Sex-specific associations between sodium and potassium intake and overall and cause-specific mortality: a large prospective U.S. cohort study, systematic review, and updated meta-analysis of cohort studies

BACKGROUND

The impact of sodium intake on cardiovascular disease (CVD) health and mortality has been studied for decades, including the well-established association with blood pressure. However, non-linear patterns, dose-response associations, and sex differences in the relationship between sodium and potassium intakes and overall and cause-specific mortality remain to be elucidated and a comprehensive examination is lacking. Our study objective was to determine whether intake of sodium and potassium and the sodium-potassium ratio are associated with overall and cause-specific mortality in men and women.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective analysis of 237,036 men and 179,068 women in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models were utilized to calculate hazard ratios. A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies was also conducted.

RESULTS

During 6,009,748 person-years of follow-up, there were 77,614 deaths, 49,297 among men and 28,317 among women. Adjusting for other risk factors, we found a significant positive association between higher sodium intake (≥ 2,000 mg/d) and increased overall and CVD mortality (overall mortality, fifth versus lowest quintile, men and women HRs = 1.06 and 1.10, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001; CVD mortality, fifth versus lowest quintile, HRs = 1.07 and 1.21, Pnonlinearity = 0.0002 and 0.01). Higher potassium intake and a lower sodium-potassium ratio were associated with a reduced mortality, with women showing stronger associations (overall mortality, fifth versus lowest quintile, HRs for potassium = 0.96 and 0.82, and HRs for the sodium-potassium ratio = 1.09 and 1.23, for men and women, respectively; Pnonlinearity < 0.05 and both P for interaction ≤ 0.0006). The overall mortality associations with intake of sodium, potassium and the sodium-potassium ratio were generally similar across population risk factor subgroups with the exception that the inverse potassium-mortality association was stronger in men with lower body mass index or fruit consumption (Pinteraction < 0.0004). The updated meta-analysis of cohort studies based on 42 risk estimates, 2,085,904 participants, and 80,085 CVD events yielded very similar results (highest versus lowest sodium categories, pooled relative risk for CVD events = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.06-1.20; Pnonlinearity < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates significant positive associations between daily sodium intake (within the range of sodium intake between 2,000 and 7,500 mg/d), the sodium-potassium ratio, and risk of CVD and overall mortality, with women having stronger sodium-potassium ratio-mortality associations than men, and with the meta-analysis providing compelling support for the CVD associations. These data may suggest decreasing sodium intake and increasing potassium intake as means to improve health and longevity, and our data pointing to a sex difference in the potassium-mortality and sodium-potassium ratio-mortality relationships provide additional evidence relevant to current dietary guidelines for the general adult population.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42022331618.

Left Atrial Strain Predicts Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality

Background

Left atrial strain can usefully reflect left atrial function. The follow-up periods in previous studies assessing left atrial strain as a survival predictor have been relatively short, and few studies have examined the ability of left atrial strain to predict mortality in patients with borderline diastolic function. This study sought to investigate the survival predictive value of left atrial strain with a longer follow-up duration. In addition, we also evaluated the survival predictive value of left atrial strain in patients with borderline diastolic function.

Methods

In total, 652 participants who received routine echocardiography underwent 2-D speckle tracking echocardiography to evaluate left atrial reservoir function by peak atrial longitudinal strain. The study endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Results

The mean left atrial strain was 27.6%, and the median follow-up duration was 92 months. During follow-up, 72 patients died of cardiovascular causes and 181 died of all causes. Univariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower left atrial strain significantly predicted an increase in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. After adjusting for common clinical and echocardiographic parameters, lower left atrial strain was still associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.942, p = 0.011] and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.915, p = 0.018) in multivariable Cox-regression analysis. In addition, 293 patients had borderline left ventricular diastolic function. Multivariable analysis still revealed that left atrial strain could predict cardiovascular mortality in this population.

Conclusions

Our data showed that left atrial strain could predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, even after adjusting for general clinical and echocardiographic parameters.

A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis on the Impact of Infertility on Men's General Health

CONTEXT

Male infertility has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to provide the most critical evidence on the association between infertility and the risk of incident comorbidities in males.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed according to the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines, and registered on PROSPERO. All published studies on infertile versus fertile men regarding overall mortality and risks of cancer, diabetes, and cardiovascular events were selected from a database search on PubMed, EMBASE, Google Scholar, and Cochrane. Forest plot and quasi-individual patient data meta-analysis were used for pooled analyses. A risk of bias was assessed using the ROBINS-E tool.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Overall, an increased risk of death from any cause was found for infertile men (hazard risk [HR] 1.37, [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.04-1.81], p = 0.027), and a 30-yr survival probability of 91.0% (95% CI 89.6-92.4%) was found for infertile versus 95.9% (95% CI 95.3-96.4%) for fertile men (p < 0.001). An increased risk emerged of being diagnosed with testis cancer (relative risk [RR] 1.86 [95% CI 1.41-2.45], p < 0.001), melanoma (RR 1.30 [95% CI 1.08-1.56], p = 0.006), and prostate cancer (RR 1.66 [95% CI 1.06-2.61], p < 0.001). As well, an increased risk of diabetes (HR 1.39 [95% CI 1.09-1.71], p = 0.008), with a 30-yr probability of diabetes of 25.0% (95% CI 21.1-26.9%) for infertile versus 17.1% (95% CI 16.1-18.1%) for fertile men (p < 0.001), and an increased risk of cardiovascular events (HR 1.20 [95% CI 1.00-1.44], p = 0.049), with a probability of major cardiovascular events of 13.9% (95% CI 13.3-14.6%) for fertile versus 15.7% (95% CI 14.3-16.9%) for infertile men (p = 0.008), emerged.

CONCLUSIONS

There is statistical evidence that a diagnosis of male infertility is associated with increased risks of death and incident comorbidities. Owing to the overall high risk of bias, results should be interpreted carefully.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Male fertility is a proxy of general men's health and as such should be seen as an opportunity to improve preventive strategies for overall men's health beyond the immediate reproductive goals.

A nationwide cohort study suggests clarithromycin-based therapy for Helicobacter pylori eradication is safe in patients with stable coronary heart disease and subsequent peptic ulcer disease

Background

Clarithromycin-based therapy is important for Helicobacter pylori eradication treatment. However, clarithromycin may increase cardiovascular risk. Hence, we investigated the association between clarithromycin use and outcomes in adults with stable coronary heart disease (CHD) and subsequent peptic ulcer disease (PUD).

Methods

This nationwide cohort study used a national health insurance database to screen 298,417 Taiwanese residents who were diagnosed with coronary heart disease from 2001 to 2015 for eligibility in the study and to evaluate select eligible patients with CHD–PUD from 2004 to 2015. Data were obtained from new users of clarithromycin (n = 4183) and nonusers of clarithromycin (n = 24,752) during follow-up. A total of 4070 eligible clarithromycin users and 4070 nonusers were subject to final analysis by 1:1 propensity score matching. Participants were followed up after receiving clarithromycin or at the corresponding date until the occurrence of cardiovascular morbidity in the presence of competing mortality, overall mortality and cardiovascular mortality, or through the end of 2015. The incidence rates and risks of overall mortality and cardiovascular outcomes were evaluated. The associations between clarithromycin and arrhythmia risk, as well as its dose and duration and overall mortality and cardiovascular outcomes were also addressed.

Results

Clarithromycin users were associated with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.08 (95% confidence interval, 0.93–1.24; 21.5 compared with 21.2 per 1000 patient-years) for overall mortality, 0.95 (0.57–1.59; 1.5 compared with 1.8 per 1000 patient-years) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.94 (0.89–1.09; 19.6 compared with 20.2 per 1000 patient-years) for cardiovascular morbidity in the presence of competing mortality, as compared with nonusers. We found no relationship between dose and duration of clarithromycin and overall mortality and cardiovascular outcomes and no increased risk of arrhythmia during follow-up period. After inclusion of arrhythmia events to re-estimate the risks of all study outcomes, the results remained insignificant.

Conclusion

Concerning overall mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular morbidity, our results suggest clarithromycin-based therapy for Helicobacter pylori eradication may be safe in patients with stable CHD and subsequent PUD.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02498-1.

Relationship between chocolate consumption and overall and cause-specific mortality, systematic review and updated meta-analysis

Chocolate is a rich dietary source of various bioactive flavonoid compounds. Despite being one of the most popular foods worldwide, the association between chocolate consumption and long-term mortality remains unclear. The objective of this study is to determine the associations between chocolate consumption and long-term overall and cause-specific mortality, to evaluate dose-response and potential mediators, and to conduct an updated meta-analysis based on prospective cohort studies. We performed a prospective analysis in the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene cancer prevention (ATBC) Study with a total of 27,111 men who were recruited between 1985 and 1988 and followed through 2015. Exposure data of daily chocolate consumption was obtained from validated baseline food frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 30-year absolute risk differences (ARDs) including 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overall and cause-specific mortality were estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models. An updated meta-analysis of cohort studies was also conducted. During 482,807 person-years of follow-up, a total of 22,064 men died. The multivariable analyses showed a statistically significant inverse association between chocolate consumption and risk of overall mortality, with HRs of 0.91, 0.89, 0.89, and 0.88 for the increasing categories 2-5 as compared with those in the lowest category (Ptrend < 0.0001, and P for nonlinearity < 0.0001). We observed significantly lower mortality from cardiovascular disease (CVD), heart disease and cancer, representing 13%, 16% and 12% risk reductions for the highest compared to lowest chocolate category, respectively (all Ptrend ≤ 0.002; all P for nonlinearity < 0.0001). The inverse associations of chocolate consumption with risk of overall, CVD and heart disease mortality were generally consistent across cohort subgroups (e.g., body mass index and serum cholesterol). Mediation analysis showed that 4.3% of the inverse association of chocolate and overall mortality was mediated through reducing blood pressure. Within the updated meta-analysis of cohort studies (21 risk estimates, 908,390 participants and 65,407 events), greater consumption of chocolate (per 5 g/day) was associated with a lower risk of CVD incidence and mortality (pooled relative risk = 0.98, P value < 0.001; P for nonlinearity < 0.001). The predefined subgroup analyses generally revealed consistent inverse chocolate-CVD risk associations. In this prospective study, calorie-balanced greater consumption of chocolate was inversely associated with lower overall, CVD, heart disease and cancer mortality. The systematic review and meta-analysis provide support for the inverse chocolate-CVD association. Our findings may provide evidence to partially allay concerns regarding adverse health outcomes from low-to-moderate chocolate consumption.

Long-term exposure to PM2.5 major components and mortality in the southeastern United States

BACKGROUND

Long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) mass has been associated with adverse health effects. However, the health effects of PM_2.5 components have been less studied. There is a pressing need to better understand the relative contribution of components of PM_2.5, which can lay the scientific basis for designing effective policies and targeted interventions.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study, comprising all Medicare enrollees aged 65 or older in the southeastern United States from 2000 to 2016, to explore the associations between long-term exposure to PM_2.5 major components and all-cause mortality among the elderly. Based on well-validated prediction models, we estimated ZIP code-level annual mean concentrations for five major PM_2.5 components, including black carbon (BC), nitrate (NIT), organic matter (OM), sulfate (SO₄), and soil particles. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 13,590,387 Medicare enrollees and a total of 107,191,652 person-years. In single-component models, all five major PM_2.5 components were significantly associated with elevated all-cause mortality. The hazard ratios (HR) per interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure were 1.027 (95% CI: 1.025-1.030), 1.012 (95% CI: 1.010-1.013), 1.018 (95% CI: 1.017-1.020), 1.021 (95% CI: 1.017-1.024), and 1.004 (95% CI: 1.003-1.006) for BC, NIT, OM, SO₄, and soil particles, respectively. While the effect estimate of soil component was statistically significant, it is much smaller than those of combustion-related components.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides epidemiological evidence that long-term exposure to major PM_2.5 components is significantly associated with elevated mortality.

A systematic literature review and meta-analysis on the impact of COPD on atrial fibrillation patient outcome

BACKGROUND

COPD is often accompanied by extra-pulmonary manifestations such as thrombo-embolic and hemorrhagic events, the disease is linked with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the current review was to assess the impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases were searched for studies comparing overall mortality, cardiovascular death, and other outcomes for AF patients with and without COPD. The data retrieved were subjected to both qualitative and quantitative analyses. The hazard ratios (HR) obtained for mortality in presence of COPD were pooled to meta-analyze using generic inverse variance function of RevMan 5.3 software. The association of various risk factors and HRs were pooled with 95% confidence interval (CI). The quality of the included studies was assessed using Newcastle Ottawa scale (NOS).

RESULTS

The hazard ratios (HR) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of seven studies were included. The pooled HR for the impact of COPD on overall mortality and cardiovascular mortality in AF patients was found to be 1.70 (95% CI: 1.47, 1.97; p<0.0001) and 1.80 (95% CI: 1.29, 2.52; p = 0.0005), respectively. Hemorrhagic events were significantly higher in AF patients with COPD (Odds ratio (OR): 1.84; 95% CI: 1.58, 2.14; p<0.00001).

CONCLUSION

COPD has a deleterious impact on AF progression in terms of overall mortality, cardiovascular death, stroke and hemorrhagic complications.

Effect of Chinese herbal medicines on the overall survival of patients with muscular dystrophies in Taiwan

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Muscular dystrophies are a rare, severe, and genetically inherited group of disorders characterized by progressive loss of muscle fibers, leading to muscle weakness. The current treatment plan for muscular dystrophies includes the use of steroids to slow muscle deterioration by dampening the inflammatory response.

AIM OF THE STUDY

Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) has been offered as an adjunctive therapy in Taiwan's medical healthcare plan, making it possible to track CHM usage in patients with muscular dystrophic disease. Therefore, we explored the long-term effects of CHM use on the overall mortality of patients with muscular dystrophies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 581 patients with muscular dystrophies were identified from the database of Registry for Catastrophic Illness Patients in Taiwan. Among them, 80 and 201 patients were CHM users and non-CHM users, respectively. Student's t-test, chi-squared test, Cox proportional hazard model, and Kaplan-Meier curve (log-rank test) were used for evaluation. Association rules and network analyses were performed to explore the combination of CHMs used in muscular dystrophies.

RESULTS

Compared to non-CHM users, there were more female patients, more comorbidities, including chronic pulmonary disease and peptic ulcer disease in the CHM user group. Patients with prednisolone usage exhibited a lower risk of overall mortality than those who did not, after adjusting for age, sex, use of CHM, and comorbidities. CHM users showed a lower risk of overall mortality after adjusting for age, sex, prednisolone use, and comorbidities. The cumulative incidence of the overall survival was significantly higher in CHM users. Association rule and network analysis showed that one main CHM cluster was commonly used to treat patients with muscular dystrophies in Taiwan. The cluster includes Yin-Qiao-San, Ban-Xia-Bai-Zhu-Tian-Ma-Tang, Zhi-Ke (Citrus aurantium L.), Yu-Xing-Cao (Houttuynia cordata Thunb.), Che-Qian-Zi (Plantago asiatica L.), and Da-Huang (Rheum palmatum L.).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that adjunctive therapy with CHM may help to reduce the overall mortality among patients with muscular dystrophies. The identification of the CHM cluster allows us to narrow down the key active compounds and may enable future therapeutic developments and clinical trial designs to improve overall survival in these patients.

Contemporary analysis of the effect of marital status on survival in upper tract urothelial carcinoma patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy: A population-based study

PURPOSE

Unmarried status is an established risk factor for worse cancer control outcomes in various malignancies. Moreover, several investigators observed worse outcomes in unmarried males, but not in females. This concept has not been tested in upper tract urothelial carcinoma and represents the topic of the study.

METHODS

Within Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database (2004-2016), we identified 8833 non-metastatic upper tract urothelial carcinoma patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (5208 males vs. 3625 females). Kaplan Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression models predicting overall mortality, other-cause mortality and cancer-specific mortality were used.

RESULTS

Overall, 1323 males (25.4%) and 1986 females (54.8%) were unmarried. Except for lower rates of chemotherapy in unmarried males (15.6 vs. 19.6%, P = 0.001) and unmarried females (13.8 vs. 23.6%, P < 0.001), no clinically meaningful differences were recorded between males and females. In multivariable Cox regression models, unmarried status was an independent predictor of higher overall mortality in both males (Hazard ratio [HR]: 1.33, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.48, P < 0.001) and females (HR: 1.13, 95%CI: 1.00-1.27, P = 0.04), as well as of higher other-cause mortality in both males (HR: 1.53, 95%CI: 1.26-1.84,P < 0.001) and females (HR: 1.43, 95%CI: 1.15-1.78,P < 0.01). However, higher cancer-specific mortality was only recorded in unmarried males (HR: 1.24, 95%CI: 1.08-1.42, P < 0.01), but not in females (HR: 1.02, 95%CI: 0.89-1.17, P = 0.7).

CONCLUSION

Unmarried status is a marker of worse survival in both males and females and should be flagged as an important risk factor at diagnosis, in both sexes. In consequence, unmarried patients represent candidate for interventions aimed at decreasing the survival gap relative to married counterparts.

Oncological outcomes of patients with ductal adenocarcinoma of the prostate receiving radical prostatectomy or radiotherapy

Objective

To evaluate the oncological outcomes of ductal adenocarcinoma of the prostate (DAC) managed with radical prostatectomy (RP) or radiotherapy (RT) and optimize the proper treatment modality to DAC comprehensively.

Methods

The cohorts included a total of 528 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, 354 receiving RP and 174 receiving RT. Cox proportional hazards regressions were performed to assess cancer specific mortality (CSM) and overall mortality (OM) between treatment groups. A competing risk analysis was further conducted. Subgroup analyses by age and level of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) were performed. Propensity score matching was implemented.

Results

Patients managed with RP had lower risks of CSM and OM compared with RT (before matching: Hazard ratio [HR]=0.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.13–0.47 and HR=0.26, 95% CI 0.17–0.40, respectively; after matching: HR=0.18, 95% CI 0.04–0.82 and HR=0.28, 95% CI 0.11–0.70, accordingly). Subgroup analyses demonstrated that patients in the middle tertile of the age or with lower tertile PSA level managed with RP took lower risks of OM significantly (HR=0.18, 95% CI 0.06–0.57, p<0.01 and HR=0.17, 95% CI 0.06–0.54, p<0.01).

Conclusion

Among patients with DAC, treatment with RP was associated with better survival outcomes in comparison with RT. Patients with DAC in the middle tertile of the age and with lower tertile PSA level benefited the most from RP.

Analysis of radiotherapy impact on survival in resected stage I/II pancreatic cancer patients: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The application of radiotherapy (RT) in pancreatic cancer remains controversial.

AIM

The aim of the study was to evaluate the efficacy of radiotherapy (neoadjuvant and adjuvant radiotherapy) for resectable I/II pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Fourteen thousand nine hundred seventy-seven patients with pancreatic cancer were identified from SEER database from 2004 to 2015. Multivariate analyses were performed to determine factors including RT on overall survival. Overall survival and overall mortality among the different groups were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Gray's test.

RESULTS

Patients were divided into groups according to whether they received radiotherapy or not. The median survival time of all 14,977 patients without RT was 20 months, neoadjuvant RT was 24 months and adjuvant RT was 23 months (p < 0.0001). Median survival time of 2089 stage I patients without RT was 56 months, significantly longer than those with RT regardless of neoadjuvant or adjuvant RT (no RT: 56 months vs adjuvant RT: 37 months vs neoadjuvant RT: 27 months, P = 0.0039). Median survival time of 12,888 stage II patients with neoadjuvant RT was 24 months, adjuvant RT 22 months, significantly prolonged than those without radiotherapy (neoadjuvant RT: 24 months vs adjuvant RT: 22 months vs no RT: 17 months, P<0.0001). Neoadjuvant RT (HR = 1.434, P = 0.023, 95% CI: 1.051-1.957) was independent risk factors for prognosis of stage I patients, and adjuvant RT (HR = 0.904, P < 0.001, 95% CI: 0.861-0.950) predicted better outcomes for prognosis of stage II patients by multivariate analysis. The risk of cancer-related death caused by neoadjuvant RT in stage I and no-RT in stage II patients were significantly higher.

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified a significant survival advantage for the use of adjuvant RT over surgery alone or neoadjuvant RT in treating stage II pancreatic cancer. RT was not associated with survival benifit in stage I patients.

Paratuberculosis vaccination specific and non-specific effects on cattle lifespan

Records of cattle vaccination against paratuberculosis (PTB) have been analyzed to determine whether or not non-specific effect (NSE) on overall mortality similar to that observed in BCG vaccinated humans occurs in animals. The results of a previously reported slaughterhouse study on PTB prevalence were used as a reference on the age incidence of advanced patent (clinical) epidemio-pathogenic forms. In the proper vaccine study, cows in 30 cattle farms in the Basque Country, Spain were followed-up for between 1 and 13 years. Vaccinated groups were composed by 1008 (592 right-censored) animals younger than 3 months treated as calves and by 3761 (3160 right-censored) vaccinated at any older age. Controls were 339 (157 right-censored) and 4592 (2213 right-censored) age matched animals, respectively. Individual last year presence in the annual testing was considered age at culling or death. A survival analysis was carried out according age at vaccination of vaccinated versus non-vaccinated animals. PTB age incidence in the slaughterhouse study was subtracted from the difference between vaccinated and non-vaccinated animals at the same age in order to estimate PTB-specific and non-specific effects. The maximum difference was observed at the 2-3 years interval with a 33.9% mortality reduction in the calf vaccinated group. This corresponded also with the maximum NSE that was 24.5% for a PTB incidence of 9.5%. Overall, vaccination afforded to calves a 26.5% yearly mortality protection, split between 11.1% PTB-specific and 15.4% NSE. These results support a NSE on total mortality associated with PTB vaccination that appeared to persist for up to 6-7 years. This confirms for the first time in an animal field study the innate immune system memory predicted by the recently proposed trained immunity theory. Contrasting the literature, no deleterious effects of killed vaccines on females were observed. Mortality reduction would offset vaccination costs and could improve livestock systems efficiency and potentially reduce antibiotic use. Clinical trial registered with Spanish Agency for Drugs and Sanitary products (AEMPS) as 11/012/ECV.

Obesity and overall mortality: findings from the Jackson Heart Study

Background

Overall mortality has been reported to be lower among individuals classified as overweight/obese when compared with their normal weight counterparts (“obesity paradox”) when obesity classification is based on the body mass index (BMI). One possible reason for this apparent paradox is that BMI is not a reliable measure of obesity-related risk as it does not differentiate fat mass from lean muscle mass or fat mass phenotypes. Waist circumference (WC), as a measure of central adiposity, may be a better indicator of obesity-related risk. We examined the association of overall mortality with BMI and with WC measures, including WC, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR).

Methods

Data from 3976 African American participants (551 deaths) in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) were analyzed. Cox regression models were used to perform survival analysis. Obesity measures were analyzed as dichotomous (obese/non-obese) and continuous variables. Baseline covariates included age, sex and smoking status.

Results

Comparing obese to non-obese participants, adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for overall mortality were 1.14 (0.96, 1.35), 1.30 (1.07, 1.59), 1.02 (0.73, 1.41) and 1.45 (1.18, 1.79) when using BMI, WC, WHtR and WHR, respectively. For BMI, WC and WHtR, a J-shaped relationship was observed with overall mortality. For WHR, a monotonic increasing relationship was observed with overall mortality.

Conclusions

In the JHS, we found that obesity as defined by WC and WHR was associated with an increased risk of overall and CVD mortality, while obesity defined by BMI was associated only with an increased risk of CVD mortality. WHR was the only obesity measure that showed a monotonic increasing relationship with overall and CVD mortality.

Duration of Serum Phosphorus Control Associated with Overall Mortality in Patients Undergoing Peritoneal Dialysis

BACKGROUND

Serum phosphorus (SP) level is closely associated with overall mortality and cardiovascular events, while the role of SP controlled duration is not fully recognized. Here, we conducted a retrospective cohort study in our department to identify the relationship of SP controlled duration with clinical outcomes in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD).

METHODS

PD patients in our center from January 1, 2009, to June 30, 2019, were followed up at 2-month (the first year) or 5-month (the next follow-up period) intervals, and until death, until PD withdrawal, or until June 30, 2019. Data at each follow-up point were collected from their medical records. SP levels, changed degree of SP over baseline, and SP controlled duration were analyzed with overall mortality, PD withdrawal (including death, transferred to hemodialysis, and received renal transplantation), and combined endpoint (including death, acute heart failure, cardiovascular event, and stroke).

RESULTS

A total of 530 patients entered the analysis. Of them, 456 (86.0%) had hyperphosphatemia before dialysis, and the SP levels decreased soon after dialysis. The degree of SP change over baseline was the maximum at the 3rd month after dialysis (-31.0%), and lower degree was associated with higher overall mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.012; 95% CI, 1.004-1.020; p = 0.003). The median SP controlled duration was 13 (5-28) months, and longer duration was significantly associated with lower overall mortality (HR, 0.968; 95% CI, 0.956-0.981; p < 0.001). After categorization, duration more than 12 months greatly improved overall mortality with a HR of 0.197 (0.082-0.458; p < 0.001 vs. SP never controlled group) and 0.329 (0.150-0.724; p = 0.006 vs. duration <12 months group). Longer SP controlled duration also improved PD withdrawal and combined endpoint.

CONCLUSIONS

In summary, both degree and duration of SP control were tightly associated with overall mortality. We should control SP levels as early, as possible, and as long as we could.

Decreased overall mortality rate with Chinese herbal medicine usage in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis in Taiwan

Background

Liver cirrhosis is one of the main causes of the morbidity and mortality in liver diseases. Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) has long been used for the clinical treatment of liver diseases. This study was designed to explore the usage frequency and prescription patterns of CHM for patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and to evaluate the long-term effects of CHM on overall mortality.

Methods

Two thousand four hundred sixty-seven patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (ICD-9-CM code: 571.2, 571.5, and 571.6) diagnosed between 2000 and 2009 in Taiwan were identified from the registry for catastrophic illness patients. Of these, 149 CHM users and 298 CHM non-users were matched for age, gender, and Charlson comorbidity index score. The chi-squared test, paired Student’s t-test, Cox proportional hazard model, and Kaplan–Meier method were applied for various comparisons between these groups of patients.

Results

CHM-treated patients showed a lower overall mortality risk compared with non-treated patients (Multivariable: p < 0.0001; HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.42–0.69). The cumulative incidence of overall mortality was lower in the CHM-treated group (stratified log-rank test, p = 0.0002). The strongest CHM co-prescription pattern- Yin-Chen-Hao-Tang (YCHT) → Long-Dan-Xie-Gan-Tang (LDXGT) had the highest support, followed by Zhi-Zi (ZZ) → Yin-Chen-Wu-Ling-San (YCWLS) and Bai-Hua-She-She-Cao (BHSSC) → Da-Huang (DaH).

Conclusion

CHM, as adjunct therapy, might decrease the risk of overall mortality in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. CHM co-prescription patterns and network analysis showed that comprehensive herbal medicines have a protective role against liver fibrosis. Further studies are required to enhance the knowledge of safety and efficacy of CHM in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

Comparative performance and external validation of the multivariable PREDICT Prostate tool for non-metastatic prostate cancer: a study in 69,206 men from Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden (PCBaSe)

BACKGROUND

PREDICT Prostate is an endorsed prognostic model that provides individualised long-term prostate cancer-specific and overall survival estimates. The model, derived from UK data, estimates potential treatment benefit on overall survival. In this study, we externally validated the model in a large independent dataset and compared performance to existing models and within treatment groups.

METHODS

Men with non-metastatic prostate cancer and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) < 100 ng/ml diagnosed between 2000 and 2010 in the nationwide population-based Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden (PCBaSe) were included. Data on age, PSA, clinical stage, grade group, biopsy involvement, primary treatment and comorbidity were retrieved. Sixty-nine thousand two hundred six men were included with 13.9 years of median follow-up. Fifteen-year survival estimates were calculated using PREDICT Prostate for prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) and all-cause mortality (ACM). Discrimination was assessed using Harrell's concordance (c)-index in R. Calibration was evaluated using cumulative available follow-up in Stata (TX, USA).

RESULTS

Overall discrimination of PREDICT Prostate was good with c-indices of 0.85 (95% CI 0.85-0.86) for PCSM and 0.79 (95% CI 0.79-0.80) for ACM. Overall calibration of the model was excellent with 25,925 deaths predicted and 25,849 deaths observed. Within the conservative management and radical treatment groups, c-indices for 15-year PCSM were 0.81 and 0.78, respectively. Calibration also remained good within treatment groups. The discrimination of PREDICT Prostate significantly outperformed the EAU, NCCN and CAPRA scores for both PCSM and ACM within this cohort overall. A key limitation is the use of retrospective cohort data.

CONCLUSIONS

This large external validation demonstrates that PREDICT Prostate is a robust and generalisable model to aid clinical decision-making.

Association Between Systemic Therapy and/or Cytoreductive Nephrectomy and Survival in Contemporary Metastatic Non-clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Optimal management of metastatic non-clear cell renal cell carcinoma (non-ccmRCC) remains largely unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To test the effect of systemic therapy (ST) and/or cytoreductive nephrectomy (CNT) on overall mortality (OM) in patients with non-ccmRCC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry (2006-2015), we identified patients with papillary, chromophobe, sarcomatoid, and collecting duct metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC).

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Temporal trends (estimated annual percentage change [EAPC]), Kaplan-Meier plots, and multivariable Cox regression models were used.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Of 1573 patients with non-ccmRCC, 22%, 25%, 25%, and 28% underwent no treatment, ST, CNT, and CNT with ST, respectively. Between 2006 and 2015, rates of CNT and the combination of CNT and ST decreased (EAPC: -6.3% and -3.2%, respectively). Conversely, rates of no treatment and ST increased over time (EAPC: 4.6% and 7.5%, respectively). In multivariable Cox regression models, relative to no treatment, ST (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.5; p < 0.001), CNT (HR: 0.4; p < 0.001), and CNT with ST (HR: 0.3; p < 0.001) were associated with lower OM. Histological subtypes were associated with OM, relative to papillary renal cell carcinoma (RCC): chromophobe (HR: 0.7; p < 0.01), sarcomatoid (HR: 2.1; p < 0.001), and collecting duct RCC (HR: 1.9; p < 0.001). Limitations include the impossibility to stratify patients according to mRCC risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Most non-ccmRCC patients are treated with a combination of CNT and ST or CNT alone or ST alone. The rates of ST alone are increasing. Conversely, the rates of combined CNT and ST and CNT alone are decreasing. These observed temporal patterns of treatment rates are counterintuitive with respect to associated OM benefits, where combination of CNT and ST, as well as CNT alone, resulted in the lowest absolute OM, relative to ST alone, or, even worse, no treatment.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We investigated the effect of treatment modalities on survival of patients with metastatic non-clear cell renal cell carcinoma. The combination of cytoreductive nephrectomy and systemic therapy confers greater benefit with respect to single treatments alone.

Suicidal ideation, behavior, and mortality in male and female US veterans with severe mental illness

BACKGROUND

We compared male and female American veterans with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder regarding clinical characteristics associated with lifetime suicidal ideation and behavior. Subsequent mortality, including death by suicide, was also assessed.

METHODS

Data from questionnaires and face-to-face evaluations were collected during 2011-2014 from 8,049 male and 1,290 female veterans with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder. In addition to comparing male-female characteristics, Cox regression models-adjusted for demographic information, medical-psychiatric comorbidities, and self-reported suicidal ideation and behavior-were used to examine gender differences in associations of putative risk factors with suicide-specific and all-cause mortality during up to six years of follow-up.

RESULTS

Women overall were younger, more likely to report a history of suicidal behavior, less likely to be substance abusers, and had lower overall mortality during follow-up. Among women only, psychiatric comorbidity was paradoxically associated with lower all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]=0.53, 95% CI, 0.29-0.96, p = 0.037 for 1 disorder vs. none; HR=0.44, 95% CI, 0.25-0.77, p = 0.004 for ≥2 disorders vs. none). Suicide-specific mortality involved relatively few events, but crude rates were an order of magnitude higher than in the U.S. general and overall veteran populations.

LIMITATIONS

Incomplete cause-of-death information and low statistical power for male-female comparisons regarding mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Female veterans with SMI differed from females in the general population by having a higher risk of suicide attempts. They also had more lifetime suicide attempts than male veterans with same diagnoses. These differences should inform public policy and clinical planning.

Vasectomy and the risk of prostate cancer in a Finnish nationwide population-based cohort

INTRODUCTION & OBJECTIVES

There are conflicting reports on the association of vasectomy and the risk of prostate cancer (PCa). Our objective was to evaluate the association between vasectomy and PCa from a nationwide cohort in Finland.

MATERIALS & METHODS

Sterilization registry of Finland and the Finnish Cancer Registry data were utilized to identify all men who underwent vasectomy between years 1987-2014 in Finland. Standard incidence ratio (SIR) for PCa as well as all-cause standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated.

RESULTS

We identified 38,124 men with vasectomy with a total of 429,937 person-years follow-up data. The median age at vasectomy was 39.7 years (interquartile range [IQR] 35.9-44.0), after vasectomy PCa was diagnosed in 413 men (122 cases 0-10 years, 219 cases 10-20 years and 72 cases >20 years from vasectomy). SIR for PCa for the vasectomy cohort was 1.15 (95% CI: 1.04-1.27). By the end of follow-up, 19 men had died from PCa, while the expected number was 20.5 (SMR 0.93 [95%CI: 0.56-1.44]). The overall mortality was decreased (SMR 0.54 [95%CI: 0.51-0.58]) among men with vasectomy.

CONCLUSION

We found a small statistically significant increase in PCa incidence after vasectomy, but in contrast the mortality of vasectomized men was significantly reduced. This may be due to higher likelihood of vasectomized men to undergo prostate-specific antigen testing, having healthier general lifestyle and other biological factors e.g. high reproductive fitness.

Effects of adjuvant traditional Chinese medicine therapy on long-term survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Many patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Asian countries seek adjuvant therapy with traditional Chinese medicine (TCM). This study aims to explore the benefits of TCM therapy in the long-term survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in China.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In total, 3483 patients with HCC admitted to the Beijing Ditan Hospital of Capital Medical University were enrolled in this study. We used 1:1 frequency matching by sex, age, diagnosis time, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging, and type of treatments to compare the TCM users (n = 526) and non-TCM users (n = 526). A Cox multivariate regression model was employed to evaluate the effects of TCM therapy on the HR value and Kaplan-Meier survival curve for mortality risk in HCC patients. A log-rank test was performed to analyze the effect of TCM therapy on the survival time of HCC patients.

RESULTS

The Cox multivariate analysis indicated that TCM therapy was an independent protective factor for 5-year survival in patients with HCC (adjusted HR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.40-0.52, p < 0.0001). The Kaplan-Meier curve also showed that after PS matching, TCM users had a higher overall survival rate and a higher progression-free survival rate than non-TCM users. TCM users, regardless of the classification of etiology, tumor stage, liver function level, or type of treatment, all benefited significantly from TCM therapy. In addition, it was found that the most commonly used Chinese patent medications are Fufang Banmao Capsule, Huaier Granule, and Jinlong Capsule.

CONCLUSION

Using traditional Chinese medications as adjuvant therapy can probably prolong median survival time and improve the overall survival among patients with HCC. Further scientific studies and clinical trials are needed to examine the efficiency and safety.

Effects of Chinese herbal medicine therapy on survival and hepatic outcomes in patients with hepatitis C virus infection in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) is a complementary natural medicine that is used widely for the treatment of hepatic diseases. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of the long-term use of CHM for the treatment of liver diseases, as prescribed by TCM doctors, on overall mortality and hepatic outcomes in patients with HCV.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We identified 98788 patients with HCV. Of these, 829 and 829 patients who were users and non-users of CHM, respectively, were matched for age, gender, CCI, and comorbidities prior to CHM treatment. The chi-squared test, Cox proportional hazard model, Kaplan--Meier method, and log-rank test were used for comparisons.

RESULTS

CHM users had a lower risk of overall mortality than non-users after adjustment for comorbidities by using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model (p-value < 0.001; HR: 0.12, 95% CI: 0.06-0.26). In addition,the CHM users had a lower risk of liver cirrhosis than non-users after adjustment for comorbidities (p-value = 0.028; HR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.09-0.88). The 12-year cumulative incidences of overall mortality and liver cirrhosis were lower in the CHM group (p-value < 0.05 for both, log rank test). The CHM co-prescription for Dan-Shen, Bie-Jia, Jia-Wei-Xiao-Yao-San => E-Shu was found to occur most often associated for the specific treatment of HCV infection.

CONCLUSION

CHM as adjunctive therapy may reduce the overall mortality and the risk of liver cirrhosis in patients with HCV. The comprehensive list of the herbal medicines that may be used for the treatment of patients with HCV may be useful in future scientific investigations or for future therapeutic interventions to prevent negative hepatic outcomes in patients with HCV.

Preventing colorectal cancer or early diagnosis: Which is best? A re-analysis of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Evidence Report

Flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS) is the only cancer screening test to lower the risk of death compared to usual care in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We hypothesize that this unique death reduction is more attributable to prevention of colorectal cancer (CRC) than to early diagnosis. The systematic review of the 2016 US Preventive Services Task Force Evidence Report for CRC Screening was used for selection of RCT studies. A random-effects meta-analysis of five FS trials (N = 458,002) and four fecal occult blood test (FOBT) trials (N = 328,767) was performed using intention-to-screen outcomes for death, CRC incidence, and death attributed to CRC; correlation and linear regression analyses explored the relationships between these outcomes. At 10.5-11.9 years of follow-up FS reduces death (relative risk [RR], 0.975; 95% CI, 0.958-0.992 and reduces CRC incidence (RR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.74-0.84). Within the FS trials death reduction shows a strong linear correlation with CRC incidence reduction (r, 0.95; 95% CI 0.42-0.99). At 15.6-30.0 years of follow-up FOBT does not reduce death (RR, 1.001; 95% CI, 0.992-1.010) or CRC incidence (RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.89-1.02) but does reduce deaths attributed to CRC (RR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.78-0.91). Clinical trials of screening FS display a dose-response relationship between the magnitude of CRC prevention and the magnitude of death reduction. Prevention of CRC appears to be the major (or sole) mechanism of action for death reduction by FS in clinical trials. Conversely, early diagnosis of CRC does not appear to reduce death.

Statin treatment in dialysis patients after acute myocardial infarction improves overall mortality

While statins are widely accepted as a keystone for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease in the general population, statin treatment in chronic renal failure is still debated. Statins have shown no benefit on cardiovascular outcomes in 4D, AURORA, and SHARP trials conducted in patients on dialysis. However, no study has yet compared statin treatment after acute myocardial infarction in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. Statin treatment significantly decreases overall mortality in ESRD patients with acute myocardial infarction compared to the non-statin group. This is more prominent in the cardiac shock patient subgroup. The results are compatible with other studies, supporting a measurable benefit from statins in ESRD patients. There is no clear consensus on statin treatment in dialysis patients. The study by Chung et al. published in this issue of Atherosclerosis was conducted in a large patients' pool, with a long follow-up period [1]. Authors have reported an important result supporting statin treatment in dialysis patients after acute myocardial infarction.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the effect of metformin treatment on overall mortality rates in women with endometrial cancer and type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Obesity, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have been associated with endometrial cancer (EC). In this systematic review and meta-analysis we evaluated the effect of metformin on clinical outcomes in patients with EC and insulin resistance or T2DM.

METHODS

Four research databases were searched for original articles published in all languages up to 30 October 2016. Outcomes of interest were overall mortality (OM), cancer-specific mortality, disease progression, and metastases. We performed a random effect meta-analysis of adjusted effects expressed as hazard ratios (HR); heterogeneity among studies was described with the I² statistic.

RESULTS

Of the 290 retrieved citations, 6 retrospective cohort studies in women with EC (n=4723) met the inclusion criteria, and 8.9% to 23.8% were treated with metformin; OM data was available from 5 studies. In 4 studies of EC patients (n=4132), metformin use was associated with a significant reduction in OM in comparison with not using metformin (adjusted HR [aHR] 0.64, 95% CI 0.45-0.89, p=0.009). In three studies evaluating patients with EC and T2DM (n=2637), metformin use was associated with a significant reduction in OM (aHR 0.50, 95%CI 0.34-0.74, p=0.0006). There was low to moderate heterogeneity of adjusted effects across studies. There was no information about the effect of metformin on cancer-specific mortality, disease progression, or metastases.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin treatment is associated with a significant reduction in OM irrespective of diabetes status in patients with EC. The survival benefit suggests that diabetes screening and maintenance of good glycemic control may improve outcomes in EC.

The PPARγ2 P12A polymorphism is not associated with all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

The high mortality risk of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus may well be explained by the several comorbidities and/or complications. Also the intrinsic genetic component predisposing to diabetes might have a role in shaping the risk of diabetes-related mortality. Among type 2 diabetes mellitus SNPs, rs1801282 is of particular interest because (i) it is harbored by peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ2 (PPARγ2), which is the target for thiazolidinediones which are used as antidiabetic drugs, decreasing all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus, and (ii) it is associated with insulin resistance and related traits, risk factors for overall mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus. We investigated the role of PPARγ2 P12A, according to a dominant model (PA + AA vs. PP individuals) on incident all-cause mortality in three cohorts of type 2 diabetes mellitus, comprising a total of 1672 patients (462 deaths) and then performed a meta-analysis of ours and all available published data. In the three cohorts pooled and analyzed together, no association between PPARγ2 P12A and all-cause mortality was observed (HR 1.02, 95 % CI 0.79-1.33). Similar results were observed after adjusting for age, sex, smoking habits, and BMI (HR 1.09, 95 % CI 0.83-1.43). In a meta-analysis of ours and all studies previously published (n = 3241 individuals; 666 events), no association was observed between PPARγ2 P12A and all-cause mortality (HR 1.07, 95 % CI 0.85-1.33). Results from our individual samples as well as from our meta-analysis suggest that the PPARγ2 P12A does not significantly affect all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Vitamin D, Cancer Risk, and Mortality

Antiproliferative effects of 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D, the biologically active form of vitamin D, are well established in various cell types by influencing cell differentiation and decreasing cell proliferation, growth, invasion, angiogenesis, and metastasis. Several meta-analyses showed that low serum levels of 25(OH)D was associated with colorectal cancer and overall mortality, while the association with cancer mortality was less consistent. VDR is a crucial mediator for the cellular effects of vitamin D and conflicting data have been reported for most malignancies. Beyond VDR, the biological effects of vitamin D are mediated by the vitamin D-binding protein. The GC (group-specific component) gene, encoding DBP, is highly polymorphic and several polymorphisms were investigated in association with cancer development with controversial results. Vitamin D supplementation was found to be associated with a reduced risk of overall mortality, reviewing all published trials on healthy subjects, whereas the evidence of an effect on cancer risk and mortality is less clear. Furthermore, long-term health effects of high doses of vitamin D, extended duration of supplementation, and the association with different baseline vitamin D levels remain to be investigated. In summary, epidemiological and preclinical studies support the development of vitamin D as preventative and therapeutic anticancer agents, with significant associations especially found for low vitamin D status with overall mortality and cancer outcome, more than cancer incidence. However, a definitive conclusion cannot be drawn and only large randomized clinical trials, both in healthy subjects and in cancer patients, will allow to draw definitive conclusions on the effect of vitamin D supplementation on cancer risk, prognosis, and mortality.

Plasma phospholipid EPA and DHA are divergently associated with overall mortality in newly diagnosed diabetic patients: results from a follow-up of the Nord-Trøndelag Health (HUNT) Study, Norway

Data concerning the long-term effects of n-3 and n-6 PUFA on disease control and development of complications in diabetic patients are inconsistent. The relationship between plasma phospholipid PUFA and total mortality in type 2 diabetes is unknown. The present study aims to investigate the association between plasma phospholipid fatty acid relative concentrations expressed as weight percentage and total mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. Mortality rates were evaluated at 5, 10, 15 and 20 years in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes (n 323) and matched non-diabetic controls (n 200) recruited from the Nord-Trøndelag Health (HUNT) Study, Norway. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed and Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for biochemical and clinical covariates. After 10 years of follow-up, EPA in the diabetic population was negatively associated with total mortality, with an HR at the fifth quintile of 0·47 (95 % CI 0·25, 0·90) compared with the first quintile. In contrast, DHA was positively associated with total mortality, with an HR at the fifth quintile of 2·87 (95 % CI 1·45, 5·66). Neither EPA nor DHA was associated with total mortality in matched non-diabetic controls. In conclusion, plasma phospholipid relative concentrations of EPA were negatively associated, while those of DHA were positively associated with total mortality in diabetics. This difference in associations suggests a differential effect of EPA and DHA in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Yearly variations of demographic indices and mortality data in Italy from 1901 to 2008 as related to the caloric intake

The aim of the present study was to evaluate, by Join Point regression method, the yearly variations in demographic indices and mortality data in Italy from 1901 to 2008, as related to the caloric intake. The relationships between mortality and caloric intake were studied by time series. The results showed that, from 1901 to 2008, the Italian population grew from 32.5 to 59.6 millions; the live births rates decreased from 31.8 to 10.1‰ (males) and from 33.3 to 9.0‰ (females); the infant mortality rates fell from 184.1 to 3.7‰ (males) and from 149.4 to 3.2‰ (females); males and females gained 35.7 and 40.6 years in life expectancy at birth, respectively. In 1901 the 61% of deaths occurred in the youngest, whereas in 2008 the elderly accounted for the 80%. In 1901, in terms of age-adjusted data, other and undefined causes overcame the specific causes of death, whose rank was: respiratory, digestive, infectious, cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, cancers, accidents, endocrine, and nervous system diseases. In 2008, undefined causes ranked 3rd (males) and 4th (females), while cancers became the leading cause of death, followed by cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, accidental, respiratory, endocrine, digestive, nervous system, and infectious diseases. The caloric intake showed a negative correlation with all-cause mortality, infant mortality, and mortality for a number of specific causes. These patterns reflect the progress in average nutritional status, lifestyle quality, socioeconomic level, and hygienic conditions.