Performance of Different Risk Scores for the Detection of Atrial Fibrillation Among Patients With Cryptogenic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent underlying cause of cryptogenic stroke (CS) and its detection can be increased using implantable cardiac monitoring (ICM). We sought to evaluate different risk scores and assess their diagnostic ability in identifying patients with CS with underlying AF on ICM.

METHODS

Patients with CS, being admitted to a single tertiary stroke center between 2017 and 2022 and receiving ICM, were prospectively evaluated. The CHA2DS2-VASc, HAVOC, Brown ESUS-AF, and C2HEST scores were calculated at baseline. The primary outcome of interest was the detection of AF, which was defined as at least 1 AF episode on ICM lasting for 2 consecutive minutes or more. The diagnostic accuracy measures and the net reclassification improvement were calculated for the 4 risk scores. Stroke recurrence was evaluated as a secondary outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 250 patients with CS were included, and AF was detected by ICM in 20.4% (n=51) during a median monitoring period of 16 months. Patients with CS with AF detection were older compared with the rest (P=0.045). The median HAVOC, Brown ESUS-AF, and C2HEST scores were higher among the patients with AF compared with the patients without AF (all P<0.05), while the median CHA2DS2-VASc score was similar between the 2 groups. The corresponding C statistics for CHA2DS2-VASc, HAVOC, Brown ESUS-AF, and C2HEST for AF prediction were 0.576 (95% CI, 0.482-0.670), 0.612 (95% CI, 0.523-0.700), 0.666 (95% CI, 0.587-0.746), and 0.770 (95% CI, 0.699-0.839). The C2HEST score presented the highest diagnostic performance based on C statistics (P<0.05 after correction for multiple comparisons) and provided significant improvement in net reclassification for AF detection (>70%) compared with the other risk scores. Finally, stroke recurrence was documented in 5.6% of the study population, with no difference regarding the 4 risk scores between patients with and without recurrent stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

The C2HEST score was superior to the CHA2DS2-VASc, HAVOC, and Brown ESUS-AF scores for discriminating patients with CS with underlying AF using ICM.

Noninvasive risk factors for the prediction of inducibility on programmed ventricular stimulation in post-myocardial infarction patients with an ejection fraction ≥40% at risk for sudden cardiac arrest: Insights from the PRESERVE-EF study

Background

In the PRESERVE‐EF study, a two‐step sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk stratification approach to detect post‐myocardial infarction (MI) patients with left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥40% at risk for major arrhythmic events (MAEs) was used. Seven noninvasive risk factors (NIRFs) were extracted from a 24‐h ambulatory electrocardiography (AECG) and a 45‐min resting recording. Patients with at least one NIRF present were referred for invasive programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) and inducible patients received an Implantable Cardioverter ‐ Defibrillator (ICD).

Methods

In the present study, we evaluated the performance of the NIRFs, as they were described in the PRESERVE‐EF study protocol, in predicting a positive PVS. In the PRESERVE‐EF study, 152 out of 575 patients underwent PVS and 41 of them were inducible. For the present analysis, data from these 152 patients were analyzed.

Results

Among the NIRFs examined, the presence of signal averaged ECG‐late potentials (SAECG‐LPs) ≥ 2/3 and non‐sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) ≥1 eposode/24 h cutoff points were important predictors of a positive PVS study, demonstrating in the logistic regression analysis odds ratios 2.285 (p = .027) and 2.867 (p = .006), respectively. A simple risk score based on the above cutoff points in combination with LVEF < 50% presented high sensitivity but low specificity for a positive PVS.

Conclusion

Cutoff points of NSVT ≥ 1 episode/24 h and SAECG‐LPs ≥ 2/3 in combination with a LVEF < 50% were important predictors of inducibility. However, the final decision for an ICD implantation should be based on a positive PVS, which is irreplaceable in risk stratification.

Clinical effectiveness of primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillators: results of the EU-CERT-ICD controlled multicentre cohort study

Aims

The EUropean Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators (EU-CERT-ICD), a prospective investigator-initiated, controlled cohort study, was conducted in 44 centres and 15 European countries. It aimed to assess current clinical effectiveness of primary prevention ICD therapy.

Methods and results

We recruited 2327 patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) or dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) and guideline indications for prophylactic ICD implantation. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Clinical characteristics, medications, resting, and 12-lead Holter electrocardiograms (ECGs) were documented at enrolment baseline. Baseline and follow-up (FU) data from 2247 patients were analysable, 1516 patients before first ICD implantation (ICD group) and 731 patients without ICD serving as controls. Multivariable models and propensity scoring for adjustment were used to compare the two groups for mortality. During mean FU of 2.4 ± 1.1 years, 342 deaths occurred (6.3%/years annualized mortality, 5.6%/years in the ICD group vs. 9.2%/years in controls), favouring ICD treatment [unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.682, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.537–0.865, P = 0.0016]. Multivariable mortality predictors included age, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), New York Heart Association class <III, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Adjusted mortality associated with ICD vs. control was 27% lower (HR 0.731, 95% CI 0.569–0.938, P = 0.0140). Subgroup analyses indicated no ICD benefit in diabetics (adjusted HR = 0.945, P = 0.7797, P for interaction = 0.0887) or those aged ≥75 years (adjusted HR 1.063, P = 0.8206, P for interaction = 0.0902).

Conclusion

In contemporary ICM/DCM patients (LVEF ≤35%, narrow QRS), primary prophylactic ICD treatment was associated with a 27% lower mortality after adjustment. There appear to be patients with less survival advantage, such as older patients or diabetics.

Nocturnal respiratory rate predicts ICD benefit: A prospective, controlled, multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) prevent sudden cardiac death. ICD implantation decisions are currently based on reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF≤35%). However, in some patients, the non-arrhythmic death risk predominates thus diminishing ICD-therapy benefits. Based on previous observations, we tested the hypothesis that compared to the others, patients with nocturnal respiratory rate (NRR) ≥18 breaths per minute (brpm) benefit less from prophylactic ICD implantations.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was a pre-defined sub-study of EU-CERT-ICD trial conducted at 44 centers in 15 EU countries between May 12, 2014, and September 6, 2018. Patients with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy were included if meeting primary prophylactic ICD implantation criteria. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. NRR was assessed blindly from pre-implantation 24-hour Holters. Multivariable models and propensity stratification evaluated the interaction between NRR and the ICD mortality effect. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT0206419).

FINDINGS

Of the 2,247 EU-CERT-ICD patients, this sub-study included 1,971 with complete records. In 1,363 patients (61.7 (12) years; 244 women) an ICD was implanted; 608 patients (63.2 (12) years; 108 women) were treated conservatively. During a median 2.5-year follow-up, 202 (14.8%) and 95 (15.6%) patients died in the ICD and control groups, respectively. NRR statistically significantly interacted with the ICD mortality effect (p = 0.0070). While the 1,316 patients with NRR<18 brpm showed a marked ICD benefit on mortality (adjusted HR 0.529 (95% CI 0.376-0.746); p = 0.0003), no treatment effect was demonstrated in 655 patients with NRR≥18 brpm (adjusted HR 0.981 (95% CI 0.669-1.438); p = 0.9202).

INTERPRETATION

In the EU-CERT-ICD trial, patients with NRR≥18 brpm showed limited benefit from primary prophylactic ICD implantation. Those with NRR<18 brpm benefitted substantially.

FUNDING

European Community's 7th Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 (602299).

Arrhythmic risk stratification in post-myocardial infarction patients with preserved ejection fraction: the PRESERVE EF study

Aims

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) annual incidence is 0.6–1% in post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)≥40%. No recommendations for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) use exist in this population.

Methods and results

We introduced a combined non-invasive/invasive risk stratification approach in post-MI ischaemia-free patients, with LVEF ≥ 40%, in a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort study. Patients with at least one positive electrocardiographic non-invasive risk factor (NIRF): premature ventricular complexes, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, late potentials, prolonged QTc, increased T-wave alternans, reduced heart rate variability, abnormal deceleration capacity with abnormal turbulence, were referred for programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS), with ICDs offered to those inducible. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of a major arrhythmic event (MAE), namely sustained ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation, appropriate ICD activation or SCD. We screened and included 575 consecutive patients (mean age 57 years, LVEF 50.8%). Of them, 204 (35.5%) had at least one positive NIRF. Forty-one of 152 patients undergoing PVS (27–7.1% of total sample) were inducible. Thirty-seven (90.2%) of them received an ICD. Mean follow-up was 32 months and no SCDs were observed, while 9 ICDs (1.57% of total screened population) were appropriately activated. None patient without NIRFs or with NIRFs but negative PVS met the primary endpoint. The algorithm yielded the following: sensitivity 100%, specificity 93.8%, positive predictive value 22%, and negative predictive value 100%.

Conclusion

The two-step approach of the PRESERVE EF study detects a subpopulation of post-MI patients with preserved LVEF at risk for MAEs that can be effectively addressed with an ICD.

Clinicaltrials.gov identifier

NCT02124018

Cardiovascular disease in women: Executive summary of the expert panel statement of women in cardiology of the hellenic cardiological society

The perception that women represent a low-risk population for cardiovascular (CV) disease (CVD) needs to be reconsidered. Starting from risk factors, women are more likely to be susceptible to unhealthy behaviors and risk factors that have different impact on CV morbidity and mortality as compared to men. Despite the large body of evidence as regards the effect of lifestyle factors on the CVD onset, the gender-specific effect of traditional and non-traditional risk factors on the prognosis of patients with already established CVD has not been well investigated and understood. Furthermore, CVD in women is often misdiagnosed, underestimated, and undertreated. Women also experience hormonal changes from adolescence till elder life that affect CV physiology. Unfortunately, in most of the clinical trials women are underrepresented, leading to the limited knowledge of CV and systemic impact effects of several treatment modalities on women's health. Thus, in this consensus, a group of female cardiologists from the Hellenic Society of Cardiology presents the special features of CVD in women: the different needs in primary and secondary prevention, as well as therapeutic strategies that may be implemented in daily clinical practice to eliminate underestimation and undertreatment of CVD in the female population.

Implantable Cardiac Monitoring in the Secondary Prevention of Cryptogenic Stroke

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we sought to evaluate the impact of implantable cardiac monitoring (ICM) in the prevention of stroke recurrence after a cryptogenic ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA).

METHODS

We evaluated consecutive patients with cryptogenic ischemic stroke or TIA admitted in a comprehensive stroke center during an 8-year period. We compared the baseline characteristics and outcomes between patients receiving conventional cardiac monitoring with repeated 24-hour Holter-monitoring during the first 5 years in the outpatient setting and those receiving continuous cardiac monitoring with ICM during the last 3 years. Associations on the outcomes of interest were further assessed in multivariable regression models adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 373 patients receiving conventional cardiac monitoring and 123 patients receiving ICM. Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) detection was higher in the ICM cohort compared to the conventional cardiac monitoring cohort (21.1% vs 7.5%, p < 0.001). ICM was independently associated with an increased likelihood of PAF detection during follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.16-3.24) in multivariable analyses. Patients receiving ICM were also found to have significantly higher rates of anticoagulation initiation (18.7% vs 6.4%, p < 0.001) and lower risk of stroke recurrence (4.1% vs 11.8%, p = 0.013). ICM was independently associated with a lower risk of stroke recurrence during follow-up (HR = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.11-0.90) in multivariable analyses.

INTERPRETATION

ICM appears to be independently associated with a higher likelihood of PAF detection and anticoagulation initiation after a cryptogenic ischemic stroke or TIA. ICM was also independently related to lower risk of stroke recurrence in our cryptogenic stroke / TIA cohort. ANN NEUROL 2020;88:946-955.

Repeating noninvasive risk stratification improves prediction of outcome in ICD patients

Background

Noninvasive risk stratification aims to detect abnormalities in the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying ventricular arrhythmias. We studied the predictive value of repeating risk stratification in patients with an implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator (ICD).

Methods

The EUTrigTreat clinical study was a prospective multicenter trial including ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathies and arrhythmogenic heart disease. Left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% (LVEF), premature ventricular complexes >400/24 hr (PVC), non‐negative microvolt T‐wave alternans (MTWA), and abnormal heart rate turbulence (HRT) were considered high risk. Tests were repeated within 12 months after inclusion. Adjusted Cox regression analysis was performed for mortality and appropriate ICD shocks.

Results

In total, 635 patients had analyzable baseline data with a median follow‐up of 4.4 years. Worsening of LVEF was associated with increased mortality (HR 3.59, 95% CI 1.17–11.04), as was consistent abnormal HRT (HR 8.34, 95%CI 1.06–65.54). HRT improvement was associated with improved survival when compared to consistent abnormal HRT (HR 0.10, 95%CI 0.01–0.82). For appropriate ICD shocks, a non‐negative MTWA test or high PVC count at any moment was associated with increased arrhythmic risk independent of the evolution of test results (worsening: HR 3.76 (95%CI 1.43–9.88) and HR 2.50 (95%CI 1.15–5.46); improvement: HR 2.80 (95%CI 1.03–7.61) and HR 2.45 (95%CI 1.07–5.62); consistent: HR 2.47 (95%CI 0.95–6.45) and HR 2.40 (95%CI 1.33–4.33), respectively). LVEF improvement was associated with a lower arrhythmic risk (HR 0.34, 95%CI 0.12–0.94).

Conclusions

Repeating LVEF and HRT improved the prediction of mortality, whereas stratification of ventricular arrhythmias may be improved by repeating LVEF measurements, MTWA and ECG Holter monitoring.

Temporal changes of noninvasive electrocardiographic risk factors for sudden cardiac death in post-myocardial infarction patients with preserved ejection fraction: Insights from the PRESERVE-EF study

BACKGROUND

Several noninvasive risk factors (NIRFs) have been proposed for sudden cardiac death risk stratification in post-myocardial infarction (post-MI) patients with preserved ejection fraction (EF). However, it remains unclear if these factors change over time.

METHODS

We evaluated seven electrocardiographic NIRFs as they were described in the PRESERVE-EF trial in 80 post-MI patients with EF ≥ 40%, at least 40 days after revascularization and 1 year later.

RESULTS

Mean patient age was 56 ± 10 years, and 88% were men. Mean EF was 50 ± 5%. The prevalence of (a) positive late potentials (27.5% vs. 28.8%, p = .860), (b) >30 premature ventricular complexes/hour (8.8% vs. 11.3%, p = .598), (c) nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (8.8% vs. 5%, p = .349), (d) standard deviation of normal RR intervals <75 ms (3.8% vs. 3.8%, p = 1.000), (e) QTc derived from 24-hr electrocardiography >440 ms (men) or >450 ms (women) (17.5% vs. 17.5%, p = 1.000), (f) deceleration capacity ≤4.5 ms and heart rate turbulence onset ≥0% and slope ≤2.5 ms (2.5% vs. 3.8%. p = 1.000), and (g) ambulatory T-wave alternans ≥65 μV in two Holter channels (6.3% vs. 6.3%, p = 1.000) were similar between the two measurements. However, five patients (6.3%) without any NIRFs during the first assessment had at least one positive NIRF at the second assessment and six patients (7.5%) with at least one NIRF at baseline had no positive NIRFs at 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

While the prevalence of the examined electrocardiographic NIRFs between the two examinations was similar on a population basis, some patients without NIRFs at baseline developed NIRFs at 1 year and vice versa, highlighting the need for risk factor reassessment during follow-up.

Prediction of mortality benefit based on periodic repolarisation dynamics in patients undergoing prophylactic implantation of a defibrillator: a prospective, controlled, multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

A small proportion of patients undergoing primary prophylactic implantation of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) experiences malignant arrhythmias. We postulated that periodic repolarisation dynamics, a novel marker of sympathetic-activity-associated repolarisation instability, could be used to identify electrically vulnerable patients who would benefit from prophylactic implantation of ICDs by way of a reduction in mortality.

METHODS

We did a prespecified substudy of EUropean Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators (EU-CERT-ICD), a prospective, investigator-initiated, non-randomised, controlled cohort study done at 44 centres in 15 EU countries. Patients aged 18 years or older with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (≤35%) were eligible for inclusion if they met guideline-based criteria for primary prophylactic implantation of ICDs. Periodic repolarisation dynamics from 24-h Holter recordings were assessed blindly in patients the day before ICD implantation or on the day of study enrolment in patients who were conservatively managed. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Propensity scoring and multivariable models were used to assess the interaction between periodic repolarisation dynamics and the treatment effect of ICDs on mortality.

FINDINGS

Between May 12, 2014, and Sept 7, 2018, 1371 patients were enrolled in our study. 968 of these patients underwent ICD implantation, and 403 were treated conservatively. During follow-up (median 2·7 years [IQR 2·0-3·3] in the ICD group and 1·2 years [0·8-2·7] in the control group), 138 (14%) patients died in the ICD group and 64 (16%) patients died in the control group. We noted a 43% reduction in mortality in the ICD group compared with the control group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·57 [95% CI 0·41-0·79]; p=0·0008). Periodic repolarisation dynamics significantly predicted the treatment effect of ICDs on mortality (adjusted p=0·0307). The mortality benefits associated with ICD implantation were greater in patients with periodic repolarisation dynamics of 7·5 deg or higher (n=199; adjusted HR 0·25 [95% CI 0·13-0·47] for the ICD group vs the control group; p<0·0001) than in those with periodic repolarisation dynamics less than 7·5 deg (n=1166; adjusted HR 0·69 [95% CI 0·47-1·00]; p=0·0492; p_interaction=0·0056). The number needed to treat was 18·3 (95% CI 10·6-4895·3) in patients with periodic repolarisation dynamics less than 7·5 deg and 3·1 (2·6-4·8) in those with periodic repolarisation dynamics of 7·5 deg or higher.

INTERPRETATION

Periodic repolarisation dynamics predict mortality reductions associated with prophylactic implantation of ICDs in contemporarily treated patients with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy. Periodic repolarisation dynamics could help to guide treatment decisions about prophylactic ICD implantation.

FUNDING

The European Community's 7th Framework Programme.

P777Changes in glycated hemoglobin in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction treated with sacubitril/valsartan

Introduction

Glycemic control reflected by glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is regarded as a risk factor and a strong predictor of mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). Hyperglycemia may contribute to oxidative stress, endotelial dysfunction and cardiac fibrosis and influence negatively heart failure prognosis in patients with or without diabetes. Treatment with neprilysin inhibitors in combination with angiotensin II receptor antagonist,(ARNIs) has shown beneficial effects in morbidity and mortality in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).

Purpose

We sought to investigate eventual reductions in HbA1c in patients receiving the novel therapy.

Methods

We enrolled a total of 52 stable patients with HFrEF eligible for treatment with ARNIs. Patients were administered a target dose of 200mg bid (97mg sacubitril/103mg valsartan) and we measured HbA1c before, 3months and 6months after initiation of therapy. Changes in HbA1c levels were tested with General Linear Model Repeated Measures test. Spearmans' Rho correlation analysis was performed to investigate possible relationship between the above.

Results

Mean age was 62±10 years, 69,2% of patients were on New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class II, 23,1% on NYHA III and 7,7% on NYHA IV. 57,7% had ischemic while 42,3% dilated cardiomyopathy, 25% chronic kidney disease and 38,5% diabetes mellitus. Mean Body Mass Index (BMI) was 29,88±4,66 kg/m2. Median value of baseline HbA1c was 5,8% (IQR 0,9). Compared to baseline values, HbA1c decreased to 5,6 (IQR 0,9) and 5,7 (IQR 0,83) (p=0,012) at three and six months of treatment, respectively. Change in HbA1c levels was associated significantly with the presence of diabetes mellitus (p=0,013) and diabetic patients showed greater relative reduction in HbA1c (8%) compared to non diabetic patients (1%). Spearmans' Rho test revealed statistically significant association between changes in HbA1c levels from initiation to three months of therapy, while changes between initiation to six months of administration did non correlate with the presence of diabetes.

Changes in HbA1c

Conclusions

HbA1c levels were reduced significantly during treatment with sacubitril/valsartan. Changes were independent of diabetes in six months of treatment.

P2876Repeating non-invasive risk stratification tests improves the prediction of outcomes of ICD patients in the EUTrigTreat study

Background

Non-invasive risk stratification of SCD aims to predict the risk by assessing measures of substrate (LVEF), of triggers (PVCs; T-wave alternans, TWA) and of autonomic function (heart rate turbulence, HRT). However, the value of repeating these tests during follow-up is unclear.

Purpose

To study the predictive value of repeated non-invasive risk assessment.

Methods

EUTrigTreat is a prospective trial aimed to improve non-invasive risk stratification in ICD patients. The study protocol included non-invasive testing at baseline and a repeat after 6 to 12 months. The population included ischemic and non-ischemic cardiomyopathies and arrhythmogenic heart disease. Test results were categorized as pathologic (1) versus non-pathologic (0) for LVEF ≤40%, PVCs >400 in 24h, abnormal exercise TWA (Cambridge Heart) and abnormal HRT (TO >0.1% and/or TS ≤2.0ms/RRI). Time dependent Cox regression modelling was performed for mortality, and a Fine-and- Gray competing risk analysis for shocks, including adjustment for independent predictors in the overall study population (mortality: age, LVEF, history of AF, NT-proBNP, NYHA class, eGFR; shocks: LVEF, secondary prevention).

Results

A total of 635 patients were included with a follow-up of 4.3±1.5 years, 96 (15%) received an ICD shock and 108 (17%) died. The table shows the results at baseline and with repeating the tests after 8±1 months.

Worsening of LVEF compared to a stable LVEF >40% and persistent abnormal HRT were independent predictors of mortality. Improvement in HRT was associated with a lower mortality. Worsened results upon TWA testing was associated with a 3 times higher risk of shocks. A persistent low LVEF was an independent predictor of both mortality and ICD shocks.

Baseline 1 (vs. 0) Worsening 0–1 (vs. 0–0) Improvement 1–0 (vs. 1–1) Stable 1–1 (vs. 0–0) HR (CI) HR (CI) HR (CI) HR (CI) Mortality   LVEF (n=315) 1.85 (1.06–3.24) 3.47 (1.13–10.68) 0.88 (0.40–1.94) 2.22 (1.19–4.15)   TWA (n=204) 0.62 (0.28–1.37) 0.80 (0.25–2.59) 0.67 (0.18–2.47) 0.59 (0.20–1.77)   PVC (n=329) 1.26 (0.73–2.16) 0.99 (0.36–2.72) 0.63 (0.26–1.52) 1.38 (0.75–2.55)   HRT (n=163) 2.57 (0.85–7.77) 4.01 (0.39–41.17) 0.10 (0.01–0.81) 8.71 (1.11–68.24) Shocks   LVEF (n=338) 1.73 (0.93–3.22) 0.92 (0.13–6.67) 0.26 (0.06–1.08) 2.02 (1.09–3.76)   TWA (n=256) 0.82 (0.39–1.70) 2.91 (1.04–8.13) 1.31 (0.48–3.59) 1.54 (0.54–4.43)   PVC (n=366) 1.28 (0.70–2.34) 1.48 (0.54–4.09) 0.54 (0.16–1.81) 1.70 (0.86–3.35)   HRT (n=188) 1.12 (0.50–2.50) 0.57 (0.13–2.52) 0.73 (0.20–2.64) 1.06 (0.43–2.61)

Conclusion

Repeating LVEF, TWA and HRT have the potential to improve risk stratification for mortality and shocks in ICD patients.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This research has received funding from European Community's Seventh Framework Program FP7: EUTrigTreat (grant agreement no. HEALTH-F2-2009-241526).

P6596S100A8/A9 and sRAGE peripheral blood levels in patients with heart failure and an implanted cardioverter/defibrillator: relation with sustained, fast ventricular arrhythmias

Background

Prediction of sudden cardiac death in heart failure (HF) remains suboptimal. Blood levels of the S100A8/A9 heterodimer protein complex and the soluble receptor of advanced glucation end product (sRAGE) are promising biomarkers in HF, reflecting inflammatory/fibrotic and apoptotic pathways, possibly involved in ventricular arrhythmogenesis. The relation of S100A8/A9 and sRAGE with ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death risk has not been previously assessed.

Purpose

Purpose of the study was to investigate whether S100A8/A9 and sRAGE serum blood levels of patients (pts) with systolic heart failure are related to the occurrence of life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias.

Patients and methods

We studied 60 pts with clinically stable heart failure due to coronary artery disease (n=37) and dilated cardiomyopathy (n=23), all with a chronically implanted ICD for primary (n=43) or secondary (n=16) sudden death prevention, all in sinus rhythm. Their mean age (±1 SE) was 62±2 years, NYHA class I-II, mean LVEF 28±1%, Nt-pro-BNP 893±85 pg/dl. Blood was drawn at study initiation for S100A8/A9 and sRAGE assessment (ELISA, R&D Systems). They all were systematically followed-up for 4 years regarding the occurrence of fast ventricular tachyarrhythmias (>180 bpm) necessitating antiarrhythmic intervention through the ICD.

Results

S100A8/A9 and sRAGE levels were 16±1.6 ng/ml and 1076±99 pg/ml respectively. S100A8/A9 levels were lower than in normal controls, while sRAGE levels were within normal limits. During the 4-year follow-up period, 39 pts had an uneventful course (Group I), while 16 pts exhibited fast ventricular tachyarrhythmic episodes necessitating ICD activation (anti-tachycardia pacing or shock, Group II). Three pts died of pump failure and 2 pts of non-cardiac causes. No differences were observed between Group I and Group II pts regarding mean NYHA class, Nt-pro-BNP levels. Group II patients had significantly lower LVEF as well as S100A8/A9 serum levels relative to pts without ventricular arrhythmias (LVEF: 30±1.2 vs, 25±1.3%, p<0.05, S1OOA8/A9: 18.9±2.2 vs 11.8±1.5 ng/ml, p<0.05), while no difference was observed between Groups regarding sRAGE levels 1097±101 1105±239 pg/ml, p:NS). S100A8/A9 levels were not related significantly to LVEF (r:-21, p=0.13).

Conclusion

S100A8/A9 protein levels are reduced in pts with stable HF and an implanted ICD. They are even lower among pts with rapid ventricular tachyarrhythmias occurring during follow-up. This finding implies that S100A8/A9 may constitute a biomarker of increased sudden cardiac death risk in HF, in addition to reduced LVEF.

Present criteria for prophylactic ICD implantation: Insights from the EU-CERT-ICD (Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators in EUrope) project

BACKGROUND

The clinical effectiveness of primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy is under debate. It is urgently needed to better identify patients who benefit from prophylactic ICD therapy. The EUropean Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators (EU-CERT-ICD) completed in 2019 will assess this issue.

SUMMARY

The EU-CERT-ICD is a prospective investigator-initiated non-randomized, controlled, multicenter observational cohort study done in 44 centers across 15 European countries. A total of 2327 patients with heart failure due to ischemic heart disease or dilated cardiomyopathy indicated for primary prophylactic ICD implantation were recruited between 2014 and 2018 (>1500 patients at first ICD implantation, >750 patients non-randomized non-ICD control group). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, and first appropriate shock was co-primary endpoint. At baseline, all patients underwent 12‑lead ECG and Holter-ECG analysis using multiple advanced methods for risk stratification as well as documentation of clinical characteristics and laboratory values. The EU-CERT-ICD data will provide much needed information on the survival benefit of preventive ICD therapy and expand on previous prospective risk stratification studies which showed very good applicability of clinical parameters and advanced risk stratifiers in order to define patient subgroups with above or below average ICD benefit.

CONCLUSION

The EU-CERT-ICD study will provide new and current data about effectiveness of primary prophylactic ICD implantation. The study also aims for improved risk stratification and patient selection using clinical risk markers in general, and advanced ECG risk markers in particular.

Rationale and design of the EU-CERT-ICD prospective study: comparative effectiveness of prophylactic ICD implantation

Aims

The clinical effectiveness of primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy is under debate. The EUropean Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators (EU‐CERT‐ICD) aims to assess its current clinical value.

Methods and results

The EU‐CERT‐ICD is a prospective investigator‐initiated non‐randomized, controlled, multicentre observational cohort study performed in 44 centres across 15 European Union countries. We will recruit 2250 patients with ischaemic or dilated cardiomyopathy and a guideline indication for primary prophylactic ICD implantation. This sample will include 1500 patients at their first ICD implantation and 750 patients who did not receive a primary prevention ICD despite having an indication for it (non‐randomized control group). The primary endpoint is all‐cause mortality; the co‐primary endpoint in ICD patients is time to first appropriate shock. Secondary endpoints include sudden cardiac death, first inappropriate shock, any ICD shock, arrhythmogenic syncope, revision procedures, quality of life, and cost‐effectiveness. At baseline (and prior to ICD implantation if applicable), all patients undergo 12‐lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and Holter ECG analysis using multiple advanced methods for risk stratification as well as detailed documentation of clinical characteristics and laboratory values. Genetic biobanking is also organized. As of August 2018, baseline data of 2265 patients are complete. All subjects will be followed for up to 4.5 years.

Conclusions

The EU‐CERT‐ICD study will provide a necessary update about clinical effectiveness of primary prophylactic ICD implantation. This study also aims for improved risk stratification and patient selection using clinical and ECG risk markers.

Sex differences in outcomes of primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy: combined registry data from eleven European countries

Aims

Therapy with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) is established for the prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in high risk patients. We aimed to determine the effectiveness of primary prevention ICD therapy by analysing registry data from 14 centres in 11 European countries compiled between 2002 and 2014, with emphasis on outcomes in women who have been underrepresented in all trials.

Methods and results

Retrospective data of 14 local registries of primary prevention ICD implantations between 2002 and 2014 were compiled in a central database. Predefined primary outcome measures were overall mortality and first appropriate and first inappropriate shocks. A multivariable model enforcing a common hazard ratio for sex category across the centres, but allowing for centre-specific baseline hazards and centre specific effects of other covariates, was adjusted for age, the presence of ischaemic cardiomyopathy or a CRT-D, and left ventricular ejection fraction ≤25%. Of the 5033 patients, 957 (19%) were women. During a median follow-up of 33 months (IQR 16-55 months) 129 women (13%) and 807 men (20%) died (HR 0.65; 95% CI: [0.53, 0.79], P-value < 0.0001). An appropriate ICD shock occurred in 66 women (8%) and 514 men (14%; HR 0.61; 95% CI: 0.47-0.79; P = 0.0002).

Conclusion

Our retrospective analysis of 14 local registries in 11 European countries demonstrates that fewer women than men undergo ICD implantation for primary prevention. After multivariate adjustment, women have a significantly lower mortality and receive fewer appropriate ICD shocks.

Rationale, objectives, and design of the EUTrigTreat clinical study: a prospective observational study for arrhythmia risk stratification and assessment of interrelationships among repolarization markers and genotype

Aims

The EUTrigTreat clinical study has been designed as a prospective multicentre observational study and aims to (i) risk stratify patients with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) for mortality and shock risk using multiple novel and established risk markers, (ii) explore a link between repolarization biomarkers and genetics of ion (Ca²⁺, Na⁺, K⁺) metabolism, (iii) compare the results of invasive and non-invasive electrophysiological (EP) testing, (iv) assess changes of non-invasive risk stratification tests over time, and (v) associate arrythmogenomic risk through 19 candidate genes.

Methods and results

Patients with clinical ICD indication are eligible for the trial. Upon inclusion, patients will undergo non-invasive risk stratification, including beat-to-beat variability of repolarization (BVR), T-wave alternans, T-wave morphology variables, ambient arrhythmias from Holter, heart rate variability, and heart rate turbulence. Non-invasive or invasive programmed electrical stimulation will assess inducibility of ventricular arrhythmias, with the latter including recordings of monophasic action potentials and assessment of restitution properties. Established candidate genes are screened for variants. The primary endpoint is all-cause mortality, while one of the secondary endpoints is ICD shock risk. A mean follow-up of 3.3 years is anticipated. Non-invasive testing will be repeated annually during follow-up. It has been calculated that 700 patients are required to identify risk predictors of the primary endpoint, with a possible increase to 1000 patients based on interim risk analysis.

Conclusion

The EUTrigTreat clinical study aims to overcome current shortcomings in sudden cardiac death risk stratification and to answer several related research questions. The initial patient recruitment is expected to be completed in July 2012, and follow-up is expected to end in September 2014.

Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT01209494.

Antiinflammatory Effects of Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) pacing has been proposed as an additional treatment to medical therapy to improve heart failure patients with left ventricular asynchrony. The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of CRT treatment on proinflammatory cytokines in patients with heart failure.

METHODS

Twenty patients, with a mean age 64 +/- 2 years, with severe chronic heart failure NYHA class II-IV (mean ejection fraction 25 +/- 2%), were included in the study. Patients were treated with CRT pacing, after failure of optimal therapy. Blood samples were taken at baseline, 3 months after pacing therapy, and after a subsequent 3-month period of no pacing for the assessment of proinflammatory cytokines TNF-alpha and its receptors (sTNFR-I, sTNFR-II), IL-6, adhesion molecules sICAM-1 and sVCAM-1, and the apoptotic indices sFas and sFas-Ligand.

RESULTS

Levels of TNF-alpha, sTNFR-I, and sTNFR-II were reduced at the end of 3 months of CRT therapy and further reduced at the end of the no pacing period (P < 0.05, compared to baseline). Levels of IL-6 also declined after 3 months of CRT pacing (from 8.9 +/- 2.5 pg/mL to 4.7 +/- 1.3 pg/mL, P < 0.05) and this was maintained during the no pacing period (3.9 +/- 1.1 pg/mL P < 0.05 compared to baseline). The adhesion molecule sICAM-1 levels also reduced (from 265 +/- 17 ng/mL to 235 +/- 12, P < 0.05) after 3 months of CRT pacing and remained unchanged at the end of the no pacing period (219 +/- 12 ng/mL, P < 0.05 compared to baseline values).

CONCLUSION

Major proinflammatory cytokines and the adhesion molecule sICAM-1 are reduced with CRT therapy and this effect is maintained for at least 3 months after discontinuation of pacing.

Fluoxetine vs. propranolol in the treatment of vasovagal syncope: a prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled study

AIMS

To compare the therapeutic efficacy of placebo, propranolol, and fluoxetine in patients with vasovagal syncope (VVS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Ninety-six consecutive patients with VVS were randomized to treatment with placebo, propranolol, or fluoxetine and followed-up for 6 months. Before and during treatment, they reported their syncopal and presyncopal episodes and graded their well-being, expressed as the general evaluation of life, general activities, and everyday activities (each scaled from 1 = very good to 5 = very bad). Two patients refused follow-up. Among the remaining 94, no difference between groups was observed regarding the distribution of time of vasovagal events (syncopes or presyncopes) during follow-up (log-rank test). No difference was also observed when syncopes and presyncopes were assessed separately. Eighteen patients discontinued therapy. Among the remaining 76 ('on-treatment' analysis), the mean time to a vasovagal episode (syncope or presyncope) was significantly longer in the fluoxetine group when compared with the two other groups (log-rank test, P < 0.05). A significant difference in favour of fluoxetine was also observed regarding presyncopes. The difference between groups regarding the syncope-free period was not significant. During therapy, patients' well-being was improved (decreased) only in the fluoxetine-group (13.4 +/- 0.7 vs. 15.4 +/- 0.9 before treatment, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Fluoxetine seems to be equivalent to propranolol and placebo in the treatment of VVS. However, it improves patients' well-being and might be more effective in reducing presyncopes and total vasovagal events in some patients with recurrent VVS.

Situational Syncope:. Response to Head-Up Tilt Testing and Follow-Up: Comparison with Vasovagal Syncope

Among sequential patients with neurally-mediated syncope, we studied the response to head-up tilt test (HUTT) in patients with situational syncope (SS) and their follow-up. Our findings were compared to those in patients with vasovagal syncope (VVS). The response to HUTT in patients with SS has not to date been fully investigated. Additionally, the prognosis of SS patients has not been systematically studied. We studied 162 consecutive patients with recurrent SS or VVS, all free of structural heart disease. Before study inclusion, they underwent an HUTT and were followed up for 12 months. Patients with SS were advised to avoid the trigger event. Patients with VVS were treated with propranolol or fluoxetine. For each patient we compared the number of syncopal spells during the last 12 months before study inclusion with that during follow-up. Among the 162 patients, 36 had SS and 126 had VVS. The response to HUTT and the number of syncopes before and during follow-up were similar in both groups. Among patients with SS, 10 (28%) had also experienced occasional episodes of VVS; however, they had a similar response to HUTT and prognosis to the remaining 26 SS patients without VVS attacks. Patients with SS have a similar response to HUTT and similarly benign clinical course to patients with VVS. The coexistence of occasional VVS episodes in patients with SS is not associated with a higher rate of positive HUTT or worse prognosis.

The effects of raloxifene and simvastatin on plasma lipids and endothelium

PURPOSE

Raloxifene is a selective estrogen receptor modulator and an attractive alternative to estrogen replacement as it obviates the need for a progestin and does not increase C-reactive protein levels. We compared the effects of simvastatin and raloxifene treatments on the lipid profile, the levels of adhesion molecules and the endothelium dependent and independent vasoreactivity.

SUBJECTS & METHODS

We treated 12 postmenopausal women with hypercholesterolemia and coronary artery disease with raloxifene 60 mg/day and simvastatin 20 mg/day in a randomized, double-blind, crossover study. Each treatment period was 8 weeks long with a 4-week washout interval. Plasma lipids and cellular adhesion molecules were evaluated and peripheral blood flow studies with venous occlusion plethysmography were performed.

RESULTS

Both simvastatin and raloxifene significantly reduced total [33% (27-40), 12% (0-24)] and LDL [44% (36-52), 16% (0-33)] cholesterol compared to baseline values (p < 0.05) but simvastatin was more effective than raloxifene (p < 0.005). None of the treatments had any significant effect on HDL cholesterol and triglyceride levels. Only raloxifene significantly reduced Lp(a) [18% (1-36)] and ICAM-1 [17% (8-25)] and VCAM-1 [24% (15-33)] plasma levels compared to baseline (p = 0.019, p < 0.0001 and p = 0.003, respectively). Hyperemic blood flow response on raloxifene was significantly higher compared to baseline [52% (0-105)], (p < 0.05), whereas no significant change was noted on simvastatin. Endothelium independent blood flow induced by nitroglycerine was not influenced by either active treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Raloxifene administration is associated with lower ICAM-1, VCAM-1 and Lp(a) plasma levels and enhanced endothelium dependent dilation compared to simvastatin although simvastatin is more powerful in total and LDL cholesterol reduction.