Impact of COVID-19 vaccination status on hospitalization and disease severity: A descriptive study in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was extraordinarily harmful, with high rates of infection and hospitalization. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 vaccination status and other factors on hospitalization and disease severity, using data from Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan. Confirmed cases of COVID-19 infection with vaccination status were included and the differences in characteristics between different vaccination statuses, hospitalization or not, and patients with varying levels of disease severity were analyzed. Furthermore, logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratio (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to evaluate the association of various factors with hospitalization and disease severity. From March 14, 2020 to August 31, 2022, 23,139 patients were unvaccinated 13,668 vaccinated the primary program with one or two doses, and 4,575 completed the booster. Vaccination reduced the risk of hospitalization with an odd ratio of 0.759 (95% CI: 0.654-0.881) and the protective effect of completed booster vaccination was more pronounced (OR: 0.261, 95% CI: 0.207-0.328). Similarly, vaccination significantly reduced the risk of disease severity (vaccinated primary program: OR: 0.191, 95% CI: 0.160-0.228; completed booster vaccination: OR: 0.129, 95% CI: 0.099-0.169). Overall, unvaccinated, male, elderly, immunocompromised, obese, and patients with other severe illness factors were all risk factors for COVID-19-related hospitalization and disease severity. Vaccination was associated with a decreased risk of hospitalization and disease severity, and highlighted the benefits of completing booster.

Profile of Nagasaki Islands Study (NaIS): A Population-based Prospective Cohort Study on Multi-disease

In an aging society, it is important to visualize the conditions of people living with diseases or disabilities, such as frailty and sarcopenia, and determine the environmental and genetic factors underlying such conditions. Atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness are key conditions between these factors and noncommunicable diseases. In 2014, we launched a population-based prospective open-cohort study, the Nagasaki Islands Study (NaIS), which was conducted in Goto City, located in the remote islands of Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan, mostly involving middle-aged and older residents. We conducted our own health checkups along with the annual standardized checkups organized by the municipality; recruited study participants; and started to follow them for vital status (death), migration, and occurrence of diseases, such as myocardial infarction, stroke, fracture, and human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 (HTLV-1)-associated uveitis. Our checkups were conducted as baseline surveys in different areas of Goto City during the fiscal years 2014-2016, secondary surveys during 2017-2019, and tertiary surveys since 2021, consisting of medical interviews, physical examinations, blood and urine tests, body composition measurements, osteoporosis screening, arterial stiffness measurements, carotid ultrasonography, and dental examination. A total of 4,957 residents participated in either the baseline or secondary surveys and were followed; 3,594 and 3,364 residents (aged 27-96 and 28-98 years) participated in the baseline and secondary surveys, respectively. In conclusion, the NaIS has been undertaken to reveal the influence of aging and risk factors of noncommunicable diseases and disabilities, with an aim to contribute towards better healthcare in the future.

Period prevalence of uveitis in human T-lymphotropic virus 1 carriers versus noncarriers in a highly endemic area: The Nagasaki Islands Study

The magnitude of the effect of human T-lymphotropic virus 1 (HTLV-1) infection on uveitis remains unclear. We conducted a cross-sectional study in a highly endemic area of HTLV-1 in Japan. The study included 4265 residents (men, 39.2%), mostly middle-aged and older individuals with a mean age of 69.9 years, who participated in our surveys between April 2016 and September 2022. We identified HTLV-1 carriers by screening using chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassays and confirmatory tests, and the proportion of carriers was 16.1%. Participants with uveitis were determined from the medical records of all hospitals and clinics where certified ophthalmologists practiced. We conducted logistic regression analyses in an age- and sex-adjusted model to compute the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of uveitis according to HTLV-1 infection status. Thirty-two (0.8%) participants had uveitis. For HTLV-1 carriers, the age- and sex-adjusted OR (95% CI) of uveitis was 3.27 (1.57-6.72) compared with noncarriers. In conclusion, HTLV-1 infection was associated with a higher risk of uveitis among mostly middle-aged and older Japanese residents in a highly endemic HTLV-1 area. Our findings suggest that physicians who treat HTLV-1 carriers should assess ocular symptoms, and those who diagnose patients with uveitis should consider HTLV-1 infection.

Relation between a history of glaucoma and subjective happiness: the JPHC-Next study

OBJECTIVE

This population-based, cross-sectional study was performed to investigate the relationship between a history of glaucoma and subjective happiness.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We conducted a cross-sectional questionnaire-based survey of 92 397 Japanese men and women aged 40-74 who participated in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation study. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to estimate the ORs of glaucoma associated with subjective happiness and their two-sided 95% CIs.

RESULTS

Among 40 727 men and 51 670 women, 1733 participants (635 men, 1098 women) had a history of glaucoma. The odds of unhappiness in male participants with a history of glaucoma were higher (OR 1.26; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.51) than in female participants (OR 1.05; 95% CI 0.90 to 1.23). In a subgroup analysis stratified by age, among participants with a history of glaucoma, males in the younger group (40-59 years) showed the most robust association with unhappiness (OR 1.40; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.88).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that a history of glaucoma is related with subjective unhappiness, especially in men.

Association between physical performance and bone mass in community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women: The Unzen study

BACKGROUND

Low bone mass is an independent risk factor for osteoporotic fractures. We examined the association between physical performance and bone mass using quantitative ultrasound in community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study on 524 community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women who were not being administered osteoporosis medications. Physical performance was assessed on the basis of grip strength, chair stand time, and functional reach. The stiffness index was measured as a quantitative ultrasound parameter for heel bone mass.

RESULTS

Physical performance, assessed by grip strength, chair stand time, and functional reach, and the stiffness index significantly decreased with age (both p<0.001). The multiple linear regression analysis showed that grip strength (p = 0.001), chair stand time (p = 0.004), and functional reach (p = 0.048) were significantly associated with the stiffness index after adjusting for age, body mass index, smoking, drinking, and exercise.

CONCLUSIONS

Physical performance was significantly associated with heel bone mass in community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women.

Association between birth weight and prevalence of cardiovascular disease and other lifestyle-related diseases among Japanese population: JPHC-NEXT Study

BACKGROUND

An association between birth weight and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in adulthood has been observed in many countries; however, only a few studies have been conducted in Asian populations.

METHODS

We used data from the baseline survey (2011-2016) of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation Cohort, which included 114,105 participants aged 40-74 years. Adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated from the prevalence of present and past histories of CVD and other lifestyle-related diseases, including hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and gout, by birth weight, using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The prevalence of CVD increased with lower birth weight, with the highest prevalence among those with birth weight under 1,500 grams (males 4.6%; females 1.7%) and the lowest one among those with birth weight at or over 4,000g (males 3.7%: females 0.8%). Among 88.653 participants (41,156 males and 47,497 females) with complete data on possible confounders, birth weight under 1,500g was associated with a higher prevalence of CVD (aPR 1.76 [95%CI 1.37-2.26]), hypertension (aPR 1.29 [95%CI 1.17-1.42]), and diabetes (aPR 1.53 [95%CI 1.26-1.86]) when a birth weight of 3,000-3,999 grams was used as the reference. Weaker associations were observed for birth weight of 1500-2499 grams and 2500-2999 grams, while no significant associations were observed for birth weight at or over 4000 g. The association between birth weight and the prevalence of hyperlipidemia was less profound, and no significant association was observed between birth weight and gout.

CONCLUSION

Lower birth weight was associated with a higher prevalence of CVD, hypertension, and diabetes in the Japanese population.

Acceptance and Preference for COVID-19 Vaccine among Japanese Residents at Early Stage of the Epidemic in Japan

Background: This study aimed to survey the attitudes toward COVID-19 vaccines and their acceptability among the Japanese public as soon as the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) authorized vaccines and their rollouts started around the world. Methods: An anonymous cross-sectional survey was conducted in Japan between 4 January and 5 March 2021. A questionnaire was administered to evaluate attitudes toward COVID-19 vaccines according to demographic characteristics, vaccine characteristics, and vaccine production. Results: A total of 1037 completed responses were received. More than half (63.5%) of the participants responded positively (extremely likely/likely) toward COVID-19 vaccines. The highest acceptance to be vaccinated was discovered among the youngest age group. As expected, participants who had never delayed acceptance or refused the vaccine in their history of vaccination had a significantly higher willingness to be vaccinated against COVID-19 (p < 0.001). Females (OR = 2.66, 95% CI: 1.99−3.58) and participants who had ever delayed acceptance or refuse the vaccine (OR = 3.49, 95% CI: 2.42−5.05) had higher odds of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Participants with a postgraduate degree (OR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.40−1.00) presented the highest willingness to be vaccinated against COVID-19. More than two-thirds (72.9%, 95% CI: 70.4%−75.8%) of the participants did not mind a booster dose required following primary vaccination. A total of 63.2% (95% CI: 60.0%−66.0%) of the participants only accepted a nearly 90% effective or above vaccine at preventing COVID-19. At the same, 86.4% (95% CI: 84.4%−88.4%) of the participants reported only accepting a vaccine with minor side effects. Conclusions: The moderate levels of COVID-19 vaccine acceptance found in the early phase of the pandemic demonstrate that it is important to improve the implementation of effective management for vaccine promotion and the acceptability of the vaccine to slow or delay transmission.

Optimization of Elderly Influenza and Pneumococcal Immunization Programs in Beijing, China Using Health Economic Evaluations: A Modeling Study

(1) Background: Currently, residents ≥ 60 and ≥65 years old in Beijing, China, are eligible for free influenza and pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccines (PPSV23), respectively. The present study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of current and alternative strategies of dual influenza and PPSV23 vaccination among the elderly in Beijing. (2) Methods: We developed a Markov state-transition model to compare the costs and the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with four influenza and PPSV23 vaccination strategies among the elderly in Beijing. The strategies were as follows: (1) no vaccination; (2) only flu vaccine for people ≥ 60 years old; (3) flu vaccine for people ≥ 60 years old and PPSV23 for people ≥ 65 years old; and (4) dual influenza vaccines and PPSV23 for people ≥ 60 years old. Incremental costs and QALYs were quantified to determine the optimal option. If dominant strategies emerged, the Chinese gross domestic product per capita in 2021 (80,976 CNY) was used as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold to covert QALYs into the monetary equivalent. (3) Results: The current program saved costs and increased QALYs compared to no vaccination or flu vaccine-only strategies. However, extending free PPSV23 to people ≥ 60 years old saved 0.35 CNY additionally while increasing QALYs marginally compared with the current policy. Results were robust in all sensitivity analyses. (4) Conclusion: Beijing's current dual influenza and pneumococcal vaccination program was cost-effective among the elderly compared with the preceding policies of no vaccination and flu-only immunization programs. However, the program can further save money while enhancing the population health by extending PPSV23 to all people ≥ 60 years old.

Long-term Response of Helicobacter pylori Antibody Titer After Eradication Treatment in Middle-aged Japanese: JPHC-NEXT Study

BACKGROUND

Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) is an established causative factor of gastric cancer. Although the expansion of insurance coverage has led to an increase in the number of patients treated for H. pylori, the population impact of eradication treatment for H. pylori has been scarcely investigated. This study aimed to clarify the long-term responses of H. pylori antibody titer after eradication treatment using large scale cross-sectional data from the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation (JPHC-NEXT Study).

METHODS

A total of 55,282 Japanese participants aged 40 to 74 years residing in 16 areas provided blood samples from 2011 through 2016. From these, treated (n = 6,276) and untreated subjects who were seropositive for H. pylori or had serological atrophy (n = 22,420) formed the study population (n = 28,696). Seropositivity was defined as an anti-H. pylori IgG titer of ≥10 U/mL. Antibody level was compared among subjects according to self-reported treatment history as untreated, and treated for less than 1 year (<1Y), 1 through 5 years (1-5Y), and 6 or more years ago (6Y+).

RESULTS

Median serum antibody titer was 34.0 U/mL, 7.9 U/mL, 4.0 U/mL, and 2.9 U/mL for the untreated, <1Y, 1-5Y, and 6Y+ groups, respectively. While those treated for H. pylori within the previous year had a 76.8% lower antibody titer compared to untreated subjects, approximately 41% of subjects were still seropositive.

CONCLUSION

A significant reduction in H. pylori antibody titer occurs within 1 year after eradication treatment, but that a long period is needed to achieve complete negative conversion.

Identification of risk factors for elevated serum IgG4 levels in subjects in a large-scale health checkup cohort study

Introduction

To allow the identification of IgG4-related disease (IgG4-RD) from a subclinical phase as it is important to understand the risk of elevated serum IgG4 levels. We planned to evaluate serum IgG4 levels in the participants of the Nagasaki Islands Study (NaIS), a large-scale health checkup cohort study.

Methods

This study included 3,240 individuals who participated in the NaIS between 2016 and 2018 and consented to participate in the study. Serum IgG4, IgG, and IgE levels and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genotyping results of the NaIS subjects as well as lifestyle habits and peripheral blood test results were analyzed. The magnetic bead panel assay (MBA) and the standard nephelometry immunoassay (NIA) were used to measure serum IgG4 levels. The data were evaluated using multivariate analysis to identify lifestyle and genetic factors associated with elevated serum IgG4 levels.

Results

Serum IgG4 levels measured with the NIA and MBA showed a tight positive correlation between the two groups (correlation coefficient 0.942). The median age of the participants in the NaIS was 69 years [63-77]. The median serum IgG4 level was 30.2 mg/dL [IQR 12.5-59.8]. Overall, 1019 (32.1%) patients had a history of smoking. When the subjects were stratified into three groups based on the smoking intensity (pack-year), the serum IgG4 level was significantly higher among those with a higher smoking intensity. Accordingly, the multivariate analysis identified a significant relationship between smoking status and serum IgG4 elevation.

Conclusion

In this study, smoking was identified as a lifestyle factor correlating positively with elevated serum IgG4 levels.

Exploring spatiotemporal patterns of COVID-19 infection in Nagasaki Prefecture in Japan using prospective space-time scan statistics from April 2020 to April 2022

Background

Up to April 2022, there were six waves of infection of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Japan. As the outbreaks continue to grow, it is critical to detect COVID-19’s clusters to allocate health resources and improve decision-making substantially. This study aimed to identify active clusters of COVID-19 in Nagasaki Prefecture and form the spatiotemporal pattern of high-risk areas in different infection periods.

Methods

We used the prospective space-time scan statistic to detect emerging COVID-19 clusters and examine the relative risk in five consecutive periods from April 1, 2020 to April 7, 2022, in Nagasaki Prefecture.

Results

The densely inhabited districts (DIDs) in Nagasaki City have remained the most affected areas since December 2020. Most of the confirmed cases in the early period of each wave had a history of travelling to other prefectures. Community-level transmissions are suggested by the quick expansion of spatial clusters from urban areas to rural areas and remote islands. Moreover, outbreaks in welfare facilities and schools may lead to an emerging cluster in Nagasaki Prefecture’s rural areas.

Conclusions

This study gives an overall analysis of the transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Nagasaki Prefecture, based on the number of machi-level daily cases. Furthermore, the findings in different waves can serve as references for subsequent pandemic prevention and control. This method helps the health authorities track and investigate outbreaks of COVID-19 that are specific to these environments, especially in rural areas where healthcare resources are scarce.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13690-022-00921-3.

Association between fat mass by bioelectrical impedance analysis and bone mass by quantitative ultrasound in relation to grip strength and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D in postmenopausal Japanese women: the Unzen study

Background

Whether fat mass or lean mass affects bone mass in postmenopausal women is controversial. This study aimed to explore the association between body composition measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) and bone mass measured by quantitative ultrasound (QUS) in postmenopausal women in Japan.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study, The Unzen Study, on 382 community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women (mean (standard deviation) age: 68.2 (7.2) years) who participated in periodic health examinations. The stiffness index (SI) was measured using QUS, and body composition (e.g., fat mass and muscle mass) was measured using BIA. Grip strength was measured. Fasting blood samples were collected, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b (TRACP-5b), and parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels were measured. Data on current smoking, alcohol consumption, exercise, and any comorbidities (heart disease, lung disease, stroke, or diabetes mellitus) were collected.

Results

The SI increased with increasing quartiles of fat mass and muscle mass (both p for trend <  0.001), respectively. There were positive correlations between SI and log (25(OH)D) or grip strength. Fat mass significantly correlated with grip strength. Multiple linear regression analysis showed that higher fat mass was independently and significantly associated with higher SI after adjusting for age, height, comorbidity, current smoking, alcohol consumption, exercise, log (25(OH)D), log (TRACP-5b), log (PTH), and grip strength (p = 0.001). In contrast, no association was observed between muscle mass and SI.

Conclusions

Fat mass, but not muscle mass, was a significant determinant of SI in community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women.

Facile preparation of Fe3O4@Pt nanoparticles as peroxidase mimics for sensitive glucose detection by a paper-based colorimetric assay

A simple strategy to rapidly detect glucose was developed by utilizing core (Fe₃O₄)-shell (Pt) magnetic nanoparticles (Fe₃O₄@Pt NPs) as a nanoenzyme and a paper-based colorimetric sensor. In the presence of H₂O₂, Fe₃O₄@Pt NPs catalyze the redox reaction of 3,3',5,5'-tetramethylbenzidine (TMB) and generate a colour change from colourless to blue. On this basis, a colorimetric glucose sensing method assisted by glucose oxidase (GOx) was developed. Under the optimal conditions, the detection limits of the proposed assay for H₂O₂ and glucose were 0.36 µM and 1.27 µM, respectively. Furthermore, the fabricated colorimetric method was successfully applied to analyze glucose concentrations by using a paper device as a measuring platform without a spectrometer. In addition, this method exhibited satisfactory recovery for glucose detection in human serum samples and urine samples, which satisfied the requirements for normal detection of real samples. This study provides a good candidate for health monitoring of glucose and also expands the applications of nanoenzymes and paper-based colorimetric assays in point-of-care testing.

Epidemiological features of tuberculosis infection in a rural prefecture of Japan from 2007 to 2018

This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological features of reported tuberculosis (TB) infections in a western prefecture (Nagasaki Prefecture) from 2007 to 2018, and to identify the high-risk group for TB infection. The characteristics of 12 years of reported TB infections from the Nagasaki Prefectural Informational Center of Infectious Diseases were summarized by median (interquartile range [IQR]) and proportion; the annual TB infections’ notification rate regarding sex/age was calculated accordingly. The diagnosis of TB infection was made according to clinic symptoms and laboratory examination. In total, 4364 TB infections were reported in 2007 and 2018, with a median age (IQR) of 74 (55–84) years. The majority of TB infections were male (52.6%, 2297/4364), > 65 years (65.8%, 2869/4364), and indigenous (98.1%, 4276/4364). Among active TB, 66.9% (1833/2740) had pulmonary TB, and 25.3% (694/2740) were diagnosed as extrapulmonary TB. The highest notification rate of TB infection was observed in the elderly male population (> 85 years). The annual notification rate of TB infections ranged between 19.4/and 34.0/100,000 for 12 years. The notification rates of TB infections were high in older people of both sexes, especially in men aged > 85. Therefore, appropriate interventions and health management are essential for TB control in (and with a focus on) the elderly population.

Association between sarcopenia and respiratory function in elderly orthopedic outpatients

The relationship between sarcopenia and respiratory function has not been investigated in elderly Japanese orthopedic outpatients. This study aimed to assess the relationship between sarcopenia and respiratory function in elderly orthopedic outpatients in Japan. Elderly outpatients (n = 102; aged ≥65 years) with orthopedic diseases were enrolled in the study. Muscle mass was measured using the bioelectrical impedance analysis. Grip strength and walking speed were measured (2 trials). The respiratory function (e.g., percent vital capacity [VC] and percent forced expiratory volume in 1 second) was also measured. The association between sarcopenia and respiratory function was assessed using logistic regression analysis, adjusting for sex, comorbidities, and smoking status. The mean ages for men and women were 77.7 ± 8.3 and 76.5 ± 6.8 years, respectively, and the overall prevalence of sarcopenia was 25.5% (30.0% and 24.4% in men and women, respectively). The study demonstrated that low respiratory function, which was represented by decreased percent VC, was associated with sarcopenia in outpatients visiting an orthopedic department (odds ratio, 1.73; 95% confidence interval: 1.02-2.97). Sarcopenia was significantly associated with a lower percentage of VC in orthopedic outpatients after adjustment for sex, comorbidity, and smoking. Further studies are needed to determine the causality.

POS1441 INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND GENETIC FACTORS ON SERUM IGG4 DURING HEALTH CHECKUPS IN NAGASAKI ISLAND STUDY

Background

Although serum IgG4 levels are important for the diagnosis of IgG4-related diseases (IgG4-RD), few studies have validated IgG4 levels in healthy individuals in large resident medical examination cohorts and investigated background factors associated with serum IgG4.

A report on genetic factors shows that HLA loci associate with IgG4-RD found in Japanese nation-wide IgG4-RD registry1). However, environmental and genetic factors related to the elevated serum IgG4 levels, which may closely associate with development of IgG4-RD, have previously been unclear in healthy subjects. The nephelometric immunoassay (NIA) is conventionally used to measure IgG4, but it requires a relatively large amount of serum. The magnetic bead panel assay (MBA), which can evaluate IgG4 levels with only a few ml of serum, has an advantage compared with NIA regarding to required sample volume, but the correlation between the two methods is unclear.

Objectives

First, we attempted to verify the accuracy of the MBA compared to the standard NIA in the first cohort. Next, we examined the relationship between IgG4 measured by the MBA and background information of healthy subjects to identify variables that correlate with serum IgG4 in the second cohort.

Methods

First, Kanazawa University collected 947 samples from the resident health examination, and IgG4 levels were measured by both MBA and NIA, and the correlation between the two was verified using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (first cohort). Next (second cohort), serum IgG4 of 3240 samples of Nagasaki Island Study (NaIS), which had started in 2014 collaborating among Nagasaki University and Goto City, Nagasaki Prefecture, intended for research of varying conditions and diseases including IgG4-RD, were then measured by MBA. These subjects were stratified into the two groups as IgG4-high and IgG4-within normal limit using the aforementioned cutoff values, and compared with background information such as age, gender, drinking, smoking, uric acid, serum creatinine, comorbidities and HLA typing, including DRB1*04:06, *04:03, *04:05, *04:10 as disease-susceptibility gene, DRB1*09:01 and DQB1*03:03 as protective gene1).

Results

IgG4 by MBA correlated well with IgG4 by NIA (r=0.94, p-value<0.001) which was determined from Kanazawa samples (N=947). 1,463.6 mg/mL of IgG4 of MBA corresponded to 135 mg/dl, the normal cut-off value for IgG4 by NIA. In the analysis of NaIS samples (N=3240), the overall high IgG4 positivity rate was 6.3%. Multivariable analysis including age, gender, smoking and drinking, led by univariate analysis, showed that gender and smoking were significantly associated with high serum IgG4 positivity (male: odds ratio = 1.8, 95%CI =1.2-2.7, p = 0.009, smoking: odds ratio = 1.7, 95%CI =1.1-2.5, p = 0.012). There was no association between high serum IgG4 level and HLA genotyping.

Conclusion

We concluded that MBA is a good method to measure serum IgG4 even by the very small sample volume. In our study, the prevalence of serum IgG4 positivity was high tendency than previous report2). Our data showed that male and smoking are independent factors associated with high serum IgG4 positivity. There were no association between serum IgG4 level and HLA genotyping in healthy subjects. Further comprehensive investigation is necessary to clarify high risk subjects who will develop IgG4-RD.

References

[1]Terao C, et al. Lancet Rheumatol 2019;1: e14–22.

[2]Carballo I, et al. PLoS One. 2016;11: e0149330.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) polymorphism rs3025039 and atherosclerosis among older with hypertension

Angiogenesis inhibition therapy causes hypertension by increasing peripheral vascular resistance. Vasa vasorum angiogenesis plays a crucial role in the development of atherosclerosis. Since vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), which contributes to the progress of angiogenesis, is reported to be inversely associated with the minor allele of polymorphism rs3025039, the minor allele of rs3025039 could be inversely associated with atherosclerosis among individuals with hypertension. A cross-sectional study of 1793 older Japanese adults aged 60–89 years with hypertension who participated in general health check-ups was conducted. Atherosclerosis was defined as carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) ≥ 1.1 mm. The minor allele of polymorphism rs3025020 was positively associated with VEGF. Therefore, in addition to known cardiovascular risk factors, rs3025020 genotype acted as a confounding factor in the present study. Independent of known confounding factors, the minor allele of rs3025039 was inversely associated with atherosclerosis among older Japanese adults with hypertension. The fully adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for atherosclerosis with the minor allele of rs3025039 was 0.78 (0.64, 0.96). The angiogenesis-related polymorphism rs3025039 was associated with the development of atherosclerosis among older Japanese individuals. This study indicates that the development of atherosclerosis among older individuals might partly indicate a capacity for angiogenesis.

Does weight-bearing versus non-weight-bearing pain reflect different pain mechanisms in knee osteoarthritis?: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST)

OBJECTIVE

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is predominantly characterized by pain with weight-bearing activities. Pain at rest also occurs but the mechanisms for this are not clear. We evaluated the relations of nociceptive signal alterations to weight-bearing and non-weight-bearing pain in knee OA.

DESIGN

We used data from a NIH-funded longitudinal cohort of older adults with or at risk of knee OA. We evaluated quantitative sensory testing (QST) measures (pressure pain threshold (PPT) at patellae and the wrist; mechanical temporal summation (TS); conditioned pain modulation (CPM)). Each WOMAC pain question was dichotomized as having at least moderate pain, and we further categorized them as weight-bearing pain and non-weight-bearing pain. We evaluated the relation of QST measures to each pain outcome using logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

2,749 participants (5,479 knees) were included (mean age 64 ± 11, 57% female). Each SD unit decrease in patellar PPT was associated with greater odds of both weight-bearing pain (OR 1.51 (95% CI 1.27, 1.79)) and non-weight-bearing pain (OR 1.46 (1.20-1.77)), while wrist PPT was associated with greater odds of weight-bearing pain (OR 1.27 (1.15, 1.39)) but only with pain during sitting/lying (OR 1.20 (1.01, 1.43)). TS was significantly associated with greater odds of pain with walking and stairs (OR 1.11 (1.01, 1.23), 1.11 (1.03, 1.20), respectively). CPM was not associated with any pain outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings challenge the hypothesis that non-weight-bearing pain may reflect greater pain sensitization and/or inefficient CPM than weight-bearing pain in knee OA, suggesting other mechanisms are likely responsible.

Exploring Factors and Associate Responses for Anxiety in the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: A Web-Based Survey in Japan

Background and Objectives

Anxiety plays an important role in psychology. An exploration of anxiety and its associated reactions may provide insight into measures for addressing mental health problems caused by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Data from this study provide potential correlational responses to anxiety.

Methods

A cross-sectional study using data collected via an online self-reported questionnaire was conducted in Japan during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI-6), we assessed anxiety levels and explored the relationship between anxiety STAI-6 score, sources of COVID-19 information, the influences of COVID-19, social anxiety symptoms, discrimination, and evaluation of the government.

Results

A total of 4,127 participants were included in the analysis. The level of anxiety was not equally distributed across the general population with respect to age, gender, educational level, occupation, income, presence of underlying disease, and location (p < 0.05). The number of sources of information on COVID-19 had a positive correlation with the STAI-6 score (Spearman’s rho = 0.176, p < 0.001). The influence of the pandemic was correlated with moderate–severe anxiety. A high level of anxiety added to social anxiety (Spearman’s rho = 0.04, p < 0.05) and discriminatory behavior (Spearman’s rho = 0.11, p < 0.01). Being female (Estimate = 0.926) and from a non-emergency area (Estimate = −0.308) was related to higher STAI scores, and higher education (Estimate = −0.305), and income (Estimate = −0.168) decreased the STAI score. The respondents who had a lower evaluative score of the preventive activities undertaken by the national and local governments had higher STAI-6 scores.

Conclusion

Our findings provide statistical evidence for the associated reaction of anxiety and that anxiety reactions may vary in predictable ways. Further studies should focus on the strategic interventions that may decrease the associated responses to anxiety, to address mental health issues due to the pandemic.

Association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and physical performance measures in middle-aged and old Japanese men and women: The Unzen study

PURPOSE

Regarding epidemiological studies, the role of vitamin D in musculoskeletal functionality (muscle weakness and physical performance) among elderly people is still controversial. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the associations between 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and physical performance among community-dwelling middle-aged and old Japanese men and women.

METHODS

The subjects were community-dwelling 297 men and 415 women aged 50 years and over. Data on height (m) and weight (kg) were collected. Serum 25(OH)D, parathyroid hormone, calcium, and albumin levels were measured. Serum 25(OH)D was classified into deficiency group: < 20 ng/mL, insufficiency group: 20-30 ng/mL, and sufficiency group: ≧ 30 ng/mL. Physical performance was assessed by grip strength, chair stand time, and functional reach. Information on current smoking, alcohol drinking, regular exercise, any comorbidities (hypertension, heart disease, diabetes mellitus, lung disease, and stroke), and pain (lumbar and knee) was collected.

RESULTS

Vitamin D deficiency and insufficiency based on serum 25(OH)D levels were observed in 15.2% and 56.9% of men and 52.0% and 43.6% of women, respectively. In men, higher serum 25(OH)D levels were associated with better grip strength (p for trend = 0.003), chair stand time (p for trend = 0.042), and functional reach (p for trend <0.001). On the other hand, these parameters were not associated with serum 25(OH)D levels in women.

CONCLUSION

A higher level of serum 25(OH)D was associated with better physical performance in men but not in women.

Factors associated with the development of oral allergy syndrome: A retrospective questionnaire survey of Japanese university students

BACKGROUND

Oral allergy syndrome (OAS) is an IgE-mediated food allergy. Ingestion of causative antigens leads to the development of local symptoms such as numbness of the oral mucosa in most cases and anaphylaxis in a few cases. The prevalence of OAS including in healthy people has not been investigated. Thus, we conducted a questionnaire survey of Japanese university students.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study of 2688 first-year students using a questionnaire survey in marksheet format and examined the epidemiological characteristics of OAS.

RESULTS

Only 2.7% of students were aware of the term "oral allergy syndrome". A total of 143 (5.3%) students had OAS. There were significant associations between OAS and other allergic diseases including allergic rhinitis (AR) (OR: 3.8, 95% CI: 2.7-5.5), atopic dermatitis (AD) (OR: 4.6, 95%CI: 3.3-6.6), and bronchial asthma (BA) (OR: 3.0, 95%CI: 2.0-4.5). The onset age of OAS showed bimodal peaks at 0 and 10 years, and the latter peak coincided with the peak onset age of AR.

CONCLUSIONS

Awareness of OAS was low in our study, which will make it difficult to treat properly and prevent its development. This survey confirmed the association between OAS and other allergic diseases, especially AR, which suggests that OAS is involved in the allergic march. A novel finding was that sensitization to antigens for OAS occurred around the same time as sensitization to antigens for AR. These results will help medical professionals diagnose OAS and develop lifestyle guidelines to prevent OAS-related symptoms such as anaphylaxis.

Association between vitamin D and bone mineral density in Japanese adults: the Unzen study

We showed an association between serum concentrations of vitamin D and bone health among community-dwelling adults in Japan after adjustment for confounding factors, with 730 participants in a city, with concentrations of 25(OH) vitamin D, and with parameters of quantitative ultrasound.

PURPOSE

The primary objective of this study was to examine the correlation between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration and bone indicators as measured by quantitative ultrasound in middle-aged and older Japanese adults living in low-latitude seaside areas during summer and autumn.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study, the Unzen study, on community-dwelling Japanese adults who participated to periodic health examinations between 2011 and 2013 (during the months of May to November).

RESULTS

A total of 301 men (mean (SD) age, 67.9 (8.2) years; range, 50-92 years) and 429 women (mean (SD) age, 67.9 (7.7); range, 50-89 years) participated in this study. Serum 25(OH)D levels and quantitative ultrasound parameters (broadband ultrasound (BUA), speed of sound (SOS), and stiffness index of the calcaneus were measured for the participants. We excluded two men and 28 women from the 730 participants because they were on medication for osteoporosis. So, 299 men and 401 women were included in the final data analysis. The prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency (< 30 ng/ml) was very high: 71.9% in men and 95.5% in women. In women, the log(25(OH)D) positively and significantly correlated with SOS (p = 0.011) and stiffness index (p = 0.028) but not with BUA (p = 0.176). In men, the log(25(OH)D) did not correlate with the BUA, SOS, or stiffness index (p = 0.218, 0.420, and 0.262, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum 25(OH)D levels were associated with SOS or stiffness index in women but not in men.

POS1429 ORAL DYSBIOSIS REFLECTS THE IMMUNOLOGICAL ALTERATION OF RA REGARDING TO HLA DRB1*SE, ACPA AND CIGARETTE SMOKING: NAGASAKI ISLAND STUDY

Background:

Anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) production is observed in several organs even prior to the onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and oral mucosa is considered to be one of the important tissues. Saliva is considered to reflect the oral microbiota(oralMB) including periodontal disease. A gene-environment interaction between cigarette smoking and shared epitope genes in HLA-DRB1*shared epitope (SE) provides a high risk of ACPA-positive RA. However, the interaction of HLA-DRB1*SE, ACPA, cigarette smoking and oralMB of RA patients remains to be elucidated.

Objectives:

We investigated that the difference of oralMB among RA patients and healthy subjects(HS) regarding to ACPA, HLA-DRB1*SE and cigarette smoking.

Methods:

The Nagasaki Island Study, which had started in 2014 collaborating with Goto City, Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan, is intended for research of the preclinical stage of RA, including ACPA, HLA genotype screening, oralMB and lifestyle habit. Both of blood and salivary samples were obtained from 1422 subjects out of 4276 participants in this study from 2016 to 2018. ACPA positivity was 1.7 % in total 4276 subjects. At this point, we selected 291 subjects, who were ACPA positive non-RA HS(n=22) and patients with RA (n=33, 11 subjects were ACPA positive and 22 ACPA negative, respectively) as the case, age and gender matched ACPA negative non-RA HS (n=236) as the control. In RA subjects, current smoker was n=1(3.0%) and ever smoker was n=8(24.2%). In HS, current smoker was n=29(11.2%) and ever smoker was n=55(21.3%). ACPA was measured by ELISA, and HLA genotyping was quantified by next-generation sequencing (Ref.1). The operational taxonomic unit (OTU) analysis using 16S rRNA gene sequencing were performed. The richness of microbial diversity within subject (α-diversity) was scaled via Shannon entropy. The dissimilarity between microbial community composition was calculated using Bray-Curtis distance as a scale, and differences between groups (β-diversity) were tested by permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA). In addition, UniFrac distance calculated in consideration of the distance on the phylogenetic tree were performed.

Results:

Median age 71 y.o., % Female 58.4 %. Among RA and non-RA subjects, not α-diversity but β-diversity was statistically smaller significantly in RA (p=0.022). In the HS, there was no decrease in α-diversity between the ACPA-positive and HLA-DRB1*SE-positive groups, but in the ACPA-positive group, there was a decrease in α-diversity in the HLA-DRB1*SE-positive group. When we compared α-diversity stratified by the presence or absence of three factors (RA, ACPA, and HLA-DRB1*SE), the RA group with ACPA and HLA-DRB1*SE positive tended to have the lowest diversity (Figure 1 lower right). RA subjects, presence of HLA-DRB1*SE did not show the difference but the tendency of lower α-diversity (p=0.29).

Conclusion:

HS with ACPA-positive HLA-DRB1*SE tended to show lower α-diversity than ACPA-positive HS and HLA-DRB1*SE positive HS. Furthermore, RA subjects with ACPA-positive HLA-DRB1*SE showed lower α-diversity than HS with ACPA-positive HLA-DRB1*SE.

Our study suggested that the oral dysbiosis may reflect the immunological status of patients with RA. Because of the small number of ACPA-positive patients, stratification by smoking history was difficult. Further examination is needed to clarify the gene-environment interaction and microbiome.

References:

[1]Kawaguchi S, et al. Methods Mol Biol 2018;1802: 22.

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

Behavioural responses and anxiety symptoms during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Japan: A large scale cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

This study explored the behavioural responses and anxiety symptoms of the general adult population in Japan during the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak.

METHODS

A web-based cross-sectional survey was conducted between 12th and May 13, 2020. Quota sampling was used to attain equal gender and age distributions representative of the Japanese population.

RESULTS

A total of 4127 complete responses were analysed. Higher educational level (B = 0.045, p = 0.002) and household income (B = 0.04, p = 0.009) were associated with a higher increase in preventive measures when comparing before and after the state of emergency was declared. The highest reported social anxiety was a feeling of fear (65.6%), followed by embarrassment (43.8%), keeping infection a secret (41.3%), avoidance (41.3%), and stigma (25.5%). A total of 86.1% of the respondents reported moderate to severe anxiety. The partial least square-based structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM) revealed that being female has the greatest effect (B = 0.246, p < 0.0001) on higher current preventive measures, followed by social anxiety (B = 0.119; p = 0.001) and State-Trait Anxiety Inventory scores (B = 0.153; p < 0.001). Perceived susceptibility (B = 0.033, p = 0.020), knowing someone who have been diagnosed with COVID-19 (B = 0.097, p < 0.001), higher income (B = 0.079, p < 0.001) and educational level (B = 0.045; p = 0.004) all had a small but significant effect on influencing levels of preventive measures.

CONCLUSIONS

A moderate level of preventive practices found in this study indicates the need to encourage behavioural change to limit the spread of the coronavirus. The provision of mental health services is warranted as anxiety symptoms are prevalent.

Cost-effectiveness of dual influenza and pneumococcal vaccination among the elderly in Shenzhen, China

OBJECTIVE

To assess the cost-effectiveness of dual influenza and pneumococcal vaccination for the elderly in Shenzhen, China.

METHODS

A Markov state-transition model with a weekly cycle was developed to compare the outcomes of dual influenza and pneumococcal vaccination for the prevention of influenza and pneumococcal infections compared with no vaccination among 70-74 years old people in Shenzhen over 5 years. The model allowed seasonal variation of influenza activity. We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) with costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) discounted at 5% annually from the societal perspective. The impact of parameter uncertainty on the results was examined using one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA).

RESULTS

In the base case, dual vaccination prevented 5042 influenza infections, 26 IPD cases, 3 disabilities, 34 deaths, and cost US$7.1 per person while resulting in a net gain of 0.0026 QALYs compared with no vaccination. Using once the Chinese gross domestic product per capita in 2019 (US$10,289) as the willingness-to-pay threshold, dual vaccination was cost-effective with an ICER of US$2699 per QALY gained. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was relatively sensitive to changes in influenza attack rates and influenza vaccine effectiveness. Based on the results of PSA with 1000 Monte Carlo simulations, receiving both vaccines was cost-effective in 100% of the repetitions.

CONCLUSION

The current study provides evidence that dual influenza and pneumococcal vaccination is a cost-effective disease prevention strategy for the elderly in Shenzhen, China.

Epidemiology of the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and musculoskeletal conditions among elderly individuals: a literature review

Background

Vitamin D deficiency is associated with osteoporosis, fracture, muscle weakness, falls, and osteoarthritis in adults. Elderly individuals are more likely to present with poor musculoskeletal conditions. Recently, several epidemiological studies have assessed the correlation between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels and musculoskeletal conditions in elderly individuals.

Main text

Osteoporosis is a skeletal disease characterized by low bone mass and microarchitectural deterioration of bone tissue, with a consequent increase in bone fragility and susceptibility to fracture. Numerous studies have shown a positive association between serum 25(OH)D levels and bone mineral density. Only a few studies have reported an association between serum 25(OH)D levels and quantitative ultrasound (QUS) parameters. Low serum 25(OH)D level may be a risk factor for hip fracture. However, data on the association between vitamin D deficiency and the incidence of non-hip fracture are contrasting. Falls are a major cause of mortality and morbidity in older adults. Several prospective population-based cohort studies have shown that low 25(OH)D levels are associated with an increased risk of falls. Reduced muscle strength and physical performance are risk factors for adverse events, including disability, institutionalization, and mortality. The role of vitamin D in musculoskeletal functionality (muscle weakness and physical performance) among elderly individuals is still controversial. Osteoarthritis (OA) is the most common form of arthritis and is a leading cause of disability among older adults. Data on the association between serum 25(OH)D levels and OA are contrasting.

Conclusion

Some studies have shown that vitamin D deficiency may be a risk factor for poor musculoskeletal conditions, such as osteoporosis, fracture, muscle weakness, falls, and osteoarthritis in adults. However, other studies did not find an association between serum 25(OH)D levels and musculoskeletal conditions.

Association between self-reported walking speed and calcaneal stiffness index in postmenopausal Japanese women

BACKGROUND

Osteoporosis and related fractures, a worldwide public health issue of growing concern, is characterized by compromised bone strength and an increased risk of fracture. Here we show an association between self-reported walking speed and bone mass among community-dwelling postmenopausal Japanese women aged 50 years and older. DESIGN; CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY: Setting and Participants; The survey population included 1008 postmenopausal women 50-92 years of age residing in rural communities.

METHODS

Self-reported walking speed was ascertained by asking the participants: "Is your walking speed faster than others of the same age and sex?" to which participants responded "yes (faster)" or "no (moderate/slower)." Calcaneal stiffness index was measured.

RESULTS

Women with a faster self-reported walking speed were younger and had a lower BMI, higher stiffness index, and higher grip strength than women with a slower walking speed. Multiple linear regression analysis adjusted for age, BMI, grip strength, comorbidity, current smoking, and alcohol drinking status showed a significant association between faster self-reported walking speed and higher calcaneal stiffness index (p <  0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that questionnaires of walking speed may be useful for predicting bone mass and that a fast self-reported walking may benefit bone health in postmenopausal women.

Individual variations and sex differences in hemodynamics with percutaneous arterial oxygen saturation (SpO2) in young Andean highlanders in Bolivia

Background

Many studies have reported specific adaptations to high altitude, but few studies have focused on physiological variations in high-altitude adaptation in Andean highlanders. This study aimed to investigate the relationships between SpO₂ and related factors, including individual variations and sex differences, in Andean highlanders.

Methods

The participants were community-dwelling people in La Paz, Bolivia, aged 20 years and over (age range 20–34 years). A total of 50 men and 50 women participated in this study. Height, weight, SpO₂, hemoglobin concentration, finger temperature, heart rate, and blood pressure were measured. Information about lifestyle was also obtained by interview.

Results

There were individual variations of SpO₂ both in men (mean 89.9%, range 84.0–95.0%) and women (mean 91.0%, range 84.0–96.0%). On Student’s t test, men had significantly lower heart rate (p = 0.046) and SpO₂ (p = 0.030) than women. On the other hand, men had significantly higher SBP (p < 0.001), hemoglobin (p < 0.001), and finger temperature (p = 0.004). In men, multiple stepwise regression analysis showed that a higher SpO₂ was correlated with a lower heart rate (β = − 0.089, p = 0.007) and a higher finger temperature (β = 0.308, p = 0.030) (r² for model = 0.18). In women, a higher SpO₂ was significantly correlated with a higher finger temperature (β = 0.391, p = 0.015) (r² for model = 0.12). A higher SpO₂ was related to a higher finger temperature (β = 0.286, p = 0.014) and a lower heart rate (β = − 0.052, p = 0.029) in all participants (r² for model = 0.21). Residual analysis showed that individual SpO₂ values were randomly plotted.

Conclusion

Random plots of SpO₂ on residual analysis indicated that these variations were random error, such as biological variation. A higher SpO₂ was related to a lower heart rate and finger temperature in men, but a higher SpO₂ was related to finger temperature in women. These results suggest that there are individual variations and sex differences in the hemodynamic responses of high-altitude adaptation in Andean highlanders.

Incidence, predictive factors and severity of methotrexate-related liver injury in rheumatoid arthritis: a longitudinal cohort study

Objectives

The aims were to determine the incidence rate, predictive factors and severity of liver injury that develops during MTX treatment for RA and to evaluate the role of pretreatment hepatic fat deposition.

Methods

We used an ongoing real-life registry containing RA patients who had started MTX between August 2007 and April 2018 at participating institutions. The liver-to-spleen attenuation ratio on CT scans at enrolment was used to evaluate pretreatment fat deposition quantitatively. Patients were followed until persistent transaminitis developed or until the end of the study. Liver biopsy was performed for patients who presented with persistent transaminitis.

Results

We followed 289 new MTX users without pretreatment elevations of transaminases (mean follow-up time, 58.3 months). Hepatic fat deposition was detected in half of the patients at enrolment. During follow-up, persistent transaminitis occurred at a crude incidence rate of 3.13 per 100 person-years, and the cumulative incidence at 5 years was estimated to be 13%. A multivariate Fine–Gray regression analysis showed that the most important predictive factors were pre-existing moderate to severe fat deposition (adjusted hazard ratio, 7.69; 95% CI: 3.10, 19.10) and obesity (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.68; 95% CI: 1.37, 5.25). Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) was the most predominant pattern in liver biopsy samples. Hepatic fibrosis was found in 90% of samples, but most cases were not advanced.

Conclusion

Aggravation of underlying fatty liver to NASH with fibrosis seems to be an important mechanism of liver injury that occurs in MTX-treated RA patients.

AB1232 ORAL DYSBIOSIS REFLECTS THE IMMUNOLOGICAL ALTERATION OF RA REGARDING TO ACPA AND HLA DRB1*SE: NAGASAKI ISLAND STUDY

Background:

Anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) production is observed in several organs even prior to the onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and oral mucosa is considered to be one of the important tissues. The presence of HLA-DRB1*SE closely associates with ACPA production. Saliva is considered to reflect the oral microbiota including periodontal disease. Alteration of oral microbiota of RA becomes to be normalized by DMARDs treatment, however, the interaction of HLA-DRB1*SE, ACPA and oral microbiota of RA patients remains to be elucidated.

Objectives:

The Nagasaki Island Study, which had started in 2014 collaborating with Goto City, is intended for research of the preclinical stage of RA, including ACPA/HLA genotype screening and ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging examinations in high-risk subjects. Using the samples accumulated in this cohort, we have tried to investigate the difference of oral microbiota among RA patients and healthy subjects regarding to ACPA and HLA-DRB1*SE.

Methods:

Blood and salivary samples were obtained from 1422 subjects out of 4276 who have participated in the Nagasaki Island Study from 2016 to 2018. ACPA positivity was 1.7 % in total. Some of RA patients resided in Goto City participated in the Nagasaki Island Study. At this point, we selected 291 subjects, who were ACPA positive non-RA healthy subjects (n=22) and patients with RA (n=33, 11 subjects were ACPA positive and 22 ACPA negative respectively) as the case, age and gender matched ACPA negative non-RA healthy subjects (n=236) as the control. ACPA was measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and HLA genotyping was quantified by next-generation sequencing (Ref.1). The operational taxonomic unit (OUT) analysis using 16S rRNA gene sequencing were performed. The richness of microbial diversity within-subject (alpha diversity) was scaled via Shannon entropy. The dissimilarity between microbial community composition was calculated using Bray-Curtis distance as a scale, and differences between groups (beta diversity) were tested by permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA). In addition, UniFrac distance calculated in consideration of the distance on the phylogenetic tree were performed.

Results:

Median age 70 y.o., % Female 58.8 %. Among RA and non-RA subjects, not alpha diversity but beta diversity was statistically significance (p=0.022, small in RA). In RA subjects, both alpha and beta diversity is small (p<0.0001), especially significant in ACPA positive RA (Figure 1). Amongt RA subjects, presence of HLA-DRB1*SE did not show the difference but the tendency of being small of alpha diversity (p=0.29).

Conclusion:

Our study has suggested for the first time the association of oral microbiota alteration with the presence of ACPA and HLA-DRB1*SE. Oral dysbiosis may reflect the immunological status of patients with RA.

References:

[1]Kawaguchi S, et al. Methods Mol Biol 2018;1802: 22

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

SAT0458 THE POLYMORPHISM ON FAT MASS AND OBESITY ASSOCIATED GENE (FTO) WAS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW BONE MASS IN JAPANESE COMMUNITY DWELLING POPULATION

Background:

A polymorphism onFTO(OMIM 610966) was reported as a causal variant for obesity, plays a critical rule not only in amount of adipose tissue but also in function of mitochondrial thermogenesis1.

Objectives:

To examine the association of the genotype on a single nucleotide polymorphism onFTOwith bone health.

Methods:

FTO rs1421085 polymorphism was genotyped in 1,601 community-dwelling Japanese participants. This cross-sectional study was nested in Nagasaki Islands Study, which is a prospective cohort in Goto City, in islands of Japan. Participants were recruited at medical check-ups for community dwelling population.

Bone mass of the calcaneus was evaluated with stiffness index calculated using a quantitative ultrasound measurement. Low bone mass was defined as a stiffness index less than 80 % of the young adult mean.

Sera and peripheral blood mononuclear cells were obtained. The SNP of rs1421085 was genotyped using hydrolysis probe. The chi-squared test was used to determine whether the variants were in equilibrium in that population. Trend for the median of BMI among genotypes was assessed using the Jonckheere-Terpstra test. Potential associations between FTO polymorphism and overweight and between the polymorphism and low bone mass were evaluated using logistic regression. All analyses were carried out using SPSS 23.

Results:

Genotype and allele frequencies for the polymorphism were in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (minor allele frequency 0.16, p = 0.40) in 1,601 community-dwelling persons (mean age was 68.5 years in men and 68.1 years in women).

There were significant associations between the minor allele and higher median of BMI on dose dependent manner in men (p = 0.04 for trend in men and p = 0.10 for trend in women, respectively), and between the minor allele and overweight (>25 in BMI, OR 1.52, 95%CI 1.07 2.14, p=0.02 in men, OR 1.48, 95%CI 1.16 1.95, p=0.01 in women).

Logistic regression analysis showed a significant protective association in men with carriers of minor allele against low bone mass after an adjustment for age and BMI (OR 0.63, 95%CI 0.44 0.90, p=0.01 in men, not significant in women).

Conclusion:

Our study indicated significant associations of the polymorphism onFTOwith BMI and bone mass among community dwelling men. The polymorphism may play a rule in a part of bone health with higher BMI and other beneficial functions.

References:

[1]N Engl J Med. 2015; 373: 895-907

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

Vitamin K deficiency, evaluated with higher serum ucOC, was correlated with poor bone status in women

BACKGROUND

An increase in serum undercarboxylated osteocalcin concentrations suggests vitamin K deficiency. Clinical intervention studies suggested that the vitamin K supplementation might contribute to preventing bone loss in postmenopausal women. Evidence on the relationship between serum undercarboxylated osteocalcin (ucOC) levels and bone parameters of quantitative ultrasound (QUS) is limited. We examined the correlation between serum ucOC concentrations and bone status as measured by QUS among middle-aged and older Japanese men and women.

METHODS

The subjects were community-dwelling men (n = 358) and women (n = 503) aged ≥ 40 years in Japan. Heel QUS parameters, including the stiffness index, speed of sound, and broadband ultrasound attenuation, were measured. Serum ucOC concentrations were measured by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Grip strength was measured in the dominant hand. Information on alcohol drinking, current smoking, exercise, and menopause in women was collected.

RESULTS

Serum ucOC concentrations were significantly associated with age in both sexes. Serum ucOC concentrations in men were higher at ≥ 80 years than those in the age groups of 40-49, 50-59, and 60-69 years. Serum ucOC concentrations in women were higher in the age groups of 50-59 and 60-69 years than those at 40-49 years. Partial correlation analysis adjusting for covariates (age, body mass index, grip strength, alcohol drinking, current smoking, and exercise in men; age, body mass index, grip strength, alcohol drinking, current smoking, exercise, and menopause in women) showed that serum ucOC concentrations were negatively significantly correlated with all QUS parameters in women. Serum ucOC concentrations were not correlated with them in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin K deficiency, evaluated with higher serum ucOC, was correlated with poor bone status in women.

Retention of tocilizumab with and without methotrexate during maintenance therapy for rheumatoid arthritis: the ACTRA-RI cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To compare retention of tocilizumab (TCZ) as monotherapy vs combination therapy with MTX in RA patients achieving clinical improvements during the first year.

METHODS

We performed a multicentre cohort study using a real-life registry containing RA patients who had begun TCZ with or without MTX between April 2008 and November 2016. Among patients with ≥50% improvement of clinical disease activity index (CDAI) during the first year (CDAI50 responders), we evaluated whether MTX use may have affected TCZ discontinuation during the second and subsequent years (maintenance therapy).

RESULTS

Among 510 patients with high or moderate CDAI, 328 (64.3%) were CDAI50 responders. The rate of MTX use was 53.0% among responders and 54.4% among non-responders. During maintenance therapy (mean follow-up 30.7 months), 43.9% of CDAI50 responders discontinued TCZ. The most common cause was efficacy loss followed by adverse events. Kaplan-Meier estimates for TCZ retention were 48.3 months (95% CI 42.0, 54.5) for monotherapy and 50.0 months (95% CI 45.9, 54.0) for combination therapy. According to Gray's test, there was no significant impact of MTX use on cumulative incidence of efficacy loss or adverse events. In the Fine-Gray competing risk regression model, CDAI >10 at the start of maintenance therapy and age were predictive factors for TCZ discontinuation due to efficacy loss (hazard ratio 2.58, 95% CI 1.41, 4.72) and adverse events (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% CI 1.01, 1.08), respectively.

CONCLUSION

There was no significant difference in TCZ retention between monotherapy and combination therapy with MTX.

Cross-Sectional Association Between Employment Status and Self-Rated Health Among Middle-Aged Japanese Women: The Influence of Socioeconomic Conditions and Work-Life Conflict

Background

Few studies examining the impact for women of employment status on health have considered domestic duties and responsibilities as well as household socioeconomic conditions. Moreover, to our knowledge, no studies have explored the influence of work-family conflict on the association between employment status and health. This research aimed to investigate the cross-sectional associations between employment status (regular employee, non-regular employee, or self-employed) with self-rated health among Japanese middle-aged working women.

Methods

Self-report data were obtained from 21,450 working women aged 40–59 years enrolled in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation (JPHC-NEXT Study) in 2011–2016. Multivariate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for poor self-rated health (‘poor’ or ‘not very good’) by employment status. Sub-group analyses by household income and marital status, as well as mediation analysis for work-family conflict, were also conducted.

Results

Adjusted ORs for the poor self-rated health of non-regular employees and self-employed workers were 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83–0.98) and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.75–0.94), respectively, compared with regular employees. The identified association of non-regular employment was explained by work-family conflict. Subgroup analysis indicated no statistically significant modifying effects by household income and marital status.

Conclusion

Among middle-aged working Japanese women, employment status was associated with self-rated health; non-regular employees and self-employed workers were less likely to report poor self-rated health, compared with regular employees. Lowered OR of poor self-rated health among non-regular employees may be explained by their reduced work-family conflict.

[Association between fear of falling and activities of daily living among community-dwelling Japanese older adults]

Objectives　This study aimed to explore the association of difficulties in activities of daily living (ADL) (activities related to bending, spine extension, standing endurance, and walking) with fear of falling among community-dwelling older adults.Methods　We recruited 642 older adults (men, n=267; women, n=375) aged 65 years and over. The mean age was 72.2±5.1 years. Fear of falling, falls in the previous year, pain (low back pain or knee pain), comorbidity, and cataracts were assessed using a self-administered questionnaire. ADL difficulties were assessed individually, such as activities related to bending (getting in or out the car, picking up a lightweight object, putting on socks or stockings, and lifting a 5 kg object from the floor), spine extension (reaching an object above your head), standing endurance (standing on your feet for 2 h), and walking (walking 100 m on a level surface, climbing 10 steps without stopping, and walking down 10 steps). The independent association between fear of falling and each ADL difficulties was assessed using logistic regression analysis.Results　Participants with fear of falling, compared with those without fear of falling, had an older age (74.8 and 71.6 in men, 73.3 and 71.0 in women, respectively; P<0.01), more falls in the previous year (21% and 9% in men, 28% and 11% in women, respectively; P<0.05), pain (80% and 61% in men, 82% and 64% in women, respectively; P<0.01), and comorbidity (23% and 15% in women, respectively; P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified each ADL difficulties except walking 100 m on a level surface as being independently associated with fear of falling after adjusting for age, body mass index, sex, falls in the previous year, pain, and comorbidity.Conclusion　ADL difficulties, such as activities related to bending, spine extension, standing endurance, and walking, except for walking 100 m on a level surface, were associated with fear of falling.

Relationship between bone turnover markers and the heel stiffness index measured by quantitative ultrasound in post-menopausal Japanese women

Background: Osteoporosis in women is a serious health problem. The relationships between biochemical markers of bone turnover and bone mineral density (BMD) in women have been reported, but no study has examined relationships between tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b (TRACP-5b) or bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BAP) and bone mass measured by quantitative ultrasound (QUS) in Japanese post-menopausal women. Aim: To investigate the serum TRACP-5b and BAP levels and to determine their associations with the heel stiffness index measured by QUS in post-menopausal women. Subjects and methods: The subjects were 510 post-menopausal women who were invited to participate in periodic health examinations in 2011-2013 (the Unzen Study). The heel stiffness index (bone mass) was measured by QUS. Serum samples were collected and TRACP-5b and BAP levels were measured. Results: Multiple regression analysis showed that a higher log (TRACP-5b) was correlated with a lower stiffness index (p = 0.014) and log (BAP) was not correlated with stiffness index after adjusting for covariates (p = 0.136). Conclusion: Higher rates of bone resorption are associated with a lower stiffness index in Japanese post-menopausal women. These results may indicate that high bone resorption affects bone mass more than bone formation, resulting in a low bone mass.

The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation (JPHC-NEXT): Study Design and Participants

Background

Lifestyle and life-environment factors have undergone drastic changes in Japan over the last few decades. Further, many molecular epidemiologic studies have reported that genetic, epigenetic, and other biomarker information may be useful in predicting individual disease risk.

Methods

The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation (JPHC-NEXT) was launched in 2011 to identify risk factors for lifestyle-related disease, elucidate factors that extend healthy life expectancy, and contribute toward personalized healthcare based on our more than 20 years’ experience with the JPHC Study. From 2011 through 2016, a baseline survey was conducted at 16 municipalities in seven prefectures across the country. A self-administered questionnaire was distributed to all registered residents aged 40–74, which mainly asked about lifestyle factors, such as socio-demographic situation, personal medical history, smoking, alcohol and dietary habits. We obtained informed consent from each participant to participate in this long follow-up study of at least 20 years, including consent to the potential use of their residence registry, medical records, medical fee receipts, care insurance etc., and to the provision of biospecimens (blood and urine), including genomic analysis.

Results

As of December 31, 2016, we have established a population-based cohort of 115,385 persons (Response rate 44.1%), among whom 55,278 (47.9% of participants) have provided blood and urine samples. The participation rate was slightly higher among females and in the older age group.

Conclusion

We have established a large-scale population-based cohort for next-generation epidemiological study in Japan.

Nomograms and risk scores for predicting the risk of oral cancer in different sexes: a large-scale case-control study

Background: Although previous studies have explored the associations of modifiable lifestyle factors with oral cancer risk, few studies integrated these factors and established predictive tools for oral cancer risk in different sexes.

Methods: Using a case-control study design, a total of 978 oral cancer cases and 2646 healthy controls were recruited in this study. Nomograms were constructed according to significant factors in multivariable logistic regression. Risk scores were calculated based on the nomograms and quantified the risk of oral cancer using restricted cubic spline.

Results: Multivariate analyses demonstrated that smoking, alcohol drinking, tea, intake of fish, seafood, vegetables, fruits, teeth loss, regular dental visits and repetitive dental ulcer were independent factors for male oral cancer. Passive smoking, age at first intercourse, cooking oil fumes exposure, tea, intake of beans, vegetables, fruits, teeth loss, regular dental visits and repetitive dental ulcer were associated with female oral cancer. Then, two nomograms were developed for predicting the probability of oral cancer in men and women with the C-index of 0.768 (95% CI: 0.723-0.813) and 0.700 (95% CI: 0.635-0.765), respectively. Restricted cubic splines graphically revealed the risk of oral cancer in individuals with different risk scores. Moreover, the risk escalated continuously with the increasing number of the risk scores among both sexes.

Conclusions: Combining nomograms with risk scores developed in this study could precisely predict oral cancer occurrence and provide an accurate risk assessment.

A single amino acid substitution in the NS4B protein of Dengue virus confers enhanced virus growth and fitness in human cells in vitro through IFN-dependent host response

Dengue virus (DENV) replication between mosquito and human hosts is hypothesized to be associated with viral determinants that interact in a differential manner between hosts. However, the understanding of inter-host viral determinants that drive DENV replication and growth between hosts is limited. Through the use of clinical isolates, we identified an amino acid variation of Ala, Met and Val at position 116 of DENV-1 NS4B. While the proportion of virus with the NS4B-116V variant remained constantly high in serial passages in a mosquito cell line, populations of the NS4B-116M and NS4B-116A variants became dominant after serial passages in mammalian cell lines. Using recombinant DENV-1 viruses, the Val to Ala or Met alteration at position NS4B-116 (rDENV-1-NS4B-116A and rDENV-1-NS4B-116M) resulted in enhanced virus growth in human cells in comparison to the clone with Val at NS4B-116 (rDENV-1-NS4B-116V). However, the reverse phenomenon was observed in a mosquito cell line. Additionally, in a human cell line, differential levels of IFN-α/β and IFN-stimulated gene expressions (IFIT3, IFI44L, OAS1) suggested that the enhanced viral growth was dependent on the ability of the NS4B protein to hamper host IFN response during the early phase of infection. Overall, we identified a novel and critical viral determinant at the pTMD3 of NS4B region that displayed differential effects on DENV replication and fitness in human and mosquito cell lines. Taken together, the results suggest the importance of the NS4B protein in virus replication and adaptation between hosts.

Relationship between bone turnover markers and the heel stiffness index measured by quantitative ultrasound in middle-aged and elderly Japanese men

The aim of the present study was to investigate the age-related patterns and the relationships between serum levels of tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b (TRACP-5b) or bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BAP), and the heel stiffness index measured by quantitative ultrasound (QUS) in 429 Japanese men, with special emphasis on 2 age groups (40-59 years and 60 years or over). The heel stiffness index (bone mass) was measured by QUS. Serum samples were collected, and TRACP-5b and BAP levels were measured. The stiffness index was significantly decreased with age. Log (TRACP-5b) was significantly increased with age, but Log (BAP) was stable. Generalized linear models showed that higher levels of Log (TRACP-5b) and Log (BAP) were correlated with a lower stiffness index after adjusting for covariates in men aged 60 years or over, but not in men aged 40 to 59 years. In conclusion, higher rates of bone turnover markers were associated with a lower stiffness index only in elderly men. These results may indicate a different mechanism of low bone mass among different age groups of men.

Prevalence of fear of falling and associated factors among Japanese community-dwelling older adults

To determine the prevalence of fear of falling and associated factors among Japanese community-dwelling older adults.Cross-sectional study between 2011 and 2013.Community in which residents voluntarily attended a health examination.We recruited 844 older adults (male, n = 350; female, n = 494) aged 60 to 92 years from among those who presented at the health examination.We assessed fear of falling, falls in the previous year, pain, comorbidity, and cataracts. Five times chair stand time was applied as an indicator of physical performance.The prevalence of fear of falling was 26.9% and 43.3% among the men and women, respectively. Men and women who feared falling were older (P < .01), had longer 5 times chair stand time (P < .01), and more falls in the previous year (P < .05), pain (P < .01), and comorbidity (P < .05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified advanced age (odds ratios [OR], 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-2.39), falls in the previous year (OR, 2.44; 95%CI, 1.29-4.64), and pain (OR, 1.82; 95%CI, 1.03-3.22) in men, and advanced age (OR, 1.59; 95%CI, 1.13-2.24), longer 5 times chair stand times (OR, 1.28; 95%CI, 1.04-1.59), falls in the previous year (OR, 2.59; 95%CI, 1.54-4.34), and pain (OR, 1.65; 95%CI, 1.06-2.55) in women as being independently associated with fear of falling.The prevalence of fear of falling was similar to previous reports. Advanced age, falls in previous year, and pain were associated with fear of falling in men. A longer 5 times chair stand time was also associated with fear of falling among older adult women. Maintenance of physical function and pain management might be important for older adults with fear of falling.

Exercise intervention implemented by trained volunteers improves health-related quality of life among Japanese community-dwelling older females: an intervention study

[Purpose] This study aimed to evaluate the sustainability and efficacy of exercise intervention, as implemented by professionally trained volunteers, on the health-related quality of life among Japanese community-dwelling older females. [Subjects and Methods] We conducted a non-randomized observational prospective study of a six-month exercise intervention delivered by volunteers or health professionals. Health-related quality of life was scored using the Short Form 36 Health Survey before and after the intervention. Participants were classified into three groups, comprising those with improved health, maintained health, and reduced health. [Results] Among 127 Japanese community-dwelling females aged >65 years, 50 of 62 (80.6%) females involved in the intervention conducted by volunteers, and 55 of 65 (84.6%) females involved in the intervention conducted by health professionals, completed the six-month intervention program. Scoring revealed that interventions by both volunteers and health professionals had a maintaining or improving effect on scores in >70% of participants instead of an expected six-month aging decline. [Conclusion] Exercise intervention by trained volunteers was sustainable and effective for improving the health-related quality of life among Japanese community-dwelling older females. Professionally trained volunteers could benefit communities in helping older persons avoid the need for daily nursing care through promoting health activities.

Construction and evaluation of two computational models for predicting the incidence of influenza in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan

It remains challenging to forecast local, seasonal outbreaks of influenza. The goal of this study was to construct a computational model for predicting influenza incidence. We built two computational models including an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and a hybrid model integrating ARDL with a Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN), to assess meteorological factors associated with temporal trends in influenza incidence. The modelling and forecasting performance of these two models were compared using observations collected between 2006 and 2015 in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan. In both the training and forecasting stages, the hybrid model showed lower error rates, including a lower residual mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) than the ARDL model. The lag of log-incidence, weekly average barometric pressure, and weekly average of air temperature were 4, 1, and 3, respectively in the ARDL model. The ARDL-GRNN hybrid model can serve as a tool to better understand the characteristics of influenza epidemic, and facilitate their prevention and control.

Anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies are the strongest predictor of clinically relevant radiographic progression in rheumatoid arthritis patients achieving remission or low disease activity: A post hoc analysis of a nationwide cohort in Japan

Objectives

To determine prognostic factors of clinically relevant radiographic progression (CRRP) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) achieving remission or low disease activity (LDA) in clinical practice.

Methods

Using data from a nationwide, multicenter, prospective study in Japan, we evaluated 198 biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD)-naïve RA patients who were in remission or had LDA at study entry after being treated with conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs). CRRP was defined as the yearly progression of modified total Sharp score (mTSS) >3.0 U. We performed a multiple logistic regression analysis to explore the factors to predict CRRP at 1 year. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to estimate the performance of relevant variables for predicting CRRP.

Results

The mean Disease Activity Score in 28 joints-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR) was 2.32 ± 0.58 at study entry. During the 1-year observation, remission or LDA persisted in 72% of the patients. CRRP was observed in 7.6% of the patients. The multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that the independent variables to predict the development of CRRP were: anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies (ACPA) positivity at baseline (OR = 15.2, 95%CI 2.64–299), time-integrated DAS28-ESR during the 1 year post-baseline (7.85-unit increase, OR = 1.83, 95%CI 1.03–3.45), and the mTSS at baseline (13-unit increase, OR = 1.22, 95%CI 1.06–1.42).

Conclusions

ACPA positivity was the strongest independent predictor of CRRP in patients with RA in remission or LDA. Physicians should recognize ACPA as a poor-prognosis factor regarding the radiographic outcome of RA, even among patients showing a clinically favorable response to DMARDs.

Association of vertebral compression fractures with physical performance measures among community-dwelling Japanese women aged 40 years and older

BACKGROUND

Numerous reported studies have shown that vertebral compression fractures are associated with impaired function or disability; however, few examined their association with objective measures of physical performance or functioning.

METHODS

We examined the association of vertebral compression fractures with physical performance measures in 556 Japanese women aged 40-89 years. Lateral spine radiographs were obtained and radiographic vertebral compression fractures were assessed by quantitative morphometry, defined as vertebral heights more than 3 SD below the normal mean. Measures of physical performance included walking speed, chair stand time and functional reach. Adjusted means of performance-based measures according to the number and severity of vertebral compression fractures were calculated using general linear modeling methods.

RESULTS

After adjusting for age, body mass index, back pain, number of painful joints, number of comorbidities and regular physical activities, the walking speed of women with two or more compression fractures (1.17 m/s) was significantly slower than that of women without compression fracture (1.24 m/s) (p = 0.03). Compared with women without compression fracture, chair stand time was longer in women with two or more compression fractures (p = 0.01), and functional reach was shorter (p = 0.01). No significant differences were observed in walking speed, chair stand time, or functional reach between women with one compression fracture and those without compression fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

Having multiple vertebral compression fractures affects physical performance in community-dwelling Japanese women. Poor physical functioning may lead to functional dependence, accelerated bone loss, and increased risk for falls, injuries, and fractures. Preventing vertebral compression fracture is considered important for preserving the independence of older adults.

Baseline MRI bone erosion predicts the subsequent radiographic progression in early rheumatoid arthritis patients who achieved sustained good clinical response

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings at baseline predict radiographic progression in early-stage rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients who have achieved sustained good clinical response.

METHODS

This is a sub-analysis from the one-year observational study of Nagasaki University Early Arthritis Cohort. Definition of 'good clinical response' was a decrement of disease activity score (DAS) 28 ≧ 1.2 at three months with achievement of DAS28 remission through 6-12 months. Gd-enhanced MRI of both wrists and finger joints were examined at baseline and scored using rheumatoid arthritis magnetic resonance imaging score (RAMRIS). Annual increment of Genant-modified Sharp score (GSS) > 0 was defined as 'radiographic progression'. Predictors of radiographic progression were determined by logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-four subjects were selected in the present study. Each median RAMRIS synovitis, bone edema, bone erosion, and GSS at baseline were 6.5, 0.5, 0, and 0, respectively. Five patients developed radiographic progression at one year. Multivariate logistic regression analysis has shown that RAMRIS bone erosion at baseline is the only independent predictor of radiographic progression at one year (p = .032).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that MRI bone erosion predicts poor radiographic outcome of early-stage RA even if it has been successfully treated.

Prevalence of lumbar spondylosis and its association with low back pain among community-dwelling Japanese women

Background

Lumbar spondylosis is more prevalent among the middle-aged and elderly, but few population-based studies have been conducted, especially in Japan. The purpose of this study was to explore the prevalence of lumbar spondylosis and its associations with low back pain among community-dwelling Japanese women.

Methods

Lateral radiographs of the lumbar spine were obtained from 490 Japanese women ≥ 40 years old, and scored for lumbar spondylosis using the Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade at lumbar intervertebral level from L1/2 to L5/S1. Height and weight were measured, and body mass index (BMI) was calculated. Low back pain in subjects was assessed using a self-administered questionnaire. Stiffness index (bone mass) was measured at the calcaneal bone using quantitative ultrasound.

Results

Prevalence of radiographic lumbar spondylosis for KL ≥ 2, KL ≥ 3 and low back pain were 76.7%, 38.8% and 20.0%, respectively. Age was positively associated with radiographic lumbar spondylosis (KL = 2, KL ≥ 3) and low back pain. Greater BMI was associated with lumbar spondylosis with KL = 2, but not with KL ≥ 3. Stiffness index was associated with neither radiographic lumbar spondylosis nor low back pain. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified radiographic lumbar spondylosis (KL ≥ 3) at L3/4, L4/5 and L5/S1 was associated with low back pain, independent of age, BMI and stiffness index.

Conclusion

Severe lumbar spondylosis at the middle or lower level may contribute to low back pain.