Assessing Glycosylated Hemoglobin Thresholds for Development of Cardiovascular Disease by Racial and Ethnic Groups

BACKGROUND

Diabetes is the strongest risk factor for cardiovascular disease, and although glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels are known to vary by race, no racial and ethnic-specific diagnostic thresholds exist for diabetes in prediction of cardiovascular disease events. The purpose of this study is to determine whether HbA1c thresholds for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) differ among racial and ethnic groups.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This is a retrospective cohort study of Kaiser Permanente Northern California adult members (n=309 636) with no history of cardiovascular disease who had HbA1c values and race and ethnicity data available between 2014 and 2019. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the odds of MACEs by the following racial and ethnic groups: Filipino, South Asian, East Asian, Black, White, and Hispanic. A Youden index was used to calculate HbA1c thresholds for MACE prediction by each racial and ethnic group, stratified by sex. Among studied racial and ethnic groups, South Asian race was associated with the greatest odds of MACEs (1.641 [95% CI, 1.456-1.843]; P<0.0001). HbA1c was a positive predictor for MACEs, with an odds ratio of 1.024 (95% CI, 1.022-1.025) for each 0.1% increment increase in HbA1c. HbA1c values varied between 6.0% and 7.6% in MACE prediction by race and ethnicity and sex. White individuals, South Asian individuals, East Asian women, and Black men had HbA1c thresholds for MACE prediction in the prediabetic range, between 6.0% and 6.2%. Black women, Hispanic men, and East Asian men had HbA1c thresholds of 6.2% to 6.6%, less than the typical threshold of 7.0% that is used as a treatment goal.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest that the use of race and ethnic- and sex-specific HbA1c thresholds may need to be considered in treatment goals and cardiovascular disease risk estimation.

Leisure time physical activity is associated with improved diastolic heart function and is partly mediated by unsupervised quantified metabolic health

Objectives

To investigate the association between leisure time physical activity (LTPA) and MRI-based diastolic function and the mediating role of metabolic health.

Methods

This cross-sectional analysis comprised 901 participants (46% women, mean age (SD): 56 (6) years (The Netherlands, 2008-2012)). LTPA was assessed via questionnaire, quantified in metabolic equivalent of tasks (METs)-minutes per week and participants underwent abdominal and cardiovascular MRI. Confirmatory factor analysis was used to construct the metabolic load factor. Piecewise structural equation model with adjustments for confounders was used to determine associations between LTPA and diastolic function and the mediating effect of metabolic load.

Results

Significant differences in mitral early/late peak filling rate (E/A) ratio per SD of LTPA (men=1999, women=1870 MET-min/week) of 0.18, (95% CI= 0.03 to 0.33, p=0.021) were observed in men, but not in women: -0.01 (-0.01 to 0.34, p=0.058). Difference in deceleration time of mitral early filling (E-DT) was 0.13 (0.01 to 0.24, p=0.030) in men and 0.17 (0.05 to 0.28, p=0.005) in women. Metabolic load, including MRI-based visceral and subcutaneous adipose tissue, fasting glucose, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides, mediated these associations as follows: E/A-ratio of 0.030 (0.000 to 0.067, 19% mediated, p=0.047) in men but not in women: 0.058 (0.027 to 0.089, p<0.001) and E-DT not in men 0.004 (-0.012 to 0.021, p=0.602) but did in women 0.044 (0.013 to 0.057, 27% mediated, p=0.006).

Conclusions

A larger amount of LTPA was associated with improved diastolic function where confirmatory factor analysis-based metabolic load partly mediated this effect. Future studies should assess whether improving indicators of metabolic load alongside LTPA will benefit healthy diastolic function even more.

The Inclusion of Underrepresented Populations in Cardiovascular Genetics and Epidemiology

Novel genetic risk markers have helped us to advance the field of cardiovascular epidemiology and refine our current understanding and risk stratification paradigms. The discovery and analysis of variants can help us to tailor prognostication and management. However, populations underrepresented in cardiovascular epidemiology and cardiogenetics research may experience inequities in care if prediction tools are not applicable to them clinically. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to outline the barriers that underrepresented populations can face in participating in genetics research, to describe the current efforts to diversify cardiogenetics research, and to outline strategies that researchers in cardiovascular epidemiology can implement to include underrepresented populations. Mistrust, a lack of diverse research teams, the improper use of sensitive biodata, and the constraints of genetic analyses are all barriers for including diverse populations in genetics studies. The current work is beginning to address the paucity of ethnically diverse genetics research and has already begun to shed light on the potential benefits of including underrepresented and diverse populations. Reducing barriers for individuals, utilizing community-driven research processes, adopting novel recruitment strategies, and pushing for organizational support for diverse genetics research are key steps that clinicians and researchers can take to develop equitable risk stratification tools and improve patient care.

In Search of Risk Factors: The Origin and Early Stages of Cardiovascular Epidemiology

Based mainly on their personal experience, the authors try to describe the origin of cardiovascular disease (CVD) epidemiology and the problems and difficulties practitioners attempted to tackle and solve during the first few decades of this discipline, which started around the middle of the last century. Beyond identifying the characteristics of those who became CVD epidemiologists, a description is given of the initial structures of the involved studies, participation rates, risk factors measurements and standardization, clinical measurements and diagnostic criteria, mortality data collection and coding, data loading and analysis, plus a number of problems still unsolved at the beginning of the 2000s. Despite many obstacles, and the initial hostility of the medical-scientific establishment, CVD epidemiology represented a revolution in researching in the bio-medical field. In the end, it also affected clinical research introducing the use of the quantitative approach bound to mathematical-statistical procedures. After decades of hard work and the development of a number of innovative tools, CVD epidemiology received its deserved recognition, eventually being accepted as a reputable and independent scientific discipline. Yet, in several countries, especially those from Southern Europe, an academic recognition of CVD epidemiology is still lacking.

In-Hospital Mortality Outcomes of ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Cross-Sectional Study from a Tertiary Academic Hospital in Johannesburg, South Africa

In sub-Saharan Africa, the burden of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is increasing. This study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and estimate the in-hospital all-cause mortality rate. We conducted a cross-sectional retrospective single-centre study of STEMI patients who underwent diagnostic coronary angiography with or without percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between January 2015 and December 2019. We compared demographic and clinical parameters between survivors and non-survivors with descriptive statistics. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the predictors of all-cause mortality. The study population consisted of 677 patients with a mean age of 55.5 ± 11.3 years. The in-hospital all-cause mortality rate was 6.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 4.5-8.3%]. Risk factors for ASCVD included smoking (56.1%), hypertension (52.8%), dyslipidemia (40.0%), and a family history of coronary artery disease (32.7%). A pharmaco-invasive management strategy (treatment with thrombolytic therapy and PCI) was implemented in 36.5% of patients and reduced all-cause mortality risk (OR: 0.16; CI: 0.04-0.71, p = 0.015). The in-hospital all-cause mortality rate in STEMI patients was 6.2%, and a pharmaco-invasive management strategy proved to be an effective approach.

The evidence that rheumatic heart disease control programs in Australia are making an impact

OBJECTIVE

Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) comprises heart-valve damage caused by acute rheumatic fever (ARF). The Australian Government Rheumatic Fever Strategy funds RHD Control Programs to support detection and management of ARF and RHD. We assessed epidemiological changes during the years of RHD Control Program operation.

METHODS

Linked RHD register, hospital and death data from four Australian jurisdictions were used to measure ARF/RHD outcomes between 2010 and 2017, including: 2-year progression to severe RHD/death; ARF recurrence; secondary prophylaxis delivery and earlier disease detection.

RESULTS

Delivery of secondary prophylaxis improved from 53% median proportion of days covered (95%CI: 46-61%, 2010) to 70% (95%CI: 71-68%, 2017). Secondary prophylaxis adherence protected against progression to severe RHD/death (hazard ratio 0.2, 95% CI 0.1-0.8). Other measures of program effectiveness (ARF recurrences, progression to severe RHD/death) remained stable. ARF case numbers and concurrent ARF/RHD diagnoses increased.

CONCLUSIONS

RHD Control Programs have contributed to major success in the management of ARF/RHD through increased delivery of secondary prevention yet ARF case numbers, not impacted by secondary prophylaxis and sensitive to increased awareness/surveillance, increased.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH

RHD Control Programs have a major role in delivering cost-effective RHD prevention. Sustained investment is needed but with greatly strengthened primordial and primary prevention.

Step Count, Self-reported Physical Activity, and Predicted 5-Year Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Cross-sectional Analysis

BACKGROUND

Physical inactivity is a known risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). Wearable devices, such as smartwatches, present an opportunity to investigate the relation between daily step count and AF risk.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to investigate the association between daily step count and the predicted 5-year risk of AF.

METHODS

Participants from the electronic Framingham Heart Study used an Apple smartwatch. Individuals with diagnosed AF were excluded. Daily step count, watch wear time (hours and days), and self-reported physical activity data were collected. Individuals' 5-year risk of AF was estimated, using the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE)-AF score. The relation between daily step count and predicted 5-year AF risk was examined via linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, and wear time. Secondary analyses examined effect modification by sex and obesity (BMI≥30 kg/m²), as well as the relation between self-reported physical activity and predicted 5-year AF risk.

RESULTS

We examined 923 electronic Framingham Heart Study participants (age: mean 53, SD 9 years; female: n=563, 61%) who had a median daily step count of 7227 (IQR 5699-8970). Most participants (n=823, 89.2%) had a <2.5% CHARGE-AF risk. Every 1000 steps were associated with a 0.08% lower CHARGE-AF risk (P<.001). A stronger association was observed in men and individuals with obesity. In contrast, self-reported physical activity was not associated with CHARGE-AF risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher daily step counts were associated with a lower predicted 5-year risk of AF, and this relation was stronger in men and participants with obesity. The utility of a wearable daily step counter for AF risk reduction merits further investigation.

Plasma β-Alanine is Positively Associated With Risk of Ischemic Stroke: a Nested Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies suggested that β-alanine as a neurotransmitter could affect the pathogenesis of ischemic damage. However, the association between circulating β-alanine and risk of ischemic stroke (IS) has not been evaluated in populations.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine the association between β-alanine and IS risk in a nested case-control study.

METHODS

We performed a case-control study nested within a prospective community-based cohort (n = 16457; median follow-up time: 5.3 y), which included 321 incident IS cases and 321 controls matched by age and sex. Β-alanine and other metabolites were measured in plasma after overnight fasting by LC-MS/MS. The association of β-alanine with risk of IS was evaluated by conditional logistic regression. BMI, current smoking, educational attainment, physical activity, total energy intake, family history of stroke, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and estimated GFR were adjusted in multivariable models.

RESULTS

There was a significant Spearman partial correlation between β-alanine and 4-pyridoxic acid (ρ = 0.239; P < 0.001). Participants with elevated β-alanine levels were more likely to develop IS with an adjusted OR of 1.26 (95% CI: 1.06-1.51; P = 0.011) (per standard deviation increment). This association remained significant after excluding the first 2 y of follow-up, and after further adjustment for red meat intake, total protein intake, medication use, or vitamin B6 indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel findings revealed that plasma β-alanine at baseline were positively associated with risk of IS and may function as an early biomarker of IS risk.

Disparate Cardiovascular Hospitalization Trends Among Young and Middle-Aged Adults Within and Across Race and Ethnicity Groups in Four States in the United States

Background Inpatient hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease (CVD) decreased nationally in the past decade. However, data are lacking on whether national declines represent trends within and across race and ethnicity populations from different US regions. Methods and Results Using State Inpatient Databases, Census Bureau and Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data for Florida, Kentucky, New Jersey, and North Carolina, we identified all CVD hospitalizations and population characteristics for adults aged 18 to 64 years between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2018. We calculated yearly CVD hospitalization rates for each state for the overall population, by sex, race, and ethnicity. We modeled yearly trends in age-adjusted CVD hospitalization rate in each state using negative binomial regression. State base populations were similar by age (mean age: 40-42 years) and sex (50%-51% female) throughout the study period. There were 314 973 and 288 843 total CVD hospitalizations among the 4 states in 2009 and 2018, respectively. Crude hospitalization rates declined in all states (age 18-44 years NJ: -33.4%; KY: -17.0%; FL: -11.9%; NC: -11.2%; age 45-64 years NJ: -29.8%; KY: -20.3%; FL: -12.2%; NC: -11.6%) over the study period. In age-adjusted models, overall hospitalization rates declined significantly in NJ -2.5%/y (95% CI, -2.9 to -2.1) and in KY -1.6%/y (-1.9 to -1.2) with no significant declining trend in FL and NC. Similar findings were present by sex. Among non-Hispanic White populations, mean yearly decline in hospitalization rate was significant in all states except FL, with the greatest declines in NJ (-3.8%/y [-4.4 to -3.2], P values for state-year interaction <0.0001). By contrast, a significant declining trend was present for non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic populations only in NJ (P values for state-year interaction <0.001). We found similar differences in trend between states in sensitivity analyses incorporating additional demographic and comorbid characteristics. Conclusions Decreases in CVD hospitalization rates in the past decade among nonelderly adults varied considerably by state and appeared largely driven by declines among non-Hispanic White populations. Overall declines did not represent divergent trends between states within non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic populations. Recognition of differences not just between but also within race and ethnicity populations should inform national and local policy initiatives aimed at reducing disparities in CVD outcomes.

Moderate obstructive sleep apnea and cardiovascular outcomes in older adults: a propensity score-matched multicenter study (CPAGE-MODE study)

STUDY OBJECTIVES

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been associated with cardiovascular events (CVEs), although recent randomized controlled trials have not demonstrated that long-term continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) prevents CVEs. Our objective was to determine the effect of CPAP on older adults with moderate OSA regarding CVE reduction.

METHODS

An observational and multicenter study of a cohort of older adults (> 70 years of age) diagnosed with moderate OSA (apnea-hypopnea index 15.0-29.9 events/h) was conducted. Two groups were formed: (1) CPAP treatment and (2) standard of care. The primary endpoint was CVE occurrence after OSA diagnosis. Association with CPAP treatment was assessed by propensity score matching and inverse weighting probability. Secondary endpoints were incidence of CVE separately and time to first CVE.

RESULTS

A total of 614 patients were included. After matching, 236 older adults (111 men, mean age 75.9 ± 4.7 years) with a follow-up of 47 months (interquartile range: 29.6-64.0 months) were considered for primary and secondary endpoint evaluations. Forty-one patients presented at least 1 CVE (17.4%): 20 were in the standard-of-care group (16.9%) and 21 were in the CPAP group (17.8%), with a relative risk of 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.60-1.83; P = .43) for CPAP treatment. Inverse probability weighting of the initial 614 patients determined an adjusted relative risk of 1.24 (95% CI, 0.79-1.96; P = .35) for CPAP treatment. No statistical differences were found in secondary endpoint analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

CPAP should not be prescribed to reduce CVE probability in older adults with moderate OSA.

CITATION

López-Padilla D, Terán-Tinedo J, Cerezo-Lajas A, et al. Moderate obstructive sleep apnea and cardiovascular outcomes in older adults: a propensity score-matched multicenter study (CPAGE-MODE study). J Clin Sleep Med. 2022;18(2):553-561.

Influential Periods in Longitudinal Clinical Cardiovascular Health Scores

The prevalence of ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) among adults in the United States is low and decreases with age. Our objective was to identify specific age windows when the loss of CVH accelerates, to ascertain preventive opportunities for intervention. Data were pooled from 5 longitudinal cohorts (Project Heartbeat!, Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study, The Bogalusa Heart Study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults, Special Turku Coronary Risk Factor Intervention Project) from the United States and Finland from 1973 to 2012. Individuals with clinical CVH factors (i.e., body mass index, blood pressure, cholesterol, blood glucose) measured from ages 8 to 55 years were included. These factors were categorized and summed into a clinical CVH score ranging from 0 (worst) to 8 (best). Adjusted, segmented, linear mixed models were used to estimate the change in CVH over time. Among the 18,343 participants, 9,461 (52%) were female and 12,346 (67%) were White. The baseline mean (standard deviation) clinical CVH score was 6.9 (1.2) at an average age of 17.6 (8.1) years. Two inflection points were estimated: at 16.9 years (95% confidence interval: 16.4, 17.4) and at 37.2 years (95% confidence interval: 32.4, 41.9). Late adolescence and early middle age appear to be influential periods during which the loss of CVH accelerates.

Low but not high exercise systolic blood pressure is associated with long-term all-cause mortality

Objectives

The risks associated with achieving a high peak systolic blood pressure (SBP) during clinical exercise testing remain controversial, although this issue has not been evaluated in relation to predicted SBP standards. This cohort study aimed to evaluate the long-term risk of all-cause mortality in males in relation to reference values of peak SBP and the increase in SBP during exercise from the Fitness Registry and the Importance of Exercise: A National Database (FRIEND).

Methods

We followed 7164 males (mean age: 58.2±10.6 years) over 95 998 person-years of follow-up (mean 13.4±5.4 years), who performed a maximal treadmill exercise test at baseline. SBP was measured at rest and at peak exercise. Risk of all-cause mortality over 20 years (Cox regression) was determined in relation to reference percentiles of peak SBP and increase in SBP with exercise: <10th (low), 10th-90th, >90th (high) percentiles.

Results

A high peak or a large increase in SBP with exercise was not associated with all-cause mortality. Subjects with a low peak SBP had a 20% higher unadjusted risk for all-cause death compared with those with a normal value (1.20 (1.11-1.31)), and a statistically non-significant 7% higher risk after adjustment for all baseline risk factors (1.07 (0.97-1.18)). The corresponding unadjusted and adjusted risks associated with a low increase in SBP were 1.24 (1.15-1.35) and 1.11 (1.02-1.21), respectively.

Conclusions

A low-but not high-peak SBP is associated with increased unadjusted risk of all-cause mortality. The FRIEND percentiles of exercise SBP can aid clinicians in individualising risk assessment.

Framingham Heart Study: JACC Focus Seminar, 1/8

The Framingham Heart Study is the longest-running cardiovascular epidemiological study, starting in 1948. This paper gives an overview of the various cohorts, collected data, and most important research findings to date. In brief, the Framingham Heart Study, funded by the National Institutes of Health and managed by Boston University, spans 3 generations of well phenotyped White persons and 2 cohorts comprised of racial and ethnic minority groups. These cohorts are densely phenotyped, with extensive longitudinal follow-up, and they continue to provide us with important information on human cardiovascular and noncardiovascular physiology over the lifespan, as well as to identify major risk factors for cardiovascular disease. This paper also summarizes some of the more recent progress in molecular epidemiology and discusses the future of the study.

Machine learning compared with rule-in/rule-out algorithms and logistic regression to predict acute myocardial infarction based on troponin T concentrations

OBJECTIVE

Computerized decision-support tools may improve diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) among patients presenting with chest pain at the emergency department (ED). The primary aim was to assess the predictive accuracy of machine learning algorithms based on paired high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentrations with varying sampling times, age, and sex in order to rule in or out AMI.

METHODS

In this register-based, cross-sectional diagnostic study conducted retrospectively based on 5695 chest pain patients at 2 hospitals in Sweden 2013-2014 we used 5-fold cross-validation 200 times in order to compare the performance of an artificial neural network (ANN) with European guideline-recommended 0/1- and 0/3-hour algorithms for hs-cTnT and with logistic regression without interaction terms. Primary outcome was the size of the intermediate risk group where AMI could not be ruled in or out, while holding the sensitivity (rule-out) and specificity (rule-in) constant across models.

RESULTS

ANN and logistic regression had similar (95%) areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve. In patients (n = 4171) where the timing requirements (0/1 or 0/3 hour) for the sampling were met, using ANN led to a relative decrease of 9.2% (95% confidence interval 4.4% to 13.8%; from 24.5% to 22.2% of all tested patients) in the size of the intermediate group compared to the recommended algorithms. By contrast, using logistic regression did not substantially decrease the size of the intermediate group.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning algorithms allow for flexibility in sampling and have the potential to improve risk assessment among chest pain patients at the ED.

Scaling VO2max to body size differences to evaluate associations to CVD incidence and all-cause mortality risk

Objective

To evaluate and compare ratio and allometric scaling models of maximal oxygen consumption (VO₂max) for different body size measurements in relation to cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and all-cause mortality.

Methods

316 116 individuals participating in occupational health screenings, initially free from CVD, were included. VO₂max was estimated using submaximal cycle test. Height, body mass and waist circumference (WC) were assessed, and eight different scaling models (two evaluated in a restricted sample with WC data) were derived. Participants were followed in national registers for first-time CVD event or all-cause mortality from their health screening to first CVD event, death or 31 December 2015.

Results

Increasing deciles of VO₂max showed lower CVD risk and all-cause mortality for all six models in the full sample (p<0.001) as well as with increasing quintiles in the restricted sample (eight models) (p<0.001). For CVD risk and all-cause mortality, significantly weaker associations with increasing deciles for models 1 (L·min⁻¹) and 5 (mL·min⁻¹·height⁻²) were seen compared with model 2 (mL·min⁻¹·kg⁻¹), (CVD, p<0.00001; p<0.00001: all-cause mortality, p=0.008; p=0.001) and in some subgroups. For CVD, model 6 (mL·min⁻¹·(kg¹·height⁻¹)⁻¹) had a stronger association compared with model 2 (p<0.00001) and in some subgroups.

In the restricted sample, trends for significantly stronger associations for models including WC compared with model 2 were seen in women for both CVD and all-cause mortality, and those under 50 for CVD.

Conclusion

In association to CVD and all-cause mortality, only small differences were found between ratio scaling and allometric scaling models where body dimensions were added, with some stronger associations when adding WC in the models.

Cycling but not walking to work or study is associated with physical fitness, body composition and clustered cardiometabolic risk in young men

Introduction

Active commuting is an inexpensive and accessible form of physical activity and may be beneficial to health. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of active commuting and its subcomponents, cycling and walking, with cardiometabolic risk factors, physical fitness and body composition in young men.

Methods

Participants were 776 Finnish young (26±7 years), healthy adult men. Active commuting was measured with self-report. Waist circumference was measured and body mass index (BMI) calculated. Aerobic fitness was measured with bicycle ergometer and muscular fitness with maximal leg and bench press, sit-ups, push-ups and standing long jump. Cardiometabolic risk factors were analysed from blood samples and selected variables (glucose, insulin, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, as well as systolic and diastolic blood pressure) were further converted to z-score to form clustered cardiometabolic risk.

Results

A total of 24% used active commuting consisting of 10% of walkers and 14% of cyclists. After adjustments for age, smoking, time of year, leisure-time and occupational physical activities, cycling was inversely associated with the clustered cardiometabolic risk (β=−0.11, 95% CI −0.22 to −0.01), while walking was not (β=−0.04, 95% CI −0.16 to 0.08). However, further adjustment for waist circumference attenuated the associations to non-significant. Moreover, cycling but not walking was inversely associated with BMI, waist circumference and maximal strength, while a positive association was observed with aerobic fitness (p<0.05).

Conclusion

This study shows that cycling to work or study has beneficial associations to clustered cardiometabolic risk, body composition and aerobic fitness in young, healthy adult men.

Monitoring the health of transitioning professional footballers: protocol of an observational prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Transitioning out of professional football is a challenging time in most players' lives. During these preretirement and postretirement years, professional footballers may struggle with their mental, musculoskeletal, neurocognitive and cardiovascular health. Currently, longitudinal data about these health conditions are lacking. This article presents the design of a prospective cohort study with the primary aim of gathering epidemiological evidence about the onset and course of mental, musculoskeletal, neurocognitive and cardiovascular health conditions in professional footballers during their preretirement and postretirement years and evaluating the associations between risk indicators and the health conditions under study in these players.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

An observational prospective cohort study with repeated measurements over a follow-up period of 10 years will be conducted among at least 200 professional footballers (male; 27 (±1) years old). Mental health will be explored by assessing symptoms of distress, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbance, alcohol misuse, drug misuse and disordered eating. Musculoskeletal health will be explored by assessing severe joint injury and related surgery, clinical and radiological osteoarthritis, and joint function (hips, knees and ankles). Neurocognitive health will be explored by assessing the concussion, brain structure and functioning, and neurocognitive functioning. Cardiovascular health will be explored by assessing blood pressure, lipid profile and ECG abnormalities.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval for the study was provided by the Medical Ethics Review Committee of the Amsterdam University Medical Centers. The results of the study will be submitted to peer-reviewed journals, will be presented at scientific conferences and will be released in the media (postpublication).

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

The Dutch Trial Registry (Drake Football Study NL7999).

Long-Term Cardiovascular Risk in Women With Hypertension During Pregnancy

BACKGROUND

History of a hypertensive disorder of pregnancy (HDP) among women may be useful to refine atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk assessments. However, future risk of diverse cardiovascular conditions in asymptomatic middle-aged women with prior HDP remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to examine the long-term incidence of diverse cardiovascular conditions among middle-aged women with and without prior HDP.

METHODS

Women in the prospective, observational UK Biobank age 40 to 69 years who reported ≥1 live birth were included. Noninvasive arterial stiffness measurement was performed in a subset of women. Cox models were fitted to associate HDP with incident cardiovascular diseases. Causal mediation analyses estimated the contribution of conventional risk factors to observed associations.

RESULTS

Of 220,024 women included, 2,808 (1.3%) had prior HDP. The mean age at baseline was 57.4 ± 7.8 years, and women were followed for median 7 years (interquartile range: 6.3 to 7.7 years). Women with HDP had elevated arterial stiffness indexes and greater prevalence of chronic hypertension compared with women without HDP. Overall, 7.0 versus 5.3 age-adjusted incident cardiovascular conditions occurred per 1,000 women-years for women with versus without prior HDP, respectively (p = 0.001). In analysis of time-to-first incident cardiovascular diagnosis, prior HDP was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.3 (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.60; p = 0.02). HDP was associated with greater incidence of CAD (HR: 1.8; 95% CI: 1.3 to 2.6; p < 0.001), heart failure (HR: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.04 to 2.60; p = 0.03), aortic stenosis (HR: 2.9; 95% CI: 1.5 to 5.4; p < 0.001), and mitral regurgitation (HR: 5.0; 95% CI: 1.5 to 17.1; p = 0.01). In causal mediation analyses, chronic hypertension explained 64% of HDP's association with CAD and 49% of HDP's association with heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are associated with accelerated cardiovascular aging and more diverse cardiovascular conditions than previously appreciated, including valvular heart disease. Cardiovascular risk after HDP is largely but incompletely mediated by development of chronic hypertension.

Co-prescription patterns of cardiovascular preventive treatments: a cross-sectional study in the Aragon worker' health study (Spain)

OBJECTIVES

To identify cardiovascular disease (CVD) preventive treatments combinations, among them and with other drugs, and to determine their prevalence in a cohort of Spanish workers.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Aragon Workers' Health Study (AWHS) cohort in Spain.

PARTICIPANTS

5577 workers belonging to AWHS cohort. From these subjects, we selected those that had, at least, three prescriptions of the same therapeutic subgroup in 2014 (n=4605).

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Drug consumption was obtained from the Aragon Pharmaceutical Consumption Registry (Farmasalud). In order to know treatment utilisation, prevalence analyses were conducted. Frequent item set mining techniques were applied to identify drugs co-prescription patterns. All the results were stratified by sex and age.

RESULTS

42.3% of men and 18.8% of women in the cohort received, at least, three prescriptions of a CVD preventive treatment in 2014. The most prescribed CVD treatment were antihypertensives (men: 28.2%, women 9.2%). The most frequent association observed among CVD preventive treatment was agents acting on the renin-angiotensin system and lipid-lowering drugs (5.1% of treated subjects). Co-prescription increased with age, especially after 50 years old, both in frequency and number of associations, and was higher in men. Regarding the association between CVD preventive treatments and other drugs, the most frequent pattern observed was lipid-lowering drugs and drugs used for acid related disorders (4.2% of treated subjects).

CONCLUSIONS

There is an important number of co-prescription patterns that involve CVD preventive treatments. These patterns increase with age and are more frequent in men. Mining techniques are a useful tool to identify pharmacological patterns that are not evident in the individual clinical practice, in order to improve drug prescription appropriateness.

NT-proBNP levels and mortality in a general population-based cohort from Turkey: a long-term follow-up study

AIM

We investigated the relationship between NT-ProBNP and mortality in a general population-based cohort.

METHODS & RESULTS

A total of 2021 out of 4650 participants from previously published HAPPY study were included. Mean follow-up was 84.5 ± 10.4 months. After adjusting for risk factors, high levels of LogNT-proBNP predicted all-cause death (HR: 3.23; 95% CI: 2.20-4.75; p < 0.001) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.85; 95% CI: 2.37-6.26; p < 0.001). Regression analysis revealed that LogNT-proBNP was an independent predictor of all-cause death (HR: 2.85; 95% CI: 1.91-4.24; p < 0.001) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.02; 95% CI: 1.84-4.95; p < 0.001). Conclusıon: Our study showed that in long term follow-up, NT-proBNP is associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Implementing a Graduate Certificate Program in Cardiovascular Epidemiology: The Jackson Heart Study

The Jackson Heart Study (JHS) is committed to providing opportunities for expanding the understanding of the epidemiology, diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of cardiovascular diseases. The JHS Graduate Training and Education Center (GTEC) has initiated the Daniel Hale Williams Scholar (DHWS) program where students are afforded the opportunity to interact with epidemiologists and other biomedical scientists to learn to identify, predict, and prevent cardiovascular disease using the Jackson Heart Study data. This study describes the structured programs developed by JHS GTEC seeking to alleviate the shortage of trained professionals in cardiovascular epidemiology by training graduate students while they complete their academic degrees. The DHWS program provides: (1) an enrichment curriculum; (2) a learning community; (3) quarterly seminars; and (4) a Summer Institute. Students attend enrichment activities comprising: (1) Applied Biostatistics; (2) Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology; (3) Social Epidemiology; (4) Emerging Topics; and (5) Research Writing. Training focuses on developing proficiency in cardiovascular health knowledge. The DHWS program is a unique strategy for incorporating rigorous academic and career-focused training to graduate students and has enabled the acquisition of competencies needed to impact cardiovascular disease management programs.

Heart and Brain Interactions--the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study Design

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study is to investigate the development and progression of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease (CVD/CeVD) in an extensively characterized age cohort of middle-aged subjects with longitudinal long-term follow-up.

DESIGN

The ACE 1950 Study is a prospective, population-based, age-cohort study of all men and women born in 1950 in Akershus County, Norway. The study involves a comprehensive baseline examination, especially for CVD/CeVD, including advanced ultrasound imaging and biobanking ("deep phenotyping"). We expect to obtain an inclusion rate of > 60% from the total study population of 5,827 eligible subjects. Enrollment will be completed during 2015.

CONCLUSIONS

The ACE 1950 Study will have potential to generate new and relevant insight into identification of subclinical disease progression. Extensive phenotyping will enable identification of novel disease markers and mechanisms for subclinical disease, which can prove important for future disease prevention.

Sex Differences in Correlates of Intermediate Phenotypes and Prevalent Cardiovascular Disease in the General Population

Background

There are marked sex differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) manifestation. It is largely unknown how the distribution of CVD risk factors or intermediate phenotypes explain sex-specific differences.

Methods and Results

In 5000 individuals of the population-based Gutenberg Health Study, mean age 55 ± 11 years, 51% males, we examined sex-specific associations of classical CVD risk factors with intima-media thickness, ankle-brachial index, flow-mediated dilation, peripheral arterial tonometry, echocardiographic, and electrocardiographic variables. Intermediate cardiovascular phenotypes were related to prevalent CVD [coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, lower extremity artery disease (LEAD) N = 561].

We observed differential distributions of CVD risk factors with a higher risk factor burden in men. Manifest coronary artery disease, stroke, myocardial infarction, and LEAD were more frequent in men; the proportion of heart failure was higher in women. Intermediate phenotypes showed clear sex differences with more beneficial values in women. Fairly linear changes toward less beneficial values with age were observed in both sexes. In multivariable-adjusted regression analyses, age, systolic blood pressure, and body mass index were consistently associated with intermediate phenotypes in both sexes with different ranking according to random forests, maximum model R² 0.43. Risk factor-adjusted associations with prevalent CVD showed some differences by sex. No interactions by menopausal status were observed.

Conclusion

In a population-based cohort, we observed sex differences in risk factors and a broad range of intermediate phenotypes of non-invasive cardiovascular structure and function. Their relation to prevalent CVD differed markedly. Our results indicate the need of future investigations to understand sex differences in CVD manifestation.

Epidemiology's continuing contribution to public health: The power of "Then and Now"

The 47th annual meeting of the Society for Epidemiologic Research hosted 17 invited speakers charged by the Executive Committee with presenting some of the many ways that epidemiologists have improved the health of the general population. There were 9 "Then and Now" sessions that were structured to focus on how early epidemiologists overcame research hurdles and advanced health through innovative strategies. For most topics, a longstanding expert was paired with an excellent contemporary epidemiologist working in the area, and both were given the freedom to deliver an integrated story about epidemiology's temporal role in protecting and promoting public health. Epidemiologic discoveries in cardiovascular, cancer, and perinatal epidemiology were discussed on day 1, followed by discussions of accomplishments in reducing exposures that adversely impact health (nutrition, environment/occupation, and tobacco use) on day 2. Topics with relevancy for many aspects of epidemiology were presented on day 3, including infectious diseases, social forces, and causal thinking in epidemiologic research. Given the large number of outstanding senior and junior epidemiologists that attended the meeting, choosing speakers was a unique challenge. What became evident from all sessions was the passion that epidemiologists have for population health, tempered with concerns for remaining true to epidemiologic principles, the timely adoption of innovative methods, and the responsible interpretation of research findings.

Effect of obesity on cardiovascular risk factors in urban population in South India

BACKGROUND

Non-communicable diseases are on the rise globally, and developing countries are also witnessing the burden. Rising obesity levels are a matter of serious concern owing to the well-established link between obesity and non-communicable diseases. The objective of this study was to determine the effect of obesity on the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors among the Indian population.

METHODS

Data on blood pressure, anthropometric and biochemical measurements were collected for 2021 subjects aged above 20 years. Measurements were restricted to only anthropometrics for those below 20 years (N=1289). The study population was categorised into three groups according to body mass index for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

The prevalence of overweight and obesity was 29.5% and 11.1%, respectively, which shows significant rising trends since 1995. Glucose intolerance, dyslipidaemia, hypertension and metabolic syndrome were significantly higher among the overweight and obese subjects than among normal subjects. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 59% among the obese group, showing the highest risk for that group. Overweight and obesity, increasing age, hypercholesterolaemia and family history of hypertension showed a strong association with metabolic syndrome.

CONCLUSION

All the cardiometabolic abnormalities showed an increasing trend with increase in body mass index. The morbidity and mortality associated with cardiovascular diseases can be reduced by curbing the obesity epidemic.