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Transmission dynamics and effect of control measures on the 2022 outbreak of mpox among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men in England: a mathematical modelling study. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2024; 24:65-74. [PMID: 37708908 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(23)00451-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2023] [Revised: 06/26/2023] [Accepted: 07/12/2023] [Indexed: 09/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The 2022 global outbreak of mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) spread primarily among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), with the initial cluster being identified in England in May, 2022. Understanding its epidemiological characteristics and the reasons for its downturn in July, 2022, will help to control future outbreaks. METHODS We collated data for all diagnosed mpox cases (3621) from England from May 1, 2022, to Nov 16, 2022. Data from 75 individuals with mpox allowed estimation of the incubation period, while data from 121 case-contact pairs were used to estimate the serial interval. Six methods, including a structured dynamic compartmental transmission model, were used to estimate the basic reproduction number (R0). The structured model assumed all male individuals with mpox were GBMSM, who were then stratified into subgroups for those at low risk and high risk for mpox. This best fitting model was used to estimate the reduction in transmissibility, and the effective infectious period (before isolating), that resulted in the outbreak downturn, and the effect of vaccination initiated from June 27, 2022. Bayesian methods were used for parameter estimation and model calibration. FINDINGS Most cases occurred in men (3544 of 3621, 97·9%). The median incubation period for mpox was 6·90 days (95% credible interval [CrI] 4·08-20·21), and the serial interval was 8·82 days (5·22-25·81). R0 estimates ranged from 1·41 to 2·17. The structured transmission model estimated that 83·8% of infections (95% CrI 83·5-85·3) resulted from sexual partnerships with GBMSM individuals at high risk of mpox. The outbreak downturn probably resulted from a 44·5% reduction in the sexual partner rate among all GBMSM (24·9-55·8) and 20·0% reduction in the effective infectious period (4·1-33·9), preventing 165 896 infections (115 584-217 730). Vaccination marginally increased the number of infections prevented (166 081, 115 745-217 947), but minimised a resurgence in cases from January, 2023, and could have averted four times more infections if initiated earlier. Our findings were sensitive to assumptions regarding the vaccine's effectiveness and the GBMSM subgroup at high risk of mpox. INTERPRETATION The mpox outbreak in England probably resulted from high sexual partner rates among some GBMSM, with reductions in partner rates reversing the outbreak, and with vaccination minimising future outbreaks. FUNDING National Institute for Health Research (UK).
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Standardized 100% single rooms in new hospital builds: a high-cost strategy with low use of showers. J Hosp Infect 2023; 138:89-91. [PMID: 37075819 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhin.2023.04.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Accepted: 04/06/2023] [Indexed: 04/21/2023]
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Childhood-Onset Lupus Nephritis in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Registry: Short-Term Kidney Status and Variation in Care. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 2023; 75:1553-1562. [PMID: 36775844 PMCID: PMC10500561 DOI: 10.1002/acr.25002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2021] [Revised: 07/14/2022] [Accepted: 08/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The goal was to characterize short-term kidney status and describe variation in early care utilization in a multicenter cohort of patients with childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE) and nephritis. METHODS We analyzed previously collected prospective data from North American patients with cSLE with kidney biopsy-proven nephritis enrolled in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Registry from March 2017 through December 2019. We determined the proportion of patients with abnormal kidney status at the most recent registry visit and applied generalized linear mixed models to identify associated factors. We also calculated frequency of medication use, both during induction and ever recorded. RESULTS We identified 222 patients with kidney biopsy-proven nephritis, with 64% class III/IV nephritis on initial biopsy. At the most recent registry visit at median (interquartile range) of 17 (8-29) months from initial kidney biopsy, 58 of 106 patients (55%) with available data had abnormal kidney status. This finding was associated with male sex (odds ratio [OR] 3.88, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.21-12.46) and age at cSLE diagnosis (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.49). Patients with class IV nephritis were more likely than class III to receive cyclophosphamide and rituximab during induction. There was substantial variation in mycophenolate, cyclophosphamide, and rituximab ever use patterns across rheumatology centers. CONCLUSION In this cohort with predominately class III/IV nephritis, male sex and older age at cSLE diagnosis were associated with abnormal short-term kidney status. We also observed substantial variation in contemporary medication use for pediatric lupus nephritis between pediatric rheumatology centers. Additional studies are needed to better understand the impact of this variation on long-term kidney outcomes.
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Waterborne infections in haemato-oncology units - a narrative review. J Hosp Infect 2023:S0195-6701(23)00165-2. [PMID: 37290689 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhin.2023.05.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2023] [Revised: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 05/29/2023] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Bone marrow transplant and haemato-oncology patients are at risk of healthcare associated infections due to waterborne pathogens. We undertook a narrative review of waterborne outbreaks in haemato-oncology patients from 2000-2022. Databases searched included Pubmed, DARE and CDSR and were undertaken by two authors. We analysed the organisms implicated, sources identified and infection prevention and control strategies implemented. The most commonly implicated pathogens were Pseudomonas aeruginosa, non-tuberculous mycobacteria and Legionella pneumophila. Bloodstream infection was the most common clinical presentation. The majority of incidents employed multimodal strategies to achieve control, addressing both the water source and routes of transmission. This review highlights the risk to haemato-oncology patients from waterborne pathogens and discusses future preventative strategies and the requirement for new UK guidance for haemato-oncology units.
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Measurement of changes in uterine and fibroid volume during treatment of heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB). Hum Reprod Open 2023; 2023:hoad021. [PMID: 37304815 PMCID: PMC10247393 DOI: 10.1093/hropen/hoad021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2022] [Revised: 03/28/2023] [Indexed: 06/13/2023] Open
Abstract
STUDY QUESTION Does application of an unbiased method for analysis of magnetic resonance (MR) images reveal any effect on uterine or fibroid volume from treatment of heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB) with three 12-week courses of the selective progesterone receptor modulator ulipristal acetate (SPRM-UPA)? SUMMARY ANSWER Application of an unbiased method for analysis of MR images showed that treatment of HMB with SPRM-UPA was not associated with a significant reduction in the volume of the uterus or in the volume of uterine fibroids. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY SPRM-UPA shows therapeutic efficacy for treating HMB. However, the mechanism of action (MoA) is not well understood and there have been mixed reports, using potentially biased methodology, regarding whether SPRM-UPA has an effect on the volume of the uterus and fibroids. STUDY DESIGN SIZE DURATION In a prospective clinical study (with no comparator), 19 women with HMB were treated over a period of 12 months with SPRM-UPA and uterine and fibroid size were assessed with high resolution structural MRI and stereology. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS SETTING METHODS A cohort of 19 women aged 38-52 years (8 with and 11 without fibroids) were treated with three 12-week courses of 5 mg SPRM-UPA given daily, with four weeks off medication in-between treatment courses. Unbiased estimates of the volume of uterus and total volume of fibroids were obtained at baseline, and after 6 and 12 months of treatment, by using the Cavalieri method of modern design-based stereology in combination with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE Bland-Altman plots showed good intra-rater repeatability and good inter-rater reproducibility for measurement of the volume of both fibroids and the uterus. For the total patient cohort, two-way ANOVA did not show a significant reduction in the volume of the uterus after two or three treatment courses of SPRM-UPA (P = 0.51), which was also the case when the groups of women with and without fibroids were considered separately (P = 0.63). One-way ANOVA did not show a significant reduction in total fibroid volume in the eight patients with fibroids (P = 0.17). LIMITATIONS REASONS FOR CAUTION The study has been performed in a relatively small cohort of women and simulations that have subsequently been performed using the acquired data have shown that for three time points and a group size of up to 50, with alpha (Type I Error) and beta (Type II Error) set to 95% significance and 80% power, respectively, at least 35 patients would need to be recruited in order for the null hypothesis (that there is no significant reduction in total fibroid volume) to be potentially rejected. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS The imaging protocol that we have developed represents a generic paradigm for measuring the volume of the uterus and uterine fibroids that can be readily incorporated in future studies of medical treatments of HMB. In the present study, SPRM-UPA failed to produce a significant reduction in the volume of the uterus or the total volume of fibroids (which were present in approximately half of the patients) after either two or three 12-week courses of treatment. This finding represents a new insight in respect of the management of HMB using treatment strategies that target hormone-dependence. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS The UPA Versus Conventional Management of HMB (UCON) trial was funded by the EME Programme (Medical Research Council (MRC) and National Institutes of Health Research (NIHR)) (12/206/52). The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health Research, or Department of Health and Social Care.Medical Research Council (MRC) Centre grants to the Centre for Reproductive Health (CRH) (G1002033 and MR/N022556/1) are also gratefully acknowledged. H.C. has clinical research support for laboratory consumables and staff from Bayer AG and provides consultancy advice (All paid to Institution) for Bayer AG, PregLem SA, Gedeon Richter, Vifor Pharma UK Ltd, AbbVie Inc., and Myovant Sciences GmbH. H.C. has received royalties from UpToDate for an article on abnormal uterine bleeding. L.W. has received grant funding from Roche Diagnostics (Paid to Institution). All other authors have no conflicts to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER The study reported here is an embedded mechanism of action study (no comparator) within the UCON clinical trial (registration ISRCTN: 20426843).
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Abstract No. 525 Investigation of an Ex Vivo Perfusion Model for Teaching Angiographic Procedures to Novice Trainees. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2022.12.383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/27/2023] Open
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Development of isolated left deltoid compartment syndrome due to meth intoxication with associated Rhabdomyolysis leading to significant kidney damage. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00496-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Miller fisher syndrome in a 20 year old female following infection with SARS-CoV-2. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00591-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Inferior vena cava syndrome: a neglected entity. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00208-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Experiencing years of progressive muscle weakness and dehabilitation, a case of missed amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00351-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Weakness in rhabdomyolysis: a dismissed symptom. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00350-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Acute renal infarction presenting as hypertensive urgency. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00223-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Vaping induced platelet dysfunction. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00224-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Persistent abdominal pain after cholecystectomy. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00170-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Lipase negative severe acute pancreatitis: a rare but overlooked entity. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00150-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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A postmenopausal woman present with Takotsubo cardiomyopathy without any major risk factors. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00128-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Strengthening capacity to achieve equity in access to rare disease clinical trials. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00201-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Chronic gastric volvulus as a rare cause of iron deficiency anemia. Am J Med Sci 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9629(23)00166-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
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Minimally Invasive Nasal Airway Surgery Can Reverse ADHD in Children. Sleep Med 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.sleep.2022.05.105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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The Effect of Systemic Racism and Homophobia on Police Enforcement and Sexual and Emotional Violence among Sex Workers in East London: Findings from a Cohort Study. J Urban Health 2022; 99:1127-1140. [PMID: 36222972 PMCID: PMC9727011 DOI: 10.1007/s11524-022-00673-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
There is extensive qualitative evidence of violence and enforcement impacting sex workers who are ethnically or racially minoritized, and gender or sexual minority sex workers, but there is little quantitative evidence. Baseline and follow-up data were collected among 288 sex workers of diverse genders (cis/transgender women and men and non-binary people) in London (2018-2019). Interviewer-administered and self-completed questionnaires included reports of rape, emotional violence, and (un)lawful police encounters. We used generalized estimating equation models (Stata vs 16.1) to measure associations between (i) ethnic/racial identity (Black, Asian, mixed or multiple vs White) and recent (6 months) or past police enforcement and (ii) ethnic/racial and sexual identity (lesbian, gay or bisexual (LGB) vs. heterosexual) with recent rape and emotional violence (there was insufficient data to examine the association with transgender/non-binary identities). Ethnically/racially minoritized sex workers (26.4%) reported more police encounters partly due to increased representation in street settings (51.4% vs 30.7% off-street, p = 0.002). After accounting for street setting, ethnically/racially minoritized sex workers had higher odds of recent arrest (adjusted odds ratio 2.8, 95% CI 1.3-5.8), past imprisonment (aOR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1-5.0), police extortion (aOR 3.3, 95% CI 1.4-7.8), and rape (aOR 3.6, 95% CI 1.1-11.5). LGB-identifying sex workers (55.4%) were more vulnerable to rape (aOR 2.4, 95% CI 1.1-5.2) and emotional violence. Sex workers identifying as ethnically/racially minoritized (aOR 2.1, 95% CI 1.0-4.5), LGB (aOR 2.0, 95% CI 1.0-4.0), or who use drugs (aOR 2.0, 95% CI 1.1-3.8) were more likely to have experienced emotional violence than white-identifying, heterosexual or those who did not use drugs. Experience of any recent police enforcement was associated with increased odds of rape (aOR 3.6, 95% CI 1.3-8.4) and emotional violence (aOR 4.9, 95% CI 1.8-13.0). Findings show how police enforcement disproportionately targets ethnically/racially minoritized sex workers and contributes to increased risk of rape and emotional violence, which is elevated among sexual and ethnically/racially minoritized workers.
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Intraarticular steroids as DMARD-sparing agents for juvenile idiopathic arthritis flares: Analysis of the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Registry. Pediatr Rheumatol Online J 2022; 20:107. [PMID: 36434731 PMCID: PMC9701017 DOI: 10.1186/s12969-022-00770-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2022] [Accepted: 11/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) who achieve a drug free remission often experience a flare of their disease requiring either intraarticular steroids (IAS) or systemic treatment with disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs). IAS offer an opportunity to recapture disease control and avoid exposure to side effects from systemic immunosuppression. We examined a cohort of patients treated with IAS after drug free remission and report the probability of restarting systemic treatment within 12 months. METHODS We analyzed a cohort of patients from the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Registry who received IAS for a flare after a period of drug free remission. Historical factors and clinical characteristics and of the patients including data obtained at the time of treatment were analyzed. RESULTS We identified 46 patients who met the inclusion criteria. Of those with follow up data available 49% had restarted systemic treatment 6 months after IAS injection and 70% had restarted systemic treatment at 12 months. The proportion of patients with prior use of a biologic DMARD was the only factor that differed between patients who restarted systemic treatment those who did not, both at 6 months (79% vs 35%, p < 0.01) and 12 months (81% vs 33%, p < 0.05). CONCLUSION While IAS are an option for all patients who flare after drug free remission, it may not prevent the need to restart systemic treatment. Prior use of a biologic DMARD may predict lack of success for IAS. Those who previously received methotrexate only, on the other hand, are excellent candidates for IAS.
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Evaluation of a Sumoylation Inhibitor as an Intrinsic and Extrinsic Radiosensitizer. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2022.07.2117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/31/2022]
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Bayesian emulation and history matching of JUNE. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2022; 380:20220039. [PMID: 35965471 PMCID: PMC9376712 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2022] [Accepted: 06/07/2022] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
We analyze JUNE: a detailed model of COVID-19 transmission with high spatial and demographic resolution, developed as part of the RAMP initiative. JUNE requires substantial computational resources to evaluate, making model calibration and general uncertainty analysis extremely challenging. We describe and employ the uncertainty quantification approaches of Bayes linear emulation and history matching to mimic JUNE and to perform a global parameter search, hence identifying regions of parameter space that produce acceptable matches to observed data, and demonstrating the capability of such methods. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.
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Bayesian emulation and history matching of JUNE. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2022; 380:20210039. [PMID: 35965471 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2021] [Accepted: 12/06/2021] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
We analyze JUNE: a detailed model of COVID-19 transmission with high spatial and demographic resolution, developed as part of the RAMP initiative. JUNE requires substantial computational resources to evaluate, making model calibration and general uncertainty analysis extremely challenging. We describe and employ the uncertainty quantification approaches of Bayes linear emulation and history matching to mimic JUNE and to perform a global parameter search, hence identifying regions of parameter space that produce acceptable matches to observed data, and demonstrating the capability of such methods. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.
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EP07.01-019 Multiinstitutional Patterns of Use and Compliance with Tumor Treating Fields for Patients with Unresectable Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma. J Thorac Oncol 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jtho.2022.07.551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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Rotationally-driven piezoelectricity: computational assessment of ionic plastic molecular crystals. ACTA CRYSTALLOGRAPHICA SECTION A FOUNDATIONS AND ADVANCES 2022. [DOI: 10.1107/s2053273322092518] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/19/2023]
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Effect of police enforcement and extreme social inequalities on violence and mental health among women who sell sex: findings from a cohort study in London, UK. Sex Transm Infect 2022; 98:323-331. [PMID: 34702782 PMCID: PMC9340007 DOI: 10.1136/sextrans-2021-055088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2021] [Accepted: 07/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To examine legal and social determinants of violence, anxiety/depression among sex workers. METHODS A participatory prospective cohort study among women (inclusive of transgender) ≥18 years, selling sex in the last 3 months in London between 2018 and 2019. We used logistic generalised estimating equation models to measure associations between structural factors on recent (6 months) violence from clients or others (local residents, strangers), depression/anxiety (Patient Health Questionnaire-4). RESULTS 197 sex workers were recruited (96% cisgender-women; 46% street-based; 54% off-street) and 60% completed a follow-up questionnaire. Street-based sex workers experienced greater inequalities compared with off-street in relation to recent violence from clients (73% vs 36%); police (42% vs 7%); intimate partner violence (IPV) (56% vs 18%) and others (67% vs 17%), as well as homelessness (65% vs 7%) and recent law enforcement (87% vs 9%). Prevalence of any STI was 17.5% (17/97). For street-based sex workers, recent arrest was associated with violence from others (adjusted OR (aOR) 2.77; 95% CI 1.11 to 6.94) and displacement by police was associated with client violence (aOR 4.35; 95% CI 1.36 to 13.90). Financial difficulties were also associated with client violence (aOR 4.66; 95% CI 1.64 to 13.24). Disability (aOR 3.85; 95% CI 1.49 to 9.95) and client violence (aOR 2.55; 95% CI 1.10 to 5.91) were associated with anxiety/depression. For off-street sex workers, financial difficulties (aOR 3.66; 95% CI 1.64 to 8.18), unstable residency (aOR 3.19; 95% CI 1.36 to 7.49), IPV (aOR 3.77; 95% CI 1.30 to 11.00) and alcohol/drug use were associated with client violence (aOR 3.16; 95% CI 1.26 to 7.92), while always screening and refusing clients was protective (aOR 0.36; 95% CI 0.15 to 0.87). Disability (aOR 5.83; 95% CI 2.34 to 14.51), unmet mental health needs (aOR 3.08; 95% CI 1.15 to 8.23) and past eviction (aOR 3.99; 95% CI 1.23 to 12.92) were associated with anxiety/depression. CONCLUSIONS Violence, anxiety/depression are linked to poverty, unstable housing and police enforcement. We need to modify laws to allow sex workers to work safely and increase availability of housing and mental health services.
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P-280 Potential for improvement and current limitations of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for embryo selection: analysis of external validation data. Hum Reprod 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/humrep/deac107.269] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Study question
What are the prospects of improvement and the limitations of an AI system for embryo selection?
Summary answer
The predictive performance of AI can be enhanced by including additional factors, on top of embryo images, and by assessing images with centered blastocysts.
What is known already
We previously reported the external validation of IVFvision.ai, an AI algorithm that differentiates between Day-5 blastocysts with a positive or negative implantation outcome. IVFvision.ai had higher AUC and overall accuracy in predicting implantation compared to KIDScoreD5 and senior embryologists. Here we report a secondary analysis of external validation data, focusing on a) the improvement of the predictive ability of IVFvision.ai by incorporating data from additional sources, and b) the impact of the blastocyst image quality on the performance of IVFvision.ai.
Study design, size, duration
This is a secondary analysis of external validation data. External validation of IVFvision.ai was performed at a University IVF Clinic using 113 anonymised Embryoscope images of single D5 blastocyst transfers with known implantation outcome.
Participants/materials, setting, methods
The performance of IVFvision.ai and three senior Embryologists to correctly classify blastocysts according to implantation outcome were compared in images in which the whole blastocyst was visible (centred blastocysts, n = 62) vs images in which part of the blastocyst was not visible (off-centred blastocysts, n = 51). Logistic regression models were created: a) IVFvision alone, b) IVFvision+age, c) IVFvision+fertilisation_method, d) IVFvision+KIDScoreD5, e) IVFvision+age+Fertilisation_method+KIDScoreD5. The AUC of each model in predicting implantation was estimated using ROC curve analysis.
Main results and the role of chance
The AUC of IVFVision.ai (0.675 vs 0.432), Embryologist 1 (0.570 vs 0.390), Embryologist 2 (0.663 vs 0.448) and Embryologist 3 (0.628 vs 0.485) were higher for images with centered blastocysts compared to non-centered blastocysts, respectively. There was a progressive increase of AUC with the addition of more factors in the predictive models. a) IVFvision alone: AUC=0.675, b) IVFvision+age: AUC=0.675 c) IVFvision+KIDScoreD5: AUC=0.721 d) IVFvision+fertilisation_method=0.740, e) IVFvision+age+Fertilisation_method+KIDScoreD5=0.768.
Limitations, reasons for caution
The retrospective nature of the study and the small sample of the study raise the need for further prospective studies with a larger number of embryos.
Wider implications of the findings
The highest performance of IVFvision.ai is achieved in images with centred blastocysts, suggesting that implantation cannot be predicted accurately in images with non-centred blastocysts. In addition, we provide provide proof of concept that training AI systems using data from different sources, in addition to embryo images, may increase overall accuracy.
Trial registration number
not applicable
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Abstract No. 86 Distal glue splenic artery embolization versus other embolics: a single-center analysis. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2022.03.167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
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Abstract No. 61 Assessing probe orientation and renal collecting system injury during microwave ablation in a perfused ex vivo porcine model. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2022.03.142] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022] Open
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Sampling strategy, characteristics and representativeness of the InGef research database. Public Health 2022; 206:57-62. [DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2022.02.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2021] [Revised: 01/31/2022] [Accepted: 02/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
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The biomechanics of maintaining effective force application across cycling positions. J Biomech 2022; 138:111103. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jbiomech.2022.111103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Revised: 04/19/2022] [Accepted: 04/20/2022] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
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Social determinants of health influence disease activity and functional disability in Polyarticular Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis. Pediatr Rheumatol Online J 2022; 20:18. [PMID: 35255941 PMCID: PMC8903717 DOI: 10.1186/s12969-022-00676-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2021] [Accepted: 02/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Social determinants of health (SDH) greatly influence outcomes during the first year of treatment in rheumatoid arthritis, a disease similar to polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis (pJIA). We investigated the correlation of community poverty level and other SDH with the persistence of moderate to severe disease activity and functional disability over the first year of treatment in pJIA patients enrolled in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Registry. METHODS In this cohort study, unadjusted and adjusted generalized linear mixed effects models analyzed the effect of community poverty and other SDH on disease activity, using the clinical Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score-10, and disability, using the Child Health Assessment Questionnaire, measured at baseline, 6, and 12 months. RESULTS One thousand six hundred eighty-four patients were identified. High community poverty (≥20% living below the federal poverty level) was associated with increased odds of functional disability (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.28-2.60) but was not statistically significant after adjustment (aOR 1.23, 95% CI 0.81-1.86) and was not associated with increased disease activity. Non-white race/ethnicity was associated with higher disease activity (aOR 2.48, 95% CI: 1.41-4.36). Lower self-reported household income was associated with higher disease activity and persistent functional disability. Public insurance (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.06-2.29) and low family education (aOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.14-3.12) was associated with persistent functional disability. CONCLUSION High community poverty level was associated with persistent functional disability in unadjusted analysis but not with persistent moderate to high disease activity. Race/ethnicity and other SDH were associated with persistent disease activity and functional disability.
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An intensive model of care for hepatitis C virus screening and treatment with direct-acting antivirals in people who inject drugs in Nairobi, Kenya: a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis. Addiction 2022; 117:411-424. [PMID: 34184794 PMCID: PMC8737065 DOI: 10.1111/add.15630] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2020] [Revised: 12/22/2020] [Accepted: 06/16/2021] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment is essential for eliminating HCV in people who inject drugs (PWID), but has limited coverage in resource-limited settings. We measured the cost-effectiveness of a pilot HCV screening and treatment intervention using directly observed therapy among PWID attending harm reduction services in Nairobi, Kenya. DESIGN We utilized an existing model of HIV and HCV transmission among current and former PWID in Nairobi to estimate the cost-effectiveness of screening and treatment for HCV, including prevention benefits versus no screening and treatment. The cure rate of treatment and costs for screening and treatment were estimated from intervention data, while other model parameters were derived from literature. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated over a life-time horizon from the health-care provider's perspective. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. SETTING Nairobi, Kenya. POPULATION PWID. MEASUREMENTS Treatment costs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (cost per disability-adjusted life year averted). FINDINGS The cost per disability-adjusted life-year averted for the intervention was $975, with 92.1% of the probabilistic sensitivity analyses simulations falling below the per capita gross domestic product for Kenya ($1509; commonly used as a suitable threshold for determining whether an intervention is cost-effective). However, the intervention was not cost-effective at the opportunity cost-based cost-effectiveness threshold of $647 per disability-adjusted life-year averted. Sensitivity analyses showed that the intervention could provide more value for money by including modelled estimates for HCV disease care costs, assuming lower drug prices ($75 instead of $728 per course) and excluding directly-observed therapy costs. CONCLUSIONS The current strategy of screening and treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) among people who inject drugs in Nairobi is likely to be highly cost-effective with currently available cheaper drug prices, if directly-observed therapy is not used and HCV disease care costs are accounted for.
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Oral vaccination of dogs with a monovalent live-avirulent vaccine confers 1 year of immunity against Bordetella bronchiseptica challenge. Vet J 2021; 278:105775. [PMID: 34800656 DOI: 10.1016/j.tvjl.2021.105775] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/08/2021] [Revised: 11/16/2021] [Accepted: 11/16/2021] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
This experimental challenge study assessed immune protection 1 year after a single dose of live-attenuated oral Bordetella bronchiseptica (Bb) vaccine in dogs. Forty Bb-seronegative 7-9-week-old puppies were randomly assigned at Day 0 to receive a single oral dose of either Bb vaccine (n = 20; vaccinated group) or sterile water (n = 20; control group). Groups were housed separately until comingling 1 day pre-challenge (Day 365). Challenge with virulent aerosolized Bb occurred at Day 366. Clinical scores were obtained at Days 1-7, and 366-380. Bb microagglutination test (MAT) titers were obtained at Days -7, 0, monthly post-vaccination, and Days 358, 365, and 380. Nasal swabs were collected for microbiological assessment at Days -7, 0, 365, and 367-380. Oral Bb vaccination was not associated with side effects. Pre-challenge, vaccinated dogs developed persistent Bb MAT titers and control dogs remained seronegative. Post-challenge, duration of cough was longer in control dogs (least square means [LSM], 8.6 days) than vaccinated dogs (LSM, 1.5 days; P < 0.0001), with more control dogs having cough on 2 or more consecutive days (control group, n = 17/19, 89.5%; vaccinated group, n = 3/19, 15.8%; P = 0.0011). Post-challenge, Bb shedding occurred in all control dogs and 5/19 (26%) vaccinated dogs. Average duration of Bb shedding was longer in the control group (11.9 days vs. 0.6 days; P < 0.0001) and nasal Bb loads were higher in the control group (P < 0.00001). Orally administered Bb vaccine stimulated immunity that was still protective against virulent Bb challenge after 1 year.
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Response and Toxicity Patterns Seen in Patients Treated With Combination Immunotherapy and Radiotherapy in the UNSCARRed (UNresectable Squamous Cell Carcinoma treated With Avelumab and Radical Radiotherapy) Study. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2021.07.971] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
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Bone turnover markers as determinants of bone density and fracture in men with distal forearm fractures: the pathogenesis examined in the Mr F study. Osteoporos Int 2021; 32:2267-2277. [PMID: 33990874 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-021-06001-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2020] [Accepted: 05/06/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED The pathogenesis for low-trauma wrist fractures in men is not fully understood. This study found that these men had evidence of significantly higher bone turnover compared with control subjects. Bone turnover markers were negative predictors of bone mineral density and were a predictor of fracture. INTRODUCTION Men with distal forearm fractures have reduced bone density, an increased risk of osteoporosis and of further fractures. The aim of this study was to investigate whether or not men with distal forearm fractures had evidence of altered bone turnover activity. METHODS Fifty eight men with low-trauma distal forearm fracture and 58 age-matched healthy control subjects were recruited. All subjects underwent a DXA scan of the forearm, both hips, and lumbar spine, biochemical investigations, and health questionnaires. Measurements of beta crosslaps (βCTX), procollagen type I N-terminal propeptide (PINP), sclerostin, Dickkopf-1 (Dkk1), and fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF 23) were made. RESULTS Men with fracture had significantly higher PINP than controls at 39.2 ng/ml (SD 19.5) versus 33.4 ng/ml (SD13.1) (p<0.001). They also had significantly higher βCTX at 0.45 ng/ml (SD 0.21) versus 0.37 ng/ml (SD 0.17) (p= 0.037). Fracture subjects had significantly lower aBMD and PINP was a negative predictor of aBMD at the total hip and βCTX a negative predictor of forearm aBMD. Sclerostin was a positive predictor of aBMD at the lumbar spine and hip sites. Sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) at 37nmol/L (SD 15.0) was lower in fracture cohort compared to 47.9 nmol/L (SD 19.2) (p=0.001) in control. Multiple regression revealed that the best model for prediction of fracture included SHBG, P1NP, and ultra-distal forearm aBMD. The likelihood of distal forearm fracture was decreased by 5.1% for each nmol/L increase in SHBH and by 1.4% for every mg/cm2 increase in ultra-distal forearm aBMD, but increased by 6.1 % for every ng/ml increase in P1NP. Men in the highest quartile of PINP had a significantly greater likelihood of distal forearm fracture than those in the lowest quartile. CONCLUSION The fracture group had significantly higher PINP and βCTX compared with the control group, and these markers were negative predictors of aBMD at the total hip and forearm sites, respectively. Sclerostin was a positive predictor of the variance of spinal and hip aBMD. Likelihood of forearm fracture was best predicted by a combination of SHBG, PINP, and ultra-distal forearm aBMD. Findings of such cross-sectional data should be treated with caution, as longitudinal studies would be required to confirm or refute them.
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1037 Early Detection and Management of Preoperative Anaemia in An Elective Vascular Surgery Cohort. Br J Surg 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/bjs/znab259.763] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
Introduction
Iron deficiency anaemia is the most common cause of anaemia in the surgical population. Patients receiving transfusions during major surgery encounter more adverse outcomes compared to those that do not, indicating the early management of pre-operative anemia is likely to reduce major surgical patient morbidity and mortality. Previous studies have demonstrated that 33% of patients undergoing major vascular surgery operations are anaemic (haemaglobin, Hb, <130g/L).
Aim
We aim to reduce the proportion of anaemic patients undergoing major vascular surgery by 50%.
Method
A point-of-care HemoCue machine was used to measure Hb in patients who were referred for elective major surgery in 11 vascular clinics. Patients with Hb < 130g/L were prescribed a 1-month course of Ferrous Sulfate (200mg TDS), and a letter was sent to their GP requesting iron function tests. Post-intervention Hb levels were rechecked following the preoperative anaesthetics review.
Results
11 patients were referred for major surgery, of which 4 were identified as anaemic (36%). The mean Hb concentration was 121.3g/L, which increased to 137.3g/L following oral iron therapy. The mean duration of follow up was 36 days (range 0-94 days).
Conclusions
The implementation of a HemoCue machine to identify and manage preoperative anaemia was successful in our pilot study. Further work should include full integration of our pathway into current vascular clinics without student support. This will enable evaluation of the impact of our intervention on a wider scale.
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423 Patient Perspective on the Use of the Independent Sector to Maintain Elective NHS Services During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Br J Surg 2021. [PMCID: PMC8524587 DOI: 10.1093/bjs/znab259.459] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
Introduction
COVID-19 resulted in the suspension of planned treatments for patients worldwide leaving millions suffering the physical and mental effects of delay. Reports indicate that when services have been re-established, patients have been afraid to take up appointments. Hospitals put processes in place to counter this, notably separating emergency and elective patient cohorts. Most notably seen by the co-operation between the NHS and independent private healthcare providers in March 2020 at the height of the pandemic. We undertook a study to ascertain the perceptions of NHS patients who underwent elective treatment at independent ‘cold’ sites during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Method
A cross-sectional study with structured telephone interviews of patients who had planned elective treatments at ‘cold’ independent hospitals between March and September 2020. 1150 patients were identified, and a 20% sample formed a 230 patient study group, with 158 (70%) agreeing to participate.
Results
30% of patients delayed their treatment due to COVID related concerns, with 76% of these only accepting treatment because this was at a ‘cold’ site. 46% of patients perceived treatment at a ‘cold’ site as the most important factor contributing to their safety. 153 patients (97%) supported the paid arrangement between the NHS and the independent sector to provide separate ‘cold’ sites for elective treatments.
Discussion
Safely restarting elective services to allow important planned treatments to take place, as was the pandemic continues, is a priority. Our study indicates that physical separation of patient pathways impacted most on patient confidence, and that the use of ‘cold’ sites is a viable option.
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1051P Impacts of skeletal muscle on survival in resected stage III malignant melanoma. Ann Oncol 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.annonc.2021.08.1436] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
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708P PD-L1 as a predictor of survival in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) from the phase III DANUBE trial of durvalumab (D) or durvalumab plus tremelimumab (D+T) versus standard of care chemotherapy (SoC). Ann Oncol 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.annonc.2021.08.104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
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11 Impact of BMI on Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19. Ann Emerg Med 2021. [PMCID: PMC8335525 DOI: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2021.07.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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PH-0331 Patterns And Predictors Of Relapse In Merkel Cell Carcinoma :Results From A Population Based Study. Radiother Oncol 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/s0167-8140(21)07304-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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Exploratory comparison of Healthcare costs and benefits of the UK's Covid-19 response with four European countries. Eur J Public Health 2021; 31:619-624. [PMID: 33693615 PMCID: PMC7989397 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckab019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In responding to Covid-19, governments have tried to balance protecting health while minimizing gross domestic product (GDP) losses. We compare health-related net benefit (HRNB) and GDP losses associated with government responses of the UK, Ireland, Germany, Spain and Sweden from UK healthcare payer perspective. METHODS We compared observed cases, hospitalizations and deaths under 'mitigation' to modelled events under 'no mitigation' to 20 July 2020. We thus calculated healthcare costs, quality adjusted life years (QALYs), and HRNB at £20,000/QALY saved by each country. On per population (i.e. per capita) basis, we compared HRNB with forecast reductions in 2020 GDP growth (overall or compared with Sweden as minimal mitigation country) and qualitatively and quantitatively described government responses. RESULTS The UK saved 3.17 (0.32-3.65) million QALYs, £33 (8-38) billion healthcare costs and £1416 (220-1637) HRNB per capita at £20,000/QALY. Per capita, this is comparable to £1455 GDP loss using Sweden as comparator and offsets 46.1 (7.1-53.2)% of total £3075 GDP loss. Germany, Spain, and Sweden had greater HRNB per capita. These also offset a greater percentage of total GDP losses per capita. Ireland fared worst on both measures. Countries with more mask wearing, testing, and population susceptibility had better outcomes. Highest stringency responses did not appear to have best outcomes. CONCLUSIONS Our exploratory analysis indicates the benefit of government Covid-19 responses may outweigh their economic costs. The extent that HRNB offset economic losses appears to relate to population characteristics, testing levels, and mask wearing, rather than response stringency.
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Clinical Outcome of Transfemoral Direct Socket Interface (Part 2). CANADIAN PROSTHETICS & ORTHOTICS JOURNAL 2021; 4:36065. [PMID: 37614937 PMCID: PMC10443471 DOI: 10.33137/cpoj.v4i1.36065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2021] [Accepted: 05/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Amputation at the transfemoral (TF) level reduces the rate of successful prosthetic fitting, functional outcome, and quality of life (QoL) compared with transtibial amputation. The TF socket interface is considered the most critical part of the prosthesis, but socket discomfort is still the most common user complaint. Direct Socket for transfemoral prosthesis users is a novel interface fabrication process where the socket is shaped and laminated directly on the residual limb and delivered in a single visit. OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to investigate if prosthetic users' quality of life (QoL), comfort, and mobility with a Direct Socket TF interface were comparable to their experience with their previous prostheses. METHODOLOGY The pre/post design prospective cohort study included 47 subjects. From this cohort, 36 subjects completed the 6-months follow-up (mean age 58 years, 27 males). Outcomes at baseline included EQ-5D-5L®, PLUS-M™, CLASS, ABC, AMPPRO, and TUG. At 6-weeks and 6-months, subjects repeated all measures. Seven Certified Prosthetist (CP) investigators performed observations and data collection at six different sites (from July 2018 to April 2020). FINDINGS Results showed significant improvement in all outcome measures for the 36 subjects that completed both 6-weeks and 6-months follow-ups. CLASS sub-scales showed significantly improved stability, suspension, comfort, and socket appearance. Improvement in K-Level and less use of assistive devices were observed with the AMPPRO instrument, indicating improved user mobility and performance. QoL was also increased, as measured in Quality-Adjusted-Life-Years (QALY) from the EQ-5D-5L. CONCLUSIONS Evidence from the findings demonstrate that the Direct Socket TF system and procedure can be a good alternative to the traditional method of prosthetic interface delivery.
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POS0262 IDENTIFYING EROSIVE DISEASE FROM RADIOLOGY REPORTS OF VETERANS WITH INFLAMMATORY ARTHRITIS USING NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING. Ann Rheum Dis 2021. [DOI: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-eular.1794] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
Background:The presence of erosive disease influences diagnosis, management, and prognosis in inflammatory arthritis (IA).Research of IA in large datasets is limited by a lack of methods for identifying erosions.Objectives:To develop methods for identifying articular erosions in radiology reports from veterans with IA.Methods:Included veterans had ≥2 ICD codes for ankylosing spondylitis (AS), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), or rheumatoid arthritis (RA) between 2005- 2019, in Veterans Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse. Chart review & annotation of radiology notes produced the reference standard, & identified erosion terms that informed classification rule development. A rule-based natural language processing (NLP) model was created & revised in training snippets. The NLP method was validated in an independent reference sample of IA patients at the snippet & patient levelsStepDescriptionNumber & example1 Radiology notesa.Select note titles potentially relevant to IAa. 35,141 notes titlesb.Extract notes with titles potentially related to IAb. 2,926,113 radiology notes2 Possible meaningful termsa.Compile list of root terms that may indicate erosiona. 11 root terms (i.e. ero*, pencil*cup, irreg*)b.Query radiology notes for root term variationsb. 1178 variations (i.e. erosion, erotic, erode)c.Select possible meaningful termsc. 179 possible terms (i.e. erosion, erode)3 Annotationa.Extract snippets^ containing possible meaningful termsa.5000 snippets from radiology notesb.Classify snippets according to: 1) Meaningful term, 2) Relevance to joint, 3) Attribution to IA, 4) Affirmationb.4068 classifications with 1017 snippets (in rounds of 50-417 snippets for NLP training & testing)4 Rule developmenta.Identify meaningful terms representing erosiona. 6 terms (pencil * cup, erosion, erosive, etc.)b.Exclude erosive processes irrelevant to joint(s)b. 28 irrelevant processes (i.e. gastric erosion)c. Exclude articular erosive processes not attributed to IAc. 5 non-IA processes IA (i.e. infection)d. Classify as affirmed/negated (erosion present/absent)d. 83 affirmation/negation rules5 NLP trainingDesign & revise NLP model until accuracy ≥90%6 rounds, 817 snippets (AS 417, RA 200, PsA 200)6 NLP testingTest NLP model200 snippets (AS 100, RA 50, PsA 50)7 Pt classificationa. Develop rules for classifying pts with discordant snippetsa. 5 rules developed in 368 ptsb. Build reference sample (pts classified as erosive or non-erosive via chart review)b. 30 IA pts (10 AS, 10 RA, 10 PsA)8 NLP validationValidate NLP model in reference sample at snippet level149 snippets (29 AS, 76 RA, 44 PsA)9 Method validationValidate methods (NLP+pt classification) at pt level30 IA pts (reference sample)pt= patient. ^Snippets include text containing 30 words before & after meaningful termsResults:In 168,667 veterans with IA, the mean age was 63.1 & 90.3% were male. Method development involved radiology note & erosion term selection, rule development, NLP model building, & method validation. The NLP model accuracy was 94.6% at the snippet level & 90.0% at the patient level, for all IA patients.Accuracy of methods.Conclusion:The methods accurately identify erosions from radiology reports of veterans with IA. They may facilitate a broad range of research involving cohort identification & disease severity stratificationReferences:[1]Walsh JA, et al. J Rheumatol. 2020;47(1):42-49Disclosure of Interests:Gopi Penmetsa: None declared, Shaobo Pei: None declared, Brian Sauer Grant/research support from: I have been an investigator on research contracts supported by Abbvie., Jessica A. Walsh Consultant of: AbbVie, Amgen, Janssen, Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB, Grant/research support from: AbbVie, Merck, Pfizer, Bingjian Feng Grant/research support from: Bing-Jian Feng reports funding and sponsorship to his institution on his behalf from Pfizer Inc., Regeneron Genetics Center LLC, and Astra Zeneca (UK). The PERCH software, for which Bing-Jian Feng is the inventor, has been non-exclusively licensed to Ambry Genetics for clinical genetic testing services and research., Jodi Walker Shareholder of: Abbvie and mutual funds containing various pharmaceutical companies, Employee of: Abbvie, Kevin Douglas Shareholder of: employed by Abbvie, Employee of: employed by Abbvie, Jerry Clewell Shareholder of: Own Abbvie Shares and mutual funds that hold pharmaceutical and other health care stocks, Employee of: I am current Abbvie Inc employee and past employee of Eli Lilly co
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Abstract No. 171 Validating an ex-vivo bovine kidney pulsatile perfusion model with micro-CT evaluation of distal angioembolization. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2021.03.177] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022] Open
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Abstract No. 224 Evaluation of integrated interventional radiology residency websites: comparative cross-sectional analysis from 2017 to 2020. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2021.03.230] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
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Abstract No. 36 A novel method for loading Tc-99m and R-186 into alginate microspheres for radioembolization. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2021.03.452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022] Open
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