COVID-19 Stroke Apical Lung Examination Study 2: a national prospective CTA biomarker study of the lung apices, in patients presenting with suspected acute stroke (COVID SALES 2)

BACKGROUND

Apical ground-glass opacification (GGO) identified on CT angiography (CTA) performed for suspected acute stroke was developed in 2020 as a coronavirus-disease-2019 (COVID-19) diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in a retrospective study during the first wave of COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE

To prospectively validate whether GGO on CTA performed for suspected acute stroke is a reliable COVID-19 diagnostic and prognostic biomarker and whether it is reliable for COVID-19 vaccinated patients.

METHODS

In this prospective, pragmatic, national, multi-center validation study performed at 13 sites, we captured study data consecutively in patients undergoing CTA for suspected acute stroke from January-March 2021. Demographic and clinical features associated with stroke and COVID-19 were incorporated. The primary outcome was the likelihood of reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction swab-test-confirmed COVID-19 using the GGO biomarker. Secondary outcomes investigated were functional status at discharge and survival analyses at 30 and 90 days. Univariate and multivariable statistical analyses were employed.

RESULTS

CTAs from 1,111 patients were analyzed, with apical GGO identified in 8.5 % during a period of high COVID-19 prevalence. GGO showed good inter-rater reliability (Fleiss κ = 0.77); and high COVID-19 specificity (93.7 %, 91.8-95.2) and negative predictive value (NPV; 97.8 %, 96.5-98.6). In subgroup analysis of vaccinated patients, GGO remained a good diagnostic biomarker (specificity 93.1 %, 89.8-95.5; NPV 99.7 %, 98.3-100.0). Patients with COVID-19 were more likely to have higher stroke score (NIHSS (mean +/- SD) 6.9 +/- 6.9, COVID-19 negative, 9.7 +/- 9.0, COVID-19 positive; p = 0.01), carotid occlusions (6.2 % negative, 14.9 % positive; p = 0.02), and larger infarcts on presentation CT (ASPECTS 9.4 +/- 1.5, COVID-19 negative, 8.6 +/- 2.4, COVID-19 positive; p = 0.00). After multivariable logistic regression, GGO (odds ratio 15.7, 6.2-40.1), myalgia (8.9, 2.1-38.2) and higher core body temperature (1.9, 1.1-3.2) were independent COVID-19 predictors. GGO was associated with worse functional outcome on discharge and worse survival after univariate analysis. However, after adjustment for factors including stroke severity, GGO was not independently predictive of functional outcome or mortality.

CONCLUSION

Apical GGO on CTA performed for patients with suspected acute stroke is a reliable diagnostic biomarker for COVID-19, which in combination with clinical features may be useful in COVID-19 triage.

Seed amplification and neurodegeneration marker trajectories in individuals at risk of prion disease

Human prion diseases are remarkable for long incubation times followed typically by rapid clinical decline. Seed amplification assays and neurodegeneration biofluid biomarkers are remarkably useful in the clinical phase, but their potential to predict clinical onset in healthy people remains unclear. This is relevant not only to the design of preventive strategies in those at-risk of prion diseases, but more broadly, because prion-like mechanisms are thought to underpin many neurodegenerative disorders. Here, we report the accrual of a longitudinal biofluid resource in patients, controls and healthy people at risk of prion diseases, to which ultrasensitive techniques such as real-time quaking-induced conversion (RT-QuIC) and single molecule array (Simoa) digital immunoassays were applied for preclinical biomarker discovery. We studied 648 CSF and plasma samples, including 16 people who had samples taken when healthy but later developed inherited prion disease (IPD) ('converters'; range from 9.9 prior to, and 7.4 years after onset). Symptomatic IPD CSF samples were screened by RT-QuIC assay variations, before testing the entire collection of at-risk samples using the most sensitive assay. Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), neurofilament light (NfL), tau and UCH-L1 levels were measured in plasma and CSF. Second generation (IQ-CSF) RT-QuIC proved 100% sensitive and specific for sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD), iatrogenic and familial CJD phenotypes, and subsequently detected seeding activity in four presymptomatic CSF samples from three E200K carriers; one converted in under 2 months while two remain asymptomatic after at least 3 years' follow-up. A bespoke HuPrP P102L RT-QuIC showed partial sensitivity for P102L disease. No compatible RT-QuIC assay was discovered for classical 6-OPRI, A117V and D178N, and these at-risk samples tested negative with bank vole RT-QuIC. Plasma GFAP and NfL, and CSF NfL levels emerged as proximity markers of neurodegeneration in the typically slow IPDs (e.g. P102L), with significant differences in mean values segregating healthy control from IPD carriers (within 2 years to onset) and symptomatic IPD cohorts; plasma GFAP appears to change before NfL, and before clinical conversion. In conclusion, we show distinct biomarker trajectories in fast and slow IPDs. Specifically, we identify several years of presymptomatic seeding positivity in E200K, a new proximity marker (plasma GFAP) and sequential neurodegenerative marker evolution (plasma GFAP followed by NfL) in slow IPDs. We suggest a new preclinical staging system featuring clinical, seeding and neurodegeneration aspects, for validation with larger prion at-risk cohorts, and with potential application to other neurodegenerative proteopathies.

Frequency of New Silent MRI Lesions in Myelin Oligodendrocyte Glycoprotein Antibody Disease and Aquaporin-4 Antibody Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder

IMPORTANCE

In multiple sclerosis, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) new silent lesions contribute to the diagnostic criteria, have prognostic value, and are used in treatment monitoring; but in aquaporin-4 antibody neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4-NMOSD), they are rare between attacks. Their frequency and their association with relapses in adults with myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody disease (MOGAD) are still unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the frequency and characteristics of MRI new silent lesions in MOGAD and AQP4-NMOSD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study analyzed clinical and MRI data of 404 patients with MOGAD or AQP4-NMOSD between February 1, 1994, and April 1, 2021; data were prospectively recorded on the Oxford NMOSD clinical database under follow-up. The study was conducted at the Oxford National Referral Center for NMOSD. Participants included patients with MOGAD and AQP4-NMOSD who were treated within the Oxford National NMO Specialist Service.

EXPOSURES

Seropositive MOGAD and AQP4-NMOSD patients who had MRIs during attacks and the remission phase of their disease.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Frequency of new silent lesions detected by either attack MRIs (during the acute clinical event) or remission MRIs (performed outside of a relapse and at least 3 months from last attack). Median time to next relapse in the presence of definite (reference MRI performed at least 4 weeks from last attack onset), probable (reference MRI performed during last attack), and no new silent lesions on remission MRIs was also evaluated.

RESULTS

One hundred eighty-two MOGAD patients and 222 AQP4-NMOSD patients were included. Of the MOGAD patients, 113 (62%) were female, median age at onset was 28 years (range, 2-72), and median follow-up was 52 months (range, 11-253). Of the AQP4-NMOSD patients, 189 (85%) were female, median age at onset was 43 years (range, 2-82), and median follow-up was 87.5 months (range, 11-260). MOGAD patients had 296 attack MRI sessions and 167 remission MRI sessions. New attack silent lesions were found in 97 of 296 (33%) attack MRI sessions, whereas new remission silent lesions were found in 5 of 167 (3.0%) remission MRI sessions. Median time from remission scan to the next relapse in the presence of definite or probable new remission lesions was 2 months (IQR, 1-6), whereas in the absence of any new remission lesions it was 73 months (IQR, 20-104; hazard ratio, 23.86; 95% CI, 7.51-75.79; P < .001). AQP4-NMOSD patients had 470 attack MRI sessions and 269 remission MRI sessions. New attack silent lesions were detected in 88 of 470 (18.7%) attack MRI sessions, whereas new remission silent lesions were found in 7 of 269 (2.6%) remission MRI sessions. Median time from remission scan to the next relapse in the presence of definite or probable new remission lesions was 5 months (IQR, 2-6), whereas in the absence of any new remission lesions it was 85 months (IQR, 29-167; hazard ratio, 21.23; 95% CI, 8.05-53.65; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In contrast to that reported in multiple sclerosis, results of this cohort study suggest that new remission silent lesions are rare on follow-up scans in MOGAD and AQP4-NMOSD and appear to indicate a high risk of imminent relapse.

Professor John Pollard: Half-Century of Australian Neurology

With a career in medicine and academia spanning over five decades, Professor John Pollard has devoted much of his life to the development of Australian neurology. His fascinating career has been punctuated with numerous achievements, particularly in the field of inflammatory neuropathies. Now at the age of 79, he continues to work as an active Consultant Neurologist and Co-Director at Sydney’s Brain and Mind Centre, seeing and treating patients. In May 2019 we caught up with Professor Pollard after a busy afternoon list of clinic.