Effect of mortality prediction models on resource use benchmarking of intensive care units

PURPOSE

Intensive care requires extensive resources. The ICUs' resource use can be compared using standardized resource use ratios (SRURs). We assessed the effect of mortality prediction models on the SRURs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We compared SRURs using different mortality prediction models: the recent Finnish Intensive Care Consortium (FICC) model and the SAPS-II model (n = 68,914 admissions). We allocated the resources to severity of illness strata using deciles of predicted mortality. In each risk and year stratum, we calculated the expected resource use per survivor from our modelling approaches using length of ICU stay and Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS) points.

RESULTS

Resource use per survivor increased from one length of stay (LOS) day and around 50 TISS points in the first decile to 10 LOS-days and 450 TISS in the tenth decile for both risk scoring systems. The FICC model predicted mortality risk accurately whereas the SAPS-II grossly overestimated the risk of death. Despite this, SRURs were practically identical and consistent.

CONCLUSIONS

SRURs provide a robust tool for benchmarking resource use within and between ICUs. SRURs can be used for benchmarking even if recently calibrated risk scores for the specific population are not available.

The Influence of Potential Organ Donors on Standardized Mortality Ratios and ICU Benchmarking

OBJECTIVES

The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) is a common metric to benchmark ICUs. However, SMR may be artificially distorted by the admission of potential organ donors (POD), who have nearly 100% mortality, although risk prediction models may not identify them as high-risk patients. We aimed to evaluate the impact of PODs on SMR.

DESIGN

Retrospective registry-based multicenter study.

SETTING

Twenty ICUs in Finland, Estonia, and Switzerland in 2015-2017.

PATIENTS

Sixty thousand forty-seven ICU patients.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We used a previously validated mortality risk model to calculate the SMRs. We investigated the impact of PODs on the overall SMR, individual ICU SMR and ICU benchmarking. Of the 60,047 patients admitted to the ICUs, 514 (0.9%) were PODs, and 477 (93%) of them died. POD deaths accounted for 7% of the total 6738 in-hospital deaths. POD admission rates varied from 0.5 to 18.3 per 1000 admissions across ICUs. The risk prediction model predicted a 39% in-hospital mortality for PODs, but the observed mortality was 93%. The ratio of the SMR of the cohort without PODs to the SMR of the cohort with PODs was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93-0.99). Benchmarking results changed in 70% of ICUs after excluding PODs.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite their relatively small overall number, PODs make up a large proportion of ICU patients who die. PODs cause bias in SMRs and in ICU benchmarking. We suggest excluding PODs when benchmarking ICUs with SMR.

Global-, regional- and country-level estimates of the work-related burden of diseases and accidents in 2019

OBJECTIVE

This study provides the global-, regional- and country-level estimates on the work-related burden of diseases and accidents for 2019, including deaths, disability adjusted life years (DALY) and economic losses.

METHODS

Data on occupational illnesses and injuries from international organizations, institutions, and public websites were used. Risk ratios (RR) and population attributable fractions (PAF) for the risk factor-outcome pairs were derived from the literature. Estimated mortality and DALY for a group of seven major diseases covering 120 risk-outcome pairs attributable to work were calculated for 181 countries.

RESULTS

Globally, 2.9 million deaths were attributed to work, with 2.58 million deaths due to work-related diseases and 0.32 million related to occupational injuries. Globally, work-related diseases with a long latency period are increasing, while the number of occupational injuries has decreased. Work-related circulatory diseases were the major cause of 912 000 deaths globally, followed by 843 000 work-related malignant neoplasms. In high-income, American, Eastern European and Western Pacific World Health Organization (WHO) regions, however, work-related malignant neoplasms comprised the biggest disease group. DALY attributable to work were estimated to be 180 million in 2019, with an associated economic loss of 5.8% of global GDP. New estimates of psychosocial factors increased the global loss.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of work-related diseases and injuries increased by 26% from 2.3 million annual deaths in 2014 to 2.9 million in 2019. The DALY attributable to work have also substantially increased from 123 million in 2014 to 180 million in 2019 (47% increase). We found large regional and country variations.

Variation in Severity-Adjusted Resource use and Outcome for Neurosurgical Emergencies in the Intensive Care Unit

BACKGROUND

The correlation between the standardized resource use ratio (SRUR) and standardized hospital mortality ratio (SMR) for neurosurgical emergencies is not known. We studied SRUR and SMR and the factors affecting these in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI), nontraumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

METHODS

We extracted data of patients treated in six university hospitals in three countries (2015-2017). Resource use was measured as SRUR based on purchasing power parity-adjusted direct costs and either intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (costSRURlength of stay) or daily Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System scores (costSRURTherapeutic Intervention Scoring System). Five a priori defined variables reflecting differences in structure and organization between the ICUs were used as explanatory variables in bivariable models, separately for the included neurosurgical diseases.

RESULTS

Out of 28,363 emergency patients treated in six ICUs, 6,162 patients (22%) were admitted with a neurosurgical emergency (41% nontraumatic ICH, 23% SAH, 13% multitrauma TBI, and 23% isolated TBI). The mean costs for neurosurgical admissions were higher than for nonneurosurgical admissions, and the neurosurgical admissions corresponded to 23.6-26.0% of all direct costs related to ICU emergency admissions. A higher physician-to-bed ratio was associated with lower SMRs in the nonneurosurgical admissions but not in the neurosurgical admissions. In patients with nontraumatic ICH, lower costSRURs were associated with higher SMRs. In the bivariable models, independent organization of an ICU was associated with lower costSRURs in patients with nontraumatic ICH and isolated/multitrauma TBI but with higher SMRs in patients with nontraumatic ICH. A higher physician-to-bed ratio was associated with higher costSRURs for patients with SAH. Larger units had higher SMRs for patients with nontraumatic ICH and isolated TBI. None of the ICU-related factors were associated with costSRURs in nonneurosurgical emergency admissions.

CONCLUSIONS

Neurosurgical emergencies constitute a major proportion of all emergency ICU admissions. A lower SRUR was associated with higher SMR in patients with nontraumatic ICH but not for the other diagnoses. Different organizational and structural factors seemed to affect resource use for the neurosurgical patients compared with nonneurosurgical patients. This emphasizes the importance of case-mix adjustment when benchmarking resource use and outcomes.

Global Estimates on Biological Risks at Work

Introduction

Biological risks are a major global problem in the workplace. The recent COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for a more comprehensive understanding of the biological risks at work. This study presents data on both communicable infectious biological agents and noncommunicable factors leading to death and disability for the year 2021.

Methods

We followed the methodology established by the International Labour Organization (ILO) in their past global estimates on occupational accidents and work-related diseases. We used relevant ILO estimates for hazardous substances and related population attributable fractions derived from literature, which were then applied to World Health Organization mortality data. The communicable diseases included in the estimates were tuberculosis, pneumococcal diseases, malaria, diarrheal diseases, other infectious diseases, neglected tropical diseases, influenza associated respiratory diseases and COVID-19. Noncommunicable diseases and injuries considered were Chronic Obstructive Diseases (COPD) due to organic dusts, asthma, allergic reactions and risks related to animal contact. We estimated death attributable to biological risk at work and disability in terms of disability adjusted life years (DALYs).

Results

We estimated that in 2022, 550,819 deaths were caused by biological risk factors, with 476,000 deaths attributed to communicable infectious diseases and 74,000 deaths caused by noncommunicable factors. Among these, there were 223,650 deaths attributed to COVID-19 at work. We calculated the rate of 584 DALYs per 100,000 workers, representing an 11% increase from the previous estimate of the global burden of work-related disabilities measured by DALYs.

Conclusion

This is a first update since previous 2007 ILO estimates, which has now increased by 74% and covers most biological risks factors. However, it is important to note that there may be other diseases and deaths are missing from the data, which need to be included when new information becomes available. It is also worth mentioning that while deaths caused by major communicable diseases including COVID-19 are relatively rare within the working population, absences from work due to these diseases are likely to be very common within the active workforce.

A Systematized Overview of Published Reviews on Biological Hazards, Occupational Health, and Safety

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic turned biological hazards in the working environment into a global concern. This systematized review of published reviews aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the specific jobs and categories of workers exposed to biological hazards with the related prevention.

Methods

We extracted reviews published in English and French in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science. Two authors, working independently, subsequently screened the potentially relevant titles and abstracts recovered (step 1) and then examined relevant full texts (step 2). Disagreements were resolved by consensus. We built tables summarizing populations of exposed workers, types of hazards, types of outcomes (types of health issues, means of prevention), and routes of transmission.

Results

Of 1426 studies initially identified, 79 studies by authors from every continent were selected, mostly published after 2010 (n = 63, 79.7%). About half of the reviews dealt with infectious hazards alone (n = 38, 48.1%). The industrial sectors identified involved healthcare alone (n = 16), laboratories (n = 10), agriculture (including the animal, vegetable, and grain sectors, n = 32), waste (n = 10), in addition of 11 studies without specific sectors. The results also highlighted a range of hazards (infectious and non-infectious agents, endotoxins, bioaerosols, organic dust, and emerging agents).

Conclusion

This systematized overview allowed to list the populations of workers exposed to biological hazards and underlined how prevention measures in the healthcare and laboratory sectors were usually well defined and controlled, although this was not the case in the agriculture and waste sectors. Further studies are necessary to quantify these risks and implement prevention measures that can be applied in every country.

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) Score: has the time come for an update?

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was developed more than 25 years ago to provide a simple method of assessing and monitoring organ dysfunction in critically ill patients. Changes in clinical practice over the last few decades, with new interventions and a greater focus on non-invasive monitoring systems, mean it is time to update the SOFA score. As a first step in this process, we propose some possible new variables that could be included in a SOFA 2.0. By so doing, we hope to stimulate debate and discussion to move toward a new, properly validated score that will be fit for modern practice.

Dexmedetomidine and Propofol Sedation in Critically Ill Patients and Dose Associated 90-day Mortality: A Secondary Cohort Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial (SPICE-III)

RATIONALE

Sedation Practice in Intensive Care Evaluation (SPICE-III) trial reported significant heterogeneity in mortality with dexmedetomidine treatment. Supplemental propofol was commonly used to achieve desirable sedation.

OBJECTIVES

to quantify the association of different infusion rates of dexmedetomidine or propofol, given in combination, with mortality and if this is modified by age.

METHODS AND MEASUREMENTS

We included 1177 patients randomized in SPICE-III to receive dexmedetomidine and given supplemental propofol, stratified by age (>65 or ≤65 years). We used double stratification analysis to produce quartiles of steady infusion rates of dexmedetomidine, while escalating propofol dose and vice versa. We used Cox proportional hazard and multivariable regression, adjusted for relevant clinical variable to evaluate the association of sedative dose with 90-day mortality.

MAIN RESULTS

Younger patients 598/1177(50.8%) received a significantly higher dose of both sedatives compared with older patients, to achieve comparable sedation depth. On double stratification analysis, escalating infusion rates of propofol to 1.27 mg/kg/h at a steady dexmedetomidine infusion rate (0.54 mcg/kg/h) was associated with reduced adjusted mortality in younger, but not older patients. This was consistent with multivariable regression modelling [hazard ratio: 0.59(95% Confidence Interval 0.43-0.78),P<0.0001], adjusted for baseline risk and interaction with dexmedetomidine dose. In contrast, among younger patients using multivariable regression, escalating dexmedetomidine infusion rate was associated with increased adjusted mortality [HR:1.30(95%CI 1.03-1.65), P=0.029].

CONCLUSION

In patients ≤ 65 years sedated with dexmedetomidine and propofol combination, preferentially increasing the dose of propofol was associated with decreased adjusted 90-day mortality. Conversely, increasing dexmedetomidine may be associated with increased mortality. Clinical trial registration available at www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov, ID: NCT01728558.

Association of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) components with mortality

BACKGROUND

Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) is a practical method to describe and quantify the presence and severity of organ system dysfunctions and failures. Some proposals suggest that SOFA could be employed as an endpoint in trials. To justify this, all SOFA component scores should reflect organ dysfunctions of comparable severity. We aimed to investigate whether the associations of different SOFA components with in-hospital mortality are comparable.

METHODS

We performed a study based on nationwide register data on adult patients admitted to 26 Finnish intensive care units (ICUs) during 2012-2015. We determined the SOFA score as the maximum score in the first 24 hours after ICU admission. We defined organ failure (OF) as an organ-specific SOFA score of three or higher. We evaluated the association of different SOFA component scores with mortality.

RESULTS

Our study population comprised 63,756 ICU patients. Overall hospital mortality was 10.7%. In-hospital mortality was 22.5% for patients with respiratory failure, 34.8% for those with coagulation failure, 40.1% for those with hepatic failure, 14.9% for those with cardiovascular failure, 26.9% for those with neurologic failure and 34.6% for the patients with renal failure. Among patients with comparable total SOFA scores, the risk of death was lower in patients with cardiovascular OF compared with patients with other OFs.

CONCLUSIONS

All SOFA components are associated with mortality, but their weights are not comparable. High scores of other organ systems mean a higher risk of death than high cardiovascular scores. The scoring of cardiovascular dysfunction needs to be updated.

Experimental validation of a mean systemic pressure analog against zero-flow measurements in porcine VA-ECMO

The mean systemic pressure analog (Pmsa), calculated from running hemodynamic data, estimates mean systemic filling pressure (MSFP). This post hoc study used data from a porcine veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) model [n = 9; Sus scrofa domesticus; ES breed (Schweizer Edelschwein)] with eight experimental conditions; Euvolemia [a volume state where ECMO flow produced normal mixed venous saturation (SVO2) without vascular collapse]; three levels of increasing norepinephrine infusion (Vasoconstriction 1-3); status after stopping norepinephrine (Post Vasoconstriction); and three steps of volume expansion (10 mL/kg crystalloid bolus) (Volume Expansion 1-3). In each condition, Pmsa and a "reduced-pump-speed-Pmsa" (Pmsared) were calculated from baseline and briefly reduced pump speeds, respectively. We calculated agreement for absolute values (per condition) and changes (between consecutive conditions) of Pmsa and Pmsared, against MSFP at zero ECMO flow. Euvolemia venous return driving pressure was 5.1 ± 2.0 mmHg. Bland-Altman analysis for Pmsa vs. MSFP (all conditions; 72 data pairs) showed bias (confidence interval) 0.5 (0.1-0.9) mmHg; limits of agreement (LoA) -2.7 to 3.8 mmHg. Bias for ΔPmsa vs. ΔMSFP (63 data pairs): 0.2 (-0.2 to 0.6) mmHg, LoA -3.2 to 3.6 mmHg. Bias for Pmsared vs. MSFP (72 data pairs): 0.0 (-0.3 to -0.3) mmHg; LoA -2.3 to 2.4 mmHg. Bias for ΔPmsared vs. ΔMSFP (63 data pairs) was 0.2 (-0.1 to 0.4) mmHg; LoA -1.8 to 2.1 mmHg. In conclusion, during veno-arterial ECMO, under clinically relevant levels of vasoconstriction and volume expansion, Pmsa accurately estimated absolute and changing values of MSFP, with low between-method precision. The within-method precision of Pmsa was excellent, with a least significant change of 0.15 mmHg.NEW & NOTEWORTHY This is the first study ever to validate the mean systemic pressure analog (Pmsa) against the reference mean systemic filling pressure (MSFP) determined at full arterio-venous pressure equilibrium. Using a porcine ECMO model with clinically relevant levels of vasoconstriction and volume expansion, we showed that Pmsa accurately estimated absolute and changing values of MSFP, with a poor between-method precision. The within-method precision of Pmsa was excellent.

Inhaled Nitric Oxide Treatment for Aneurysmal SAH Patients With Delayed Cerebral Ischemia

Background

We demonstrated experimentally that inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) dilates hypoperfused arterioles, increases tissue perfusion, and improves neurological outcome following subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in mice. We performed a prospective pilot study to evaluate iNO in patients with delayed cerebral ischemia after SAH.

Methods

SAH patients with delayed cerebral ischemia and hypoperfusion despite conservative treatment were included. iNO was administered at a maximum dose of 40 ppm. The response to iNO was considered positive if: cerebral artery diameter increased by 10% in digital subtraction angiography (DSA), or tissue oxygen partial pressure (PtiO₂) increased by > 5 mmHg, or transcranial doppler (TCD) values decreased more than 30 cm/sec, or mean transit time (MTT) decreased below 6.5 secs in CT perfusion (CTP). Patient outcome was assessed at 6 months with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS).

Results

Seven patients were enrolled between February 2013 and September 2016. Median duration of iNO administration was 23 h. The primary endpoint was reached in all patients (five out of 17 DSA examinations, 19 out of 29 PtiO₂ time points, nine out of 26 TCD examinations, three out of five CTP examinations). No adverse events necessitating the cessation of iNO were observed. At 6 months, three patients presented with a mRS score of 0, one patient each with an mRS score of 2 and 3, and two patients had died.

Conclusion

Administration of iNO in SAH patients is safe. These results call for a larger prospective evaluation.

Mortality prediction in intensive care units including premorbid functional status improved performance and internal validity

OBJECTIVE

Prognostic models are key for benchmarking intensive care units (ICUs). They require up-to-date predictors and should report transportability properties for reliable predictions. We developed and validated an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model to facilitate benchmarking, quality assurance, and health economics evaluation.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We retrieved data from the database of an international (Finland, Estonia, Switzerland) multicenter ICU cohort study from 2015 to 2017. We used a hierarchical logistic regression model that included age, a modified Simplified Acute Physiology Score-II, admission type, premorbid functional status, and diagnosis as grouping variable. We used pooled and meta-analytic cross-validation approaches to assess temporal and geographical transportability.

RESULTS

We included 61,224 patients treated in the ICU (hospital mortality 10.6%). The developed prediction model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.886, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.882-0.890; a calibration slope 1.01, 95% CI (0.99-1.03); a mean calibration -0.004, 95% CI (-0.035 to 0.027). Although the model showed very good internal validity and geographic discrimination transportability, we found substantial heterogeneity of performance measures between ICUs (I-squared: 53.4-84.7%).

CONCLUSION

A novel framework evaluating the performance of our prediction model provided key information to judge the validity of our model and its adaptation for future use.

Should Vasopressors Be Started Early in Septic Shock?

Sepsis can influence blood volume, its distribution, vascular tone, and cardiac function. Persistent hypotension or the need for vasopressors after volume resuscitation is part of the definition of septic shock. Since increased positive fluid balance has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality in sepsis, timing of vasopressors in the treatment of septic shock seems crucial. However, conclusive evidence on timing and sequence of interventions with the goal to restore tissue perfusion is lacking. The aim of this narrative review is to depict the pathophysiology of hypotension in sepsis, evaluate how common interventions to treat hypotension interfere with physiology, and to give a resume of the results from clinical studies focusing on targets and timing of vasopressor in sepsis. The majority of studies comparing early versus late administration of vasopressors in septic shock are rather small, single-center, and retrospective. The range of "early" is between 1 and 12 hours. The available studies suggest a mean arterial pressure of 60 to 65 mm Hg as a threshold for increased risk of morbidity and mortality, whereas higher blood pressure targets do not seem to add further benefits. The data, albeit mostly from observational studies, speak for combining vasopressors with fluids rather "early" in the treatment of septic shock (within a 0-3-hour window). Nevertheless, the optimal resuscitation strategy should take into account the source of infection, the pathophysiology, the time and clinical course preceding the diagnosis of sepsis, and also comorbidities and sepsis-induced organ dysfunction.

Collapsibility of caval vessels and right ventricular afterload: decoupling of stroke volume variation from preload during mechanical ventilation

Collapsibility of caval vessels and stroke volume and pulse pressure variations (SVV, PPV) are used as indicators of volume responsiveness. Their behavior under increasing airway pressures and changing right ventricular afterload is incompletely understood. If the phenomena of SVV and PPV augmentation are manifestations of decreasing preload, they should be accompanied by decreasing transmural right atrial pressures. Eight healthy pigs equipped with ultrasonic flow probes on the pulmonary artery were exposed to positive end-expiratory pressure of 5 and 10 cmH₂O and three volume states (Euvolemia, defined as SVV < 10%, Bleeding, and Retransfusion). SVV and PPV were calculated for the right and PPV for the left side of the circulation at increasing inspiratory airway pressures (15, 20, and 25 cmH₂O). Right ventricular afterload was assessed by surrogate flow profile parameters. Transmural pressures in the right atrium and the inferior and superior caval vessels (IVC and SVC) were determined. Increasing airway pressure led to increases in ultrasonic surrogate parameters of right ventricular afterload, increasing transmural pressures in the right atrium and SVC, and a drop in transmural IVC pressure. SVV and PPV increased with increasing airway pressure, despite the increase in right atrial transmural pressure. Right ventricular stroke volume variation correlated with indicators of right ventricular afterload. This behavior was observed in both PEEP levels and all volume states. Stroke volume variation may reflect changes in right ventricular afterload rather than changes in preload.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Stroke volume variation and pulse pressure variation are used as indicators of preload or volume responsiveness of the heart. Our study shows that these variations are influenced by changes in right ventricular afterload and may therefore reflect right ventricular failure rather than pure volume responsiveness. A zone of collapse detaches the superior vena cava and its diameter variation from the right atrium.

Development of the "National Asbestos Profile" to Eliminate Asbestos-Related Diseases in 195 Countries

Worldwide, 230,000+ people die annually from asbestos-related diseases (ARDs). The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that countries develop a National Asbestos Profile (NAP) to eliminate ARDs. For 195 countries, we assessed the global status of NAPs (A: bona fide NAP, B: proxy NAP, C: relevant published information, D: no relevant information) by national income (HI: high, UMI: upper-middle, LMI: lower-middle, LI: low), asbestos bans (banned, no-ban) and public data availability. Fourteen (7% of 195) countries were category A (having a bona fide NAP), while 98, 51 and 32 countries were categories B, C and D, respectively. Of the 14 category-A countries, 8, 3 and 3 were LMI, UMI and HI, respectively. Development of a bona fide NAP showed no gradient by national income. The proportions of countries having a bona fide NAP were similar between asbestos-banned and no-ban countries. Public databases useful for developing NAPs contained data for most countries. Irrespective of the status of national income or asbestos ban, most countries have not developed a NAP despite having the potential. The global status of NAP is suboptimal. Country-level data on asbestos and ARDs in public databases can be better utilized to develop NAPs for globally eliminating ARDs.

Improved protection of outdoor workers from solar ultraviolet radiation: position statement

The vast majority of non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is attributable to excessive exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR). Outdoor workers are exposed to an UVR dose at least 2 to 3 times higher than indoor workers and often to daily UVR doses 5 times above internationally recommended limits. The risk of UVR workplace exposure is vastly neglected, and the evident future challenges presented in this statement are contrasted with the current situation regarding legal recognition, patient care and compensation. While prevention is crucial to reduce cancer risks for outdoor workers, it is as much of relevance to better protect them through legally binding rules and regulations. Specific actions are outlined in five recommendations based on a Call to Action (table 1). The role of health professionals, including dermatologists, in this context is crucial.

Regional venous-arterial CO2 to arterial-venous O2 content difference ratio in experimental circulatory shock and hypoxia

Background

Venous–arterial carbon dioxide (CO₂) to arterial–venous oxygen (O₂) content difference ratio (Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂) > 1 is supposed to be both sensitive and specific for anaerobic metabolism. What regional hemodynamic and metabolic parameters determine the ratio has not been clarified.

Objectives

To address determinants of systemic and renal, spleen, gut and liver Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂.

Methods

Post hoc analysis of original data from published experimental studies aimed to address effects of different fluid resuscitation strategies on oxygen transport, lactate metabolism and organ dysfunction in fecal peritonitis and endotoxin infusion, and from animals in cardiac tamponade or hypoxic hypoxia. Systemic and regional hemodynamics, blood flow, lactate uptake, carbon dioxide and oxygen-derived variables were determined. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) were fit to assess contributors to systemic and regional Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂.

Results

Median (range) of pooled systemic Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ in 64 pigs was 1.02 (0.02 to 3.84). While parameters reflecting regional lactate exchange were variably associated with the respective regional Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ ratios, only regional ratios were independently correlated with systemic ratio: renal Cv-aCO₂ /Ca-vO₂ (β = 0.148, 95% CI 0.062 to 0.234; p = 0.001), spleen Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ (β = 0.065, 95% CI 0.002 to 0.127; p = 0.042), gut Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ (β = 0.117, 95% CI 0.025 to 0.209; p = 0.013), liver Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ (β = − 0.159, 95% CI − 0.297 to − 0.022; p = 0.023), hepatosplanchnic Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ (β = 0.495, 95% CI 0.205 to 0.786; p = 0.001).

Conclusion

In a mixed set of animals in different shock forms or during hypoxic injury, hepatosplanchnic Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂ ratio had the strongest independent association with systemic Cv-aCO₂/Ca-vO₂, while no independent association was demonstrated for lactate or hemodynamic variables.

Right ventricular stroke volume assessed by pulmonary artery pulse contour analysis

Background

Stroke volume measurement should provide estimates of acute treatment responses. The current pulse contour method estimates left ventricle stroke volume. Heart-lung interactions change right ventricular stroke volume acutely. We investigated the accuracy, precision, and trending abilities of four calibrated stroke volume estimates based on pulmonary artery pulse contour analysis.

Results

Stroke volume was measured in 9 pigs with a pulmonary artery ultrasound flow probe at 5 and 10 cmH₂O of PEEP and three volume states (baseline, bleeding, and retransfusion) and compared against stroke volume estimates of four calibrated pulmonary pulse contour algorithms based on pulse pressure or pressure integration. Bland-Altman comparison with correction for multiple measurements and trend analysis were performed. Heart rate and stroke volumes were 104 ± 24 bpm and 30 ± 12 mL, respectively. The stroke volume estimates had a minimal bias: − 0.11 mL (95% CI − 0.55 to 0.33) to 0.32 mL (95% CI − 0.06 to 0.70). The limits of agreement were − 8.0 to 7.8 mL for calibrated pulse pressure to − 10.4 to 11.5 mL for time corrected pressure integration, resulting in a percentage error of 36 to 37%. The calibrated pulse pressure method performed best. Changes in stroke volume were trended very well (concordance rates 73–100%, r² 0.26 to 0.987, for pulse pressure methods and 71–100%, r² 0.236 to 0.977, for integration methods).

Conclusions

Pulmonary artery pulse contour methods reliably detect acute changes in stroke volume with good accuracy and moderate precision and accurately trend short-term changes in cardiac output over time.

Defense mechanisms to increasing back pressure for hepatic oxygen transport and venous return in porcine fecal peritonitis

High central venous pressure (CVP) acutely decreases venous return. How this affects hepatic oxygen transport in sepsis remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of repeated increases in CVP via standard nursing procedures (NPs) on hepato-splanchnic and renal oxygen transport in a prolonged porcine sepsis model. Twenty anesthetized and mechanically ventilated pigs with regional hemodynamics monitored were randomized to fecal peritonitis or controls (n = 10 pigs/group). Resuscitation was started after 8 h of observation and continued for 3 days. NPs were performed at baseline and 8 h, 32 h, 56 h, and 72 h after resuscitation started. NPs increased CVP by 4-7 mmHg in both groups. In controls, this was associated with less decrease in hepatic arterial (Q_ha; 62 ± 70 mL/min) than portal venous flow (Q_pv; 364 ± 151 mL/min). Portal venous oxygen content and hepatic O₂ delivery (Do₂) and consumption (V̇o₂) decreased by 11 ± 6 mL/dL and 0.9 ± 0.3 and 0.4 ± 0.3 mL·min^-1·kg^-1, respectively. In septic animals, hepatic Do₂ decreased more in response to increasing CVP (1.5 ± 0.9 mL·min^-1·kg^-1), which was attributable to a larger fall in both Q_ha (88 ± 66 ml/min) and portal O₂ content (14 ± 10 mL/dL, all P < 0.05). This resulted in numerically lower hepatic V̇o₂ since O₂ extraction did not increase significantly. In control conditions, a smaller decrease in Q_ha compared with Q_pv helped to limit the reduction in hepatic V̇o₂ in response to acute CVP increase. In sepsis, the contribution of Q_ha to maintain hepatic Do₂ was reduced, which jeopardized hepatic V̇o₂ further. Renal arterial flow was similarly affected by CVP increase as Q_ha.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Sepsis impairs intrinsic mechanisms to attenuate effects of increasing back pressure on hepatic oxygen transport.

The effect of dexmedetomidine on vasopressor requirements in patients with septic shock: a subgroup analysis of the Sedation Practice in Intensive Care Evaluation [SPICE III] Trial

BACKGROUND

Septic shock is associated with decreased vasopressor responsiveness. Experimental data suggest that central alpha2-agonists like dexmedetomidine (DEX) increase vasopressor responsiveness and reduce catecholamine requirements in septic shock. However, DEX may also cause hypotension and bradycardia. Thus, it remains unclear whether DEX is hemodynamically safe or helpful in this setting.

METHODS

In this post hoc subgroup analysis of the Sedation Practice in Intensive Care Evaluation (SPICE III) trial, an international randomized trial comparing early sedation with dexmedetomidine to usual care in critically patients receiving mechanical ventilation, we studied patients with septic shock admitted to two tertiary ICUs in Australia and Switzerland. The primary outcome was vasopressor requirements in the first 48 h after randomization, expressed as noradrenaline equivalent dose (NEq [μg/kg/min] = noradrenaline + adrenaline + vasopressin/0.4).

RESULTS

Between November 2013 and February 2018, 417 patients were recruited into the SPICE III trial at both sites. Eighty-three patients with septic shock were included in this subgroup analysis. Of these, 44 (53%) received DEX and 39 (47%) usual care. Vasopressor requirements in the first 48 h were similar between the two groups. Median NEq dose was 0.03 [0.01, 0.07] μg/kg/min in the DEX group and 0.04 [0.01, 0.16] μg/kg/min in the usual care group (p = 0.17). However, patients in the DEX group had a lower NEq/MAP ratio, indicating lower vasopressor requirements to maintain the target MAP. Moreover, on adjusted multivariable analysis, higher dexmedetomidine dose was associated with a lower NEq/MAP ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

In critically ill patients with septic shock, patients in the DEX group received similar vasopressor doses in the first 48 h compared to the usual care group. On multivariable adjusted analysis, dexmedetomidine appeared to be associated with lower vasopressor requirements to maintain the target MAP.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The SPICE III trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT01728558 ).

Gas exchange calculation may estimate changes in pulmonary blood flow during veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in a porcine model

Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A ECMO) is used as rescue therapy for severe cardiopulmonary failure. We tested whether the ratio of CO₂ elimination at the lung and the V-A ECMO (V̇co_2ECMO/V̇co_2Lung) would reflect the ratio of respective blood flows and could be used to estimate changes in pulmonary blood flow (Q̇_Lung), i.e., native cardiac output. Four healthy pigs were centrally cannulated for V-A ECMO. We measured blood flows with an ultrasonic flow probe. V̇co_2ECMO and V̇co_2Lung were calculated from sidestream capnographs under constant pulmonary ventilation during V-A ECMO weaning with changing sweep gas and/or V-A ECMO blood flow. If ventilation-to-perfusion ratio (V̇/Q̇) of V-A ECMO was not 1, the V̇co_2ECMO was normalized to V̇/Q̇ = 1 (V̇co_2ECMONorm). Changes in pulmonary blood flow were calculated using the relationship between changes in CO₂ elimination and V-A ECMO blood flow (Q̇_ECMO). Q̇_ECMO correlated strongly with V̇co_2ECMONorm (r² 0.95–0.99). Q̇_Lung correlated well with V̇co_2Lung (r² 0.65–0.89, P < = 0.002). Absolute Q̇_Lung could not be calculated in a nonsteady state. Calculated pulmonary blood flow changes had a bias of 76 (−266 to 418) mL/min and correlated with measured Q̇_Lung (r² 0.974–1.000, P = 0.1 to 0.006) for cumulative ECMO flow reductions. In conclusion, V̇co₂ of the lung correlated strongly with pulmonary blood flow. Our model could predict pulmonary blood flow changes within clinically acceptable margins of error. The prediction is made possible with normalization to a V̇/Q̇ of 1 for ECMO. This approach depends on measurements readily available and may allow immediate assessment of the cardiac output response.

Bacteriophages Improve Outcomes in Experimental Staphylococcus aureus Ventilator-associated Pneumonia

Rationale: Infections caused by multidrug-resistant bacteria are a major clinical challenge. Phage therapy is a promising alternative antibacterial strategy.Objectives: To evaluate the efficacy of intravenous phage therapy for the treatment of ventilator-associated pneumonia due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in rats.Methods: In a randomized, blinded, controlled experimental study, we compared intravenous teicoplanin (3 mg/kg, n = 12), a cocktail of four phages (2-3 × 10⁹ plaque-forming units/ml of 2003, 2002, 3A, and K; n = 12), and a combination of both (n = 11) given 2, 12, and 24 hours after induction of pneumonia, and then once daily for 4 days. The primary outcome was survival at Day 4. Secondary outcomes were bacterial and phage densities in lungs and spleen, histopathological scoring of infection within the lungs, and inflammatory biomarkers in blood.Measurements and Main Results: Treatment with either phages or teicoplanin increased survival from 0% to 58% and 50%, respectively (P < 0.005). The combination of phages and antibiotics did not further improve outcomes (45% survival). Animal survival correlated with reduced bacterial burdens in the lung (1.2 × 10⁶ cfu/g of tissue for survivors vs. 1.2 × 10⁹ cfu/g for nonsurviving animals; P < 0.0001), as well as improved histopathological outcomes. Phage multiplication within the lung occurred during treatment. IL-1β increased in all treatment groups over the course of therapy.Conclusions: Phage therapy was as effective as teicoplanin in improving survival and decreasing bacterial load within the lungs of rats infected with methicillin-resistant S. aureus. Combining antibiotics with phage therapy did not further improve outcomes.

Effects of Trendelenburg position and increased airway pressure on hepatic regional blood flow of normal and resected liver

High portal venous blood flow (Qpv) may contribute to posthepatectomy liver failure. Both Trendelenburg position (TP) and elevated airway pressure (Paw) increase backpressure to venous return and may thereby reduce Qpv. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of TP and increased Paw on hepatosplanchnic hemodynamics before and after major liver resection. Arterial and venous blood pressures, Qpv, extrasplanchnic inferior vena cava (Qivc), superior mesenteric (Qsma), hepatic (Qha), and carotid artery blood flows (Qca) were measured in 14 anesthetized and mechanically ventilated pigs in supine and 30° TP during end-expiratory hold at 5 cmH2O positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and during inspiratory hold with Paw of 15, 20, 25, and 30 cmH2O. After major liver resection, the interventions were repeated in seven randomly selected animals. At baseline, TP increased right atrial pressure (Pra) and Qpv but not Qivc or Qsma. With increased Paw in the supine position, Pra increased and all regional blood flows decreased. TP during increasing Paw attenuated the decrease in Qpv, Qsma, and Qivc but not in Qha or Qca. After liver resection, the effects of TP during increasing Paw remained, albeit at higher portal vein pressures. However, TP alone did not increase IVC venous return. Increasing Paw in supine position reduces Qpv and all other regional flows, while the reduction in Qpv is attenuated in TP, suggesting partly preserved liver waterfall or decreased intrahepatic resistance. Liver resection, despite resulting in major intrahepatic blood flow changes, does not fundamentally influence the interaction of increasing Paw and TP on regional perfusion.

NEW & NOTEWORTHY In Trendelenburg position (TP), liver blood flow is the only contributor to increased venous return measured in the inferior vena cava (IVC), which attenuates the decreased IVC venous return induced by increasing airway pressure. After liver resection, TP similarly attenuated effects of increasing airway pressure.

Metabolic support in the critically ill: a consensus of 19

Metabolic alterations in the critically ill have been studied for more than a century, but the heterogeneity of the critically ill patient population, the varying duration and severity of the acute phase of illness, and the many confounding factors have hindered progress in the field. These factors may explain why management of metabolic alterations and related conditions in critically ill patients has for many years been guided by recommendations based essentially on expert opinion. Over the last decade, a number of randomized controlled trials have been conducted, providing us with important population-level evidence that refutes several longstanding paradigms. However, between-patient variation means there is still substantial uncertainty when translating population-level evidence to individuals. A cornerstone of metabolic care is nutrition, for which there is a multifold of published guidelines that agree on many issues but disagree on others. Using a series of nine questions, we provide a review of the latest data in this field and a background to promote efforts to address the need for international consistency in recommendations related to the metabolic care of the critically ill patient. Our purpose is not to replace existing guidelines, but to comment on differences and add perspective.

Early Sedation with Dexmedetomidine in Critically Ill Patients

BACKGROUND

Dexmedetomidine produces sedation while maintaining a degree of arousability and may reduce the duration of mechanical ventilation and delirium among patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). The use of dexmedetomidine as the sole or primary sedative agent in patients undergoing mechanical ventilation has not been extensively studied.

METHODS

In an open-label, randomized trial, we enrolled critically ill adults who had been undergoing ventilation for less than 12 hours in the ICU and were expected to continue to receive ventilatory support for longer than the next calendar day to receive dexmedetomidine as the sole or primary sedative or to receive usual care (propofol, midazolam, or other sedatives). The target range of sedation-scores on the Richmond Agitation and Sedation Scale (which is scored from -5 [unresponsive] to +4 [combative]) was -2 to +1 (lightly sedated to restless). The primary outcome was the rate of death from any cause at 90 days.

RESULTS

We enrolled 4000 patients at a median interval of 4.6 hours between eligibility and randomization. In a modified intention-to-treat analysis involving 3904 patients, the primary outcome event occurred in 566 of 1948 (29.1%) in the dexmedetomidine group and in 569 of 1956 (29.1%) in the usual-care group (adjusted risk difference, 0.0 percentage points; 95% confidence interval, -2.9 to 2.8). An ancillary finding was that to achieve the prescribed level of sedation, patients in the dexmedetomidine group received supplemental propofol (64% of patients), midazolam (3%), or both (7%) during the first 2 days after randomization; in the usual-care group, these drugs were administered as primary sedatives in 60%, 12%, and 20% of the patients, respectively. Bradycardia and hypotension were more common in the dexmedetomidine group.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients undergoing mechanical ventilation in the ICU, those who received early dexmedetomidine for sedation had a rate of death at 90 days similar to that in the usual-care group and required supplemental sedatives to achieve the prescribed level of sedation. More adverse events were reported in the dexmedetomidine group than in the usual-care group. (Funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia and others; SPICE III ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01728558.).

Effect of volume status on the estimation of mean systemic filling pressure

Various methods for indirect assessment of mean systemic filling pressure (MSFP) produce controversial results compared with MSFP at zero blood flow. We recently reported that the difference between MSFP at zero flow measured by right atrial balloon occlusion (MSFP_RAO) and MSFP estimated using inspiratory holds depends on the volume status. We now compare three indirect estimates of MSFP with MSFP_RAO in euvolemia, bleeding, and hypervolemia in a model of anesthetized pigs (n = 9) with intact circulation. MSFP was estimated using instantaneous beat-to-beat venous return during tidal ventilation (MSFP_{inst_VR}), right atrial pressure-flow data pairs at flow nadir during inspiratory holds (MSFP_{nadir_hold}), and a dynamic model analog adapted to pigs (MSFP_a). MSFP_RAO was underestimated by MSFP_{nadir_hold} and MSFP_a in all volume states. Volume status modified the difference between MSFP_RAO and all indirect methods (method × volume state interaction, P ≤ 0.020). All methods tracked changes in MSFP_RAO concordantly, with the lowest bias seen for MSFP_a [bias (confidence interval): -0.4 (-0.7 to -0.0) mmHg]. We conclude that indirect estimates of MSFP are unreliable in this experimental setup. NEW & NOTEWORTHY For indirect estimations of MSFP using inspiratory hold maneuvers, instantaneous beat-to-beat venous return, or a dynamic model analog, the accuracy was affected by the underlying volume state. All methods investigated tracked changes in MSFP_RAO concordantly.

Nutrient pattern analysis in critically ill patients using Omics technology (NAChO) - Study protocol for a prospective observational study

INTRODUCTION

Intensive care unit-acquired weakness (ICU-AW) is often observed in critically ill patients with prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay. We hypothesized that evolving metabolic abnormalities during prolonged ICU stay are reflected by changing nutrient patterns in blood, urine and skeletal muscle, and that these patterns differ in patients with/without ICU-AW and between patients with/without sepsis.

METHODS

In a prospective single-center observational trial, we aim to recruit 100 critically ill patients (ICU length of stay ≥ 5 days) with severe sepsis/septic shock ("sepsis group", n = 50) or severe head trauma/intracerebral hemorrhage ("CNS group", n = 50). Patients will be sub-grouped for presence or absence of ICU-AW as determined by the Medical Research Council sum score. Blood and urine samples will be collected and subjected to comprehensive nutrient analysis at different time points by targeted quantitative mass spectrometric methods. In addition, changes in muscular tissue (biopsy, when available), muscular architecture (ultrasound), electrophysiology, body composition analyses (bioimpedance, cerebral magnetic resonance imaging), along with clinical status will be assessed. Patients will be followed-up for 180 and 360 days including assessment of quality of life.

DISCUSSION

Key objective of this trial is to assess changes in nutrient pattern in blood and urine over time in critically ill patients with/without ICU-AW by using quantitative nutrient analysis techniques. Peer-reviewed published NAChO data will allow for a better understanding of metabolic changes in critically ill patients on standard liquid enteral nutrition and will likely open up new avenues for future therapeutic and nutritional interventions.

Pantoprazole in Patients at Risk for Gastrointestinal Bleeding in the ICU

BACKGROUND

Prophylaxis for gastrointestinal stress ulceration is frequently given to patients in the intensive care unit (ICU), but its risks and benefits are unclear.

METHODS

In this European, multicenter, parallel-group, blinded trial, we randomly assigned adults who had been admitted to the ICU for an acute condition (i.e., an unplanned admission) and who were at risk for gastrointestinal bleeding to receive 40 mg of intravenous pantoprazole (a proton-pump inhibitor) or placebo daily during the ICU stay. The primary outcome was death by 90 days after randomization.

RESULTS

A total of 3298 patients were enrolled; 1645 were randomly assigned to the pantoprazole group and 1653 to the placebo group. Data on the primary outcome were available for 3282 patients (99.5%). At 90 days, 510 patients (31.1%) in the pantoprazole group and 499 (30.4%) in the placebo group had died (relative risk, 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91 to 1.13; P=0.76). During the ICU stay, at least one clinically important event (a composite of clinically important gastrointestinal bleeding, pneumonia, Clostridium difficile infection, or myocardial ischemia) had occurred in 21.9% of patients assigned to pantoprazole and 22.6% of those assigned to placebo (relative risk, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.11). In the pantoprazole group, 2.5% of patients had clinically important gastrointestinal bleeding, as compared with 4.2% in the placebo group. The number of patients with infections or serious adverse reactions and the percentage of days alive without life support within 90 days were similar in the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among adult patients in the ICU who were at risk for gastrointestinal bleeding, mortality at 90 days and the number of clinically important events were similar in those assigned to pantoprazole and those assigned to placebo. (Funded by Innovation Fund Denmark and others; SUP-ICU ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02467621 .).

Effects of early, combined endurance and resistance training in mechanically ventilated, critically ill patients: A randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Neuromuscular weakness resulting in severe functional impairment is common in critical care survivors. This study aimed to evaluate effects of an early progressive rehabilitation intervention in mechanically ventilated adults at risk.

METHODS

This was a parallel, two-arm, assessor-blinded, randomised controlled trial with 6-months follow-up that was conducted in a mixed ICU of an academic centre in Switzerland. Previously independent, mechanically ventilated, critically ill adults with expected critical care stay ≥72 hours (n = 115) were randomised to a control group receiving standard physiotherapy including early mobilisation or to an experimental group with early endurance and resistance training combined with mobilisation. Primary endpoints were functional capacity (6-Minute Walk Distance) and functional independence (Functional Independence Measure) at hospital discharge. Secondary endpoints including muscle strength were assessed at critical care discharge. Safety was monitored closely by standard monitoring and predefined adverse events.

RESULTS

Physiotherapy started within 48 hours of critical care admission while 97% of participants were still ventilated and 68% on inotropes. Compared to the control group (n = 57), the experimental group (n = 58) received significantly more physiotherapy (sessions: 407 vs 377, p<0.001; time/session: 25min vs 18min, p<0.001) and had less days with sedation (p<0.001). Adverse events were rare (0.6%) and without consequences. There were no significant between-group differences in 6-Minute Walk Distance (experimental 123m (IQR 25-280) vs control 100m (IQR 0-300); p = 0.542) or functional independence (98 (IQR 66-119) vs 98 (IQR 18-115); p = 0.308). Likewise, no differences were found for the secondary outcomes, except a trend towards improved mental health in the experimental group after 6 months (84 (IQR 68-88) vs 70 (IQR 64-76); p = 0.023).

CONCLUSIONS

Early endurance and resistance training in mechanically ventilated, intensive care patients does not improve functional capacity or independence at hospital discharge compared to early standard physiotherapy but may improve mental health 6-months after critical care discharge.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS): DRKS00004347, registered on 10 September 2012.

Determinants of systemic venous return and the impact of positive pressure ventilation

Venous return, i.e., the blood flowing back to the heart, is driven by the pressure difference between mean systemic filling pressure and right atrial pressure (RAP). Besides cardiac function, it is the major determinant of cardiac output. Mean systemic filling pressure is a function of the vascular volume. The concept of venous return has a central role for heart lung interactions and the explanation of shock states. Mechanical ventilation during anaesthesia and critical illness may severely affect venous return by different mechanisms. In the first part of the following article, we will discuss the development of the concept of venous return, its specific components mean systemic and mean circulatory filling pressure (MCFP), RAP and resistance to venous return (RVR). We show how these pressures relate to the volume state of the circulation. Various interpretations and critiques are elucidated. In the second part, we focus on the impact of positive pressure ventilation on venous return and its components, including latest results from latest research.

Bibliometric analysis of gaps in research on asbestos-related diseases: declining emphasis on public health over 26 years

OBJECTIVES

The global burden of asbestos-related diseases (ARDs) is significant, and most of the world's population live in countries where asbestos use continues. We examined the gaps between ARD research and suggestions of WHO and the International Labour Organization on prevention.

METHODS

From the Web of Science, we collected data on all articles published during 1991-2016 and identified a subset of ARD-related articles. We classified articles into three research areas-laboratory, clinical and public health-and examined their time trends. For all and the top 11 countries publishing ARD-related articles, we calculated the proportions of all ARD-related articles that were in each of the three areas, the average rates of ARD-related articles over all articles, and the average annual per cent changes of rates.

RESULTS

ARD-related articles (n=14 284) accounted for 1.3‰ of all articles in 1991, but this had declined to 0.8‰ by 2016. Among the three research areas, the clinical area accounted for the largest proportion (65.0%), followed by laboratory (26.5%) and public health (24.9%). The public health area declined faster than the other areas, at -5.7% per year. Discrepancies were also observed among the top 11 countries regarding emphasis on public health research, with Finland and Italy having higher, and China and the Netherlands lower, emphases.

CONCLUSIONS

There is declining emphasis on the public health area in the ARD-related literature. Under the ongoing global situation of ARD, primary prevention will remain key for some time, warranting efforts to rectify the current trend in ARD-related research.

Effects of hemodynamic monitoring using a single-use transesophageal echocardiography probe in critically ill patients - study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Hemodynamic instability is one of the leading causes of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Early stabilization of hemodynamics is associated with improved outcome. The monitoring used to guide hemodynamic support may influence the time needed to achieve stable hemodynamics. Visualization of the heart using echocardiography offers the advantage of direct measurement of cardiac volumes and ventricular function. A miniaturized monoplane transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) probe was developed, allowing for almost continuous qualitative hemodynamic TEE assessment (hTEE) after brief bedside training. The primary objective of the study is to assess whether hemodynamic monitoring using the hTEE technology shortens time to resolution of shock in ICU patients in comparison to standard monitoring using a central venous catheter, pulmonary artery catheter, or conventional echocardiography.

METHODS

Five hundred consecutive subjects with circulatory shock (low mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) and signs of organ hypoperfusion) at the time of ICU admission are included in the study. The subjects are randomly assigned to one of four groups using a 2 × 2 factorial design stratified by method of hemodynamic monitoring (hTEE vs standard hemodynamic monitoring) and frequency of hemodynamic assessments (minimum every 4 h vs standard of care). The primary study outcome is the time from study inclusion to resolution of circulatory shock, defined as MAP >  60 mmHg for ≥ 4 h after discontinuation of vasopressors and inotropes. The hTEE monitoring consists of the acquisition of three defined echocardiography views: Transgastric mid-esophageal short axis with measurement of fractional area change of left ventricle, mid-esophageal four-chamber view with measurement of the ratio of right to left ventricular area, and mid-esophageal ascending aortic short-axis view with measurement of the superior vena cava collapsibility index. In the control groups, monitoring modalities, including conventional TTE and TEE but not hTEE, are at the discretion of the treating physician. The interpretation of hemodynamic monitoring and the subsequent changes in patient management are recorded after each hemodynamic assessment. Differences in the primary and further secondary time-to-event outcomes will be assessed using a competing risk model accounting for the competing risk of death.

DISCUSSION

The effect of using echocardiography as a monitoring modality on relevant patient outcomes has not been established so far. The study at hand may be one of the first trials to provide detailed data on effectiveness and safety of echocardiography to guide treatment in patients with circulatory shock.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, ID: NCT02048566. Registered on January 29, 2014.

Implementation of the integrated approach in different types of exposure scenarios

The International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) recognises three types of exposure situations: planned, existing, and emergency. In all three situations, the release of radionuclides into the natural environment leads to exposures of non-human biota, as well as the potential for exposures of the public. This paper describes how the key principles of the ICRP system of radiological protection apply to non-human biota and members of the public in each of these exposure situations. Current work in this area within ICRP Task Group 105 is highlighted. For example, how simplified numeric criteria may be used in planned exposure situations that are protective of both the public and non-human biota. In emergency exposure situations, the initial response will always be focused on human protection; however, understanding the potential impacts of radionuclide releases on non-human biota will likely become important in terms of communication as governments and the public seek to understand the exposures that are occurring. For existing exposure situations, there is a need to better understand the potential impacts of radionuclides on animals and plants, especially when deciding on protective actions. Understanding the comparative impacts from radiological, non-radiological, and physical aspects is often important in managing the remediation of legacy sites. Task Group 105 is making use of case studies of how exposure situations have been managed in the past to provide additional guidance and advice for the protection of non-human biota.

The SPICE III study protocol and analysis plan: a randomised trial of early goaldirected sedation compared with standard care in mechanically ventilated patients

BACKGROUND

Sedation strategy in critically ill patients who are mechanically ventilated is influenced by patient-related factors, choice of sedative agent and the intensity or depth of sedation prescribed. The impact of sedation strategy on outcome, in particular when delivered early after initiation of mechanical ventilation, is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To present the protocol and analysis plan of a large randomised clinical trial investigating the effect of a sedation strategy, in critically ill patients who are mechanically ventilated, based on a protocol targeting light sedation using dexmedetomidine as the primary sedative, termed "early goal-directed sedation", compared with usual practice.

METHODS

This is a multinational randomised clinical trial in adult intensive care patients expected to require mechanical ventilation for longer than 24 hours. The main exclusion criteria include suspected or proven primary brain pathology or having already been intubated or sedated in an intensive care unit for longer than 12 hours. Randomisation occurs via a secured website with baseline stratification by site and suspected or proven sepsis. The primary outcome is 90-day all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes include death, institutional dependency, cognitive function and health-related quality of life 180 days after randomisation, as well as deliriumfree, coma-free and ventilation-free days at 28 days after randomisation. A predefined subgroup analysis will also be conducted. Analyses will be on an intention-to-treat basis and in accordance with this pre-specified analysis plan.

CONCLUSION

SPICE III is an ongoing large scale clinical trial. Once completed, it will inform sedation practice in critically ill patients who are ventilated.

Estimation of the global burden of mesothelioma deaths from incomplete national mortality data

Background

Mesothelioma is increasingly recognised as a global health issue and the assessment of its global burden is warranted.

Objectives

To descriptively analyse national mortality data and to use reported and estimated data to calculate the global burden of mesothelioma deaths.

Methods

For the study period of 1994 to 2014, we grouped 230 countries into 59 countries with quality mesothelioma mortality data suitable to be used for reference rates, 45 countries with poor quality data and 126 countries with no data, based on the availability of data in the WHO Mortality Database. To estimate global deaths, we extrapolated the gender-specific and age-specific mortality rates of the countries with quality data to all other countries.

Results

The global numbers and rates of mesothelioma deaths have increased over time. The 59 countries with quality data recorded 15 011 mesothelioma deaths per year over the 3 most recent years with available data (equivalent to 9.9 deaths per million per year). From these reference data, we extrapolated the global mesothelioma deaths to be 38 400 per year, based on extrapolations for asbestos use.

Conclusions

Although the validity of our extrapolation method depends on the adequate identification of quality mesothelioma data and appropriate adjustment for other variables, our estimates can be updated, refined and verified because they are based on commonly accessible data and are derived using a straightforward algorithm. Our estimates are within the range of previously reported values but higher than the most recently reported values.