Trends in the Use of Medications for Secondary Ischemic Stroke Prevention in Denmark, 2005-2021

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Understanding trends in the use of medications for secondary stroke prevention is crucial for identifying areas for improvement in stroke care. We examined the use of lipid-lowering, antihypertensive, glucose-lowering, oral anticoagulant, and antiplatelet medications after ischemic stroke hospitalization, from 2005 to 2021.

METHODS

Using nationwide registries in Denmark, we identified a cohort of patients discharged from hospital with a first-time or recurrent ischemic stroke (N = 150,744). Stratified by calendar year, we ascertained the 180-day probability of filling a prescription for the abovementioned medications after discharge. We further assessed factors associated with medication use.

RESULTS

From 2005 to 2021, lipid-lowering medication use increased from 58.3% to 82.0%; atorvastatin use rose from 2.1% to 64.8% and simvastatin use decreased from 55.7% to 8.6%. Antihypertensive medication use remained stable, at approximately 89%, and various antihypertensive classes were used comparably. Glucose-lowering medication use increased from 71.5% in 2005 to 84.1% in 2021, driven primarily by an increase in metformin use (from 28.0% to 59.5%). Use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors continually increased (from 1.7% to 17.5% and from 0.5% to 17.3%, respectively) between 2015 and 2021. Anticoagulant medication use rose from 45.9% in 2005 to 87.0% in 2021, primarily because of increased use of direct oral anticoagulant medications starting around 2010 and a decline in warfarin use. Antiplatelet use remained consistently high, at approximately 95%. Trends were consistent across subgroups of interest; however, overall medication use was lower in older patients (65 years and older), patients with severe stroke, and patients with neurologic and psychiatric comorbidities.

DISCUSSION

Despite increasing trends in the use of 3 of 5 medication classes, the overall use of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and oral anticoagulant medications was somewhat lower than expected according to clinical guidelines, particularly among older patients with more severe stroke and other comorbidities. The relatively low use in these subgroups may signify appropriate clinical decision making in consideration of frequent contraindications and reduced life expectancy or highlight potential areas of improvement for the care of patients with recent ischemic stroke.

Mental Health Conditions in Partners and Adult Children of Stroke Survivors

Importance

Family caregiving after critical illness has been associated with several adverse health outcomes, including various aspects of mental health, but research focusing specifically on family members of stroke survivors is limited.

Objectives

To examine the associations of stroke in a partner or parent with the risk of depression, substance use disorders, anxiety disorders, and self-harm or suicide.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This nationwide, population-based cohort study used data from Danish nationwide administrative and clinical registries (2004-2021). Participants included partners and adult children of survivors of stroke. Data analysis was performed from March to December 2023.

Exposure

Having a partner or parent who survived stroke.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The Aalen-Johansen estimator was used to compute propensity score-weighted 3-year absolute risks, risk differences, and risk ratios for depression, substance use disorders, anxiety disorders, and self-harm or suicide among partners or children of survivors of stroke compared with partners or children of survivors of myocardial infarction (MI) and matched individuals from the general population.

Results

The study included a total of 1 923 732 individuals: 70 917 partners of stroke survivors (median [IQR] age, 68 [59-76] years; 46 369 women [65%]), 70 664 partners of MI survivors (median [IQR] age, 65 [55-73] years; 51 849 women [73%]), 354 570 partners of individuals from the general population (median [IQR] age, 68 [59-76] years; 231 833 women [65%]), 207 386 adult children of stroke survivors (median [IQR] age, 45 [36-52] years; 99 382 women [48%]), 183 309 adult children of MI survivors (median [IQR] age, 42 [33-49] years; 88 078 women [48%]), and 1 036 886 adult children of individuals from the general population (median [IQR] age, 45 [36-52] years; 496 875 women [48%]). Baseline characteristics were well balanced across cohorts after propensity score weighting. Among partners of stroke survivors, the 3-year absolute risk was 1.0% for depression, 0.7% for substance use disorders, 0.3% for anxiety disorders, and 0.04% for self-harm or suicide. Risk ratio point estimates for the assessed outcomes ranged from 1.14 to 1.42 compared with the general population and from 1.04 to 1.09 compared with partners of MI survivors. The elevated risk of depression in partners of stroke survivors was more pronounced after severe or moderate stroke than after mild stroke. Among adult children of stroke survivors, the 3-year absolute risk was 0.6% for depression, 0.6% for substance use disorders, 0.2% for anxiety disorders, and 0.05% for self-harm or suicide. Both absolute risks and risk ratios for adult children of stroke survivors were smaller than those reported in the partner analyses.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study of partners and adult children of stroke survivors, risks of several mental health conditions and self-harm or suicide were moderately higher compared with the general population and, to a lesser extent, partners and adult children of MI survivors. These findings highlight the potential consequences of stroke among family members, particularly partners, and its findings may possibly serve as a quantitative foundation for the development of future stroke rehabilitation services.

Cohort Profile: Better Health in Late Life

Purpose

Humans are living longer and may develop multiple chronic diseases in later life. The Better Health in Late Life cohort study aims to improve our understanding of the risks and outcomes of multimorbidity in the Danish population.

Methods

A randomly-selected sample of Danish residents who were 50-65 years of age received a questionnaire and an invitation to participate in this study. Respondents completed an online survey between October 2021 and January 2022 which addressed topics that included self-assessed health, mental health, sleep, specific medical conditions, use of painkillers, diet, alcohol consumption, smoking, physical activity, and body composition. This information was linked to the Danish health and social registries (some established in 1943 and onwards) that maintain data on filled prescriptions, hospital records, socioeconomic status, and health care utilization.

Results

Responses were received from 115,431 of the 301,244 residents invited to participate (38%). We excluded respondents who answered none of the questions as well as those who provided no information on sex or indicated an age other than 50-65 years. Of the 114,283 eligible respondents, 54.8% were female, 30.3% were overweight, and 16.7% were obese. Most participants reported a weekly alcohol consumption of less than seven units and 13.3% were current smokers; 5.2% had a history of hospitalization for solid cancer, and 3.0%, 2.3%, 2.0%, and 0.9% reported chronic pulmonary disease, diabetes, stroke, and myocardial infarction, respectively. The most frequently filled prescriptions were for medications used to treat the nervous system and cardiovascular diseases (38.1% and 37.4%, respectively).

High-intensity versus moderate-intensity statin treatment for patients with ischemic stroke: Nationwide cohort study

PURPOSE

Guidelines recommend high-intensity statin treatment after ischemic stroke, but evidence is sparse on the effectiveness and safety of different statin treatment intensities. We examined effectiveness and safety outcomes among patients initiating high-intensity versus moderate-intensity statins after ischemic stroke.

METHODS

In this population-based new-user active-comparator cohort study, we used the Danish Stroke Registry, covering all Danish hospitals, to identify patients with a first-time ischemic stroke during 2012-2021. Using multiple Danish registries, patients who redeemed a statin prescription within 21 days after stroke admission were classified as high-intensity statin initiators or moderate-intensity statin initiators. Propensity score inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to balance patient characteristics. We used competing risk methods to compute 5 year risk differences (RDs) and Cox proportional hazards regression to compute 5 year hazard ratios (HRs) of stroke recurrence, myocardial infarction, heart failure, venous thromboembolism, and all-cause mortality (effectiveness outcomes) and diabetes, liver disease, and kidney disease (safety outcomes).

RESULTS

High-intensity (n = 13,032) and moderate-intensity (n = 14,355) statin initiators were identified. Risks of most examined effectiveness outcomes were comparable between statin intensities. There was no clear association between statin intensity and stroke recurrence (RD: 0.8% [95% CI: 0.1, 1.4], HR: 1.08 [95% CI: 0.96, 1.22]). All-cause mortality was slightly reduced among high-intensity statin initiators (RD: -1.1% [95% CI: -0.1, -2.1], HR: 0.93 [95% CI: 0.85, 1.01]. Risks of most safety outcomes were comparable between statin intensities, but high-intensity statin use was associated with an increased risk of diabetes (RD: 1.2% [95% CI: 0.4, 1.9], HR: 1.10 [95% CI: 1.00, 1.21]).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

Compared with initiation of moderate-intensity statins, initiation of high-intensity statins after ischemic stroke was associated with similar risks of most effectiveness and safety outcomes. However, mortality risk was reduced, and diabetes risk was increased.

Comorbidities and mortality among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

INTRODUCTION

Comorbidities are common in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Estimates of prevalence, incidence and prognostic impact of comorbidities provide foundational knowledge of COPD epidemiology. We examined the prevalence, incidence and prognostic impact of 21 comorbidities among patients with COPD compared with the Danish general population.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide, population-based cohort study based on longitudinal Danish registry data, covering all Danish hospitals (2010-2021). The cohorts comprised 142 973 patients with a first-time hospital-based diagnosis of COPD and 428 917 age-matched and sex-matched comparators from the general population. During follow-up, we estimated the 5-year risk and risk difference, using competing risk methods when applicable.

RESULTS

At time of diagnosis, the comorbidities with the highest prevalence were mood, stress-related or anxiety disorders (25.2% for patients with COPD vs 13.1% for comparators), osteoporosis/hip fractures (17.4% vs 9.9%), diabetes (15.6% vs 10.5%), peripheral arterial disease (13.5% vs 4.9%) and heart failure (13.3% vs 4.0%). During follow-up, the risk of most incident comorbidities was markedly elevated among patients with COPD. The five comorbidities associated with the highest 5-year absolute risk difference with respect to the risk in the general population were mood, stress-related or anxiety disorders (5.7%), osteoporosis/hip fractures (5.6%), heart failure (4.2%), smoking-related cancers (2.8%) and peripheral arterial disease (2.7%). The 5-year mortality risk was 43% vs 17.7%. Among patients with COPD, the 5-year mortality risk markedly increased with the number of comorbidities present.

CONCLUSIONS

Our population-based findings underscore the importance of considering comorbidities in the management of COPD.

Risk and Prognosis of Cancer in Patients With Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Compared With the Danish General Population

BACKGROUND

Whether cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is a marker of cancer in clinical practice remains unknown. Little is known about the prognosis of cancer detected subsequent to CVT.

METHODS

We used Danish nationwide registries (1996-2019) to identify patients with a first-time primary inpatient diagnosis of CVT without a history of cancer (N=811, 65% women, median age 42 years). We assessed the risk of an incident cancer diagnosis using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs). This measure contrasts the number of observed cancers among patients with CVT to the number of expected cancers where patients with CVT have the same cancer risk as the general population. We used Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression to compare the survival of patients with both cancer and CVT with the survival of patients with cancer but without CVT, matched on cancer site, sex, age, and year of cancer diagnosis.

RESULTS

Observing 43 incident cancer cases during follow-up, the overall SIR was unity (SIR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.75-1.40]). However, the risk was ≈7-fold the expected level in the first 3 months following CVT diagnosis (SIR, 7.00 [95% CI, 3.02-13.80]) and ≈2-fold the expected level from 3 to 12 months following CVT diagnosis (SIR, 2.21 [95% CI, 0.89-4.56]). By 12 months following CVT diagnosis, the risk resembled the expected level (SIR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.50-1.09]). Survival among cancer patients with prior CVT versus cancer patients without prior CVT was 91% versus 87% after 6 months and 65% versus 70% after 5 years. The adjusted hazard ratio of death was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.44-1.38).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with CVT were not at overall increased risk of a cancer diagnosis, except in the first 3 months after diagnosis during which period the risk was elevated ≈7-fold. The estimate from this early period, however, was based on only a few cancer diagnoses. Unlike other forms of venous thrombosis, a prior diagnosis of CVT did not negatively impact cancer survival.

Type 2 diabetes, obesity, and risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes and obesity may be inversely associated with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), but the evidence is controversial.

METHODS

Using Danish, nationwide registries (1980-2016), we identified patients with a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes (N = 295,653) and patients with a diagnosis of obesity (N = 312,108). Patients were matched (1:3) to persons from the general population on birth year and sex. We computed incidence rates and Cox regression derived hazard ratios (HRs) of a diagnosis of ALS. In multivariable analyses, HRs were controlled for sex, birth year, calendar year, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

We observed 168 incident cases of ALS (0.7 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.6-0.8] per 10,000 person-years) among patients with type 2 diabetes and 859 incident cases of ALS (0.9 [95% CI: 0.9-1.0] per 10,000 person-years) among matched comparators. The adjusted HR was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.72-1.04). The association was present among men (adjusted HR: 0.78 [95% CI: 0.62-0.99]) but not women (adjusted HR: 1.03 [95% CI: 0.78-1.37]), and among those aged ≥60 years (adjusted HR: 0.75 [95% CI: 0.59-0.96]) but not younger. We observed 111 ALS events (0.4 [95% CI: 0.4-0.5] per 10,000 person-years) among obesity patients and 431 ALS events (0.5 [95% CI: 0.5-0.6] per 10,000 person-years) among comparators. The adjusted HR was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.70-1.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnoses of type 2 diabetes and obesity were associated with a reduced rate of ALS compared with general population comparators, particularly among men and patients aged 60 years or above. However, absolute rate differences were small.

A Review of Major Danish Biobanks: Advantages and Possibilities of Health Research in Denmark

Biobank research may lead to an improved understanding of disease etiology and advance personalized medicine. Denmark (population ~5.9 million) provides a unique setting for population-based health research. The country is a rich source of biobanks and the universal, tax-funded healthcare system delivers routinely collected data to numerous registries and databases. By virtue of the civil registration number (assigned uniquely to all Danish citizens), biological specimens stored in biobanks can be combined with clinical and demographic data from these population-based health registries and databases. In this review, we aim to provide an understanding of advantages and possibilities of biobank research in Denmark. As knowledge about the Danish setting is needed to grasp the full potential, we first introduce the Danish healthcare system, the Civil Registration System, the population-based registries, and the interface with biobanks. We then describe the biobank infrastructures, comprising the Danish National Biobank Initiative, the Bio- and Genome Bank Denmark, and the Danish National Genome Center. Further, we briefly provide an overview of fourteen selected biobanks, including: The Danish Newborn Screening Biobank; The Danish National Birth Cohort; The Danish Twin Registry Biobank; Diet, Cancer and Health; Diet, Cancer and Health - Next generations; Danish Centre for Strategic Research in Type 2 Diabetes; Vejle Diabetes Biobank; The Copenhagen Hospital Biobank; The Copenhagen City Heart Study; The Copenhagen General Population Study; The Danish Cancer Biobank; The Danish Rheumatological Biobank; The Danish Blood Donor Study; and The Danish Pathology Databank. Last, we inform on practical aspects, such as data access, and discuss future implications.

Labour market participation and retirement after stroke in Denmark: registry based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To examine labour market participation and retirement among patients with stroke and matched people in the general population according to stroke subtype.

DESIGN

Nationwide, population based, matched cohort study.

SETTING

Danish Stroke Registry, covering all Danish hospitals, and other nationwide registries (2005-18).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients (aged 18-60 years and active in the labour market) with a first time diagnosis of ischaemic stroke (n=16 577), intracerebral haemorrhage (n=2025), or subarachnoid haemorrhage (n=4305), and individuals from the general population, matched on age, sex, and calendar year (n=134 428). The median Scandinavian stroke scale score was 55.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Unweighted prevalences of labour market participation, receipt of sick leave benefits, receipt of disability pension, voluntary early retirement, state pension, and death were computed for each week and up to five years after stroke diagnosis. A log-linear Poisson model was used to obtain exact prevalence estimates as well as propensity score weighted prevalence differences and prevalence ratios at six months, one year, two years, and five years after stroke diagnosis.

RESULTS

Most patients (62% of those with ischaemic stroke, 69% of those with intracerebral haemorrhage, and 52% of those with subarachnoid haemorrhage) went on sick leave within three weeks of diagnosis. Prevalence of labour market participation among patients with ischaemic stroke compared with matched individuals from the general population was 56.6% versus 96.6% at six months, and 63.9% versus 91.6% at two years. Prevalence of sick leave was 39.8% versus 2.6% at six months, and 15.8% versus 3.8% at two years. Prevalence of receipt of a disability pension was 0.9% versus 0.2% at six months, and 12.2% versus 0.6% at two years. Adjusting for socioeconomic and comorbidity differences between patients and matched individuals from the general population using propensity score weighting methods had little impact on contrasts. Patients with intracerebral haemorrhage had higher prevalences of sick leave and receipt of a disability pension and thus a lower prevalence of labour market participation, while prevalences for patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage were similar in magnitude to those for patients with ischaemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

In a highly resourced country, about two thirds of working age adults with ischaemic stroke of primarily mild severity participated in the labour market two years after diagnosis. Sick leave and receipt of a disability pension were the most common reasons for non-participation. Patients with intracerebral haemorrhage were less likely to return to the labour market than patients with ischaemic stroke and subarachnoid haemorrhage.

Trends in Antibiotic Use in Danish, Finnish, Norwegian and Swedish Children

Objective

To compare the use of antibiotics in children in four Northern European countries.

Methods

We conducted a register-based study based on individual-level prescription data from national prescription registers. We identified all redeemed outpatient prescriptions for systemic antibiotics in children aged 0–14 years from July 2006 to June 2017 in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. We computed incidence rates and incidence rate ratios of treatment episodes with any antibiotic and different antibiotic classes.

Results

In 2016/2017, the rates of antibiotic treatment episodes per 1000 person-years in children aged 0–14 years were 429, 284, 219, and 184 in Finland, Denmark, Sweden, and Norway, respectively, and the rate ratios (95% confidence intervals) compared with Norway were 2.33 (2.33–2.34), 1.54 (1.54–1.55), and 1.19 (1.19–1.20) in Finland, Denmark, and Sweden, respectively. The rate of antibiotic treatment episodes declined over time in all countries. The relative reductions in 2016/2017 compared with 2006/2007 were 36% in Finland, 40% in Denmark, 49% in Sweden, and 29% in Norway. Treatment episodes peaked between age 12 and 18 months. The most used antibiotic class was beta-lactamase sensitive penicillins among all children in Norway and Sweden and among children above two years in Denmark, while penicillins with extended spectrum were most used in Finland and among the youngest children in Denmark.

Conclusion

In all countries, the use of antibiotics in children declined between 2006 and 2017. However, there were still considerable differences in antibiotic use between otherwise quite similar Nordic countries, with a more than 2-fold difference between the countries with the lowest and highest rates. Interventions to reduce the number of antibiotic treatment episodes in the countries with higher rates could reduce the total antibiotic use.

Cancer Diagnosis and Prognosis After Guillain-Barré Syndrome: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Introduction

It is unclear whether Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) can be a marker of a paraneoplastic syndrome. We examined whether GBS is associated with cancer and whether the prognosis of GBS patients with cancer differs from that of other cancer patients.

Materials and Methods

We conducted a population-based cohort study of patients diagnosed with GBS between 1978 and 2017 using Danish registry-data. Main outcome measures were cancer incidence and mortality after cancer diagnosis. We calculated absolute risks of a cancer diagnosis, treating death as competing risk, and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) as measures of relative risk. We matched each GBS cancer patient with up to 10 cancer patients without a GBS diagnosis and examined the six-month survival after cancer diagnosis using Cox regression analysis.

Results

We identified 7897 patients (58% male, median age 57 years) with GBS. During a median follow-up of 9.5 years, the one-year risk of cancer was 2.7% (95% confidence interval (CI), 2.4-3.1). The SIR was increased throughout follow-up, but most noticeably during the first year after diagnosis (SIR: 3.35, 2.92-3.83). SIRs were particularly elevated for hematologic cancers (SIR: 8.67, 6.49-11.34), smoking-related cancers (SIR: 3.57, 2.81-4.47), and cancers of neurological origin (SIR: 8.60, 5.01-13.77). Lung cancer was the main contributor to the overall excess risk, which persisted after 36 months of follow-up (SIR: 1.17, 1.09-1.25). The mortality rate ratio comparing patients diagnosed with any cancer within one year of their GBS diagnosis and matched GBS-free cancer cohort members was 1.56 (95% CI, 1.27-1.90).

Conclusion

GBS patients had a three-fold increased risk of cancer diagnosis in the first year of follow-up. The absolute cancer risk was almost 3.0%. A GBS diagnosis was an adverse prognostic marker for survival following cancer diagnosis. Clinicians should consider occult cancer in patients hospitalized with GBS.

Venous Thromboembolism and Risk of Cancer in Users of Low-Dose Aspirin: A Danish Population-Based Cohort Study

Background  Aspirin may reduce the risk of cancer, particularly gastrointestinal cancer, and venous thromboembolism (VTE). VTE can be the first symptom of occult cancer, but whether it is also a marker of occult cancer in aspirin users remains unknown. Therefore, we investigated the risk of cancer subsequent to VTE among users of low-dose aspirin.

Methods  We conducted a population-based cohort study using data from Danish health registries for the years 2001 to 2018. We identified all patients with a first-time diagnosis of VTE who also redeemed a prescription for low-dose aspirin (75–150mg) within 90 days prior to the first-time VTE. We categorized aspirin users by the number of prescriptions filled as new users (<5 prescriptions), short-term users (5–19 prescriptions), and long-term users (>19 prescriptions). We computed the absolute cancer risks and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for cancer using national cancer incidence rates.

Results  We followed-up 11,759 users of low-dose aspirin with VTE. Long-term users comprised 50% of aspirin users. The 1-year absolute risk of cancer was 6.0% for new users and 6.7% for short-term and long-term users, with corresponding SIRs of 3.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.8–4.0), 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9–3.7), and 2.8 (95% CI: 2.6–3.2), respectively. After the first year of follow-up, the SIR decreased to 1.2 (95% CI: 1.1–1.4) for new users, 1.1 (95% CI: 1.1–1.3) for short-term users, and 1.1 (95% CI: 1.0–1.2) for long-term users.

Conclusion  VTE may be a harbinger of cancer, even in users of low-dose aspirin, regardless of duration of use.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

Stroke and Risk of Mental Disorders Compared With Matched General Population and Myocardial Infarction Comparators

BACKGROUND

Accurate estimates of risks of poststroke outcomes from large population-based studies can provide a basis for public health policy decisions. We examined the absolute and relative risks of a spectrum of incident mental disorders following ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage.

METHODS

During 2004 to 2018, we used Danish registries to identify patients (≥18 years and with no hospital history of mental disorders), with a first-time ischemic stroke (n=76767) or intracerebral hemorrhage (n=9344), as well as age-,sex-, and calendar year-matched general population (n=464 840) and myocardial infarction (n=92 968) comparators. We computed risk differences, considering death a competing event, and hazard ratios adjusted for income, occupation, education, and history of cardiovascular and noncardiovascular comorbidity.

RESULTS

Compared with the general population, following ischemic stroke, the 1-year risk difference was 7.3% (95% CI, 7.0-7.5) for mood disorders (driven by depression), 1.4% (95% CI, 1.3-1.5) for organic brain disorders (driven by dementia and delirium), 0.8% (95% CI, 0.7-0.8) for substance abuse disorders (driven by alcohol and tobacco abuse), and 0.5% (95% CI, 0.4-0.5) for neurotic disorders (driven by anxiety and stress disorders). For suicide, risk differences were near null. Hazard ratios were particularly elevated in the first year of follow-up, ranging from a 2- to a 4-fold increased hazard, decreasing thereafter. Compared with myocardial infarction patients, the 1-year risk difference was 4.9% (95% CI, 4.6 to 5.3) for mood disorders, 1.0% (95% CI, 0.8 to 1.1) for organic brain disorders, 0.1% (95% CI, 0.0 to 0.2) for substance abuse disorders, but -0.2% (95% CI, -0.2 to -0.1) for neurotic disorders. Hazard ratios during the first year of follow-up were elevated 1.1- to 1.8-fold for mood, organic brain, and neurotic disorders, while decreased 0.8-fold for neurotic disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

The considerably greater risks of mental disorders following a stroke, particularly mood disorders, underline the importance of mental health evaluation after stroke.

Type 2 diabetes and risk of diverticular disease: a Danish cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between type 2 diabetes and risk of diverticular disease. Unlike previous studies, which have found conflicting results, we aimed to distinguish between diabetes types and adjust for modifiable risk factors.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING

Population-based Danish medical databases, covering the period 2005-2018.

PARTICIPANTS

Respondents of the 2010 or the 2013 Danish National Health Survey, of which there were 15 047 patients with type 2 diabetes and 210 606 patients without diabetes.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Hazard ratios (HRs) for incident hospital diagnosis of diverticular disease adjusted for survey year, sex, age, body mass index (BMI), physical activity intensity, smoking behaviour, diet and education based on Cox regression analysis. As latency may affect the association between type 2 diabetes and diverticular disease, patients with type 2 diabetes were stratified into those with <2.5, 2.5-4.9 and ≥5 years duration of diabetes prior to cohort entry.

RESULTS

For patients with and without diabetes the incidence rates of diverticular disease were 0.76 and 0.54 events per 1000 person years, corresponding to a crude HR of 1.08 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.16) and an adjusted HR of 0.88 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.96). The HR was lower among patients with ≥5 years duration of diabetes (adjusted HR: 0.76, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.87) than among those with 2.5-4.9 years or <2.5 years duration.

CONCLUSION

We found that patients with type 2 diabetes had a higher incidence rate of diverticular disease compared with patients without diabetes. However, after adjustment for modifiable risk factors, driven by BMI, type 2 diabetes appeared to be associated with a slightly lower risk of diverticular disease. Lack of adjustment for BMI may partially explain the conflicting findings of previous studies.

Cancer Risk in Pulmonary Hypertension Patients

Background

Patients and Methods

Results

Conclusion

Risks of Stroke Recurrence and Mortality After First and Recurrent Strokes in Denmark: A Nationwide Registry Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To examine risks of stroke recurrence and mortality after first and recurrent stroke.

METHODS

Using Danish nationwide health registries, we included patients age ≥18 years with first-time ischemic stroke (n = 105,397) or intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) (n = 13,350) from 2004 to 2018. Accounting for the competing risk of death, absolute risks of stroke recurrence were computed separately for each stroke subtype and within strata of age groups, sex, stroke severity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol use, Essen stroke risk score, and atrial fibrillation. Mortality risks were computed after first and recurrent stroke.

RESULTS

After adjusting for competing risks, the overall 1-year and 10-year risks of recurrence were 4% and 13% following first-time ischemic stroke and 3% and 12% following first-time ICH. For ischemic stroke, the risk of recurrence increased with age and was higher for men and following mild vs more severe stroke. The most marked differences were across Essen risk scores, for which recurrence risks increased with increasing scores. For ICH, risks were similar for both sexes and did not increase with Essen risk score. For ischemic stroke, the 1-year and 10-year risks of all-cause mortality were 17% and 56% after a first-time stroke and 25% and 70% after a recurrent stroke; corresponding estimates for ICH were 37% and 70% after a first-time event and 31% and 75% after a recurrent event.

DISCUSSION

The risk of stroke recurrence was substantial following both subtypes, but risks differed markedly among patient subgroups. The risk of mortality was higher after a recurrent than first-time stroke.

Statin Initiation and Risk of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: A Danish Population-based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The evidence of an association between statins and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is heterogeneous and inconclusive.

METHODS

We performed a population-based cohort study consisting of 974,304 statin initiators ≥40 years of age and 1,948,606 matched general population comparators identified from Danish, nationwide registries (1996-2016). We computed incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs) of a first-time hospital-based diagnosis of ALS. HRs were controlled for sex, birth year, calendar year, medically diagnosed comorbidities, and concomitant medications.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 852 ALS events occurred among statin initiators (11.3 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 10.6, 12.1] events per 100,000 person-years) and 1,679 among noninitiators (11.4 [95% CI = 10.9, 12.0] events per 100,000 person years). The overall adjusted HR indicated a slight association between statin initiation and ALS (1.11 [95% CI = 1.00, 1.23]. In the first year after initiation, the HR was 1.40 (95% CI = 1.09, 1.79) for both sexes combined, 1.00 (95% CI = 0.70, 1.42) for men, and 1.92 (95% CI = 1.30, 2.82) for women. The associations diminished to approximately null after the first year of follow-up for both sexes combined and for men, but point estimates were above 1 for women until 10 years after initiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Statin initiation was largely unassociated with ALS diagnosis but was associated with an elevated risk of ALS in women, especially in the first year after initiation. The association could be explained by reverse causation, detection bias, early neurotoxic effects of statins that affect women more than men, or a combination thereof.

Venous Thromboembolism and Risk of Cancer in Patients with Diverticular Disease: A Danish Population-Based Cohort Study

Purpose

Venous thromboembolism may be a harbinger of cancer. Patients with diverticular disease are suggested to have an increased risk of developing venous thromboembolism compared with the general population, but it remains unclear whether venous thromboembolism is also a marker of occult cancer in these patients. We investigated the risk of cancer after venous thromboembolism among patients with diverticular disease.

Patients and Methods

We used Danish health registries to conduct a nationwide, population-based cohort study during 1996–2017. We identified all venous thromboembolism patients with a diagnosis of diverticular disease and calculated absolute risks of cancer and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) by comparing observed and expected cancer incidence based on national cancer incidence in the Danish population.

Results

We followed 3406 patients with venous thromboembolism and diverticular disease for a median of 3.0 years (interquartile range: 1.0–6.0). During the first year of follow-up, we observed 212 cancer cases. The corresponding one-year risk of cancer was 6.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.5–7.1) with a SIR of 2.9 (95% CI: 2.5–3.3). The SIRs were particularly elevated for cancers of the stomach, pancreas, ovary, and kidney. During the second and subsequent years of follow-up, 337 cancers were diagnosed with a SIR of 1.1 (95% CI: 1.0–1.3).

Conclusion

Venous thromboembolism is a harbinger of occult cancer in patients with diverticular disease.

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Statins and risk of diverticular disease: Nested case-control study

BACKGROUND

Statins exert pleiotropic anti-inflammatory effects and may prevent diverticular disease. However, the association remains poorly understood with previous studies obtaining conflicting results.

AIMS

To examine the effect of statin on the subsequent risk of diverticular disease.

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study in Denmark among respondents (>18 years) of the 2010 or the 2013 Danish National Health Survey. Among these, we identified 8809 cases of hospital-diagnosed diverticular disease and risk-set sampled population controls without diverticular disease. Using complete prescription and hospital records, we used conditional logistic regression to compute odds ratios (ORs) associating statin use with diverticular disease. In adjusted analyses, we controlled for hospital-based diagnoses, medication use other than statins, and lifestyle and socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

The fully adjusted OR for diverticular disease associated with ever use (≥1 statin prescription filling) was 1.19 (95% CI: 1.12-1.27) compared with never use. However, we observed no dose-response relation. For example, among short-term users (<5 years), the OR was 1.18 (95% CI: 1.04-1.35) for low intensity users and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.01-1.26) for high intensity users. Among long-term users (≥5 years), the respective ORs were 1.25 (95% CI: 1.13-1.38) and 1.11 (95% CI: 0.98-1.24). In analyses restricting to cases and controls with a previous colonoscopy, associations were null (OR: 1.01 [95% CI: 0.85-1.20]).

CONCLUSIONS

The observed association of a higher risk of diverticular disease associated with statins could be explained by diagnostic bias. Our study did not support a protective nor harmful effect of statins on the risk of diverticular disease.

Venous thromboembolism and risk of cancer in users of statins: A Danish population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) may be the first symptom of cancer. Statins are suggested to prevent VTE, but the risk of cancer in VTE patients using statins remains poorly understood.

OBJECTIVES

To examine if VTE is a marker of cancer in users of statins.

METHODS

We identified all Danish patients during 1996-2017 with a first-time diagnosis of VTE and a filled prescription for a statin within 90 days prior to the VTE diagnosis. We classified patients as prevalent users if the first filling of a statin occurred more than one year preceding the VTE diagnosis, and as new users if the first filling occurred within the preceding year. We computed cumulative incidences of cancer, with death as a competing risk, and age-, sex-, and calendar-period standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), comparing the observed cancer incidence with the expected based on national cancer statistics.

RESULTS

Among 9280 (85%) prevalent users of statin and 1580 (15%) new users, the one-year cumulative incidence of any cancer was 6.6 (95% CI: 6.1-7.2) for prevalent users and 6.4 (95% CI: 5.2-7.6) for new users; the corresponding SIRs were 3.1 (95% CI: 2.9-3.3) and 3.5 (95% CI: 2.9-4.3). In the second and subsequent years, the SIRs diminished and approached unity for both prevalent (1.1 [95% CI: 1.1-1.2]) and new users (1.1 [95% CI: 0.9-1.3]).

CONCLUSIONS

VTE patients using statins had a 3-fold increased rate of cancer in the first year after diagnosis. A first VTE serves as an important marker of cancer, regardless of statin use.

Nationwide Trends in Incidence and Mortality of Stroke Among Younger and Older Adults in Denmark

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the extent to which the incidence and mortality of a first-time stroke among younger and older adults changed from 2005 to 2018 in Denmark using nationwide registries.

METHODS

We used the Danish Stroke Registry and the Danish National Patient Registry to identify patients 18 to 49 years of age (younger adults) and those ≥50 years of age (older adults) with a first-time ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or subarachnoid hemorrhage. We computed age-standardized incidence rates and 30-day and 1-year mortality risks separately for younger and older adults and according to smaller age groups, stroke subtype, sex, and severity (Scandinavian Stroke Scale score). Average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were computed to assess temporal trends.

RESULTS

We identified 8,680 younger adults and 105,240 older adults with an ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage. The incidence rate per 100,000 person-years of ischemic stroke (20.8 in 2005 and 21.9 in 2018, AAPC -0.6 [95% confidence interval (CI) -1.5 to 0.3]) and intracerebral hemorrhage (2.2 in 2005 and 2.5 in 2018, AAPC 0.6 [95% CI -1.0 to 2.3]) remained steady in younger adults. In older adults, rates of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage declined, particularly in those ≥70 years of age. Rates of subarachnoid hemorrhage declined, but more so in younger than older adults. Stroke mortality declined over time in both age groups, attributable largely to declines in the mortality after severe strokes. Most trends were similar for men and women.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage was steady in younger adults from 2005 to 2018, while it dropped in adults >70 years of age. Stroke mortality declined during this time.

Long-term mortality in young and middle-aged adults hospitalised with chronic disease: a Danish cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To examine the long-term outcomes for patients hospitalised with chronic diseases at age 30, 40 or 50 years.

DESIGN

Nationwide, population-based cohort study.

SETTING

All Danish hospitals, 1979-1989, with follow-up through 2014.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients hospitalised during the study period with one, two or three or more chronic diseases and age-matched and sex-matched persons from the general population without chronic disease leading to hospitalisation: age-30 group: 13 857 patients and 69 285 comparators; age-40 group: 24 129 patients and 120 645 comparators; and age-50 group, 37 807 patients and 189 035 comparators.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Twenty-five-year mortality risks based on Kaplan-Meier estimates, years-of-life-lost (YLLs) and mortality rate ratios based on Cox regression analysis. YLLs were computed for each morbidity level, as well as in strata of income, employment, education and psychiatric conditions.

RESULTS

Twenty-five-year mortality risks and YLLs increased steadily with increasing number of morbidities leading to hospitalisation and age, but the risk difference with general population comparators remained approximately constant across age cohorts. In the age-30 cohort, the risk differences for patients compared with comparators were 35.0% (95% CI 32.5 to 37.5) with two diseases and 62.5% (54.3% to 70.3%) with three or more diseases. In the age-50 cohort, these differences were, respectively, 48.4% (47.4 to 49.3) and 61.7% (60.1% to 63.0%). Increasing morbidity burden augmented YLLs resulting from low income, unemployment, low education level and psychiatric conditions. In the age-30 cohort, YYLs attributable to low income were 2.4 for patients with one disease, 6.2 for patients with two diseases and 11.5 for patients with three or more diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with multiple chronic diseases, the risk of death increases steadily with the number of chronic diseases and with age. Multimorbidity augments the already increased mortality among patients with low socioeconomic status.

Venous Thromboembolism in Denmark: Seasonality in Occurrence and Mortality

Background  Many cardiovascular conditions exhibit seasonality in occurrence and mortality, but little is known about the seasonality of venous thromboembolism.

Methods  Using Danish registries, we identified all patients with deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis during 1977–2016. We tallied monthly deaths occurring within 90 days of the venous thromboembolism diagnosis. We estimated peak-to-trough ratios and timing of the peak of both diagnoses and deaths summed over all years of the study period. The departure from 1.0 of the peak-to-trough ratio measures the intensity of any seasonal pattern.

Results  We estimated a peak-to-trough ratio of 1.09 (95% confidence interval: 1.07–1.11) for deep vein thrombosis and 1.22 (1.19–1.24) for pulmonary embolism occurrence. The peak-to-trough ratios for splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis occurrence were 1.10 (1.01–1.20), 1.19 (1.00–1.40), and 1.12 (1.07–1.17), respectively. The occurrence of all conditions peaked during winter or fall. In time trend analyses, the peak-to-trough ratio increased considerably for splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis occurrence. In associated mortality, the peak-to-trough ratio for deep vein thrombosis was larger (1.15, 1.07–1.23) than that for pulmonary embolism (1.04, 1.01–1.08).

Discussion  Excess winter risks were modest, but more marked for pulmonary embolism occurrence than for deep vein thrombosis occurrence. The seasonal pattern intensified throughout the study period for splanchnic vein thrombosis, cerebral vein thrombosis, and retinal vein thrombosis. The winter peak in mortality following pulmonary embolism was smaller than that for deep vein thrombosis.

Pregnancy, Birth, Neonatal, and Postnatal Neurological Outcomes After Pregnancy With Migraine

BACKGROUND

Prevalence of migraine is high during the reproductive age. Although migraine often improves during pregnancy, the risk of adverse pregnancy, birth, neonatal, and neurological outcomes in mother and offspring remains poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the associations between maternal migraine and risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes in the mother, and birth, neonatal and postnatal outcomes in the offspring.

METHODS

We used Danish population registries to assemble a cohort of pregnancies among women with migraine and an age- and conception year-matched comparison cohort of pregnancies among women without migraine. The study period was 2005-2012. We computed adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) for pregnancy and birth outcomes and adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) for neonatal and postnatal outcomes, adjusting for age, preconception medical history, and preconception reproductive history.

RESULTS

We identified 22,841 pregnancies among women with migraine and 228,324 matched pregnancies among women without migraine. Migraine was associated with an increased risk of pregnancy-associated hypertension disorders (aPR: 1.50 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.39-1.61]) and miscarriage (aPR: 1.10 [95% CI: 1.05-1.15]). Migraine was associated with an increased prevalence of low birth weight (aPR: 1.14 [95% CI: 1.06-1.23]), preterm birth (aPR: 1.21 [95% CI: 1.13-1.30]) and cesarean delivery (aPR: 1.20 [95% CI: 1.15-1.25]), but not of small for gestational age offspring (aPR: 0.94 [95% CI: 0.88-0.99]) and birth defects (aPR: 1.01 [95% CI: 0.93-1.09]). Offspring prenatally exposed to maternal migraine had elevated risks of several outcomes in the neonatal and postnatal period, including intensive care unit admission (aRR: 1.22 [95% CI: 1.03-1.45]), hospitalization (aRR: 1.12 [95% CI: 1.06-1.18]), dispensed prescriptions (aRR: 1.34 [95% CI: 1.24-1.45]), respiratory distress syndrome (aRR: 1.20 [95% CI: 1.02-1.42]), and febrile seizures (aRR: 1.27 [95% CI: 1.03-1.57), but not of death (aRR: 0.67 [95% CI: 0.43-1.04]) and cerebral palsy (aRR: 1.00 [95% CI: 0.51-1.94]).

CONCLUSIONS

Women with migraine and their offspring have greater risks of several adverse pregnancy outcomes than women without migraine.