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Dal Maso L, Toffolutti F, De Paoli A, Giudici F, Francisci S, Bucchi L, Zorzi M, Fusco M, Caldarella A, Rossi S, De Angelis R, Botta L, Ravaioli A, Casella C, Musolino A, Vitale MF, Mangone L, Fanetti AC, Carpin E, Burgio Lo Monaco MG, Migliore E, Gambino ML, Ferrante M, Stracci F, Gasparotti C, Carrozzi G, Cavallo R, Mazzucco W, Ballotari P, Ferretti S, Sampietro G, Rizzello RV, Boschetti L, Cascone G, Mian M, Pesce MT, Piras D, Galasso R, Bella F, Seghini P, Pinna P, Crocetti E, Serraino D, Guzzinati S. Cure indicators and prevalence by stage at diagnosis for breast and colorectal cancer patients: A population-based study in Italy. Int J Cancer 2024; 155:270-281. [PMID: 38520231 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2023] [Revised: 01/15/2024] [Accepted: 02/20/2024] [Indexed: 03/25/2024]
Abstract
People alive many years after breast (BC) or colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnoses are increasing. This paper aimed to estimate the indicators of cancer cure and complete prevalence for Italian patients with BC and CRC by stage and age. A total of 31 Italian Cancer Registries (47% of the population) data until 2017 were included. Mixture cure models allowed estimation of net survival (NS); cure fraction (CF); time to cure (TTC, 5-year conditional NS >95%); cure prevalence (who will not die of cancer); and already cured (prevalent patients living longer than TTC). 2.6% of all Italian women (806,410) were alive in 2018 after BC and 88% will not die of BC. For those diagnosed in 2010, CF was 73%, 99% when diagnosed at stage I, 81% at stage II, and 36% at stages III-IV. For all stages combined, TTC was >10 years under 45 and over 65 years and for women with advanced stages, but ≤1 year for all BC patients at stage I. The proportion of already cured prevalent BC women was 75% (94% at stage I). Prevalent CRC cases were 422,407 (0.7% of the Italian population), 90% will not die of CRC. For CRC patients, CF was 56%, 92% at stage I, 71% at stage II, and 35% at stages III-IV. TTC was ≤10 years for all age groups and stages. Already cured were 59% of all prevalent CRC patients (93% at stage I). Cancer cure indicators by stage may contribute to appropriate follow-up in the years after diagnosis, thus avoiding patients' discrimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luigino Dal Maso
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
| | - Federica Toffolutti
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
| | | | - Fabiola Giudici
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
| | - Silvia Francisci
- National Centre for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Lauro Bucchi
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Romagna Unit, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Manuel Zorzi
- Epidemiological Department, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy
| | - Mario Fusco
- Registro Tumori ASL Napoli 3 Sud, Napoli, Italy
| | - Adele Caldarella
- Tuscany Cancer Registry, Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network, Florence, Italy
| | - Silvia Rossi
- Department of Oncology and Molecular Medicine, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Roberta De Angelis
- Department of Oncology and Molecular Medicine, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Laura Botta
- Evaluative Epidemiology Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy
| | - Alessandra Ravaioli
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Romagna Unit, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Claudia Casella
- Liguria Cancer Registry, IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genova, Italy
| | - Antonino Musolino
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Parma Unit, Medical Oncology Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy
| | | | - Lucia Mangone
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Reggio Emilia Unit, Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Anna Clara Fanetti
- Sondrio Cancer Registry, Agenzia di Tutela della Salute della Montagna, Sondrio, Italy
| | - Eva Carpin
- Epidemiological Department, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy
| | - Maria Giovanna Burgio Lo Monaco
- Coordination Centre of the Cancer Registry of Puglia-Strategic Regional Agency for Health and Social Care (AReSS), Bari, Italy
| | - Enrica Migliore
- Piedmont Cancer Registry, Centro di Riferimento per l'Epidemiologia e la Prevenzione Oncologica (CPO) Piemonte and University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Maria Letizia Gambino
- Registro tumori ATS Insubria (Provincia di Como e Varese) S.S. Epidemiologia Registri Specializzati e Reti di Patologia, Varese, Italy
| | - Margherita Ferrante
- Registro Tumori Integrato di Catania-Messina-Enna, Igiene Ospedaliera, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Policlinico G. Rodolico-San Marco, Catania, Italy
| | - Fabrizio Stracci
- Umbria Cancer Registry, Public Health Section, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
| | - Cinzia Gasparotti
- Registro tumori ATS Brescia, Struttura Semplice Epidemiologia, ATS, Brescia, Italy
| | - Giuliano Carrozzi
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Modena Unit, Public Health Department, Local Health Authority, Modena, Italy
| | - Rossella Cavallo
- Cancer Registry Azienda Sanitaria Locale (ASL) Salerno, Dipartimento di Prevenzione, Salerno, Italy
| | - Walter Mazzucco
- Clinical Epidemiology and Cancer Registry Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Policlinico (AOUP) di Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | | | - Stefano Ferretti
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Ferrara Unit, Local Health Authority, Ferrara, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Giuseppe Sampietro
- Bergamo Cancer Registry, Epidemiological Service, Agenzia di Tutela della Salute, Bergamo, Italy
| | | | | | - Giuseppe Cascone
- Azienda Sanitaria Provinciale (ASP) Ragusa-Dipartimento di Prevenzione-Registro Tumori, Ragusa, Italy
| | - Michael Mian
- Innovation, Research and Teaching Service (SABES-ASDAA), Lehrkrankenhaus der Paracelsus Medizinischen Privatuniversität, Bolzano-Bozen, Italy
| | - Maria Teresa Pesce
- Monitoraggio Rischio Ambientale e Registro Tumori ASL Caserta, Caserta, Italy
| | | | - Rocco Galasso
- Unit of Regional Cancer Registry, Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, IRCCS Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Basilicata (CROB), Rionero in Vulture, Italy
| | - Francesca Bella
- Siracusa Cancer Registry, Provincial Health Authority of Siracusa, Siracusa, Italy
| | - Pietro Seghini
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Piacenza Unit, Public Health Department, AUSL Piacenza, Piacenza, Italy
| | - Pasquala Pinna
- Nuoro Cancer Registry, RT Nuoro, Servizio Igiene e Sanità Pubblica, ASL Nuoro, Nuoro, Italy
| | - Emanuele Crocetti
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
| | - Diego Serraino
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
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Toffolutti F, Guzzinati S, De Paoli A, Francisci S, De Angelis R, Crocetti E, Botta L, Rossi S, Mallone S, Zorzi M, Manneschi G, Bidoli E, Ravaioli A, Cuccaro F, Migliore E, Puppo A, Ferrante M, Gasparotti C, Gambino M, Carrozzi G, Stracci F, Michiara M, Cavallo R, Mazzucco W, Fusco M, Ballotari P, Sampietro G, Ferretti S, Mangone L, Rizzello RV, Mian M, Cascone G, Boschetti L, Galasso R, Piras D, Pesce MT, Bella F, Seghini P, Fanetti AC, Pinna P, Serraino D, Dal Maso L. Complete prevalence and indicators of cancer cure: enhanced methods and validation in Italian population-based cancer registries. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1168325. [PMID: 37346072 PMCID: PMC10280813 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1168325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2023] [Accepted: 05/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives To describe the procedures to derive complete prevalence and several indicators of cancer cure from population-based cancer registries. Materials and methods Cancer registry data (47% of the Italian population) were used to calculate limited duration prevalence for 62 cancer types by sex and registry. The incidence and survival models, needed to calculate the completeness index (R) and complete prevalence, were evaluated by likelihood ratio tests and by visual comparison. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to explore the effect on the complete prevalence of using different R indexes. Mixture cure models were used to estimate net survival (NS); life expectancy of fatal (LEF) cases; cure fraction (CF); time to cure (TTC); cure prevalence, prevalent patients who were not at risk of dying as a result of cancer; and already cured patients, those living longer than TTC at a specific point in time. CF was also compared with long-term NS since, for patients diagnosed after a certain age, CF (representing asymptotical values of NS) is reached far beyond the patient's life expectancy. Results For the most frequent cancer types, the Weibull survival model stratified by sex and age showed a very good fit with observed survival. For men diagnosed with any cancer type at age 65-74 years, CF was 41%, while the NS was 49% until age 100 and 50% until age 90. In women, similar differences emerged for patients with any cancer type or with breast cancer. Among patients alive in 2018 with colorectal cancer at age 55-64 years, 48% were already cured (had reached their specific TTC), while the cure prevalence (lifelong probability to be cured from cancer) was 89%. Cure prevalence became 97.5% (2.5% will die because of their neoplasm) for patients alive >5 years after diagnosis. Conclusions This study represents an addition to the current knowledge on the topic providing a detailed description of available indicators of prevalence and cancer cure, highlighting the links among them, and illustrating their interpretation. Indicators may be relevant for patients and clinical practice; they are unambiguously defined, measurable, and reproducible in different countries where population-based cancer registries are active.
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Affiliation(s)
- Federica Toffolutti
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Aviano, Italy
| | | | | | - Silvia Francisci
- National Centre for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Roberta De Angelis
- Department of Oncology and Molecular Medicine, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Emanuele Crocetti
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Aviano, Italy
| | - Laura Botta
- Evaluative Epidemiology Unit, Department of Research, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Silvia Rossi
- Department of Oncology and Molecular Medicine, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Sandra Mallone
- National Centre for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Manuel Zorzi
- Epidemiological Department, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy
| | - Gianfranco Manneschi
- Tuscany Cancer Registry, Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network (ISPRO), Florence, Italy
| | - Ettore Bidoli
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Aviano, Italy
| | - Alessandra Ravaioli
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Romagna Unit, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) “Dino Amadori”, Forlì, Italy
| | - Francesco Cuccaro
- Registro Tumori Puglia - Sezione Azienda Sanitaria Locale (ASL) Barletta-Andria-Trani, Epidemiologia e Statistica, Barletta, Italy
| | - Enrica Migliore
- Piedmont Cancer Registry, Centro di Riferimento per l'Epidemiologia e la Prevenzione Oncologica (CPO) Piemonte and University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Antonella Puppo
- Liguria Cancer Registry, IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genova, Italy
| | - Margherita Ferrante
- Registro tumori integrato di Catania-Messina-Enna, Igiene Ospedaliera, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Policlinico G. Rodolico-San Marco, Catania, Italy
| | - Cinzia Gasparotti
- Struttura Semplice Epidemiologia, Agenzia di Tutela della Salute (ATS) Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Maria Gambino
- Registro tumori ATS Insubria (Provincia di Como e Varese) Responsabile S.S. Epidemiologia Registri Specializzati e Reti di Patologia, Varese, Italy
| | - Giuliano Carrozzi
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Modena Unit, Public Health Department, Local Health Authority, Modena, Italy
| | - Fabrizio Stracci
- Umbria Cancer Registry, Public Health Section, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
| | - Maria Michiara
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Parma Unit, Medical Oncology Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy
| | - Rossella Cavallo
- Cancer Registry Azienda Sanitaria Locale (ASL) Salerno- Dipartimento di Prevenzione, Salerno, Italy
| | - Walter Mazzucco
- Clinical Epidemiology and Cancer Registry Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Policlinico (AOUP) di Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | - Mario Fusco
- Registro Tumori ASL Napoli 3 Sud, Napoli, Italy
| | | | | | - Stefano Ferretti
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Ferrara Unit, Local Health Authority, Ferrara, and University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Lucia Mangone
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Reggio Emilia Unit, Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | | | - Michael Mian
- Innovation, Research and Teaching Service (SABES-ASDAA), Lehrkrankenhaus der Paracelsus Medizinischen Privatuniversität, Bolzano-Bozen, Italy
| | - Giuseppe Cascone
- Azienda Sanitaria Provinciale (ASP) Ragusa - Dipartimento di Prevenzione -Registro Tumori, Ragusa, Italy
| | | | - Rocco Galasso
- Unit of Regional Cancer Registry, Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, IRCCS Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Basilicata (CROB), Rionero in Vulture, Italy
| | | | - Maria Teresa Pesce
- Monitoraggio rischio ambientale e Registro Tumori ASL Caserta, Caserta, Italy
| | - Francesca Bella
- Siracusa Cancer Registry, Provincial Health Authority of Siracusa, Siracusa, Italy
| | - Pietro Seghini
- Emilia-Romagna Cancer Registry, Piacenza Unit, Public Health Department, AUSL Piacenza, Piacenza, Italy
| | - Anna Clara Fanetti
- Sondrio Cancer Registry, Agenzia di Tutela della Salute della Montagna, Sondrio, Italy
| | - Pasquala Pinna
- Nuoro Cancer Registry, RT Nuoro, Servizio Igiene e Sanità Pubblica, ASL Nuoro, Nuoro, Italy
| | - Diego Serraino
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Aviano, Italy
| | - Luigino Dal Maso
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Aviano, Italy
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Bucchi L, Mancini S, Zamagni F, Crocetti E, Dal Maso L, Ferretti S, Baldacchini F, Giuliani O, Ravaioli A, Vattiato R, Brustolin A, Candela G, Carone S, Carrozzi G, Cavallo R, Dinaro YM, Ferrante M, Iacovacci S, Mazzoleni G, Musolino A, Rizzello RV, Serraino D, Biggeri A, Stanganelli I, Falcini F. Patient presentation, skin biopsy utilization and cutaneous malignant melanoma incidence and mortality in northern Italy: Trends and correlations. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2023; 37:293-302. [PMID: 36181283 PMCID: PMC10092783 DOI: 10.1111/jdv.18635] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2022] [Accepted: 09/14/2022] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The global increase in incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) occurring in the past decades has been partly attributed to increased diagnostic scrutiny of early lesions, with a potential phenomenon of overdiagnosis. The reported positive linear relation between skin biopsy rate and incidence of early CMM is compatible with this hypothesis. OBJECTIVES We explored the ecological association between the trends in annual dermatologic office visit rates, skin biopsy rates, incidence rates of in situ and invasive CMM by tumour thickness category, and CMM mortality rates in the Emilia-Romagna Region (northern Italy). METHODS Four cancer registries covering a population of 2,696,000 provided CMM incidence data for the years 2003-2017. Dermatologic office visit rates and skin biopsy rates were calculated using the Regional outpatient care database. All rates were age-standardized. Trends were described with the estimated average annual per cent change (EAAPC). Correlations were tested with the Spearman correlation coefficient. RESULTS Incidence increased significantly. The increase was steeper for in situ CMM (EAAPC: men, 10.2; women, 6.9) followed by CMM <0.8 mm thick (9.1; 5.2), but the rates grew significantly for most subgroups of CMMs ≥0.8 mm thick. Mortality decreased significantly among women (-2.3) and non-significantly among men. For dermatologic office visit rate and skin biopsy rate the EAAPC were, respectively, 1.7 and 1.8 for men and 1.2 and 0.9 for women. Annual dermatologic office visit rate correlated with skin biopsy rate in both sexes. However, the proportion of skin biopsies out of dermatologic office visits was constant across the years (range: men, 0.182-0.216; women, 0.157-0.191). CONCLUSIONS In Italy, the increasing CMM incidence trend is, at least in part, genuine. Overdiagnosis-if any-is due to an increased patient presentation at dermatologic offices and not to a lower dermatologic threshold to perform biopsy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauro Bucchi
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Silvia Mancini
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Federica Zamagni
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Emanuele Crocetti
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Luigino Dal Maso
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
| | - Stefano Ferretti
- Romagna Cancer Registry, section of Ferrara, Local Health Authority and University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Flavia Baldacchini
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Orietta Giuliani
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Alessandra Ravaioli
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Rosa Vattiato
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy
| | - Angelita Brustolin
- UOSD Epidemiologia e Registro Tumori (Dip. di Prevenzione ASL VT) c/o Cittadella della Salute, Viterbo, Italy
| | - Giuseppa Candela
- Trapani Cancer Registry, Dipartimento di Prevenzione della Salute, Servizio Sanitario Regionale Sicilia, Azienda Sanitaria Provinciale (ASP), Trapani, Italy
| | - Simona Carone
- Registro Tumori di Taranto, Unità Operativa Complessa di Statistica ed Epidemiologia, Azienda Sanitaria Locale, Taranto, Italy
| | - Giuliano Carrozzi
- Modena Cancer Registry, Public Health Department, Local Health Authority, Modena, Italy
| | | | | | - Margherita Ferrante
- Integrated Cancer Registry of Catania-Messina-Enna, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Policlinico "Rodolico-San Marco", Catania, Italy
| | | | | | - Antonino Musolino
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, Parma, Italy.,Medical Oncology Unit and Cancer Registry, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy
| | - Roberto Vito Rizzello
- Trento Province Cancer Registry, Unit of Clinical Epidemiology, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari (APSS), Trento, Italy
| | - Diego Serraino
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy
| | - Annibale Biggeri
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Ignazio Stanganelli
- Skin Cancer Unit, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy.,Department of Dermatology, University of Parma, Parma, Italy
| | - Fabio Falcini
- Romagna Cancer Registry, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) Dino Amadori, Meldola, Forlì, Italy.,Local Health Authority, Cancer Prevention Unit, Forlì, Italy
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Botta L, Gatta G, Capocaccia R, Stiller C, Cañete A, Dal Maso L, Innos K, Mihor A, Erdmann F, Spix C, Lacour B, Marcos-Gragera R, Murray D, Rossi S, Hackl M, Van Eycken E, Van Damme N, Valerianova Z, Sekerija M, Scoutellas V, Demetriou A, Dušek L, Krejci D, Storm H, Mägi M, Innos K, Paapsi K, Malila N, Pitkäniemi J, Jooste V, Clavel J, Poulalhon C, Lacour B, Desandes E, Monnereau A, Erdmann F, Spix C, Katalinic A, Petridou E, Markozannes G, Garami M, Birgisson H, Murray D, Walsh PM, Mazzoleni G, Vittadello F, Cuccaro F, Galasso R, Sampietro G, Rosso S, Gasparotto C, Maifredi G, Ferrante M, Torrisi A, Sutera Sardo A, Gambino ML, Lanzoni M, Ballotari P, Giacomazzi E, Ferretti S, Caldarella A, Manneschi G, Gatta G, Sant M, Baili P, Berrino F, Botta L, Trama A, Lillini R, Bernasconi A, Bonfarnuzzo S, Vener C, Didonè F, Lasalvia P, Del Monego G, Buratti L, Serraino D, Taborelli M, Capocaccia R, De Angelis R, Demuru E, Di Benedetto C, Rossi S, Santaquilani M, Venanzi S, Tallon M, Boni L, Iacovacci S, Russo AG, Gervasi F, Spagnoli G, Cavalieri d'Oro L, Fusco M, Vitale MF, Usala M, Vitale F, Michiara M, Chiranda G, Sacerdote C, Maule M, Cascone G, Spata E, Mangone L, Falcini F, Cavallo R, Piras D, Dinaro Y, Castaing M, Fanetti AC, Minerba S, Candela G, Scuderi T, Rizzello RV, Stracci F, Tagliabue G, Rugge M, Brustolin A, Pildava S, Smailyte G, Azzopardi M, Johannesen TB, Didkowska J, Wojciechowska U, Bielska-Lasota M, Pais A, Ferreira AM, Bento MJ, Miranda A, Safaei Diba C, Zadnik V, Zagar T, Sánchez-Contador Escudero C, Franch Sureda P, Lopez de Munain A, De-La-Cruz M, Rojas MD, Aleman A, Vizcaino A, Almela F, Marcos-Gragera R, Sanvisens A, Sanchez MJ, Chirlaque MD, Sanchez-Gil A, Guevara M, Ardanaz E, Cañete-Nieto A, Peris-Bonet R, Galceran J, Carulla M, Kuehni C, Redmond S, Visser O, Karim-Kos H, Stevens S, Stiller C, Gavin A, Morrison D, Huws DW. Long-term survival and cure fraction estimates for childhood cancer in Europe (EUROCARE-6): results from a population-based study. Lancet Oncol 2022; 23:1525-1536. [DOI: 10.1016/s1470-2045(22)00637-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2022] [Revised: 10/04/2022] [Accepted: 10/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Zamagni F, Bucchi L, Mancini S, Crocetti E, Dal Maso L, Ferretti S, Biggeri A, Villani S, Baldacchini F, Giuliani O, Ravaioli A, Vattiato R, Brustolin A, Candela G, Carone S, Carrozzi G, Cavallo R, Dinaro YM, Ferrante M, Iacovacci S, Mazzoleni G, Musolino A, Rizzello RV, Serraino D, Stracci F, Tumino R, Masini C, Ridolfi L, Palmieri G, Stanganelli I, Falcini F. The relative contribution of the decreasing trend in tumour thickness to the 2010s increase in net survival from cutaneous malignant melanoma in Italy: a population-based investigation. Br J Dermatol 2022; 187:52-63. [PMID: 35253204 PMCID: PMC9542017 DOI: 10.1111/bjd.21051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2021] [Revised: 02/03/2022] [Accepted: 02/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The long-term increase in survival from cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) is generally attributed to the decreasing trend in tumour thickness, the single most important prognostic factor. OBJECTIVES To determine the relative contribution of decreased tumour thickness to the favourable trend in survival from CMM in Italy. METHODS Eleven local cancer registries covering a population of 8 056 608 (13.4% of the Italian population in 2010) provided records for people with primary CMM registered between 2003 and 2017. Age-standardized 5-year net survival was calculated. Multivariate analysis of 5-year net survival was undertaken by calculating the relative excess risk (RER) of death. The relative contribution of the decrease in tumour thickness to the RER of death was evaluated using a forward stepwise flexible parametric survival model including the available prognostic factors. RESULTS Over the study period, tumour thickness was inversely associated with 5-year net survival and multivariate RER in both sexes. The median thickness was 0.90 mm in 2003-2007, 0.85 mm in 2008-2012 and 0.75 mm in 2013-2017 among male patients, and 0.78 mm, 0.77 mm and 0.68 mm among female patients, respectively. The 5-year net survival was 86.8%, 89.2% and 93.2% in male patients, and 91.4%, 92.0% and 93.4% in female patients, respectively. In 2013-2017, male patients exhibited the same survival as female patients despite having thicker lesions. For them, the increasing survival trend was more pronounced with increasing thickness, and the inclusion of thickness in the forward stepwise model made the RER in 2013-2017 vs. 2003-2007 increase from 0.64 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51-0.80] to 0.70 (95% CI 0.57-0.86). This indicates that the thickness trend accounted for less than 20% of the survival increase. For female patients, the results were not significant but, with multiple imputation of missing thickness values, the RER rose from 0.74 (95% CI 0.58-0.93) to 0.82 (95% CI 0.66-1.02) in 2013-2017. CONCLUSIONS For male patients in particular, decrease in tumour thickness accounted for a small part of the improvement in survival observed in 2013-2017. The introduction of targeted therapies and immune checkpoint inhibitors in 2013 is most likely to account for the remaining improvement.
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Affiliation(s)
- Federica Zamagni
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Lauro Bucchi
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Silvia Mancini
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Emanuele Crocetti
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Luigino Dal Maso
- Cancer Epidemiology UnitCentro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCSAvianoItaly
| | - Stefano Ferretti
- Romagna Cancer Registry, Section of FerraraLocal Health Authority and University of FerraraFerraraItaly
| | - Annibale Biggeri
- Department of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications G. ParentiUniversity of FlorenceFlorenceItaly
| | - Simona Villani
- Department of Public Health, Experimental and Forensic Medicine, Unit of Biostatistics and Clinical EpidemiologyUniversity of PaviaPaviaItaly
| | - Flavia Baldacchini
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Orietta Giuliani
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Alessandra Ravaioli
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Rosa Vattiato
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Angelita Brustolin
- UOSD Epidemiologia e Registro Tumori (Dip. di Prevenzione ASL VT) c/o Cittadella della SaluteViterboItaly
| | - Giuseppa Candela
- Trapani Cancer Registry, Dipartimento di Prevenzione della SaluteServizio Sanitario Regionale Sicilia, Azienda Sanitaria Provinciale (ASP)TrapaniItaly
| | - Simona Carone
- Registro tumori di TarantoUnità operativa complessa di statistica ed epidemiologiaAzienda sanitaria locale TarantoItaly
| | - Giuliano Carrozzi
- Modena Cancer Registry, Public Health DepartmentLocal Health AuthorityModenaItaly
| | | | | | - Margherita Ferrante
- Integrated Cancer Registry of Catania‐Messina‐EnnaAzienda Ospedaliero‐Universitaria Policlinico ‘Rodolico‐San Marco’CataniaItaly
| | | | | | - Antonino Musolino
- Department of Medicine and SurgeryUniversity of Parma; Medical Oncology Unit and Cancer Registry, University Hospital of ParmaParmaItaly
| | - Roberto Vito Rizzello
- Trento Province Cancer Registry, Unit of Clinical EpidemiologyAzienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari (APSS) TrentoItaly
| | - Diego Serraino
- Cancer Epidemiology UnitCentro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCSAvianoItaly
| | - Fabrizio Stracci
- Department of Medicine and SurgeryUniversity of PerugiaPerugiaItaly
| | - Rosario Tumino
- Former Director Cancer RegistryProvincial Health Authority (ASP)RagusaItaly
| | - Carla Masini
- Unit of Oncological PharmacyIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Laura Ridolfi
- Immunotherapy, Cell Therapy and BiobankIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
| | - Giuseppe Palmieri
- Institute of Research on Genetics and Biomedicine (IRGB), National Research Council (CNR)SardegnaSassariItaly
| | - Ignazio Stanganelli
- Skin Cancer UnitIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
- Department of DermatologyUniversity of ParmaParmaItaly
| | - Fabio Falcini
- Romagna Cancer RegistryIRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori (IRST) ‘Dino Amadori’MeldolaForlìItaly
- Cancer Prevention UnitLocal Health AuthorityForlìItaly
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Pancheri S, Pertile R, Armelao F, Rizzello RV, Piffer S, Zorzi M, Guzzinati S, Ferro A, Mantovani W, de Pretis G. A comprehensive assessment of the impact of a colorectal cancer screening program in a northern Italian area. Dig Liver Dis 2022; 54:400-406. [PMID: 33853757 DOI: 10.1016/j.dld.2021.03.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2021] [Revised: 03/03/2021] [Accepted: 03/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The impact of a faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program in terms of patient prognosis could be affected by lead-time bias, which artificially increases the survival of screen-detected patients due to the early diagnosis. AIMS To provide a description of the impact of the CRC screening program in the Trentino Region (Italy), including the Cure Fraction (CF), a prognostic indicator not affected by lead-time bias. METHODS The program started in 2008, inviting the resident population aged 50-69 years. In this retrospective cohort study, 1,697 CRC diagnosed between 2003 and 2014 in patients aged 50-69 years were classified as pre-screening (PS), screen-detected (SD), interval cancers (IC) and not-screen-detected (NSD). We compared groups by stage at diagnosis and CF. Trends in CRC mortality were reported. RESULTS The proportion of stage I among SD cases was 51%, higher than PS (19%; OR 4.66, 95%CI 3.50-6.20), NSD (20.6%; OR 3.96, 95%CI 2.95-5.32) and IC (33.3%; OR 2.11, 95%CI 1.10-4.04). The CF of PS, NSD and SD cases was respectively 57% (95%CI 54-60%), 60% (95%CI 58-63%) and 93% (95%CI 89-96%). CRC mortality dropped from 40.7 to 25.6\100,000. CONCLUSION The program significantly improved the prognosis of patients, decreasing CRC mortality and incidence of advanced CRCs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Serena Pancheri
- Governance Department, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Viale Degasperi 79, Trento Italy
| | - Riccardo Pertile
- Department of Clinical and Evaluative Epidemiology, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Viale Verona, Trento, Italy
| | - Franco Armelao
- Gastroenterology Department, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Largo Medaglie d'Oro, Trento 38123, Italy.
| | - Roberto Vito Rizzello
- Department of Clinical and Evaluative Epidemiology, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Viale Verona, Trento, Italy
| | - Silvano Piffer
- Department of Clinical and Evaluative Epidemiology, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Viale Verona, Trento, Italy
| | - Manuel Zorzi
- Veneto Tumour Registry, Azienda Zero, Padova, Italy
| | | | - Antonio Ferro
- Department of Prevention, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Viale Verona, Trento, Italy
| | - William Mantovani
- Department of Prevention, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Viale Verona, Trento, Italy
| | - Giovanni de Pretis
- Gastroenterology Department, Azienda Provinciale per i Servizi Sanitari, Largo Medaglie d'Oro, Trento 38123, Italy
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