycerides (r = 0.45, P = 0.003), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (r = -0.42, P = 0.007), urate (r = 0.47, P = 0.002), Sex hormone binding globulin (r = -0.39, P = 0.01) and luteinising hormone (r = -0.32, P = 0.02). There were no significant correlations of testosterone with fat distribution or metabolic parameters. Insulin resistance showed closest correlation to visceral fat mass (r = 0.68, P < 0.001), then to waist circumference (r = 0.62, P < 0.001), with the weakest correlation being waist:hip ratio (r = 0.36, P = 0.01). The best regression model for predicting insulin resistance is with visceral fat mass and triglycerides as the explanatory variables (r = 0.72, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Visceral fat is the most significant variable correlating with metabolic dysfunction in women with PCOS. Our data support the hypothesis that visceral fat either causes insulin resistance or is a very early effect of it. It also implies that reducing visceral fat should reduce insulin resistance which may account for the observations that exercise and weight loss appear to be more effective interventions than pharmacological treatments. The best anthropometric measure of insulin resistance is waist circumference.

Future of primary healthcare education: current problems and potential solutions

This review examines the origins of primary care and the pressures currently faced in terms of patient expectation, regulation, accountability, and work force shortages. It recognises the appropriateness of adding to the burden in primary care further by the shift both of more services and more medical education from secondary care. Some conclusions are drawn concerning potential solutions including skill mix changes, centralisation of services, a change in attitudes to professional mistakes, increased protected development time, evidence based education, and academic, leadership, and feedback skills for general practitioners. Six recommendations are offered as a prescription for organisational and educational change.